External Evaluation of Population Pharmacokinetics Models of Lithium in the Bipolar Population
Highlights
- This is the first study to evaluate predictive performances of published population pharmacokinetics models of lithium.
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Results
2.1. Published Models
2.2. External Evaluation Data
2.3. External Evaluation
3. Discussion
4. Materials and Methods
4.1. Search Methods and Inclusion Criteria
4.2. External Evaluation Data
4.2.1. Literature Cohort
4.2.2. Clinical Cohort
4.3. Model Evaluation
- Bias (i.e., the direction and the size of the deviation from the observed concentration) of model predictions is given for the ith individual and th jth blood sample, by the median prediction error (MDPE):
- Inaccuracy (i.e., the size of the typical error) of model predictions is given for the ith individual and the jth blood sample, by the median absolute performance errors (MADPE).
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Study (Publication Year) | Country (Single/Multiple Sites) | Number of Patients (Male/Female) | Number of Samples (Sample Type) | Analytical Method | Pathology | Software | Number of Compartments of the Model | Covariates Tested | PK Parameters and Formula (Lithium) | IIV (%) | Residual Error | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Swann et al. (1990) | USA (single) | 14 (10/4) | NA (pk study) | Atomic absorption spectrometry | Manic episode | None | Two | FFM | CL (L/h) V1 (L) V2 (L) K12 (h−1) K21 (h−1) Ka * (h−1) | 0.09 × V1 0.3 × FFM (0.4 × FFM)−0.3 0.56 0.41 1.03 | ||
Landersdorfer et al. (2016) | USA (multiple) | 61 (32/29) | 2730 (pk study) | Atomic absorption spectrometry, ICP-OES, automated assays | Bipolar disorder | S-ADAPT/ NONMEM | Two | TBW, age, LBW, gender, CrCL, Scr | CL (L/h) V1 (L) V2 (L) Q (L/h) Klag (h−1) Ka (h−1) | 1.63 ×(LBW/53)0.75 24.5 × (LBW/53) 33.5 × (LBW/53) 3.19 × (LBW/53)0.75 3.64 1.21 | 20.7 11.6 40.3 31.1 88.2 21.0 | 0.0422 mEq/L |
Yoshida et al. (2017) | Japan (multiple) | 82 (44/38) | 131 (TDM) | Atomic absorption spectrometry | Bipolar disorder, depression, schizophrenia | SPSS/PRISM | One | CL (L/h) Ka * (h−1) V1 * (L) | 1.236 1.5 0.79 × WT | 0.13 mEq/L | ||
Eldesoky et al. (2008) | Egypt (single) | 50 (21/29) | 50 (TDM) | Ion sensitive electrode | Bipolar disorder | NONMEM | Two | WT, GFR, gender, age | CL (L/h) V1 * (L) V2 * (L) Q * (L/h) Ka * (h−1) | 0.51 × (GFR/105.3)0.438 15.2 7.44 6.7 0.62 | 12.77 | 15% |
Yu et al. (2016) | China (single) | 20 (20/0) | 560 (pk study) | Flame photometry | Healthy | NONMEM | Two | Demographic factors and laboratory indicators | CL (L/h) V1 (L) V2 (L) Q (L/h) Tlag (h) Ka * (h−1) | 9.39 10.4 216 22.1 0.186 0.293 | 13.2 84.2 19.7 127 19.4 | 5.19% |
Couffignal et al. (2018) | France (single) | 17 (6/11) | 68 (pk study) | ICP-OES | Bipolar disorder | MONOLIX | Two | None | CL (L/h) V1 (L) V2 * (L) K12 * (h−1) K21 (h−1) Tlag * (h) Ka * (h−1) F | 1.21 23 64.7 3.63 9.46 0.92 2.22 0.62 | 20 30 27 72 0.98 | 10% |
Methaneethorne et al. (2019) | Thailand (single) | 222 (114/108) | NA | Ion-sensitive electrode | Bipolar disorder | NONMEM | One | Weight, age, gender, Scr, CrCl, BMI, co administration. | CL (L/h) Ka * (h−1) V1/F * (L) | 1.43 × (WT/65)0.425 × (age/38)−0.242 0.462 54 | 3.11 | 19 mg/L |
