Multi-Criteria Evaluation of Spatial Aspects in the Selection of Wind Farm Locations: Integrating the GIS and PROMETHEE Methods
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methodological Framework
- The candidacy of several locations included in the evaluation process—after carrying out the elimination stage, potentially favorable locations are nominated as potential wind farm sites, which from the aspect of wind potential can be included in the evaluation process. In this study are four candidate locations that stand out as very favorable in the Republic of Serbia because of their wind potential (Figure 2). All four locations have similar wind potential and the same spatial scope, but differences in their micro-locational characteristics, and they were chosen exclusively for the purposes of this study, i.e., to illustrate the evaluation procedure.
- Determining the weight categories (WC) assigned to individual criteria as a score for the location according to the WC and value scale—when a potential location is evaluated according to all the given criteria, two procedures are possible: 1. Simple addition of the scores obtained, or 2. Multiplying the score obtained with the score for its significance (weight value). The first procedure for evaluating a potential location is the simplest, with very few requirements, but it does not recognize the different importance of individual criteria on the scale of criteria. By simply adding the scores for each individual criterion, the most favorable score is obtained, but it is one-dimensional. Evaluating locations in this way also lacks different scenarios that can be of great help to decision-makers. The second procedure is more complex and can use different scenarios as elaborated below. The weight category, or weight factor, involves determining the initial quantitative values of certain criteria or groups of criteria. Determining the weights of the criteria relates to the greater or lesser importance of a criterion in the process of determining a wind farm location. The weight categories and their values can be determined according to various methods (for an overview of these methods see [79,80,81,82,83,84,85]. Regardless of the choice of methods for determining weight categories, they are always burdened by the subjectivity of experts, which, however, does not significantly affect the evaluation results based on them. PROMETHEE does not provide specific guidelines for determining these weights, but assumes that the decision-maker is able to weigh the criteria appropriately, at least when the number of criteria is not too large [86]. In this case, depending on their importance for evaluating the quality of a location, the criteria are classified into three weight categories (WC), each with approximately the same number of criteria. Each WC has its own specific value—a weight that is multiplied by the score for the corresponding criterion (Table 3). As a result, a final score is obtained for each individual criterion. The specific values by weight categories are:
- 3.
- Classification of criteria into different groups and evaluation in relation to different scenarios—if the criteria for locating wind farms are classified into several basic groups, then as many scenarios as there are basic groups of criteria should be considered. In the first scenario, criteria from one group are favored as the most important. In the second scenario, criteria from another group are the most important, and so on. As the final option, the situation is considered in which the groups of criteria are multiplied by the same rating of importance, without favoring any individual group of criteria. This can be considered as a supplementary procedure, which is indispensable in cases when the results of the evaluation according to weight categories are approximately equal, making decision making more difficult. This study classifies the criteria into two groups: spatial and socio-economic (Table 4). Spatial criteria refer to spatial relationships expressed in distances, while socio-economic criteria refer, on one hand, to the social aspects and acceptability of the location and, on the other hand, to the investments necessary for the development of the project. Both groups of criteria are connected with the spatial, i.e., physical/geographical, characteristics of the space.
3. Results
4. Discussion and Conclusions
- The choice of elimination and general evaluation criteria is defined on the basis of four components: 1. Analysis of a large number of scientific papers; 2. The authors’ practical experience from participating in the development of many wind power projects in the Western Balkans, Europe (some of the projects are listed in Section 2 of the paper); 3. Adaptation of the criteria and value scale to local regulations for the specific examples used in the paper, as well as the specificity of each project, the physical/geographical characteristics of the locations and others; 4. The addition of evaluation criteria not present in other scientific articles on the theme of selecting wind farm locations, but whose significance is elaborated in scientific articles that deal with important issues related to wind farms in general, such as the social aspects of their impact (e.g., the local community’s acceptance of the location, which is determined through the transparency of the procedure and the results of surveys).
- The paper proposes a number of stages in the process of choosing optimal wind farm locations: 1. The elimination stage for unfavorable areas; 2. Multi-criteria evaluation of the candidate locations according to weight categories; and 3. The evaluation stage for candidate locations according to different scenarios. Carrying out these stages provides decision-makers with enough options based on which they can make sound decisions based on viewing the problem from different angles. The approach is also sufficiently flexible to include all actors in the process of selecting a location with regard to identifying the goals of using a certain space, adaptation to local regulations, and respecting the needs of both the local community and investors.
