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Article

Valuing Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits by Cosine Series Expansion

1
School of Insurance, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China
2
College of Mathematics and Statistics, Chongqing University, Chongqing 401331, China
3
School of Science, Shandong Jiaotong University, Jinan 250357, China
4
School of Computer Science & Technology, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China
*
Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Mathematics 2019, 7(9), 835; https://doi.org/10.3390/math7090835
Submission received: 2 August 2019 / Revised: 4 September 2019 / Accepted: 5 September 2019 / Published: 10 September 2019
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Stochastic Processes: Theory and Applications)

Abstract

:
Recently, the valuation of variable annuity products has become a hot topic in actuarial science. In this paper, we use the Fourier cosine series expansion (COS) method to value the guaranteed minimum death benefit (GMDB) products. We first express the value of GMDB by the discounted density function approach, then we use the COS method to approximate the valuation Equations. When the distribution of the time-until-death random variable is approximated by a combination of exponential distributions and the price of the fund is modeled by an exponential Lévy process, explicit equations for the cosine coefficients are given. Some numerical experiments are also made to illustrate the efficiency of our method.

1. Introduction

The guaranteed minimum death benefit (GMDB) is a common rider embedded in variable annuity products that promises a minimum payout upon the death of the insured. In this product, policyholders first pay premiums to the insurance company, and then, investment accounts are established for capital investment. When the insured dies, a payment shall be given to the designated beneficiary, and the payout amount depends on the performance of the policyholder’s account. This mechanism not only provides insurance guarantee for policyholders, but also has the opportunity to benefit from the financial market, which appeals to customers.
For t 0 , let S ( t ) = S ( 0 ) e X ( t ) denote the price of a stock fund or mutual fund at time t. For a person currently aged x, let T x denote the remaining lifetime, called the time-until-death random variable hereafter. Moreover, we assume T x is independent with the asset price process S ( t ) throughout this paper. Consider a GMDB rider that guarantees a payment of b ( S ( T x ) ) to the beneficiary when the insured dies, where b ( · ) is an equity-linked death benefit function. For a constant force of interest δ 0 , we are interested in valuing the following expectation:
V x : = E [ e δ T x b ( S ( T x ) ) ] ,
which represents a fair price for an equity-linked life-contingent payment at T x . Since most contracts have a finite expiry date, we can modify (1) by introducing an expiry date T and consider:
V x , T : = E [ e δ T x b ( S ( T x ) ) I ( T x T ) ] ,
where I ( A ) denotes the indicator function of event A.
We are also interested in the case when the death benefit amount depends on two stocks (or stock funds). Let { S 1 ( t ) , S 2 ( t ) } t 0 denote the price process of two stocks, and let:
X i ( t ) = ln ( S i ( t ) / S i ( 0 ) ) , i = 1 , 2 , t 0 .
In the sequel, it is also assumed that T x is independent with both S 1 ( t ) and S 2 ( t ) . Accordingly, we are interested in evaluating the following expectations:
V ¯ x : = E [ e δ T x b ( S 1 ( T x ) , S 2 ( T x ) ) ] , V ¯ x , T : = E [ e δ T x b ( S 1 ( T x ) , S 2 ( T x ) ) I ( T x T ) ] .
Recently, the valuation of the GMDB product has drawn many researchers’ attention. Under an exponential mortality law, Milevsky and Posner [1] proposed a risk-neutral framework to derive valuation equations for GMDB contracts. Besides, they conducted a numerical study under the Gompertz-Makeham law. Later, in Bauer et al. [2], they supposed that the death should only occur at the policy anniversary date, which facilitates a discrete numerical valuation approach for fairly valuing varieties of guaranteed riders, including GMDB. Gerber et al. [3] proposed a discounted density approach to value GMDB in a Brownian motion risk model, and their results were extended by Gerber et al. [4] and Siu et al. [5] to the jump diffusion model and the regime-switching jump diffusion model, respectively. Based on the fact that the combination of exponential distributions is weakly dense on the set of probability functions defined on [ 0 , ) (see Dufresne [6] and Ko and Ng [7]), we notice that the density function of the time-until-death random variable was approximated by a linear combination of exponential distributions in Gerber et al. [3,4] and Siu et al. [5]. More recently, Zhang and Yong [8] and Zhang et al. [9] used two different methods to value GMDB products. Recent related literature can be found in Dai et al. [10], Bélanger et al. [11], Kang and Ziveyi [12], Asmussen et al. [13], and Zhou and Wu [14].
