1. Introduction
The profound development of the Internet has provided new opportunities to various retail industries. Many retailers have opened online stores to sell products, and online retail has developed rapidly. The changes in retail resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic have also promoted the development of online sales. According to a report by e-Marketer, global e-commerce sales accounted for 18% of total global retail sales in 2020, and this proportion is expected to increase to 21.8% by 2024. Global online retail sales are expected to exceed five trillion dollars in 2022 and may reach six trillion dollars in 2024. These data indicate that online retail is becoming a very large trading market, and an increasing number of consumers choose to purchase goods directly online. Under such circumstances, an increasing number of retail companies have begun to enter the market by engaging in online retail, and there is fierce competition among online retailers [
1]. However, due to the gradual increase in consumers’ demands regarding online shopping, the traditional online retail model can no longer satisfy consumers’ needs easily [
2]. Therefore, many retail e-commerce companies have begun to develop offline businesses, and a new retail model integrating both online and offline sales has gradually emerged in the retail market [
3]. In June 2017, Amazon acquired Whole Foods for 13.7 billion dollars, which features more than 400 stores in prime locations across the United States and which is associated with high-value resources, such as locations in malls in high-income areas, thereby providing strong support for Amazon’s offline development strategy. This new retail model, which combines the dual advantages of low-cost online operations and high-quality offline services, can inspire new ideas regarding the development of retail companies [
4].
Therefore, some companies have begun to open offline stores to meet the expanding needs of consumers. For example, in 2016, Lincherie, a Dutch clothing brand, opened an offline store in Amsterdam under the slogan “you can only try and not buy”; this store allows customers to try on clothes and place orders on digital devices. Northstorm, a high-end department store in the United States, also opened a “no-sales” physical store, which mainly provides services such as personal styling, clothing modification, in-store pickup, and order modification. In recent years, many retail e-commerce companies have opened physical stores in an offline environment in China, such as Super Species, MISSFRESH, and 7 FRESH. These new types of retail companies rely on a combination of online retail platforms with offline physical stores to improve consumers’ shopping experiences.
Although the new retail model of online–offline integration has developed rapidly in recent years, the traditional e-commerce model remains an option used by many enterprises when entering the retail market due to the low operating costs and entry barriers associated with this approach. Pinduoduo, one of the largest e-commerce platforms in China, is a successful example of online retail. Pinduoduo has developed rapidly since it entered the online market. It went online in 2015 and was listed in the United States in July 2018 with a market value of 24 billion dollars
https://www.sohu.com/a/243548176_430392 (accessed on 1 October 2022), indicating its success in the online retail field. Similar businesses that rely on pure online retail are also doing well, indicating that online retail still has a role to play in e-commerce. At present, consumers are concerned about the price and quality of products as well as the services provided by sellers [
5,
6]. Consumers may face search costs or experience costs when purchasing goods both online and offline [
7,
8].
However, due to the convenience and accessibility of the internet, consumers can quickly compare products from different stores online and communicate with other consumers via social networks [
9]. In addition, consumers may have different preferences for retailers, which is consistent with the literature indicating that many consumers form habits and demonstrate a willingness to repeatedly purchase products from the same store [
10]. When faced with different retailers, consumers tend to choose incumbent companies, i.e., those that entered the market first [
11]. Compared with new entrants, incumbents have certain advantages because they have established good reputations in the market or have many loyal consumers [
12]. This incumbent advantage may affect an entrant’s intrusion strategy.
Retail companies that are new to the market can consider adopting either the online–offline combined retail model or the pure online retailing model. The online–offline integrated model includes both online and offline sales channels. While selling products online, this model can also rely on offline stores to provide consumers with more comprehensive experience services to meet their increasingly high-level shopping needs [
13]. However, pure online retailing can provide a broad market for new entrants that rely on large amounts of network traffic, so this approach remains an option for them [
14]. Therefore, the ways in which new entrants can choose a better market intrusion strategy are worth studying.
Against this backdrop, this paper conducts research on the intrusion strategies used by retail enterprises entering the market. The main research questions are as follows:
When a pure online retailer is the incumbent, how should a new entrant choose between the pure online retail intrusion strategy and the new retail model of online–offline integration?
How does the incumbency advantage affect consumers’ sensitivity to services, and how do different types of market coverage affect entrants’ choice of intrusion strategies?
