A Survey of Forex and Stock Price Prediction Using Deep Learning
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Related Deep Learning Methods and Input Introduction
2.1. Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)
2.2. Recurrent Neural Network (RNN)
2.3. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)
2.4. Deep Neural Network (DNN)
2.5. Reinforcement Learning
2.6. Other Deep Learning Methods
3. Review Methodology and Criteria
3.1. Paper Selection Methods
3.2. Selected Paper Statistics
4. Results
4.1. Papers Descriptions
4.1.1. CNN
4.1.2. RNN
4.1.3. LSTM
4.1.4. DNN
4.1.5. Reinforcement Learning
4.1.6. Other Deep Learning Methods
4.2. Papers Results Grouped by the Method Used
4.2.1. CNN
4.2.2. RNN
4.2.3. LSTM
4.2.4. DNN
4.2.5. Reinforcement Learning
4.2.6. Other Deep Learning Methods
5. Discussion
5.1. Analysis Based on the Method Used
5.1.1. CNN
- According to the datasets used, 6 papers used a combination of technical analysis, and sentiment and news analysis to predict the stock. The rest of them used the method of technical analysis only.
- For the variables, the closing price was the choice of all CNN models, and five papers used closing price only.
- It could be found that 12 of the papers changed the traditional CNN model to pursue higher performances in prediction. The combination of CNN and LSTM was the most common model.
- The metrics used in each paper were different; there were 11 metrics used for measuring the performance of the CNN model.
- Multiple articles selected RMSE, return rate, F-measure, Sharpe ratio, and accuracy. We found that paper [22] had the highest accuracy compared to any other papers, paper [16] had the highest return rate followed by papers [14,18,21]. Paper [24,31] had the lowest RMSE. Paper [19] had a higher F-measure than that of papers [14,18], but paper [18] achieved a higher Sharpe ratio than that of paper [14].
5.1.2. RNN
- According to the datasets used, there was 1 paper that used a combination of technical analysis, and sentiment and news analysis to predict the stock. The rest used technical analysis only.
- For the variables, all the RNN-based models used a multivariable input, and open price, close price, highest price, and the lowest price were used in all models as an input.
- It could be found that all the papers changed the traditional RNN model to pursue a higher performance in prediction. Two of the papers chose the C-RNN based model.
- The metrics used in each paper were different; in total, there were 8 metrics used for measuring the performance of the RNN-based model.
5.1.3. LSTM
- According to the datasets used, 3 papers used a combination of technical analysis, and sentiment and news analysis to predict the stock. The rest used technical analysis, only with the exception of one paper which used expert recommendations.
- For the variables, the closing price was the choice of 23 LSTM-based models, there were 8 papers that used closing price only, and 12 papers included close price, open price, high price, and low price in their input.
- It could be found that 15 of the papers changed the traditional LSTM model to pursue a higher performance in prediction. Attention-based LSTM and LSTM with RNN were the most frequent models, showing up in three different papers. Two papers chose the method of LSTM with GRU to improve the model.
- The metrics used in each paper were different; there were 17 metrics used for measuring the performance of the LSTM based model.
- Multiple articles selected RMSE, MAPE, MAE, accuracy, and MSE. For RMSE, we found that paper [36], paper [65], and paper [38] were in the lowest order of magnitude, with paper [36] achieving the lowest; paper [32] was in the second-lowest order of magnitude; and papers [39,45,46,47] were in the third lowest order of magnitude. Paper [37] was in the fourth lowest order of magnitude, and paper [35] had the highest order of magnitude.
- For MSE, paper [59] had the lowest MSE and was in the lowest order of magnitude; papers [33,40,42] were in the second-lowest order of magnitude, while papers [32,39] were in the third lowest order of magnitude. Papers [41,43] were in the fourth lowest order of magnitude, paper [38] was in the fifth-lowest order of magnitude, and paper [35] had the highest order of magnitude.
5.1.4. DNN
- According to the datasets used, no paper used a combination of technical analysis, and sentiment and news analysis to predict the stock. All used the method of technical analysis only.
- For the variables, six of the seven DNN-based models used multivariable input, and only one paper used closing price as its sole input.