When the density function of the time-until-death random variable is approximated by a linear sum of exponential distributions, Gerber et al. [3,4,15] derived explicit valuation equations for GMDB contracts under various payoffs. The simplicity of using a combination of exponential distributions is excellent, but they are not representative of reality. A direct way to calibrate this is to use life table data. In Ulm [16,17], he emphasized the valuation of GMDB products under mortality laws, such as the De Moivre law of mortality and the Makeham law of mortality. A similar consideration could be found in Liang et al. [18]. They novelly introduced the piecewise constant forces of the mortality assumption to describe the time-until-death variable, then decomposed the valuation problem and presented explicit valuation equations for GMDB.
Except the aforementioned assumptions on the time-until-death random variable, the modeling of the asset process has attracted the attention of scholars. Brownian motion was widely used to model the log-asset price process, which was adopted in Milevsky and Posner [1], Bauer et al. [2] (Section 4), Gerber et al. [3], and Liang et al. [18]. In the field of financial markets, this case is basically a Black-Scholes framework. However, more processes could be also implemented. In Gerber et al. [4], Kou’s jump model was used as the log-asset process. A counterpart study of Gerber et al. [3] was referred to by Gerber et al. [15], in which a random walk exponentially generates the price process. To study the valuation issue in a different perspective, scholars turned to the regime-switching model, which was used to investigate the performance of an object subject to the economic changes in financial markets. In the literature, interest readers can refer to Fan et al. [19], Siu et al. [5], Ignatieva et al. [20], and Hieber [21].
In Fang and Oosterlee [22], a highly-efficient option pricing method was proposed to price European options. The method was based on the Fourier cosine series expansions, and it is now called the cosine series expansion (COS) method in the literature. The COS method is quite easy to implement to approximate an integrable function as long as the objective function has a closed-form Fourier transform. The one-dimensional COS (1D COS) method in [22] was extended to the two-dimensional COS method (2D COS) by Ruijter and Oosterlee [23] to price financial options in two-dimensional asset price processes. Leitao et al. [24] proposed a data-driven COS method. Except for option pricing, this method has been adopted in insurance ruin theory. For example, Chau et al. [25,26] used the 1D COS method to compute the ruin probability and the expected discounted penalty function; Zhang [27] approximated the density function of the time to ruin by both 1D and 2D COS methods; Yang et al. [28] proposed a nonparametric estimator for the deficit at ruin by the 2D COS method; Wang et al. [29] and Huang et al. [30] used the 1D COS method to estimate the expected discounted penalty function under some risk models with stochastic premium income. The COS method has also been used by some authors to value variable annuities. For example, Deng et al. [31] used the 1D COS method for equity-indexed annuity products under general exponential Lévy models; Alonso-García et al. [32] extended the 1D COS method to the pricing and hedging of variable annuities embedded with guaranteed minimum withdraw benefit riders. The latest research on Fourier transform was given by Zhang et al. [33], Chan [34], Zhang and Liu [35], Have and Oosterlee [36], Shimizu and Zhang [37], Tour [38], Zhang [39], and Wang et al. [40].
The discounted density method proposed by Gerber et al. [3,4] can be successfully used to value GMDB products when the log-return process is the Brownian motion or Kou’s jump diffusion model. Under these two models, the density functions have some closed-form expressions. However, in practice, we cannot obtain the closed-from expression for the discounted density function. In this paper, we use the COS method to approximate the discounted density function, which is applicable since most of the widely-used Lévy processes have explicit characteristic functions. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first paper exploring the COS method on numerical valuation of the GMDB product under the general exponential Lévy models. In particular, there are few papers on GMDB valuation dependent on two stock prices in the literature, and this is the first paper dealing with this problem.
This paper aims to value the GMDB contracts in a risk-neutral framework, mainly by numerically solving Equations (1) and (2). In subsequent sections, we first briefly recall the COS method in Fang and Oosterlee [22], then adopt the method to approximate V x and V x , T in the one-dimensional framework. We define auxiliary functions to simplify deductions and display equations under different payoffs in Section 2. Motivated by Gerber et al. [3], we consider the situation where the density function of T x is approximated by a linear combination of exponential distributions, and calculate cosine coefficients in Section 4.1. Under the multi-dimensional case, we shed light on a two-dimensional framework in Section 3. Finally, numerical examples are presented in Section 4, in which we display tables and figures to illustrate the performance of our proposed approach.

