Impact of Leverage on Valuation of Non-Financial Firms in India under Profitability’s Moderating Effect: Evidence in Scenarios Applying Quantile Regression
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Debt Structure and Financial Performance
2.2. Profitability, Leverage and Firm Value
2.3. Theoretical Underpinnings for the Impact of Debt Ratio and Firm Value
2.4. Theoretical Underpinnings for the Effect of Profitability (NPM) on Debt Ratio and Firm Value Connection
3. Data and Methodology
3.1. Data
3.2. Methodology
3.3. Quantile Regression
3.4. Variables
4. Results
4.1. Summary Statistics
4.2. Normality of Dependent Variable
4.3. Multicollinearity
4.4. Regression Results
4.5. Robustness Test of Results
5. Findings and Discussion
5.1. Hypothesis Discussion
5.2. Comparison of Previous Findings
5.3. Contribution and Implications
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Sl. No. | Sector | Firms Count |
---|---|---|
1 | Automobile | 12 |
2 | Technology | 5 |
3 | Textiles | 1 |
4 | Cons Durable | 3 |
5 | Construction | 7 |
6 | Energy | 10 |
7 | Engineering | 2 |
8 | FMCG | 9 |
9 | Healthcare | 10 |
10 | Metals | 4 |
11 | Services | 6 |
12 | Chemicals | 5 |
13 | Communication | 2 |
Total | 76 |
Appendix B. Additional Robustness Check
TQ | MTB | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coef. | Std. Err. | p | Coef. | Std. Err. | p | ||
Quantile (10) | DR | −1.084 * | 0.278 | 0.000 | −0.487 *** | 0.258 | 0.059 |
lsales | 0.004 | 0.039 | 0.909 | −0.179 * | 0.050 | 0.000 | |
lpbit | −0.068 | 0.056 | 0.227 | 0.027 | 0.052 | 0.598 | |
ROA | 0.543 * | 0.172 | 0.001 | 1.098 * | 0.160 | 0.000 | |
Quantile (50) | DR | −0.729 * | 0.212 | 0.000 | 1.867 * | 0.310 | 0.000 |
lsales | −0.154 * | 0.028 | 0.000 | −0.006 | 0.064 | 0.914 | |
lpbit | −0.248 * | 0.043 | 0.000 | −0.915 * | 0.105 | 0.000 | |
ROA | 2.148 * | 0.150 | 0.000 | 3.357 * | 0.209 | 0.000 | |
Quantile (90) | DR | −2.264 ** | 0.950 | 0.017 | 1.113 * | 0.379 | 0.005 |
lsales | −0.076 | 0.144 | 0.595 | 0.388 | 0.306 | 0.205 | |
lpbit | −0.445 ** | 0.207 | 0.031 | −1.879 * | 0.385 | 0.000 | |
ROA | 4.468 * | 0.494 | 0.000 | 8.456 * | 0.972 | 0.000 |
TQ | MTB | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coef. | Std. Err. | p | Coef. | Std. Err. | p | ||
Quantile (10) | DR | −1.010 * | 0.291 | 0.000 | −0.123 | 0.739 | 0.867 |
NPM | −0.524 | 0.728 | 0.472 | 0.007 | 0.295 | 0.978 | |
i_DR_NPM | 1.196 ** | 0.566 | 0.034 | −0.892 | 1.821 | 0.624 | |
lsales | −0.177 | 0.223 | 0.427 | −0.299 *** | 0.172 | 0.082 | |
lpbit | 0.106 | 0.240 | 0.658 | 0.134 | 0.166 | 0.420 | |
ROA | 0.923 * | 0.136 | 0.000 | 1.103 * | 0.189 | 0.000 | |
Quantile (50) | DR | −0.552 | 0.349 | 0.114 | 2.376 * | 0.735 | 0.001 |
NPM | −0.212 | 0.364 | 0.561 | −0.200 | 0.700 | 0.774 | |
i_DR_NPM | −0.117 | 0.786 | 0.881 | −1.013 | 1.388 | 0.465 | |