- It could be found that 3 of the papers changed the traditional DNN model to pursue a higher performance in prediction. All of the improved models were not duplicated.
- Because the metrics used in each paper were different, there were 11 different metrics used for measuring the performance of the DNN-based model.
5.1.5. Reinforcement Learning
- According to the datasets used, no paper used a combination of technical analysis, and sentiment and news analysis to predict the stock. All of them used technical analysis only.
- For the variables, 7 of the reinforcement learning-based models used the multivariable input, and only one paper solely used closing price as the input.
- It could be found that three of the 6 papers changed the traditional reinforcement learning model to pursue a higher performance in prediction. Three of the improved models were combined with LSTM.
- The metrics used in each paper were different; in total, there were 3 metrics used in the measurement performance of the reinforcement learning-based model.
5.1.6. Other Deep Learning Methods
- According to the datasets used, 4 papers made use of sentiment and news analysis to predict the stock. The rest of them used the method of technical analysis only.
- For the variables, five of the other deep learning methods models used the multivariable input and only one paper used candlestick charts alone as input.
- It could be found that there were 5 different models in the other deep learning methods. The only model that appeared three times was HAN, which consisted of an ordinary HAN model and two modified HAN models. The rest of the models were not duplicated.
- Because the metrics used in each paper were different, there were 9 metrics used in the measurement performance of this section.
5.2. Discussion and Analysis Based on Performance Metrics
5.2.1. Analysis Based on RMSE
5.2.2. Analysis Based on MAPE
5.2.3. Analysis Based on MAE
5.2.4. Analysis Based on MSE
5.2.5. Analysis Based on the Accuracy
5.2.6. Analysis Based on Sharpe Ratio
5.2.7. Analysis Based on the Return Rate
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Type of Method | Total Paper | Number of Papers in Journals | Number of Papers in Conferences |
---|---|---|---|
CNN | 18 | 6 | 12 |
LSTM | 38 | 13 | 25 |
DNN | 9 | 5 | 4 |
RNN | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Reinforcement Learning | 8 | 1 | 7 |
Other Deep Learning Methods | 10 | 3 | 7 |
Reference No. | Author | Dataset | Variables | Model |
---|---|---|---|---|
[11] | Maqsood, H. | 1. Top 4 performing companies of US, Hong Kong, Turkey, and Pakistan 2. Twitter dataset | 1. Open price, high price, low price, AdjClose price, volume, and close price 2. Sentiment (positive, neutral, and negative sentiments). | CNN |
[12] | Patil, P. | 1. News collected on a financial website. 2. 30 stocks of fortune 500 companies, such as WMT, XOM, and AAPL | Adjacency matrix calculated by the correlation coefficient and using news co-mentions | Graph convolution neural network (GCN) |
[13] | Sim, HS. | S&P 500 min data | Close price | CNN |
[14] | Hoseinzade, E. | S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones industrial average, NYSE, and Russell | 82 variables including high, low, and close price; volume, RSI, KD, WR, etc. | 2D-CNN and 3D-CNN |
[15] | Eapen, J. | Standard and Poor’s (S&P) 500 stock dataset | Close price | CNN-bidirectional LSTM |
