1. Introduction
According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the current climate change is likely to increase the intensity and frequency of extreme events [
1]. This is particularly the case for heatwaves, the severity of which has increased in Europe in recent decades [
2,
3]. In addition, rising temperatures due to global climate change is amplified by the effect of urban heat islands [
4]. This phenomenon is widely analyzed and is one of the major themes of urban climatology, particularly its impact on human health [
5]. An Urban Heat Island (UHI) is characterized by a difference in temperature between an urban area and the surrounding rural environments. Generally, the temperature of urban areas is higher than in rural areas, especially at night. However, exceptions may exist, such as in cities like Las Vegas or Madrid (heat sink [
6,
7,
8]).
Typically, there are three distinct UHI types: canopy UHI, boundary-layer UHI, and surface UHI. The urban canopy is the layer between the ground and building rooftops, and it is strongly influenced by surface, morphological, and anthropic parameters. The boundary layer is just above the canopy layer, and is affected by both the microscale processes taking place underneath it, as well as the mesoscale processes taking place above it [
8,
9,
10,
11]. The key parameter in characterizing the boundary-layer UHI is air temperature. These two types of UHI are complemented by the study of surface UHIs (SUHIs), which is based on the measurement of land-surface temperatures (LST) that directly influence air temperature in the canopy layer by energy exchange [
9,
11,
12,
13]. This study concentrates on SUHI because of the lack of ground measurements on the study sites.
Heat intensification can be explained primarily by the surface parameters related to the replacement of vegetation cover, wetlands, and water surfaces by artificial surfaces, resulting in low evaporation and evapotranspiration. This effect is combined with the effect caused by buildings made of low albedo materials with high thermal inertia, which absorb and store heat, often leading to a thermal time lag of a few hours depending on the size and type of the buildings and climate. Morphological parameters related to urban roughness and the sky-view factor can also be the reasons for an increase of UHIs. The former can provoke a reduction of the wind speed and the latter can limit the release of heat at night [
14]. However, urban density associated with very tall buildings can also have a cooling effect because of their projected shadow, which helps to minimize increases in the intensity of the early night-time UHI [
15]. Finally, there are also anthropogenic parameters such as industrial heat emissions, heating, transport, or air conditioning. Therefore, it is common to find higher temperatures in urban areas compared to rural areas, ranging from about 5 to 10 °C during favorable weather conditions, that is, clear skies and no wind [
9].
Thermal gradients can be quantified in different ways. For air-temperature measurements, fixed measurements are most often used. However, urban-monitoring networks are generally not dense enough to characterize the processes occurring on such a small scale [
16]. Thus, mobile measurements can be used, operating by transect, though they are not continuous in time, contrary to a ground measurement network [
17,
18]. Surface temperatures are most often measured by remote sensing using satellites. Upwelling thermal radiance is initially measured and is then converted into surface temperature through different algorithms [
19]. Sometimes, surface temperature is collected by thermal imagers on board aircrafts or from a high point overlooking the study site. It can be noted that air temperature and the LST are two different parameters that should not be confused: air temperature concerns the canopy layer, whereas LST is a two-dimensional measurement of thermal infrared data obtained by remote sensing. The latter is often a few degrees higher than the former given optimal conditions for surface-temperature measurement [
9,
10]. In addition, areas with the highest LSTs may not exactly correspond to those with the highest ambient air temperature, and the linear relationship between these two parameters is sometimes not obvious [
8,
11,
20]. Furthermore, more qualitative UHI measurements can be obtained by collecting data in situ, involving asking users about their thermal sensitivity and site practice through questionnaires, interviews, or mental maps, for example [
21,
22,
23]. In addition, the participation of users in the process can mobilize and raise awareness of the phenomenon of thermal discomfort. However, in addition to the subjectivity of the responses, the representability of the data collected may remain partial depending on the number and panel of respondents.
UHI has consequences on the energy consumption necessary for household air conditioning, but also especially has an impact on human health. Indeed, heat can cause thermal stress and lead to risks of sunstroke, dehydration, hyperthermia, and heat stroke. The most sensitive people are the elderly, infants, young children, and sick people [
24,
25]. In addition to physical fitness, social vulnerability is also an important risk factor with unsuitable housing or isolated communities [
26].
