Practical CO2—WAG Field Operational Designs Using Hybrid Numerical-Machine-Learning Approaches
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Reservoir Modeling
2.1. Hydraulic Flow Unit
2.2. Updated Geological Model
2.3. Injection Pattern Model
3. Machine-Learning Proxies
3.1. Response Surface Models
3.2. Multi-Layer Neural Networks
3.3. Support Vector Machines
- The RSM is more suitable for problems with a smaller input dimension and single output parameter. Compared to MLNN and SVM models, the training overhead is much lighter.
- The MLNN model exhibits robust generalization capability for problems with large input and output dimensions. However, the degree of freedom of the hyperparameter is more than that of RSM and SVM models. Thus, more computational costs are required to obtain an optimum model with optimum prediction performance.
- The SVM model is more suitable for problems with strong nonlinearity and a large input dimension. The number of hyperparameters to be tuned is smaller than in the MLNN model. However, it cannot make a prediction for more than one output variable.
4. Optimization Protocols
4.1. Objective Functions and Constraints
Economic Objective Functions
4.2. Technical Objective Functions
Physical and Engineering Constraints
- The history-matching study specifies the oil production, CO2, and water injection rates, and considers the CO2 and water production the primary objective functions. The constraints imposed on the history-matching work is that the average pressure must be below 5400 psi.
- The CO2-WAG optimization is constrained by an average reservoir pressure range of [3700, 5400] psi to maintain the miscibility of the sweeping front.
4.3. Treatment of Multiple-Objective Optimizations
4.4. Optimization Algorithms
- Evaluate the fitness by the proxy model.
- Calculate the velocity term v using Equation (24):
- Update the particle position via Equation (25):
5. Structuring the Hybrid Numerical Machine-Learning Workflow
5.1. History-Matching Workflow
5.2. Multi-Objective Optimization Workflow
6. Case Studies
6.1. A History-Matching Application
- Although the proxy models were well-trained, there existed potential error margins. A history-matching solution must feed into the high-fidelity simulator and confirm the matching quality.
- To structure the forecasting scenarios, a base-case numerical simulation model needed to be established by re-running the high-fidelity simulator using the history matching solution suggested by the machine-learning assisted workflow.
6.2. A Multi-Objective Optimization Application
7. Conclusive Remarks
- The proxy model developed in this work is a field-specified model that only works for the Morrow-B formation. Its implementation in other fields needs a new reservoir simulation model structure and needs to go through the proposed workflow.
- The CO2-EOR process only includes the CO2-WAG process. Other CO2-EOR technologies such as CO2 foam, continuous injection, CO2 huff-n-puff, etc., are not considered.
- The selection of the machine-learning algorithm may comprehensively consider the dimension of the problem and the demand of error margin. The RSM, SVM, and MLNN are suitable for different types of datasets and a wise choice of method could essentially enhance the prediction performance of the proxy model.
- Although machine-learning approaches exhibit many superiorities over the conventional numerical approach, a precise reservoir engineering analysis should take advantage of both. The error margin of the proxy model is the tradeoff for accelerating the computational speed. Thus, validation via the high-fidelity numerical model is necessary before deploying the results in operational practices.
- The Pareto front optimum protocol provides an alternative way to address multi-objective optimization problems. However, a successful application of the Pareto front optimum solution must be based on the tradeoff relationship between various objective functions.
- The calculation of the project economic objective functions strongly depends on the tax allowance and crude oil price. Therefore, the operational deployment of the optimum design suggested by the workflow needs to take practical considerations such as crude oil market condition, government policies, etc., into account.
SI-Field Unit Conversion Factor
ft × | 0.3048 | = m |
ft2 × | 0.0929030 | = m2 |
ft3 × | 0.0283169 | = m3 |
bbl × | 0.1589873 | = m3 |
psi × | 6.894757 | = kPa |
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
ANN | artificial neural network |
CAPEX | capital expenditure |
CCUS | Carbon capture utilization and sequestration |
CPU | central processing unit |
EOR | enhanced oil recovery |
FWU | Farnsworth Unit |
GA | genetic algorithm |
HFU | hydraulic flow unit |
MLNN | multi-layer neural networks |
MM | million |
MOO | multi-objective optimization |
MOPSO | Multi-objective particle swarm optimization |
NPV | net present value |
OGIP | original gas in place |
OOIP | original oil in place |
POP | population |
PSO | particle swarm optimization algorithm |
REP: | repository |
res bbl | reservoir barrel |
RSM | response surface models |
SCF | standard cubic feet |
STB | stock tank barrel |
SVM | support vector machines |
SWP | Southwest Regional Partnership on Carbon Sequestration |
VEL | velocity |
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Stages | Start | End |
---|---|---|
1 | January 2020 | June 2020 |
2 | July 2020 | January 2022 |
3 | January 2022 | January 2023 |
4 | January 2023 | January 2026 |
5 | January 2026 | January 2028 |
6 | January 2028 | January 2030 |
7 | January 2030 | January 2032 |
8 | January 2032 | January 2038 |
Objective Function | Unit | Value |
---|---|---|
Oil production increments | MM bbl | 13.3 |
CO2 storage volume increments | MM metric ton | 1.06 |
Project NPV | Million USD | 183 |
Cumulative Oil Production by January 2038 | MM STB | 16.8 |
Total CO2 storage volume by January 2038 | MM metric ton | 2.36 |
CO2 storage efficacy | percentage | 81.19% |
Item | Unit | Range/Value | Base Case |
---|---|---|---|
Oil production increments | MM STB | 13.3–15.7 | 13.2 |
CO2 storage volume increments | MM metric ton | 0.42–1.4 | 1.06 |
Project NPV | Million USD | 170–205 | - |
Max cumulative oil production | MM STB | 19.3 | 16.8 |
Max cumulative CO2 storage | MM metric ton | 2.7 | 3.63 |
Max project NPV | Million USD | 205 | 183 |
CO2 storage efficacy | percentage | 92.90% | 81.19% |
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Sun, Q.; Ampomah, W.; You, J.; Cather, M.; Balch, R. Practical CO2—WAG Field Operational Designs Using Hybrid Numerical-Machine-Learning Approaches. Energies 2021, 14, 1055. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14041055
Sun Q, Ampomah W, You J, Cather M, Balch R. Practical CO2—WAG Field Operational Designs Using Hybrid Numerical-Machine-Learning Approaches. Energies. 2021; 14(4):1055. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14041055
Chicago/Turabian StyleSun, Qian, William Ampomah, Junyu You, Martha Cather, and Robert Balch. 2021. "Practical CO2—WAG Field Operational Designs Using Hybrid Numerical-Machine-Learning Approaches" Energies 14, no. 4: 1055. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14041055
APA StyleSun, Q., Ampomah, W., You, J., Cather, M., & Balch, R. (2021). Practical CO2—WAG Field Operational Designs Using Hybrid Numerical-Machine-Learning Approaches. Energies, 14(4), 1055. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14041055