Factors Influencing Asia-Pacific Countries’ Success Level in Curbing COVID-19: A Review Using a Social–Ecological System (SES) Framework
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methodology
2.1. Study Areas
2.2. Data Collection
2.3. Data Analysis
3. Results and Discussions
3.1. Low Population Density
3.2. High Social Homogeneity
3.3. High Level of Trust
3.4. Sufficient Local Management Knowledge and Experience
3.5. Effective Foreign Worker Influx Containment
3.6. High Facility Adequacy
3.7. High Technology Availability
3.8. Economic Performance
3.9. Top-Down Leadership
3.10. Penalty
3.11. Strict Lockdown Enforcement
3.12. Strict Standard of Procedure in Public Areas
3.13. Emergency Response Plans and COVID-19 Testing Policies
3.14. Interaction Arena
4. Conclusions and Recommendations
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Country | Cumulative (Total) Confirmed Cases * | Average Daily Confirmed Cases ** | Mortality Rate (%) *** |
---|---|---|---|
Indonesia | 56,385 | 466 | 5.1 |
Japan | 18,600 | 123.2 | 5.2 |
Malaysia | 8631 | 57.2 | 1.40 |
New Zealand | 1528 | 12.3 | 1.44 |
Singapore | 43,894 | 290.7 | <0.1 |
South Korea | 12,839 | 85.0 | 2.2 |
Vietnam | 353 | 2.34 | 0 |
Factors | Attributes | Working Definitions (Sub-Attributes) | Assumptions/Effects towards COVID-19 Abatement (Outcome) |
---|---|---|---|
Social | Low population density | Number of population per land area/size of a country [25,26] | With lower population density, it may have a lower risk of COVID-19 transmission considering more spacious environment for less close human interaction. High population density tends to be associated with the overcrowding issue, and this may likely lead to decreases in the quality of living conditions and sanitation, and thus the transmission rate may be high. |
High social homogeneity | Homogeneity in terms of socio-cultural and demographic context (e.g., background, interest, ethnicity, and language) [27] | With higher social homogeneity, it may result in the higher cooperation level among the people and less self-interest among the community, emphasising collective interest and thus the higher level of COVID-19 abatement. | |
High level of trust among citizens | Trust level between the community and governments measured by effective communication and government’s capability [28,29] | With a higher level of trust between the community and the government in terms of governments’ capability in handling the pandemic and effective communication, there may be higher compliance to government rules, and therefore better COVID-19 abatement. | |
Sufficient local management knowledge and experience | Taking into account previous contagions, e.g., SARS, MERS, and H1N1 that have similar features as COVID-19 [30] | With the past experiences and knowledge in dealing with previous pandemics, a nation (the government and the people) may have better abatement strategies. | |
Effective foreign worker containment | Special containment measures and environments in terms of accommodation and facilities provided for foreign workers to avoid local cluster outbreak [31] | Effective foreign worker containment via specific measures can have a lower transmission risk and thus better COVID-19 abatement. | |
Physical/resources | High adequacy of facilities [32] | This attribute covers the density of physician (per 10,000) and healthcare facilities | Countries with a sufficient number of physician and healthcare facilities signifying high mobility of those facilities for COVID-19 treatment can better abate the pandemic. |
High technology availability [33] | Concerning whether a country is equipped with high technological tools and facilities in dealing with COVID-19, including contact tracing application, testing policy, test kit production, ventilator production, PPE production | It is hypothesized that a country equipped with high technological facilities and tools can cope better with the pandemic in terms of providing timely and sufficient treatment for patients. | |
High economic performance [31] | Considering the GNI per capita of a country, which determine the economic status by the World Bank | High-income countries that signify high economic performance in terms of GNI per capita can cope better with the pandemic by providing financial relief and more efficient technological/facility support. | |
