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Article

What Factors Dominate the Change of PM2.5 in the World from 2000 to 2019? A Study from Multi-Source Data

1
Chongqing Jinfo Mountain Karst Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, School of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China
2
Chongqing Engineering Research Center for Remote Sensing Big Data Application, School of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2023, 20(3), 2282; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20032282
Submission received: 14 December 2022 / Revised: 21 January 2023 / Accepted: 25 January 2023 / Published: 27 January 2023
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Science and Engineering)

Abstract

:
As the threat to human life and health from fine particulate matter (PM2.5) increases globally, the life and health problems caused by environmental pollution are also of increasing concern. Understanding past trends in PM2.5 and exploring the drivers of PM2.5 are important tools for addressing the life-threatening health problems caused by PM2.5. In this study, we calculated the change in annual average global PM2.5 concentrations from 2000 to 2020 using the Theil–Sen median trend analysis method and reveal spatial and temporal trends in PM2.5 concentrations over twenty-one years. The qualitative and quantitative effects of different drivers on PM2.5 concentrations in 2020 were explored from natural and socioeconomic perspectives using a multi-scale geographically weighted regression model. The results show that there is significant spatial heterogeneity in trends in PM2.5 concentration, with significant decreases in PM2.5 concentrations mainly in developed regions, such as the United States, Canada, Japan and the European Union countries, and conversely, significant increases in PM2.5 in developing regions, such as Africa, the Middle East and India. In addition, in regions with more advanced science and technology and urban management, PM2.5 concentrations are more evenly influenced by various factors, with a more negative influence. In contrast, regions at the rapid development stage usually continue their economic development at the cost of the environment, and under a high intensity of human activity. Increased temperature is known as the most important factor for the increase in PM2.5 concentration, while an increase in NDVI can play an important role in the reduction in PM2.5 concentration. This suggests that countries can achieve good air quality goals by setting a reasonable development path.

1. Introduction

In the context of global change issues, air quality has received increasing attention from researchers around the world. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is particulate matter with an aerodynamic equivalent diameter less than or equal to 2.5 microns in ambient air, which has the characteristics of a long residence time in the atmosphere and long transmission distance, and has a great impact on human health and atmospheric environmental quality [1,2]. Many epidemiological studies have shown that many human health problems related to respiratory and lung diseases are associated with the concentration of PM [3,4]. In terms of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD), PM2.5 contributes to millions of premature deaths around the world [5,6]. Despite many countries and international organizations making many efforts to solve it, the threat of PM2.5 to the global environment and human health remains [7].
Numerous studies have been conducted regarding near-ground retrieval of PM2.5 concentration, and many achievements have been made. Currently, as the demand for PM2.5 research increases, the requirements for the high resolution and accuracy of near-surface PM2.5 concentration data increase. Currently, there are also many groups producing high-quality PM2.5 remote sensing products with different scopes and resolutions, thus proving highly convenient for application [8,9]. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has determined PM2.5 concentration for each year from 2003 to 2011, which is calculated at the country scale (https://wonder.cdc.gov/nasa-pm.html. Accessed on 16 January 2023); the United States Environmental Protection Agency has calculated daily PM2.5 concentration for the United States from 2002 to 2019, which contains spatial resolutions of 12 km2 and 36 km2 (https://www.epa.gov/hesc/rsig-related-downloadable-data-files. Accessed on 16 January 2023); Berkeley Earth provides real-time PM2.5 concentrations for the world at a spatial resolution of 0.1°, but it has only made the last two years of data available for download (https://berkeleyearth.org/archive/air-quality-real-time-map/. Accessed on 16 January 2023); Wei’s team has produced a 1 km PM2.5 concentration product for the whole of China, and has provided it on multiple time scales (https://zenodo.org/record/6398971. Accessed on January 16 January 2023); Van Donkelaar’s team has produced global annual PM2.5 concentrations from 1998 to 2021 and offers them at both 0.01° and 0.1° spatial resolutions; obviously, this is more suitable for conducting long time-series analysis on a global scale [10].
Studies on changes in PM2.5 and their driving forces have also been the focus of researchers’ attention [11,12]. Usually, PM2.5 concentrations are influenced by a combination of natural and anthropogenic factors [13]. Some studies have suggested that precipitation and green coverage rate of built-up areas cause the PM2.5 concentration to change [14,15], whereas others have indicated that the PM2.5 concentration has changed with growth in population and gross domestic product (GDP) [16,17,18]. However, the abovementioned studies focused on small-scale analyses and did not analyze long time-series data, so there are certain limitations in time and space; PM2.5 concentration changes are typically influenced by a variety of factors, therefore, natural factors such as precipitation, temperature, and vegetation, as well as socioeconomic factors such as GDP, population and urbanization rate should always be used for the analysis of the relationship with PM2.5 concentrations [19,20,21]. In addition, different analysis results may be obtained under different spatiotemporal scales. At present, there are relatively few studies on the factors influencing PM2.5 concentrations at the global scale, and these existing studies usually only analyze the impact factors of one aspect of PM2.5 or select a small number of factors for analysis [22]. Therefore, it is meaningful to study the multiple drivers of global PM2.5 concentrations.
The purpose of this study was to analyze the changing spatiotemporal trends in global PM2.5 concentration from 2000 to 2019 and to explore the driving factors, particularly for the years 2000, 2010 and 2019, using a multi-scale geographically weighted regression model (MGWR). Factors included changes in urbanization rate (UR), population density (PD), GDP per capita (GDP_per), total precipitation (TP), temperature at 2 m high (T2M), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), boundary layer height (BLH), wind speed (WS) and wind direction (WD). Using the multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model to analyze the contribution of different influencing factors to PM2.5 concentration change, we can confirm the causes of air pollution in different regions. Identifying these influences can help find appropriate solutions.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Global Datasets

During this study, we used a variety of global datasets from 2000 to 2019 to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and the impact factors of PM2.5. The impact factors were natural and socioeconomic. Datasets used included PM2.5 from the Atmospheric Composition Analysis Group of Washington University in St. Louis; NDVI product from Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on Aqua and Terra; surface pressure, total precipitation, 2 m temperature, boundary layer height and wind products from the fifth generation ECMWF reanalysis for the global climate and weather (ERA5); population density, urban ratio and GDP per capita statistical data from World Bank.

2.1.1. Global Estimates PM2.5 Dataset

The global PM2.5 data generated by Van Donkelaar’s team were acquired from the Atmospheric Composition Analysis Group of Washington University in St. Louis (https://sites.wustl.edu/acag/datasets/surface-pm2-5/. Accessed on 16 January 2023). The dataset was computed using the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model and subsequently calibrated to global ground-based observations using geographically weighted regression (GWR) by combining Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) retrievals from MODIS, MISR, and SeaWiFS instruments. The dataset, which has a span of 24 years (1998–2021), can provide a 0.01 × 0.01° and 0.1 × 0.1° spatial resolution on both the annual and monthly scale. Global PM2.5 product accuracy has also been verified using ground-based monitoring stations; the coefficient of determination performs well (R2 > 0.8), and the RMSE is also below 8.4 μg/m3 [23,24]. In this study, we used annual PM2.5 products with a 0.1 × 0.1° spatial resolution from 2000 to 2019.

2.1.2. MODIS Vegetation Indices

MODIS on Terra and Aqua can capture information on vegetation, and the resulting global vegetation index product is provided by the 16-Day MODIS-Terra vegetation index from C6 (MOD13A2). The algorithm for this product chooses the best available pixel value from all the acquisitions from the 16 days. MOD13A2 has a spatial resolution of 0.01 × 0.01° and a time horizon of 2000 to the present. MOD13A2 includes two primary vegetation index layers, NDVI and EVI. In this study, we calculated the global annual NDVI using the Google Earth Engine (GEE) (https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/. Accessed on 16 January 2023). Specifically, the data for 2000 is an incomplete dataset for the year; this dataset starts in February, thus, the global average NDVI in 2000 was calculated from February to December.

2.1.3. Meteorological Datasets

Changes in PM2.5 are sensitive to meteorological conditions, and meteorological data play a significant role in changes in PM2.5 concentrations [25]. The datasets of monthly averaged data on single levels from 1959 to the present produced by ERA5 were used in this study (https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/. Accessed on 16 January 2023). Reanalysis combines model data with observations from across the world using the related laws of physics to complete a globally consistent dataset. These reanalysis datasets provide more than 260 meteorological variables, where the atmospheric variable spatial resolution is 0.25 × 0.25°, and ocean wave variable spatial resolution is 0.5 × 0.5°. Finally, total precipitation, 10 m u-component of wind, 10 m v-component of wind, boundary layer height and temperature at a height of 2 m were chosen for inclusion in the research.

2.1.4. Nighttime Light Dataset

Nighttime light (NTL) satellite data can visualize the intensity of human activities at night. Because of its strong correlation with urban structure and socioeconomic characteristics, an increasing number of researchers are using NTL remote sensing data to study the economic development of cities [26,27]. The NTL dataset is commonly used by the Defence Meteorological Satellite Program Operational Linescan System (DMSP-OLS) and Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership-Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (NPP-VIIRS). The two NTL datasets differ in time span and quality assessment criteria, making it difficult to obtain perfect data for long time-series analysis. There are also some studies that extend NTL data for long time-series by integrating two datasets [28]. In this study, we use the 2000–2020 annual average NTL dataset (https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/YGIVCD. Accessed on 16 January 2023) integrated by the autoencoder (AE) model using convolutional neural networks. The dataset has a spatial resolution of 0.01 × 0.01° and shows good agreement at both the pixel scale and city scale, with remote production validation with R2 values of 0.87 and 0.95, respectively [29].

2.1.5. Global Statistical Data

Population density, urban ratio and GDP per capita data can reflect socioeconomic attributes and regional development levels. The World Bank provides a crucial tool to support key management decisions and key statistical information regarding the Bank’s operational activities in the context of the increasing demand for high-quality statistics. The World Bank database contains a large number of indicators covering statistics on various aspects of urban development, education, environment, economy, etc. Most of the data are sourced from its member countries, and therefore, the quality of the data is determined by the individual country systems. The population density, urban ratio and GDP per capita data used in this study are obtained from the World Bank database (https://data.worldbank.org.cn/. Accessed on 16 January 2023).

