Population-Based COVID-19 Screening in Mexico: Assessment of Symptoms and Their Weighting in Predicting SARS-CoV-2 Infection
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Patients and Study Definitions
2.2. Biological Samples and SARS-CoV-2 Screening
2.3. Data Analysis
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Comorbidity/Risk Factor | COVID-19 Cases (n = 325) | Controls (n = 954) | p-Value | Odds Ratio | 95% CI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Type 2 diabetes mellitus | 25 (7.69) | 30 (3.17) | <0.001 * | 2.5 | 1.471–4.390 |
Obesity | 91 (28) | 206 (21.79) | 0.028 * | 1.3 | 1.047–1.859 |
Smoking | 60 (18.46) | 207 (21.90) | 0.217 | 0.8 | 0.586–1.111 |
Hypertension | 35 (10.76) | 81 (8.57) | 0.282 | 1.3 | 0.847–1.956 |
Endocrinological disorders 1 | 6 (1.84) | 29 (3.04) | 0.346 | 0.6 | 0.247–1.458 |
Allergies | 5 (1.53) | 23 (2.41) | 0.478 | 0.6 | 0.238–1.677 |
Rheumatic diseases | 4 (1.23) | 18 (1.88) | 0.59 | 0.6 | 0.218–1.929 |
Asthma | 8 (2.46) | 17 (1.79) | 0.61 | 1.4 | 0.589–3.223 |
COPD 2 | 2 (0.61) | 93 (0.31) | 0.821 | 1.9 | 0.323–11.688 |
Cardiovascular disease | 3 (0.92) | 11 (1.16) | 0.959 | 0.7 | 0.219–2.853 |
Chronic kidney disease | 1 (0.30) | 5 (0.52) | 0.973 | 0.5 | 0.0675–4.985 |
Symptoms (n, %) | COVID-19 Cases (n = 325) | Controls (n = 954) | p-Value | Odds Ratio | 95% CI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fever | 98 (30.15) | 95 (10.05) | <0.001 * | 3.8 | 2.811–5.308 |
Dry cough | 115 (35.38) | 119 (12.59) | <0.001 * | 3.8 | 2.822–5.119 |
Headache | 107 (32.92) | 184 (19.47) | <0.001 * | 2.03 | 1.531–2.691 |
Chills | 39 (12.0) | 46 (4.84) | <0.001 * | 2.67 | 1.712–4.185 |
Odynophagia | 85 (26.15) | 146 (15.45) | <0.001 * | 1.9 | 1.430–2.626 |
Myalgia | 68 (20.92) | 87 (9.20) | <0.001 * | 2.6 | 1.845–3.690 |
Arthralgia | 55 (16.92) | 65 (6.87) | <0.001 * | 2.7 | 1.878–4.049 |
Asthenia | 67 (20.61) | 90 (9.52) | <0.001 * | 2.4 | 1.746–3.485 |
Anosmia | 59 (18.15) | 29 (3.05) | <0.001 * | 7.03 | 4.420–11.202 |
Dysgeusia | 61 (18.76) | 25 (2.63) | <0.001 * | 8.5 | 5.257–13.872 |
Chest pain | 35 (10.76) | 50 (5.29) | 0.001 * | 2.1 | 1.375–3.394 |
Irritability | 14 (4.30) | 12 (1.26) | 0.002 * | 3.5 | 1.609–7.680 |
Rhinorrhea | 38 (11.62) | 58 (6.11) | 0.002 * | 2.03 | 1.323–3.127 |
Diarrhea | 35 (10.76) | 55 (5.67) | 0.004 * | 1.9 | 1.258–3.058 |
Dyspnea | 29 (8.92) | 43 (4.45) | 0.005 * | 2.05 | 1.260–3.351 |
Abdominal pain | 26 (8.0) | 37 (3.91) | 0.005 * | 2.1 | 1.271–3.583 |
Cyanosis | 11 (3.38) | 10 (1.05) | 0.01 * | 3.2 | 1.378–7.786 |
Polypnea | 6 (1.84) | 7 (0.73) | 0.163 | 2.5 | 0.844–7.587 |
Vomit | 8 (2.46) | 14 (1.48) | 0.357 | 1.6 | 0.698–4.038 |
Conjunctivitis | 14 (4.30) | 30 (3.16) | 0.423 | 1.3 | 0.722–2.634 |
Convulsion | 2 (0.61) | 5 (0.52) | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.225–6.029 |
Variable | Coefficient | Standard Error | Wald Statistic | p-Value | Odds Ratio | 95% CI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oxygen saturation | −0.0964 | 0.0323 | 8.938 | 0.003 * | 0.908 | 0.852–0.967 |
Fever | 0.736 | 0.253 | 8.472 | 0.004 * | 2.087 | 1.272–3.424 |
Dysgeusia | 1.605 | 0.566 | 8.033 | 0.005 * | 4.976 | 1.641–15.094 |
Asthenia | 0.555 | 0.269 | 4.237 | 0.040 * | 1.741 | 1.027–2.952 |
Irritability | 1.119 | 0.687 | 2.654 | 0.103 | 3.063 | 0.797–11.774 |