lsales | −0.226 * | 0.059 | 0.000 | −0.246 | 0.218 | 0.259 | |
lpbit | −0.183 * | 0.060 | 0.002 | −0.698 * | 0.223 | 0.001 | |
ROA | 2.202 * | 0.144 | 0.000 | 3.502 * | 0.269 | 0.000 | |
Quantile (90) | DR | −2.562 ** | 1.199 | 0.033 | 0.381 | 3.072 | 0.901 |
NPM | −0.442 | 1.388 | 0.750 | −0.652 | 2.251 | 0.772 | |
i_DR_NPM | 1.120 | 3.087 | 0.716 | 2.841 | 6.055 | 0.638 | |
lsales | −0.143 | 0.267 | 0.592 | 0.266 | 0.778 | 0.732 | |
lpbit | −0.400 | 0.281 | 0.155 | −1.742 ** | 0.792 | 0.028 | |
ROA | 4.465 * | 0.454 | 0.000 | 8.467 * | 0.873 | 0.000 |
ENTV | ROA | ROE | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coef. | Std. Err. | p | Coef. | Std. Err. | p | Coef. | Std. Err. | p | ||
Quantile (10) | DR | −0.639 ** | 0.303 | 0.035 | −0.937 * | 0.135 | 0.000 | 3.498 ** | 1.399 | 0.012 |
lsales | 0.002 | 0.048 | 0.958 | −0.223 * | 0.026 | 0.000 | 1.724 * | 0.292 | 0.000 | |
lpbit | 0.867 * | 0.052 | 0.000 | 0.260 * | 0.024 | 0.000 | −1.738 * | 0.289 | 0.000 | |
opmar | 1.085 * | 0.413 | 0.008 | −0.998 * | 0.224 | 0.000 | 3.180 * | 0.371 | 0.000 | |
Quantile (50) | DR | −0.379 * | 0.139 | 0.006 | 1.713 * | 0.098 | 0.000 | 12.610 * | 0.942 | 0.000 |
lsales | −0.019 | 0.015 | 0.193 | −0.321 * | 0.027 | 0.000 | 1.136 * | 0.208 | 0.000 | |
lpbit | 0.715 * | 0.020 | 0.000 | 0.311 * | 0.028 | 0.000 | −1.466 * | 0.224 | 0.000 | |
opmar | 0.708 * | 0.147 | 0.000 | −0.497 * | 0.156 | 0.001 | 7.017 * | 0.425 | 0.000 | |
Quantile (90) | DR | 0.787 * | 0.214 | 0.000 | 1.474 * | 0.402 | 0.000 | 20.766 * | 3.343 | 0.000 |
lsales | 0.070 * | 0.020 | 0.000 | −0.784 * | 0.092 | 0.000 | 1.206 ** | 0.608 | 0.047 | |
lpbit | 0.570 * | 0.030 | 0.000 | 0.792 * | 0.097 | 0.000 | −2.448 * | 0.752 | 0.001 | |
opmar | 0.727 * | 0.199 | 0.000 | −2.051 ** | 0.843 | 0.015 | 4.323 * | 1.388 | 0.000 |
ENTV | ROA | ROE | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coef. | Std. Err. | p | Coef. | Std. Err. | p | Coef. | Std. Err. | p | ||
Quantile (10) | DR | −0.190 | 0.448 | 0.670 | −0.741 *** | 0.398 | 0.063 | −3.681 * | 1.267 | 0.003 |
NPM | −0.033 | 0.132 | 0.803 | 0.074 | 0.090 | 0.409 | −0.966 ** | 0.419 | 0.021 | |
i_DR_NPM | −0.823 | 1.204 | 0.494 | −0.655 | 1.565 | 0.675 | 7.833 * | 1.861 | 0.000 | |
lsales | −0.209 | 0.147 | 0.156 | −0.192 * | 0.072 | 0.008 | 1.421 | 0.254 | 0.000 | |
lpbit | 1.055 * | 0.145 | 0.000 | 0.226 * | 0.070 | 0.001 | −1.414 | 0.264 | 0.000 | |
opmar | 0.722 | 0.846 | 0.393 | −0.574 | 0.594 | 0.334 | 13.842 | 0.240 | 0.000 | |
Quantile (50) | DR | 0.538 *** | 0.303 | 0.076 | 1.228 * | 0.242 | 0.000 | 11.100 * | 1.674 | 0.000 |
NPM | 0.001 | 0.009 | 0.878 | 0.059 | 0.117 | 0.609 | −0.485 | 1.023 | 0.635 | |
i_DR_NPM | −0.590 | 0.688 | 0.391 | −1.499 | 0.923 | 0.105 | 8.752 | 5.431 | 0.107 | |
lsales | −0.018 | 0.055 | 0.734 | −0.297 * | 0.072 | 0.000 | 1.551 | 0.412 | 0.000 | |