The 2003 heatwave caused an excess mortality of 70,000 deaths in Europe [
27]. More locally, in France, the heatwaves of 2003, 2006, and 2015 respectively caused 19,490, 1388, and 3275 deaths according to the International Disaster Database EM-DAT (
https://www.emdat.be/). During the 2003 heatwave in Paris, excess mortality was 141% higher than the summer average, and 80% higher in Lyon, the second-largest city in France [
28,
29]. In addition, an increase in surface UHI of around 0.5 °C could be the cause of these doubling mortality rates [
30]. Victims were mainly counted in large cities. This phenomenon is concerning given that more than half of the world’s population currently lives in urbanized areas according to the Population Reference Bureau (
https://www.prb.org/), and thus a large portion of the population is exposed to it. The problem will only worsen, seeing as, by 2050, 70% of the population is predicted to live in urban areas, with no apparent trend reversal [
31].
Solutions must be found through urban-planning policies by implementing sustainable adaptation strategies, such as those recommended by the European Climate Adaptation Platform, in particular by increasing green and shaded areas [
15] in order to improve the thermal comfort of the inhabitants [
8,
14,
32]. Solutions should begin with a better understanding of UHIs, and an assessment of the effect of urban development and temperature renewal.
Previous studies have mainly focused on studying differences in ground temperatures as a function of land-use land cover and its evolution at the city level [
16,
16,
20,
33,
34,
35], temporal trends in urban SUHI in urban areas [
18,
36,
37], the refreshing impact of parks on their surroundings [
15,
38,
39], the evolution of SUHI as a function of day and night [
9,
34,
40,
41], the impact of vegetation on LST at the urban scale [
12,
36,
37,
42], comparison of surface temperatures and air temperature [
8,
9,
10,
20,
43,
44], the impact of surface temperatures on health [
30,
41] and transversely at surface temperatures at moderate resolutions (MODIS 1 km) [
16,
20,
34,
35,
36,
42,
45] but, to our knowledge, there are no similar studies such as ours that analyze the thermal monitoring of site redevelopment at such a detailed spatial and temporal resolution.
Consequently, this study focuses on six urban sites in the Lyon metropolitan area that have been the target of major redevelopments. The objective is to compare the evolution of surface temperatures, as well as humidity or vegetation spectral indices (among others) of these sites, obtained for days of similar climatic conditions, ante- and post-redevelopment. The data are recovered from the measurement campaigns of Landsat satellite sensors, as MODIS data are of too-low resolution for the purposes of this study. First, the connections between these different spectral indices and the surface temperature are explored to identify which indices most influence temperatures. Quantifying the effects of land-use changes on urban microclimates provides urban planners with valuable information on the impact of certain land-cover types, which helps in the decision-making process. Secondly, the study area is presented, as well as the remote-sensing data and statistical methods. Thirdly, the results are shown and analyzed to discuss their implications and how they contribute to the improvement of urban planning in the context of UHI mitigation.
4. Discussion
The results highlight two distinct site configurations: requalifications that integrate vegetation and a consequent water supply with a decrease in surface temperatures (Confluence and Kaplan), and developments that focus less on environmental quality but more on the development itself, with a stagnation of surface temperatures (Museum, dock, and Garibaldi Street), or even an increase (Groupama Stadium). Indeed, a decrease in surface temperature was observed at the Confluence and Kaplan sites, validated by the Wilcoxon and SNHT tests. In addition, the Pettitt and Mann–Kendall trends confirm this decrease for the Confluence site (
Table 5 and
Table 6). A similar decrease can be observed for UTFVI. For example, before its redesign, Confluence’s UTFVI oscillated around 0.15 (e.g., 0.23 in 2001, 0.21 in 2002, 0.15 in 2005), representative of a stronger urban heat island phenomenon (
Table 5). After redevelopment, the UTFVI fell below 0.05, sometimes even with negative values (−0.02 in 2015 and −0.01 in 2017), representative of a low ICU and a good or excellent Ecological Evaluation Index (
Table 5).
These results are in accordance with more significant changes on the site: vacant land areas with little or no vegetation gave way to grassed and wooded areas, associated with more humidity (
Figure 2). Because of its revegetation, the NDVI and NDMI increased, as indicated by the four tests (
Figure 10 and
Figure 11). With regard to the MNDWI, there is also a positive variation following the transformation. Indeed, in the case of the Confluence site, a 2 ha water basin was dug (
Figure 2). The dock explains the positive MNDWI values obtained after redevelopment, reflecting Landsat mesh pixels completely covered with water. For the Jacob Kaplan Park, a 540 m
2 pool was also created. However, given the Landsat grid area of 900 m
2, no positive value was obtained. The building (NDBI) and bare soil (NDBaI) indices, on the other hand, unsurprisingly decreased. (
Figure 12 and
Figure 13). Indeed, land-cover changes have largely been characterized by green spaces and water surfaces.
