Trends in Smoking Prevalence and Intensity between 2010 and 2018: Implications for Tobacco Control in China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methods
2.1. Data Sources and Study Population
2.2. Indicators
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Smoking Prevalence
3.2. Smoking Intensity
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
CFPS | China Family Panel Studies |
WHO | World Health Organization |
FCTC | Framework Convention on Tobacco Control |
NHS | National Health Service |
ORs | Odds Ratios |
RRs | Risk Ratios |
CIs | Confidence Intervals |
pp | percentage points |
Appendix A
2010 N (%) | 2012 N (%) | 2014 N (%) | 2016 N (%) | 2018 N (%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Individuals | 33,487 | 30,688 | 29,067 | 29,070 | 26,945 |
Region | |||||
East | 14,413 (43%) | 12,937 (42%) | 12,388 (43%) | 12,097 (42%) | 11,163 (42%) |
Central | 9882 (30%) | 9124 (30%) | 8681 (30%) | 8457 (29%) | 7625 (28%) |
West | 9192 (27%) | 8627 (28%) | 7998 (27%) | 8516 (29%) | 8157 (30%) |
Residence | |||||
Rural | 17,946 (54%) | 16,923 (55%) | 15,174 (52%) | 14,904 (51%) | 13,468 (50%) |
Urban | 15,541 (46%) | 13,765 (45%) | 13,893 (48%) | 14,166 (49%) | 13,477 (50%) |
Gender | |||||
Female | 17,256 (51%) | 15,618 (51%) | 14,671 (50%) | 14,369 (49%) | 13,332 (49%) |
Male | 16,231 (49%) | 15,070 (49%) | 14,396 (50%) | 14,701 (51%) | 13,613 (51%) |
Education | |||||
primary | 16,818 (50%) | 15,857 (52%) | 14,603 (50%) | 13,781 (47%) | 11,846 (44%) |
middle | 14,373 (43%) | 12,613 (41%) | 12,275 (42%) | 12,449 (43%) | 12,196 (45%) |
high | 2296 (7%) | 2218 (7%) | 2189 (8%) | 2840 (10%) | 2903 (11%) |
Age, years | |||||
16–29 | 6535 (20%) | 6138 (20%) | 5539 (19%) | 5856 (20%) | 4713 (17%) |
30–39 | 5774 (17%) | 4787 (16%) | 4159 (14%) | 4271 (15%) | 4040 (15%) |
40–49 | 7739 (23%) | 7170 (23%) | 6492 (22%) | 5848 (20%) | 5045 (19%) |
50–59 | 6428 (19%) | 5675 (18%) | 5613 (19%) | 5593 (19%) | 5684 (21%) |
60–69 | 4274 (13%) | 4361 (14%) | 4719 (16%) | 4861 (17%) | 4827 (18%) |
≥70 | 2737 (8%) | 2557 (8%) | 2545 (9%) | 2641 (9%) | 2636 (10%) |
Total | Women | Men | |
---|---|---|---|
Current Smoking | Risk Ratio (90% CIs) | Risk Ratio (90% CIs) | Risk Ratio (90% CIs) |
Marital status | |||
Unmarried | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Married or cohabited | 0.843 *** | 0.612 *** | 1.219 *** |
(0.818–0.868) | (0.474–0.791) | (1.189–1.251) | |
Divorced or widowed | 0.809 *** | 0.794 | 1.375 *** |
(0.777–0.841) | (0.606–1.039) | (1.331–1.420) | |
Educational level | |||
Primary or below | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Secondary or high school | 1.140 *** | 0.733 *** | 0.924 *** |
(1.124–1.157) | (0.671–0.800) | (0.913–0.935) | |
College or above | 0.868 *** | 0.532 *** | 0.738 *** |
(0.842–0.896) | (0.423–0.670) | (.719–0.757) | |
Household income | |||
Lower than average | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Equal to or higher than average | 0.943 *** | 0.674 *** | 1.013 * |
(0.930–0.956) | (0.622–0.731) | (1.001–1.025) | |
Work type | |||
Unemployed | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Self employed | 1.442 *** | 0.855 *** | 1.169 *** |
(1.415–1.471) | (0.786–0.931) | (1.150–1.189) | |
Employed by others | 1.826 *** | 0.759 *** | 1.262 *** |
(1.790–1.863) | (0.672–0.857) | (1.240–1.284) | |
Current drinker | |||
No | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Yes | 2.475 *** | 3.485 *** | 1.255 *** |
(2.445–2.507) | (3.144–3.863) | (1.241–1.268) | |
