Empirical Research Study on the Determinants of Market Indicators for 41 Financial Institutions
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Earnings-per-Share- and Price-per-Share-Related Studies
2.2. Dividend-Yield-Related Studies
2.3. Price-to-Revenue-Related Studies
3. Materials and Methods
- Free revenue (FRE). The market indicator is computed as a ratio of the commission revenue to the total bank revenue;
- Efficiency ratio (ER). It is an indicator measuring bank profitability and it is computed by dividing operating bank expenditure and total bank revenue. It is also called the “cost–revenue ratio”;
- Return on assets (ROA). The indicator is computed as a ratio of the net income to total bank assets;
- Total debt to total assets (DAR). The indicator is determined as a ratio of bank debt to total assets;
- Total debt to total capital (DAC). The indicator is computed as a ratio of bank debt to total bank capital;
- Total debt to total equity (DTEQ). The indicator is computed as a ratio of overall debt to total equity.
- Earnings per share (EPS), computed as a ratio of net income to the average value of common stock. This indicator shows how much money a bank gains for each of its shares and it is generally used to estimate company value. The bigger the EPS, the bigger the bank value, which is a positive sign for potential investors;
- Price per share (PPS), computed as a ratio of market value per share to sales per share;
- Dividend yield (DYIELD), computed as a ratio of dividend to share price. It shows how much money a bank distributes to its shareholders after registering the net income;
- Price-to-revenue from business activities (PRBA), computed as a ratio of the share price to bank revenue. The indicator determines the total value investors place in a bank compared with the overall revenue generated by bank operations.
- Y indicates the dependent variables EPS, PPS, DYIELD, and PRPS;
- b0 indicates the intercept of the econometric model;
- bi indicates the coefficient of the independent variable;
- B indicates the independent variables ROA, FRE, ER, DAR, DAC, and DTEQ;
- i indicates the bank activity, taking values from 1 to 41;
- t indicates the time span taken into consideration, taking values from 1 to 33 (Q4 2013−Q4 2021);
- indicates the fixed effects controlling for bank-specific factors, regardless of the time;
- indicates the error term.
4. Results
4.1. Central Tendency and Variation Analysis
4.2. Correlation Analysis
4.3. Econometric Modeling
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
DAC | Total debt to total capital |
DAR | Total debt to total assets |
DTEQ | Total debt to total equity |
DYIELD | Dividend yield |
EPS | Earnings per share |
ER | Efficiency ratio |
FRE | Free revenue |
GMM | Generalized method of moments |
PPS | Price per share |
PRBA | Price to revenue from business activities |
ROA | Return on assets |
VIF | Variance inflation factor |
Appendix A
References
- Abdunazarova, Nodira, and Uwe Christians. 2014. The Role of Banks in the Regional Economic Development of Uzbekistan: Lessons from the German Experience. Berlin: Epubli. [Google Scholar]
- af Jochnick, Kerstin. 2022. Business Models, Bank Funding and Market Value in a Changing Environment. Available online: https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/speeches/date/2022/html/ssm.sp220707_2~ab24716e90.en.html (accessed on 13 November 2022).
- Ariff, Mohamed, Cheng Fan Fah, and Soh Wei Ni. 2013. Earnings response coefficients of OECD banks: Tests extended to include bank risk factors. Advances in Accounting 29: 97–107. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Batrancea, Larissa-Margareta. 2021. An econometric approach on performance, assets, and liabilities in a sample of banks from Europe, Israel, United States of America, and Canada. Mathematics 9: 3178. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Batrancea, Larissa-Margareta, Ioan Batrancea, and Andrei Moscviciov. 2009. The analysis of entity’s liquidity—A means of evaluating cash flow. Journal of International Finance and Economics 9: 92–98. [Google Scholar]
- Batrancea, Larissa-Margareta, Mehmet Ali Balcı, Leontina Chermezan, Ömer Akgüller, Ema Speranta Masca, and Lucian Gaban. 2022. Sources of SMEs financing and their impact on economic growth across the European Union: Insights from a panel data study spanning sixteen years. Sustainability 14: 15318. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Baum, Christopher F., and Mark E. Schaffer. 2002. Instrumental variables and GMM: Estimation and testing. Boston College Economics Working Paper 545: 1–31. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Blenman, Lloyd P., Harold A. Black, and Edward Kane, eds. 2010. Banking and Capital Markets: New International Perspectives. London: World Scientific Publishing. [Google Scholar]
- Boldin, Robert, and Keith Leggett. 1995. Bank dividend policy as a signal of bank quality. Financial Services Review 4: 1–8. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chung, Tin-Fah, and Mohamed Ariff. 2016. A test of the linkage among money supply, liquidity and share prices in Asia. Japan and the World Economy 39: 48–61. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- de Wet, Johannes. 2013. Earnings per share as a measure of financial performance: Does it obscure more than it reveals? Corporate Ownership & Control 10: 265–75. [Google Scholar]
- Erman, Edie, Che Johari, Dimitris K. Chronopoulos, Bert Scholtens, Anna L. Sobiech, and John O. S. Wilson. 2020. Deposit insurance and bank dividend policy. Journal of Financial Stability 48: 100745. [Google Scholar]
- Gobat, Jeanne. 2022. Banks: At the Heart of the Matter. Available online: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/Series/Back-to-Basics/Banks (accessed on 12 November 2022).