Alqahtani et al. (2019) | Saudi Arabia (single) | 31 (7/24) | 170 (TDM) | Spectrophotometric methods | Bipolar disorder | MONOLIX | Two | CrCl | CL (L/h) V1 * (L) V2 * (L) Q * (L/h) Ka * (h−1) | 1.15 × (ClCr/119.2)0.117 22.1 3.35 0.44 0.62 | 14 | 0.223 mmol/L |
Yuan et al. (2021) | China (single) | 52 (38/14) | 160 (pk study) | Ion sensitive electrode methos | Intellectual disability, pediatric | NONMEM | Two | Weight, age, gender | Cl/F (L/h) MTT(h) V1/F (L) V2/F (L) Q/F (L/h) | 0.98 × (WT/20) 0.52 13.1 × (WT/20) 8.2 × (WT/20) 0.84 | 4.6 9.9 7.2 17.7 9.5 | 0.091 mmol/L |
Jin et al. (2022) | China (single) | 268 (NA) | 476 | Phosphatase assay (Siemens® ADVIA 1800) | Bipolar disorder | NONMEM | One | Weight, CrCl, total daily dose, sex | Cl/F (L/h) V1 (L) Ka * (h−1) | 0.909 × (TDD/600)0.354 × (WT/62)0.33 × (CrCl/116)0.186 10.9 0.293 | 20.8 40.4 | 0.0236 mmol/L |
Characteristics | Number or Mean ± SD Clinical | Median (Range) Clinical | Number or Mean ± SD Literature | Median (Range) Literature |
---|---|---|---|---|
No. of patients (male/female) | 46 (20/26) | NA | 89 (62/27) | NA |
No. of samples | 46 | NA | 89 | NA |
No. of samples per patient | 1 | NA | 1 | NA |
Age (years) | 41.15 (±14.78) | 42 (16–68) | 24.76 (±14.68) | 19 (8–87) |
Weight (kg) | 74.99 (±18.40) | 71.50 (61–127) | 66.30 (±22.94) | 65 (27–125) |
Height (cm) | 170.39 (±−10.32) | 170 (147–189) | 168 (NA) | 168 (NA) |
Concentration (mg/L) | 5.04 (±1.99) | 5.14 (1.04–11.94) | 4.50 (±2.31) | 4.16 (0.69–13.9) |
GFR (mL/min) | 99.80 (±16.05) | 102 (61–127) | 120.61 (±88.54) | 105.50 (66–218) |
Lithium dose (mg) | 13.23 (±7.57) | 16.22 (3.38–54.05) | 15.84 (±8.24) | 12.16 (4.05–32.43) |
Bipolar patients | 46 | NA | 65 | NA |
MDPE (Literature) | MADPE (Literature) | MDPE (Hospital) | MADPE (Hospital) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Swann et al. | −16.7 | 29.5 | −13.5 | 26.7 |
Landersdorfer et al. | −50.9 | 52.4 | −30.2 | 35.8 |
Yoshida et al. | 17.4 | 37.4 | −4.5 | 30.5 |
Eldesoky et al. | 99.8 | 99.8 | 137.6 | 137.6 |
Yu et al. | −85.7 | 85.7 | −42.7 | 44.2 |
Couffignal et al. | −8.7 | 31.5 | −4.5 | 29.9 |
Methaneethorne et al. | −36.5 | 40.4 | −14.4 | 24.9 |
Alqahtani et al. | −5.5 | 24.4 | 7.8 | 32.4 |
Yuan et al. | −58.4 | 59.7 | −70.0 | 70.0 |
Jin et al. | 12.7 | 47.9 | 18.6 | 28.7 |
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Lereclus, A.; Boniffay, A.; Kallée, G.; Blin, O.; Belzeaux, R.; Frédéric, D.; Benito, S.; Guilhaumou, R. External Evaluation of Population Pharmacokinetics Models of Lithium in the Bipolar Population. Pharmaceuticals 2023, 16, 1627. https://doi.org/10.3390/ph16111627
Lereclus A, Boniffay A, Kallée G, Blin O, Belzeaux R, Frédéric D, Benito S, Guilhaumou R. External Evaluation of Population Pharmacokinetics Models of Lithium in the Bipolar Population. Pharmaceuticals. 2023; 16(11):1627. https://doi.org/10.3390/ph16111627
Chicago/Turabian StyleLereclus, Aurélie, Andréa Boniffay, Gauvind Kallée, Olivier Blin, Raoul Belzeaux, Dayan Frédéric, Sylvain Benito, and Romain Guilhaumou. 2023. "External Evaluation of Population Pharmacokinetics Models of Lithium in the Bipolar Population" Pharmaceuticals 16, no. 11: 1627. https://doi.org/10.3390/ph16111627
APA StyleLereclus, A., Boniffay, A., Kallée, G., Blin, O., Belzeaux, R., Frédéric, D., Benito, S., & Guilhaumou, R. (2023). External Evaluation of Population Pharmacokinetics Models of Lithium in the Bipolar Population. Pharmaceuticals, 16(11), 1627. https://doi.org/10.3390/ph16111627