1. Introduction
Climate change, which is happening in the world today, is increasingly becoming a phenomenon discussed at the global level. This is due to the highly predictable impact of global warming on the universe. The condition of the world’s forests as the main actor in absorbing gases that cause global warming, which has reached an alarming level, is a major factor in the increasing magnitude of climate change. However, the strategy of reducing the amount of greenhouse gases carried out in urban areas is considered no less important than efforts to improve forests [
1,
2].
Urban areas around the world in general have characteristics that make their inhabitants vulnerable to climate change. A lot of big cities are situated close to rivers, mountains, or seaside locations, making them vulnerable to climate change risks [
3,
4]. Urban areas generally always face the problem of urbanization which causes many environmental problems, such as lack of clean drinking water, rising temperatures and reduced precipitation, resulting in the suffering of the environment and people’s lives due to these many negative effects.
One of the challenges faced by urban areas is that urbanization continues to increase. In 2015, more than half (54%) of the world’s population resided in cities for the first time in human history. According to the United Nations survey on global urbanization trends, the urban population was only 39% in 1980. This urbanization trend continues, with the urban population estimated to make up 68% global population by 2050 [
5]. In Asia, the urbanization trend also shows a similar increase, from 25% in 1980 to 47% in 2015. By 2050, 66% of the population will live in urban areas. In Indonesia alone, the urban population has reached 56.7% in 2020 [
6], and according to a survey by the Citiasia Center for Smartnation (CCSN), this number will increase to 68% in 2035 [
7].
Cities today, such as Jakarta, face environmental consequences of overpopulation and unplanned urban sprawl; however, they have a very important role in sustainable development strategies [
8]. This aligns with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) number 11 of the 2015 UN Habitat Agenda in New York, which seeks to make cities more inclusive, resilient, and safe through the smart city program [
9]. For a long time, the primary global paradigm has been for sustainable cities to respond to urbanization problems over the past three decades [
10,
11]. Not only sustainable but efficient and innovative cities with a comprehensive and integrated strategy must also answer the issues and impacts of urbanization and climate change [
12]. Urbanization has caused many problems in Jakarta, among others; congestion, poverty, the emergence of squatters, waste that is not managed properly, floods, crime, pollution, and various other problems that occur in the city [
13,
14].
We discovered three key practical issues and gaps regarding urban sustainability evaluation studies after conducting a thorough literature review of the SDGs-G11 study: the absence of a comprehensive model for evaluating urban sustainability that can gauge its level; the driving forces behind urban sustainability development, such as a lack of institutions, robust data collection, and standards at the city level to support the evaluation model; and the lack of a comprehensive model for evaluating urban sustainability that can measure its impact [
1,
11,
13,
15,
16,
17,
18,
19,
20].
In terms of climate change in general, there are complex problems with a variety of elements contributing to its development. Given these issues, a thorough and all-encompassing strategy is required for better comprehension and management of these issues [
21]. Therefore, according to the objectives of SDG 13, a strategic framework is needed on how to address climate change in cities, especially in the form of setting priorities and goals, such as identifying and analyzing climate change risks and opportunities, assessing the level of climate risk in the city’s vision and mission, risks, and opportunities for decreased emission targets [
22]. Only then can we determine the actions and strategies we must take from the results of the analysis. There are at least two major points often associated with climate change efforts: mitigation and adaptation. These two processes must be carried out simultaneously so that they are well integrated; then, monitoring and evaluation are to be carried out [
16].
Sustainability in cities is more closely linked to the efficient utilization of natural resources and changes in the ecological status of the environment from an ecological environmental perspective. To prepare societal needs in relation to water, land, air, and other surroundings both now and in the future, a smart sustainable city must address climate change in the ecological environment. Contradictions between environmental resources, environmental pollution, and environmental degradation are manifestations of the ecological environmental challenges brought on by rapid social development and economic progress [
23]. To assess the performance of sustainable smart cities, many smart city indexes and frameworks have been proposed to support local government policymaking at the urban level. One of the very important objectives of evaluating the ecological environment is to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in general, and to harmonize economic, social/community development, and the environment [
17,
24].