This transformation of the environment of these two sites was planned before redevelopment by country planners and promoters. In addition to the primary objective of converting these former industrial areas into tertiary or residential sectors, considerable attention has been paid to the living environment offered to residents and passers-by, with a large number of environmental amenities. However, a careful reading of the development projects in these areas indicates that the notion of thermal comfort in itself was not present in the urban-planning documents. However, it is possible to find development objectives in terms of limiting rainwater discharge into the sewerage network in order to minimize its overloading and prevent flooding. This was made possible by promoting infiltration at the source, particularly through valleys or water gardens (
Figure 14). These developments linked to rainwater infiltration are therefore initially intended to fight against flooding and massive waterproofing. However, they have a secondary role in combating heat in urban areas, although this was not present in the minds of planners. Indeed, even in summer, these oases of greenery provide freshness and shade to the surrounding areas.
The Confluence and Kaplan major transformations required several million euros of investment over several years. They led to a decrease in surface temperature following the creation of water areas and vegetated areas in place of asphalt surfaces and brownfields. This was followed by increases in the NDVI and NDMI, combined with decreases in the NDBI and NDBaI. In addition to improving the environment, they helped change the image of the neighborhood. Indeed, until the mid-2000s, the Confluence district had a very negative reputation. It was the location of the wholesale market, as well as Saint Paul and Saint Joseph, two prisons that were built in the 19th century south of Perrache station. In addition, the neighborhood was very much affected by prostitution. In 2009, the prisons were relocated to eastern Lyon. The historic buildings were renovated and are now used as premises for the Catholic University of Lyon. The wholesale market was also closed in 2009 and was also moved to eastern Lyon. Kaplan Park followed a similar progression as part of a broader redevelopment operation. Formerly made up of industrial wasteland after having been a site for the construction of railway equipment, the site is now the southern gateway to the Part-Dieu business district.
The situation is different when considering the dock, Garibaldi Street, and the Museum site. For these three sites, unlike the sites with more significant transformations, no change in surface temperature was observed, except by the Wilcoxon signed rank test, which indicated an increase for both sites (
Table 7,
Table 8 and
Table 9). The same is true for the UTFVI. The explanation probably lies in the fact that these sites have been subject to minor instead of major redevelopments. On the dock, 2500 and 1600 m
2 of asphalt were transformed into lawn and water, respectively, as evidenced by the increase in the MNDWI. However, 2800 m
2 of gore (a type of sandy soil resulting from the decomposition of granite) was replaced by mainly grey stone (
Figure 4). In addition, about ten tall trees in the south of the site were cut down and replaced by small shrubs that do not yet offer significant shaded vegetated areas (
Figure 4). These reasons could explain the stagnation of surface temperature (
Table 7) and NDVI (
Figure 10), the decrease in NDBI (
Figure 12), and the increase in NDMI (
Figure 11). The NDBaI did not change because no bare soil was present at the time, just as in its current state (
Figure 3 and
Figure 13).
As with the dock and Garibaldi Street, results suggested that the surface temperatures at the Museum site were stable, except for the Wilcoxon test, which detected an increase (
Table 7). The latter also detected a decrease in NDVI, NDBaI, and NDBI. The decrease in the NDBI was also confirmed by the other tests, which did not, however, find a trend for the NDVI and the NDBI. The stabilizations of the NDVI and NDBaI are not surprising: the vegetated areas and bare land areas did not really change during requalification (
Figure 2). Before its requalification, the site had relatively few vegetated areas that were not really maintained. Following its redevelopment, the site does not really have any more vegetated surface. In addition, all high trees were cut down and replaced by herbaceous surfaces in which shrubs were planted, which do not yet offer significant shade. The NDBI decreased as a result of the decrease in built areas from 40,000 to 33,000 m
2. In contrast, the NDMI experienced a significant increase according to all tests. This is linked to the intensive maintenance of green spaces and the installation of gore that retains moisture. The site of the Lyon Museum is a key place for the urban area, clearly visible from the main southern highway. Thus, site managers take care to offer an abundantly watered green space to visitors and passers-by.
In the context of Garibaldi Street, surface temperature did not change because, as on the dock, redevelopments were less significant than those at Confluence and at Kaplan Park (
Table 8 and
Figure 3). The urban highway was replaced by lighter modes of transport, road transport has been reduced, and coexistence between pedestrians, cyclists, and motorists has been facilitated. However, shrub cover has not considerably changed, as indicated by the stagnation of the NDVI (
Figure 3 and
Figure 10). Sustainable stormwater-management surface developments have emerged with the creation of valleys, which helps explain the increase in the NDMI (
Figure 11) and the decrease in the NDBI (
Figure 12). However, these developments are difficult to detect from the sky because of their small size, especially since they are located under the vegetative cover of taller trees (
Figure 3). As on the dock site, the NDBaI did not change for similar reasons (
Figure 13).