2. 1D COS Approximation

In the section, we shall use the 1D COS method to compute V x and V x , T . The idea of the 1D COS method is that every absolutely integrable function f can be approximated on a truncated domain [ a 1 , a 2 ] by a truncated Fourier cosine series with N terms,
f ( y ) k = 0 N 1 A k ( f , a 1 , a 2 ) cos k π y a 1 a 2 a 1 ,
where means that the first term in the summation has half weight, and the cosine coefficients are given by:
A k ( f , a 1 , a 2 ) = 2 a 2 a 1 Re F f k π a 2 a 1 exp i k a 1 π a 2 a 1 .
Here, F f ( s ) = e i s y f ( y ) d y , s R , is the Fourier transform of f, and Re ( · ) means taking the real part.
Let f T x ( · ) denote the probability density function of T x , and for t > 0 , let f X ( t ) ( · ) be the probability density function of X ( t ) . By changing the order of integrals, we can obtain:
V x = 0 E [ e δ t b ( S ( t ) ) ] f T x ( t ) d t = 0 e δ t b ( S ( 0 ) e y ) f X ( t ) ( y ) d y f T x ( t ) d t = b ( S ( 0 ) e y ) f X ( T x ) δ ( y ) d y ,
where:
f X ( T x ) δ ( y ) = 0 e δ t f X ( t ) ( y ) f T x ( t ) d t
is the discounted density function of the random variable X ( T x ) . Similarly, for the T-year life-contingent option, we have:
V x , T = b ( S ( 0 ) e y ) f X ( T x ) , T δ ( y ) d y ,
where:
f X ( T x ) , T δ ( y ) = 0 T e δ t f X ( t ) ( y ) f T x ( t ) d t .
We shall implement the 1D COS method to compute the integrals in (5) and (7). Instead of expanding the discounted densities f X ( T x ) δ and f X ( T x ) , T δ via Fourier cosine series, we shall consider the following auxiliary functions:
g n δ ( y ) = e n y f X ( T x ) δ ( y ) , g n , T δ ( y ) = e n y f X ( T x ) , T δ ( y ) , n 0 .
Suppose that both g n δ and g n , T δ belong to L 1 ( R ) , then by Equations (3) and (4), we have:
g n δ ( y ) k = 0 N 1 A k ( g n δ , a 1 , a 2 ) cos k π y a 1 a 2 a 1
and:
g n , T δ ( y ) k = 0 N 1 A k ( g n , T δ , a 1 , a 2 ) cos k π y a 1 a 2 a 1 .
Remark 1.
The cosine coefficients A k ( g n δ , a 1 , a 2 ) and A k ( g n , T δ , a 1 , a 2 ) can be explicitly computed when { X ( t ) } t 0 is a Lévy process and f T x is a combination of exponential density function. To this end, it suffices to specify the Fourier transforms F g n δ and F g n , T δ . Suppose that { X ( t ) } t 0 (with X ( 0 ) = 0 ) is a Lévy process with characteristic function:
ϕ X ( t ) ( s ) = E [ e i s X ( t ) ] = e t Ψ X ( s ) , s R ,
where Ψ X ( s ) = ln ( E [ e i s X ( 1 ) ] ) is called the characteristic exponent. Furthermore, suppose that:
f T x ( t ) = j = 1 m A j α j e α j t , t > 0 ,
where α j > 0 and j = 1 m A j = 1 . Under these assumptions, one easily obtains:
F g n δ ( s ) = j = 1 m A j α j δ + α j Ψ X ( s i n )
and:
F g n , T δ ( s ) = j = 1 m A j α j 1 e ( δ + α j Ψ X ( s i n ) ) T δ + α j Ψ X ( s i n ) .
In the sequel, we shall consider three payoff functions.
Case 1. b ( s ) = s .
In this case, Equations (5) and (7) become:
V x = S ( 0 ) g 1 δ ( y ) d y , V x , T = S ( 0 ) g 1 , T δ ( y ) d y .
For small number c 1 and large number c 2 , using Equation (9), we can approximate V x as follows,
V x S ( 0 ) c 1 c 2 g 1 δ ( y ) d y S ( 0 ) c 1 c 2 k = 0 N 1 A k ( g 1 δ , a 1 , a 2 ) c o s k π y a 1 a 2 a 1 d y = S ( 0 ) k = 0 N 1 A k ( g 1 δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , c 1 , c 2 ) ,
where:
χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , c 1 , c 2 ) = a 2 a 1 k π sin k π c 2 a 1 a 2 a 1 sin k π c 1 a 1 a 2 a 1 , k 0 , c 2 c 1 , k = 0 .
Similarly, V x , T can be approximated as follows,
V x , T S ( 0 ) k = 0 N 1 A k ( g 1 , T δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , c 1 , c 2 ) .
Case 2. b ( s ) = s n I ( s > K ) with n 0 and K > 0 .
Here, the positive constant K denotes the strike price. Put κ = ln ( K / S ( 0 ) ) . It follows from Equation (5) that:
V x = κ [ S ( 0 ) ] n e n y f X ( T x ) δ ( y ) d y = κ [ S ( 0 ) ] n g n δ ( y ) d y .
Then, using the 1D COS method, we obtain for large number c 2 ,
V x [ S ( 0 ) ] n k = 0 N 1 A k ( g n δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , κ , c 2 ) .
Similarly, for V x , T , we have:
V x , T [ S ( 0 ) ] n k = 0 N 1 A k ( g n , T δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , κ , c 2 ) .
Remark 2.
For the call option, the payoff is given by:
b ( s ) = ( s K ) + = s I ( s > K ) K I ( s > K ) .
By applying Equations (5) and (17), we obtain:
V x = κ S ( 0 ) e y f X ( T x ) δ ( y ) d y κ K f X ( T x ) δ ( y ) d y = S ( 0 ) κ g 1 δ ( y ) d y K κ g 0 δ ( y ) d y S ( 0 ) k = 0 N 1 A k ( g 1 δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , κ , c 2 ) K k = 0 N 1 A k ( g 0 δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , κ , c 2 ) .
For the T-year life-contingent option, we have:
V x , T S ( 0 ) k = 0 N 1 A k ( g 1 , T δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , κ , c 2 ) K k = 0 N 1 A k ( g 0 , T δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , κ , c 2 ) .
Case 3. b ( s ) = s n I ( s < K ) with n 0 and K > 0 .
By Equation (5) and the 1D COS method, we have for small number c 1 ,
V x = κ [ S ( 0 ) ] n g n δ ( y ) d y [ S ( 0 ) ] n c 1 κ g n δ ( y ) d y [ S ( 0 ) ] n k = 0 N 1 A k ( g n δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , c 1 , κ ) .
Similarly, for V x , T , we have:
V x , T [ S ( 0 ) ] n k = 0 N 1 A k ( g n , T δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , c 1 , κ ) .
Remark 3.
For the put option, the payoff function is given by:
b ( s ) = ( K s ) + = K I ( s < K ) s I ( s < K ) ,
which together with Equations (21) and (22) gives:
V x K k = 0 N 1 A k ( g 0 δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , c 1 , κ ) S ( 0 ) k = 0 N 1 A k ( g 1 δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , c 1 , κ )
and:
V x , T K k = 0 N 1 A ( g 0 , T δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , c 1 , κ ) S ( 0 ) k = 0 N 1 A ( g 1 , T δ , a 1 , a 2 ) · χ k ( a 1 , a 2 , c 1 , κ ) .

