1. Introduction
Climate change is one of the major challenges affecting human societies and ecosystems. Although its likely impacts remain a matter of contention, new evidence has enhanced our understanding of the extent to which climate change affects us and our environment [
1]. Many decision-makers face an uphill task in formulating effective policies to mitigate the threats of climate change, due to its broad scope across many social and environmental spheres. Precautionary actions and policies have been undertaken by many governmental bodies at the international, regional, and national levels, despite gaps in scientific knowledge and uncertainty about effective measures to curtail and mitigate the multifaceted threats [
2]. Nonetheless, almost three decades have passed since climate change became a political issue in the 1990s, and the strategies undertaken thus far have failed to produce positive changes or alter the trajectory of climate change [
3]. Our knowledge of climate change is slowly revealing the severity of its impact and its contribution to the deteriorating food security situation. The danger to future global food security is a key implication of climate change that fundamentally threatens the survivability and sustainability of all life [
4,
5]. As such, the central objective of this paper is to highlight the need to re-evaluate the mitigation strategies currently undertaken by governments worldwide to assess and address impending climate change threats and reconsider current efforts to deal with climate change and food security. We analyze this across three regional organizations—the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) (ASEAN member states are Indonesia, Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, Philippines, Vietnam, Cambodia, Myanmar (Burma), Brunei, and Laos), the Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) (PIF member countries include 16 countries namely: Australia, Cook Islands, Federated States of Micronesian, Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, New Zealand, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu.), and South Asia Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) (The seven founding member countries are Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. Afghanistan joined SAARC in 2007).
This paper posits three salient points. First, climate change’s effects will generate a new form of “resource conflict,” [
1,
5,
6] leading to an increasingly polarized range of vulnerability between and within regions and nations. This polarization is increasingly evident in the different forms of vulnerability resulting from global climate change, which may be mitigated by national and regional policies [
3,
7]. Second, climate change requires national and regional actors to take numerous initiatives for the environment, including ensuring food security, protecting the poor by finding economic opportunities, and protecting a “green image” [
8]. While there are prospects for regional cooperation and opportunities, competition for power and resources fragments the region, resulting in limited success for numerous initiatives [
3,
7]. Third, this paper posits that economic growth is necessary but not sufficient to tackle the impacts of climate change and reduce hunger and malnutrition unless it is accompanied by robust public policies and meaningful participation from the poor [
9,
10]. However, food security may be adequately secured by higher incomes and trade, with distribution and/or equality improvements. Because neoliberal logics such as profit and power dominate social and environmental logics like equity and sustainability, levels of consumption remain highly unsustainable, inequitable, and inaccessible to the majority of populations in developing regions [
11].
At the policy level, we utilize two methods that dictate policy formulation today: “climate models” and “immediate policy action”. Policy-makers utilizing climate models develop appropriate policies based on the assembly of multiple climate models and focus on the possible implications in an attempt to mitigate the risks and advance scientific inquiry. The second method of pursuing immediate policy action involves recognizing overall climate change trends and impacts while providing guidance and responsive policies [
12]. Notably, these methods for addressing climate change are not mutually exclusive but are useful for highlighting that policies can be developed despite the contentious nature of information on climate change. Hence, both forms of policies are used to examine regional initiatives.
At the regional level, this paper examines five main ways that regional organizations are vital for the support of food security and for dealing with climate change. The five factors (details in the section below), provide the lens to explore the ability of regional initiatives to address emerging problems [
13]. These assertions and critiques in the first two tiers enable an understanding across regions that could facilitate understanding of future policy development and execution, eliciting cross-regional understandings. Information and data for our analysis were retrieved through an archival study. Print sources and webpages were used, including books, government policy documents, technical papers, working papers, journal articles, brochures, and notes. Complementing these sources, regional and country-specific data were collected from websites maintained by government agencies; research, industry, and business organizations; and food- and climate-related institutions. The data were actively cross-examined to gain insights and knowledge about various initiatives that have been undertaken.