Physical activity | |||
No | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Yes | 0.951 *** | 0.955 | 0.905 *** |
(0.938–0.965) | (0.887–1.028) | (0.895–0.916) |
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Current Smoker | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | 2018 | Difference | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weighted Proportion (90% CI) | Weighted Proportion (90% CI) | Weighted Proportion (90% CI) | Weighted Proportion (90% CI) | Weighted Proportion (90% CI) | 2010–2014 | 2014–2018 | 2010–2018 | |
Individuals | 30.39% (29.47–31.31) | 28.21% (27.34–29.08) | 27.04% (25.94–28.14) | 26.31% (25.38–27.25) | 28.69% (27.69–29.69) | −0.033 *** | 0.016 *** | −0.017 *** |
Gender | ||||||||
Female | 3.21% (2.50–3.93) | 2.93% (2.34–3.52) | 2.75% (2.16–3.34) | 3.52% (2.78–4.26) | 3.02% (2.39–3.65) | −0.005 ** | 0.003 | −0.002 |
Male | 56.76% (55.33–58.19) | 55.00% (53.52–56.47) | 51.94% (49.98–53.90) | 48.57% (47.07–50.06) | 53.12% (51.44–54.79) | −0.048 *** | 0.012 | −0.036 *** |
Region | ||||||||
Eastern | 28.47% (27.28–29.65) | 27.26% (26.05–28.49) | 24.80% (23.45–26.16) | 25.17% (23.75–26.59) | 26.94% (25.56–28.31) | −0.037 *** | 0.021 *** | −0.015 ** |
Central | 30.37% (28.94–31.81) | 28.34% (26.70–29.98) | 27.09% (26.12–28.06) | 26.79% (25.24–28.34) | 28.64% (27.20–30.07) | −0.033 *** | 0.015 * | −0.017 * |
Western | 33.14% (31.22–35.06) | 29.54% (27.77–31.32) | 30.67% (28.59–32.75) | 27.49% (25.72–29.25) | 31.43% (29.17–33.69) | −0.025 ** | 0.008 | −0.017 |
Residence | ||||||||
Rural | 32.28% (30.95–33.61) | 29.10% (27.81–30.38) | 28.89% (27.41–30.37) | 28.26% (26.98–29.55) | 30.05% (28.59–31.51) | −0.034 *** | 0.012 | −0.022 *** |
Urban | 28.52% (27.40–29.64) | 27.42% (26.37–28.48) | 25.80% (24.54–27.06) | 25.04% (23.96–26.13) | 27.81% (26.75–28.87) | −0.027 *** | 0.020 *** | −0.007 |
Education | ||||||||
Primary or below | 30.48% (29.10–31.87) | 27.93% (26.72–29.14) | 27.44% (26.00–28.88) | 26.43% (25.15–27.71) | 27.90% (26.36–29.44) | −0.030 *** | 0.005 | −0.026 *** |
Secondary or high school | 31.09% (30.13–32.05) | 29.62% (28.59–30.65) | 27.68% (26.54–28.82) | 27.53% (26.43–28.63) | 31.54% (30.54–32.55) | −0.034 *** | 0.039 *** | 0.005 |
College or above | 25.67% (23.59–27.75) | 22.82% (20.72–24.93) | 22.19% (19.87–24.52) | 19.02% (16.91–21.13) | 21.44% (19.40–23.49) | −0.035 ** | −0.008 | −0.042 ** |
Age, years | ||||||||
16–29 | 22.96% (21.46–24.47) | 20.05% (18.71–21.40) | 19.74% (18.30–21.19) | 17.20% (15.93–18.47) | 22.22% (20.61–23.84) | −0.032 *** | 0.025 ** | −0.007 |
30–39 | 32.66% (31.22–34.10) | 30.44% (28.83–32.05) | 27.91% (26.09–29.74) | 29.71% (27.99–31.43) | 31.71% (29.77–33.64) | −0.048 *** | 0.038 *** | −0.01 |
40–49 | 34.85% (33.48–36.22) | 32.14% (30.75–33.52) | 30.76% (29.12–32.41) | 29.70% (28.09–31.31) | 30.17% (28.50–31.84) | −0.041 *** | −0.006 | −0.047 *** |
50–59 | 35.65% (34.27–37.03) | 33.92% (32.49–35.35) | 31.46% (29.69–33.23) | 30.67% (28.92–32.43) | 32.15% (30.33–33.97) | −0.042 *** | 0.007 | −0.035 *** |
60–69 | 31.73% (30.09–33.37) | 29.70% (28.23–31.17) | 28.56% (26.86–30.26) | 29.11% (27.34–30.87) | 29.88% (28.38–31.38) | −0.032 ** | 0.013 | −0.019 |
≥70 | 26.00% (23.52–28.48) | 23.61% (21.15–26.07) | 23.46% (20.85–26.06) | 22.19% (19.77–24.60) | 24.21% (22.19–26.22) | −0.025 | 0.007 | −0.018 |
Total | Women | Men | |
---|---|---|---|
Current Smoking | Odds Ratio (90% CI) | Odds Ratio (90% CI) | Odds Ratio (90% CI) |
Marital status | |||