3. 2D COS Approximation

In this section, we use the 2D COS method to compute V ¯ x and V ¯ x , T . For a bivariate integrable function f, we denote its Fourier transform by:
F f ( s 1 , s 2 ) = e i s 1 y + i s 2 z f ( y , z ) d y d z , s 1 , s 2 R .
It follows from Ruijter and Oosterlee [23] that f can be approximated on a truncated domain [ a 1 , a 2 ] × [ b 1 , b 2 ] by truncated Fourier cosine series expansions with N 1 × N 2 terms,
f ( y , z ) k 1 = 0 N 1 1 k 2 = 0 N 2 1 B k 1 , k 2 ( f ) cos k 1 π y a 1 a 2 a 1 cos k 2 π z b 1 b 2 b 1 ,
where the cosine coefficients are given by:
B k 1 , k 2 ( f ) = 1 2 B k 1 , k 2 + ( f ) + B k 1 , k 2 ( f )
with:
B k 1 , k 2 ± ( f ) = 2 a 2 a 1 2 b 2 b 1 Re F f k 1 π a 2 a 1 , ± k 2 π b 2 b 1 exp i k 1 π a 1 a 2 a 1 i k 2 π b 1 b 2 b 1 .
For t > 0 , we denote the joint probability density function of X 1 ( t ) , X 2 ( t ) by f X 1 ( t ) , X 2 ( t ) ( y , z ) , and for δ 0 , define the following discounted density functions:
f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) = 0 e δ t f X 1 ( t ) , X 2 ( t ) ( y , z ) f T x ( t ) d t , f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) , T δ ( y , z ) = 0 T e δ t f X 1 ( t ) , X 2 ( t ) ( y , z ) f T x ( t ) d t .
For V ¯ x , by changing the order of integrals, we have:
V ¯ x = 0 E [ e δ t b ( S 1 ( t ) , S 2 ( t ) ) ] f T x ( t ) d t = 0 e δ t b ( S 1 ( 0 ) e y , S 2 ( 0 ) e z ) f X 1 ( t ) , X 2 ( t ) ( y , z ) d y d z f T x ( t ) d t = b ( S 1 ( 0 ) e y , S 2 ( 0 ) e z ) f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) d y d z .
For V ¯ x , T , we have:
V ¯ x , T = b ( S 1 ( 0 ) e y , S 2 ( 0 ) e z ) f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) , T δ ( y , z ) d y d z .
As in Section 2, we shall pay attention to the following auxiliary functions,
g m , n δ ( y , z ) = e m y + n z f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) , g m , n , T δ ( y , z ) = e m y + n z f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) , T δ ( y , z ) .
Suppose that both g m , n δ and g m , n , T δ are absolutely integrable. Then, by Equation (25), we obtain:
g m , n δ ( y , z ) k 1 = 0 N 1 1 k 2 = 0 N 2 1 B k 1 , k 2 ( g m , n δ ) cos k 1 π y a 1 a 2 a 1 cos k 2 π z b 1 b 2 b 1
and:
g m , n , T δ ( y , z ) k 1 = 0 N 1 1 k 2 = 0 N 2 1 B k 1 , k 2 ( g m , n , T δ ) cos k 1 π y a 1 a 2 a 1 cos k 2 π z b 1 b 2 b 1 .
To calculate cosine coefficients in Equations (29) and (30), we suppose X 1 ( t ) , X 2 ( t ) is a two-dimensional Lévy process with X 1 ( 0 ) = X 2 ( 0 ) = 0 . The characteristic exponent is defined by:
Ψ X 1 , X 2 ( s 1 , s 2 ) = ln ( E [ e i s 1 X 1 ( 1 ) + i s 2 X 2 ( 1 ) ] ) .
Furthermore, suppose that f T x is a combination of the exponential density function given by Equation (12). By Fubini theorem, we have:
F g m , n δ ( s 1 , s 2 ) = e i s 1 y + i s 2 z e m y + n z f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) d y d z = e ( i s 1 + m ) y + ( i s 2 + n ) z 0 e δ t f X 1 ( t ) , X 2 ( t ) ( y , z ) f T x ( t ) d t d y d z = 0 e ( δ Ψ X 1 , X 2 ( s 1 m i , s 2 n i ) ) t f T x ( t ) d t = j = 1 m A j α j δ + α j Ψ X 1 , X 2 ( s 1 m i , s 2 n i )
and:
F g m , n , T δ ( s 1 , s 2 ) = 0 T e ( δ Ψ X 1 , X 2 ( s 1 m i , s 2 n i ) ) t f T x ( t ) d t = j = 1 m A j α j 1 e ( δ + α j Ψ X 1 , X 2 ( s 1 m i , s 2 n i ) ) T δ + α j Ψ X 1 , X 2 ( s 1 m i , s 2 n i ) .
In the sequel, we study the numerical approximation of the value of life-contingent two-asset options. We shall consider the Margrabe option, maximum/minimum option, and geometric option. First, the contingent Margrabe option, also called the exchange option, is considered. Note that its payoff function is:
S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) + .
Then, we have:
E [ e δ T x [ S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) ] + | S 1 ( 0 ) < S 2 ( 0 ) ] = 0 e δ t [ S 1 ( 0 ) e y S 2 ( 0 ) e z ] + · f X 1 ( t ) , X 2 ( t ) ( y , z ) f T x ( t ) d y d z d t = [ S 1 ( 0 ) e y S 2 ( 0 ) e z ] + · f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) d y d z = ( y , z ) D 1 ( S 1 ( 0 ) e y S 2 ( 0 ) e z ) f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) d y d z = S 1 ( 0 ) ( y , z ) D 1 e y f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) d y d z S 2 ( 0 ) ( y , z ) D 1 e z f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) d y d z = S 1 ( 0 ) ( y , z ) D 1 g 1 , 0 δ ( y , z ) d y d z S 2 ( 0 ) ( y , z ) D 1 g 0 , 1 δ ( y , z ) d y d z ,
where D 1 denotes the region { ( y , z ) : y z > ln S 2 ( 0 ) S 1 ( 0 ) } . Set D 1 = D 1 ( [ a 1 , a 2 ] × [ b 1 , b 2 ] ) . Utilizing Equation (29), we obtain the following approximation formula:
E [ e δ T x [ S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) ] + | S 1 ( 0 ) < S 2 ( 0 ) ] S 1 ( 0 ) k 1 = 0 N 1 1 k 2 = 0 N 2 1 B k 1 , k 2 ( g 1 , 0 δ ) ( y , z ) D 1 cos k 1 π y a 1 a 2 a 1 cos k 2 π z b 1 b 2 b 1 d y d z S 2 ( 0 ) k 1 = 0 N 1 1 k 2 = 0 N 2 1 B k 1 , k 2 ( g 0 , 1 δ ) ( y , z ) D 1 cos k 1 π y a 1 a 2 a 1 cos k 2 π z b 1 b 2 b 1 d y d z ,
where the double integrals in both summations can be analytically computed.
What follows next are the approximation procedures for maximum/minimum options. The payoff functions for maximum and minimum options are given by:
max { S 1 ( T x ) , S 2 ( T x ) } , min { S 1 ( T x ) , S 2 ( T x ) } .
With a trivial mathematical change, we can turn them into the following forms:
max { S 1 ( T x ) , S 2 ( T x ) } = S 2 ( T x ) + [ S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) ] + , min { S 1 ( T x ) , S 2 ( T x ) } = S 1 ( T x ) [ S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) ] + .
Hence, the valuation equations can be obtained by taking discounted expectations on both sides of the above equations,
E [ e δ T x max { S 1 ( T x ) , S 2 ( T x ) } ] = E [ e δ T x S 2 ( T x ) ] + E [ e δ T x [ S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) ] + ] , E [ e δ T x min { S 1 ( T x ) , S 2 ( T x ) } ] = E [ e δ T x S 1 ( T x ) ] E [ e δ T x [ S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) ] + ] ,
which imply that we can take advantage of the deductions of exchange option and basic option taking the form b ( s ) = s to compute the above expectations.
Finally, we pay attention to the geometric option. The payoff function with strike price K is given by:
S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) K + .
When condition S 1 ( 0 ) S 2 ( 0 ) < K holds, we can develop the following approximation.
E [ e δ T x [ S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) K ] + | S 1 ( 0 ) S 2 ( 0 ) < K ] = + + [ S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) K ] + · f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) d y d z = S 1 ( 0 ) S 2 ( 0 ) ( y , z ) D 2 e 1 2 ( y + z ) f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) d y d z K ( y , z ) D 2 f X 1 ( T x ) , X 2 ( T x ) δ ( y , z ) d y d z = S 1 ( 0 ) S 2 ( 0 ) ( y , z ) D 2 g 1 2 , 1 2 δ ( y , z ) d y d z K ( y , z ) D 2 g 0 , 0 δ ( y , z ) d y d z ,
where D 2 denotes the region { ( y , z ) : y + z > ln K 2 S 1 ( 0 ) S 2 ( 0 ) } . Set D 2 = D 2 ( [ a 1 , a 2 ] × [ b 1 , b 2 ] ) . Then, Equation (34) can be approximated by:
E [ e δ T x [ S 1 ( T x ) S 2 ( T x ) K ] + | S 1 ( 0 ) S 2 ( 0 ) < K ] S 1 ( 0 ) S 2 ( 0 ) k 1 = 0 N 1 1 k 2 = 0 N 2 1 B k 1 , k 2 ( g 1 2 , 1 2 δ ) ( y , z ) D 2 cos k 1 π y a 1 a 2 a 1 cos k 2 π z b 1 b 2 b 1 d y d z K k 1 = 0 N 1 1 k 2 = 0 N 2 1 B k 1 , k 2 ( g 0 , 0 δ ) ( y , z ) D 2 cos k 1 π y a 1 a 2 a 1 cos k 2 π z b 1 b 2 b 1 d y d z ,
where analytical expressions of the double integrals in both summations exist.
Remark 4.
When we study V ¯ x , T , the approximation Equations are similar to those of V ¯ x , and the only modification is replacing F g m , n δ by F g m , n , T δ .