[16] | Yang, H. | S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) | High, low, and close price; volume, RSI, KD, WR, ROC, and CCI | CNN with MICFS |
[17] | Cai, S. | 1. Crawling financial news 2. Baidu Index | 1. word vector; headline and keyword training set in the news 2. Close price | CNN-LSTM |
[18] | Oncharoen, P. | Reuters and Reddit Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P500) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) | Word vectors of headlinesClose prices, Bollinger band, RSI, and stochastic oscillator | CNN-LSTM |
[19] | Liu, Y. | 1. Thomson Reuters 2. Standard & Poor’s 500 index (S&P 500) | 1. Financial news corpus with headlines from Apple 2. Open price; close price; high price; low price; volume; stochastic oscillator (%K); Larry William (LW) %R indicator; and Relative Strength Index (RSI) | TransE-CNN-LSTM |
[20] | Selvin, S. | NSE listed companies: Infosys, TCS, and CIPLA | Close price | CNN sliding-window model |
[21] | Liu, S. | Chinese stocks from the SINA FINANCE (not given specific data) | Close price | CNN-LSTM |
[22] | Gudelek, M.U. | Exchange-Traded Funds (ETF) | Close price, RSI, SMA, MACD, MFI, Williams %R, the stochastic oscillator, and the ultimate oscillator | 2D-CNN |
[23] | Ding, X. | 1. S&P 500 index 2. Reuters and Bloomberg | 1. close price 2. long-term, mid-term, and short-term feature vectors of news headlines | NTN-CNN |
[24] | Zhao, Y. and Khushi | USDJPY exchange rate | 1. Momentum indicators: RSI5, RSI10, RSI20, MACD, MACDhist, MACDsignal, Slowk, Slowd, Fastk, Fastd, WR5, WR1, WR2, ROC5, ROC1, ROC20, CCI5, CCI10, and CCI20 2. Volume indicators: ATR5, ATR10, ATR20, NATR5, NATR10, NATR20, and TRANGE | Wavelet denoised-ResNet CNN with light GBM |
[3] | Chen, S. and He, H. | Chinese stock market | Closing price | CNN |
[25] | Chen, Jou-Fan | Taiwan index futures | Open, high, low, and closing price | GAF + CNN |
[26] | Wen, M | S%P500 | Open, high, low, close, adjusted close, and volume. | CNN |
Reference No. | Author | Dataset | Variables | Model |
---|---|---|---|---|
[27] | Ni, L. | EURUSD, AUDUSD, XAUUSD, GBPJPY, EURJPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, and USDCAD | Open price, close price, highest price, and lowest price | C-RNN |
[28] | Li, C. | China Security Index: CSI300, CSI200, and CSI500 | Open price, high price, low price, close price, volume, and amount. | Multi-task RNN with MRFs |
[29] | Chen, W | HS300 | 1. Technical features: open price, high price, low price, close price, volume, price change, price limit, volume change, volume limit, amplitude, and difference. 2. Content features: sentiment features and LDA features | RNN-Boost |
[30] | Zhang, R. | Sandstorm sector of the Shanghai Stock Exchange | Open price, close price, highest price, lowest price, and the daily trading volume | C-RNN (DWNN) |
[31] | Zeng, Z. and Khushi | USDJPY exchange rate | Momentum indicators: average directional movement index, absolute price oscillator, Aroon oscillator, balance of power, commodity channel index, Chande momentum oscillator, percentage price oscillator, moving average convergence divergence, Williams, momentum, relative strength index, stochastic oscillator, and triple exponential average Volatility indicators: average true range, normalized average true range, and true range | Attention-based RNN-ARIMA |
Reference No. | Author | Dataset | Variables | Model |
---|---|---|---|---|