Governance/institutional | Presence of top-down leadership [34] | Measured by the Democracy Index (based on the types of government leadership—democratic or authoritarian). | Countries with strong or firm (autocratic) leadership presence can better ensure compliant behaviours (i.e., better cooperation among citizens) and therefore better COVID-19 abatement. |
Strict penalty [35] | Some form of punishment or fine is imposed on several conditions, namely, fleeing quarantine, violating lockdown, incompliance with the government order, not wearing mask at public areas, and spreading fake news | Countries with penalty imposition on violators may have a better control of the pandemic. It is believed that with this stringent imposition, self-interest behaviour of an individual can be discouraged and thus prosocial (compliant) behaviour towards collective interest can be promoted, which is better for COVID-19 abatement | |
Strict lockdown imposition [36,37,38,39] | Lockdown imposition covers school closure, border closure, gathering bans, work from home policy, national lockdown, localized lockdown, and military enforcement | Countries with strict lockdown enforcement limiting certain non-essential activities (lesser human interactions) can help stem local transmission risks and thus reduce daily confirmed cases or fatality rates. | |
Strict standard of procedure in public areas [40,41] | Mask-wearing, social distancing, health checks and temperature scanning | Countries with strict standard of procedure imposition, especially in public areas, for promoting effective monitoring and reducing transmission risks can help curb the pandemic. | |
Emergency response plan and COVID-19 testing policy [42] | This attribute emphasizes economy stimulus, repurposing of existing buildings into healthcare facilities, and the COVID-19 testing policy (i.e., whether the test is required by anyone with symptoms or without symptoms) | Countries that provide economy stimulus for its citizens for livelihood purposes can help curb the local transmission risk, and countries with a plan to repurpose some buildings into healthcare for accommodating and treating more patients can help reduce transmission risks and daily cases or mortality rate. Countries adopting a more inclusive/comprehensive COVID-19 testing policy can detect cases earlier and control the spread more effectively. | |
Action arena (activities/response effectiveness level for the period between 1 February and 30 June 2020) | Government Stringency Index [18,43] | This index is about containment and closure policies, such as school closures and restrictions in movement | These three indices reflecting the governments’ activities and response effectiveness, determined by the attributes define the outcome (i.e., the COVID-19 abatement level). High stringency, containment, and economic support indices are associated with the higher success level of COVID-19 abatement. |
Health and Containment Index [18,43] | This is about COVID-19 testing regime or emergency investments into healthcare | ||
Economic Support Index [18,43] | This is about income support to citizens or provision of foreign aid | ||
Outcome | COVID-19 abatement success level for the period between 1 February and 30 June 2020 [17,18,44] | Determined by three indicators, namely, (i) cumulative cases, (ii) average daily cases, and (iii) mortality rates | The higher the number of the three indicators (i.e., high cumulative cases, mortality rate, and average daily cases), determined by the abovementioned attributes and interaction activities, the lower the success level of COVID-19 abatement and vice versa. |
Score | Outcome |
---|---|
>90 | High |
70–89 | Medium |
<70 | Low |
Rank | Value | Score | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|
First | 7 | 16–21 | High |
Second | 6 | 10–15 | Medium |
Third | 5 | 3–9 | Low |
Fourth | 4 | ||
Fifth | 3 | ||
Sixth | 2 | ||
Seventh | 1 |
IAD-Based SES Exogenous Attributes | Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Community/social attributes | |||||||
Low population density | 274.2 million (2020) 151 per km2 (2020) P | 126.5 million (2020) 347 per km2 (2020) PP | 32.5 million (2020) 99 per km2 (2020) P | 4.886 million (2020) 18 per km2 (2020) P | 5.6 million (2020) 8358 per km2 (2020) A | 51 million (2020) 527 per km2 (2020) A | 97 million (2020) 314 per km2 (2020) PP |
High social homogeneity | PP | P | PP | PP | PP | P | P |
High level of trust | PP | A | PP | P | P | PP | P |
Sufficient local management knowledge and experience | PP | A | P | PP | PP | P | PP |