Against the backdrop of retail model innovation, this paper studies a duopoly game model in which a new entrant invades the market. Since this problem has not been explored fully in the extant literature, this paper uses the Hotelling model to study the market invasion scenario under the new retail model in further detail. On the one hand, the conclusions of this paper expand the research content of the duopoly game model; on the other hand, they provide decision-making suggestions for market invasion under the new retail model. The research methods used in, and the conclusions obtained by, this paper can inspire new ideas in the context of e-commerce research and enrich the research content of the duopoly game scenario of retail model innovation.
Therefore, this paper produced certain related contributions. First, when studying competition among retail enterprises, most studies have focused on factors such as product quality and services [
15,
16] but they have not considered the impact of market coverage types on entrants’ strategic choices. This paper used the Hotelling model to obtain the following three types of market coverage: partially covered markets; multiple equilibrium markets; and fully covered markets. The invasion results were divided into scenarios for regional analysis, and the influence of market coverage type on the choice of intrusion strategy was studied in depth. Second, extant research on the manner in which online retail enterprises invade the market has been relatively simple, focusing mainly on the pure online retail strategy [
17,
18]. In the context of contemporary e-commerce, this paper considered two feasible strategies that retail companies can employ to enter the market, namely, the pure online retail model and the integrated online–offline model. In addition, this paper analyzed the influence of the incumbency advantage and offline services on entrants’ choice of strategy.
3. Problem Description and Basic Assumptions
This paper considers a situation in which an online retailer (known as the incumbent ) in the market sells a product to consumers, while another new retailer (known as the new entrant ) invades the market and competes with the incumbent by offering a homogeneous product. To compete with the incumbent , the new entrant opens not only an online retail store using the internet but also a physical store that features the same prices as the online store to provide positive utility to consumers by displaying products or providing various services.
In this paper, the Hotelling model is used to establish the analytical framework of the game. It is assumed that two retailers
and
are located at the two endpoints of a line segment with a length of 1 in the Hotelling model, that is,
and
are located at positions 0 and 1, respectively. Based on their preferences regarding the difference in product level between
and
, consumers in the market are evenly distributed between 0 and 1, and the position of any consumer is assumed to be
,
. Since
is an incumbent and has established a good reputation, consumers are more familiar with
’s products. Although
is an entrant to the market, it is assumed that consumers who purchase products from
will have a greater mismatch than those who purchase products from
. This article defines a sensitivity advantage for level differences
,
.
is used to indicate the advantage of
with regard to the preferences of consumers with product level differences. That is, when the consumer at
purchases a product from
, the cost is
, and the cost of purchasing the product from
is
, where
t is the consumer’s sensitivity to product level differences [
51,
52].
Assuming that consumers’ valuations of the products offered by the two retailers are both
, then the utility that the consumer obtains by purchasing the products of incumbent
is
. The new entrant
can provide a certain level of offline service
by opening a physical store, which improves consumers’ product awareness and shopping experience [
53]. Assuming that the sensitivity of consumers to the offline service level is
,
, then the utility obtained by consumers purchasing
’s products is
.
Table 1 provides a set of definitions for the symbols, parameters, and decision variables used in this paper.
It is assumed that consumers choose to purchase one unit of a product or to not to purchase any product from either the incumbent
or the new entrant
[
19]. When
invades the market, since its level of offline service in physical stores is
, referring to Wu (2012) and Ma et al. (2016), the cost of providing offline services is
[
54,
55]. Meanwhile, to simplify the calculation, it is assumed that the operating costs of both retailers are
and that the sensitivity of consumers to product level differences is
[
52]. In addition, assuming that the rights of the two retailers are equal, the two parties use the Nash game to make decisions. Subsequently, the equilibrium result of the game between the two retailers is solved.
4. Model
When the new entrant invades the market, if , that is, when the distance between consumers and the product level of satisfies , consumers can obtain positive utility from the product offered by . If , namely, when the distance between consumers and the product level of meets , consumers can obtain positive utility from the product offered by . When the two retailers’ products provide equal utility to consumers, , and so the consumer position is .
It can be proven that there is a threshold
after
invades the market [
12]. When
, the consumers’ valuation of the product is too low, and the market is partially covered. This paper defines this type of market as a partially covered market, which is indicated by
. This situation indicates that although the products offered by the two retailers in the market are identical, they have corresponding consumer groups. In other words, the incumbent
retains his old customers, while the new entrant
attracts new customers, thus producing a situation of differentiated competition. In this case, the demand functions of the two retailers are as follows:
However, when
, consumers’ valuations of products can cover the market completely, and this type of market is defined as a fully covered market, which is indicated by
. This situation suggests that the customers of the incumbent
and those of the new entrant
can shift allegiances, so the competition between the two retailers is fierce. In this case, the demand functions of the two retailers are as follows:
After obtaining the demand functions of the two retailers in the two situations discussed above, their decision results are analyzed below.