4. Numerical Illustrations

In this section, we present some numerical examples to show the performance of the proposed approach. For the linear combination of exponential distributions, which is used to approximate the density function of T x , we use the case considered in Gerber et al. [3], which is given by:
f T x ( t ) = 3 × 0.08 e 0.08 t 2 × 0.12 e 0.12 t , t > 0 .
In the following subsections, we shall show that the COS method is very efficient for valuing GMDB.

4.1. The 1D COS Results

In this subsection, we use some Lévy processes to model the log asset process X ( t ) (see Remark 1). Note that the probability law of the Lévy process X ( t ) is determined by its characteristic exponent Ψ X ( s ) . In this section, all computations were performed in MATLAB 2016b with Intel Core i7 at 3.4 GHz and RAM of 8 GB. We shall consider the following five models.
  • Black-Scholes model (BS): Ψ X ( s ) = i μ s σ 2 2 s 2 ;
  • Kou’s jump diffusion model (Kou): Ψ X ( s ) = i μ s σ 2 2 s 2 + λ K ( 1 p ) η 2 η 2 + i s + p η 1 η 1 i s 1 ;
  • Merton’s jump diffusion model (MJD): Ψ X ( s ) = i μ s σ 2 2 s 2 + λ J e i s μ J σ J 2 2 s 2 1 ;
  • Variance Gammamodel (VG): Ψ X ( s ) = i μ s σ 2 2 s 2 1 ν ln 1 i ν μ ν s + ν σ ν 2 2 s 2 ;
  • Normal inverse Gaussian model (NIG): Ψ X ( s ) = i μ s δ N I G α 2 ( β + i s ) 2 α 2 β 2 .
In the sequel, let δ = 0.05 and μ be chosen to satisfy the risk-neutral requirement. Here, we need to assume that T x is still independent with the stock price process even under the risk-neutral measure. Thus, μ is set such that Ψ X ( i ) = δ . The values of other parameters are listed in Table 1. Furthermore, set a 1 = 100 , a 2 = 100 . For the death benefit function b, we consider the following two cases:
call option : b ( s ) = ( s K ) + ; put option : b ( s ) = ( K s ) + .
First, in Table 2 and Table 3, we display some results when X is the Black-Scholes model and Kou’s jump diffusion model where the strike price K = 80 , 90 , 110 , 120 , respectively. Note that if X is Black-Scholes or Kou’s jump diffusion, reference values can be obtained from Gerber et al. [3,4]. In Table 2 and Table 3, we calculate the relative errors and average running time to show the performance of our method, where the average running time (in seconds) is reported based on 1000 operations. From a horizontal perspective of Table 2 and Table 3, our approximation results performed better as the expansion term N increased. When N = 2 12 , relative errors were around 10 8 . Furthermore, we present Monte Carlo simulation results with sample size 10 7 . We found that the COS method can result in smaller relative errors for each case, and this method requires less time than MC. When X is Merton’s jump diffusion, VG, and NIG, true reference values are not available. In these cases, we present MC simulation results with sample size 10 7 . From the simulation results given in Table 4, we see that the differences between approximation results and simulation results were small and our method required less time than MC.
Next, we consider valuation with a finite expiry date. In Table 5 and Table 6, we assume T = 20 and display some GMDB valuation results. In finite-time cases, reference values are available only when X is BS. For Kou’s jump diffusion, we display MC results with sample size 10 7 . With the call payoff function, it is observed that as K increases, the results decrease, which is opposite those with put payoff. Compared with MC, again, we found that the COS method required less time. Now, we further display the valuation results in Table 7 under different expiry dates in the BS model. As T grew from five to infinity, which denotes a whole life insurance type, valuation results increased as expected. If the expiry date is too far from the present, the probability that the insured dies becomes larger; hence, the insurance company is likely to make a payment. Besides, the dynamics of the asset is driven by a Brownian motion, with a positive drift; hence, the account accumulates from present to future. From a vertical perspective, it is also observed that relative errors decrease obviously as N increases.
Finally, to illustrate the accuracy of the proposed method, denary logarithms of relative errors are displayed in Figure 1 and Figure 2 with different expansion terms and strike prices. For a fixed K, the curve tended to descend as expansion term N increased.

4.2. The 2D COS Results

In this subsection, the valuation results involving two assets in a GMDB contract are presented. For illustrative purpose, we assumed that the density function of T x is represented by the combination of exponential distribution Equation (35). Besides, we considered a bivariate normal distribution. In addition, suppose that ( S 1 ( t ) , S 2 ( t ) ) is a bivariate geometric Brownian motion, where the log-asset price at time t is bivariate normally distributed:
( X 1 ( t ) , X 2 ( t ) ) N ( μ , Σ t ) ,
where:
μ = [ 0.02 , 0.005 ] , Σ = [ 0.04 , 0.015 ; 0.015 , 0.09 ] .
Set ( S 1 ( 0 ) , S 2 ( 0 ) ) = ( 90 , 110 ) , and the strike price K = 100 . We considered the cosine expansion over a symmetric interval [ 100 , 100 ] × [ 100 , 100 ] .
In Gerber et al. [3], the valuation equations for GMDB with the exchange option type were explicitly obtained by the Esscher transform, from which we can compute reference values and relative errors. Motivated by the idea in Gerber et al. [3], we further considered some other option types. Approximation results are given in Table 8, and the relative errors confirmed the accuracy of the proposed procedure. It was observed that as N increased, the relative errors decreased.

5. Conclusions

In this paper, we used the COS method to value GMDB products under a general Lévy framework. When the death benefit payment depended on only one stock fund, we used the 1D COS method to value the products; when it depended on two stock funds, the 2D COS method was used for valuation. Various numerical results illustrated the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method.
Our COS method can only be used to value GMDB contracts that depend on the terminal value of the stock price; however, we note that some products are also dependent on the running maximum or minimum of the stock price; for example, life-contingent lookback options and barrier options. Hence, we have to develop the COS method or search for another numerical method to solve this problem. We leave this for future research.

Author Contributions

Data curation, G.G., W.S., and C.C.; formal analysis, W.Y., Y.Y., and Y.H.; methodology, Y.Y.; writing, original draft, W.Y., Y.H., and Y.Y.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the four anonymous referees for their helpful comments and suggestions, which improved an earlier version of the paper. This research is partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 11301303), the National Social Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 15BJY007), the Taishan Scholars Program of Shandong Province (Grant No. tsqn20161041), the Humanities and Social Sciences Project of the Ministry Education of China (Grant Nos. 19YJA910002 and 16YJC630070), the Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation (Grant No. ZR2018MG002), the Fostering Project of Dominant Discipline and Talent Team of Shandong Province Higher Education Institutions (Grant No. 1716009), the Shandong Jiaotong University “Climbing” Research Innovation Team Program, the Risk Management and Insurance Research Team of Shandong University of Finance and Economics, the 1251 Talent Cultivation Project of Shandong Jiaotong University, the Collaborative Innovation Center Project of the Transformation of New and Old Kinetic Energy and Government Financial Allocation, and the Outstanding Talents of Shandong University of Finance and Economics.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

