In this section, the proposed DEA approach is applied to estimate the transportation efficiency for China’s freight sector and three sub-sectors from 2013 to 2017. The factors that influence the transportation efficiency of the freight sector are also examined.
4.2. Transportation Efficiency Estimation
In the transportation efficiency evaluation, the freight sector’s efficiency and the three sub-sectors’ efficiencies are measured by the proposed Model (2). Model (1) is used to measure transportation efficiency without the consideration of internal parallel sub-sectors. To detect the impact of the inner structure of the sub-sectors, we can make a comparison between the results of Model (1) and (2).
To employ Model (2), the weights of three sub-sectors should be known in advance. Note that the industry structure proportion (ISP) is a suitable index for measuring different sub-sectors’ weights [
38]. In this study, the transportation sector structure proportion (TSSP) is defined as the ratio of the freight turnover volume of one sub-sector to the total freight turnover volume. The average TSSP values of the railway, highway, and waterway sub-sectors from 2013 to 2017 are 0.1445, 0.3270, and 0.5038, respectively. Thus, the weights for the three sub-sectors are determined based on the corresponding average TSSP values (i.e.,
= 0.1445/(0.1445 + 0.3270 + 0.5038) = 0.1481,
= 0.3353, and
= 0.5166). The transportation efficiency results estimated in Models (1) and (2) are shown in
Table 4. Note that we only choose three years of results to provide a simple illustration.
Here, we take the year 2013 as an illustrative example. Regarding the results from Model (1), the transportation efficiencies of Tianjin, Liaoning, Shanghai, Hainan, and Guizhou are rated as efficient in 2013. Nevertheless, four regions (i.e., Tianjin, Hebei, Shanghai, and Hainan) are rated as efficient in Model (2). These results imply that the proposed parallel DEA model can affect the results of transportation efficiency. For example, the transportation efficiency value of Hebei is 0.5967 in Model (1), while it is evaluated as efficient in Model (2). In contrast, Liaoning and Guizhou’s freight sectors are evaluated as efficient in Model (1), while they are deemed to be inefficient (with transportation efficiency values of 0.8846 and 0.5714, respectively) in Model (2) for the inefficient sub-sectors (i.e., 0.8063, 0.7414, and 1.0000 and 0.8524, 0.6277, and 0.4544, respectively). The transportation inefficiency in one region can be derived from the transportation operations of the sub-sectors. For this reason, we can reasonably identify sources of inefficiency from the sub-sectors in Model (2). Taken together, the results indicate that the efficiency evaluation results of the freight sector may provide more information on transportation performance when using the parallel DEA model. Additionally, Pearson’s correlation coefficient for the results of Model (1) and those of Model (2) is tested. The coefficient value is 0.700 at the 1% significance level. We find a general consistent correlation between the efficiencies of the two models, and a tiny difference that is derived from considering the internal structure of the freight sector. This also suggests that more information can be obtained from our proposed approach.
To reflect the difference in performance among the areas, dynamic trends of the mean transportation efficiencies of the whole freight sector and the three sub-sectors from Model (2) are shown in
Figure 3. It can be found that the transportation efficiencies of the freight sector and the waterway sub-sector have insignificant fluctuations and slightly increasing trends during the study period. The efficiencies of the highway sub-sector increase for all areas from 2014 to 2017, and the gaps among the three areas are slightly narrowed. In contrast, the change in efficiencies of the railway sub-sector shows a declining trend. This indicates that there exists a great amount of competition between the highway sub-sector and the railway sub-sector. It is also observed that the average transportation efficiencies of the east area are always the highest for the overall freight sector and its sub-sectors. This indicates that the developed regions in the east area have invested more resources into the freight sector, which have brought about advanced management and technical advantages, to contribute to improving transportation efficiency. It is noteworthy that, to the overall freight sector and the highway sub-sector, the center area has a higher average efficiency than the west area, while the west area performs better than the center area in the railway sub-sector and the waterway sub-sector. This suggests that the western regions probably make more effective use of the resources in the railway and waterway sub-sectors.
To analyze the regional and sector disparities in transportation efficiencies, the mean efficiencies of all regions from 2013 to 2017 from Model (2) are provided in
Table 5.
