Research on the Impact of the Digital Economy on China’s New-Type Urbanization: Based on Spatial and Mediation Models
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review and Research Hypotheses
2.1. Direct Impact Mechanism of the Digital Economy on Quality of New-Type Urbanization Development
2.2. Indirect Impact Mechanism of the Digital Economy on the Quality of New-Type Urbanization Development
2.3. Spatial Spillover Effects of the Digital Economy on the Quality of New-Type Urbanization Development
3. Study Design
3.1. Econometric Models
3.2. Variable Definition
3.3. Data Sources and Descriptive Statistics
4. Empirical Test on the Impact of the Digital Economy on the Quality of New-Type Urbanization Development
4.1. Analysis of Basic Estimation Results
4.2. Analysis of the Transmission Channels
4.3. Analysis of Spatial Spillover Effects
4.4. Further Expansion: Regional Heterogeneity
5. Robustness Tests
6. Conclusions and Policy Implications
6.1. Main Conclusions
6.2. Policy Implications
- Increase the construction of digital infrastructure and improve the development of a digital economy. The digital economy has a positive effect on the quality of new-type urbanization development, while there is also still much room for improvement in the development level of China’s digital economy at this stage. First, in the process of digital economy development in the future, we should further increase the construction of new-type infrastructures such as the 5G network, data centers, industrial Internet, and the Internet of Things, and strengthen the investment in R&D of basic digital technology and short-board technology, and continuously enrich, expand and innovate the scenario application of digital technology. Second, the new-type infrastructure is different from the old infrastructure in that most of it is a product of business operations. Therefore, the new-type infrastructure, except for projects such as 5G base stations and public big data centers, should allow the decisive role of the market in resource allocation to be fully developed. For example, different market players are encouraged to use market mechanisms to cooperate in order to broaden the sources of funding for new-type infrastructure investments. Finally, the guidance and support function of the government in the process of digital economy development should be effectively utilized. The relationship between the government and the market should be clarified for the construction of new-type infrastructures, as it has an important role in promoting the construction of new-type infrastructures involving public information. Therefore, formulating corresponding policies for digital economy development and guiding social capital to invest in core aspects and key areas of the digital economy infrastructure is the next step for the government’s efforts.
- Vigorously promote digital industrialization and industrial digitization, and promote industrial structure upgrading. The industrial structure upgrading not only plays an important “intermediary effect” in the process of the digital economy promoting the development of new-type urbanization, but also provides powerful dynamic energy for the development of new-type urbanization by itself. Therefore, the advantages of digital technology should be used to strengthen digital industrialization and industrial digitization. Specifically, on the one hand, we should grow digital information and related industries, build digital economy industry chains and clusters, vigorously develop a technology-based digital economy, and fully release the huge potential of data as an important market element. On the other hand, we should strengthen the digital transformation of traditional industries, enhance the digitalization and intelligence level of advantageous industries, deepen the integration of digital technology in industrial vertical segments, and guide enterprises to actively expand the application space of digital technology to stimulate new market demand with richer application scenarios, so as to lay the foundation of consumption for industrial structure upgrading.
- Continuously promote integrated regional development and bridge the digital development divide. Digital economy development has spatial spillover effects; the radiation effect of areas with better digital economy development on neighboring areas should be developed fully to promote regional integrated development. To this end, local governments should abandon the idea of local departmentalism, smooth the flow of digital elements between regions, expand the spatial radius of the digital economy dividend overflow, and let more market players and urban residents enjoy the dividends of digital development. At the same time, attention should be paid to international cooperation and more outstanding digital enterprises should be guided to go out and contribute Chinese wisdom to the development of the global digital economy and the construction of the governance system. Accordingly, Chinese enterprises can also fully learn from advanced foreign technology and management concepts.