Unmarried | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Married or cohabited | 0.746 *** | 0.602 *** | 1.431 *** |
(0.714~0.779) | (0.475~0.764) | (1.360~1.505) | |
Divorced or widowed | 0.697 *** | 0.796 | 1.943 *** |
(0.657~0.739) | (0.618~1.026) | (1.802~2.096) | |
Educational level | |||
Primary or below | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Secondary or high school | 1.248 *** | 0.720 *** | 0.822 *** |
(1.218~1.278) | (0.656~0.790) | (0.798~0.847) | |
College or above | 0.809 *** | 0.523 *** | 0.512 *** |
(0.774~0.846) | (0.413~0.663) | (0.486~0.540) | |
Household income | |||
Lower than average | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Equal to or higher than average | 0.909 *** | 0.659 *** | 1.033 * |
(0.889~0.930) | (0.606~0.716) | (1.004~1.064) | |
Work type | |||
Unemployed | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Self employed | 1.694 *** | 0.847 *** | 1.381 *** |
(1.646~1.744) | (0.774~0.927) | (1.330~1.435) | |
Employed by others | 2.517 *** | 0.749 *** | 1.654 *** |
(2.440~2.597) | (0.660~0.852) | (1.590–1.722) | |
Current drinker | |||
No | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Yes | 5.141 *** | 3.997 *** | 1.835 *** |
(5.009~5.276) | (3.551~4.499) | (1.780~1.890) | |
Physical activity | |||
No | 1(ref) | 1(ref) | 1(ref) |
Yes | 0.922 *** | 0.954 | 0.796 *** |
(0.902~0.943) | (0.883~1.030) | (0.774~0.818) | |
Observations | 146,694 | 74,457 | 72,237 |
Number of Average Daily Cigarettes | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | 2018 | Difference | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weighted Means (90% CI) | Weighted Means (90% CI) | Weighted Means (90% CI) | Weighted Means (90% CI) | Weighted Means (90% CI) | 2010–2014 | 2014–2018 | 2010–2018 | |
Individuals | 16.96 (16.55–17.36) | 16.19 (15.78–16.60) | 15.83 (15.42–16.24) | 15.50 (15.07–15.94) | 15.12 (14.76–15.48) | −1.125 *** | −0.710 *** | −1.836 *** |
Gender | ||||||||
Female | 12.14 (11.27–13.01) | 13.03 (12.09–13.96) | 12.12 (10.97–13.28) | 10.95 (9.86–12.04) | 11.27 (10.20–12.34) | −0.013 | −0.855 | −0.869 |
Male | 17.21 (16.81–17.63) | 16.37 (15.96–16.78) | 16.03 (15.62–16.44) | 15.83 (15.39–16.26) | 15.33 (14.96–15.69) | −1.187 *** | −0.705 *** | −1.892 *** |
Region | – | |||||||
East | 16.74 (16.02–17.45) | 16.39 (16.05–16.74) | 16.09 (15.49–16.69) | 15.97 (15.35–16.59) | 15.36 (14.78–15.95) | −0.652 * | −0.722 ** | −1.374 *** |
Central | 16.93 (16.25–17.60) | 16.61 (15.90–17.32) | 16.37 (15.71– 17.03) | 16.00 (15.54–16.47) | 15.53 (15.06–15.99) | −0.555 | −0.845 ** | −1.401 *** |
West | 17.26 (16.53–17.98) | 15.37 (14.45–16.28) | 14.86 (14.00–15.71) | 14.21 (13.71–14.71) | 14.35 (13.73–14.97) | −2.398 *** | −0.508 | −2.906 *** |
Residence | ||||||||
Rural | 17.54 (16.98–18.08) | 16.92 (16.34–17.49) | 16.10 (15.53–16.66) | 15.67 (15.18–16.17) | 15.23 (14.72–15.73) | −1.441 *** | −0.869 *** | −2.310 *** |
Urban | 16.31 (15.85–16.78) | 15.50 (15.07–15.93) | 15.63 (15.15–16.11) | 15.38 (14.79–15.96) | 15.04 (14.60–15.49) | −0.681 * | −0.586 * | −1.267 *** |
Education | ||||||||
Primary or below | 17.52 (16.99–18.06) | 17.12 (16.50–17.74) | 16.58 (15.98–17.18) | 16.15 (15.47–16.82) | 16.46 (15.82–17.10) | −0.945 ** | −0.121 | −1.066 *** |
Secondary or high school | 16.84 (16.28–17.40) | 15.68 (15.22–16.13) | 15.78 (15.31–16.24) | 15.22 (14.76–15.69) | 14.79 (14.37–15.22) | −1.062 *** | −0.986 *** | −2.048 *** |
College or above | 13.92 (13.05–14.78) | 13.80 (12.95–14.64) | 11.97 (11.20–12.75) | 12.27 (11.51–13.03) | 12.19 (11.41–12.97) | −1.943 *** | 0.219 | −1.724 *** |