2.2. Methods

2.2.1. Theil–Sen Median Trend Analysis and the Mann–Kendall Test

Theil–Sen median trend analysis is a robust trend calculation method which uses nonparametric statistics. The method is a linear regression through the median of the slopes of all lines at paired points. It is computationally efficient and insensitive to measurement errors and outlier data. In addition, it is often used for trend analysis of long time-series data [30], so it can objectively reflect spatiotemporal changes in PM2.5 concentrations.
Kx = M e d i a n ( x j x i j i ) ( 2000 i < j 2019 )
where K x represents the slope of the fitted equation and x j and x i represent the value of the PM2.5 concentrations in years j and i , respectively. When K x > 0 , the PM2.5 concentration shows an increasing trend. In contrast, when K x < 0 , it shows a decreasing trend.
The Mann–Kendall (MK) test is a nonparametric statistical test used to determine the significance of trends in time series data [31,32]. The statistic Z of the trend test is calculated as follows:
Z = { S 1 V a r ( S ) ,   S   >   0 0 ,   S = 0 S + 1 V a r ( S ) ,   S   <   0
S and V a r ( S ) in equal 2 were calculated as follows:
S = j = 1 n 1 i = j + 1 n sgn ( x j x i )
sgn ( x j x i ) = {   1 , x j x i > 0   0 , x j x i = 0 1 , x j x i < 0
V a r ( S ) = n ( n - 1 ) ( 2 n + 5 ) 18
where S is a statistical variable, s g n ( x j x i ) is the sign function, and V a r ( S ) is the variance of S . Statistical Z is a bilateral trend test that can be combined with the normal distribution table to determine the significance level. In the study, statistic Z and the significance level correspond to Table 1.

2.2.2. Multi-Scale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR)

According to the first law of geography, everything is spatially correlated with each other; specifically, the closer things are to each other, the greater the spatial correlation. Therefore, when regression analysis is performed on spatial data, its spatial location relationship should be considered. In order to explore the spatial nonstationarity of spatial data, the GWR model was proposed [33]. Distinct from global regression, the results calculated by the GWR model can be used to analyze the different relationships between the dependent and explanatory variables of the study object at different spatial scopes. Its essence is to obtain spatially continuous varying regression coefficients by weighting distances. The classical GWR considers spatial heterogeneity, but it uses a constant bandwidth in whole study area which can cause poor fitting results for some variables in local range.
The MGWR relaxes the assumption that all processes to be modeled are on the same spatial scale and overcomes the limitations of GWR very well. It captures the most appropriate bandwidth for each variable, so that the results of the regression obtained are more reliable [34]. The MGWR can be described as follows:
Y i = β b w 0 ( μ i , v i ) + k = 1 n β b w k ( μ i , v i ) X i k + ε i , i = 1 , 2 , 3 , , n
where Y i is a dependent variable representing the PM2.5 concentration value at the spatial location ( u i , v i ) , b w in β b w 0 ( u i , v i ) and β b w k ( u i , v i ) indicates the bandwidth for each variable, β b w 0 ( u i , v i ) represents the intercept distance of the regression model, β b w k ( u i , v i ) and X i k represent the coefficient and value of the explanatory variable k , respectively, and ε i is the random error.
The core of the MGWR model is the spatial weight function, and the selection of this function is crucial to the correct estimation of the regression parameters. In this paper, a Gaussian function is used as the weight function, which can be described as follows:
w i j = exp [ ( d i j b ) 2 ]
where d i j represents the distance between i and j , and b represents the bandwidth used to describe the relationship between distance and weight. According to the MGWR model, the relationship between PM2.5 and explanatory variables can be established to better explain the spatial distribution characteristics of PM2.5.

3. Results

3.1. Global Spatiotemporal Patterns of PM2.5 in 2000–2019

The global spatiotemporal trends in PM2.5 concentration over the past twenty years were calculated, and the significance was tested (Figure 1). In most parts of the world, PM2.5 concentration showed a decreasing trend. The United States, eastern Canada, Japan, western Russia, northeast Argentina, the Tibetan Plateau region of China and a great number of countries in Europe show an extremely significant decreasing trend (p < 0.01), of which most are developed countries. Regions of western and eastern Africa (e.g., Namibia, Zambia, Nigeria, etc.), Turkmenistan, China’s coastal region and the Korean Peninsula are either generally significant or slightly significant (p < 0.05 and p < 0.1). In contrast, some countries or regions show increasing PM2.5 concentrations. Most regions of the Middle East area and India showed extremely significant increases (p < 0.01). Countries or regions such as central Canada, eastern Russia, Australia, Chile, and southern Argentina show different degrees of increase in the concentration of PM2.5 (p < 0.05 and p < 0.1). It could be seen that the PM2.5 concentration in developed countries has been declining more significantly than in other regions over the past two decades.
During the twenty years, overall global PM2.5 concentration showed a nonmonotonic trend (Figure 2). It showed an increased from 2000 to 2003 then highly fluctuated over the next 12 years; during this time, the global economy was in a rapid development phase. However, in the past five years, it has begun to show a remarkable decreasing trend; this decreasing trend may be because the world has come to realize that environmental pollution should also be taken seriously as the economy develops. The decrease in PM2.5 concentration is significantly influenced by stringent policies adopted [35,36,37]. The fitting line of the time series shows that the trend line has decreased slowly, with a drop rate of −0.055 μg/m3/yr over the past 20 years. The highest annual average PM2.5 concentration appeared in 2008, with concentrations above 20.2 μg/m3. The WHO issued air quality guidelines in 2021, which set the annual average PM2.5 concentration at 5 μg/m3, and noted that when the concentration is more than 35 μg/m3, human health will be seriously threatened. At present, it seems that PM2.5 concentrations are moving closer to the WHO standard, but there is still a long way to go.

3.2. Spatial-Temporal Patterns of Natural Driving Factors

NDVI is often used to reflect the state of terrestrial vegetation. There are a large number of studies showing that green spaces such as urban forests and parks effectively remove particle pollutants [38,39]. From 2000 to 2019 (Figure 3), the overall global NDVI showed an increasing trend. Before 2008, there was a slow decline, with an annual average decrease in NDVI of 0.01 over the 8 years, after which the trend of NDVI increased. The folding line of the global annual average value of NDVI was similar to a U-type; NDVI and PM2.5 showed opposite trends over the 20 years. Correspondingly, the highest value of PM2.5 and the lowest value of NDVI occurred in the same year. Regarding spatial distribution, most regions showed a trend towards becoming greener (Figure 4). The NDVI shows an extremely significant increase (p < 0.01) in central and eastern China, northwestern India, Turkey, Greece, southern Brazil, and southern Chile. The United States, Mexico and many countries in central Africa are also experiencing significant increases (p < 0.05). In contrast, many regions in the Middle East, South Africa, Nigeria, Canada and Australia observed various significant decreasing trends. It is worth noting that the relationship between NDVI and PM2.5 concentrations in some regions is opposite to that of the overall relationship. However, NDVI does not distinguish between agricultural land and other green spaces; at the same time, deforestation and agricultural expansion are occurring in many regions [40], such as India, where and the increasing trend is mainly contributed to by cropland [41]. For Canada, Guinea, Nigeria and Benin, although the NDVI showed a downwards trend, the PM2.5 concentrations in these regions also showed a downwards trend. This suggests that the variation in PM2.5 concentrations in each region may not be well explained from the perspective of trend changes in NDVI alone, and that such results may be dominated by changes in other factors.
Wet deposition is one of the most efficient ways to remove pollutants from the atmosphere [42], and precipitation is the most common type of wet deposition method. During this twenty-year period, more than half of the areas did not show a significant increase or decrease in precipitation. However, in other areas, there was a large spatially stratified heterogeneity in the trends of precipitation across the globe (Figure 5). Precipitation in the northern and eastern regions of the U.S. and Alaska showed increasing trends of varying significance, and the corresponding regional PM2.5 concentrations were on the decline, suggesting an important local correlation between precipitation and PM2.5 concentration. A similar situation occurred in Canada, Finland, Vietnam, and parts of western Africa. However, many areas, such as India, Saudi Arabia and Indonesia, showed a trend of increasing precipitation, but also an increasing trend in PM2.5 concentration; the increase in precipitation did not seem to have a visual impact on the decrease in PM2.5 concentration from Figure 1 and Figure 5. The main areas of reduced precipitation were Australia, eastern China, eastern Russia, northwestern Kazakhstan, central Africa, South Africa, and eastern and southern South America. The changes in PM2.5 concentration in these areas with reduced precipitation also show different trends. The time-series line chart shows a slowly fluctuating increase in global annual mean precipitation with a growth rate of 0.0025 mm/yr (Figure 6). There may be an important link between the increase in precipitation and global warming, but the increasing trend in precipitation may allow wet deposition to play a better role.
Global warming is becoming an increasingly prominent issue, and has significant implications for the Earth’s natural environment. The generation of the greenhouse effect has led to changes in the characteristics of meteorological factors, resulting in changes in natural conditions such as regional precipitation and temperature, and it also has had an impact on the growth of terrestrial vegetation [43,44]. Near-surface temperature is an important component of climate conditions, and there is an inextricable relationship between PM2.5 concentration and temperature [45]. From 2000 to 2019, almost all regions showed a significant increase in temperature on a global scale, and even if there are very few regions, such as parts of Canada, the United States and Pakistan, with a decreasing trend, the overall temperature increase cannot be reversed (Figure 7 and Figure 8). In the 20 years, the temperature rose 0.88 K. The effect of this on PM2.5 is complicated because an increase in temperature has different effects on the different components of the air [46]. Therefore there is variability in the relationship between the warming effect and the change in PM2.5 concentration in different regions.

