Global Epidemics of Zika? Implications for Public Health
A special issue of International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (ISSN 1660-4601).
Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (31 October 2017) | Viewed by 45865
Special Issue Editor
Interests: vector-borne pathogens; reservoirs of infection; control strategies
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals
Special Issue Information
Dear Colleagues,
Zika virus is the latest mosquito-borne virus to spread explosively world-wide, inflicting serious morbidity with hitherto unprecedented neurological sequelae, in particular in South America. Despite being known for decades, Zika virus was considered relatively benign, limited to Africa and Asia. Since the 2013 outbreak in French Polynesia, the virus has spread to South America, resulting in a vast public health burden. Invasion of the virus into Asia threatened a regional public health crisis above and beyond that already inflicted by dengue virus. However, this has not yet happened, possibly reflecting previous exposure, with consequent development of immunity in addition to potential cross-immunity with dengue virus. Models predict that Zika will burn out within a few years and pose no serious threat for a decade or more until a new susceptible population emerges. A decade’s respite is short, but offers time within which to establish an action plan for strategic control and intervention. Moreover, this prediction resides on uncertain premises about the epidemiology of Zika virus. This special issue will discuss what we need to know about Zika virus to be able to predict the potential for a global epidemic, what we need to develop in order to achieve an action plan and how we should implement a public health surveillance program to maintain levels of continued awareness. Experience suggests that the Zika epidemic will be forgotten within a few years, with little or no effort for public health preparedness. The scientific and public health community must, however, draw up a plan of action. Vigilance must be maintained and ten years is little time to achieve a program of surveillance and control that is neither overly burdensome on the limited public health resources, nor too restrictive to be ineffectual. Because Zika virus, Dengue virus and many other arboviruses are transmitted by the same mosquitoes, a concerted arbovirus control program should be envisaged, thereby enabling stakeholders to optimise public health effort.
Dr. Richard Paul
Guest Editor
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Keywords
- Zika virus
- epidemic potential
- forecasting
- public health surveillance
- control strategies
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