lpbit | 0.708 * | 0.053 | 0.000 | 0.267 * | 0.072 | 0.000 | −1.845 | 0.392 | 0.000 | |
opmar | 1.093 * | 0.322 | 0.000 | 0.287 | 0.473 | 0.543 | 17.540 | 0.400 | 0.000 | |
Quantile (90) | DR | 0.758 ** | 0.363 | 0.036 | 1.712 * | 0.596 | 0.004 | 17.006 * | 4.271 | 0.000 |
NPM | 1.016 * | 0.215 | 0.000 | 0.065 | 0.722 | 0.927 | −1.135 | 4.262 | 0.790 | |
i_DR_NPM | −0.721 | 0.526 | 0.170 | −1.091 | 2.257 | 0.628 | 11.056 | 11.939 | 0.354 | |
lsales | 0.192 *** | 0.111 | 0.084 | −0.550 *** | 0.321 | 0.087 | 1.761 | 1.218 | 0.148 | |
lpbit | 0.445 * | 0.106 | 0.000 | 0.528 | 0.321 | 0.101 | −2.816 | 1.273 | 0.027 | |
opmar | 1.908 * | 0.323 | 0.000 | −0.329 | 1.360 | 0.808 | 24.420 | 1.202 | 0.000 |
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Variable | Measurement | References |
---|---|---|
Explanatory Variables (EV) | ||
Debt Ratio (DR) | It represents the share of debt to total assets. A higher debt ratio shows that the firm is highly leveraged. It is calculated as DR = total debt/(debt + equity) | Husna and Satria (2019); Irman and Purwati (2020) |
Dependent Variables (DV) | ||
Asset (lasset) | It is the total value of a company’s assets. The Asset value is taken as one of the proxies for firm value. lasset shows logarithmic value is taken. | Husna and Satria (2019); Irman and Purwati (2020) |
Market Capital (lmcap) | Market capitalisation (Mcap) is taken as another proxy of firm value. It is calculated as mcap = (Total outstanding shares) × market value of a share. lmcap shows logarithmic value is taken. | Al-Ahdal et al. (2020); Garcia et al. (2019) |
Tobin’s Q (TQ) | It is the ratio of firm’s value and firm’s assets replacement cost (ARC). TQ = FV/ARC | Vo (2017) |
Market-to-Book Ratio (MTB) | It is the ratio of market value (MV) and book value (BV) of a firm’s equity share. MTB = MV/BV | Vo (2017) |
Enterprise value (ENTV) | It is calculated by the sum of market cap and net debt. ENTV = Mcap/Net Debt | Hao et al. (2022); Ronald and Semuel (2022) |
Return on Equity (ROE) | It also indicates the profitability of banks, and it is positively related to profitability. It is calculated as ROA = net income/total equity | Hao et al. (2022); Ronald and Semuel (2022) |
Moderating Variables (MV) | ||
Net Profit Margin (NPM) | It is used as the proxy for profitability. The higher NPM is an indication for higher profitability. | Nariswari and Nugraha (2020); Panjaitan (2018) |
Control Variables (CV) | ||
Sales (lsales) | It shows the total value of sales in a firm. lsales indicates logarithmic value is taken for analysis. | Ohiomah et al. (2020); Blal et al. (2018) |
PBIT (lpbit) | It is profit earned by a company before interest and tax. lpbit indicates that the logarithmic value is taken for analysis. | Nariswari and Nugraha (2020) |