3.3. Spatial-Temporal Patterns of Socioeconomic Driving Factors

Over the past two decades, the world economy has experienced a period of rapid development. Global GDP per capita showed a steady upwards trend, with a decline only in 2001, 2008 and 2015 (Figure 9). In 2001, over-saturated markets due to rapid technological development caused an economic crisis; in 2008, the United States triggered the subprime mortgage crisis, resulting in a hard hit to the world economy; in 2015, world industrial production experienced low growth, trade continued to slump, and financial market turmoil intensified. These three separate years of global events ultimately led to the economic downturn. Economic development and environmental protection are two inseparable topics. If the protection of the environment is neglected during economic development, the unrestricted emission of various pollution sources may lead to the increasing concentration of PM2.5, resulting in significant risks to human health.
NTL can be a good measure of the socioeconomic development of a region. Most developed countries, such as the United States, South Korea, and the European Union region, have shown an extremely significant increasing trend of NTL during the past 20 years, but the trend of PM2.5 concentration in these regions has not increased with the increase in human activity intensity. Instead, these areas show a decreasing trend, which is most likely because developed countries have invested more money in environmental management and protection and have achieved certain management results. In addition, different countries and regions have different development routes and priorities, resulting in economic development while failing to consider environmental pollution control. For this reason there is an increasing trend of PM2.5 concentration, mainly occurring in India, the Middle East, Chile, Colombia, and other developing regions. Moreover, in Canada, Japan and other regions, NTL shows a decreasing trend, and the PM2.5 concentration in these regions also shows the same trend; perhaps the reduction in the intensity of human activity has also effectively controlled the reduction in anthropogenic emissions (Figure 10).
Changes in NTL and GDP are closely related to population density and urban ratio. The urban ratio is defined as the ratio of the urban population in the region to the total population in the region. As the urban ratio continues to increase, there is a large influx of rural population into urban areas, which eventually leads to a trend of increasing urban population density and decreasing population density in the periphery. The change in population density has an important impact on the intensity of human activities in the region, and it will also have a prominent effect on the PM2.5 concentration. Through Figure 11 and Figure 12, the trends of population density and urban ratio show a high degree of consistency over the 20-year period on the global scale. Within the first decade, the increase in population density and urban ratio may have contributed significantly to the increase in PM2.5 concentration, whereas within the second decade, PM2.5 concentration did not change at the same time. The decline in PM2.5 concentration indicates that the effect of increasing population density and urban expansion on the change in PM2.5 concentration is gradually weakening.

4. Discussion

4.1. Comparison with Traditional Linear Models

In this study, a MGWR model was applied to better understand the influence of natural and socio-economic factors on the spatial and temporal distribution of PM2.5 at national scales worldwide. Apart from the MGWR model, we compared different traditional linear models, such as ordinary least squares (OLS) and classic GWR. Table 2 shows the results of the three models. The traditional linear regression model ignores the spatial heterogeneity and the accuracy of the calculation was the worst. Variance inflation factor (VIF) was also calculated and it was found that the VIF values of the selected factors were all less than three. It is considered that there was no covariance between each factor, therefore GWR and MGWR can be used for regression. The GWR model takes into account the spatial heterogeneity of the study area, and the accuracy of the regression was also improved, however, because GWR defaults to all explanatory variables having the same spatial scale in the calculation process, this leads to less credible regression results in local areas. So, our study finally adopted the MGWR model, which also significantly improved the accuracy of the regression results, in addition to the interpretability of the model.

4.2. PM2.5 Concentrations Driving Factor Analysis

Because of limited space, 2000, 2010 and 2019 are chosen here for in-depth discussion. Figure 13, Figure 14 and Figure 15 illustrate the regression coefficients of the factors we selected, and the figures are calculated based on the average of the selected factors across countries (Appendix A, Table A1, Table A2 and Table A3). As an important indicator of the degree of urbanization in a region, the urbanization rate can reflect the process and degree of population gathering in cities. Our results show that in 2000, the urbanization rate had a negative effect on PM2.5 concentration in most countries. In 2010, urbanization rates showed positive effects on PM2.5 concentrations in all regions except for some countries in South America and southern Africa, and in 2019, all countries maintained a negative effect on PM2.5. It can be assumed that with the increase in urbanization rate, the spatial layout within each country is more rational, which makes the production and living of people and the centralized management of the environment more efficient and orderly [47,48]. According to the urbanization rate statistics provided by the World Bank, countries in North and South America have relatively high urbanization rates globally, and they are already in a relatively mature state of urban development, maintaining a stable level of impact on PM2.5 compared to other factors. For countries in the Asian region, the negative effect of urbanization rate on PM2.5 concentrations mostly diminished over time, probably as a result of the increased influence of other factors on PM2.5 concentrations during the development process. In Europe, the opposite trend to Asia was shown, with urbanization rate playing an increasingly important role in the change of PM2.5 concentrations. Africa is relatively less developed than other regions and has relatively uneven development between countries, leading to greater heterogeneity. Population density, which reflects the density of the population living in a certain area, has a very important impact on PM2.5 concentration [49]. Generally speaking, the higher the population density, the higher the intensity of human activity. Similarly, dense urban and industrial areas are often accompanied by high population densities, which will also lead to increased emission of air pollutants. We calculated that population density had a negative effect on PM2.5 concentrations in most countries in 2000, except for central and southern Africa and the Middle East. However, in 2010, the negative effect of this factor on PM2.5 concentrations weakened, and reversed in 2019. The year-on-year increase in population density is illustrated in Figure 11, and the high population density further leads to more anthropogenic emissions, which can provide a significant influence on the increase in PM2.5 concentration [50]. In 2000, the effect of GDP per capita on PM2.5 concentration had significant geographical differences, with negative effects in all countries in the European and American region and positive effects in countries in the Asian and African regions. Such positive effects were more pronounced in developing countries, while some economically developed countries in the United States, Canada, and Europe showed negative effects. However, in 2010, the effect of GDP per capita on PM2.5 in all countries of the world showed a negative effect, with regression coefficients ranging from −0.025 to 0, which also indicates that its effect is relatively small. Years before 2010, as the global average annual PM2.5 concentration was at a high level, various problems caused by the increase in environmental pollution has made countries around the world also began to pay attention to the monitoring and management of PM2.5, and air pollution prevention and control bills introduced by various countries one after another may be an important reason for this shift [51,52]. In 2019, the negative impact on PM2.5 concentrations increased in most countries around the world as investment in environmental protection increased, but a positive impact has developed again in the Middle East and in eastern Africa, which may also contribute to the 20-year trend of increasing PM2.5 concentrations in these regions.
The influence of natural factors on PM2.5 concentration cannot be ignored. In general, moisture in the air is adsorbed and collected by suspended PM2.5, which eventually falls to the ground in the form of precipitation, while the occurrence of precipitation also leads to an increase in moisture in the air, which has a good effect on the removal of PM2.5 from the atmosphere [53]. In 2000, our results also show spatial distribution characteristics that are consistent with the above conditions. Precipitation has a negative effect on PM2.5 concentrations in regions with abundant mean annual precipitation, and this effect is particularly evident in regions with sufficient annual precipitation such as the Americas, Australia, southern Asia, and western Africa. In contrast, regions with low precipitation, such as southern and eastern Africa and northern Asia, show different results. Although seasonal precipitation is high in some of these regions, this study is based on annual averages at the national scale, weakening its spatial heterogeneity and certain characteristics. In addition, the intensity and frequency of precipitation can affect PM2.5 concentration variability [54]. In 2010 and 2019, the regression coefficients for precipitation were all between −0.05 and 0, indicating that the effect of precipitation on PM2.5 concentration appears to be weakened relative to other factors. The process of temperature influence on PM2.5 concentration is complex and a positive correlation between them is usually considered, which is consistent with our calculations at the global scale and shows a trend towards a stronger positive effect in many countries, which may have some connection with the global warming trend. However, some studies have also shown that higher temperatures enhance air convection, which in turn dilutes and diffuses PM2.5 and reduces local PM2.5 concentrations [55,56]. His diffusion effect may not be significant at larger spatial scales. During the past two decades, the positive effect of temperature on PM2.5 concentration has become increasingly significant due to the effects of global warming. Among the many factors, the regression coefficient of temperature is in the higher range, which means that the effect of temperature on PM2.5 concentration is crucial. Vegetation cover in all countries of the world showed different degrees of negative effects on PM2.5 concentration, which is consistent with the results of most studies, and it can be inferred that good vegetation cover can effectively reduce atmospheric PM2.5 concentration and is a very effective factor in suppressing PM2.5 concentration [57]. At these three time points, the variation in the regression coefficients of NDVI is relatively small worldwide, but shows a clear gradient, with the largest negative effects in Asia and Australia, followed by Africa, while in the Americas and Europe such negative effects are relatively weak. Boundary layer height determines the volume available for diffusion and transport of pollutants in the atmosphere [58]; when the BLH is large, the PM2.5 concentration mixed in it will be relatively low. The results of our study show that BLH has a negative effect on PM2.5 globally, and the spatial distribution is stable over the past 20 years, with the value of the regression coefficient remaining between −0.35 and −0.1. The degree of negative influence also increases gradually from west to east. Wind is an important condition in the process of diffusion and transport of pollutants in the atmosphere [59]. Wind speed and wind direction together affect the diffusion rate and direction of PM2.5 concentration. In 2000 and 2010, the positive effect of wind speed on PM2.5 concentrations was the largest in Africa and smallest in Asia, and by 2019, the effect of wind speed shifted to negative globally, probably due to the acceleration between ocean currents and sea breezes in the context of global warming, which further enhanced the diffusion of PM2.5 in the atmosphere and made PM2.5 concentration decrease.
Both socio-economic factors and natural factors lead to change in global PM2.5 concentration, and due to inconsistent development stages and speed of countries around the world, there is a strong spatial heterogeneity. According to the calculation results for developed countries, Europe and the Americas have more advanced science and technology and more reasonable urban structural layout, so the regression coefficients of these factors are relatively balanced. Conversely, economically underdeveloped countries still have to continue their economic development at the cost of the environment in order to seek better development, and so PM2.5 is more significantly affected with a positive influence. Throughout all three years, the positive effect of temperature on PM2.5 concentration was the largest of all variables. Although temperature is one of the natural factors, combustion and emissions from human activities are decisive causes of the greenhouse effect. The negative effect of NDVI on PM2.5 concentration is the largest in all three years. NDVI is influenced not only by the natural growth of vegetation, but also by human activities. The increase in artificial green areas can effectively reduce PM2.5 concentration. This also proves that the optimization of urban structure layout, the development of high technology, and the increase in vegetation all have positive effects on the reduction in PM2.5 concentration. The decrease in global average annual PM2.5 concentration in the past decade with the joint efforts of countries around the world confirms that the formulation of reasonable air pollution prevention and control acts can effectively monitor and manage PM2.5.