- The authors tried to make the conceptualization and elaboration of the methodological approach very simple and understandable, and therefore easily applicable. They were guided by the idea that it should be possible to apply scientific knowledge and results in practice so that they can be used by a wide group of professionals who are not involved in science but rather in the development of wind power projects as professionals.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
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Elimination Criteria | Reasoning | References from Other Studies | Source of Data Used in the Paper |
---|---|---|---|
1. NATURA 2000 1 areas | This elimination criterion refers to the area of Europe, but it can be applied to all other continents, taking into account protected natural areas and national parks, especially IBA (Important Bird Area) areas, considering that wind farms can have a dominant impact on flying fauna. | [15,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25] | Spatial plan of the Republic of Serbia 2021–2035 (SPRS) |
2. Water surfaces | All water surfaces (watercourses, lakes, Ramsar wetland sites) are excluded from consideration for the location of wind farms for technological, ecological and functional reasons. | [18,26,27,28] | [29] |
3. Immovable cultural property | Protected immovable cultural assets and archaeological sites, as well as areas proposed for their protection, should not be considered for the location of wind farms. | [26,30,31,32] | SPRS, [33] |
4. Distance from settlements and vulnerable structures (<500 m) 2 | A distance of less than 500 m from an inhabited area indicates a possible increase in noise in this zone, particularly when other existing sources of noise are superimposed onto the zone around the settlements and/or wind farm. | [4,15,21,34] | [35] |
5. Distance from traffic infrastructure corridors (<300 m) 3 | The protective corridors for both criteria are the same in Serbian regulations. Bearing in mind the current largest dimensions of wind turbines on the market, with the greatest height when the propeller is in the vertical position, a buffer zone of 300 m excludes any possible effects of the wind power plant on infrastructure facilities in the future. | [1,36,37,38] | SPRS |
6. Distance from power infrastructure corridors (<300 m) | |||
7. Airport zones 4 | There is no universal determination of airport zones; rather, they are the subject of special studies for each specific case situated in a possible impact zone that is tentatively defined by the relevant international regulations in the field of aviation. | [4,23,39] | [35] |
8. Compatibility of existing and planned purposes | Zones where the valid planning and urban planning documentation foresees a space with a special purpose or vulnerable facilities outside the urban area (such as hospitals or special facilities for rehabilitation), or areas that are in operation or are planned for multi-decade mining activities (surface-surface mines) and similar activities should not be considered for locating wind farms. | [4,32,37,40,41] | [35] |
9. Distance from meteorological radar systems in lowland areas (<10 km) | According to the regulations of the Republic of Serbia on determining the locations for the meteorological stations of state networks and protective zones in the vicinity of those stations [42], it is prohibited to install wind generators in the vicinity of a radar center in a zone with a radius of 10 km from the location of the radar antenna. 5 This elimination criterion may, but does not have to be universal. | [22,31,43] | [44] |
Evaluation Criteria | Reasoning | References from Other Studies | Source of Data Used in the Paper |
---|---|---|---|
1. Distance from protected natural areas 6 | The distance from protected areas, including Natura 2000 areas, is in direct proportion to reducing the possible impact on biodiversity, primarily on flying fauna. Having a greater distance of the wind farm from an area characterized by a wealth of biodiversity implies a significant avoidance of impact on the habitats and hunting territories of protected species of ornithofauna and chiropterofauna. | [15,21,22,23,24] | Calculation by the author based on the SPRS |
2. Distance from water surfaces | When it comes to water surfaces, they often attract birds either in the form of habitats or in the form of migratory corridors during their migrations in spring and autumn, so the distance of the wind farm from the water surfaces reduces the possible impacts of collisions between birds and wind turbines during these periods. | [18,27,28] | Calculation by the author based on [29] |
3. Distance from protected immovable cultural assets | The existence of immovable cultural assets in the micro-location area of the planned wind farm, primarily archaeological finds, gives an indication that there may be other undiscovered archaeological findings at the location itself. Increased distance from such localities greatly reduces the risk of encountering immovable cultural assets during the construction of a wind farm, which would affect the further development of the project. | [30,31,32] | Calculation by the author based on the SPRS |
4. Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for noise | It is known that noise intensity decreases with the distance of the receptor from the noise source (wind turbine). Precise determination of the safe distances that ensure that the noise from the wind turbine is within the prescribed limits depends on the standards adopted (EBRD, IFC, local regulations similar guidelines), the topography of the terrain, the superimposition of noise with other sources, the existence of physical barriers, the type of wind turbine, the wind speed at the location and the results of modeling the spatial dispersion of noise in each specific case. | [4,15,21,34] | Calculation by the author based on [35] |
5. Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for the effect of shadow flicker 7 | The influence of flickering shadows can primarily have a psychological impact on the population, so in order to prevent this negative phenomenon in the functioning of the wind farm, it is necessary to apply the principle of preventive planning. For this purpose, as in the case of noise, different simulation models (software packages) are used, which can help to predict the spatial coverage of the flickering shadows, as a result of which it is possible to optimally determine the micro-locations of the turbines and thus reduce their impact. | [2,4,15,21,34] | Calculation by the author based on [35] and field research |
6. Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for the visual effect | This is a subjective category that is not easy to assess quantitatively. It depends not only on the perception of the observer but also on the type of landscape 8 and specific visual characteristics. There are different approaches in the analysis and assessment of the impact of wind farms on the landscape, but most authors agree that the assessment must be carried out using different software models for simulating and visualizing possible impacts. | [1,48,49,50] | Calculation by the author based on [35] and field research |
7. Distance from traffic infrastructure | This criterion is defined in the context of the economics of building a wind farm, unlike the same elimination criterion related to safety. It represents an overview of the distance between the primary existing traffic infrastructure and the location of the planned wind farm. The same applies to the proximity of energy facilities, which are defined as “connection points” to the power system (grid). The proximity to or distance from the mentioned linear infrastructure reduces or increases the necessary investment in the construction of wind farms and putting the conditions in place for its functioning. | [36,51,52,53,54] | Calculation by the authors based on [55] |
8. Proximity to energy facilities for connecting the wind farm | [22,53,56] | Calculation by the authors based on the SPRS | |
9. Land purpose | The question of the existing use of the land is particularly important in terms of the economy of construction and implementation of the project because it indicates the necessary investments and possible risks for the wind power project to be carried out in a specific area. It is certainly most convenient if the wind power plant is located in a lowland, anthropogenically modified space because this requires the least risks for developing the project, as well as the least investment in the arrangement and preparation of the location for the construction of the wind farm. | [4,32,37,40,41] | [35] |
10. Spatial organization of the land | Spatial organization, similar to the use of land, affects the economy of construction in terms of the work required to prepare the ground for construction, so flat terrains that do not require large interventions in space and significant preparation of the ground for construction are more suitable. | [4,57,58,59] | [35] and field research |
11. Land ownership | An important criterion for considering the potential of a site for a wind farm is ownership of the land, which can simplify or complicate the implementation of the project. In many countries, the advantage in solving legal property relations with regard to ownership of the land is in the case of the private ownership of large parcels because the procedure is simpler, while state-owned land is considered complicated and uncertain to deal with. | [60,61,62,63] | [64] |
12. Number of frosty days during the year 9 | By crossing the weather data with data on the estimated production of the wind farm, it is possible to use software data to determine losses in relation to the number of frosty days. This criterion is formulated in relation to the empirical data for the candidate locations in this paper, and it may vary depending on the specific circumstances of each particular case. | [15,65,66] | Republic Hydrometeorological Institute |
