1. Introduction
Over the past two decades, emerging markets have established themselves as a significant global growth engine, as they have consistently grown faster than the economies of their developed market counterparts. Consequently, investment in emerging markets has the potential to translate investment into significant and diversified benefits for sustainable development. Since 2000 to date, emerging markets have persistently outperformed the world and advanced markets. By October 2018, their G.D.P. growth was 4.1% relative to developed markets’ 2.4 and the world’s 3.7, respectively [
1]. Over the same timeline, the world financial markets have surged, and interestingly, the emerging markets have played a tremendous part in this boom. This unprecedented development, particularly concerning financial markets, has led to a fundamental shift in economic structure and capital flows from developed countries [
2].
The role of the financial sector is essential in two ways. One, a sound financial system serves as an incentive for multinational companies to invest in the host country [
3,
4]. Financial development enables better credit allocation across firms, thus promoting investment efficiency and productivity growth [
5]. The financial product is central to economic development; an efficient and fully functioning financial system leads to economic prosperity. Secondly, the financial sector increases efficiency by effectively allocating scarce economic resources in the process of economic growth [
6,
7], which on the other hand, reduces the asymmetric information and transaction costs [
8]. Therefore, the scope of financial development includes improvements in products and organizations in the banking sector and capital markets.
In the previous passage, we observed the progressive role of financial development in overall economic prosperity, yet these activities are sensitive to regulatory bindings. Institutions guide these activities to avoid the misuse of valuable financial resources. If we believe institutions are the contextual framework within which economic growth thrives or falters, we should view institutional quality as a factor of production due to its contribution to growth and development [
9].
Further, much empirical evidence has shown the importance of stable and effective institutions for economic productivity. Institutions form the backbone of economic activity and shape how individuals organize themselves and their financial transactions. Strong institutions are a fundamental driver of both productivity and long-term growth. Their benefits extend well beyond economics, affecting people’s well-being daily. The role of institutions is vital in developing economies, and realistic estimation and effective policies are subject to the consideration of the importance of such institutions [
10,
11]. On the contrary, a weak institutional framework hinders competitiveness and development in many countries [
12]. Sound institutions assure transparency, efficiency, and checks and balances the mechanism in effectively executing the corporate governance standards and general business ethics.
The literature on institutions and finance lacks consensus and is exceptionally directed to developed countries and the African region. Studies in the context of emerging markets in this regard are rare. In addition, the role of culture in the financial decision-making process is the least focused [
13,
14]. Economic decisions affect the financing of all sectors, taking into account the specificities of funding [
15].
Culture is essential in explaining the bank’s performance [
16]. This is possibly due to culture’s broader nature and measurement difficulties [
17]. Along with institutions, this study attempts to consider this vital aspect of culture in the case of emerging markets regarding its influence on financial development. The quality of the institutions determines the direction of cultural influence on the financial industry. Leading institutions are likely to provide the friendliest environment for optimal utilization of the cultural climate, while weak institutions do otherwise. Sound institutions enforce the rule of law in its true spirit by protecting the financial resources to be optimally used. This empirical finding highlights that the cultural environment is crucial in fostering economic market development in emerging economies.
Drawn on the research gap discussed above and the fundamental role of institutions and culture in influencing the emerging markets financial market and substantial growth, the following research questions are posted:
Derived from the above research questions, the objective of this research is to empirically examine the role of institutions in determining the FMD in 21 emerging markets. Besides this, another objective is to investigate the moderating role of culture in the nexus between institutions and FMD in 21 emerging markets.
To achieve these objectives a balance panel dataset of 21 emerging markets (as classified by the Financial Times Stock Exchange Group (FTSE)), is used for the period from 1984–2020, sources from various secondary data sources. The study applies two-stages least square regression with the instrumental variable approach to overcome the endogeneity problem in the connection of institutions and finance, which is least focused on in prior literature. The rationale for using 21 emerging markets and the use of two stages least square regression 2SLS approach is contented in the methodology section.
Precisely, the present work contributes to the finance institution’s literature in general and emerging market literature in several ways.
First, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first study which considers the role of institutional quality on FMD using the most comprehensive measure of FMD developed by [
18,
19] in the context of emerging economies. This comprehensive index encompasses the multidimensional financial system drawn on various indicators from financial markets and institutions in terms of financial depth, access, and efficiency; therefore, it overcomes the limitations associated with traditional measures of FMD [
18]. Interestingly, the findings are consistent with the literature. Thus, we believe this index represents the multidimensional complex financial system in a true spirit and overcomes the limitations embedded with other traditional measures [
10].