4.1. The Partially Covered Market
In the game sequence used in this study, a Nash game takes place between the incumbent retailer and the entrant retailer; that is, both competitors decide their retail prices simultaneously, and consumers make purchase decisions after becoming aware of the product prices of both parties.
When
, the profit functions of the two retailers are as follows:
In this situation, the equilibrium prices of
and
can be calculated as follows:
The equilibrium service level of
is as follows:
Accordingly, the equilibrium demand and profit of the two retailers can be further obtained as follows:
By substituting the equilibrium result into , it can be concluded that the threshold value is , which is denoted as .
Lemma 1 can be obtained by comparing the equilibrium results.
Lemma 1. The incumbent and the new entrant compete by offering homogeneous products. When is satisfied, i.e., when the market is partially covered, the following results can be obtained:
(1);
(2) There exists a threshold; when the sensitivity of consumers to the offline service level of new entrantis, thenand; otherwise,and.
Proof. Solve for with the condition , and the threshold is obtained.
Lemma 1 shows that when consumer utility satisfies , the product price of the new entrant is higher than that of the incumbent . Obviously, in the partially covered market, no direct competition takes place between the two retailers, and the two retailers each set prices based on their own consumer groups. That is, as existing customers prefer incumbent , the incumbent maintains this customer group due to this advantage, while the new entrant attracts new customer groups by using its newly established offline services. The new entrant improves the consumer shopping experience by opening physical stores offline and thus gains the ability to set higher prices. However, must also pay some service costs to provide such services to its consumers. Therefore, when consumers are less sensitive to the offline service level, that is, when , incumbent has an advantage in terms of both demand and profit. Otherwise, has this type of advantage. In this scenario, consumers’ sensitivity to the offline service level is a key factor.
4.2. The Fully Covered Market
As mentioned above, when the consumers’ utility meets
, the two retailers’ markets have been completely covered; that is, consumer shifting and competition have begun to emerge. In this case, the profit functions of the two retailers are as follows:
Taking the first derivative of (7) with respect to
, taking the first derivative of (8) with respect to
and
, and letting the first derivatives shown above be equal to zero, the equilibrium pricing of
and
in a fully covered market is obtained as follows:
The equilibrium service level of is .
Proof. Clearly, the profit function is a concave function of .
The Hessian matrix of
is as follows:
The first-order principal subexpression of is , and the second-order principal subexpression is , so is a negative definite matrix. Thus, the solution indicated above is optimal.
In this case, the demand and profit of the two retailers are as follows:
By substituting the equilibrium results shown above into threshold , the following can be obtained: . Lemma 2 can be obtained by comparing the equilibrium results.
Lemma 2. The incumbentand the new entrantcompete by offering homogeneous products. When consumer utility meets, that is, when the market is fully covered, there are two thresholds for the sensitivity of consumers to’s level of offline service, and the following conclusions can be drawn.
(1) When,and; otherwise,and.
(2) When,; otherwise,.
Note that,, and.
Proof. Since and , the threshold in lemma 2(1) is . Similarly, it can be concluded from and that the threshold in lemma 2(2) is .
Lemma 2 shows that in a fully covered market, when consumers are less sensitive to offline services (i.e., ), can set a higher price and obtain higher demand due to its long-term dominance. Otherwise, the demand and price of are lower than those of . Regarding the revenue of the two retailers, there is a threshold regarding consumers’ sensitivity to offline services. When , namely, when consumers are more sensitive to offline services, can use the service experience of offline physical stores to obtain higher profits.
Figure 1 shows the trend curves of
and
. By reference to Lemma 2, it can be concluded that below the curve
, the product price, demand, and profit of
are all higher than those of
. As
Figure 1 shows, below the curve,
indicates the area where
and
are smaller, so
can set a higher price and obtain higher demand and profit. In contrast, above curve
, both
and
are large, the advantage of
is weak in this case, and consumers are more sensitive to the service, so
can obtain higher profits.
is set at a medium level in the area between curves
and
.
can set a higher price and obtain higher demand, but
faces a certain cost due to the need to provide services, so the profit of
in this area remains lower than that of
. In addition, when the advantage of
is sufficiently large, i.e., when
, the profit of
in a competitive market is always be greater than that of
.