5. Conclusions and Limitation

The Theil–Sen median trend and MGWR approach for analyzing the spatiotemporal distribution of PM2.5 concentrations and the contributions of driving factors have improved our understanding of PM2.5. Currently, PM2.5 concentrations show a decreasing trend in the more economically developed countries, while many relatively backwards developing countries show an increasing trend, especially in India and the Middle East. From the perspective of natural and socioeconomic factors, we can see that developed and developing countries show opposite results under the same driving factors and developed and developing countries are at distinct stages of urban development. Developed countries have largely completed the urbanization process, while developing countries are experiencing rapid urbanization. This has a lot to do with the higher economic, technological and management levels of developed countries, which have experienced the lesson of “pollute first, treat later” and have invested more in environmental protection, and transferred many heavy polluting enterprises to developing countries, resulting in two opposite trends. The trends of global average NDVI and global PM2.5 concentrations show “U-type” and inverse “U-type” distributions, respectively, suggesting that the increase in green areas has the power to explain reduced PM2.5 concentrations. In conclusion, the increase in population density, socioeconomic development and urban expansion in the context of global warming and increasing climate extremes tend to lead to an increase in PM2.5 concentration. However, through effective management and by setting a reasonable development path, for example, in the process of urban planning, reasonably arranging the spatial layout of different functional industries to facilitate centralized management of industries that emit air pollutants, and then increasing investment in high-tech development to accelerate the goal of conversion to clean energy, the goal of synergistic development of economic development and environmental protection can be achieved in the end.
In this study, a limited number of drivers were selected to analyze their relationship with PM2.5 concentration. Emission sources that can have a direct impact on PM2.5 concentrations were not considered, making the discussion of the detailed causes of PM2.5 concentration changes somewhat limited. In addition, although the MGWR model is better than the OLS model and the GWR model in terms of fitting accuracy, there are still some limitations. The MGWR model is also a type of linear model, and a nonlinear expression may yield better results under complex spatial distributions. Moreover, the explanation of a single factor is not completely reliable; the process of PM2.5 concentration change should be a very complex process, and the interaction between these influencing factors is not clear. In future studies, we may consider more comprehensive influencing factors and try more models to explain the relationship between influencing factors and PM2.5 concentrations, and undertake further exploration of the interaction between factors.

Author Contributions

J.S. proposed the methods. X.X. implemented the experiments and drafted the manuscript. K.S. reviewed and edited the manuscript. Z.H. completed the acquisition of data and validation. J.S. provided overall guidance to the project and obtained funding to support this research. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

The research was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing (No. CSTB2022NSCQ-MSX0336), Chongqing Youth Innovative Talent Training Program (No. CY220234), and High Quality Development Project of Postgraduate Education of Southwest University (No. SWUYJS222005).

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

Data is contained within the article and Appendix A.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Appendix A