Apart from posturing declarations and reactive policies, more substantive proactive initiatives can be undertaken to address impending problems and challenges, particularly at the regional level (The regional level in this paper refers to any policy or initiative that involves a regional or international organization along with two or more nations in an effort to mitigate climate change and food security risks. While the focus is on regional organizations such as ASEAN, PIF, and SAARC, the paper does not specifically exclude other initiatives and collaborations beyond regional organizations). Nonetheless, this paper is not merely a warning; rather, it contributes to the literature on regional management in dealing effectively with climate change. By comparing regional policies and initiatives, this paper enhances knowledge of social systems and regional organizations’ efforts to deal with climate change and food security issues by highlighting the obstacles to effective policies. Through a closer examination of three regional organizations, ASEAN, PIF, SAARC, this paper highlights systemic weaknesses and suggests further policy reviews to enhance regional cooperation on matters related to climate change and food security.
5. Political Passivity and Divisions
It may seem unjustified to claim that ASEAN, PIF, and SAARC have been politically passive in terms of addressing climate change and food security, given the various policies and frameworks that exist. Declarations stating the seriousness of climate change were eagerly adopted across ASEAN, PIF, and SAARC. However, these declarations and the assortment of agendas such as AIFS, SPA-FS, the PIF SPREP programs, the PIF Framework for Action and even SAARC’s Thimbu agenda have failed to address the crux of the issue. By and large, regional organizations have failed to capitalize on the opportunity that their larger political voice provides to actively address global actors in efforts to slow down or reverse the impacts of climate change in their regions. On the question of climate change food security, we can discern the following response (
Table 7) from the three regional organizations under study in terms of their planning, implementation, cooperation, legal obligation, and international contribution.
ASEAN, PIF, and SAARC have been passive and largely reactive to the global climate change agenda. ASEAN, PIF and SAARC are well-positioned to actively engage with the rest of the world and have a tremendous impetus to do so as populations that reside in these regions are particularly vulnerable to climate change and threats to food security. On a positive note, PIF has shown some examples of how smaller communities can contribute to broadening international knowledge and best practices to effectively deal with future threats. An example is the Pilot Programme for Climate Resilience, which aims to demonstrate methods for subsuming climate risk and resilience under core development planning, without sacrificing the consistent pursuit of development [
41]. Other programs that involve PIF and its member nations revolve around the examination of food security and climate change across the Pacific Islands, which will aid future policies by utilizing climate models and data for targeted strategies. To summarize, the programs undertaken thus far foster a multidisciplinary approach by drawing on technical and scientific experts and disseminating best practices and strategies to boost national development sustainability related to adaptive capacities for climate change and food security. Programs for PICTs engage with climate change by information-gathering and developing innovative adaptive mechanisms to mitigate the threats they face. By improving the region’s knowledge about climate change, the region will be able to develop Action Plans to communicate between stakeholders, thereby budgeting for and implementing institutional capacity to address regional climate change variability and vulnerability [
40]. While PIF may be progressive in its attempts, much of the cooperation does not involve the region but rather forms of bilateral and multilateral cooperation.
ASEAN, however, has a wide range of scope that addresses pertinent environmental issues, from land and agricultural resources to coastal and marine environments. ASEAN does not overlook the impacts of the physical environment on the social and economic stability of the region, and also insists that sustainable development must be attained in conjunction with national development goals. ASEAN has been forward-looking, addressing regional food security with external partnerships such as APTERR and AFSIS while at the same time taking long-term measures to establish food trade development, information systems, and agri-innovation under the AIFS framework. ASEAN as a regional body has indeed been active in promoting formal avenues for collaboration between its member states to enhance regional strategies for knowledge and capacity development to address climate change and food security issues. Hence, in terms of planning, ASEAN has a clear foundational strategy for collaboration and avenues to facilitate discussion of mitigation and adaptation measures.