13. Possibility of transportation | Access to the micro-locations of individual wind turbines is an important economic criterion that involves the spatial arrangement, rehabilitation, adaptation and construction of access roads to the location of the wind turbines so that it enables the remote oversized transport of wind turbine parts. A potential location for a wind farm can have a higher or lower rating depending on the interventions required on the access roads. | [58,67] | Field research |
14. Engineering and geological characteristics of the soil | The engineering and geological properties of the terrain are another economic criterion that determines what kind of foundations the wind turbines will have. It results in an increase or decrease in the amount of investment required for constructing a wind farm. More stable and compact soils on flat terrain are the most suitable. The same applies to seismicity, which directly affects the type of foundations wind turbines have. Higher seismic risk is proportional to the increased costs of building foundations. | [22,52,53,68] | Republic Seismological Institute |
15. Seismicity | [69,70,71] | Republic Seismological Institute | |
16. Landscape—exposure of the location | Unlike the criterion of visual impact from an inhabited place, this criterion includes general visibility for all potential observers, not only those who permanently reside in a settlement. This also applies to users of traffic infrastructure and other users of space in the wind farm zone. Sheltered, isolated and poorly visible locations are the most suitable in this context because the impact on the landscape in that case, is limited to a small area. | [49,72] | Field research |
17. Relief features—terrain slopes | Having excessively sloping terrain can also be an elimination criterion, but it is challenging to define such an elimination criterion because it depends on many factors such as the type of wind turbine, position in relation to the slope of the terrain, constancy/length of the slope, etc. This is precisely the reason why there is no single quantitative statement for this criterion in the literature. | [22,52,53,68,73] | [74] |
18. Local community’s acceptance of the location | A particularly important criterion in the group of social criteria is how acceptable the wind farm location is to the local community on whose territory the project is planned. In this context, the development of the project must be transparent in all aspects, and its acceptability should be assessed based on targeted surveys. The invaluable process of informing and educating the local community on all important issues related to the development of the wind farm should be taken into account. | [75,76,77,78] | Survey research |
Evaluation Criteria | WC | Criteria Scores | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
Distance from protected natural areas | WC3 | 0 to 1 km | 1 to 2 km | 2 to 3 km | 3 to 5 km | >5 km |
Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for noise | WC3 | 0.5 to 0.6 km | 0.6 to 0.7 km | 0.7 to 0.8 km | 0.8 to 1 | >1 km |
Proximity to energy facilities for connecting the wind farm | WC3 | >5 km | 4 to 5 km | 3 to 4 km | 2 to 3 km | <300 km |
Number of frosty days during the year | WC3 | >100 | 70 to 100 | 50 to 70 | 30 to 50 | <30 |
Engineering and geological characteristics of the soil | WC3 | very incoherent soil with a slope | incoherent soil without a slope | moderately coherent soil with a slope | moderately coherent soil without a slope | coherent soil without a slope |
Relief features—terrain slopes | WC3 | slopes > 25% | slopes from 15–25% | slopes from 10–15% | slopes < 10% | flat terrain without a slope |
Local community’s acceptance of the location | WC3 | majority disagreement of the local community | division of the local community | support of the local community and disagreement of individuals | majority support of the local community | full support of the local community |
Distance from water surfaces | WC2 | 0 to 0.5 km | 0.5 to 1 km | 1 to 2 km | 2 to 3 km | >3 km |
Distance from protected immovable cultural assets | WC2 | 0 to 0.2 km | 0.2 to 0.5 km | 0.5 to 1 km | 1 to 2 km | >2 km |
Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for the effect of shadow flicker | WC2 | 0.5–0.7 km, without physical protection | 0.5–0.7 km, with physical protection | 0.7 to 1 km | 1 to 1.5 km | >1.5 km |
Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for the visual effect | WC2 | <1 km on lowland terrain | 1 to 2 km on lowland terrain | 2 to 5 on lowland terrain | 5–10 km on lowland terrain | >10 km on lowland terrain |
Land purpose | WC2 | natural areas with rich vegetation | natural areas with sparse vegetation | meadows | hilly anthropogenically modified land | lowland anthropogenically modified land |
Possibility of transportation | WC2 | there are no access roads to the location | there are partial access roads to the location | there are access roads that need to be reconstructed | access roads that need to be adapted | there are suitable access roads |