Table A1. Year-wise mean value of all the parameters in 2000.
Table A1. Year-wise mean value of all the parameters in 2000.
CountyURPDGDP_perPM25TPT2MNDVIBLHWSWD
AFG22.078031.8291179.426633.84950.0006285.59280.1100602.11691.5467241.9826
ALB41.7410112.73821126.683321.78110.0029286.15600.4692393.18554.2350241.0956
DZA59.919013.03341765.027132.11600.0001296.31920.1169759.32762.7035145.9869
AGO50.087013.1511556.836220.29570.0029295.01950.5204629.80764.715085.6959
ARG89.142013.47287708.099115.15210.0026286.48680.3726662.60284.1936210.3534
ARM64.6660107.8187622.740923.84680.0020279.22420.3108411.07392.5497284.8812
AUS84.23502.493121,697.70854.60800.0018294.33530.3452760.62791.6857113.0352
AUT60.213097.015824,625.600715.42170.0035280.40460.5436434.31014.4736239.8334
AZE51.386097.4348655.119926.14630.0013286.80070.2662459.83272.7473307.7411
BGD23.5900980.7011418.068952.79680.0068297.97450.4662433.12464.288492.8961
BLR69.973049.19941276.288016.71320.0020281.00860.5070570.22193.3204232.1806
BEL97.1290338.548523,098.886513.36890.0029283.87090.6302606.38302.9343251.8785
BLZ45.398010.84223364.491718.31970.0038297.70800.6944530.60971.5121240.5799
BEN38.333060.8899512.673948.82580.0028300.54660.5026646.13436.809275.5987
BTN25.418014.8496718.196320.89420.0085279.41590.4793281.62251.958199.0074
BOL61.78707.7709997.581825.10720.0039292.76310.5652562.55742.5150158.8676
BIH42.384073.26521484.176127.53710.0026284.27310.5966473.52624.7509239.8284
BWA53.21902.89973522.310817.83800.0019294.15400.3554720.84293.447098.1352
BRA81.192020.91263749.910814.84980.0052297.56630.6446480.57161.4058146.6187
BRN71.164063.219418,012.50225.63150.0069299.84150.6924380.43600.850074.4657
BGR68.899073.85131621.243026.03350.0013284.98300.5071506.09104.1326246.6907
BFA17.844042.4267255.718740.73960.0016301.45290.3537682.25067.390675.8445
BDI8.2460248.3984136.464031.98330.0038293.59320.4995586.90696.190087.9110
KHM18.586068.8604300.613717.38570.0056300.11020.5829495.52828.773270.0928
CMR45.542032.8192681.102046.42910.0050297.16070.5602492.65536.117388.5900
CAN79.47803.422624,271.00213.65740.0016267.01080.2358401.59140.9749217.8069
CAF37.63905.8436251.832832.39600.0036298.47040.6555560.68275.854786.8668
TCD21.63706.6357166.175750.60630.0007299.40480.2114681.57187.386075.8585
CHL86.073020.63445100.254113.75800.0042281.95600.3043504.81706.2987227.9254
CHN35.8770133.9719959.372527.84670.0022279.47840.2905542.62561.5997213.1305
COL73.957035.71882520.481116.76920.0099296.46430.6055346.50860.5432181.0906
COM28.0800291.4336647.425810.65560.0024298.19790.6449585.07966.374591.0849
COG58.69509.15791032.137634.24810.0045297.24500.5938392.75986.070888.7862
COD35.122020.7785405.216235.19620.0045296.82530.6821433.85095.915488.6850
CRI59.052077.60223789.053914.98330.0089295.88130.6398415.79761.6097238.0919
CIV43.155051.74421007.467426.89670.0032299.07550.5293566.53606.201278.4459
HRV53.428079.91954887.713720.06980.0026285.79100.5890474.90564.7876239.8142
CUB75.3230103.59802747.100311.94910.0020298.29200.6334670.77900.4833175.6806
CYP68.6480102.087414,388.347720.66220.0013292.70310.3167553.27621.1752254.4217
CZE73.9880132.71736029.038219.36370.0022282.31300.5611547.91584.0450238.6683
DNK85.1000125.845330,743.54772.27900.0010253.7751−0.0335199.30580.8690172.3289
DJI76.532030.9567768.183635.72830.0007301.55470.1125802.41547.102864.7858
DMA65.265092.86674787.801412.57500.0020298.79540.7040787.43010.732740.9683
DOM61.7530175.35332869.178111.59980.0023296.87890.6506546.24631.601484.6368
ECU60.299051.05941445.279313.73620.0087292.78880.4890316.99370.4371249.6579
EGY42.797069.14621450.476240.92640.0000295.30190.1124611.82294.500287.9643
SLV58.9120284.16652001.540028.17960.0036297.78330.6780594.05801.4049226.3673
GNQ49.092021.61071725.557631.23690.0089296.67640.4818356.00406.144894.8720
ERI26.587022.6972308.134234.09390.0008299.97100.1626690.75078.148867.6865
EST69.368032.95554070.60909.07250.0021280.17130.4808561.59660.878688.1589
ETH14.740066.2248124.460819.02850.0026296.00290.3899768.65215.666483.9350
FJI47.908044.39032069.31756.34970.0071297.69150.7419487.45096.9668126.4357
FIN82.183016.994024,345.91485.77390.0020276.71620.4203537.44640.810696.9632
FRA75.8710111.242122,419.694812.55660.0029284.75560.6148547.06964.0811255.9357
GAB78.87904.76724135.992425.50430.0057297.20410.4620398.93636.086988.3177
GEO52.638071.3309749.908519.65210.0030280.23930.4869321.59602.7419268.9658
DEU74.9650235.596823,694.760514.40420.0025283.12060.6122578.53213.0288235.6645
GHA43.929084.7273258.471038.92280.0027300.24500.4944595.55826.396978.3945
GRC72.716083.830912,072.929418.94790.0015287.49090.4884471.70663.4461241.5302
GTM45.3320108.15381664.299029.26720.0049295.32440.6869458.74501.5379222.1088
GIN30.869033.5371363.482331.13680.0048298.83920.5809554.73736.717976.1871
GNB36.243042.7207308.910339.13270.0033300.80180.5674510.80336.660178.3687
GUY28.69403.7933954.400313.70760.0055297.94460.6759472.89670.4275149.9103
HTI35.6000307.1046805.025612.30570.0019298.00410.5760515.20112.113788.6423
HND45.458058.75871093.108125.12810.0040295.90770.6654511.77071.5186245.6845
HUN64.5750113.93634624.281722.08570.0014285.07360.4931538.70704.7223238.8301
ISL92.40102.805032,096.37234.50940.0034274.54330.1527508.52960.5950189.5988
IND27.6670355.3677443.314234.96950.0032296.51550.3923581.75201.8893162.2188
IDN42.0020116.7572780.190210.83150.0092297.97420.6675325.50521.331595.2109
IRN64.042040.29041670.009739.83370.0007291.22170.1177707.72814.2147290.1329
IRQ68.496053.72472058.264447.39300.0005295.98180.1214714.06091.9945204.3714
IRL59.155055.235526,334.56728.86930.0034282.83440.6870720.52821.8207318.4994
ISR91.2030290.619221,061.482323.16140.0008292.81590.2026507.22791.162367.9278
ITA67.2220193.608220,137.591218.08390.0029285.97550.5266414.22814.5311242.0215
JAM51.8140245.12453392.123916.26600.0028298.26750.7028528.46400.4771124.8375
JPN78.6490347.991839,169.359612.58620.0047284.62390.5852518.88592.7491230.1247
JOR78.270058.05181651.621826.76140.0002292.22100.1132660.00891.262466.0555
KAZ56.09805.51311229.001215.19200.0010280.14120.1870564.21421.0764250.5042
KEN19.892056.1629397.482716.36080.0013298.24870.3205939.04735.7940101.6190
KWT99.0000114.765618,440.378552.66990.0003299.06180.0839677.19143.463126.9840
KGZ35.298025.5391279.619623.15150.0027274.24990.1863292.74391.6498250.5258
LAO21.977023.0663325.186922.90040.0056295.73680.6422402.08395.134574.4398
LVA68.067038.06603361.640914.96010.0019280.69650.5192580.08850.8342179.7964
LBN86.0000375.63774491.641927.05000.0018290.46830.3016454.81560.5243268.4361
LSO19.548066.9567436.488123.67880.0034284.17970.3842529.95600.9590106.4457
LBR44.331029.5727306.833919.70210.0058297.77800.5444423.07245.609580.5398
LBY76.38703.04517142.771834.14560.0001294.73510.1071613.10453.7460107.4708
LTU66.986055.83183293.230015.83280.0020281.22860.5123590.37371.7673220.0129
LUX84.2160179.547348,659.598912.58440.0031282.49630.6448563.49203.4993247.1581
MKD58.548079.68341861.898130.24120.0014284.07130.4836494.20134.2231243.0377
MDG27.121027.1122293.60729.99700.0039295.62600.4926612.38314.441785.8211
MWI14.6100118.2515156.385816.38420.0040294.51500.4333576.27965.380886.4732
MYS61.977070.59584043.662910.67960.0080298.59660.7057329.26941.1416164.3602
MLI28.35608.9711270.543042.43200.0006301.50000.1922740.75806.207284.1524
MLT92.36801219.021910,432.328113.75000.0010292.35750.2484612.68753.1328228.2837
MRT38.09102.5519676.569052.19780.0002300.42920.1116674.19654.933286.6109
MUS42.6700584.66653929.075514.52860.0019296.71290.6466850.44764.599989.5251
MEX74.722050.87577157.814513.90140.0020293.86600.4250641.35581.1471247.7002
MDA44.5890101.8137440.672018.15920.0015284.04220.4543586.38824.4783245.3239
MNG57.13301.5432474.217114.72670.0007273.85020.1689588.89431.0681270.4900
MAR53.335064.51641334.943521.99040.0007291.21520.1744628.45301.6099227.1025
MOZ29.098022.5234319.359616.59140.0033296.39210.5950632.46534.591489.7289
MMR27.025071.4871146.604624.36840.0067296.08730.5785391.84364.176174.0680
NAM32.37302.17982185.604113.19420.0009294.02470.2344731.02923.332596.6204
NPL13.3970167.0115229.490432.77140.0058284.52820.4414326.20432.6105129.7383
NLD76.7950471.727326,214.498614.82990.0027283.93030.6037632.36572.1224245.3230
NZL86.021014.650813,641.10276.83490.0048283.41440.6530556.92785.1602283.4279
NIC55.185042.12491007.499816.06190.0039297.86820.5990649.78821.5067242.0101
NER16.18608.9457197.832760.75940.0002299.83330.1248692.13157.157881.7072
NGA34.8400134.2643567.930768.01440.0027299.87350.4332610.37936.883576.9425
PRK59.4120190.4250462.000023.14940.0029279.58350.4881438.47163.0490244.1590
NOR76.020012.295838,131.46066.66470.0038276.10950.3001455.31052.399169.1475
OMN71.56907.32798601.271963.83360.0000301.07080.0980611.30245.874939.3910
PAK32.9820184.6508576.195649.08360.0008293.11990.1628590.87922.2058267.5996
PAN62.198040.76324060.317813.63480.0089297.25690.5840394.52470.7364244.9138
PNG13.204012.9126602.18659.07960.0106296.58390.6776327.04535.1675112.5378
PRY55.331013.39841663.604917.95270.0040296.62310.6604635.50052.0899119.2261
PER73.042020.67181955.588024.17180.0059291.48390.5188357.61342.4140153.8799
PHL46.1350261.56811072.801818.49340.0086298.69370.6469412.01246.932775.0888
POL61.7160124.90984501.454122.67600.0020282.74540.5454562.34283.1817233.2714