[32] | Nikou, M. | iShares MSCI United Kingdom | Close price | LSTM |
[33] | Fazeli, A. | S&P 500 | Open price, high price, low price, close price, adjusted close price, volume, volatility, Williams %R, and RSI | LSTM |
[34] | Xu, Y. | Microsoft (MSFT), PO logistics (XPO), and AMD Daily stock price data are collected from Yahoo Finance from 11 industries Finance tweets from a social media company StockTwits | Open price, high price, low price, close price, AD, ADX, EMA, KAMA, MA, MACD, RSI, SAR, AMA, etc. and finance tweet sentiment | Attention-based LSTM |
[35] | Lakshminarayanan, S.K. | Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) | Close price, moving average, crude oil price, and gold price | LSTM |
[36] | Rana, M. | Spanish stock company Acciona | Close price | LSTM |
[37] | Naik, N. | CIPLA stock, ITC stock, TCS stock, ONGC stock, and Nifty index | Close price | RNN with LSTM |
[38] | Nguyen, D.H.D. | NASDAQ stock market: GE, AAPL, SNP, and FB | Trade volume, open, close, high, low, and adjusted close prices | Dynamic LSTM |
[39] | Lai, C.Y. | Foxconn, Quanta, and Formosa Taiwan Cement and Taiwan Semiconductor | KD, OBV, MACD, RSI, and the average of the previous five days’ stock market information (open, high, low, and volume, and close) | LSTM |
[40] | Hossain, M.A. | S&P500 | Open price, close price, volume | LSTM with GRU |
[41] | Baek, Y. | KOSPI200 and S&P500 | Close price | LSTM with prevention module, prediction module |
[42] | Kim, H.Y. | KOSPI 200 | Close price | GEW-LSTM |
[43] | Li, H. | CSI-300 | Open price | Attention-based Multi-Input LSTM |
[44] | Cheng, L.-C. | Data from Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation (not given specific data) | Open price, close price, low price, high price, volume, KD, MA, RSV, etc. | Attention-based LSTM |
[45] | Shah, D. | Tech Mahindra (NSE: TECHM) BSESensex | Close price | LSTM |
[46] | Lin, B.-S. | Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation (TWSE) | Trade volume, transaction, open price, highest price, lowest price, close price, KD, RSI, and Bollinger Bands (BBands) | LSTM |
[47] | Skehin, T. | Facebook Inc. (FB), Apple Inc. (AAPL), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN), Netflix Inc. (NFLX), and Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) in NASDAQ of S&P 500 | Close price | ARIMA-LSTM-Wavelet |
[48] | Zhang, X. | China’s A-share market | The open price, close price, highest price, lowest price, and trading volume and 11 indicators | RNN with LSTM |
[49] | Achkar, R. | Facebook stocks, Google stocks, and Bitcoin stocks collected from Yahoo finance | Close price | RNN with LSTM |
[50] | Zeng, Y. | SSE50 index | N/A | LSTM |
[51] | Shao, X. | Ping An Bank | Close price | Kmeans-LSTM |
[52] | Zhao, Z. | SSE Composite Index, SSE 50, CSI 500, CSI 300, and SZSE Composite Index | Close price | Time-weighted LSTM |
[53] | Nelson, D.M. | IBovespa index from the BM&F Bovespa stock exchange | Open price, close price, high price, low price, and volume exponentially weighted moving averages, etc. (175 indicators in total) | LSTM |
[54] | dos Santos Pinheiro | 1. Standard&Poor’s 500 index 2. Reuters and Bloomberg | 1. Financial domain news text (headlines instead of the full content) 2. Close price | NLP + LSTM |
[55] | Buczkowski, P. | Expert recommendation from TipRanks company | A stock identifier, a list of expert recommendations of varying length, and optional target labels (class) | LSTM with GRU |