4.3. The Multiple Equilibrium Market
According to the discussion in
Section 4.1 and
Section 4.2, by comparing the two consumer utility thresholds
and
, it can be concluded that
, which indicates that when
, a different situation from that of the partially covered market or the fully covered market emerges. In fact, the competition between
and
in this case has multiple equilibrium results [
52]. In this case, the result of the game between the two retailers causes the indifference point
to be located in the region
, and consumers in this region receiving the same utility when purchasing the product from either retailer.
Therefore, for any indifference point
, the equilibrium price of
is
, and the equilibrium price of
is
. In this context, the equilibrium demands of the two retailers are as follows:
In this model setting, it is known that has a preference advantage over . It is assumed that this asymmetric problem setting affects multiple equilibrium results, i.e., is located at of and . Therefore, this paper refers to the market situation resulting from the outcome of this multiple game as a multiple equilibrium market, which is indicated by .
In this scenario, the equilibrium pricing of
is as follows:
The equilibrium pricing and service level of
are as follows:
Meanwhile, the demand levels and profits of the two retailers can be obtained as follows:
Note that , . In addition, Lemma 3 is obtained by comparing the equilibrium results shown above.
Lemma 3. The incumbentand the new entrantcompete by offering homogeneous products. When consumer utility satisfies, that is, when the market is in a situation of multiple equilibrium, there are consumer sensitivity thresholds related to the level of offline service, i.e.,,and.
(1) When , , , ;
(2) When , , , .
According to Lemma 3, the game results obtained by the two retailers in the multiple equilibrium market are similar to those obtained in the fully covered market. If is sufficiently large, i.e., , the optimal demand, price and profit of exceed those of . Otherwise, the results are the opposite. This situation indicates that even though has a certain advantage in the competition for the market over , when consumers are more sensitive to the service, can obtain higher profits in the competition with .
5. Model Analysis
According to the game equilibrium results shown, the influence of ’s advantage in terms of sensitivity to product level differences, consumers’ sensitivity to ’s offline services and the offline service level of are analyzed in further detail below.
5.1. The Influence of
and on the Intrusion Results
First, Proposition 1 can be obtained by conducting sensitivity analysis on , the incumbent’s advantage, and , the consumer’s sensitivity to service.
Proposition 1. Whenenters the market:
(1)andwhen.
(2),,andwhen.
(3),and. There exists a thresholdwhen, andis true when; otherwise,.
Proof. When , and , and when , . Since , . Similarly, . Let ; since and , . Similarly, . When , , and there exists a threshold . When , ; otherwise, . . Let and be true. Since , . Similarly, .
Proposition 1 provides the results concerning the influence of and on the profits of the two retailers. In the partially covered market and the multiple equilibrium market, as the incumbent’s advantage increases, that is, when decreases, the profit of increases and the profit of decreases. In the multiple equilibrium market and the fully covered market, as the sensitivity of consumers to the service increases, the profit of decreases, and the profit of increases. In the fully covered market, when , the profit of decreases as the incumbent’s advantage increases. Accordingly, there exists a situation in which when ’s advantage increases, both retailers’ profits decrease.
To explore the conclusions associated with Proposition 1, the influence of
and
on price and demand are analyzed below. Set
, and the influence of
on the price and demand is obtained in
Figure 2a,b.
In
Figure 2, “I” denotes the partially covered market, and “II” denotes the multiple equilibrium market. There is no competition between the two retailers in area “I”, and the incumbent’s advantage reduces the unit mismatch cost associated with consumers purchasing
’s product. In a monopolistic market, a reduction in
entails greater product demand for
, but it does not affect the price of the product. Therefore, the prices of the two retailers in area “I” are not affected by
, but the demand for
’s product is affected. In region II, with the increase in
, the prices offered by both retailers decrease. This decrease is due to the fact that the two retailers compete and cooperate with each other in region II. With an increase in
, the
’s advantage decreases and the price offered by
decreases to obtain greater demand. In region III,
and
compete with each other. With an increase in
, the advantage of
weakens, so the demand for
’s product decreases and the demand for
’s product increases; thus, the levels of demand obtained by the two retailers tend to be the same, thus easing the competition between them and increasing prices on both sides. The conclusion contained in Proposition 1 can be explained by analyzing the impact of
and
on the price and demand associated with the two retailers.