Second, another promising contribution of this study is to bring together four practical institutional quality standards from different sources such as the International Country Risk Guide, Quality of Government, World Bank World Governance Indicator, and Global Competitiveness Index by the World Economic Forum. In particular, this connection uses the institutional measurement from the global competitiveness index for the first time. Although the measurement scale is different, the findings are aligned in positively explaining FMD. Policymakers and practitioners need to understand these measurement differences.
Third, we use La Porta et al. [
20] settler mortality (STM) as an essential instrument for institutional quality in emerging markets. Because the literature on institutional quality and FMD nexus fails to capture the endogeneity problem with traditional estimation procedures, this negligence often produces spurious estimation due to misspecification and a selection of inappropriate econometric methods as an estimator.
Finally, this study’s promising effort is to investigate the extent to which culture moderates the institutional quality to enhance the FMD, as the emerging markets have heterogeneous characteristics, in terms of the cultural, financial, and institutional environment. Stable institutions are not expected to be influenced by culture much, but in the developing stature of emerging markets, it is challenging for regulators and policymakers to inculcate the role of culture in shaping the relationship between institutions and finance. Therefore, the role of institutions in these markets is relatively critical for the optimal utilization of financial resources for growth. This empirical finding highlights that the cultural climate is crucial to foster economic market development. Surprisingly, the interaction of culture with institutional quality negatively explains the FMD in emerging economies. This implies that culture plays a vital role in explaining economic activities [
21]. Understanding cultural values lead to understanding the mechanism by which different stakeholders protect the rights of creditors and investors [
22,
23].
The remaining work is structured as follows. The next section accounts for a brief review of related literature. The third section comes up with the data and methodological foundations. The fourth section discusses empirical results, and the final section concludes the study.
4. Empirical Results
Table 2 reports the descriptive statistical characteristic of all the variables for our sample period. The variables are described as a unit of measurement, data source, mean, minimum, maximum values, and standard deviation, respectively. The observations vary from 252 to 714. The dependent variable, FMD, is rescaled to 100 for a convenient coefficient interpretation. The mean value shows the central value for each series, and the standard deviation indicates the volatility within each series. Overall characteristics of the variables seem sound for further estimation.
We incorporate the results of the baseline model, O.L.S., in
Table 3. Model 1 accounts for the impact of IQ_QoG on the FMD of 21 emerging economies. Model 2–4 measures the impact of alternative institutional quality standards on economic growth. The results in all models confirm that institutional quality positively drives FMD in emerging economies. This inference encourages a further in-depth investigation using a sophisticated approach. Therefore, we use an instrumental variable system under the framework of 2SLS; the results are reported and discussed in the facing section.
Table 4 shows the 2SLS results of the impact of IQ_QoG
on FMD when STM is used as an instrument. First-stage regression in model 1 reveals that one unit variation in STM adversely influences the institutional quality by 0.056. Model 2 examines the impact of IQ_QoG on FMD when STM is used as an instrument. We find that IQ_QoG positively stimulates economic market development in emerging economies. We consider several controls over FMD to overcome the omitted variable bias, and the results show that most rules are significantly associated with economic growth. To test the validity of the instrumental regression approach, we perform endogeneity testing using Durbin and Wu-Hausman statistics. The null hypothesis assumes that variables are exogenous. This hypothesis is tested against the corresponding
p-value of Durbin and Wu-Hausman’s statistics. We reject the null hypothesis when the
p-value is statistically significant, as in our case. Thus, we accept the alternative hypothesis that variables are endogenous. Further post-testing in Eigen statistics denotes the strength of the instrument used for institutional quality. The null hypothesis assumes that the tool is weak, which is tested on the bases of critical values. We find that the null hypothesis is rejected based upon the criterion (calculated Eigenvalue > critical values) that assures the instrument’s strength. Thus, the empirical findings support the choice of instrumental regression as an estimator and make the results satisfactory.
As discussed in
Section 3, we perform one of the robustness with the impact of alternative measures of institutional quality on financial development. In the first part of robustness, three alternative actions are considered in three panels; the results are corroborated in
Table 5. Like the primary model, each panel is systematically estimated in terms of first and second-stage regression. The statistically significant and positive coefficient of institutional quality contends that the quality of institutions in emerging economies enhances financial market development (H1).
The second robustness considers the impact of institutional quality (panel-A to D) on alternative measures of financial development. For this purpose, the study contemplates three bank-based measures of FMD and three stock market-based measures.
Table 6 illustrates the robustness results of the impact of institutional quality on alternative traditional measures of financial development. Model 1–3 captures the effect of institutional quality on stock market-based measures. All these estimators are consistent with the leading results reported in
Table 3, except for the last stock market-based measure of FMD (FD_STV), which does not satisfy the endogeneity test. However, it validates the strength of the instrument.
