The Transmission, Infection Prevention, and Control during the COVID-19 Pandemic in China: A Retrospective Study
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Routine Reports on the Pandemic
2.2. Transmission Stages
- (A)
- Explosive growth stage: There are new cases every day, and the increase rate is more than 0, i.e., exponential distribution or quasi-exponential distribution.
- (B)
- Stable growth stage: There are new cases every day, and the growth rate tends to 0 or fluctuates around 0.
- (C)
- Attenuated growth stage: There are new cases or zero growth of less than one transmission cycle every day, and the increase rate is negative, showing negative exponential or quasi-negative exponential distribution.
- (D)
- Sporadic growth stage: Zero cases occur in more than one transmission cycle, followed by a continuous period of zero or only sporadic confirmed cases.
2.3. Two Special Reports
2.4. IPC in China
3. Results
3.1. The Estimation of R0
- (a)
- Data were taken from the beginning of the outbreak.
- (b)
- Confirmed cases were sufficient.
- (c)
- All cases were tested in a timely manner.
3.2. Study of the Transmission Model in Non-Wuhan Areas
3.3. Study of the Transmission Model in Wuhan
3.4. Revision and Estimate Based on Two Special Reports
3.5. Analysis of the Effect of IPC
4. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Stage Area | Explosive Growth Stage | Stable Growth Stage | Attenuated Growth Stage | Sporadic Growth Stage |
---|---|---|---|---|
China | December 2019–4 February 2020 | 5 February–18 February 2020 | 19 February 2020– Present | Unknown |
China (excluding Hubei Province) | 20 January–29 January 2020 | 30 January–8 February 2020 | 9 February–6 March 2020 | 7 March 2020–Present |
Hubei Province (excluding Wuhan) | 21 January–4 February 2020 | 5 February–18 February 2020 | 19 February–3 March 2020 | 4 March 2020–Present |
Wuhan | December 2019–2 February 2020 | 3 February–13 February 2020 | 14 February–17 March 2020 | 18 March 2020–Present |
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Zhang, L.; Welsch, R.E.; Cao, Z. The Transmission, Infection Prevention, and Control during the COVID-19 Pandemic in China: A Retrospective Study. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2022, 19, 3074. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19053074
Zhang L, Welsch RE, Cao Z. The Transmission, Infection Prevention, and Control during the COVID-19 Pandemic in China: A Retrospective Study. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2022; 19(5):3074. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19053074
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhang, Lifeng, Roy E. Welsch, and Zhi Cao. 2022. "The Transmission, Infection Prevention, and Control during the COVID-19 Pandemic in China: A Retrospective Study" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 19, no. 5: 3074. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19053074
APA StyleZhang, L., Welsch, R. E., & Cao, Z. (2022). The Transmission, Infection Prevention, and Control during the COVID-19 Pandemic in China: A Retrospective Study. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(5), 3074. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19053074