Dyspnea | −0.636 | 0.397 | 2.569 | 0.109 | 0.529 | 0.243–1.152 |
T2DM | 0.430 | 0.354 | 1.475 | 0.225 | 1.537 | 0.768–3.074 |
Obesity | 0.181 | 0.171 | 1.119 | 0.290 | 1.198 | 0.857–1.676 |
Sex | −0.156 | 0.164 | 0.900 | 0.343 | 0.856 | 0.620–1.181 |
Age | 0.0055 | 0.00609 | 0.818 | 0.366 | 1.006 | 0.994–1.018 |
Diarrhea | 0.234 | 0.330 | 0.502 | 0.479 | 1.264 | 0.661–2.415 |
Arthralgia | 0.249 | 0.393 | 0.403 | 0.526 | 1.283 | 0.594–2.770 |
Rhinorrhea | 0.204 | 0.323 | 0.401 | 0.527 | 1.227 | 0.652–2.309 |
Abdominal pain | −0.197 | 0.394 | 0.250 | 0.617 | 0.821 | 0.379–1.778 |
Headache | 0.110 | 0.235 | 0.219 | 0.640 | 1.116 | 0.705–1.768 |
Chills | 0.153 | 0.349 | 0.191 | 0.662 | 1.165 | 0.588–2.308 |
Myalgia | 0.104 | 0.362 | 0.0825 | 0.774 | 1.109 | 0.546–2.254 |
Dry cough | −0.000002 | 0.000009 | 0.0472 | 0.828 | 1.000 | 1.000–1.000 |
Anosmia | 0.0861 | 0.565 | 0.0232 | 0.879 | 1.090 | 0.360–3.301 |
Odynophagia | 0.0220 | 0.221 | 0.0099 | 0.921 | 1.022 | 0.663–1.576 |
Chest pain | 0.0250 | 0.340 | 0.005 | 0.941 | 1.025 | 0.527–1.995 |
Cyanosis | −0.0195 | 0.640 | 0.0009 | 0.976 | 0.981 | 0.280–3.437 |
Variable | qRT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2 | Eigen Value | Chi-Square | Degrees of Freedom | p-Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Positive | Negative | |||||
Fever (%) | 7.72 | 17.89 | 0.05963 | 75.67 | 1 | <0.001 |
Dry Cough (%) | 9.06 | 16.55 | 0.01945 | 83.41 | 1 | <0.001 |
Headache (%) | 8.43 | 17.18 | 0.06573 | 24.68 | 1 | <0.001 |
Variable/Study | MEX This Study | MEX [21] | CHN [22] | CHN [23] | CHN [24] | DEU [19] | MEX [16] | MEX [25] | MEX [26] | CHN [27] | BGR [8] | CHN [28] | BEL [29] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
COVID-19 cases | 325 | 16 | 41 | 1099 | 99 | 26 | 34 | 196,738 | 164 | 138 | 138 | 140 | 1420 |
Age, mean (years) | 40.9 | 47.8 | 49.0 | 47.0 | 55.5 | 52.4 | - | 36 | 57.3 | 56 | 52.9 | 57 | 39.17 |
Sex (male) | 215 (66.1) | 8 (50) | 30 (73) | 640 (58.1) | 67 (68) | 14 (35) | - | 244,171 | 114 (69.5) | 75 (54.3) | 87 (63) | 71(50.7) | 458 (32.3) |
Fever | 98 (30.15) | 43.80 | 40 (98) | 473 (43.8) | 82 (83) | 9 (34.6) | 5 (14.7) | 60,209 (56.7) | 138 (84.1) | 136 (98.6) | 100 (138) | 110/120 (91.7) | 645 (45.4) |
Dry cough | 115 (35.38) | 68.80 | 31 (76) | 745 (67.8) | 81 (82) | 19 (73.1) | 10 (29.4) | 60,720 (55.4) | 131 (79.8) | 82 (59.4) | 95 (68.8) | 90/120 (75.0) | 897 (63.2) |
Headache | 107 (32.92) | 81.30 | 3 (8) | 150 (13.6) | 8 (8) | 3 (11.5) | 13 (38.2) | 106,103 (44.4) | 9 (6.5) | 95 (68.8) | - | 998 (70.3) | |
Dyspnea | 29 (8.92) | 43.80 | 22 (55) | 205 (18.7) | 31 (31) | 4 (15.4) | 6 (17.6) | 34,588 (49.8) | 152 (92.6) | 43 (31.2) | 39 (28.52) | 44/120 (36.7) | 697 (49.1) |
Irritability | 14 (4.30) | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (17.6) | - | - | - | - | ||
Diarrhea | 35 (10.76) | - | 1 (3) | 42 (3.8) | 2 (2) | 1 (3.8) | 6 (17.6) | 32,843 (45.7) | 29 (17.6) | 14 (10.1) | 7 (5.0) | 18/139 (12.9) | 473 (38.1) |
Chest pain | 35 (10.76) | 31.30 | - | - | 2 (2) | 9 (26.4) | - | - | - | - | - | 173 (27.2) * | |
Chills | 286 (88) | - | - | 126 (11.5) | - | 5 (19.5) | 4 (11.7) | 39,003 (56.1) | - | - | - | - | - |
Odynophagia | 85 (26.15) | - | - | - | - | 12 (35.2) | - | - | 24 (17.4) | 46 (33.3) | - | 274 (19.3) | |