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Figure 1. Relative errors with payoff b ( s ) = ( s K ) + : (a) BS model; (b) Kou model.
Figure 1. Relative errors with payoff b ( s ) = ( s K ) + : (a) BS model; (b) Kou model.
Mathematics 07 00835 g001
Figure 2. Relative errors for BS model with payoff b ( s ) = ( K s ) + and finite expiry time T = 20 .
Figure 2. Relative errors for BS model with payoff b ( s ) = ( K s ) + and finite expiry time T = 20 .
Mathematics 07 00835 g002
Table 1. Parameter setting for the log-asset process X.
Table 1. Parameter setting for the log-asset process X.
ModelAbbreviationParameter Sets
Black-Scholes modelBS σ = 0.25 , S ( 0 ) = 100 ;
Kou’s jump diffusion modelKou σ = 0.25 , S ( 0 ) = 100 , λ K = 0.6 , η 1 = 4 , η 2 = 1 , p = 0.5 ;
Merton’s jump diffusion modelMerton σ = 0.25 , S ( 0 ) = 100 , λ J = 0.6 , μ J = 0.01 , σ J = 0.13 ;
Variance Gamma modelVG σ = 0.25 , S ( 0 ) = 100 , ν = 2 , μ ν = 0.01 , σ ν = 0.05 ;
Normal inverse Gaussian modelNIG S ( 0 ) = 100 , α = 2 , β = 0.5 , δ N I G = 0.05 .
Table 2. Approximation results for guaranteed minimum death benefit (GMDB), where X is BS, b ( s ) = ( K s ) + .
Table 2. Approximation results for guaranteed minimum death benefit (GMDB), where X is BS, b ( s ) = ( K s ) + .
KReference ValueBSMC
N = 2 4 N = 2 8 N = 2 12 Relative ErrorsTimeStd
Relative ErrorsTimeRelative ErrorsTimeRelative ErrorsTime
80 3.6161 6.37 0.1009 3.10 × 10 3 0.1010 1.41 × 10 8 0.0977 1.02 × 10 3 1215.7831 7.5637
90 4.9871 4.59 0.0986 1.24 × 10 2 0.1002 4.54 × 10 8 0.1021 8.96 × 10 4 1215.2156 9.4440
110 8.4402 2.72 0.0970 1.54 × 10 2 0.1041 3.13 × 10 8 0.0987 7.48 × 10 4 1215.4682 13.5673
120 10.4920 2.21 0.0973 1.37 × 10 2 0.0999 1.66 × 10 8 0.1018 7.31 × 10 4 1215.6826 15.7678
Table 3. Approximation results for GMDB, where X is Kou, b ( s ) = ( K s ) + .
Table 3. Approximation results for GMDB, where X is Kou, b ( s ) = ( K s ) + .
KReference ValueKouMC
N = 2 4 N = 2 8 N = 2 12 Relative ErrorsTimeStd
Relative ErrorsTimeRelative ErrorsTimeRelative ErrorsTime
80 18.0238 1.06 0.1106 3.34 × 10 4 0.1217 3.45 × 10 9 0.1184 4.81 × 10 4 1043.5026 16.7433
90 20.9370 9.43 × 10 1 0.1208 4.60 × 10 4 0.1173 1.04 × 10 8 0.1166 5.18 × 10 4 1043.4856 18.9326
110 27.0526 7.74 × 10 1 0.1157 1.31 × 10 3 0.1208 9.50 × 10 9 0.1139 5.89 × 10 4 1043.8940 23.2865
120 30.2424 7.13 × 10 1 0.1222 1.48 × 10 3 0.1151 5.28 × 10 9 0.1205 6.17 × 10 4 1043.7561 25.4520
Table 4. Approximation results for GMDB, where X is Merton’s jump diffusion model (MJD), the Variance Gamma model (VG), or the normal inverse Gaussian model (NIG), b ( s ) = ( K s ) + .
Table 4. Approximation results for GMDB, where X is Merton’s jump diffusion model (MJD), the Variance Gamma model (VG), or the normal inverse Gaussian model (NIG), b ( s ) = ( K s ) + .
KMerton (Time)MC (Time)VG (Time)MC (Time)NIG (Time)MC (Time)
N = 2 8 N = 2 12 N = 2 8 N = 2 12 N = 2 8 N = 2 12
80 4.4349 4.4514 4.4508 3.8263 3.8395 3.8412 6.1072 6.1399 6.1435
( 0.0877 ) ( 0.0863 ) (1027.4452) ( 0.0870 ) ( 0.0886 ) (1237.0955) ( 0.0891 ) ( 0.0879 ) (1695.8358)
90 5.9255 5.9823 5.9822 5.1947 5.2556 5.2574 7.9234 7.9881 7.9932
( 0.0866 ) ( 0.0884 ) (1027.4338) ( 0.0853 ) ( 0.0890 ) (1237.0935) ( 0.0870 ) ( 0.0901 ) (1695.8093)
110 9.6156 9.7228 9.7250 8.6668 8.7901 8.7909 12.2390 12.3349 12.3326
( 0.0854 ) ( 0.0861 ) (1027.4386) ( 0.0852 ) ( 0.0856 ) (1237.0956) ( 0.0876 ) ( 0.0879 ) (1695.8200)
120 11.7834 11.8986 11.9015 10.7420 10.8770 10.8771 14.6968 14.7924 14.8006
( 0.0879 ) ( 0.0872 ) (1027.4401) ( 0.0863 ) ( 0.0885 ) (1237.1015) ( 0.0881 ) ( 0.0894 ) (1695.8699)
Table 5. Approximation results for finite GMDB, where X is BS or Kou, b ( s ) = ( s K ) + , T = 20 .
Table 5. Approximation results for finite GMDB, where X is BS or Kou, b ( s ) = ( s K ) + , T = 20 .