It appears that the light requalifications of these sites had no beneficial impact on surface temperature. On the contrary, an increase was even detected by the Wilcoxon test, thus reducing the thermal comfort of the inhabitants. This is evident when we specifically focus on the development of the docks. The century-old trees that produced wide shade in summer were cut down and replaced by bleachers of white stones and grey deactivated concrete (
Figure 14). The trees that were planted there will not provide shade comparable to their predecessors for many years to come. In summer, this place has become very uncomfortable due to the very high heat and associated reverberation, especially since it is exposed to the west and south. It appears that the place is unattended by the population on summer afternoons.
The same applies to the square in front of the museum (
Figure 2 and
Figure 14). In addition to its cultural vocation, the main function of the redevelopment of the museum site was thus to ensure a communication and enhancement role for the image of the Lyon metropolis. Architects and local elected officials probably did not want trees to hide their creation. Consequently, the front square is composed of a 2000 m
2 concrete area without any vegetation or shade. This results in extremely high temperatures on summer afternoons, providing major thermal discomfort, especially when people wishing to visit the museum have to queue for hours under the sun without any protection. In addition, tiny crystals are included in the concrete for purely aesthetic purposes, to make the ground sparkle. However, in summer, they strongly reflect the sun’s rays, which is extremely unpleasant for the eyes and increases thermal discomfort.
The results from the Groupama Stadium site show a significant increase in surface temperature and UTFVI (
Table 10). Surface temperatures were already relatively high in summer on ploughed agricultural land, with average temperatures of 38.2 and 36.8 °C in July 2003 and June 2005, respectively. However, after the construction of the stadium, surface temperatures have been exceeding 40 °C, with, for example, 42.2°C in July 2013 and 42.3 °C in August 2015. According to the UTFVI, the urban heat island phenomenon was weak or better (−0.121 in 2002 and −0.009 in 2004 and 2005 for example) on the site before building the Stadium, but jumped to 0.096 in 2015 or 0.071 in 2016, meaning a stronger UHI, with the worst ecological evaluation index (
Table 4 and
Table 10). The stadium was built on agricultural and wooded land: this resulted in a decrease in the NDVI, which had high values before construction (0.315 in 2001; 0.491 in 2002), and now has much lower values (0.087 in 2014; 0.190 in 2017). On the other hand, the NDMI increased for the Wilcoxon test. This can be explained by the fact that the site was overwhelmingly occupied by agricultural land before the stadium was built. In the middle of summer, these lands had very low NDMI values after harvests (−0.213 in 2003; −0.278 in 2004). These agricultural fields have been replaced by football fields that require abundant watering in summer. This results in higher overall NDMI values, especially since the training grounds have been fully used in recent years (0.032 in 2016; 0.016 in 2017). The decrease in the NDBI for the Wilcoxon test in particular is more counterintuitive (0.213 in 2003; 0.024 in 2014; −0.032 in 2016). Similarly, the increase in the MNDWI, confirmed by all the tests, may seem surprising in view of the developments carried out in the area (−0.456 in 2001; −0.372 in 2005; −0.164 in 2015). These are the limitations of these indicators, which are discussed in more detail in the section on the study’s uncertainties and limitations.
The objective of the redevelopment of the Groupama Stadium site is different from the work carried out on the other sites. Indeed, on the other five sites, the objective was to redevelop old obsolete sites where the natural environment was more constrained than accepted, and not at all enhanced. The redevelopment of these sites has thus allowed the return of more natural habitats, with additional wetness, even if the objective of reducing heat stress was not clearly identified. This resulted in the opposite results on surface temperature, depending on the nature of the work and the developments that took place. However, changes in the sites’ function were not as abrupt as for the Groupama Stadium. Indeed, in this case, land use was totally modified because the sports complex was built on agricultural and wooded land. This has resulted in an overall decrease in vegetation, an increase in surface temperature, and a decrease in biodiversity. As this place is only frequented by the population during matches or concerts, the problem of heat stress seems to be less problematic than for the museum, dock, and Garibaldi Street sites, especially since the events generally take place in the evening, during lower temperatures. Nevertheless, the construction of the stadium did have a local impact on the surrounding thermal environment, which in a way contributes to the overall increase in the urban heat island of Lyon.
The work presented in this article is innovative since it focuses on the impact of site redevelopment on surface temperature and its environment over a period of about fifteen years, taking into account the initial state of the site until it is completely transformed and after a few years of use. Nevertheless, this work has some limitations related to various factors that we now discuss.
