1. Introduction
This paper contributes to the extensive and important literature on multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA). MCDA plays a vital role in various fields including operational research, information technology, engineering and social sciences. We are concerned with multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) techniques. They allow us to either rank the alternatives or compute the most favorable alternative by analyzing the information that stems from different criteria. A miscellany of MCDA techniques solve complex problems in domains like business management [
1], valuation of assets [
2], static and temporal decision-making [
3,
4], or engineering technology [
5]. Two main classes of MCDA methodologies excel at solving MADM problems. One owes to the use of a multi-criteria utility function. This approach includes the technique for the order of preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) [
6] and VIekriterijumsko KOmpromisno Rangiranje (VIKOR) meaning multi-criteria optimization and compromise solution [
7], among others. The second one is the outranking class of MCDA methodologies. The elimination and choice translating reality (ELECTRE) [
8] and the preference ranking organization method for enrichment of evaluations (PROMETHEE) [
9] are the most popular techniques in this category. These outranking methods rely on pairwise comparisons of the alternatives with respect to multiple and conflicting criteria. They sometimes provide the kernel set as a solution to the decision-making problem instead of an optimal solution or the ranking of alternatives.
Irrespective of the specialized position, MCDM methods provide more accurate and reliable results when a group of field experts or decision-makers evaluate the decision problem. This situation is approached by multi-criteria group decision-making (MCGDM).
Our paper extends the scope of the PROMETHEE methodology so that it can benefit from the advantages of multi-polar information. As the evaluation of data or the assessment of most suitable action in an mF environment is assessed on the basis of several imprecise factors and is a difficult MCDM problem. Therefore, mF numbers are considered the best way to evaluate the decision data having multi-polarity. This setting encompasses the successful bipolar fuzzy environment.
YinYang bipolar fuzzy sets (or bipolar fuzzy sets), as a generalization of fuzzy sets [
10] that extend the membership domain from
to
, were introduced by Zhang [
11] to handle double-sided information about the decision data. Afterwards Akram and Arshad [
12] inaugurated the analysis of bipolar fuzzy numbers. Many decision-making methods have been adapted to handle bipolar fuzzy sets and numbers, including the TOPSIS and ELECTRE I methods [
13], the VIKOR technique [
14], and the ELECTRE II method [
15]. Recently, Akram et al. [
16] provided a new version of PROMETHEE for group decision-making under the bipolar fuzzy environment. They applied it to the selection of green suppliers.
Chen et al. [
17] generalized the concept of bipolar fuzzy sets by introducing the idea of
m-polar fuzzy (
) sets. They are designed to deal with real-world problems having a multi-polar structure. The membership grades in an
mF set range over the interval
and they represent the
m different aspects of the respective criteria. This paper is motivated by the fact that there does not exist any version of PROMETHEE method that can incorporate the multi-polar uncertainties of decision data. Some antecedents on the extension of alternative MCGDM methodologies are already available. Akram et al. [
18] presented the
mF ELECTRE I technique for group decision-making. Adeel et al. [
19] proposed the TOPSIS method by using
mF linguistic variables for group decision-making. Here we propose an extension of PROMETHEE that uses multi-polar information and computes the weights of the criteria by Saaty’s analytical hierarchy process (AHP) [
20]; therefore this methodology is called the AHP-assisted
mF PROMETHEE method. Let us examine some further issues in order to position our research.
For the last few decades, a variety of MADM methods have helped decision makers to design the framework and determine the solutions that best suit the goals of their decision-making problems having multiple criteria. They include the aforementioned AHP and the more general analytical network process (ANP) [
21], data envelopment analysis (DEA) [
22], grey theory [
23], etc. Originally, the most prominent MCDM methods were designed to deal with exact and crisp data. They were not able to work under the type of vague and imprecise information that abounds in real-world problems. To overcome these difficulties, Bellman and Zadeh [
24] put forward the fuzzy versions of decision-making methods. Since then many researchers applied fuzzy set theory and its variants or extensions to solve the uncertainties of decision-making problems. AHP is based on the hierarchical structure or network of an unstructured problem that is further formulated by the pairwise comparison of criteria. This continuous or discrete pairwise comparison then provides the ratio scales of the criteria which can be taken from actual measurements or can be derived from the Saaty (1–9) fundamental scale of preferences. The process of AHP calculates the respective weights of the attributes in applied studies like the following sample papers. San Cristóbal [
25] worked on a renewable energy project in Spain. AHP produced the weights of the criteria which are then used to yield a consistency ranking by the VIKOR method. Moreno-Jiménez et al. [
26] presented the AHP method for group decision making and also provided the core of consistency. An economic project for the selection of a suitable machine is presented by Karim and Karmaker [
27] with the help of AHP and TOPSIS techniques. Shahroodi et al. [
28] adopted the AHP technique for the assessment and ranking of suppliers in an effective supply chain management based on multiple criteria. Chang [
29] proposed the fuzzy version of the AHP method as an extent analysis method to solve the uncertainties of decision data. Junior et al. [
30] provided a comparison of AHP and TOPSIS approaches in the fuzzy environment by taking into account the problem of supplier selection. For other notations, terminologies and applications, the readers are referred to [
31,
32,
33,
34].