Figure 3 takes
to show the impact of
on the profits of both retailers. In region I, the two retailers have no influence on each other, so
’s profit is not influenced by
. As
increases, the price of
remains unchanged while the demand decreases, so the profit of
decreases. In region II, with an increase in
, both the price and demand of
decrease, and so the profit of
also gradually decreases. Although the price of
decreases with an increase in
, the increase in demand is greater, and so the profit of
increases. In area III, with an increase in
, the price and demand of
also change in the opposite direction, which causes the profit of
first to decrease and subsequently to increase. With an increase in
, the price and demand of
also increase, so the profit of
gradually increases.
Figure 4 takes
to show the impact of
on the levels of price and demand exhibited by both retailers. As
Figure 4a,b show, both the price and demand of
increase in the three regions with an increase in
. In region I,
is not affected by
; in region II, with an increase in
, the price of
increases but demand decreases. In region III, both the price and demand of
are negatively correlated with
.
Figure 5 takes
to show the impact of
on the profits of both retailers. In combination with the influence of
on the levels of price and demand exhibited by the two retailers analyzed above,
’s profit always increases with an increase in
. In contrast,
’s profit is negatively correlated with
in all regions with the exception of region I, which is not affected by
.
Corollary 1. The advantage of the incumbent is not always detrimental to the entrant, nor is it always beneficial to the incumbent. However, the higher the consumer’s sensitivity to the service is, the better the situation is for the entrant.
In a partially covered market, no competition takes place between and , so the incumbency advantage does not affect . In the multiple equilibrium market and the complete coverage market, competition does take place between and , and the incumbency advantage is always disadvantageous to . This difference is due to the fact that as the incumbent advantage of increases, the pricing of the two retailers is reduced, and demand also decreases; thus, the profit of decreases. However, for , with an increase in its advantage, although its demand increases, when , the reduction in its price has a greater impact on profits, thus resulting in a decrease in ’s profit. The effect of on the prices shows that the incumbent advantage intensifies the competition between the two retailers. Using its incumbent advantage, competes for the market at the cost of lowering prices to ensure profits. However, in a fully covered market, if the incumbent advantage is too large, this situation can impede ’s profit. Corollary 1 also shows that the higher the sensitivity of consumers to offline services is, the higher the profits of an entrant that chooses to open a physical store.
5.2. The Influence of
and on and the Influence of on Competition
The entrant retailer opens an offline physical store to provide customers with a certain level of service. By analyzing the influence of service on the game equilibrium results across different market types, Proposition 2 can be obtained.
Proposition 2. If consumers are more sensitive to services, the entrant can effectively counter the advantage of the incumbent by opening an offline physical store. When,can obtain higher profits thanby opening an offline physical store.
Although consumers prefer the products of the incumbent, Proposition 2 shows that opening an offline physical store can serve as an effective competitive model for the entrant. Due to the escalation of consumer demand for services in recent years, it has gradually become more difficult to meet the individual needs of consumers using the pure online retail model. By opening offline physical stores, retailers can interact with consumers and provide them with additional services while improving their shopping experience. Therefore, in the context of consumers’ increasingly sophisticated demands for services, to counter the incumbent advantage, offline physical stores can play a more active role for entrants.
The offline services provided by the entrant can provide positive utility to consumers, but the provision of a certain level of service entails corresponding costs. Therefore, the entrant must determine the optimal service level ; additionally, and also impact the entrant’s decision regarding .
Proposition 3. Whenenters the market,
(1)when.
(2);when.
(3);when.
Proposition 3 shows that in all market competition situations, the service level is positively correlated with . That is, the higher the consumer’s sensitivity to the service is, the more the entrant should do to improve the service level. There is also a positive correlation between the service level and in all areas with the exception of area I. This finding indicates that as the advantages of the incumbent weaken, the entrant should provide a higher level of service.
Figure 6a takes
and
Figure 6b takes
to describe the influence of
and
on the service level
. Based on
Figure 6a, it can be concluded that the service levels provided by the entrant in areas II and III are positively correlated with
but that the service level is not affected by
in area I.
Figure 6b reveals a positive correlation between service level
and
. A comparison of
Figure 6a,b suggests that the size of the service level in different market situations is uncertain when different parameters are chosen. For example, in
Figure 6a, the service level in the case of partial coverage is higher than the service level in the case of competition, while in
Figure 6b, the service level in the case of competition is higher than the service level in the case of partial coverage. This finding demonstrates that the service level provided by the entrant does not depend on the type of market competition in question but is affected by the advantages of incumbency and the sensitivity of consumers to the service.