From the explanation above, it is necessary to measure the success parameters of smart cities in Indonesia, especially in Jakarta, and evaluating the performance of the city of Jakarta to become a sustainable smart city that is ready to face climate change which requires a smart city index and framework that supports sustainable local government policymaking at the urban level. To evaluate the sustainable development of urban areas, Carli (2018) suggested a multi-criteria decision-making method [
25]. It is uncommon for indicator calculations in most urban size investigations, particularly in terms of data access, but the sustainable smart city index and framework are evaluated through interdisciplinary and multi-agency communication and cooperation [
26].
By assembling an Integrated Ecological Environment Indicator using the DPSIR (Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response) framework, based on the above, Liu (2020) seeks to establish a sustainable smart city index and framework to complete the evaluation of urban environmental problems. According to the requirements for determining multi-dimensional, multi-thematic, and multi-urban indicators, this model is presented based on the Domain-Theme-Element three-level association mechanism and the DPSIR framework [
15].
In this study, using the DPSIR framework mentioned above, the ecological environmental aspects in the last five years of conditions due to climate change in the city of Jakarta will be examined. Then, this DPSIR framework will become an environmental assessment of the last five years as a reference for strategies to control the impacts of climate change. Response can be used as feedback for Driver, Pressure, State, and Impact [
27], and each feedback is different. Response addressed to Drivers is a form of Prevention. If they control the Pressure on the environment, this response will be Mitigation. Furthermore, if they can maintain the state of the environment, the form of response is Restoration. Finally, if they help overcome Impact, then the response is Adaptation. Hypothesis testing will also be carried out on ecological indicators such as wind speed, temperature, humidity, soil pH, air pollutant standard index, and rainfall, important factors of climate change and vegetation index, an important factor in carbon sequestration in urban areas, in this case the city of Jakarta.
4. Discussion
From the results of data processing on ecological indicators that have the impact of climate change, coupled with remote sensing data analyzed with NDVI vegetation density processed with the DPSIR framework with the Entropy Method, it is found that in the last five years in Jakarta province the conditions as follows:
The D6 indicator serves as the principal representative of the elements influencing the development and transformation of resources, particularly when incorporating the environmental theme indicators of ecology, population, economics, meteorology, and energy, namely the growth rate of GRDP in Jakarta and the D7 indicator, namely the growth rate. This happened due to a drastic change in the values of the two variables due to the pandemic in 2020. This change is followed by the following three major indicators, namely: the D5 indicator, Gross Regional Domestic Product, D2, the population growth rate, and D4, the income of the population per capita which also has an effect as an ecological environmental driver variable. This confirms the previous research from Liu et al. (2020) [
15] which found that the growth rate of GRDP and the rate of industrial growth are the main drivers of ecological indicators of the urban environment, in general, especially in Wuhan Metropolitan Area and Jakarta metropolitan city.
The pressure variable, on the other hand, describes the demand for natural resources across a range of economic and social development sectors, as well as its effects on population and energy, particularly population status and resource consumption. From the dimensions of this variable, indicator P6 is the amount of water consumption and P5 is the water consumption per capita, both of which are the main indicator that becomes the pressure that affects changes in the ecological environment in the Jakarta province. This is followed by indicator P12, namely the number of electricity customers, P7, the annual amount of wastewater (m
3/year) and P2, the number of clean drinking water customers, which are also directly proportional to the P6 variable of water consumption. With the results of this data, the authors conclude that the problem of clean drinking water has become a problem that suppresses the development of Jakarta metropolitan city to be sustainable if a more comprehensive solution is not taken for this water problem. This confirms previous research from Liu et al. (2020) [
15] that the amount of water consumption, and water consumption per capita are the main pressure indicators of urban environmental ecology in general, especially in Wuhan Metropolitan Area and Jakarta metropolitan city.
Furthermore, from the dimensions/state variables (States) that describe the degree of resource development and utilization, which can also be used to represent how well the environmental system can support both the production and demands of human existence, the development and exploitation of current resources, the status of the total quality of the ecological environment, environmental resources available, waste treatment capacity, and so on. From this dimension, it is found that indicator S11 (wind speed), variable S14 (rainfall), and variable S4 (loss of water supply), are the main indicators of current conditions affecting the ecological environment in Jakarta province. This is followed by indicator S10, the annual average concentration of Air Pollutant Standard Index, and S5, the water consumption of the population per capita. From this result, the researchers received convincing confirmation that the problem with ecological indicators that previous researchers, namely Liu et al., did not include in their research is indeed the main problem in the current situation in Jakarta province. This is followed by problems with the air environment, which is not good because of the average concentration. Air Pollutant Standard Index’s annual trend tends to worsen as seen from the data from 2016 to 2018 which worsened, 2019 and 2020 improved due to the pandemic, but in 2021 it returned to numbers similar to 2018. This complements the shortage of previous research from Liu et al. (2020) [
15] that wind speed, and rainfall are ecological indicators that affect the condition of urban areas today besides the loss of water supply, especially in the metropolitan area of Wuhan. The two indicators proven to affect the metropolitan city of Jakarta are wind speed and rainfall because the two indicators did not have time to be examined in previous research on the Wuhan metropolitan area.