As shown in
Table 5, the average efficiencies of the railway, highway, and waterway sub-sectors are 0.8257, 0.7699, and 0.6087, respectively. This reveals that the disparities exist in the transportation efficiencies among sub-sectors. Overall, the railway sub-sector performs the best, while the waterway sub-sector performs the worst. It can be inferred that the inefficiency in the Chinese freight sector mainly derives from the lower performance of the waterway sub-sector.
Regarding the overall freight sector, only Tianjin and Shanghai are observed to be efficient. Hebei, Shanxi, Liaoning, Hainan, and Gansu all have mean transportation efficiencies greater than 0.8000. Seventeen regions’ mean efficiencies are less than the overall average score of 0.6949 (such as Jilin, Heilongjiang, and Sichuan). This indicates that there is a significant potential for these regions to improve their transportation performance. These results again emphasize that the regions with higher efficiencies are mainly economically developed in the east area, while the regions with lower efficiencies are mainly underdeveloped in the center and west areas. This is confirmed by the mean efficiencies of the three areas, which are 0.7926, 0.6319, and 0.6265, respectively.
To the railway sub-sector, it can be observed that only Tianjin, Hebei, and Shanghai are deemed to have efficient transportation efficiencies from 2013 to 2017. Shanxi, Henan, Hainan, Shaanxi, and Gansu have mean values greater than the overall average (i.e., 0.8257). The efficiencies of the remaining 17 regions are slightly below the overall average and the gaps are less than 0.1000. Furthermore, the differences in the efficiency of the railway sub-sector among the three areas are small (i.e., 0.8508, 0.8011, and 0.8209, respectively), which is consistent with the dynamic trend shown in
Figure 3. The main reason for this is that the majority of railway transportation resources are uniformly allocated and utilized by China Railway Corporation in China. Accordingly, this operational mode has largely eliminated or abated the regional disparities in the performance of the railway sub-sector.
In terms of the highway sub-sector, only Tianjin, Shanghai, Anhui, and Hainan are rated as efficient. Hebei, Liaoning, Jiangxi, Shandong, Hunan, and Guangxi have mean transportation efficiencies greater than the overall average of 0.7699, while the other regions’ mean efficiencies are less than the overall average. Regarding the highway sub-sector, China’s east area (with a mean transportation efficiency of 0.8336) performs better than the center area (0.7732) and the west area (0.6588). This implies that there exists potential for improvement in transportation efficiency in the central and western provinces, especially for the provinces of Shanxi, Heilongjiang, Sichuan, and Yunnan, which have lower transportation efficiencies.
Regarding the waterway sub-sector, only Tianjin, Shanxi, Liaoning, Shanghai, and Gansu are observed to be efficient. Hebei, Guangdong, and Hainan have mean transportation efficiencies greater than the overall average of 0.6087, while the efficiencies of the remaining 17 regions are less than the overall average. The efficiencies in the central and western regions should be improved to reduce the gaps as compared with the eastern regions, particularly Heilongjiang, Jiangxi, Anhui, Hunan, and Sichuan. Notably, although the average transportation efficiency in the east area is higher, several regions within the east area also need to increase their transportation efficiencies, including Jiangsu (0.3924), Zhejiang (0.4572), and Shandong (0.4643), as their efficiencies are less than the overall average. Interestingly, it is discovered that the west area (0.5499) has higher mean efficiency than the center area (0.4917) during the study period. This may be attributed to the underutilization of water transport resources in the center area.
To illustrate the environmental impact on transportation performance, the transportation efficiency without the consideration of energy and CO
2 is also measured. The results are shown in
Table 6. Overall, the efficiencies with the consideration of environmental impact are higher than the efficiencies without the consideration for the freight sector (0.6949 vs. 0.5419) and the three sub-sectors (0.8257 vs. 0.7386; 0.7699 vs. 0.6549; 0.6087 vs. 0.4123). In addition, when the environmental impact is taken into account, the regional disparities among China’s regions are smaller, which is reflected by the standard deviation values (0.1658 vs. 0.2480). Hence, the environmental impact affects the transportation efficiency of the freight sector. We conclude that more light can be shed on the transportation performance measure if environmental impact is considered in the efficiency evaluation.