6. Value of Offline Services
Based on the analysis discussed above, it can be concluded that when consumers are more sensitive to services, opening offline physical stores helps
set higher prices, obtain higher demand, and enhance market competitiveness. This section compares two situations, one in which
opens offline physical stores and one in which it does not, to analyze the gains that offline services entail for
in further detail. By using the previous model solving process, the equilibrium price, demand, and profit of
without offline physical stores in the context of different types of market competition can be obtained, and this information is summarized in
Table 2.
First, the optimal pricing and available demand for
with and without offline physical stores are compared.
Table 2 shows the equilibrium solution when
does not open offline stores.
By comparison, Proposition 4 can be obtained.
Proposition 4. Whenenters the market:
(1);when.
(2); there exists a threshold, when, and thenwhen; otherwise,.
(3);when.
Proof. When , ; and since , is obtained. Similarly, .
When , , so a threshold is obtained. When , ; otherwise, . is obtained because .
The in Proposition 4 are similar to the thresholds , which are the thresholds used to distinguish three different types of market competition when does not open an offline physical store. According to Proposition 4, in a partially covered market and a fully covered market, sets a higher price and obtains higher demand when it opens an offline physical store compared when it does not open an offline physical store. However, in a multiple equilibrium market, although opening offline physical stores can lead to greater demand for , can set higher product prices only when consumers are highly sensitive to the services offered, that is, when .
Unlike the cases of partially covered markets and fully covered markets, in multiple equilibrium markets, opening offline physical stores does not always allow to set higher prices. When consumers are less sensitive to services, can set higher prices instead of opening a physical store. This possibility is related to the cooperation between the two retailers involved in this situation. When consumers’ valuation of the product is at a medium level, to determine the equilibrium result, and are assumed to have a cooperative agreement based on the advantage of , so that the consumer utility at the point of no difference is 0 and the multiple equilibrium region is divided in a ratio of ( accounts for of the ratio). This situation allows to obtain higher demand after opening an offline physical store. In this case, may lower its prices to ensure that it is able to satisfy the market demand. Therefore, if consumers are less sensitive to services, in the multiple equilibrium market, sets a lower price after opening a physical store than in situation in which it does not open a physical store.
In
Table 2, the last column is the equilibrium profit that
can obtain when it does not open an offline physical store. Proposition 4 suggests that the opening of offline physical stores is beneficial to the pricing and market share of
as a whole. However,
must pay a certain fee
to open an offline store. Therefore, the impact of opening an offline physical store on
’s profit requires further analysis. In this paper,
is defined as the difference between
’s profit when it opens an offline physical store and its profit when it does not open an offline physical store. Proposition 5 can be obtained by comparing the equilibrium profits of
under each of the three situations shown in
Table 2 with the profits obtained by
when it opens an offline physical store.
Proposition 5. Whenenters the market,
(1) When,and.
(2); when,; and when,; otherwise.
(3) When,and.
Proof. When , and let , then is obtained, and since , is obtained.
When , and let , then is obtained, and since , is obtained.
When , and let , then is obtained, and since , is obtained.
Proposition 5 indicates that in the same market type, can always obtain higher profits by choosing to open an offline physical store. This finding indicates that opening offline physical stores can improve ’s competitiveness and enable to obtain higher profits when engaging in competition with . Although chooses whether or not to open a physical store when entering the market, three situations can emerge with respect to the competition between and ; however, in these three types of market competition, always benefits from opening offline physical stores. This finding indicates that the services offered by offline physical stores have positive value for .
Further analysis of the influence of the incumbent’s advantage and the consumer’s sensitivity to the services offered by physical stores on shows that the influence of the incumbent’s advantage on the value of the service differs across different scenarios. In a multiple equilibrium market, when the incumbent’s advantage is small, namely, is large; as the incumbent’s advantage weakens, the difference between the profit obtained by ’s additional offline service and the profit obtained by pure online retail increases, which entails that opening an offline physical store can increase the value of . However, when the incumbent’s advantage is small, the value gain effect of offline services for is also weakened as the incumbent’s advantage weakens. These two results indicate that in a multiple equilibrium market, when the incumbent has a greater advantage, the greater the incumbent advantage is, the greater the value that can gain by opening an offline physical store. However, when the incumbent’s advantage is weak, the effect of this advantage is the opposite. Compared with the multiple equilibrium market, in a fully covered market, the weaker the incumbent’s advantage is, the weaker the value gain offered by offline experience stores to . These results indicate that the advantage of the incumbent suppresses the value gain of offline physical stores to overall. However, in a multiple equilibrium market, due to the existence of a certain degree of cooperation between and , when the advantage of the incumbent is large, an increase in this advantage strengthens the gain effect of offline services. Proposition 5 also indicates that as consumers’ sensitivity to services increases, the profit difference between the two entry strategies also increases. This finding suggests that increased consumer sensitivity to services leads to higher value gains for when it opens offline stores.