However, there are two main caveats concerning the extensive initiatives laid out by ASEAN. First, ASEAN emphasizes that member nations must respect the 1976 Treaty of Amity and Cooperation (TAC), which endorses non-interference in domestic affairs. This notion is termed the “ASEAN Way.” This policy has led to the restriction of regional cooperation and adaptation, due to the avoidance of any action that might be interpreted as an infringement of national sovereignty. The non-legally binding agreements are more disadvantageous for ASEAN because climate change impacts and methods to mitigate the effects are neither tangible nor concrete at this moment. Due to the underlying consensus on respecting national sovereignty, cross-boundary programs may be unnecessarily held back. As evidence of the lack of legality of ASEAN agreements, we must look at the extent of cooperation ASEAN elicits between its member nations. We can do so by examining ASEAN’s actions to prevent annual transboundary haze originating from Indonesia. The haze is brought about by the slash and burn techniques of commercial and private landowners. The extensive deforestation due to burning causes a massive haze to settle over Indonesia’s neighbors, Singapore and Malaysia. However, despite the seemingly concrete actions of the 1997 Regional Haze Action Plan and the following 2003 ASEAN Agreement on Transboundary Haze Pollution, this framework is non-legally binding, and thus the clashes between Indonesia and those nations due to the haze problem affected were not resolved. Indonesia claimed that the haze problem was a domestic issue and other ASEAN member nations should not interfere. This clash is indicative of the weak executive and legislative powers of ASEAN as an association for coordinating and implementing programs across its member nations. Second, ASEAN nations continue to pursue environment-related issues only if doing so does not affect the pursuit of their national developmental agendas. Both matters highlight the extent of cooperation between member nations, which has found minimal headway in terms of addressing long-term structural changes and cooperation.
Without full commitment to addressing climate change impacts, many nations today have made climate change issues secondary to their development agendas. Many nations thus fail to cooperate on vital issues, which creates a mutual lack of trust. This is particularly clear with SAARC, where there is constant mistrust between its member nations. SAARC has been highly outspoken in its attempts to work on regional initiatives and cooperate on matters laid out by SAARC initiatives. However, SAARC regional cooperation and lack of commitment can be exemplified by the July to August floods that afflicted Pakistan [
42]. The floods impacted Pakistan tremendously, damaging infrastructure and affecting millions of people. While there was a pledge of US
$32 million, there were no additional supports from SAARC member nations to Pakistan during this time of crisis. The super-floods that hit Pakistan came only months after the Silver Jubilee SAARC Summit, which had the climate as its main theme [
42,
43]. In addition, the South Asian socio-political scene has been hampered by conflicts due to its plural socio-cultural background. Security issues include violence, terrorism, ethnic conflicts (in Kashmir, among Sri Lanka’s Tamil and Sinhala populations, among Karachi’s Mohajirs, and between Sind and Baluchistan), the instability of Nepal’s Communist Party, and political unrest in Bangladesh. Many SAARC nations face internal struggles that are an impediment to regional cooperation. In addition, both Afghanistan and Pakistan face external armed confrontations with fundamentalist forces and US-NATO interference, severely undermining political security in the South Asian region. Bilateral disputes between India and other members of SAARC member states have been an impediment to SAARC initiatives. India’s posturing as a regional power and distrust of Pakistan create cross-border tensions which result in proxy conflicts against India, sowing doubts over India’s regional objectives among its SAARC neighbors. Although SAARC has weathered many events and conflicts, there has been little progress in furthering regional goals and objectives [
42,
44]. The relevance of SAARC as an intermediary platform has been brought into question by its lack of relevance as a regional governing body. Hence, SAARC’s initiatives and attempts to address regional issues have been largely overshadowed by its failures [
45,
46].
