The nearly perfect agreement between the observed and predicted values for the cosmological constant can be seen as a validation of the theory and a resolution of the long-standing problem of the origin of the term. At the same time the cosmological coincidence problem is made irrelevant. Our epoch in cosmic history is not special because of the particular value that the cosmological constant is observed to have. There is no violation of the Copernican principle.
The theory has further implications beyond the standard model. Here we highlight two of them: the age of the universe and a resolution of the tension.
5.1. Age of the Universe
It is commonly believed that the age of the Universe that is given by standard cosmology, 13.8 Gyr, is known with high accuracy and is not in doubt. However, this bypasses the fundamental fact that this age value is model dependent, and that the few direct measurements that are currently available actually slightly favor a larger value.
The age of the universe is readily obtained from the solution of the scale factor
a as a function of proper time
t that can be measured by a comoving clock. If one uses the notations and concepts of standard cosmology, then the equation that governs this
function looks the same as Equation (
21) that governs
. In our case, however, the cosmological constant is only relevant for the
function that represents our bounded and static observable 3D subspace, not for
, which represents the evolution of a comoving region in the 4D universe. Furthermore, it is conceptually incorrect to use notation
H to represent
, because the Hubble constant depends on
for our observable universe but not on proper time
t, as explained in
Section 3.3.
With these conceptual differences the equation that governs
can be expressed as
The density parameters
have the same meanings and identical magnitudes as the corresponding parameters in Equation (
21) for the
function. They represent the mass densities of matter and radiation at the present epoch
. As before, the scale factor is assumed to be normalized to the value that it has at present:
.
The present age of the universe,
, is then obtained through straightforward integration of Equation (
33):
The solution of this integral expression can be obtained more conveniently after the
parameters have been converted into the dimensionless
forms via the defining Equation (
22). The result is
Note that the present Hubble constant
appears in this expression, but not because the Hubble constant has any conceptual relation to
. It is exclusively because
is used in Equation (
22) as a mathematical parameter that defines the conversion relation between the
and
parameters.
The second, approximate equality in Equation (
35) has been obtained by disregarding the contribution
due to radiation, which is
. The factor
then appears as a consequence of Equation (
32). The approximation allows us to obtain a simple algebraic expression for the age
in terms of the Hubble time
and the cosmological constant. Without a cosmological constant, one recovers the standard result that the age is 2/3 of the Hubble time when the universe is matter dominated. The presence of the
term changes this result by the factor
.
In our actual numerical evaluation, we have not made use of this approximation but retained the term with its observed magnitude (obtained from the measured CMB temperature). However, the effect of on the value of turns out to be smaller than one per mille and is thus insignificant.
The numerical solution gives
Gyr. The theoretical value
that comes from the solution of Equation (
31) has been used together with the supernovae value for
, 73.2 km s
Mpc
[
13,
14], because it has been derived in a way that is consistent with the present cosmological framework (within which
is an integration constant), in contrast to the value that has been obtained through CMB parameter fitting with the standard model. This is clarified in the next subsection that deals with the resolution of the
tension.
The new age value is to be compared with the age 13.80 Gyr that has been derived using Planck Collaboration et al. [
15]. It is based on using the Planck values
and
km s
Mpc
together with the dark-energy assumption of standard cosmology that the
and
functions are governed by the same
term. Including the
term in the solution for
adds an exponential contribution to the cosmic expansion that takes effect when one comes close to the present epoch. This accelerated expansion shortens the time scale and leads to a (formal) age value that is 1.7 Gyr shorter than the proper, dynamically relevant age.
The larger age relieves some existing tension between the age of the universe and the ages of the oldest stars. For a careful age comparison, one needs to account for the time that it took to form the first stars after the Big Bang. First-generation stars, so-called pop. III stars with essentially zero metallicity, have not yet been identified. The oldest, low-metallicity stars that have been observed are second-generation pop. II stars in the halo of our galaxy. Numerical simulations indicate that the rate of GC (globular cluster) formation may have peaked about 0.4–0.6 Gyr after the Big Bang [
22,
23].
A reasonable estimate for the upper stellar age limit is, therefore, Gyr instead of by itself. It is 13.4 Gyr in the case of standard cosmology. The existence of a single star with a significantly larger reliable age would prove standard cosmology to be inconsistent.
The most prominent stellar case that seems to violate the age limit of standard cosmology is represented by the so-called “Methuselah” star HD 140283. It is classified as a pop. II halo subgiant at a distance of 202 ly with a metallicity that is 250 times less than that of the Sun. Stellar evolution modeling with isochrones gives the age
Gyr [
24]. It violates the mentioned age limit by 1.1 Gyr, but in terms of the error bars this is little more than one
.