7. Discussion
This paper studies the choice of an intrusion strategy for a new entrant retailer. New entrants often face incumbents that are already in the market. The entrant may choose from two intrusion strategies: one strategy is to adopt the pure online retail mode, which is identical to the approach used by the incumbent, while the other is to adopt a new retail model that integrates online and offline sales. This paper used a game model to analyze the situation in which the entrant chooses one of these two strategies to invade the market as well as the subsequent competition between the entrant and the incumbent. The optimal entry strategy selection and service value of entrants were explored.
The findings show that the offline experiences offered by stores can improve the competitiveness of online retailers in the market; this finding is similar to that reported by Jing (2018) and Caro et al. (2019) [
41,
43]. Biswajit Sarkar et al. (2021) found that the offline price of a product was slightly higher than the price of that product via the online channel [
3]. However, due to the quality of service, some customers prefer to visit the offline store to buy specific products. However, these studies have not considered the retail model featuring online–offline integration as an alternative intrusion strategy. Based on these studies, this paper conducts a comparative study of the pure online retail and online–offline integrated retail models and considers the influence of market coverage type on the choice of intrusion strategy by the invading retail enterprises.
Gao and Su (2017) found that not all products are suitable for in-store pickup and that the online purchase and offline pickup of products that sell well in stores may not increase profits [
7]. In addition, while the practice of buying online and picking up offline enables retailers to reach new customers, for existing customers, the shift from online to offline fulfilment may reduce the benefits of obtaining products. It has been found that consumers’ valuation of a product determines the type of market with which that product is associated. As consumers’ valuation of the product increases, three scenarios can occur, including a partial coverage market, a multiple equilibrium market and a full coverage market. In a partially covered market, no competition takes place between the incumbent retailer and the entrant retailer, so the incumbent advantage cannot affect the entrant. In a multiple equilibrium market or a complete coverage market, the advantage of the incumbent impacts the profits of the entrant negatively. However, the incumbent advantage is always beneficial to the incumbent. In a fully covered market, when the incumbent advantage is too high, the competition between the incumbent and the entrant is fierce, which damages the profits of both retailers.
This paper also examined the impact of quality of service on the intruder’s strategy. The literature has discussed the ways in which online retailers can supplement the defects of retail information transmission that takes place completely online by opening offline channels to provide various services, which can improve consumers’ purchase intentions and loyalty [
34]. In addition, Li et al. (2018) found that in the online retail market, consumers’ product evaluations affect retailers’ sales volume and profits [
35]. The difference is that the consumer’s sensitivity to the services offered by offline stores affects the outcome of the intrusion. This paper finds that in the three coverage markets, it is always beneficial for entrants to open offline physical stores, indicating that opening offline physical stores provides positive benefits to entrants. Therefore, when consumers are more sensitive to the service, opening offline physical stores is an effective intrusion strategy that allows entrants to cope with the advantages of incumbents. The research contributions of this paper are as follows.
First, the research process and method employed in this paper expanded the research scenario of the duopoly game model by integrating the current business context. Previous literature on market intrusion by online retail firms has not considered the impact of the type of market coverage on the strategic choices of entrants [
49,
50]. Based on the study of two intrusion strategies, this paper analyzed the impact of three types of market coverage, i.e., the partial coverage market, the multi-equilibrium market and the full coverage market, on the decisions of the invading enterprise. The mode of intrusion involved in online retailer intrusion has mainly been studied by Arya and Mittendorf (2018) [
28]. However, these studies did not take the online–offline integrated retail model into account as an alternative intrusion strategy. On the basis of the extant literature, this paper conducted a comparative study of the pure online retail and online–offline integrated retail models and consider ed the impact of market coverage types on the choice of intrusion strategies exhibited by intrusive retail enterprises.