- Develop a dynamic and differentiated digital economy development strategy. Due to the differences in resource endowment and economic development levels among regions in China, the digital development gap between the central and western regions and the eastern regions is still relatively prominent. Thus, there is a need to develop digital economy development strategies tailored to local conditions in order to bridge the digital economy development gap between regions. Specifically, the eastern region should give full advantage to its good digital economies of scale, focus on building a modern digital industry ecosystem, promote digital industrialization and industrial digitization as a grip, and better promote the demonstration effect and radiation effect on the surrounding areas. The central and western regions should accelerate the construction of information infrastructure, continuously expand the coverage of the digital economy, develop relevant talent policies, and enhance the digital talent resource pool. In addition, the development of big data pilot work should continue to be promoted to strengthen the digital economy to enhance the quality of new-type urbanization development. At present, the demonstration area of the big data comprehensive pilot area has formed a replicable and promotable reform experience, providing a useful reference and strong support for the development of China’s overall digital economy. Therefore, the provinces that have been set up as pilot zones need to continue to maintain the development direction of the big data strategy, step up the construction and improvement of the relevant laws and regulations, and represent a good “model area” to take the lead. The provinces not established as pilot zones need to combine their actual conditions, including the level of economic development, the ability to gather resources, the differences in the institutional environments, and the deployment of big data strategic planning.
6.3. Research Deficiencies and Prospects
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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System Level | First-Level Indicators | Second-Level Indicators | Uint | Symbol |
---|---|---|---|---|
New-type Urbanization | Population Urbanization | Number of enrollments in higher education per 100,000 population | Person/ 100,000 | + |
Proportion of urban population | % | + | ||
Population density of urban area | Person/km2 | - | ||
Economic Urbanization | Per capita GDP | Yuan/Person | + | |
Proportion of tertiary industry to GDP | % | + | ||
Per capita disposable income of urban households | Yuan | + | ||
Per capita investment of urban fixed assets | Yuan | + | ||
Social Urbanization | Number of beds in medical facilities per 1000 population | Bed/1000 | + | |
Number of public transport vehicles per 10,000 population | Vehicle/ 10,000 | + | ||
Per capita expenditure on education | Yuan | + | ||
Proportion of persons covered by urban basic endowment insurance to the total population | % | + | ||
Environmental Urbanization | Green coverage rate of completed areas | % | + | |
Rate of harmless disposal of urban household garbage | % | + | ||
Per capita public green areas | m2/Person | + | ||
Spatial urbanization | Per capita area of paved road | m2/Person | + | |
Proportion of built-up area to urban area | % | + |
System Level | First-Level Indicators | Second-Level Indicators | Uint | Symbol |
---|---|---|---|---|
Digital Economy | Digital Industry | Information transmission, computer services and software industry employees accounted for the proportion of urban units employed | % | + |