- Grassetti, Francesca, Cristiana Mammana, and Elisabetta Michetti. 2023. Asset price-GDP cross feedback. The role of dividend policies in a dynamic setting. Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation 116: 106888. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Haini, Hazwan. 2020. Examining the relationship between finance, institutions and economic growth: Evidence from the ASEAN economies. Economic Change and Restructuring 53: 519–42. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Hartwell, Christopher A. 2018. Foreign banks and the business environment in transition: A cointegration approach. Post-Communist Economies 30: 19–35. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hasan, Iftekhar, Phil Molyneux, Ru Xie, and Hendrik Hakenes. 2014. Small Banks and Local Economic Development. Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers No. 5. Helsinki: Bank of Finland. [Google Scholar]
- Heba, Ali, and Aya Yasser Hegazy. 2022. Dividend policy, risk and the cross-section of stock returns: Evidence from India. International Review of Economics & Finance 79: 169–92. [Google Scholar]
- Kenza, Medjahed, and Gherbi Nacer Salah Eddine. 2016. The effect of the financial sector development on growth: The case of the MENA countries. Arab Economic and Business Journal 11: 72–85. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kindleberger, Charles P. 1984. Financial institutions and economic development: A comparison of Great Britain and France in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries. Explorations in Economic History 21: 103–24. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Kiviet, Jan, Milan Pleus, and Rutger Poldermans. 2017. Accuracy and efficiency of various GMM inference techniques in dynamic micro panel data models. Econometrics 5: 14. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Li, Jietao, Haoyuan Ding, Yichuan Hu, and Guoguang Wan. 2021. Dealing with dynamic endogeneity in international business research. Journal of International Business Studies 52: 339–62. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Mansyur, Andi, Rahman Mus, Zainuddin Rahman, and Suriyanti Suriyanti. 2020. Financial performance as mediator on the impact of capital structure, wealth structure, financial structure on stock price: The case of the Indonesian banking sector. European Journal of Business & Management Research 5: 1–10. [Google Scholar]
- McKinnon, Ronald I. 2010. Money and Capital in Economic Development. Washington, DC: The Brookings Institute. [Google Scholar]
- Mehrhoff, Jens. 2009. A Solution to the Problem of Too Many Instruments in Dynamic Panel Data GMM. Deutsche Bundesbank Eurosystem, Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies No. 31; Frankfurt am Main: Deutsche Bundesbank. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Moscviciov, Andrei, Ioan Batrancea, Maria Batrancea, and Larissa Batrancea. 2010. Financial ratio analysis used in the IT enterprises. Annals of the University of Oradea: Economic Science 19: 600–3. [Google Scholar]
- Muhammad, Ateeq ur Rehman. 2022. The impact of investor sentiment on returns, cash flows, discount rates, and performance. Borsa Istanbul Review 22: 352–62. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Nguyen, P. T. 2022. The impact of banking sector development on economic growth: The case of Vietnam’s transitional economy. Journal of Risk and Financial Management 15: 358. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Petkovski, Mihail, and Jordan Kjosevski. 2014. Does banking sector development promote economic growth? An empirical analysis for selected countries in Central and South Eastern Europe. Economic Research Ekonomska Istraživanja 27: 55–66. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Rahman, Lutfur, and Abul Shamsuddin. 2019. Investor sentiment and the price-earnings ratio in the G7 stock markets. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 55: 46–62. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ritter, Lawrence S., William L. Silber, and Gregory F. Udell. 1999. Principles of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, 10th ed. Boston: Addison-Wesley. [Google Scholar]