Table 7 shows the robustness of the impact of institutional quality (ICRG) on the alternative traditional measure of FMD, and results are consistent with that reported in the main analysis, as well as in the above Table.
Table 8 shows the robustness of the impact of institutional quality (W.G.I.) on the alternative traditional stock market-based measures of FMD. The findings are robust and consistent with that are reported in the main analysis.
Table 9 incorporates the robustness of the impact of institutional quality (GCI) on the alternative traditional bank-based and stock market-based measures of financial development. The results are consistent with those reported in the main analysis.
Culture and FMD–Moderation Effect
We report the results of the moderation effect of institutional quality and national culture on FMD in
Table 10, corresponding to alternative measures of institutional quality, respectively. We systematically estimate the impact of culture on consecutive models. First, we examine the effect of culture on FMD in models 1, 3, 5, and 7 using an alternative measure of institutional quality. In the second step, we plugin the interaction of institutional quality and culture and their efforts in models 2, 4, 6, and 8. The interaction term shows that culture negatively moderates the institutional quality and finance nexus.
Although 2SLS deals with the endogeneity, another way, however, to address the reverse causality is to take the lag of independent variables. We extended the analysis using one lag of control variables under the 2SLS setting, and the results are reported in
Table 11. It shows that all measures of institutional quality foster FMD and these findings are consistent with the main estimation.
Aligned with the suggestion of one of the referees, the effect of the global financial crisis of 2008 has been tested as a supplement to the analysis. The effect may be examined by either taking dummy for the 2008 financial crisis, or by separately estimating the relationship of core variables (pre and post) and comparing the results. To examine the effect of the 2008 financial crisis, a dummy variable for the 2008 crisis is included in our model and the results are reported in
Table 12. The results show that the 2008 crisis has not changed the relationship between institutional quality and FMD. The effect of the crisis is also tested using pre- and post-comparison of the 2008 financial crisis and the findings are consistent with those of the main results (for brevity, only dummy variable results are reported here).
5. Discussion
The study considers La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, and Vishny [
20] STM as an instrument for institutional quality in line with Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson [
78], and others who believe that it negatively influences institutional quality. This implies that policymakers need to consider the underlying association of STM with institutions during the policy formulation process. The empirical findings reveal that institution quality promotes FMD in emerging economies. The role of quality institutions is vital in rapidly growing emerging markets and for realistic estimation and policy inputs, policymakers, and researchers to consider the critical role of institutions [
10,
43]. The institutions that need to be enhanced need to ensure an economy’s sustainable development [
11,
48].
Sustainable economic development may only be assured when the institutional framework is enhanced [
11,
30,
43]. Overall findings are consistent with the strand of literature, for example, Smaoui, Grandes, and Akindele [
37] show that bureaucratic quality positively explains the bond market development. Li, Maung, and Wilson [
54] report that creditor rights positively influence equity market development. Law and Azman-Saini [
52] confirm that in developing countries, institutions positively connect with banking sector development. Along the same lines, Yartey [
2] indicates that institutional factors are essential stock market determinants among emerging economies; whereas, Yang [
36] contends that democracy promotes financial development, particularly in the banking sector.
These results are consistent with previous literature on the paradigm that quality institutions enhance the FMD by having a check on corruption to prevent financial resources from being misused by officials at various levels [
36,
37,
38]. The findings across alternative measures of institutional quality under panel-B to panel-D are consistent with the leading results and it is inferred that those alternative measures of institutional quality, in particular IQ_ICRG and IQ_WGI, are robust in explaining FMD in emerging economies. This shows that measures of institutional quality across various databases may be relied upon as found consistent in this study to explain financial markets development.
Interestingly, the overall results support the rationale of using the most comprehensive measure of FMD proposed by Svirydzenka [
18]. This comprehensive index encompasses most of the attributes of the multidimensional financial system. The traditional measures lack in this regard and represent only a few attributes of the complex system [
18]. Therefore, we suggest considering this measure of FMD as a relatively appropriate choice to overcome the limitation embedded with traditional measures used in the literature.