Effective foreign workers influx containment | N/A | N/A | A | N/A | PP | N/A | N/A |
Physical system attributes | |||||||
High facility adequacy | A | P | PP | P | P | P | PP |
High technology availability | P | P | PP | PP | P | P | P |
High economic Performance | PP | P | PP | P | P | P | A |
Governance/institution attributes | |||||||
Local (top-down) leadership | PP | PP | PP | A | PP | PP | P |
Penalty | PP | A | P | P | P | P | P |
Strict lockdown | PP | A | P | P | P | PP | P |
Strict standard of procedure in public areas | P | PP | PP | P | P | PP | P |
Emergency response plan and COVID-19 testing policies | A | PP | PP | P | P | PP | PP |
Frequency or co-occurrence of attributes | 3Ps 7PPs 2As | 4Ps 4PPs 4As | 4Ps 8PPs 1A | 8Ps 3PPs 1A | 8Ps 4PPs 1A | 6Ps 5PPs 1A | 7Ps 4PPs 1A |
Interaction arena (effectiveness of response/activities) | |||||||
Stringency Index | 80 Medium | 47 Low | 75 Medium | 96 High | 76 Medium | 82 Medium | 96 High |
Health and Containment Index | 69 Low | 41 Low | 71 Medium | 79 Medium | 73 Medium | 74 Medium | 85 Medium |
Economic Support Index | 25 Low | 75 Medium | 75 Medium | 62 Low | 100 High | 50 Low | 25 Low |
Outcome (rank) | |||||||
Cumulative cases | 56,385 (7th) | 18,600 (5th) | 8631 (3rd) | 1528 (2nd) | 43,894 (6th) | 12,839 (4th) | 353 (1st) |
Average daily cases | 466 (7th) | 123.2 (5th) | 57.2 (3rd) | 12.3 (2nd) | 290.7 (6th) | 85.0 (4th) | 2.34 (1st) |
Mortality rates | 5.1% (6th) | 5.2% (7th) | 1.4% (3rd) | 1.44% (4th) | <0.1% (2nd) | 2.2% (5th) | 0.0% (1st) |
Scores | 4 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
Success level of COVID-19 abatement | Low | Low | Medium | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Percentage perceiving government as untruthful [56] | 0.486 | 0.602 | 0.165 | 0.024 | Between 0.083 to 0.092 | 0.102 | 0.029 |
Public Information Campaign [18] | Coordinated information campaign | Coordinated information campaign | Coordinated information campaign | Coordinated information campaign | Coordinated information campaign | Coordinated information campaign | Coordinated information campaign |
Experiences in Previous Diseases | Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SARS | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
MERS | No | No | Yes | No | No | Yes | No |
H1N1 | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Density of physician (per 10,000) | 3.777 (2018) | 24.118 (2018) | 15.132 (2018) | 30.252 (2018) | 23.063 (2018) | 23.661 (2018) | 8.199 (2018) |
Healthcare facilities (per 10,000) | 10.4 beds (2017) | 129.8 beds (2018) | 18.77 beds (2017) | 25.7 beds (2019) | 24.86 beds (2017) | 124.3 beds (2018) | 31.8 beds (2013) |
Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Contact tracing application | Yes | Yes [76] | Yes [75] | Yes [77] | Yes [31] | Yes [24] | Yes [78,79] |
Test kit production | Yes [80,81] | Yes [82] | No | No | Yes [31,83] | Yes [24] | Yes [55] |
Ventilator production | Yes [84] | Yes [85] | Yes | Yes | Yes [86] | Yes | Yes [87] |
Personal protective equipment (PPE) production | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes [79] |
Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Economic status | Upper middle-income | High-income | Upper-middle income | High-income | High-income | High-income | Lower middle-income |
GNI per capita (ranking based on the Atlas method) | USD 4050 (118th) | USD 41,690 (27th) | USD 11,200 (68th) | USD 42,670 (24th) | USD 59,590 (11th) | USD 33,720 (30th) | USD 2540 (141th) |
Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democracy Index | Flawed democracy | Flawed democracy | Flawed democracy | Full democracy | Flawed democracy | Flawed democracy | Authoritarian |
Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleeing quarantine | 1-year/USD 7116.27 [102] | - | 2 years imprisonment/fine, or both (1st) 5 years imprisonment/fine, or both (repeated) [103] | USD 2873.34/6 months [104] | Maximum USD 7526.05/6 months, or both [105] | Maximum USD 9040.70/maximum 1-year imprisonment with labour [106] | USD 86.51 to USD 4235.31 [107] |
Violating lockdown | 16 months [102] | - | 2 years imprisonment/fine, or both (1st) 5 years imprisonment/fine, or both (repeated) [108] | USD 2873.34/6 months [104] | Maximum USD 7526.05/6 months, or both [105] | Maximum USD 9040.70/maximum 1-year imprisonment with labour [106] | USD 432.53 (individual), USD 865.06 (organization)/USD 4325.31 business closure [107] |