Distance from traffic infrastructure | WC1 | <300 m | 300 to 400 m | 400 to 500 m | 500 to 800 m | >800 m |
Spatial organization of the land | WC1 | very complicated work on landscaping the terrain | complicated work on landscaping the terrain | larger works on landscaping with mechanization | smaller works on landscaping with mechanization | Simple work on landscaping the terrain |
Land ownership | WC1 | state ownership with smaller plots | state ownership with larger plots | state and private ownership | private ownership with smaller plots | private ownership with larger plots |
Seismicity | WC1 | 9–8 MCS | 7 MCS | 6 MCS | 5 MCS | <5 MCS |
Landscape—exposure of the location | WC1 | exposed and easily visible location | location sheltered to a lesser extent | location sheltered to a greater extent | the location is visible from a great distance | the location is visible from a close distance |
Spatial Criteria | Socio-Economic Criteria |
---|---|
Distance from protected natural areas | Proximity to energy facilities for connecting the wind farm |
Distance from water surfaces | Land purpose |
Distance from protected immovable cultural assets | Spatial organization of the land |
Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for noise | Land ownership |
Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for the effect of shadow flicker | Number of frosty days during the year |
Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for the visual effect | Possibility of transportation |
Distance from traffic infrastructure | Engineering and geological characteristics of the soil |
Landscape—exposure of the location | Seismicity |
Relief features—terrain slopes | |
Local community’s acceptance of the location |
Evaluation Criteria | WC | Scores for Candidate Locations | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
L1 | L2 | L3 | L4 | ||
Distance from protected natural areas | WC3 | 11.25 | 4.5 | 6.75 | 11.25 |
Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for noise | WC3 | 11.25 | 11.25 | 11.25 | 11.25 |
Proximity to energy facilities for connecting the wind farm | WC3 | 2.25 | 4.5 | 9 | 9 |
Number of frosty days during the year | WC3 | 4.5 | 6.75 | 11.25 | 11.25 |
Engineering and geological characteristics of the soil | WC3 | 6.75 | 4.5 | 11.25 | 11.25 |
Relief features—terrain slopes | WC3 | 9 | 11.25 | 11.25 | 11.25 |
Local community’s acceptance of the location | WC3 | 11.25 | 11.25 | 11.25 | 11.25 |
Distance from water surfaces | WC2 | 7.5 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Distance from protected immovable cultural assets | WC2 | 7.5 | 6 | 6 | 4.5 |
Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for the effect of shadow flicker | WC2 | 3 | 7.5 | 6 | 7.5 |
Distance from the nearest inhabited places and residential buildings for the visual effect | WC2 | 3 | 7.5 | 3 | 4.5 |
Land purpose | WC2 | 6 | 6 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
Possibility of transportation | WC2 | 3 | 3 | 7.5 | 6 |
Distance from traffic infrastructure | WC1 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Spatial organization of the land | WC1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Land ownership | WC1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Seismicity | WC1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Landscape—exposure of the location | WC1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Total scores | 104.2 | 105 | 127 | 130.5 |
Groups of Criteria According to the Table 4 | Scenario | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SC 1 | SC 2 | SC 3 | ||||||||||
Spatial | 0.75 | 0.25 | 0.50 | |||||||||
Socio-economic | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.50 | |||||||||
Candidate locations | Location Evaluation Results (Ranking of Locations) | |||||||||||
SC 1 | SC 2 | SC 3 | ||||||||||
L1 | L2 | L3 | L4 | L1 | L2 | L3 | L4 | L1 | L2 | L3 | L4 | |
31.75 | 30.75 | 32.75 | 34.5 | 31.25 | 32.25 | 42.25 | 41.5 | 31.5 | 31.5 | 37.5 | 38 |
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Josimović, B.; Srnić, D.; Manić, B.; Knežević, I. Multi-Criteria Evaluation of Spatial Aspects in the Selection of Wind Farm Locations: Integrating the GIS and PROMETHEE Methods. Appl. Sci. 2023, 13, 5332. https://doi.org/10.3390/app13095332
Josimović B, Srnić D, Manić B, Knežević I. Multi-Criteria Evaluation of Spatial Aspects in the Selection of Wind Farm Locations: Integrating the GIS and PROMETHEE Methods. Applied Sciences. 2023; 13(9):5332. https://doi.org/10.3390/app13095332
Chicago/Turabian StyleJosimović, Boško, Danijela Srnić, Božidar Manić, and Ivana Knežević. 2023. "Multi-Criteria Evaluation of Spatial Aspects in the Selection of Wind Farm Locations: Integrating the GIS and PROMETHEE Methods" Applied Sciences 13, no. 9: 5332. https://doi.org/10.3390/app13095332
APA StyleJosimović, B., Srnić, D., Manić, B., & Knežević, I. (2023). Multi-Criteria Evaluation of Spatial Aspects in the Selection of Wind Farm Locations: Integrating the GIS and PROMETHEE Methods. Applied Sciences, 13(9), 5332. https://doi.org/10.3390/app13095332