Changes in surface temperatures and humidity have been highlighted. However, these changes are only perceived through satellite data, with a 30 m mesh, and all the limitations inherent in this type of data. Thus, it would have been very interesting to be able to benefit from ground measurements, particularly of temperature and humidity, in order to compare the two means of measuring parameters. However, no measurements were available. The Greater Lyon area suffers from a total lack of a ground-temperature measurement network, despite our repeated requests to the city’s engineers, although it was equipped with rain gauges for some 20 years. This comparison is thus one of the possibilities of this work. Indeed, mobile temperature and humidity measurements are currently being carried out by us, synchronous with the passage of Landsat.
Secondly, the surface temperature or air temperature does not directly reflect thermal comfort. Indeed, the latter depends on other parameters such as humidity, radiation, insolation or wind speed. To evaluate thermal comfort, several indices were proposed, such as the thermohygrometric index [
97], the heat index [
32,
98], and the Universal Thermal Climate Index [
99,
100]. These quantitative indices can be combined with more qualitative approaches, such as commented paths [
22,
23]. A study of this kind is currently underway in Lyon, with the participation of visually impaired people.
In addition, the requalification study sites have different sizes: Kaplan 6000 m2, Garibaldi Street 14,500 m2, dock 20,000 m2, museum 42,900 m2, and Confluence 170,000 m2 (Groupama Stadium with its 550,000 m2 is a special case given its construction on mainly agricultural land). The study sites are relative to a dense Western European metropolitan area. Confluence remains one of the largest redevelopment projects in Lyon. In addition, the results of the impact of redevelopment on surface temperature do not depend on site size, but on the type of facilities that are being deployed. Indeed, the two sites that had a positive impact on surface temperature were not the largest (Kaplan and Confluence) but those that have been most profoundly transformed, with significant vegetation changes and an increase in humid/water surfaces. It is therefore necessary for developers to take into account the nature of the work and to know that even a relatively small site, for example, less than 10,000 m2, could have a positive impact on local UHIs. Though each redevelopment project is unique, the results can be applicable to areas other than just those studied depending on the types of redevelopments.
Within the framework of this study, six sites in the Lyon metropolitan area were studied. The choice of these sites was determined by the scope and type of redevelopment, but also by the study period. Indeed, the redevelopment had to take place between the mid-2000s and early 2010 in order to be able to study the initial and final conditions of each of the sites. As the results showed, the impacts are dependent on the type of the redevelopment carried out, and not on the size of the sites. Thus, the impact of each redevelopment is specific, and the multiplication of the number of sites may not be essential.
The different surface temperatures and spectral indices were calculated using Landsat 5 before the developments took place, and with Landsat 8 afterward. The wavelengths of the different bands changed very slightly, with Landsat 8 being slightly narrower, but changes remained small and were not likely to affect the results (for example, the red band of Landsat 5 was 0.63–0.69 µm, and that of Landsat was 0.64–0.67 µm). Another limitation related to the satellite data is in the study grid. As mentioned in
Section 2.4, thermal strips were at 30 m resolution in the delivered data product after resampling. However, in urban areas, the diversity of land use means that there is a high diversity of materials in a mesh. This weakens the spectral signal. A solution would be to carry out measurements that would acquire high-resolution urban land-surface temperature data (e.g., 7 m/pixel) [
8,
41]. Finally, there are several algorithms for calculating surface temperature, as mentioned in
Section 2.4, and a comparison of the different results at the sites would be interesting, although the results should probably be very close [
101].
As explained in
Section 2.5, a selection of spectral indices was picked. For example, for the vegetation study, the effectiveness of four indices was evaluated from the literature and site application (NDVI, SAVI, EVI, and GVI), and the NDVI was selected for this study. Nevertheless, trends in the other indices were also analyzed and the results are consistent with those used, with the exception of the NDWI. Indeed, the latter is “often mixed with built-up land noise and the area of extracted water is thus overestimated” [
88].
In addition, the spectral indices themselves could have weaknesses. For example, although the use of MNDWI is preferable to NDWI [
102], some pixels that were identified as water were not in reality. This is especially the case in the eastern part of the urban area and does not concern the studied sites (
Figure 6). Concerning the NDBI and, as mentioned above on the Groupama Stadium site, (only) the Wilcoxon test indicated a decrease in the number of built areas. This cannot be the case because the stadium was built on agricultural and wooded land. This is a limitation of the indicator itself that presents difficulties in separating constructed and bare ground due to the high complexity of spectral-response patterns [
91,
103]. Another limitation may be related to the NDBaI, which has problems “to distinguish cultivated areas and urban areas where an urban heat island is serious” [
104].