Myalgia | 68 (20.92) | 62.50 | 18 (44) | 164 (14.9) | 11 (11) | 7 (26.9) | 13 (38.2) | 93,926 (50.9) | 84 (51.2) | 48 (34.8) | 67 (48.5) | - | 887 (62.5) |
Arthralgia | 55 (16.92) | 62.50 | - | with myalgia | - | 9 (26.4) | with myalgia | - | With myalgia | - | 519 (36.5) | ||
Asthenia | 67 (20.61) | - | - | 419 (38.1) | - | 5 (19.2) | 7 (20.5) | - | - | 96 (69.6) | 124 (89.8) | 90/120 (75.0) | 514 (63.3) * |
Rhinorrhea | 38 (11.62) | 50 | - | - | 4 (4) | 5 (19.2) | 10 (29.4) | 48,082 (51.4) | 31 (18.9) | - | - | - | 854 (60.1) |
Polypnea | 6 (1.84) | - | - | - | - | 3 (8.8) | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Vomit | 8 (2.46) | - | - | 55 (5.0) | 1 (1) | 0 (0) | 0 (0.0) | 15,841 (49.8) | - | 5 (3.6) | - | 7/139 (5.0) | 272 (19.2) and nausea |
Abdominal pain | 26 (8.0) | - | - | - | - | 0 (0) | 1 (2.9) | 17,515 (44.8) | - | 3 (2.2) | - | 8/139 (5.8) | 270 (19.1) |
Conjunctivitis | 14 (4.30) | 6.30 | - | - | - | - | 5 (14.7) | 13,738 (46.6) | - | - | 12 (8.6) | - | 644 (45.4) |
Anosmia | 59 (18.15) | 37.50 | - | 9 (0.8) | - | 7 (26.9) | 5 (14.7) | - | - | - | - | - | 997 (70.2) |
Dysgeusia | 61 (18.76) | 37.50 | - | - | - | - | 3 (.8) | - | - | - | - | - | 770 (54.2) |
Cyanosis | 11 (3.38) | - | - | - | - | - | 0 (0.0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Convulsions | 2 (0.61) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
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Martinez-Fierro, M.L.; Diaz-Lozano, M.; Alvarez-Zuñiga, C.; Ramirez-Hernandez, L.A.; Araujo-Espino, R.; Trejo-Ortiz, P.M.; Mollinedo-Montaño, F.E.; Ortiz-Castro, Y.; Vazquez-Reyes, S.; Velasco-Elizondo, P.; et al. Population-Based COVID-19 Screening in Mexico: Assessment of Symptoms and Their Weighting in Predicting SARS-CoV-2 Infection. Medicina 2021, 57, 363. https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina57040363
Martinez-Fierro ML, Diaz-Lozano M, Alvarez-Zuñiga C, Ramirez-Hernandez LA, Araujo-Espino R, Trejo-Ortiz PM, Mollinedo-Montaño FE, Ortiz-Castro Y, Vazquez-Reyes S, Velasco-Elizondo P, et al. Population-Based COVID-19 Screening in Mexico: Assessment of Symptoms and Their Weighting in Predicting SARS-CoV-2 Infection. Medicina. 2021; 57(4):363. https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina57040363
Chicago/Turabian StyleMartinez-Fierro, Margarita L, Martha Diaz-Lozano, Claudia Alvarez-Zuñiga, Leticia A Ramirez-Hernandez, Roxana Araujo-Espino, Perla M Trejo-Ortiz, Fabiana E Mollinedo-Montaño, Yolanda Ortiz-Castro, Sodel Vazquez-Reyes, Perla Velasco-Elizondo, and et al. 2021. "Population-Based COVID-19 Screening in Mexico: Assessment of Symptoms and Their Weighting in Predicting SARS-CoV-2 Infection" Medicina 57, no. 4: 363. https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina57040363
APA StyleMartinez-Fierro, M. L., Diaz-Lozano, M., Alvarez-Zuñiga, C., Ramirez-Hernandez, L. A., Araujo-Espino, R., Trejo-Ortiz, P. M., Mollinedo-Montaño, F. E., Ortiz-Castro, Y., Vazquez-Reyes, S., Velasco-Elizondo, P., Garcia-Esquivel, L., Araujo-Conejo, A., & Garza-Veloz, I. (2021). Population-Based COVID-19 Screening in Mexico: Assessment of Symptoms and Their Weighting in Predicting SARS-CoV-2 Infection. Medicina, 57(4), 363. https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina57040363