PRT54.3990112.457911,526.372110.25740.0028288.03550.4980543.37093.9791269.3716
PRI94.3870429.606016,192.12707.60760.0023298.28240.6881670.50953.621972.3817
QAT96.311051.030729,976.167680.02470.0002300.36380.0733469.57884.959839.7064
ROU53.004097.70131659.907619.85150.0017283.47830.5147470.63924.5113243.7243
RUS73.35008.94901771.59418.78910.0015267.79900.3076416.19971.8080223.8098
RWA14.9260321.5925260.607734.72830.0039291.88900.5219571.92936.139689.7848
SAU79.84809.61259171.331556.24500.0001298.86000.0978757.07845.481557.9364
SEN40.320050.8894613.732449.80310.0014301.57260.3611579.26576.456581.4271
SCG55.656565.45901270.929222.73590.0016284.79350.5190522.18364.5595241.4637
SLE35.626063.5158138.698726.13470.0070298.65070.6086463.25046.170875.8043
SGP100.00006011.771623,852.327016.53330.0075299.73490.3583396.59660.0295310.9979
SVK56.2330112.03165426.624322.89830.0023282.28800.5555488.40594.5387238.1577
SVN50.754098.755010,201.303519.56360.0036283.25160.6602407.75904.6899240.2064
SLB15.813014.74331017.39976.67170.0099298.92510.7601427.67187.3600113.8153
SOM33.247014.1426138.000024.14720.0007299.48420.2422950.04175.274693.1439
ZAF56.891037.06873374.718415.84170.0020290.36200.3521634.45471.4766122.9264
KOR79.6210487.332712,256.993621.50600.0034285.08420.5530506.46783.5008235.0233
ESP76.262081.298314,749.687411.63690.0019287.05050.4220587.51064.1237261.1680
LKA18.3800299.4356869.696319.01570.0048299.27470.6486604.73941.5733117.1275
SDN32.495010.9920366.172734.78120.0011299.94080.2570705.52347.346575.2464
SUR66.44403.01892012.281712.62310.0052298.54690.7257517.62830.5135112.1216
SWE84.026021.621429,624.91276.20240.0026277.22680.4447532.59941.369989.5126
CHE73.3830181.769338,952.034214.28030.0047279.56720.4802348.68854.4889244.4236
SYR51.947089.29624910.777735.04390.0007291.81410.1419648.50381.2378276.7992
TJK26.501044.4150138.429120.64900.0018272.71450.1199333.88600.9743236.1803
TZA22.309037.8180410.952416.97080.0027295.64970.4592712.61976.089289.5988
THA31.3860123.22152007.735321.63370.0053298.97500.5636454.11865.997498.3362
BHS82.007029.774727,098.15638.94290.0019297.87900.4217753.14521.1274177.7540
GMB47.8680130.2083594.149447.39660.0020300.60970.4439492.65176.527580.7165
TLS24.263059.4732415.085911.13250.0052297.63000.6283418.86680.589365.4982
TGO32.907090.5388302.958645.53050.0033299.92100.5112575.60996.527776.7960
TTO23.0120247.00966435.134216.15130.0037298.99560.7225656.38160.900695.0152
TUN63.432062.48942211.835026.72920.0004293.30650.1652567.71962.4768214.9042
TUR64.741082.16964337.478027.54120.0018284.20630.3164508.65912.6696262.8761
TKM45.91309.6102643.175438.36800.0004289.84420.1026592.85581.6951261.2224
UGA14.7860118.3632261.869126.21750.0037296.11320.5103571.33545.8946100.5396
UKR67.145084.8822658.348618.69470.0018282.47620.4637554.50694.1270244.4423
ARE80.236044.129433,291.366363.97810.0000300.91810.0994538.21365.143533.8981
GBR78.6510243.427928,223.067610.57690.0034282.53270.6028660.22482.0750228.4969
USA79.057030.797336,329.95618.12340.0021280.62540.3747549.69921.0730182.9310
URY92.028018.96776875.025510.80900.0041290.48750.6370577.59360.6709158.1804
UZB46.126057.9464558.226832.60270.0005286.64720.1388587.78540.9237239.2938
VUT21.673015.17341470.63597.82140.0083298.24660.7490565.95936.9639109.6799
VEN87.559027.42754842.036616.69860.0059297.98430.6371492.00270.6772209.1847
VNM24.3740256.8971390.093321.71310.0057296.55750.5708424.67615.597288.0971
YEM26.267032.9736554.448749.74220.0004298.85080.1278744.98977.684061.2422
ZMB34.802014.0114345.689619.45400.0033294.82420.5256722.45904.986087.8069
ZWE33.758030.7134563.057515.40380.0030293.85990.4818663.29043.949592.1134
Table A2. Year-wise mean value of all the parameters in 2010.
Table A2. Year-wise mean value of all the parameters in 2010.
CountyURPDGDP_perPM25TPT2MNDVIBLHWSWD
AFG23.737044.7041543.306540.72040.0009286.42500.1258582.99461.5712238.5367
ALB59.783018.73453497.974520.57000.0056286.27110.4979411.75564.2603261.3849
DZA52.1630106.31464094.348437.77960.0002297.89950.1255782.00352.4855135.5287
AGO84.0870120.388633,893.277327.38420.0033295.51250.5584606.28224.828986.5153
ARG90.849014.904310,385.964416.59010.0019287.14810.3549704.56264.1713196.0700
ARM63.4400101.06483218.378329.56120.0026281.42230.3561382.71143.7551279.0243
AUS85.18202.867952,087.97235.45360.0017294.78440.3313773.02991.6386101.3626
AUT57.3990101.287446,903.761615.51270.0036279.25030.4544423.95523.7114270.2746
AZE53.4060109.54235843.533829.35890.0013288.25180.2954409.49353.4296293.1673
BGD10.6420337.8351234.235565.41000.0063298.99400.4803452.30873.592785.0009
BLR97.6510359.827844,184.946418.91330.0022280.07300.4540504.53112.7671265.3468
BEL43.093081.58261036.534515.90620.0025282.21970.5250550.77872.0266278.5898
BLZ24.633057.0366647.836116.46860.0039298.70810.7285567.62041.6053230.9991
BEN30.46201133.7131781.153636.81360.0030301.27970.5018622.55557.470272.5202
BTN72.302068.12456853.002921.12190.0099280.58680.5184270.87771.659589.9351
BOL82.427035.458128,443.888534.81140.0035293.78330.5590606.63753.1015162.1895
BIH45.558072.37264635.510230.35480.0043283.33930.5302428.58564.4372266.4097
BWA74.672046.74146033.686223.46560.0015295.24200.3574725.74475.118399.7233
BRA45.228014.13704304.111119.15220.0046298.42310.6565527.36571.5089132.6561
BRN66.43009.27591955.46028.51110.0086300.13880.7268350.64260.565487.0220
BGR84.335023.415911,286.071523.99840.0024284.77680.5340443.51874.8532260.0481
BFA74.961073.744635,270.642137.86380.0019302.33700.3541665.59007.726673.5709
BDI34.793017.98422258.186436.24260.0048294.16090.5589529.28026.557694.0927
KHM62.41203.50636434.812519.48080.0047301.09830.5857528.41656.171569.9110
CMR38.90407.0416488.421739.38170.0045298.27970.5566514.88016.462084.5962
CAN80.93703.792847,562.08344.04080.0016269.51860.2325418.88881.0153226.3978
CAF73.6070198.018877,117.126030.24620.0037299.27860.6538569.47396.252884.2769
TCD87.074022.947912,724.104147.52920.0009301.27400.2104711.41917.359374.7617
CHL49.2260141.93614550.453117.11310.0044282.14710.3218530.32336.4737222.0735
CHN47.330064.56901701.475733.53160.0022279.83980.2917562.58961.5989224.9424
COL51.559043.03111352.302319.67490.0100297.44970.6436334.40570.9222123.3522
COM40.013028.4792334.021612.27780.0026298.75030.6891594.03416.994190.0638
COG63.256012.51463076.556438.52410.0039298.22700.6236411.55235.635888.5784
COD77.964040.75956336.709540.11520.0044297.65020.7110448.21855.898589.9481
CRI27.9730370.60511316.491217.59670.0130296.73440.6700357.97220.7398225.9937
CIV71.736089.64698227.127522.69210.0037299.97430.5623559.63546.927374.5711
HRV76.5970105.46635305.883620.55280.0039284.42500.5424440.86134.2722267.6474
CUB67.5510120.413131,023.63879.76000.0028298.10950.6683664.94470.5620194.1925
CYP73.2550135.608619,960.068522.81020.0010293.82940.3730511.11991.8997273.7738
CZE76.9660234.606941,572.456020.19780.0026280.38710.4437504.38813.2755275.2004
DNK76.999036.24651343.27511.81240.0009256.2492−0.0304209.70190.9164148.4681
DJI68.094094.50276967.365034.49460.0007301.56210.1089806.99277.530260.3222
DMA86.7950130.749158,041.398413.87500.0033299.81070.7526728.02411.372138.2577
DOM73.7530200.68555555.392012.50960.0035297.47710.6906484.99651.8477112.2349
ECU67.540015.10554480.786318.88080.0083294.18170.5549341.07030.5654263.1343
EGY62.690060.44094633.591348.18780.0000297.64980.1154601.60203.484979.6426
SLV43.019083.13952645.968827.80990.0060298.20160.6729531.19981.1308210.9113
GNQ35.175031.3905501.355334.21310.0072297.52920.4614374.25305.878989.9145
ERI78.442093.151930,532.480534.76740.0009300.52960.1592710.71758.264566.4203
EST68.094031.410114,663.044610.44350.0022278.08340.4123486.31560.862099.9942
ETH17.319077.6088341.554122.42630.0029296.69970.3831750.35125.818682.3852
FJI83.770017.648446,505.30326.35170.0055298.03520.7669543.77146.7525127.0238
FIN52.171047.06163652.53596.62360.0018274.20840.4011485.63300.786592.5167
FRA78.3690118.759340,677.985114.56770.0026283.52920.5657550.21203.0208266.7231
GAB85.53306.30328849.322628.62590.0050298.10250.4853418.52105.497384.8032
GEO81.3020259.440239,688.615023.04750.0037282.86170.4921322.55174.1843270.0103
DEU55.535066.24963233.295915.03210.0026281.21160.4723552.19912.5113287.3649
GHA50.7130108.90221299.345228.26100.0032301.02100.5140574.25017.028373.9627
GRC33.678041.4788672.424917.80120.0027288.31390.5350487.45923.8180257.7429
GTM55.6620177.1936860.636423.63320.0060296.23010.6984460.73171.6965211.6805
GIN40.111054.1466558.174729.99360.0047299.50000.5690554.37687.332873.9678
GNB65.940033.641417,288.841334.38310.0034301.26850.5760506.71907.252875.1912
GUY76.292086.278826,716.648819.20810.0063298.59270.6857436.32211.398683.1539
HTI48.4030133.06912852.547313.62830.0035298.51150.6289482.34322.5021108.7013
HND26.63403.80714580.698823.74940.0054296.60750.7097459.87821.3912242.3355
HUN51.885074.33611904.347219.81550.0029283.67190.4845461.27084.2378269.3359
ISL55.155076.758914,067.52315.11050.0029275.29110.1557474.02900.4757176.7534
IND47.5090361.00571191.972745.56610.0039297.22970.4219558.19781.6909171.6800
IDN68.9110110.460913,223.083013.83180.0104298.55680.7013303.72511.420196.7373
IRN49.9140133.49433122.362741.09690.0006292.38160.1351714.80234.3480308.9607
IRQ30.9300415.13701357.563756.56890.0004297.63700.1351697.23992.0903268.1486