Return on assets (ROA) | It also indicates the profitability of banks, and it is positively related to profitability. It is calculated as ROA = net income/total assets | Husna and Satria (2019) |
Variable | Obs. | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
DVs | |||||
Asset (lasset) | 760 | 50,502.44 | 10,0946.97 | 276.45 | 1,165,910 |
Mcap (lmcap) | 760 | 71,009.26 | 101,625.92 | 52.22 | 1,017,464.4 |
EVs | |||||
DR | 760 | 0.177 | 0.195 | 0.00 | 0.896 |
MVs | |||||
NPM | 760 | 0.404 | 3.200 | −0.729 | 78.51 |
CVs | |||||
Sales | 760 | 38,695.23 | 77,530.75 | 61 | 615,782.6 |
Pbit | 760 | 4923.03 | 7999.67 | −39,637.4 | 57,244 |
ROA | 760 | 11.58 | 9.49 | −20.44 | 77.61 |
Variable | Obs | W | p-Value | H0: Data Normally Distributed | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
lasset | 760 | 0.992 | 0.000 | Rejection of H0 | Non-normal Data |
lmcap | 760 | 0.976 | 0.000 | Rejection of H0 | Non-normal Data |
ENTV | 760 | 0.974 | 0.000 | Rejection of H0 | Non-normal Data |
ROA | 760 | 0.884 | 0.000 | Rejection of H0 | Non-normal Data |
ROE | 760 | 0.445 | 0.000 | Rejection of H0 | Non-normal Data |
TQ | 760 | 0.246 | 0.000 | Rejection of H0 | Non-normal Data |
MTB | 760 | 0.454 | 0.000 | Rejection of H0 | Non-normal Data |
lasset | lmcap | DR | NPM | lsales | lpbit | ROA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
lasset | 1 | ||||||
lmcap | 0.638 * | 1 | |||||
DR | 0.265 * | −0.051 | 1 | ||||
NPM | 0.037 | 0.059 | −0.047 | 1 | |||
lsales | 0.608 * | 0.407 * | 0.306 * | −0.043 | 1 | ||
lpbit | 0.681 * | 0.764 * | 0.070 | 0.087 * | 0.612 * | 1 | |
ROA | −0.230 * | 0.169 * | −0.462 * | 0.373 * | −0.185 * | 0.091 * | 1 |
Variable (DV:lasset) | DR | NPM | lsales | lpbit | ROA | DR NPM |
VIF | 1.542 | 1.230 | 1.649 | 1.496 | 1.544 | 1.246 |
Variable (DV:lasset) | DR | NPM | lsales | lpbit | ROA | DR NPM |
VIF | 1.543 | 1.230 | 1.650 | 1.497 | 1.544 | 1.246 |
lasset | lmcap | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coef. | Std. Err. | p | Coef. | Std. Err. | p | ||
Quantile (10) | DR | −0.093 | 0.261 | 0.721 | −2.103 * | 0.348 | 0.000 |
lsales | 0.133 * | 0.047 | 0.005 | −0.124 *** | 0.072 | 0.088 | |
lpbit | 0.799 * | 0.069 | 0.000 | 0.975 * | 0.076 | 0.000 | |
ROA | −0.413 * | 0.027 | 0.000 | −0.029 | 0.062 | 0.637 | |
Quantile (50) | DR | 0.094 | 0.102 | 0.358 | −1.151 * | 0.148 | 0.000 |
lsales | 0.058 * | 0.021 | 0.006 | −0.069 * | 0.018 | 0.000 | |
lpbit | 0.941 * | 0.021 | 0.000 | 0.768 * | 0.022 | 0.000 | |
ROA | −0.646 * | 0.018 | 0.000 | 0.011 | 0.025 | 0.648 | |
Quantile (90) | DR | 1.309 ** | 2.144 | 0.032 | −0.737 ** | 0.262 | 0.005 |
lsales | −0.031 | −0.214 | 0.830 | 0.003 | 0.031 | 0.918 | |
lpbit | 0.719 * | 4.770 | 0.000 | 0.643 * | 0.034 | 0.000 | |
ROA | −0.415 ** | −2.854 | 0.004 | 0.045 | 0.039 | 0.244 |