Digital Users | Number of Internet broadband access users per 100 population | User/100 | + | |
Digital Platform | Number of Domain names | 104 | + | |
Digital Innovation | Digital Inclusive Finance Index | No | + |
Variable | Obs | Mean | Std | Min | Max | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Explained variable | Ln(NUrb) | 300 | −1.048 | 0.301 | −2.063 | −0.330 |
Explanatory variable | Ln(Dige) | 300 | −1.423 | 0.545 | −3.364 | −0.084 |
Mediating variable | Ln(Ind) | 300 | 10.700 | 0.874 | 8.223 | 12.540 |
Control variable | Ln(Fin) | 300 | 1.123 | 0.309 | 0.424 | 2.096 |
Ln(Open) | 300 | −1.790 | 0.952 | −4.875 | 0.437 | |
Ln(Hum) | 300 | 2.216 | 0.092 | 2.011 | 2.548 | |
Ln(Gov) | 300 | 9.380 | 0.422 | 8.410 | 10.440 | |
Ln(Con) | 300 | 8.844 | 0.944 | 6.030 | 10.670 | |
Ln(Price) | 300 | 8.829 | 0.483 | 8.086 | 10.540 |
Null Hypothesis | HPJ Wald Test | p-Value | Results |
---|---|---|---|
LnDige does not Granger-cause LnNUrb | 44.886 | 0.000 | Rejection |
LnNUrb does not Granger-cause LnDige | 1.517 | 0.468 | Acceptance |
Variables | Ln(NUrb) | Ln(NUrb) | Ln(Ind) | Ln(NUrb) |
---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
Ln(Dige) | 0.329 *** | 0.221 *** | 0.096 *** | 0.198 *** |
(0.032) | (0.029) | (0.021) | (0.029) | |
Ln(Ind) | 0.234 *** | |||
(0.084) | ||||
Ln(Fin) | 0.134 *** | −0.743 *** | 0.307 *** | |
(0.044) | (0.033) | (0.076) | ||
Ln(Open) | −0.039 ** | −0.001 | −0.038 ** | |
(0.015) | (0.011) | (0.015) | ||
Ln(Hum) | 0.162 | −0.192 | 0.207 | |
(0.217) | (0.161) | (0.215) | ||
Ln(Gov) | 0.241 *** | 0.342 *** | 0.161 *** | |
(0.055) | (0.041) | (0.061) | ||
Ln(Con) | 0.304 *** | 0.334 *** | 0.226 *** | |
(0.035) | (0.026) | (0.044) | ||
Ln(Price) | −0.100 * | 0.049 | −0.111 ** | |
(0.051) | (0.038) | (0.050) | ||
constant | −0.628 *** | −5.279 *** | 5.351 *** | −6.530 *** |
(0.076) | (0.837) | (0.619) | (0.939) | |
Time | Y | Y | Y | Y |
Province | Y | Y | Y | Y |
Obs | 300 | 300 | 300 | 300 |
R2 | 0.905 | 0.937 | 0.979 | 0.939 |
Year | Ln(Dige) | Ln(NUrb) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
W1 | W2 | W1 | W2 | |
2011 | 0.215 ** (2.103) | 0.260 *** (2.734) | 0.482 *** (4.227) | 0.429 *** (4.174) |
2012 | 0.238 ** (2.318) | 0.309 *** (3.226) | 0.480 *** (4.193) | 0.440 *** (4.262) |
2013 | 0.166 * (1.714) | 0.257 *** (2.755) | 0.459 *** (4.021) | 0.436 *** (4.221) |
2014 | 0.204 ** (2.057) | 0.258 *** (2.776) | 0.430 *** (3.788) | 0.461 *** (4.449) |
2015 | 0.197 ** (2.013) | 0.271 *** (2.922) | 0.430 *** (3.794) | 0.452 *** (4.378) |
2016 | 0.230 ** (2.247) | 0.294 *** (3.079) | 0.420 *** (3.721) | 0.460 *** (4.464) |
2017 | 0.278 *** (2.650) | 0.312 *** (3.236) | 0.428 *** (3.788) | 0.448 *** (4.352) |
2018 | 0.300 *** (2.877) | 0.326 *** (3.413) | 0.431 *** (3.819) | 0.440 *** (4.291) |
2019 | 0.279 *** (2.732) | 0.318 *** (3.375) | 0.427 *** (3.800) | 0.438 *** (4.289) |
2020 | 0.243 ** (2.468) | 0.307 ** (3.337) | 0.466 *** (4.129) | 0.445 *** (4.356) |
Inspection | Null Hypothesis | W1 | W2 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Significance | Result | Significance | Result | ||
LM test | SEM model | 23.838 *** | SDM model | 5.404 ** | SDM model |
SEM model(steady) | 1.136 | 6.638 ** | |||
SAR model | 48.721 *** | 28.930 *** | |||
SAR model(steady) | 26.018 *** | 30.164 *** | |||
Hausman test | Random effect | 41.71 *** | Fixed effect | 45.06 *** | Fixed effect |
Individual fixation is better than both fixation | 34.36 *** | Both | 42.36 *** | Both | |
Time fixation is better than both fixation | 442.55 *** | 409.98 *** | |||
Wald test | SEM model is better than SDM model | 37.93 *** | SDM model | 40.19 *** | SDM model |