[4] | Akita, R. | Morning edition of the Nikkei newspaper Nikkei 225 | 1. Paragraph Vector 2. Open, close, highest, and lowest price | LSTM |
[56] | Chen, K. | China stock market in Shanghai and Shenzhen from Yahoo finance | Volume, high, low, open, close price | LSTM |
[57] | Qi, Ling and Khushi | Forex Exchange rate | Technical indicators: | LSTM |
[58] | Pang, Xiong Wen | Chinese stock | stock data, stock news, capital stock and shareholders, and financial analysis | DeepLSTM with encoder |
[59] | Feng, Fuli, et al. | NASDAQ and NYSE | Stock data | LSTM with ranking relation |
[60] | Chung, Hyejung, and Kyung-shik Shin. | Korea Stock Price Index | Open, high, low, closing, volume, and technical indicators | LSTM with GA |
[61] | Li, Jiahong, et al. | Chinese Stock Market | Closing price and sentiment data | LSTM with Naïve Bayes |
[10] | Zhang, Kang, et al. | S&P 500 Index, Shanghai Composite Index, IBM from NYSE, MSFT from NASDAQ, and PingAn Insurance Company of China (PAICC) | Open, high, low, closing, volume, and technical indicators | LSTM with Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) |
[62] | Jin, Zhigang, et al. | Apple stock price | Sentiment and stock price data | LSTM with sentiment analysis model |
[63] | Long, Jiawei, et al. | Chinese Stock market | Market information including transaction records | LSTM with CNN |
[64] | Chen, MY. | Chinese stock market | Sentiment information | LSTM |
[65] | Qian, F. Chen, X | Chinese stock market | Closing price | LSTM with ARIMA |
[66] | Li, Z. Tam, V. | Asian stock indexes | Closing price and technical indicators | LSTM with Wavelet Denoising |
Reference Number | Author | Dataset | Variables | Model |
---|---|---|---|---|
[67] | Song, Y. | KOSPI and KOSDAQ | 715 novel input features (including moving average and disparity of stock price) | DNN |
[68] | Naik, N. | NSE ICICI Bank SBI Bank Kotak Bank Yes Bank | SMA, exponential moving average, momentum indicator, stochastic oscillator, moving average convergence divergence, relative strength index, Williams R, accumulation distribution index, and commodity channel index | DNN |
[69] | Chatzis, S.P. | FRED database and the SNL | Stock price, exchange rates, VIX index, gold price, TED spread, oil price, effective federal funds rate, and high yield bond returns | DNN |
[70] | Abe, M. | MSCI | 25 variables: 1. book-to-market ratio; 2. earnings-to-price ratio; 3. dividend yield; 4. sales-to-price ratio; 5. cash flow-to-price ratio; 6. return on equity; 7. return on asset; 8. return on invested capital; 9. accruals; 10. sales-to-total assets ratio; 11. current ratio; 12. equity ratio; 13. total asset growth; 14. investment growth; 15. investment-to-assets ratio; 16. EPS revision (1 month); 17. EPS revision (3 months); 18. market beta; 19. market value; 20. past stock return (1 month); 21. past stock return (12 months); 22. volatility; 23. skewness; 24. idiosyncratic volatility; and 25. trading turnover | DNN |
[71] | Nakagawa, K. | TOPIX index | 16 variables: 60 VOL, BETA, SKEW, ROE, ROA, ACCRUALS, LEVERAGE, 12-1MOM, 1MOM, 60MOM, PSR, PER, PBR, PCFR, CAP, and ILIQ | Deep factor model (DNN) with layer-wise relevance propagation and multiple factors |
[72] | Chong, E. | KOSPI | Close price | DNN with autoencoder |
[73] | Singh, R. | NASDAQ | 36 variables: Open price, high price, low price, close price, MA5, MA10, MA20, BIAS5, BIAS10, DIFF, BU, BL, K, D, ROC, TR, MTM6, MTM12, WR%10, WR%5, OSC6, OSC12, RSI6, RSI12, PSY, and the derivation of their calculation | (2D2PCA) + DNN |