lasset | lmcap | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coef. | Std. Err. | p | Coef. | Std. Err. | p | ||
Quantile (10) | DR | −0.002 | 0.370 | 0.994 | −1.610 * | 0.466 | 0.000 |
NPM | 0.053 | 0.087 | 0.541 | −0.082 | 0.118 | 0.486 | |
i_DR_NPM | −0.428 | 1.390 | 0.758 | −0.894 | 1.077 | 0.407 | |
lsales | 0.112 | 0.088 | 0.202 | −0.350 ** | 0.114 | 0.002 | |
lpbit | 0.832 * | 0.077 | 0.000 | 1.187 * | 0.108 | 0.000 | |
ROA | −0.417 * | 0.043 | 0.000 | −0.019 | 0.057 | 0.727 | |
Quantile (50) | DR | −0.026 | 0.181 | 0.882 | −1.044 * | 0.159 | 0.000 |
NPM | 0.063 | 0.115 | 0.582 | −0.011 | 0.019 | 0.531 | |
i_DR_NPM | 0.126 | 0.629 | 0.841 | −0.269 ** | 0.133 | 0.044 | |
lsales | 0.089 ** | 0.045 | 0.050 | −0.122 ** | 0.042 | 0.004 | |
lpbit | 0.902 * | 0.043 | 0.000 | 0.820 * | 0.042 | 0.000 | |
ROA | −0.670 * | 0.019 | 0.000 | 0.016 | 0.035 | 0.635 | |
Quantile (90) | DR | 0.800 | 1.026 | 0.436 | −0.977 | 2.684 | 0.715 |
NPM | 0.429 ** | 0.205 | 0.036 | −0.011 | 3.438 | 0.997 | |
i_DR_NPM | −1.613 | 2.837 | 0.962 | 0.444 | 9.500 | 0.962 | |
lsales | 0.186 | 0.322 | 0.562 | 0.018 | 0.614 | 0.976 | |
lpbit | 0.578 ** | 0.284 | 0.042 | 0.630 | 0.621 | 0.310 | |
ROA | −0.698 * | 0.116 | 0.000 | 0.056 | 0.132 | 0.671 |
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Kanoujiya, J.; Jain, P.; Banerjee, S.; Kalra, R.; Rastogi, S.; Bhimavarapu, V.M. Impact of Leverage on Valuation of Non-Financial Firms in India under Profitability’s Moderating Effect: Evidence in Scenarios Applying Quantile Regression. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2023, 16, 366. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16080366
Kanoujiya J, Jain P, Banerjee S, Kalra R, Rastogi S, Bhimavarapu VM. Impact of Leverage on Valuation of Non-Financial Firms in India under Profitability’s Moderating Effect: Evidence in Scenarios Applying Quantile Regression. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2023; 16(8):366. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16080366
Chicago/Turabian StyleKanoujiya, Jagjeevan, Pooja Jain, Souvik Banerjee, Rameesha Kalra, Shailesh Rastogi, and Venkata Mrudula Bhimavarapu. 2023. "Impact of Leverage on Valuation of Non-Financial Firms in India under Profitability’s Moderating Effect: Evidence in Scenarios Applying Quantile Regression" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 16, no. 8: 366. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16080366
APA StyleKanoujiya, J., Jain, P., Banerjee, S., Kalra, R., Rastogi, S., & Bhimavarapu, V. M. (2023). Impact of Leverage on Valuation of Non-Financial Firms in India under Profitability’s Moderating Effect: Evidence in Scenarios Applying Quantile Regression. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 16(8), 366. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16080366