- Roodman, David. 2009. How to do xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata. The Stata Journal 9: 86–136. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
- Saldanlı, Arif, Mücahit Aydin, and Hakan Bektaş. 2017. The determinants of stock prices: Evidence from the Turkish banking sector. Theoretical and Applied Economics XXIV: 181–88. [Google Scholar]
- Sezgin, Funda H. 2010. An empirical investigation of the relationship among P/E ratio, stock return and dividend yield for Istanbul Stock Exchange. International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies 2: 15–23. [Google Scholar]
- Silvia, John. 2021. Financial Markets and Economic Performance: A Model for Effective Decision Making. Cham: Palgrave Macmillan. [Google Scholar]
- Sumatri, Muhammad Bayu Aji, Vincentia Wahyu Widajatun, Neneng Susanti, and Nugi Mohammad Nugraha. 2021. The factors that affect the profitability of banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Turkish Journal of Computer and Mathematics Education 12: 1456–60. [Google Scholar]
- Tahir, Safdar Hussain, Muhammad Rizwan Ullah, and Said Shah. 2017. What determines price-to-earnings ratios: An empirical evidence from banking sector in Pakistan. Journal of Business and Tourism 3: 13–21. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Trinh, Vu Quang, Alper Kara, and Marwa Elnahass. 2022. Dividend payout strategies and bank survival likelihood: A cross-country analysis. International Review of Financial Analysis 81: 102129. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Tripathy, Niranjan, Da Wua, and Yi Zheng. 2021. Dividends and financial health: Evidence from U.S. bank holding companies. Journal of Corporate Finance 66: 101808. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Widjaja, Hendrik, and Moch Doddy Ariefianto. 2022. The dynamic of bank stock price and its fundamentals: Evidence from Indonesia. Cogent Economics & Finance 10: 2107766. [Google Scholar]
EPS | PPS | DYIELD | PRBA | ROA | FRE | ER | DAR | DAC | DTEQ | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | 13.7866 | 18.0757 | 2.4627 | 3.0729 | 0.7329 | 28.3894 | 58.8188 | 14.1705 | 51.1975 | 211.9303 |
Median | 10.9500 | 9.54500 | 1.2700 | 2.3500 | 0.5600 | 27.6500 | 54.8650 | 9.6500 | 54.1200 | 117.9500 |
Maximum | 551.7400 | 591.000 | 344.200 | 37.6500 | 10.9800 | 282.7400 | 376.4600 | 87.2300 | 96.6200 | 2856.310 |
Minimum | −147.4600 | 0.3800 | −0.0400 | −1.7200 | −9.0400 | −183.9600 | −46.8100 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
Standard deviation | 30.3079 | 34.1610 | 10.4335 | 2.9410 | 1.363783 | 22.3140 | 29.1603 | 13.4924 | 26.1072 | 254.4855 |
Skewness | 12.21751 | 9.9036 | 29.8603 | 4.7901 | 1.403695 | −0.1449 | 3.3131 | 1.8246 | −0.3369 | 2.5591 |
Kurtosis | 188.2414 | 144.9629 | 973.5113 | 40.9477 | 19.74788 | 38.2419 | 27.3048 | 6.7315 | 2.1249 | 15.2076 |
Jarque-Bera test | 1,507,011 *** | 1,054,683 *** | 46,682,027 *** | 73,462.89 *** | 13,793.84 *** | 59,050.53 *** | 30,039.04 *** | 1313.212 *** | 61.3483 *** | 8812.106 *** |
Observations | 1036 | 1232 | 1185 | 1151 | 1148 | 1141 | 1136 | 1157 | 1207 | 1207 |