The dimension/variable of impact (Impact) refers to the outcome of the ecological environment, which might indicate longer-term changes than the pertinent state indicators, particularly in changes to the amount and quality of ecological environmental resources. From this Impact dimension, the results are obtained with the main indicators being I3, (industrial water consumption), I1 (industrial water consumption per capita), and I7 (air quality level). This is followed by I4, household water consumption and I9, annual electricity consumption. These results also make researchers more confident that the problem of water, air quality and electricity consumption has become a significant problem in the sustainability of the metropolitan city of Jakarta. This confirms previous research from Liu et al. (2020) [
15] that industrial water consumption, per capita water consumption and air quality levels are the main impacts of ecological indicators of the urban environment in general, especially in the Wuhan Metropolitan Area and Jakarta metropolitan area.
Finally, the response variable (Response) outlines the management strategies employed to address the vulnerability of environmental systems, such as comprehensive usage of resources, reduction in pollution and treatment, the construction of city public facilities, and others. From this dimension, it is found that the increase in the R10 indicator, the annual fund for the construction of urban community facilities—PSO (Public Service Obligation) is a very influential variable to enhance the state of the ecological environment in Jakarta province compared to Liu’s previous research in Wuhan metropolitan area. This is followed by the R2 indicator, the production capacity of water supply, the R5 indicator, the volume of treated wastewater and the R8 indicator, domestic waste collected and transported. These are indicators of response variables that need to be handled comprehensively and holistically so that Jakarta metropolitan city is more prepared to be sustainable.
An Important note from secondary data processing with the DPSIR framework and the Entropy Method conducted by previous researchers, such as Liu et al. (2020) [
15], only calculates P
ij (Normalization of the Performance Index Matrix) of the Entropy Method for each year from 2014 to 2017, while the researcher counts the objective weight value (W
j) for each criterion by considering the degree of diversity from 2016 to 2021.
In this study, the researchers who carried out research in the metropolitan city of Jakarta improved the method carried out by Liu et al. (2020) [
15] by including the lack of research conducted by Liu et al. on the elements of ecological indicators and spatio-temporal vegetation index obtained from remote sensing and processed by the DPSIR Method and the Entropy Method. However, the researchers also perfected the framework model by studying the literature from several studies, one of which was carried out by Salehi et al. in Tehran by adopting the DPSIR model from Spangenberg. From the results of community responses, the ways in which we can find solutions and responses to feedback to Drivers, Pressures, States, or Impacts can be found [
27]. Responses addressed to Drivers are a form of prevention. If the response controls Pressure on the environment, then the response will be in the form of mitigation. Further, if the response is in the form of protecting the environment, it is a form of restoration. Finally, the response that helps to overcome the impact is a response in the form of adaptation. So, the researchers summarize the results of this study with the proposed Strategic Framework for Managing Climate Change in the metropolitan city of Jakarta which can be adapted in other big cities, as shown in
Table 11.
When compared with research conducted by Jinhui Zhao et al., which also uses the DPSIR model framework by combining aspects of the Yellow River Basin which includes important elements such as ecology and socio-economy in a comprehensive manner that is composed of five levels of driving forces, pressures, states, impacts, responses, of which 12 representative elements were then selected [
34]. This research in the metropolitan city of Jakarta selected 58 representative elements from the DPSIR framework, so in terms of representation, more elements were studied.
However, if our research is compared with Zhirong Li et al.’s research in Hunan province, we both use the DPSIR method with objective weighting, because in the subjective weighting method, we assign index weights according to the experience of experts in the relevant field, such as: Delphi method, AHP (Analytical Hierarchy Process) and so on. This method is very susceptible to the influence of the field of research and personal cognition, which will affect the results of the weights to some extent [
53]. Our research is, relatively speaking, the objective weighting method which avoids the detrimental effects of subjective factors and is more scientifically objective.