IRL61.542066.194748,655.36629.29980.0025281.78960.6377605.31160.7395278.0849
ISR70.626045.28756599.660927.38700.0006294.84440.2070490.97590.8147126.4837
ITA69.103068.47944657.280316.58090.0037285.20700.5284421.81363.7691264.5229
JAM93.57403.172543,237.073016.82770.0042298.70940.7376518.16630.5266123.4435
JPN91.8260352.292130,780.023810.38960.0052285.15430.5632537.76582.9139242.7836
JOR68.3270201.527936,035.645033.63820.0002294.49030.1226655.68450.9674164.3673
KAZ53.7430259.50734704.047817.14640.0008280.37910.1589574.31421.0340234.9184
KEN86.088081.79253736.645518.76930.0020298.60750.3634887.29776.0978108.3308
KWT90.8120351.358044,968.156255.66350.0001300.52630.0848676.39212.780916.7101
KGZ56.82706.04589070.488323.17680.0029274.86170.1842273.08031.6108242.2357
LAO23.571073.84951080.296231.70770.0052296.67150.6831428.53464.381173.6964
LVA35.306028.4041880.037816.85540.0024278.74940.4569504.11071.3196292.6289
LBN20.294081.0798785.502729.48080.0013292.18640.3321454.86251.4076292.7077
LSO81.9360509.816023,087.225630.93820.0029285.44970.3767618.28692.3187101.5551
LBR100.0000167.894738,577.498320.81040.0069298.34730.5726405.14556.414576.4804
LBY30.064027.07611141.235744.91460.0000297.09990.1089639.51842.928099.6819
LTU87.3340484.17057761.641518.89830.0024279.35660.4402519.30052.1780299.6535
LUX47.813040.4003513.445614.50620.0026280.91090.5379537.46082.4119274.8031
MKD78.05203.522312,162.668728.57690.0027284.40140.5094489.83134.4800261.3908
MDG18.2260323.10222799.648714.23950.0037296.29550.4989612.59145.943787.6547
MWI24.798065.73041119.843623.17810.0035295.18410.4354583.21615.951186.2580
MYS66.757049.418111,987.508411.86840.0085299.09850.7260322.42701.0603164.5732
MLI88.5470208.6226110,885.991443.64810.0008302.94050.1930734.47756.488178.4974
MLT67.841033.701111,420.994014.70000.0010292.45080.2650644.29992.3978252.1285
MRT58.018072.47012839.926049.42710.0002301.79110.1163667.72095.560680.9139
MUS42.620099.74862437.537714.96430.0018297.62390.6674832.20226.381991.2177
MEX31.938036.3718471.959210.75050.0025293.51430.4538622.60821.0130242.3290
MDA77.815058.69139271.398417.14300.0021283.48610.4243511.06754.9533261.5537
MNG57.089081.48314577.688820.32860.0007273.32940.1509605.16581.1409292.6526
MAR35.999012.3336710.274323.84660.0013291.89750.2227635.25211.2974212.5027
MOZ94.07201295.337521,799.174321.17800.0024297.34600.5703681.69635.564890.3917
MMR28.885077.4589746.945432.38070.0063297.09500.5897425.09413.497470.7156
NAM67.56701.75082643.287117.83170.0011294.65260.2440706.37954.9635100.6480
NPL31.830029.9239471.904433.64340.0058285.56790.4564352.15092.0649125.1047
NLD46.58803.39011610.920615.40840.0024282.10980.5103561.52071.7501294.1775
NZL41.5550615.96068000.37647.61320.0050283.70620.6549537.22145.1672278.0932
NIC15.5440154.2173478.668717.81660.0056298.55020.6385554.37691.0923236.3933
NER70.912085.85619040.568561.99100.0003301.77170.1266706.76436.927478.2103
NGA41.61602.57375394.996754.47860.0030300.96230.4178611.87137.469574.0082
PRK16.221012.9976476.869522.14980.0039279.67180.4537457.99453.6046257.7851
NOR43.4800174.03212280.43736.26090.0030273.72070.2744397.28262.426939.2756
OMN56.917048.39671503.872254.14340.0001301.65860.1020634.27905.693435.3926
PAK87.1340492.599950,999.745150.65560.0013293.51660.1867552.69952.3629265.0578
PAN79.102013.386387,693.790114.96830.0112298.27210.6080377.94680.7914191.1319
PNG16.7680188.4423592.401214.37550.0110297.00780.7099320.38135.4797117.6067
PRY86.160016.523133,676.774117.62710.0034296.76990.6201662.01982.1740124.1355
PER75.16109.826921,369.353029.17730.0053292.27130.5492380.91772.8653173.1772
PHL34.9970232.7530987.409719.15010.0070299.40580.6799428.28995.606081.2701
POL65.140049.00048082.016225.35770.0026280.68700.4420514.83953.0274283.8089
PRT76.430022.67795082.35378.35920.0030288.24840.5331555.16622.6697268.5799
PRI45.3320315.14502217.47226.39750.0040299.01580.7279582.30373.293791.3208
QAT13.019016.14301949.351277.03090.0001301.28790.0789432.18304.587035.5800
ROU60.8920124.209212,613.011018.22380.0027282.96930.5020410.91854.9553263.3766
RUS93.8250419.563126,435.74888.91890.0015267.99390.2840439.26521.5646181.0101
RWA60.3770203.8771571.000037.35560.0047292.63060.5793527.06046.282594.5689
SAU59.261015.72624342.065862.90810.0001300.09930.0997788.94044.829259.2396
SEN98.5010159.890567,403.087742.25140.0015302.37780.3715584.65527.062077.3037
SCG53.829088.01078214.076923.02100.0031284.10930.5089461.04854.6190264.2004
SLE73.68708.722610,674.996125.46950.0068299.07670.6069454.30146.928373.9357
SGP16.9340406.9452609.754312.76670.0077300.34490.3782382.46920.0733266.9524
SVK82.084012.756019,262.547622.45610.0032281.06200.5077448.58823.8797272.7194
SVN59.566564.71156211.952618.56650.0041282.10860.5702409.47994.0335268.6721
SLB33.089013.92181683.21199.47980.0101299.49750.7754473.40597.5332116.0296
SOM43.773065.85021271.583320.52930.0006300.10170.2314962.18685.220195.2566
ZAF100.00007231.812047,236.960220.48260.0015291.35670.3396687.07302.544297.3376
KOR20.048018.85891604.148921.46090.0033285.16100.5397509.41744.2969251.6809
ESP38.856088.8838401.83499.94370.0023286.54930.4453592.29152.7447263.7488
LKA65.4520298.44972983.228825.31550.0060299.85060.6618586.31661.3345166.5525
SDN39.310019.1983340.000038.99880.0011301.34700.2519738.04337.327074.6513
SUR64.9520187.88751090.260816.95440.0063299.21930.7294472.53072.151282.3240
SWE66.34403.39188255.87495.77320.0021274.30620.3890469.87161.559171.7317
CHE54.6850112.108916,841.767714.99060.0045278.43980.3945363.36623.4651266.6112
SYR52.6580101.685823,532.480940.93090.0005293.62600.1708645.87882.0639292.5738
TJK85.056022.854552,869.044321.21280.0022273.56680.1295293.08720.9914233.3864
TZA55.6000116.33471182.607823.71080.0027296.20390.4929700.74876.670492.9072
THA21.98509.4918892.568927.13620.0046299.99860.5820490.14174.681699.8046
BHS37.5330118.0672534.04487.70600.0028297.77950.4434807.57371.2382185.8730
GMB43.8560131.52545076.339940.47730.0023301.32240.4435489.65567.140176.6141
TLS26.520053.7825749.552411.67180.0056298.33950.6927383.04940.800889.9006
TGO48.491010.82554439.202132.34450.0035300.64410.5188549.18177.181172.9087
TTO27.732073.5385806.414318.20770.0043300.05940.7054621.94122.270165.9014
TUN54.0250258.897516,683.393126.69580.0006293.78510.1735608.74191.5471233.4501
TUR66.657068.45554344.619430.07360.0022286.37700.3624541.66983.8240268.8586
TKM70.825093.976310,742.775035.60790.0004290.52730.1137568.99961.6084258.3359
TCA28.114050.0638743.40376.50000.0047296.40780.2566522.69926.0258105.3096
UGA19.3830161.7203822.539428.71820.0019282.69110.5464534.65314.3630258.9520
ARE68.596079.18033078.429960.74670.0001301.92370.1055529.05404.961929.6262
GBR94.414019.193711,992.023810.64680.0024281.35420.5298587.72551.1419220.0884
USA80.772033.815848,650.64316.51620.0021280.72820.3657546.26951.1354181.6406
URY50.956067.14251742.349310.15190.0035290.60310.6071551.76821.3857120.9040
UZB88.083032.243013,825.357132.78400.0006287.19620.1537568.67170.9337230.7533
VUT30.4170283.70261673.32938.66290.0057298.58640.7746605.41286.8839109.8597
VEN24.462019.37792839.406320.27240.0073299.15910.6504449.77461.429585.8965
VNM31.776043.85641334.784928.27110.0059297.39870.5967448.54034.515889.2613
YEM62.218042.22038148.961244.71590.0005299.24490.1327764.03287.667257.8002
ZMB39.355018.30261489.459126.04850.0033295.21240.5530695.48335.452687.0685
ZWE33.196032.8234948.331520.73200.0022295.02070.4670698.67815.355694.2311
Table A3. Year-wise mean value of all the parameters in 2019.
Table A3. Year-wise mean value of all the parameters in 2019.
CountryURPDGDP_perPM25T2MTPNDVIBLHWSWD
AFG25.754058.2694494.179338.0847285.99100.00120.1220576.72701.1174192.4120
ALB61.2290104.16765396.215918.4450287.05000.00370.5194420.10600.520086.7770
DZA73.189018.07633989.668330.8674296.99400.00020.1241804.54701.3350112.8540
AGO66.177025.52762177.799022.8370296.42100.00290.5436643.11900.9093149.4730
ARG91.991016.420810,076.355215.2006287.67100.00190.3775695.44801.7135183.4740
ARM63.2190103.88934604.646325.2962280.22400.00210.3240401.62700.3271152.5670
AUS86.12403.297754,875.28606.7456296.16200.00070.2789888.79001.7871140.7900
AUT58.5150107.609350,114.401110.2758281.24900.00350.5170441.27200.5876262.1070
AZE56.0310121.28014805.753724.6990287.57100.00120.2915445.81501.1048114.1380
BGD37.40501252.56342154.226866.1645298.74300.00570.5475429.56800.6691142.3130
BLR79.044046.40736837.717812.7372281.95000.00180.5131597.01600.9863236.0810
BEL98.0410379.424746,599.11139.6846284.17200.00250.6249595.03701.5952222.0780
BLZ45.866017.11324983.336116.5686299.56500.00280.7292630.89001.966182.6295
BEN47.8610104.65721219.515538.4915301.15500.00330.4941601.66000.8456188.9890
BTN41.612020.00773322.863322.2679280.08600.00850.5505268.13300.3853180.7190
BOL69.773010.62783552.068128.5346293.87800.00410.5769558.72000.7500223.5320
BIH48.626064.47266119.762424.1778284.58400.00350.5902433.31700.3310146.7670
BWA70.17204.06497247.429517.6292296.56700.00090.2981841.42501.902367.4814
BRA86.824025.25088876.059817.7093298.63200.00460.6579527.52801.140882.4332
BRN77.942082.219431,085.961911.1185300.55000.00640.7576366.51300.2535184.3600
BGR75.347064.25729879.268520.2587285.72900.00180.5366473.00700.4082163.8010
BFA29.980074.2741796.115233.3853302.19300.00170.3440651.95200.3447165.9440