[74] | Yu, Pengfei, and Xuesong Yan | S&P 500, DJIA, the Nikkei 225 (N 225), the Hang Seng index (HSI), the China Securities index 300 (CSI 300), and the ChiNext index | Closing price | DNN with phase-space reconstruction (PSR) and LSTM |
[75] | Yong, Bang Xiang, et al. | Singapore stock market | Intraday prices | DNN |
Reference No. | Author | Dataset | Variables | Model |
---|---|---|---|---|
[76] | Li, Y. | US stock dataset | Close price and volume | DQN |
[77] | Shin, H.-G. | KOSPI | A candlestick chart, four moving average curves (5, 20, 60, and 120 days), a bar graph of trading volume, DMI, and SSO | Reinforcement Learning combined with LSTM and CNN |
[78] | Jia, W. | Chinese stock codes: 002415, 600016, 600028, 600547, 600999, and 601988 | Open price, high price, low price, close price, volume, DEA, MACD EXPMA, CDP, TRIX, BBI, ASI, KDJ, RSI, PSY VR, ADX, CCI, WR, dm up, dm down | Reinforcement Learning with LSTM-based agent |
[79] | Carapuço, J. | EUR/USD | bid/ask prices, and volumes | Reinforcement Learning |
[80] | Kang, Q. | S&P500 index | Open, low, high, close price, and trading volume | Reinforcement Learning with A3C algorithm |
[81] | Zhu, Y. | S&P500 index | Open, low, high, close price, volume, MACD, MA6, MA12, RSI6, RSI12, and KD | Reinforcement Learning with ABN |
[82] | Si, W. | Stock-IF, stock-IC, and stock-IF | Close price | Multi-objective deep reinforcement learning with LSTM |
[83] | Pastore, A. | FTSE100 stock index | Date, type, stock, volume, price, and total | Reinforcement learning |
Reference No. | Author | Dataset | Variables | Model |
---|---|---|---|---|
[84] | Long, W. | CSI300 | Open price, high price, low price, close price, and volume | MNFF |
[85] | Wu, J.-L. | ANUE | Stock messages as information to form the text feature of each stock news (title, summary, and keywords) | HAN |
[86] | Cho, C.-H. | CATHAY HOLDINGS, Fubon Financial, CTBC HOLDINGS, ESFH, and FFHC | Open price, high price, low price, close price, volume, MACD, CCI, ATR, BOLL, EMA12/20, MA5, MA1MOM6, MOM12, ROC, RSI, WVAD, exchange rate, and interest rate | Wavenet |
[87] | Minh, D.L. | S&P 500, VN-index, and cophieu68; Bloomberg, Reuters | Open price, high price, low price, close price, volume, stochastic oscillator, William (%R), and RSI Processed news article | Document preprocessing–document labeling–Stock2Vec embedding–BGRU |
[88] | Hu, G. | Financial Times Stock; Exchange 100 Index (FTSE 100) | Candlestick charts (images rather than annotation data) | Convolutional AutoEncoder (CAE) |
[89] | Hu, Z. | Chinese stock price; News (not given specific data) | 1. Close price and volume 2. News corpus sequence | HAN with SPL |
[90] | Kim, T. and Khushi | Nine Dow Jones companies representing each sector: industrials (MMM), financials (JPM), consumer services (PG), technology (AAPL), healthcare (UNH), consumer goods (WMT), oil and gas (XOM), basic materials (DD), and telecommunications (VZ) From Yahoo | Open price, high price, low price, close price, and volume | 2D Relative-Attentional Gated Transformer |
[91] | Zhang, and Khushi | Forex exchange rates | Trend indicators: moving average, exponential moving average, double exponential moving average, triple exponential moving average, and vortex indicators Momentum indicators: relative strength index, and stochastic oscillatorsVolatility indicators: Bollinger bands and Ichimoku indicators | Genetic Algorithm |