Likewise, the research conducted by Shi and Tong evaluates the spatial distribution pattern of ecological city development in 34 cities in China from 2011 to 2016. The data is also taken from statistical data from the China Statistical Yearbook, China City Statistical Yearbook, and others, by also using the entropy method and the TOPSIS method [
36]. Our research carried out the same process, extracting a lot of statistical data from the city of Jakarta but also adding research data taken from remote sensing data to see the greenness index of the Jakarta city. Shi and Tong’s research compares two types of the same objective method in solving multiple criteria decision-making problems.
Furthermore, in addition to carrying out the above hypothesis, from the results of processing data on ecological indicators that have an impact on climate change and coupled with remote sensing data analyzed for NDVI vegetation density processed with the DPSIR framework using the PLS-SEM method with SmartPLS software, it is obtained as follows:
The main drivers represent the driving factors (Drivers). The main indicators are Indicators D1 (Number of Population), D10 (Clean and Drinking Water Production), and D4 (Income per capita population), indicating the direction of a positive and significant relationship to the latent variable Driver while D6 (GDP growth rate of Jakarta) and D7 (Industrial growth rate) indicate a negative and significant relationship towards the latent variable Driver. This shows that the PLS-SEM Method and the Entropy Method produce the same driver indicators, however, for the PLS-SEM Method, there are additional indicators of Population and Clean Drinking Water Production as the main drivers of resource change, mainly adopting environmental themes indicators of ecology, population, economy, meteorology, and energy.
As for the impact variable, the main indicators are Indicator I1 (industrial water consumption per capita), I2 (number of industrial water customers), I3 (industrial water consumption), I4 (household water consumption), and I5 (quantity water supply), which indicates a positive and significant relationship towards the latent variable Impact. In contrast, I7 (Air quality level), and I9 (Annual electricity consumption) indicates a negative and significant relationship towards the latent variable Impact. This shows that the PLS-SEM Method and the Entropy Method produce the same driver indicators. However, for the PLS-SEM Method, there are additional indicators, namely the Number of Industrial Water Customers and the Quantity of Water Supply as the result of the ecological environment, which can reflect more long-term changes, especially changes in the quantity and quality of ecological environmental resources.
Furthermore, from the pressure variable, the main indicators are Indicators P1 (Population density per km2), P12 (Number of electricity customers), P2 (Number of clean and drinking water customers), P3 (Number of Gas customers), P5 (Water consumption per capita), P6 (Amount of water consumption), P7 (Amount of annual wastewater) and P9 (Length of the road surface) indicate the direction of a positive and significant relationship with the latent variable Pressure. This shows that the PLS-SEM Method and the Entropy Method produce the same driver indicators. However, for the PLS-SEM method there are the additional indicators of population density per km2, number of gas customers, road surface length as environmental resource requirements in various social development sectors, economy, as well as its side effects on population and energy, especially population status and resource consumption.
For the response variable (Response), the main indicators are Indicator R1 (rate of water use), R10 (Annual funds for the construction of urban community facilities), R3 (Water supply pipes), R5 (Volume of treated wastewater), and R8 (Waste domestic collected and transported) indicates a positive and significant direction of the relationship to the latent variable Response as management measures taken for the vulnerability of environmental systems. These include several aspects such as comprehensive resource utilization, pollution handling and prevention, construction of city public facilities, and etc. Both Methods produce the same number of indicators.
The last of the state variables, the main indicators are Indicator S1 (Average total water resources), S12 (Temperature), S2 (Amount of Surface Water Supply), S5 (Water consumption of the population per capita), S6 (Residential waste discharge) and S7 (industrial waste) show a positive and significant relationship towards the latent variable State, while S11 (Wind speed), S16 (Spatiotemporal NDVI (Vegetation Index)), S4 (Loss of water supply), and S14 (Bulk rain) indicates the direction of the negative and significant relationship to the latent variable State. This shows that the PLS-SEM Method and the Entropy Method produce the same driver indicators. However, for the PLS-SEM method, there are additional indicators of Spatiotemporal NDVI (Vegetation Index), Residential waste discharge, Industrial waste, Average total water resources, Total Surface Water Supply, and Temperature as a description of the ability of the environmental system to meet the production and needs of human life as well as the development and utilization of current resources, represented by the degree of development and utilization, the status of the total quality of the ecological environment, available environmental resources, capacity, waste treatment, and others.