Age, years | ||||||||
16–29 | 13.24 (12.39–14.09) | 11.93 (11.27–12.59) | 12.25 (11.73–12.77) | 10.94 (10.37–11.52) | 10.51 (9.98–11.04) | −0.990 ** | −1.739 *** | −2.729 *** |
30–39 | 17.08 (16.44–17.73) | 16.05 (15.48–16.63) | 14.77 (14.23–15.31) | 14.32 (13.80–14.84) | 13.97 (13.42–14.52) | −2.309 *** | −0.802 * | −3.110 *** |
40–49 | 19.18 (18.45–19.92) | 17.88 (17.32–18.45) | 17.38 (16.68–18.09) | 16.58 (15.98–17.18) | 16.27 (15.61–16.93) | −1.800 *** | −1.117 ** | −2.917 *** |
50–59 | 18.59 (17.78–19.40) | 18.75 (18.06–19.44) | 18.18 (17.40–18.95) | 17.90 (17.24–18.56) | 17.88 (17.20–18.56) | −0.415 | −0.297 | −0.712 |
60–69 | 18.24 (16.88–19.61) | 16.45 (15.65–17.25) | 16.99 (16.04–17.95) | 16.82 (15.99–17.66) | 16.49 (15.83–17.15) | −1.254 | −0.503 | −1.757 * |
≥70 | 13.19 (12.19–14.18) | 13.39 (12.54–14.23) | 11.94 (10.98–12.90) | 12.69 (11.48–13.90) | 12.93 (12.03–13.83) | −1.250 * | 0.992 | −0.257 |
Number of Average Daily Cigarettes | Total | Women | Men |
---|---|---|---|
Coef. (90% CI) | Coef. (90% CI) | Coef. (90% CI) | |
Marital status | |||
Unmarried | |||
Married or cohabited | −0.025 | −1.824 | 0.023 |
(−0.406~0.356) | (−3.714~0.066) | (−0.367~0.412) | |
Divorced or widowed | 0.384 | −1.182 | 0.66 * |
(−0.142~0.909) | (−3.188~0.824) | (0.103~1.218) | |
Educational level | |||
Primary or below | |||
Secondary or high school | −0.739 *** | −0.858 * | −0.932 *** |
(−0.949~−0.530) | (−1.669~−0.0478) | (−1.149~−0.716) | |
College or above | −2.713 *** | −1.69 | −2.932 *** |
(−3.128~−2.299) | (−3.772~0.393) | (−3.356~−2.508) | |
Household income | |||
Lower than average | |||
Equal to or higher than average | 0.515 *** | 0.163 | 0.513 *** |
(0.312~0.718) | (−0.525~0.851) | (0.302~0.723) | |
Work type | |||
Unemployed | |||
Self employed | 0.717 *** | −0.540 | 0.511 *** |
(0.442~0.991) | (−1.323~0.243) | (0.222~0.800) | |
Employed by others | 0.469 *** | −.385 | 0.135 |
(0.176~0.761) | (−1.537~0.767) | (−0.171~0.440) | |
Current drinker | |||
No | |||
Yes | 2.064 *** | 2.854 *** | 1.806 *** |
(1.866~2.262) | (1.886~3.821) | (1.603~2.010) | |
Physical activity | |||
No | |||
Yes | −1.429 *** | −0.836 ** | −1.473 *** |
(−1.631~−1.227) | (−1.478~−0.194) | (−1.683~−1.263) | |
Observations | 43,495 | 2,399 | 41,096 |
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Zhang, G.; Zhan, J.; Fu, H. Trends in Smoking Prevalence and Intensity between 2010 and 2018: Implications for Tobacco Control in China. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2022, 19, 670. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19020670
Zhang G, Zhan J, Fu H. Trends in Smoking Prevalence and Intensity between 2010 and 2018: Implications for Tobacco Control in China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2022; 19(2):670. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19020670
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhang, Guoting, Jiajia Zhan, and Hongqiao Fu. 2022. "Trends in Smoking Prevalence and Intensity between 2010 and 2018: Implications for Tobacco Control in China" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 19, no. 2: 670. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19020670
APA StyleZhang, G., Zhan, J., & Fu, H. (2022). Trends in Smoking Prevalence and Intensity between 2010 and 2018: Implications for Tobacco Control in China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(2), 670. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19020670