SAR model is better than SDM model | 28.08 *** | SDM model | 27.21 *** | SDM model | |
LR test | SEM model is better than SDM model | 36.98 *** | SDM model | 38.20 *** | SDM model |
SAR model is better than SDM model | 26.70 *** | SDM model | 26.85 *** | SDM model |
Model Setting | SDM | SAR | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | W1 | W2 | W1 | W2 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
0.330 *** (0.073) | 0.307 *** (0.088) | 0.410 *** (0.053) | 0.403 *** (0.073) | |
Ln(Dige) | 0.180 *** (0.025) | 0.144 *** (0.027) | 0.170 *** (0.025) | 0.167 *** (0.027) |
W × Ln(Dige) | 0.137 *** (0.049) | 0.288 *** (0.075) | ||
Direct | 0.197 *** (0.025) | 0.169 *** (0.027) | 0.178 *** (0.025) | 0.174 *** (0.027) |
Indirect | 0.270 *** (0.056) | 0.455 *** (0.099) | 0.107 *** (0.022) | 0.103 *** (0.026) |
Total | 0.467 *** (0.068) | 0.624 *** (0.104) | 0.285 *** (0.041) | 0.277 *** (0.043) |
Controls | Y | Y | Y | Y |
Year | Y | Y | Y | Y |
Province | Y | Y | Y | Y |
Log-L | 520.8702 | 508.0727 | 507.0195 | 494.6464 |
Obs | 300 | 300 | 300 | 300 |
R2 | 0.910 | 0.903 | 0.914 | 0.914 |
Varibles | Eastern Regions | Midwest Regions | Pilot Regions | Non-Pilot Regions |
---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
Ln(Dige) | 0.045 | 0.101 ** | 0.425 *** | 0.198 *** |
(0.034) | (0.040) | (0.060) | (0.031) | |
Controls | Y | Y | Y | Y |
constant | −2.151 ** (0.850) | −7.544 *** (1.187) | −5.900 *** (1.565) | −3.555 *** (1.092) |
Time | Y | Y | Y | Y |
Province | Y | Y | Y | Y |
Obs | 110 | 190 | 90 | 210 |
R2 | 0.953 | 0.962 | 0.955 | 0.948 |
Variables | Adjustment of Sample Size | Substitution of Core Explanatory Variables | Adding Control Variables | Replace Tool Variables | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | First Stage (4) | Second Stage (5) | |
Ln(Dige) | 0.226 *** (0.033) | 0.118 *** (0.012) | 0.247 *** (0.028) | 0.284 *** (0.047) | |
IV | 0.570 *** (0.039) | ||||
Controls | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y |
Ln(Er) | 0.021 (0.016) | ||||
Ln(Estr) | 0.033 ** (0.015) | ||||
Ln(Effi) | 0.133 ** (0.047) | ||||
Constant | −5.587 *** (0.994) | −5.225 *** (0.781) | −4.037 *** (0.852) | 0.402 *** (1.119) | −4.036 *** (0.746) |
Time | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y |
Province | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y |
Obs | 260 | 300 | 300 | 270 | 270 |
R2 | 0.945 | 0.945 | 0.943 | 0.989 | 0.976 |
Kleibergen-Paaprk LM statistic | 24.543 [0.000] | ||||
Kleibergen-Paaprk Wald F statistic | 218.78 {16.38} |
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Chen, L.; Zhong, C.; Li, C. Research on the Impact of the Digital Economy on China’s New-Type Urbanization: Based on Spatial and Mediation Models. Sustainability 2022, 14, 14843. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214843
Chen L, Zhong C, Li C. Research on the Impact of the Digital Economy on China’s New-Type Urbanization: Based on Spatial and Mediation Models. Sustainability. 2022; 14(22):14843. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214843
Chicago/Turabian StyleChen, Linxiong, Changbiao Zhong, and Chong Li. 2022. "Research on the Impact of the Digital Economy on China’s New-Type Urbanization: Based on Spatial and Mediation Models" Sustainability 14, no. 22: 14843. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214843
APA StyleChen, L., Zhong, C., & Li, C. (2022). Research on the Impact of the Digital Economy on China’s New-Type Urbanization: Based on Spatial and Mediation Models. Sustainability, 14(22), 14843. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142214843