The calculation using the entropy method and PLS-SEM method show that the Response indicators (i.e., the R10 indicator, the annual fund for the construction of urban community facilities—PSO or Public Service Obligation) is a very influential indicator to improve the condition of the ecological environment which is triggered by these indicators, Driver, Pressure, State, and Impact previously, with an objective weight value of 80.90%. Even so, big problems still exist in Jakarta, namely the need for clean water for drinking water, which is inadequate, and the management of waste water problems that is felt by the poor residents of Jakarta. This phenomenon should be an input for the Jakarta local government, noting that the use of annual funds for the construction of urban community facilities—PSO is still not well-targeted. Therefore, building clean water sources and their management should be prioritized so that Jakarta will not experience a clean water crisis in the near future.
5. Conclusions
The results of the DPSIR model obtained using the Entropy Method in the metropolitan city of Jakarta show that the triggers or Drivers related to climate change are population growth rate and industrial growth rate which, although increasing the income of the population per capita and GRDP growth in Jakarta, generate Pressure, namely an increase in the amount of water consumption and the annual amount of wastewater which also increases along with the number of electricity and water customers. Based on these triggers and pressures, the state of the environment (State) of the city of Jakarta has several environmental changes, such as loss of water supply. It is, therefore, not possible to maintain vegetation in watersheds from upstream to downstream, wind speed and rainfall are affected due to reduced land cover, as well as the concentration of the rising Air Pollutant Standard Index. The Impact of these three components is increasing household and industrial water consumption, increasing annual electricity consumption, and deteriorating air quality. Hence, the Response to the four interrelated causal variables, one of which is the Jakarta regional government that must increase the annual fund for the construction of urban community facilities (Public Services Obligation), increase the production capacity of water supply, build environmentally friendly wastewater treatment facilities, increase capacity of waste processing infrastructure and transportation fleet, and educate the public to use water wisely. If the response helps to reduce the trigger or Driver, then the response is preventive. Further, if the response controls Pressure on the environment, then the response will be mitigation. In addition, if the response in maintaining the State of the environment, then the response is restoration. Finally, if the response can help to overcome the Impact, then in this case it is adaptation. This will be the next strategic framework in dealing with climate change that affects the metropolitan city of Jakarta.
From the results of data processing for the Jakarta province, which is calculated using the Entropy Method and the PLS-SEM Method to validate the hypothesis, it can be concluded that the problems of the Jakarta province in dealing with climate change are the problem of clean and drinking water needs, wastewater and waste management, electricity needs, open area requirements, and air quality as its population grows. These problems require a comprehensive strategic framework such as increasing the production capacity of clean water-drinking water, reducing leakage of clean water pipes, reducing the risk of lack of clean water by building water sources, infiltration wells and green open areas, build infrastructure such as dams that are multifunctional for not only providing raw water, but also irrigation, and aquaculture. The Jakarta local government must try to reduce the leakage of clean water distribution, create a more environmentally friendly waste management, provide education to the community to manage rainwater, irrigate dry topography, and plant plants in their respective yards as well as educate the community to consume clean water and electricity wisely as shown in
Table 11.
From the experience and results of the research carried out by researchers so far, it will be useful for further research to understand whether the Partial Least Square-Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) method is a better and more accurate method when compared to the Entropy Method, especially when analyzing an urban area using the Framework DPSIR with known causality relationship between latent variables. With PLS-SEM measuring the influence of the relationship between variables with five latent variables namely Driver, Pressure, State, Impact and Response and three intervening variables, namely Pressure, State, and Impact can be carried out simultaneously, the number of samples moderate data (relaxed), and does not require a lot of assumptions.
The researchers conclude that there is a novelty from previous research in this study, namely research on the impact of ecological indicators on climate change in Jakarta Province and several inputs and improvements from previous research. As the basis for further research as follows based on data processing carried out by researchers here, there are several ecological indicators, namely Wind Speed, Temperature, Rainfall, Air Pollutant Annual Standard Index, and land change data in a spatial time series (spatiotemporal) through the Vegetation Index, which is very influential in the climate change DPSIR framework for assessing the ecological condition of the urban environment.