4.3. Influential Factors of Transportation Efficiency
According to the above results, the inefficiencies of the freight sector can be identified in China’s provinces. To improve the transportation efficiency of the freight sector, the factors that may influence transportation efficiency are explored. The transportation efficiency scores obtained from the proposed parallel DEA model are in the range 0–1. Evidently, transportation efficiency is a censored variable. The Tobit model is a suitable tool to deal with the censored data, and it has been applied in many studies [
38,
62,
63,
64,
65] to evaluate the impact of contextual variables on efficiencies as a second stage analysis after the DEA evaluation. Some transportation-related applications measure efficiency using a DEA-Tobit two-stage analysis [
47,
66,
67]. Hence, the Tobit regression method is adopted in this study to examine the impacts of factors that influence transportation efficiencies.
To the best of our knowledge, studies that analyze potentially influential factors on the efficiency of the freight sector are still scarce. The only similar exception is Li et al. [
15], who examine several factors that may influence the transportation efficiency of China’s regional integrated transport systems. This study tested the impacts of regional GDP (RGDP), transport supply level (TSL), and population density (PD) on transportation efficiency. We believe that transport demand is also an important factor in this study that may have a significant impact on transportation efficiency. In the freight sector, transport demand can be represented by freight volume (FV). To this end, RGDP, TSL, PD, and FV are considered to be possible explanatory variables in our regression analysis.
Generally, RGDP reflects the level of economic development of a district, which can also reflect the freight demand and investment in the transportation sector. Therefore, RGDP is deemed to affect transportation efficiency. Notably, TSL represents the level of development of the transportation sector, which is represented as the share of the fixed investment in the transportation sector to the total fixed investment in one region. The larger the TSL, the more resources invested in the transportation sector, which may affect the efficiency of the freight sector. Moreover, PD is an important indicator that reveals the population distribution of a country or region, which is measured by the population of each administrative area. The higher the PD, the greater the concentration of freight demand. Thus, it may also have an important influence on transportation efficiency. Finally, FV refers to the actual tonnage of cargo transported within a certain period. The higher the FV, the greater the transportation market, which may have an effect on transportation efficiency. The dataset for these four variables is derived from the China Statistical Yearbook 2014–2018. Here, the collinearity diagnostics method is implemented to check for a significant relationship among the variables. The results of variance inflation factors for all variables are 1.999, 1.144, 1.096, and 2.073, respectively, which indicates that there exists no serious collinearity. All variables are normalized to be adopted in the regression. The regression results are reported in
Table 7. To check the robustness of the results, we also use the ordinary least squares (OLS) regression to analyze our collected data. The results of Tobit and OLS regression for the freight sector are shown in
Table 7. It can be observed that there is no significant difference between the two sets of regression results. The positive and negative of coefficients and the significance levels are consistent in the Tobit and OLS regressions. The probabilities from the likelihood ratio (LR) test for the Tobit regression and the F test for the OLS regression are at the 1% significance level. This means that the regression results can be accepted from a statistical perspective. Hence, the robustness and reliability of the Tobit regression results are verified.
The impacts of the four influential factors on transportation efficiency are detected based on the samples of the freight sector, railway sub-sector, highway sub-sector, and waterway sub-sector, respectively. Here, we use the coefficient of PD as an illustrative example. The coefficient of PD is 0.7088, which indicates that if the PD increases or decreases by one unit, then the corresponding transportation efficiency would also increase or decrease by 0.7088 units. This means that PD has a positive impact on transportation efficiency. On the basis of the regression analysis, two main conclusions can be drawn.
First, RGDP has a significant negative impact on transportation efficiency in the freight sector and the railway and highway sub-sectors, and TSL also has a negative impact on transportation efficiency in the highway sub-sector. There are two reasons for this negative impact. One is the excessive investment in the transportation sector. China’s government and transport enterprises have invested numerous resources in transport infrastructure over the past several years. This resulted in excessive investment, reconstruction, and unreasonable competition [
15]. Regarding the railway and highway sub-sectors, China has constructed a perfect railway network and road network. Their mileages reach 131 and 4846.5 thousand kilometers, respectively. This means that excessive investment in infrastructure cannot improve the efficiency of the freight sector. The other one is the waste of transportation resources. In practice, some of the transportation capacity is left unused in the railway and highway sub-sectors in China. The unused transportation capacity cannot contribute to freight turnover. This results in a negative effect on transportation efficiency. Consequently, it is essential to strengthen the management of China’s freight system to improve the performance of transportation resource utilization.