We find that culture is significant for FMD in emerging economies in accelerating the pace of development when included in the estimation process. The negative coefficient of moderation terms explains FMD negatively, which is consistent with the financial socialization theory. De Beckker, De Witte, and Van Campenhout [
69] attribute this negative effect of culture to financial literacy. Specifically, Ahunov and Van Hove [
84] find that financial literacy is lower in countries with more power distance, while the opposite is true for individualism. It would appear that uncertainty avoidance is negatively associated with financial literacy, although the evidence is weak. Thus, it is imperative to consider the cultural factors to fully understand how this may affect the financial system. Emerging economies can provide an attractive culture to individuals and businesses to cultivate their potential through economic activities. This reveals that considering cultural values in policy matters helps the national culture to contribute to economic development through its interaction with institutions. As affirmed by Kwok and Tadesse [
65], the role of culture is significant in shaping the financial system. Emerging markets have become the most attractive segment for multinational corporations and institutional investors due to lucrative opportunities. Paula Koch Koch, Crossan, and Jaworski [
71] examine the effect of national culture on financial decision-making and conclude that national culture affects decision-making, specifically the selection of capital structure.
Further, to enlarge the benefits from such inflows, the critical role of culture should be part of the policy formulation process. Friendly culture is a bonus for expanding domestic or foreign investment. The empirical evidence suggests that emerging economies are passing through a challenging phase, where there is a need to understand the cultural aspects and other indicators. The efficient financial market reduces information asymmetry and transaction costs, which makes them lucrative for financial transactions. High trading volume indicates that the business environment is growing faster, and entrepreneurs do not face financial constraints in launching innovative and technological units.
Emerging markets have undergone substantial reforms and reorganizations over the last few decades. For instance, the banking system, rules, and institutions have all been significantly impacted by the global financial crisis of 2008. Following that catastrophe, many nations restructured their institutions. Our model includes a dummy variable for the 2008 financial crisis to assess the impact of that crisis, and the findings demonstrated that the 2008 financial crisis itself is a significant effect but its implication on the link between institutional quality and the expansion of the financial market is noticeable. This is the case since both the financial markets and institutional improvements in both sectors have undergone significant reforms. The findings gain support from literature, for example, Boubakri, Mirzaei, and Samet [
16], that uncertainty avoidance, collectivism, and power distance have a first-order effect on bank performance during the financial crisis. During the period between 2008 and 2014, Farooq and Amin [
85] demonstrates that investments of firms headquartered in cultures with high power distance, high individualism, and high pragmatism (high uncertainty avoidance, high masculinity, and high indulgence) are significantly less (more) sensitive to their stock prices than investments of firms headquartered in their counterpart cultures. The impact of culture on managers and institutions influences financial choices. Individualism contributes positively to financial decisions, but uncertainty avoidance has the opposite effect [
50]. The influence of cultural attitudes and the difficulty of enforcing financial commitments on economic progress appears to be minimal [
64]. This implies that during the financial crisis the role of culture and its dimensions partly determine the direction of effect on the financial system, as the banking sector is relatively well managed compared with the stock market. The findings of this study imply that emerging countries should prioritize enhancing their institutional quality by re-evaluating the rules of law, government efficiency, and citizen participation as institutional variables coupled with considering the pivotal role of culture. Institutions in emerging countries should be strengthened through cultural promotion and efficient use of financial resources, according to these findings.
6. Conclusions and Policy Recommendations
Emerging markets are of great importance due to the rapid transformation of institutional and financial regulations, and it is imperative to study how financial markets’ development responds to institutional quality. This article provides a discussion on institutions and their implication to foster FMD across 21 emerging markets. It is found that institutions enhance FMD in emerging markets. This may root in bureaucratic quality, law and order, control over corruption, enforcing property rights, and ensuring the voice and accountability may provide financial benefits to the stakeholders effectively and efficiently where asymmetric information and adverse selection may be minimized.
Understanding the cultural dimensions in this paradigm is vital to be understood and inculcated in policy agenda because it takes various channels to show its implication such as financial literacy, investment, and financial decision-making. Emerging economies can provide an attractive culture to individuals and businesses to cultivate their potential through economic activities. This reveals that considering cultural values in policy matters helps the national culture to contribute to economic development through its interaction with institutions. Culture plays an essential role in explaining financial activities; understanding cultural values leads to understanding the mechanism using different stakeholders’ protected rights of creditors and investors. Conducive culture gives confidence to potential investors with a harmonized environment where uncertainty is relatively low. Such an environment opens new investment avenues for investors, which involves the entire financial system growing by speeding up the velocity of economic activities. It is crucial to comprehend the connection between financial development and institutions, as the growth dividend from financial development can be boosted by strengthening institutions and understanding the culture. We argue that academicians, policymakers, and researchers need to understand the significant role of institutional and cultural dimensions in configuring an effective financial system.
This study is an endeavor to capture the effect of institutional quality and culture on FMD in emerging markets. Extending the analysis to the micro level may illustrate interesting country-specific input for policy agenda because cultural dimensions across each of the markets may not be the same.