PROMETHEE is acknowledged as one of the most suitable and well-established outranking approaches for multi- criteria decision-making. It was proposed by Brans et al. [
35]. They presented the PROMETHEE I method for the partial ordering of alternatives, as well as the PROMETHEE II method for the complete ranking of alternatives. An expansion in applications ensued. Abdullah et al. [
36] applied the techniques of PROMETHEE I and II for ranking the suppliers in a green environment. They presented a comparative analysis by using various types of preference functions. Behzadian et al. [
37] provided a complete and extensive analysis of different methodologies and applications of the PROMETHEE method. A PROMETHEE-based method is applied by Govindan et al. [
38] in a supply chain management to attain a suitable ordering of green suppliers. Relatedly, the extended version of the PROMETHEE method for decision-making in the fuzzy environment is introduced by Goumas and Lygerou [
39]. Krishankumar et al. [
40] proposed the intuitionistic fuzzy PROMETHEE method to handle the membership as well as non-membership degrees of actions represented by the linguistic values. Ziemba [
41] introduced a new MCDM technique by suggesting the NEAT F-PROMETHEE approach in which the results are obtained by using the trapezoidal fuzzy numbers [
42].
All these existing versions of PROMETHEE technique are useful and appropriate when the decision data is in the form of precise information or fuzzy imprecision, but cannot be applied to multi-polar imprecise information. For the following reasons, we are motivated to extend the methodology of PROMETHEE technique to deal with the multi-polar behavior of decision data.
- 1.
Can we apply anyone of the existing versions of PROMETHEE technique to evaluate the alternatives using information having multi-polarity?
- 2.
What is the impact of different types of preference functions on the net results of PROMETHEE methods?
- 3.
What is the significance of criteria weights on the ranking of alternatives when they are calculated through a well-known MCDM method such as AHP?
To follow the above mentioned research questions, our AHP-assisted mF PROMETHEE method is able to use mF numbers to assign the performance ratings of the alternatives with respect to multiple criteria. As an application, the combination of six types of preference functions produces respective rankings of sites for hydroelectric power plants. These preferences are also presented under the usual criterion preference function. in order to provide the comparison of net results and to check the impact of different preference functions. The existing mF ELECTRE I technique is applied to the same location problem for comparison, and also to prove the validity of the method proposed in this paper.
The main contributions of this research are:
- 1.
The methodology of the PROMETHEE technique is extended by using the mF numbers to tackle the MADM problems having multi-polar uncertainities.
- 2.
A well-known MCDA approach such as the AHP method is used to compute the normalized weights of criteria in order to minimize the personal interest of influence od decision-makers.
- 3.
Lastly, the authenticity and the validity of the proposed approach is illustrated by comparative study.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows:
Section 2 contains the basic concepts regarding
mF sets and the preference functions of the PROMETHEE method. In
Section 3 we describe the methodology of the AHP-assisted
mF PROMETHEE method. We apply it for ranking the sites of hydroelectric power plants by the resort to six types of preference functions in
Section 4.
Section 5 provides the comparative study of the results that we obtain with the corresponding outputs by the usual criterion preference function and the
mF ELECTRE I method.
Section 6 concludes with some discussion.
4. Ranking the Sites of Hydroelectric Power Stations
The electricity is considered as one of the main necessities or requirements for the economic development of a nation. The shortage of electricity not only affects the households, but also the economy. Due to the high and increasing demand of electricity, every state or country needs to generate their own energy without relying on international sources. There are many ways to convert different types of energies into electrical energy, including windmills, solar power, hydroelectric power and by burning the fossil fuels such as coal, oil or natural gas etc. Hydroelectric power is a renewable source of energy as it produces electricity by using the energy of flowing water. Moreover, it doesn’t pollute the environment like other power plants that use the coal or natural gas as fuel, therefore it is also known as clean fuel source of energy. Assume that a company wants to plant his own power station to fulfill the requirements of electricity. The suitable location or site is one of the most important factors to planted a hydroelectric power station. After initial screening, a set of seven different sites, , were selected for further evaluation. A committee of two field experts was appointed as decision makers to rank these sites on the basis of six criteria (or factors) as follows:
Infrastructure,
Nature of land,
Government incentives,
Social infrastructure,
Climate changes,
Cost.
Each factor has been further categorized into three characteristics to make a 3F number as follows:
The factor “Infrastructure” includes the availability of water, storage of water and transportation facilities.
The factor “Nature of land” includes the security level, availability of labor and soil type.
The factor “Government incentives” includes the licensing policies, tax incentives and energy subsidies.
The factor “Social infrastructure” includes the public safety, health care facilities and educational institutes.
The factor “Climate changes” includes the atmospheric pressure, wind velocity and air temperature.
The factor “Cost” includes the construction cost, maintenance cost and transportation cost.