Second, PD has a significant positive effect on transportation efficiency in the three sub-sectors. FV has a positive effect on transportation efficiency in the railway and highway sub-sectors, but a negative effect on transportation efficiency in the waterway sub-sector. The impact of PD is strong in the railway, highway, and waterway sub-sectors as the coefficients are 0.7171, 0.8871, and 0.8718, respectively. This can be explained by the dense population distribution, which can result in the aggregation of freight demand. When freight demand is concentrated, the means of transport can achieve full-load operation. This means that a massive amount of cargo can be transported by making full use of the transportation capability, which can result in lower energy consumption and improve transportation efficiency. Regarding FV, the regression coefficients are 0.5614, 0.7634, and –0.3563 for the railway, highway, and waterway sub-sectors, respectively. This indicates that freight volume is conducive to improving the performance of the railway and highway sub-sectors and decreasing the performance of the waterway sub-sector. Regarding the railway and highway sub-sectors, because of the centralized dispatch and the range of cargo transportation directions, large-scale transportation can be organized and implemented when the freight volume in the same transportation direction reaches a certain amount. This could result in freight resources being utilized more efficiently. For the waterway sub-sector, the case is the opposite. This can be explained by the existence of freight transportation in an obvious direction in the waterway sub-sector. The transportation routes, loading ports, and discharging ports are fixed in waterway transportation. As the freight volume increases, the growth of freight volume at each port becomes more uneven. This can result in the possibility of cargo ships with a non-full loading returning to the loading ports. The “deadhead kilometers” of cargo ships would also increase. This would negatively affect the transportation performance in the waterway sub-sector.
4.4. Further Discussion and Suggestions
According to the obtained results, some implications and suggestions can be provided, based on the disparity in transportation efficiencies among the freight sub-sectors and regions. Moreover, the impacts of influential factors on transportation efficiency are discussed.
At the national level, it is stated that the average transportation efficiency of the railway sub-sector is the highest during the study period, followed by the highway sub-sector and the waterway sub-sector. The balanced development of freight sub-sectors should be emphasized. The national resources that are input into each sub-sector need to be comprehensively considered. The highway sub-sector and, particularly, the waterway sub-sector should be given priority over the railway sub-sector owing to their lower performances. The authors in [
11,
12,
15] analyze the efficiency of China’s regional transportation sector, and they argue that the performance of the whole transport sector should be strengthened. Different from these studies, this study suggests transportation inefficiencies of specific sub-sectors should be improved in advance of improving regional efficiencies of the whole sector. For instance, Heilongjiang should focus on improving the waterway sub-sector’s efficiency (0.3774) first, and then the highway sub-sector’s efficiency (0.5396) and the railway sub-sector’s efficiency (0.7459).
At the areal level, significant disparities are found in the freight sub-sectors, which, to date, have not been explored in the literature. For example, the center area performs worse than the west area in the waterway sub-sector. In specific regions, such as Jiangsu, Anhui, Jiangxi, Hubei, Chongqing, and Sichuan, the transportation efficiencies of the waterway sub-sector are found to be lower. This is the main reason for the inefficient performance of the whole freight sector within these provinces. These provinces belong to the Yangtze River Economic Belt and should have a better performance in waterway transportation. Unfortunately, they performed even worse than the western regions. More measures should be taken to fully utilize cargo ships to accelerate improvements in freight performance.
At the regional level, a significant regional disparity is also determined in the transportation inefficiencies of the whole freight sector, which are discovered across most Chinese provinces. Higher transportation efficiencies are observed in the eastern regions. This indicates that higher transportation efficiencies are more likely to occur in regions with higher economic development levels. This is in agreement with the results obtained for the transportation sector in the work of [
12], which is based on the perspective of the whole transportation sector. This is because more investment would improve the technology in and management of the transportation sector in economically developed regions. Notably, some of the eastern provinces’ performances, such as Jiangsu (0.5243), are lower than the overall average. Therefore, it is important to improve the performance of the sub-sectors in these inefficient provinces. Considering the regional disparity, the development of the freight sector in the eastern, central, and western provinces should be balanced.