6. Conclusions: Towards Polarizing Vulnerability
In the regions we have examined, many populations are already facing poverty, and the situation will become worse with climate change. Furthermore, as previously noted, many of the initiatives undertaken have given minimal consideration to marginalized populations. The failure to consider the marginalized and the emphasis on development will only expand inequality gaps. Regional meetings have become a platform for mere reiteration of the dominant discourse on climate change and food security. Adopting dominant discourses may not be detrimental, but it can be problematic if the regions focused on are most likely to be disproportionately affected by climate change, which will require proactive engagement both within each region and with the global community. Climate change impacts disproportionately affect certain regions relative to the carbon emissions they produce, and those who are least capable of adaptation are the poorer regions and communities.
Attaining food security for these regions will be an enormous task for the coming years. Safeguards and preventive measures against these challenges have a hard time justifying the costs incurred, especially for the unknown impacts of climate change. However, the pursuit of economic growth seems to be the motivating factor for national and regional improvement, as it is necessary to alleviate poverty and food insecurity. Nonetheless, economic growth is not sufficient to tackle climate change; on the contrary, it may accelerate unsustainable development, resulting in worsening climate change. Agricultural, aquaculture, and marine production for the region must be raised to attain food security despite the multitude of challenges, which include the impacts of climate change. A global challenge requires a collective global effort to collaborate on and promote strategies to mitigate climate change threats. Due to the nature of the demands on agriculture, aquaculture, and marine fisheries, there should be a set of responses to address the specific needs of each industry, and protective and regulatory policies to ensure that food production is in line with the region’s needs.
Likewise, the notion of vulnerability is also pertinent, as global inequalities lead to polarizing trajectories of food security vulnerability between “climate change haves” and “climate change have-nots.” Those at the better end of climate change can buffer themselves from food security threats from market price fluctuations and position themselves at the receiving end of the global commodity chain. This resource competition will ultimately displace much of the threats from climate change and food security onto those who have very little means to adapt. Social equity is one important dimension for sustainable development, as it can help eliminate poverty, improve health and education, and aid good governance. The neoliberalism so fervently championed by many First World governments and international institutions will only benefit some at the expense of others. Regional organizations should, therefore, understand their position within the global economy and strive towards regional cooperation and self-determination. Blind pursuit of economic development may not be an option or prerogative for all nations or regions. However, fragmentation within regions is still related to competing for power interests and rooted in the notion of development. We can see this issue clearly from ASEAN and SAARC, where the drive for national economic development still supersedes preventive measures against future threats. Failure to move beyond our current conceptions about development may be the single biggest obstacle to addressing climate change.
Global climate change and food security trends can be optimally managed by regional organizations, but their potential has not been realized. Because of the global nature of both issues, the multi-level, multi-sector approaches highlighted by many regional organizations should go beyond the region and extend towards pro-active engagement with the global community. However, such engagement can be concurrent with immediate policy action within reach region to regulate and manage food security and production. There is a vital need to re-evaluate regional and national priorities to enhance sustainable development for the future. The constant problematization of current trajectories of climate change and food security may lead us to reconsider and re-evaluate policies in search of improvements and solutions. Without a doubt, climate change and food security will continue to plague us over the next few decades as we continue to prioritize short-term development over long-term sustainability. Declarations and frameworks that do not tackle the root of our problems today will not solve climate change and food security threats. Progressive steps can be taken towards cooperation, especially at the regional level. First, regional cooperation for genuine policies and frameworks for tackling climate change and food security should supersede developmental trajectories. Second, regional organizations ought to move beyond mitigation and prevention to proactively engage global partners in connection with climate change issues, while strengthening internal food production and regulating regional markets. Adaptive action should not require a “degree of confidence” about the impacts of climate change before coping mechanisms can be set in place and the necessary investments made. Adaptive action must be taken to mitigate threats and modified accordingly as new developments unfold. This dual approach could pave the way towards progress, as we continually revise policies and remove impediments to greater commitment and an equitable future.