1. Introduction
Climate change has been shown to be a principal factor changing the hydrological cycle on a global scale [
1]. The drought cycle pattern in South Korea has been shortened recently, and droughts of varying intensity have occurred every year since 2013 [
2]. The Boryeong Dam, which serves as a major water source in the middle-western region of Korea, recorded its lowest storage volume in 2015 due to the continuous shortage of precipitation since 2014. The dam levels were stabilized by limiting domestic water consumption in the region and constructing a water supply tunnel of 21.9 km, connecting the Geum River to the Boryeong Dam catchment [
3]. The Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs of Korea [
4] has classified the drought warning steps according to the storage of the dam into four stages: the concern stage (less than 70% storage in a normal year), warning stage (less than 60%), caution stage (less than 50%), and serious stage (less than 40%). The water storage volume of the Boryeong Dam in 2015 decreased to 18.87%, reaching the serious stage due to the extreme drought that occurred in the central region of Korea [
5]. The drought in the central region continued, and the water storage rate reached 8.29% in 2017—the lowest water storage level since the construction of the Boryeong Dam [
5]. Jung et al. [
6] analyzed the drought index using unstructured data of the climate, streamflow, and rainfall of Boryeong city in the dry years of 2014–2016. Yu et al. [
7] analyzed the drought transitions in meteorological and agricultural droughts, including the 2015 drought, and Kim et al. [
8] assessed the water shortage of the Boryeong Dam by applying future climate change scenarios.
As the frequency and intensity of droughts have increased, the importance of groundwater as a sustainable water resource has been recognized [
9]. According to the Third Comprehensive Long-Term Water Resources Plan (2016) of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport of Korea, the groundwater level is decreasing every year due to groundwater consumption and urbanization. Groundwater use, which was 2.57 billion m
3 in 1994, increased by ~60% to 4.1 billion m
3 in 2014, indicating a very high dependence on groundwater use in Korea [
10]. Groundwater is an important water resource that dominates streamflow, especially in the dry season, and its variability directly contributes to the health of a stream [
11]. Brunner et al. [
12] analyzed MODFLOW simulations related to surface water–groundwater interactions. Mukherjee et al. [
13] showed that the depletion of streams is related to the reduction in baseflow caused by groundwater storage depletion in adjacent aquifers.
Groundwater storage is not only affected by meteorological factors but can also be significantly affected by groundwater extraction for agricultural purposes [
14], and groundwater withdrawals for agricultural purposes have a significant impact on the groundwater system of the watershed itself [
15]. In addition, the paddy field area accounts for approximately 8.21% of the Korean territory [
16], and about 51% of the total amount of groundwater consumption is used only for agriculture [
17]. Therefore, the impact of groundwater withdrawals for agricultural purposes on the hydrological cycle of the catchment must be closely examined to accurately estimate the impact of drought on groundwater levels in paddy field areas in Korea. Since the aquifer is dynamically connected to the nearby sub-catchments, it is necessary to quantitatively analyze not only the groundwater movement in paddy fields but also the hydrological interactive responses between the paddy field areas and the whole watershed. Leng et al. [
18] performed and analyzed Community Land Model 4.0 (CLM4) simulations driven by downscaled/bias-corrected historical simulations and future projections from general circulation models (GCMs) to investigate the effects of irrigation on global water resources. Ferguson and Maxwell [
19] evaluated and compared the impacts of large-scale climate change and local-scale water management practices in an agricultural watershed using a fully integrated model of groundwater, surface water, and land surface processes. Sorooshian et al. [
20] investigated the impacts of agricultural irrigation on hydrological processes in California using a regional climate model (RCM), an offline land surface model output, and available in situ observations and remote sensing data. Kannan [
21] developed a modeling approach for canal irrigation systems and irrigation best management practices (BMPs) to simulate the hydrological balance of irrigated watersheds based on the water requirements of crops, the number and frequency of irrigation systems, and critical crop water requirement stages. Ozdogan et al. [
22] described an original technique for applying satellite-derived irrigation data within a land surface model (LSM) and evaluated the effects on irrigation in the United States. Essaid et al. [
23] examined changes in streamflow, groundwater discharge to the stream, and stream temperature resulting from irrigation practices using a watershed-scale surface water and groundwater flow integrated model.