The factors that influence transportation efficiency are also explored. It is observed that PD and FV have significant positive effects on transportation efficiency in the railway and highway sub-sectors, while RGDP and TSL negatively affect the efficiency in the highway sub-sector. The implications from the influential factors should be addressed in transportation efficiency improvement, particularly PD and FV because of their positive effects.
On the basis of the results, the recommendations for improving transportation efficiency in the freight sector are provided as follows.
- (1)
The government should attempt to advocate for multimodal transportation. It is found that the inefficiencies of the freight sector are mainly caused by the lower performance of the waterway sub-sector. The energy intensity of waterway transportation is the lowest among the three sub-sectors. Hence, this attempt at advocacy may aim to guide and encourage shippers to adopt multimodal transportation (e.g., a combination of highway and waterway, a combination of railway and waterway transportation, a combination of highway, railway, and waterway transportation) try to make full use of waterway resources in long-distance transportation, and reduce energy consumption and CO
2 emissions [
3,
47,
68]. Multimodal transportation can help to utilize the transportation capacity effectively and strengthen the transportation efficiency of the freight sector. Hence, it should be advocated for by the government based on measurements of the local performance. More financial and technological support should be provided to logistics enterprises to promote this form of transportation.
- (2)
To achieve multimodal transportation, establishing a national freight information platform is suggested for logistics enterprises. A national freight information platform can collect effectively cargo-related information (such as freight volume and transportation direction), and accordingly make a reasonable transportation plan. This platform may help to aggregate freight volume. Once cargoes to be sent in the same transportation direction are gathered and coordinated, logistics enterprises can implement large-scale centralized transportation to improve transportation performance and save energy consumption. This could be a crucial technical advance for increasing the transportation efficiency of China’s freight sector.
- (3)
The government should encourage collaboration among the three areas in China. Policymakers in the center and west areas should learn from the experiences of the east area. The government should pay more attention to the waterway and highway sub-sectors. The government may organize a business exchange to achieve collaboration among transportation enterprises in different regions. This collaboration may enable enterprises to learn from the operational experiences of others, share transportation resources, and promote the development of innovations and applications for advanced technologies. It may also be conducive to the development of multimodal transportation.
- (4)
It is necessary for the local government to develop more specific policies that are based on the local sub-sector’s transportation performance. For example, considering the low performance of the waterway sub-sector, policymakers should promote the development of waterway transportation to achieve low energy consumption [
47]. The regions that are spread along the Yangtze River (e.g., Jiangxi and Anhui) should enhance the efficiency in the waterway sub-sector by providing financial support, such as tax relief or subsidies. While Shannxi and Gansu should focus on strengthening the efficiency of the highway sub-sector, and Heilongjiang should make efforts to improve the efficiency in all three sub-sectors and attempt to balance their development. If a suitable policy cannot be found for each sub-sector, resources may be consumed by all sub-sectors simultaneously, which may induce resource waste and produce unsatisfactory results in practice. However, we must take into account that transportation activities are not limited to one region or a short period of time. Hence, local policies should also consider the influence of transportation activities on the surrounding regions. The sub-sector specific policies should be conducive to facilitating freight transportation in the local region as well as the surrounding regions, and consequently help cargoes to flow smoothly through the transportation network among regions.
Overall, the aforementioned empirical findings demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The introduced approach has a significant strength that can discriminate sources of inefficiencies from the sub-sectors, and it can be applied to measuring transportation efficiencies of freight (or passenger) transportation systems, which, to date, have not been discussed in the literature. Notably, there are limitations in this study that should be addressed in future research. First, this study does not consider certain pollutants that are in relation to the freight sector, such as NOx, CO, and hydrocarbons. If these pollutant factors could be taken into account, the study may be able to provide a broader environmental view in transportation performance evaluation. Additionally, this study is based on the dataset from the period 2013–2017. More insights into improving transportation performance may be obtained in a study that uses data from a longer observation period. Finally, more advanced methods should be employed to detect the impacts of influential factors on transportation efficiency in complex applications, for example, the bootstrap approach in DEA two-stage analysis. To this end, we expect more valuable future studies based on this research topic.