Second, this paper expanded the research scope of the field of e-commerce and discussed the combination of online sales and offline services in detail. Previous studies have explored the intrusion strategy used by online retailers that open offline stores in terms of establishing offline showrooms, introducing advanced technologies, and improving service levels [
3,
20]. This paper considered the influence of incumbent advantage on the results of intrusion. The results reveal the results when new entrants choose to open offline physical stores and the factors that affect these results when the incumbent retailer has an advantage in online markets.
Third, this paper provides a theoretical foundation for new entrants to make decisions regarding their intrusion business model and discusses the influence of different parameters and scenarios on the strategic decisions made by both sides of the market competition in depth.
8. Conclusions
The development of the Internet has entailed new opportunities for the retail industry, and online retail has developed rapidly. Due to the increasing number of consumers who choose to shop online, the online retail market is attracting an increasing number of retailers. At present, in addition to the pure online retail model, many retail companies with online stores have also opened offline stores to seize this market. As a new invading enterprise, a retailer can choose simply to offer online sales or to integrate both online and offline retail sales to occupy the market. However, different intrusion strategies affect the retailer’s profit directly. This paper compares the two types of intrusion strategies and discusses the retailer’s choice of intrusion strategy.
Modelling analysis revealed that whether the entrant chooses the pure online retail model or the online–offline integration model, the market is partially covered when the consumer’s product valuation is low. In this case, no actual competition takes place between the entrant and the incumbent. If the entrant chooses a pure online sales strategy, its demand and profit are smaller than those of the incumbent. If the entrant chooses the strategy of online–offline integration, the entrant can set higher prices than the incumbent because the entrant improves the shopping experience of consumers, and the demand obtained by the entrant can also exceed that obtained by the incumbent. In this case, the profit of the entrant may be greater than that of the incumbent. Regardless of the strategy chosen by the entrant, the market is always fully covered if consumers value the product highly. In addition, in this context, regardless of whether the pure online sales strategy or the online–offline integration strategy is chosen, a multiple-equilibrium market situation always emerges. At this point, when the entrant uses the online–offline integration model to invade the market, the equilibrium result becomes more complicated. In a multiple-equilibrium market, the profit of the entrant may be greater than that of the incumbent.
In addition, if the market type is the same when the entrant chooses between the two different strategies, then the entrant should choose an intrusion strategy based on the advantages of the incumbent. If the market type is different when the entrant chooses between the two different strategies, the entrant should avoid direct competition with the incumbent when the incumbent has a large advantage. If consumers have a high valuation of the product, that is, when the entrant must compete with the incumbent, the entrant should choose the online–offline integration strategy to counter the advantages of the incumbent. When consumers are sensitive to the services that are offered by physical stores, offline services can improve the profits of the entrant in the same market type. In addition, in different market types, providing offline services can also benefit the entrant.
These conclusions are of great significance. Due to the emergence of the new retail model, the field of retail is facing a new situation, and many online retail enterprises have begun to develop offline services. Questions concerning whether the retail mode of online–offline integration is the best choice for new entrants and whether the new retail mode can allow new entrants to enter the online retail market more easily than the traditional online retail mode are important to new entrants. Therefore, consumers’ valuation of products, incumbents’ advantages and offline service quality should be considered when making decisions.
Using online fresh product retailers as an example, an increasing number of fresh product retailers, such as Hema and Daily Fresh, are entering the market using a model that features both online and offline sales. For fresh product retailers, opening physical stores and enhancing consumers’ shopping experience can greatly enhance a retailer’s market competitiveness, thereby increasing its profits. On the other hand, consumers have higher requirements regarding the hygiene, quality, and safety of fresh products, which gives incumbents a greater advantage over new entrants. Therefore, entrants should open offline physical stores.
This paper analyzed the entry strategies used by online retailers and studies the influence of the first-mover advantage of incumbents and the last-mover choice of entrants on the results of the ensuing competition. However, this paper faced certain limitations, and further research remains necessary in the future. First, this article did not consider the various costs of products. However, when the cost problem is taken into consideration, the whole model becomes very complicated and difficult to solve via analysis. Second, according to the model used in this paper, the incumbent has a very limited scope to make decisions and can only seek to ensure maximum profits by changing the price of the product. In the future, the authors of this article may also consider other strategic choices on the part of the incumbent, such as opening a physical store or developing certain defensive strategies. Again, this consideration may cause the model to become too large. Of course, in the future, the possibility that entrants can choose other ways of competing with incumbents or even cooperating with incumbents can be taken into consideration. This topic requires further research in the context of online retailers.