Failure complying to government personnel | 16 months [102] | - | USD 2470.00/2 years, or both [108] | USD 2873.34/6 months [104] | - | Fine of USD 4520.35 [106] | - |
Spreading fake news | 6 years and maximum of USD 71.16 [109] | - | USD 4919.45 /maximum 6 months. Or both [110] | - | Publish notices on false statements, provide link to government website with official clarifications [111] | 5 years or maximum fine of USD 9040.70 [112] | USD 432.53–865.06 [113] |
Mask | - | - | - | - | USD 225.78– 752.61 [114] | USD 893.11 [115] | USD 12.95 for not wearing and USD 302.77 if not discarded properly [107] |
Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
School closure | Yes [102] | Yes [53] | Yes [23] | Yes [77] | Yes [116] | Yes [117] | Yes [78] |
Border closure | Yes | Yes [53] | Yes [23] | Yes [77] | Yes [21] | Yes [54] | Yes [78] |
Gathering bans | Limited to 5 at one time [102] | Yes [53] | Yes [23] | Yes [77] | Yes [21] | Yes [54] | Yes [78] |
Work from home | Yes [118] | Yes [76] | Yes, except essential workers [23] | Yes, except essential services [77] | Yes, except essential workers [119] | Yes [117] | Yes |
National lockdown | No [93] | No [53] | Yes [23] | Yes [120] | Yes [119] | No [117] | Yes [121] |
Localized lockdown | Yes [122] | No [123] | - | - | - | Yes [117] | - |
Military enforcement | Yes [124] | No [53] | Yes [125] | Yes | Yes [31] | Only for disinfecting process | Yes [98,126] |
Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mask wearing | Compulsory [128] | Habitual [53,129] | Recommendation [130] | Compulsory [131] | Compulsory [119] | Habitual [54] | Compulsory [132] |
Social distancing | Yes [133] | Yes [76] | Yes [23] | Yes [77] | Yes [21] | Yes [117] | Yes [55] |
Health checks and temperature scanning | Yes [118] | Yes [134] | Yes [23] | Yes [77] | Yes [21,31] | Yes [54] | Yes [68] |
Mass sterilization | Yes | Yes [129] | Yes | Yes [135] | Yes | Yes [54] | Yes |
Indonesia | Japan | Malaysia | New Zealand | Singapore | South Korea | Vietnam | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Economy stimulus (income support and debt/contract relief) | Covers < 50% of lost salary with narrow relief [18] | Covers < 50% of lost salary with narrow relief [18] | Covers < 50% of lost salary with broad relief [18] | Covers > 50% of lost salary with broad relief [18] | Covers > 50% of lost salary with broad relief [18] | Covers < 50% of lost salary with narrow relief [18] | Covers < 50% of lost salary with narrow relief [18] |
Repurposing buildings into healthcare facilities | Yes [84] | Yes [136] | Yes [23] | Yes | Yes [31] | Yes [137] | Yes [55,138] |
COVID-19 testing policies | Those with symptoms and key groups only [18] | Anyone with symptoms [18] | Open public testing, including asymptomatic individuals [18] | Anyone with symptoms [18] | Anyone with symptoms [18] | Open public testing, including asymptomatic individuals [18] | Open public testing, including asymptomatic individuals [18] |
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Ling, G.H.T.; Md Suhud, N.A.b.; Leng, P.C.; Yeo, L.B.; Cheng, C.T.; Ahmad, M.H.H.; Ak Matusin, A.M.R. Factors Influencing Asia-Pacific Countries’ Success Level in Curbing COVID-19: A Review Using a Social–Ecological System (SES) Framework. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 1704. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18041704
Ling GHT, Md Suhud NAb, Leng PC, Yeo LB, Cheng CT, Ahmad MHH, Ak Matusin AMR. Factors Influencing Asia-Pacific Countries’ Success Level in Curbing COVID-19: A Review Using a Social–Ecological System (SES) Framework. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2021; 18(4):1704. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18041704
Chicago/Turabian StyleLing, Gabriel Hoh Teck, Nur Amiera binti Md Suhud, Pau Chung Leng, Lee Bak Yeo, Chin Tiong Cheng, Mohd Hamdan Haji Ahmad, and Ak Mohd Rafiq Ak Matusin. 2021. "Factors Influencing Asia-Pacific Countries’ Success Level in Curbing COVID-19: A Review Using a Social–Ecological System (SES) Framework" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18, no. 4: 1704. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18041704
APA StyleLing, G. H. T., Md Suhud, N. A. b., Leng, P. C., Yeo, L. B., Cheng, C. T., Ahmad, M. H. H., & Ak Matusin, A. M. R. (2021). Factors Influencing Asia-Pacific Countries’ Success Level in Curbing COVID-19: A Review Using a Social–Ecological System (SES) Framework. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(4), 1704. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18041704