KBS (Relative Errors)Kou (Time)MC(Time)
N = 2 4 N = 2 8 N = 2 12 N = 2 4 N = 2 8 N = 2 12
80 19.1403 32.6564 32.6676 27.4259 42.7130 42.7070 42.7070
( 0.414 ) (3.43 × 10 4 )(1.56 × 10 9 ) ( 0.1194 ) ( 0.1173 ) ( 0.1173 ) (1090.9950)
90 17.0844 30.2620 30.3241 25.7974 41.4205 41.4301 41.4293
( 0.436 ) (2.04 × 10 3 )(7.46 × 10 9 ) ( 0.1194 ) ( 0.1175 ) ( 0.1183 ) (1091.1883)
110 13.2010 26.1378 26.2680 22.7491 39.1093 39.1448 39.1418
( 0.497 ) (4.95 × 10 3 )(1.00 × 10 8 ) ( 0.1183 ) ( 0.1174 ) ( 0.1197 ) (1091.1751)
120 11.3513 24.3848 24.5286 21.3090 38.0807 38.1253 38.1210
( 0.537 ) (5.86 × 10 3 )(7.08 × 10 9 ) ( 0.1176 ) ( 0.1172 ) ( 0.1184 ) (1091.1742)
Table 6. Approximation results for finite GMDB, where X is Merton, VG, or NIG, b ( s ) = ( s K ) + and T = 20 .
Table 6. Approximation results for finite GMDB, where X is Merton, VG, or NIG, b ( s ) = ( s K ) + and T = 20 .
KMerton (Time)MC (Time)VG (Time)MC (Time)NIG (Time)MC (Time)
N = 2 8 N = 2 12 N = 2 8 N = 2 12 N = 2 8 N = 2 12
80 33.2207 33.2371 33.2582 32.8072 32.8204 32.8216 34.3088 34.3415 34.3638
( 0.1128 ) ( 0.1112 ) (1033.1533) ( 0.1109 ) ( 0.1105 ) (1242.9794) ( 0.1145 ) ( 0.1140 ) (1701.5796)
90 30.9514 31.0082 31.0310 30.4485 30.5094 30.5123 32.2714 32.3360 32.3611
( 0.1121 ) ( 0.1111 ) (1033.2315) ( 0.1126 ) ( 0.1104 ) (1242.8595) ( 0.1167 ) ( 0.1140 ) (1701.3483)
110 27.0436 27.1508 27.1778 26.3865 26.5099 26.5150 28.8046 28.9006 28.9307
( 0.1103 ) ( 0.1133 ) (1033.0862) ( 0.1090 ) ( 0.1139 ) (1242.7859) ( 0.1141 ) ( 0.1160 ) (1701.5626)
120 25.3774 25.4925 25.5214 24.6586 24.7936 24.7996 27.3386 27.4342 27.4663
( 0.1104 ) ( 0.1122 ) (1033.0618) ( 0.1095 ) ( 0.1129 ) (1242.9656) ( 0.1139 ) ( 0.1182 ) (1701.6632)
Table 7. Approximation results for finite GMDB, where X is BS, b ( s ) = ( s K ) + and K = 120 .
Table 7. Approximation results for finite GMDB, where X is BS, b ( s ) = ( s K ) + and K = 120 .
T5103060
N = 2 8 1.2988 7.0082 39.2337 55.9713 58.2215
(8.60 × 10 2 )(2.01 × 10 2 )(3.65 × 10 3 )(2.56 × 10 3 )(2.46 × 10 3 )
N = 2 12 1.4211 7.1521 39.3774 56.1150 58.3653
(1.22 × 10 7 )(2.42 × 10 8 )(4.41 × 10 9 )(3.09 × 10 9 )(2.97 × 10 9 )
Table 8. Approximation results for 2D GMDB.
Table 8. Approximation results for 2D GMDB.
Option Type N = 2 6 N = 2 8 N = 2 10 N = 2 12
Exchange Option 140.8768 153.5866 153.6412 153.6411
(8.31 × 10 2 )(3.55 × 10 4 )(6.38 × 10 7 )(6.74 × 10 10 )
Geometric Option 111.4024 114.0135 114.0281 114.0281
(2.30 × 10 2 )(1.29 × 10 4 )(1.54 × 10 7 )(1.27 × 10 10 )
Maximum Option 470.8768 483.5866 483.6412 483.6411
(2.64 × 10 2 )(1.12 × 10 4 )(2.03 × 10 7 )(2.14 × 10 10 )
Minimum Option 129.1232 116.4134 116.3588 116.3589
(1.10 × 10 1 )(4.68 × 10 4 )(8.43 × 10 7 )(8.90 × 10 10 )

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Yu, W.; Yong, Y.; Guan, G.; Huang, Y.; Su, W.; Cui, C. Valuing Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits by Cosine Series Expansion. Mathematics 2019, 7, 835. https://doi.org/10.3390/math7090835

AMA Style

Yu W, Yong Y, Guan G, Huang Y, Su W, Cui C. Valuing Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits by Cosine Series Expansion. Mathematics. 2019; 7(9):835. https://doi.org/10.3390/math7090835

Chicago/Turabian Style

Yu, Wenguang, Yaodi Yong, Guofeng Guan, Yujuan Huang, Wen Su, and Chaoran Cui. 2019. "Valuing Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits by Cosine Series Expansion" Mathematics 7, no. 9: 835. https://doi.org/10.3390/math7090835

APA Style

Yu, W., Yong, Y., Guan, G., Huang, Y., Su, W., & Cui, C. (2019). Valuing Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits by Cosine Series Expansion. Mathematics, 7(9), 835. https://doi.org/10.3390/math7090835

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