It has been claimed that the ages of globular clusters (GC) support the conventional age value for the universe. A GC age of
Gyr has been reported [
25], which represents an average over 38 clusters that have metallicity [Fe/H]
, but it was obtained after applying an ad hoc prior that excludes values larger than 15 Gyr [
25]. Because there is an age distribution within the used subset, which exceeds what may be expected from the quoted measurement uncertainties, the ad hoc exclusion of values above 15 Gyr artificially truncates the intrinsic distribution. The average value that is extracted from such a distribution is therefore not representative of the upper age limit of the clusters. This gives reason to expect that the upper GC age limit lies significantly higher than the quoted value. Depending on the school of thought with respect to GC formation [
26,
27] the GC age limit may indeed be consistent with a significantly larger age of the universe.
These examples demonstrate that the current uncertainties in stellar age values are not yet small enough to conclusively discriminate between the two cosmological frameworks. The error bars are, however, expected to come down in the future.
A new and independent avenue for the determination of the ages of individual stars is that of asteroseismology. The detections by the CoRoT and Kepler satellite missions of oscillating modes for many thousands of stars across the HRD have provided a rich database for surveys of the age structure of the Milky Way [
28]. It has been used to determine the vertical age gradient for the red giant stars in the Galactic disk [
29]. While the majority of stars in the sample have ages in the range 1–6 Gyr, the tail of the age distribution extends well beyond 14 Gyr, although the sample is believed to be representative of the Galactic disk and not of the halo. We do not yet know whether the extended tail is exclusively an artefact of the uncertainties.
Fortunately, there is another testing ground, the enigmatic tension, which already allows an unambiguous discrimination between the two cosmological frameworks. The tension represents an inconsistency of standard cosmology, which disappears within our alternative framework, as explained in the next subsection.
5.2. Tension
While the tension in the Hubble constant has received much attention in recent years, it has been pointed out [
16] that the
tension should not be considered in isolation, because there is an anti-correlated tension in the parameter
. This parameter represents the radius of the sound horizon at the epoch when the baryons decouple from the photon drag force and become free to cluster and form galactic structures. There is an imprint of the
scale on the observed galaxy distribution because of the Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAO). As
it is closely linked to the radius
of the sound horizon at the epoch of hydrogen recombination, which governs the angular scale of the acoustic peaks in the CMB spectrum.
The value of
(as well as that of
) depends only on the physics of the early universe, which is almost independent of the cosmological model, because all effects of
and spatial curvature were insignificant before the
and
epochs. The value of
is therefore predominantly constrained by the standard model of particle physics and is found to be
Mpc, while the closely related scale
Mpc [
15]. With these values the Planck CMB modeling results in a Hubble constant
km s
Mpc
, significantly smaller than
km s
Mpc
that is obtained from direct distance measurements in the nearby universe [
13,
14]. It is this discrepancy between
as determined from the near and distant universe that is referred to as the
tension.
There is, however, no significant tension for the product
[
16]. If one allows
to be a free parameter rather than being fixed by known physics, the product
is constrained by the observed angular scale in the CMB or the BAO, but the individual factors
and
are not. This degeneracy can be broken by combining BAO with supernovae (SN) observations. The result is a low value for
, typically
Mpc (depending somewhat on the choice of joint data sets), together with the high supernovae value for
. The same kind of conclusion would be obtained from analysis of CMB data, if one would allow
to be treated as a free parameter.
Attempts to find the origin for such a low value of
in terms of new physics have been unsuccessful. It has been pointed out [
16] that late-time modifications (like dark energy with a varying equation of state) only affects
but not
and therefore only makes things worse. All proposed early-time modifications (before the CMB epoch) through the introduction of new kinds of fields or modifications of general relativity can be shown to be insufficient for a resolution of the tension [
16,
17]. The
tension may be slightly reduced by raising the value of the
parameter, but the potential of this change is limited, because it would exacerbate the tension in the
parameter that has been revealed by the weak lensing surveys [
30,
31].
, where
is the matter clustering amplitude on the scale
Mpc (where
h is the Hubble constant in units of 100 km s
Mpc
).
The main CMB observable that has been used to constrain the value of the Hubble constant
is the angular scale of the acoustic peaks in the observed CMB spectrum. This scale can be characterized in terms of an angle parameter
that has been determined from observations with an accuracy of about 0.03% [
15]. It is one of the best known parameters in cosmology.
is an angular measure of the anisotropy of the CMB radiation field, in which the observer is immersed. It is a local property of the radiation field in a comoving region. The angular scale is governed by basic physics that is directly related to the radius of the sound horizon at the epoch of hydrogen recombination.