[92] | Shi, Lei, et al. | Apple Inc. and S&P 500 | News and financial data | Hybrid of RNN, LSTM, and CNN |
Performance Metrics | Reference No. | Corresponding Value | Performance Metrics | Reference No. | Corresponding Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMSE | [11] | 0.043 +/− 0.007 | MAPE | [12] | 5 |
[12] [24] | 11 0.395185 × 10−3 | Sharpe ratio | [14] | [14] 2D:0.1422, 3D:0.1413 | |
MAE | [12] [24,31] | 6 0.240977 × 10−3 | [18] | [18] 0.611 | |
Accuracy | [10,13] | 71% | CEQ | [14] | 2D:0.0006681 3D:0.000664 |
[16] [19] | 60.02% 55.44% | Return rate | [14] | [14] (2D:1.2312 | |
[22] | 71.72% | 3D:1.2604) | |||
[23] | 65.08% | [16] | [16] (1.3107) | ||
[3] | 75.2% | ||||
[25] | 57.88% | ||||
[26] | 74.753% | ||||
[20] | 95.02% | ||||
Error Percentage | [14] | 2D:0.4944 | [18] | [18] (1.2156) | |
F-measure | 3D:0.4931 | [21] | [21] (1.309) | ||
[18] | 0.6227 | Mean Test Score | [15] | 0.000281317 | |
[19] | 0.7133 | MSE | [22] [24,31] | 0.2631 0.156 × 10−6 | |
[3] | 0.73 | AE | [11] | 0.029 +/−0.005 | |
[26] | 0.6367 |
Performance Metrics | Reference No. | Corresponding Value |
---|---|---|
RMSE | [27] [29] [31] | 512–530 0.0205 0.00165 |
MAPE | [29] [31] | 0.2431 0.232 |
MAE | [29] | 0.0132 |
Accuracy | [28] [29] | 68.95% 66.54% |
F-measure | [28] | 0.7658 |
Recall | [28] | 0.7471 |
Precision | [28] | 0.7855 |
MSE | [30] | 0.057443 |
Performance Metrics | Reference No. | Corresponding Value | Performance Metrics | Reference No. | Corresponding Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMSE | [32] | 0.306543 | MAPE | [35] | 1.03 |
[35] | 347.46 | [38] | 1.6905 | ||
[36] | 0.0151 | [40] | 4.13 | ||
[37] | 25.90 | [41] [57] | 1.0077 0.119 | ||
[60] | 0.91 | ||||
[10] | 1.37 | ||||
[62] | 1.65 | ||||
[66] | 0.6346 | ||||
[38] | 0.0242 | Precision | [53] | 0.553 | |
[39] | 1.3 | Recall | [53] | 0.129 | |
[45] | 9.72 | Return rate | [33] | 1.0667 | |
[46] | 4.24 (Average) | MSE | [32] | 0.093969 | |
[47] [57] | 1–100.0015 | [33] | 0.004845492 | ||
[65] | 0.02295 | ||||
[59] | 0.000379 | ||||
MAE | [32] | 0.21035 | [35] | 120731.4 | |
[35] | 262.42 | [38] | 19.7096 | ||
[37] | 0.1895 | [39] | 0.019 | ||
[38] | 0.0169 | [40] | 0.00098 | ||
[40] | 0.023 | [41] | 7.56 | ||
[42] | 0.01069 | [42] | 0.00149 | ||
[41] | 1.975 | [43] | 1.012 | ||
Accuracy | [34] | 54.58% | MCC | [34] | 0.0478 |
[36] | 98.49% | R2 | [35] | 0.83 | |
[45] | 60.60% | HMAE | [42] | 0.42911 | |
[50] | 65% | HMSE | [42] | 0.23492 | |
[52] | 83.91% | IC | [48] | 0.1259 | |
[53] | 55.90% | AR | [48] | 0.2015 | |
[54] | 63.34% | IR | [48] | 3.0521 | |
[56] | 27.20% | Score | [55] | 0.4271 | |
[58] | 53.2% | ||||
[61] | 87.86% | ||||
[62] | 70.56% | ||||
[63] | 75.89% | ||||
[64] | 75.58% | ||||
F-measure | [53] | 0.209 |
Performance Metrics | Reference No. | Corresponding Value | Performance Metrics | Reference No. | Corresponding Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMSE | [71] | 0.0951 | Sharpe ratio | [71] | 1.41 |
[75] | 5.34 | ||||
[72] | 0.8214 | Return rate | [70] | 1.0952 | |
[73] | 0.00674 | [71] | 1.1081 | ||
MAE | [71] | 0.0663 | CORR | [70] | 0.0582 |
[72] | 0.5852 | MSE | [70] | 0.0836 | |
Accuracy | [67] | 61.90% | [72] | 0.9621 | |
[68] | 84.50% | SMAPE | [73] | 0.0696 | |
[74] | 58.07% | ||||
F-measure | [68] | 0.824 | MAPE | [73] | 0.080059 |
[75] | 1.84 | ||||