The Boryeong Dam catchment is representative of most Korean catchments, with a steep and mountainous catchment including paddy field areas. Even though this catchment is not a regional-scale watershed, with an area of only 163 km2, it has complex interactive hydrological cycle processes due to human activities such as groundwater abstraction, agricultural reservoirs, and export and import water supply systems in the catchment. However, most studies on hydrological runoff modeling in Korea have focused on the surface runoff analysis and have not suggested human activities including groundwater pumping for irrigation demand and water intake systems in the watershed.
In this study, a runoff simulation of the Boryeong Dam catchment was conducted using a physical parameter-based and surface–groundwater integrated hydrological model for paddy fields in Korea, including a paddy module that considers the ponding depth and levee height of the irrigation area of the watershed. The groundwater levels of the paddy and forest areas of the watershed were analyzed and compared with two consecutive periods of wet years (2010–2013) and drought years (2014–2016).
4. Conclusions and Summary
The impact of drought on groundwater levels over the Boryeong Dam catchment was analyzed in the present study. We conducted a single watershed runoff simulation for 2000–2019 using three infiltration methods to calibrate the parameters and determine the most suitable infiltration method for the study area. Runoff simulations with three infiltration methods were calibrated for 2000–2009 and validated for 2010–2019 against the observed streamflow. The results of the single watershed runoff simulation show that the rainfall excess infiltration method showed the most satisfactory model performance compared to the Horton and Green–Ampt infiltration methods, with values of 0.802 for NSE and 0.827 for KGE in the calibrated period, and 0.722 for NSE and 0.825 for KGE in the validated period. Then, the Boryeong Dam catchment model with the rainfall excess infiltration method was divided into 10 sub-catchments to analyze the hydrological cycle processes in paddy field and forest sub-catchments and the groundwater level changes in drought periods. The wet period of 2010–2012 and the dry period of 2014–2016 were selected based on the average annual precipitation and the average annual runoff ratio. In addition, the model considered the human impacts on the hydrological cycle over the study area, such as reservoirs, the agricultural groundwater pumping rate, and the import or export of water in the catchment.
The annual comparisons of the observed and simulated streamflow for each year showed that streamflow was overestimated by the model in the wet period and slightly underestimated in the dry period. In the case of the wet period, the statistical results of R2, NSE, KGE, and RMSE were 0.74, 0.73, 0.80, and 10.25, respectively, while in the case of the dry period, these values were 0.76, 0.76, 0.80, and 2.54, respectively, indicating that both model performances for the wet and dry periods showed a satisfactory model performance.
The differences in the groundwater level in the forest catchments were larger than those in the paddy field catchments, as groundwater use in the dry period in the paddy sub-catchments was 11.6% compared to 21.4% in the wet period.
During the wet period in the forest sub-catchments, the groundwater level continued to decrease from January to May and started to increase from June—the rainy season—showing the highest groundwater level in July. During the dry period, the groundwater levels did not significantly change in the forest catchments. In the case of the paddy field catchments, the groundwater level affected by the irrigation period recovered rapidly, showing a sharp increase in August in response to the rainy season during the wet period; however, it recovered slowly during the dry period due to the lack of precipitation in the rainy season. The agricultural groundwater use was limited during the drought period to 11.6–21.4% compared to the normal period, and the recovery of the groundwater level in the paddy field catchments took a longer time.
Groundwater is the main source of fresh water required for socio-economic development in the region for both domestic and agricultural use. The sustainable use of agricultural groundwater depends on understanding the dynamic behavior and responses of groundwater in paddy catchments and their relationship to other hydrological components. Since groundwater and surface water flows have strong interrelationships, they need to be considered and managed in combination. The use of integrated surface–groundwater modeling analysis is necessary to model groundwater availability under present and future climate conditions and to ensure the sustainability of groundwater use.
The results of this study reveal that agricultural groundwater availability is dependent on the prevailing climatic conditions. It is necessary to secure sustainable groundwater resources through efficient water management at the catchment scale and to compare the hydrological cycle processes between the mountainous catchments and paddy field catchments in Korea. Subsequent studies are needed to accurately analyze the hydrological cycle process of paddy field catchments by analyzing the relationship between precipitation, groundwater levels, baseflow, and groundwater recharge.