PPS | DYELD | EPS | PRBA | ROA | FRE | ER | DAR | DAC | DTEQ | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPS | 1 | |||||||||
DYELD | −0.087 | 1 | ||||||||
EPS | 0.007 | −0.081 | 1 | |||||||
PRBA | 0.149 | −0.088 | −0.091 | 1 | ||||||
ROA | 0.059 | −0.005 | −0.098 | 0.229 | 1 | |||||
FRE | −0.017 | 0.021 | 0.048 | −0.010 | 0.081 | 1 | ||||
ER | −0.014 | 0.069 | 0.138 | −0.269 | −0.321 * | 0.069 | 1 | |||
DAR | −0.114 | 0.123 | 0.057 | 0.156 | 0.309 * | 0.075 | −0.205 | 1 | ||
DAC | −0.109 | 0.072 | 0.102 | −0.097 | −0.118 | −0.023 | −0.017 | 0.695 *** | 1 | |
DTEQ | −0.113 | 0.124 | 0.074 | 0.125 | −0.176 | −0.098 | −0.100 | 0.758 *** | 0.811 *** | 1 |
VIF | Model EPS | VIF | Model PPS | VIF | Model DYELD | VIF | Model PRBA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPS (−1) | - | 0.3197 *** (71.9324) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
PPS (−1) | - | - | - | 0.8179 *** (29931.55) | - | - | - | - |
DYELD (−1) | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0666 *** (190.6504) | - | - |
PRBA (−1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.8142 *** (578.2638) |
ROA | 2.1172 | −3.7960 *** (−6.4903) | 1.9334 | 1.0984 *** (388.1346) | 1.9568 | 0.5345 *** (34.6964) | 1.9572 | −0.0857 *** (−3.1157) |
FRE | 1.0881 | −0.0069 (−0.8692) | 1.0691 | −0.0049 *** (−12.5366) | 1.0698 | 0.0037 *** (13.4544) | 1.0693 | 0.0014 (0.7114) |
ER | 1.1769 | 0.0245 *** (2.3521) | 1.3445 | −0.0458 *** (−624.1559) | 1.3461 | −0.0019 *** (−54.5567) | 1.3466 | −0.0009 *** (−4.3657) |
DAR | 4.8936 | 3.8023 *** (25.4824) | 3.9943 | −0.1335 *** (−33.5042) | 4.0063 | −0.0618 *** (−18.3909) | 4.0659 | −0.0727 *** (−11.9621) |
DAC | 3.1539 | −0.7019 ** (−13.6999) | 2.8727 | −0.0686 *** (−52.9559) | 2.8545 | 0.0013 *** (7.1877) | 2.8839 | 0.0123 *** (9.3556) |
DTEQ | 5.6317 | −0.0587 (−9.9267) | 5.2356 | 0.0089 *** (13.5972) | 5.1993 | 0.0039 *** (22.4063) | 5.2352 | 0.0042 *** (5.8074) |
Chi-square statistic | - | 56.9182 | - | 10.2652 | - | 1.7166 | - | 7.5249 |
Probability | - | 0.0000 | - | 0.1139 | - | 0.9438 | - | 0.2750 |
Cross-section effects | - | Fixed | - | Random | - | Random | - | Random |
White period standard errors and covariance (d.f. corrected) | - | Yes | - | Yes | - | Yes | - | Yes |
Hansen J-statistic | - | 25.9563 | - | 15.6753 | - | 18.3291 | - | 23.7478 |
Prob(J-statistic) | - | 0.3554 | - | 0.9853 | - | 0.8635 | - | 0.5904 |
AR(1) | - | 0.1510 | - | 0.2945 | - | 0.3040 | - | 0.4361 |
AR(2) | - | 0.3291 | - | 0.2055 | - | 0.4662 | - | 0.5073 |
Observations | - | 668 | - | 855 | - | 807 | - | 843 |
Instrument rank | - | 31 | - | 37 | - | 33 | - | 33 |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Batrancea, L.M.; Fetita, A. Empirical Research Study on the Determinants of Market Indicators for 41 Financial Institutions. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2023, 16, 78. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020078
Batrancea LM, Fetita A. Empirical Research Study on the Determinants of Market Indicators for 41 Financial Institutions. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2023; 16(2):78. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020078
Chicago/Turabian StyleBatrancea, Larissa M., and Alin Fetita. 2023. "Empirical Research Study on the Determinants of Market Indicators for 41 Financial Institutions" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 16, no. 2: 78. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020078
APA StyleBatrancea, L. M., & Fetita, A. (2023). Empirical Research Study on the Determinants of Market Indicators for 41 Financial Institutions. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 16(2), 78. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020078