Volatility | [71] | 7.65% |
Performance Metrics | Reference No. | Corresponding Value |
---|---|---|
Sharpe ratio | [77] [82] | 2.77 0.12 |
Return rate | [78] [79] [81] | 1.948 1.163 ± 2.8% 2.442 |
MSE | [81] | 0.000412 |
Performance Metrics | Reference No. | Corresponding Value |
---|---|---|
RMSE | [86] | 0.6866 |
Accuracy | [87] [89] | 66.32% 47.8% |
[92] | 79.7% | |
Sharpe ratio | [84] [88] [90] [91] | 4.49 0.8 0.6418 6.68 on EURUSD currency |
Return rate | [84] [87] [88] [89] [90] [91] | 1.4228 1.0531 (0.25%) 1.118 1.611 (0.3%) 1.4316 1.0968 on EURUSD currency |
MSE | [85] | 1.05 |
MDAE | [85] | 0.71 |
Correlation | [86] | 0.9564 |
Precision | [87] | 72.1% |
Recall | [87] | 77.32% |
Performance Metrics | Reference No. |
---|---|
RMSE | [8,12,24,27,29,31,32,35,36,37,38,39,45,46,47,71,72,73,86] |
MAPE | [10,12,29,31,35,38,40,41,60,65,73] |
MAE | [12,24,29,32,35,37,38,40,41,42,66,71,72] |
Accuracy | [3,13,16,19,22,23,25,26,28,29,34,36,45,50,52,53,54,56,58,61,62,63,64,67,68,74,87,89] |
F-measure | [3,14,18,19,26,28,53,68] |
Sharpe ratio | [14,18,71,77,82,84,88,90,91] |
CEQ | [14] |
Return rate | [14,16,18,21,23,33,70,71,78,79,84,87,88,89,90,91] |
Mean Test Score | [15] |
MSE | [22,24,30,31,32,33,35,38,39,40,41,42,43,59,70,72,81] |
AE | [11] |
Precision | [28,53] |
Recall | [28,53] |
R2 | [35] |
Error Percentage | [20] |
MCC | [34] |
HMAE | [42] |
HMSE | [42] |
CORR | [70] |
SMAPE | [73] |
Volatility | [71] |
IC | [48] |
AR | [48] |
IR | [48] |
Score | [55] |
RMSE Range | Reference No. |
---|---|
RMSE | [11,12,24,27,29,32,35,36,37,38,39,45,46,47,65,71,72,73,86] |
<0.001 | [24,57] |
0.001–0.01 | [31,73] |
0.01–0.1 | [11,29,32,36,38,65,71] |
0.1–1 | [12,72,86] |
1–10 | [39,45,46,47] |
10–100 | [37] |
>100 | [27,35] |
MAPE Range | Reference No. |
---|---|
MAPE | [10,12,29,35,38,40,41,57,60,66,73,75] |
0–0.5 | [29,57,66,73] |
0.5–1 | [60] |
1–1.5 | [10,35,41,75] |
1.5–2 | [38] |
2–10 | [12,40] |
MAE Range | Reference No. |
---|---|
MAE | [12,24,29,32,35,37,38,40,41,42,71,72] |
<0.01 | [24] |
0.01–0.1 | [29,38,40,42,71] |
0.1–1 | [31,32,37,72] |
1–10 | [12,41] |
10–100 | N/A |
>100 | [35] |
MSE Range | Reference No. |
---|---|
MSE | [22,24,30,32,33,35,38,39,40,41,42,43,59,70,72,81] |
<0.01 | [59] |
0–0.01 | [33,40,42,81] |
0.01–0.1 | [30,32,39,70] |
0.1–1 | [22,43,72] |
1–10 | [41] |
10–100 | [38] |
>100 | [35] |
Accuracy Range | Reference No. |
---|---|
Accuracy | [3,13,16,19,22,23,25,26,28,29,34,36,45,50,52,53,54,56,57,58,61,62,63,64,67,68,74,87,89,92] |
0–50% | [56,89] |
50–60% | [19,25,34,53,58,74] |
60–70% | [16,23,28,29,45,50,54,67,87] |
70–80% | [3,13,22,26,62,63,64,92] |
80–90% | [52,61,68] |
90–100% | [36] |
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Hu, Z.; Zhao, Y.; Khushi, M. A Survey of Forex and Stock Price Prediction Using Deep Learning. Appl. Syst. Innov. 2021, 4, 9. https://doi.org/10.3390/asi4010009
Hu Z, Zhao Y, Khushi M. A Survey of Forex and Stock Price Prediction Using Deep Learning. Applied System Innovation. 2021; 4(1):9. https://doi.org/10.3390/asi4010009
Chicago/Turabian StyleHu, Zexin, Yiqi Zhao, and Matloob Khushi. 2021. "A Survey of Forex and Stock Price Prediction Using Deep Learning" Applied System Innovation 4, no. 1: 9. https://doi.org/10.3390/asi4010009
APA StyleHu, Z., Zhao, Y., & Khushi, M. (2021). A Survey of Forex and Stock Price Prediction Using Deep Learning. Applied System Innovation, 4(1), 9. https://doi.org/10.3390/asi4010009