On the basis of above discussed structure, the ranking for the sites of hydroelectric power plants by using PROMETHEE method is described as follows.
4.1. Criteria Weights by AHP
Firstly, the weights of criteria are calculated by using the process of AHP technique. The pairwise comparison of criteria are constructed on the basis of Saaty (1–9) preference scale as given in
Table 1, and the values are given in
Table 3.
By using the condition of normality, which is given in Equation (
8), the normalized matrix
for criteria is constructed as follows,
Then the criteria weights are calculated by employing the Equation (
9) and the weights are provided in the column weight vector
W as follows,
Next, we need to check the consistency of calculated weights by determining the consistency ratio of the comparison matrix. The small consistencies are negligible and do not cause the serious difficulties. For the consistency check, first step is to construct a matrix
given as,
Then the maximum Eigenvalue
is computed by applying the Equation (
10), that is,
The consistency index is
, which is obtained by employing the Equation (
11), and the consistency ratio is determined by using the random index,
(for
). Since the consistency ratio is
, which is less than
, so the given comparison matrix shows the consistent behavior and the calculated wights are appropriate for decision making.
4.2. Ranking through mF PROMETHEE
In this subsection, a new version of an outranking method PROMETHEE, named as
mF PROMETHEE, is applied to rank the sites with respect to six criteria. The types of criteria, which are specified by decision maker on the basis of generalized criteria preference functions, and their corresponding parameters are given in
Table 4.
The evaluations for ranking the sites of hydroelectric power plants through mF PROMETHEE method by applying the AHP weights of criteria are as follows.
- Step 1.
The decision values of alternatives with respect to multiple and conflicting criteria in the form of 3F numbers are provided by experts
and
as shown in
Table 5 and
Table 6, respectively. Then the aggregated decision preferences are obtained by applying the averaging operator, and the results are summarized in
Table 7.
- Step 2.
The score matrix
is constructed by applying the score function of 3F numbers as follows:
- Step 3.
The score matrix is then used to calculate the difference or deviation of an alternative with respect to other alternatives. The deviation for every pair of alternatives with respect to each criterion is computed by using the Equation (15), and the outcomes are shown in
Table 8.
- Step 4.
Further, the preference degree of every pair of alternatives with respect to each criterion is calculated by using the preference function. In this method, six different types of preference functions are used according to the nature or type of criteria as described in
Table 4. The results for each type of preference functions for every pair of alternatives are shown in
Table 9.
- Step 5.
The weighted averages of these preference functions are known as multi-criteria preference index of alternatives. The multi-criteria preference index or the total degree of preference for each pair of alternative is calculated by deploying the Equation (
19), and the values are given in
Table 10.
- Step 6.
The whole procedure is concluded in this step and the results for partial and net outranking flows are determined.
- (a)
Partial ranking of alternatives (or PROMETHEE I)
The outgoing and incoming flows of alternatives are computed by employing Equations (
20) and (
21), respectively, and the results are summarized in
Table 11.
Then the partial raking of alternatives is determined by considering the intersection of preorders
and
, as follows:
and the partial relations of PROMETHEE I are shown in
Figure 5.
- (b)
Complete ranking of alternatives (or PROMETHEE II)
The net outranking flows of alternatives are computed by employing the Equation (
25), and the net values are given in
Table 12.
It can be easily seen that the alternative
is selected as the most suitable site for planting a hydroelectric power station, and the ordering of alternatives is given as,
6. Conclusions
Many real-world problems have multi-polarity in decision data that can be properly describe with the help of multiple attributes. As a number of theoretical models have been developed to encompass the wider range of decision data, the combination of these models with MCDA techniques can provide the more accurate and authentic results of complex decision problems.
In this research article we have proposed a MCDA technique that makes an efficient use of mF information, and we named it as the AHP-assisted mF PROMETHEE method. It consists of two parts, namely, the calculation of the weights of the criteria and the ranking of the set of feasible alternatives. The normalized weights of the attributes are determined by the AHP technique. Then a novel variation of the PROMETHEE approach produces the ranking of alternatives in the context of mF numbers.
As an application, the combination of six types of generalized criteria preference functions delivered partial and complete rankings of hydroelectric power plants. Moreover, the comparative analysis of net obtained results was provided by assigning the usual criterion preference function for all criteria. Furthermore, the reliability of this method has been analyzed by applying an existing MCDM approach, such as mF ELECTRE I method, to the same location problem. It can be easily observe that the different versions of proposed mF PROMETHEE technique not only provide the solution set but also ranks all the alternatives in a descending order as compared to mF ELECTRE I method.
This research analysis is limited in a way that the net outranking flow of alternatives are calculated by using the simple subtraction arithmetic function. This limitation can be addressed by using the different arithmetic functions or any distance formula in future work. In future research, we aim at extending our work to the cases of (1) the complex fuzzy PROMETHEE technique; (2) the bipolar neutrosophic PROMETHEE method; and (3) the bipolar fuzzy soft PROMETHEE method.