Parameters
and
do not contain information on the present value
of the Hubble constant. The
dependence enters when
and
are brought in relation with the so-called angular diameter distance
between the observer and the surface of last scattering via the defining equation
where
So far there is no difference between our treatment and that of standard cosmology. The difference enters in the explicit expression for the function, which determines how is calculated.
The anisotropy of the ambient radiation field in a comoving region depends on the evolution and dynamics of the local region. The
function in Equation (
37) is therefore the scale factor in its dependence on the proper time that can be measured with a comoving clock. It does not contain any contribution from a
term, because such a term only enters as an integration constant when we enforce the light-cone restriction to transform the unbounded 4D problem to a problem for a bounded and static 3D subspace. When the dynamics and evolution of a comoving region are calculated, the light-cone restriction is not applied or relevant. The
tension arises when
is not treated as an integration constant that is only relevant for the static 3D subspace but is instead treated as a new field (dark energy) that also contributes to the scale factor evolution
of a comoving region.
The explicit evaluation of the
integral is done in the same way as in
Section 5.1 for the calculation of age
. The starting point is Equation (
33), which defines the solution for the
function that is used in Equation (
37). The explicit expression for
then becomes
which is similar to that of
in Equation (
35) except for the extra factor
a in the denominator, the factor
c, and the lower integration limit
(at the epoch of last scattering) instead of zero (Big Bang). Note also (as in the
case) that the appearance of the Hubble constant in this expression is not because
has any conceptual relation to
, but because it comes from Equation (
22), where it is used to define the conversion between the
and
parameters.
If we disregard
, because it is
, then we get a simple approximate algebraic expression for
(similar to Equation (
35)):
Our numerical evaluation, however, does not make use of this approximation but retains the
contribution and uses the full expression of Equation (
38).
It is convenient to introduce the dimensionless parameter
, which represents
in units of the Hubble radius
:
Converting for mathematical convenience the
a scale into a
z scale via Equation (
1), we get
Note that this is a purely formal conversion, because no redshift observations are involved in the CMB analysis, and is not an observable. z is here a mathematical parameter that does not represent redshift.
With Equations (
36), (
40) and (
41) it is possible to derive the value of
from the observed anisotropies
in the CMB radiation field and the radius
of the sound horizon through
This results in a value for from CMB data that agrees with the value that has been derived from the redshift—brightness relation of supernovae observations (as shown explicitly below). Thus, with the current formalism, there is no tension.
Equation (
42) also makes it clear why there must be an anti-correlation between the tensions in
and the radius of the sound horizon
(or
), as noticed in [
16]. Since
is fixed by the observations, the model dependence of the
product is contained in the dimensionless
factor, which only depends on
if we assume spatial flatness. For a given value of
, the variations in the
and
parameters are, therefore, anti-correlated.
The reason why CMB analysis with standard cosmology gives a different answer that is at odds with the supernovae results is that a different expression for the dimensionless parameter is used. It is based on the implicit assumption of standard cosmology that the cosmological constant is a physical field that governs the behavior of both the and functions, rather than being a boundary condition that only affects the function that represents the bounded 3D subspace.
The
and
parameters are governed by the local evolution of the sound waves and the anisotropy of the electromagnetic radiation field, not by a distance-related function that depends on the location of an observer. The physics is therefore determined by the
function as in Equation (
37), not by the
function. For this reason,
, as given by Equation (
41), does not contain any
contribution. In contrast standard cosmology uses
When this expression is inserted in Equation (
42) instead of the expression (
41) for
, one obtains a different value for the Hubble constant:
The interpretation of the redshift—brightness relation for supernovae (SN) as standard candles must, on the other hand, be based on the
function for scale factor vs. distance along light rays rather than on the
function for comoving regions. It will therefore be affected by a boundary-induced integration constant that appears in the form of a
term. As the existence of such a non-zero term is demanded by the observed SN relation between redshift and apparent brightness and is, in fact, being used for the interpretation of the observed relation, it is the supernovae value
that represents the correctly determined present Hubble constant. This allows us to make the identification
where
is the correct value that appears in expression (
42).
Because
is known from the observed temperature of the CMB radiation field, and
and
are related via Equation (
26), both
and
are effectively functions of only
(if we disregard the minor model dependence on
, the integration limit that represents the surface of last scattering). Dividing Equations (
42) and (
44) with each other and using the identification of Equation (
45), we obtain an expression for the
tension:
With the theoretical value
, which was obtained through numerical solution of expression (
31) for
, the evaluation of the full integral expressions (
41) and (
43) for
and
gives
This is to be compared with the observed value for the tension. According to the supernovae observations,
km s
Mpc
[
13,
14], while CMB analysis in the framework of standard cosmology gives
km s
Mpc
[
15]. The ratio between these two values represents the observed
tension:
The theoretical prediction is thus well within of the observed value.