BDI13.3660449.0100223.862933.3833294.21300.00540.5516491.91100.7624155.1150
KHM23.805093.39761643.121419.0451301.22100.00430.5770579.41800.6272203.3360
CMR56.968054.74051533.095739.5674298.19400.00530.5745496.31200.7571231.8490
CAN81.48204.193946,328.67183.7887267.73500.00170.2210415.10601.0458232.4510
CAF41.77007.6169468.117529.9804299.72500.00320.6687607.97400.5128190.3200
TCD23.279012.6643709.540045.7528300.74400.00090.2158694.02201.818899.1951
CHL87.643025.489214,699.462815.6574282.92000.00420.3270513.90301.6353261.0210
CHN60.3080149.367610,143.838225.5362280.28200.00200.3143548.32101.0782193.2240
COL81.104045.37136418.615820.0078297.57400.00850.6356355.12300.5836125.3620
COM29.1640457.22251404.433211.4444298.95900.00370.6562563.60501.2153152.7340
COG67.373015.75552369.729435.3891298.43500.00450.6474402.29900.9475238.3690
COD45.046038.2835596.560637.0104297.91600.00430.7050450.75900.5152189.8170
CRI80.076098.855512,762.138016.5802296.92900.00770.6854402.66801.648595.5486
CIV51.239080.86972276.332422.0734299.88700.00390.5649557.82301.1970205.1350
HRV57.242071.836915,311.766915.6601286.03700.00340.5945442.21400.5484139.2350
CUB77.1090109.18589125.878710.1175299.23300.00260.6975619.14902.172573.5690
CYP66.8050129.715829,206.076217.3184293.42200.00200.4344514.94801.1033280.8170
CZE73.9210138.236723,660.148812.3749282.92000.00210.5658558.97700.8069252.8090
DNK87.9940145.360659,775.73511.8211255.38900.0008−0.0289199.55404.5992196.7030
DJI77.915041.99993172.750736.1669302.13200.00050.1061833.71601.7137109.2990
DMA70.786095.74408516.280010.8750299.34000.00230.7133760.68507.099182.9319
DOM81.8280222.29268282.117112.3714297.82900.00230.6724540.18001.763999.3554
ECU63.986069.95356222.524716.5185294.32100.00970.5203327.18500.8564177.1230
EGY42.7300100.84693019.092345.6146296.35800.00000.1163647.59702.2996237.8120
SLV72.7460311.46484167.730928.4136299.29600.00390.6899609.68800.685699.3884
GNQ72.627048.34168380.741132.5806297.88000.00910.5520368.33001.1905245.0380
ERI88.785034.6249879.750035.2604300.49400.00110.1773683.80200.7730127.0570
EST69.051030.523523,397.87836.6522280.51200.00220.4676577.94601.4355232.5920
ETH21.225099.2462855.760921.4045297.00900.00310.3999738.14000.9869146.1410
FJI56.750048.71136175.89076.4917298.04600.00750.7729528.31902.4432117.4620
FIN85.446018.168048,628.64184.1757275.91500.00210.3976514.14600.5794248.4900
FRA80.7090122.816340,578.64438.6285285.26700.00270.6039574.82300.9587244.9160
GAB89.74108.43167766.996627.3496298.37400.00630.5362401.38201.0735237.0970
GEO59.039065.08564696.150620.5521281.87700.00300.4900329.14500.3831166.2410
DEU77.3760237.829846,794.89939.6144283.63200.00230.6098589.46001.2873238.8680
GHA56.7070133.68142246.625628.3200301.19600.00360.5091568.72701.2022203.5150
GRC79.388083.177519,133.757815.4170288.45200.00250.5523504.49600.6131177.9470
GTM51.4390154.94614638.634924.2976296.98000.00420.7107520.33800.834294.0165
GIN36.500051.97481052.588126.8087299.71100.00470.5822566.55800.6415228.1720
GNB43.777068.3114749.453730.4515301.19600.00310.5734518.27600.8025271.5200
GUY26.68903.97656609.511316.6437298.78800.00560.6699503.58201.771251.5988
HTI56.1920408.67491312.770613.0648298.95200.00260.6046486.03901.371871.3106
HND57.730087.10442574.356825.1231297.50600.00370.6992543.13801.202163.4658
HUN71.6440107.069316,735.659814.7373285.64900.00200.5244508.86100.3774281.7820
ISL93.85503.575968,941.46224.6877275.15100.00350.1591499.51601.330595.8075
IND34.4720459.57972072.244947.7395297.00400.00390.4375570.43300.6883227.2730
IDN55.9850144.14004135.233319.3366298.71200.00800.6920366.18700.4894157.6720
IRN75.391050.90613514.042239.2695291.61500.00110.1417706.71700.9124184.8040
IRQ70.678090.54885943.458541.0859296.44900.00090.1950653.76201.4538277.4360
IRL63.405071.626480,886.61578.3900283.18500.00330.7052683.91501.5995229.9180
ISR92.5010418.391943,951.247724.7428293.74200.00090.2257531.07901.2911294.0130
ITA70.7360200.614933,673.475512.8533286.40400.00330.5514422.32900.5586193.7010
JAM55.9850272.23245369.498416.7798299.63200.00310.7483556.20902.279086.7641
JPN91.6980347.415640,458.001910.0334285.44700.00460.5885536.03900.8988263.3480
JOR91.2030113.78354405.487129.7442293.10100.00030.1269691.46601.5888284.3500
KAZ57.54006.85779812.595815.8898280.87300.00080.1711578.52500.9060150.6460
KEN27.507092.37441909.304517.3898299.00800.00240.3672880.39302.5551128.7880
KWT100.0000236.087432,373.251149.3006299.86900.00040.0944705.13802.0729315.0530
KGZ36.591033.66111374.032120.9686275.07400.00240.1847318.93400.6110174.5800
LAO35.645031.06352613.944428.1527297.21500.00430.6666478.05000.5116155.9140
LVA68.222030.823417,926.841611.4510281.21900.00210.5086601.83901.3511229.9350
LBN88.7580670.15737527.443128.1058291.29300.00230.3510472.84101.2080228.9240
LSO28.585070.00221153.388125.2854286.54000.00210.3611713.29401.1283296.3580
LBR51.615051.2601672.340520.7036298.84700.00760.5940426.65001.1926228.4800
LBY80.39303.851810,218.043038.7454295.73500.00010.1101676.79301.6116113.0800
LTU67.855044.613419,575.768512.6261281.91400.00180.4940625.87601.1782227.3760
LUX91.2230255.1444113,218.71338.3344282.81500.00280.6410563.46201.1463227.9150
MKD58.208082.34316070.388124.0747285.16000.00190.4955531.30800.4045238.2810
MDG37.861046.3549526.224612.1826296.49800.00400.5163583.16101.2896127.2640
MWI17.1740197.5896591.847121.9481295.35500.00430.4373573.60701.7421124.7420
MYS76.607097.244811,432.826016.0935299.45600.00680.7413355.82800.2674119.3260
MLI43.136016.1106879.043237.2800301.90700.00070.1943737.51901.253959.9142
MLT94.67801575.193831,185.649612.5500292.66600.00150.2972636.08502.0472296.7260
MRT54.50704.39091743.301347.0931300.31400.00020.1110675.04302.448953.1952
MUS40.7660623.503011,097.169014.9857297.93900.00220.6978798.30204.4339107.4560
MEX80.444065.62709950.217611.4090294.40400.00200.4537641.21601.0560176.7620
MDA42.726092.78414492.105714.4353284.90300.00130.4343560.01000.3871302.3710
MNG68.54302.07114404.845816.9930274.83400.00070.1783592.72501.2935270.1860
MAR62.994081.72033235.000719.8356291.62000.00060.2021628.28601.1931248.2390
MOZ36.528038.6150506.817119.1836297.51600.00280.5734677.41501.4815129.0600
MMR30.852082.79141271.111531.3504297.00200.00560.6225428.09700.5503203.3390
NAM51.04203.02995028.295313.7310296.27900.00050.1939792.77001.2406135.3750
NPL20.1530199.57251194.957235.3453284.80900.00600.4904317.67000.2982199.8580
NLD91.8760515.143352,476.273310.3351284.29600.00240.6263614.10701.6971229.9490
NZL86.615018.910042,865.23368.2814284.07600.00490.6630564.63501.4978291.8250
NIC58.760054.39171924.471817.4163299.01000.00430.6269614.18302.335756.4603
NER16.517018.4027554.099452.5541301.02400.00030.1285716.18801.573973.4185
NGA51.1570220.65242229.858756.4806300.46000.00330.4262572.10600.8015194.9070
PRK62.1340213.156431,902.243519.0533281.08500.00230.5019484.30700.9032278.8070
NOR82.616014.647475,719.75295.2319275.75800.00370.2848428.84000.6042215.2790
OMN85.443016.074317,700.703557.6261301.58600.00010.1000662.11601.2113169.2910
PAK36.9070280.93261481.813948.5352292.93300.00140.2009571.45800.8369193.6570
PAN68.059057.247415,774.255014.8707298.41300.00730.6259389.24201.3280189.5370
PNG13.250019.37932820.306412.4012296.74200.01180.6730345.03700.5988187.4480
PRY61.879017.73135383.574417.8334297.70100.00350.6478645.64300.968079.5810
PER78.099025.39887023.077526.7666292.12900.00650.5226361.73100.6057164.2370
PHL47.1490362.60063485.340819.4999299.47000.00640.7016476.72100.6597106.2000
POL60.0370124.001315,732.203116.3124283.45900.00180.5542603.74601.1526242.8570
PRT65.7640112.288623,330.81736.9603288.31900.00210.5310552.35401.4215305.3360
PRI93.5760360.055732,850.54866.5975299.00800.00240.7144608.79302.905388.8691
QAT99.1880246.481462,087.974184.4423301.13100.00030.0796487.54701.9445349.3780
ROU54.084084.195312,899.346115.8196284.35100.00200.5149440.44200.5124169.2870
RUS74.58708.817711,536.25109.5408269.53300.00160.2893446.38801.0627212.2090
RWA17.3130511.8337820.177235.1657292.76500.00490.5440494.88300.5002147.2600
STP73.5980224.00831987.579715.5200299.13600.00400.5494482.44703.9310201.5850
SAU84.065015.941123,450.562061.9292299.78600.00020.1054804.99501.0991169.7930
SEN47.653084.64321435.830441.3382302.02400.00110.3343608.24801.3218323.5690
SLE42.4840108.2461521.754825.2171299.59700.00810.6111477.34801.1576227.5600
SGP100.00008044.526165,831.189418.9333300.61000.00640.4149441.58900.730577.1261
SVK53.7290113.439019,303.545715.3297282.98300.00240.5620496.29700.3968191.0500
SVN54.8220103.711925,942.954812.9523283.92300.00400.6477394.56500.3443196.2730
SLB24.210023.93072344.049010.1254299.57100.01170.7169475.27301.2920133.6140
SOM45.554024.6165419.394822.1128300.17800.00110.2472898.50602.0717170.4720
ZAF66.856048.27206624.761916.9129292.27300.00110.3138722.08700.9336202.9530
KOR81.4300530.812431,902.416920.0633286.08400.00310.5821488.93500.8403290.4310
ESP80.565094.344529,554.49058.5732287.50500.00180.4497623.36200.8944269.4560
LKA18.5850352.43443848.212422.6617300.06800.00460.6573607.79901.1082224.2200
SDN34.936023.1519755.329035.9188300.82100.00120.2713730.94701.6993112.8630
SUR66.09503.72676853.693415.5669299.41200.00520.7282561.01202.013953.1437
SWE87.708025.236051,939.42974.7841276.61100.00240.4247517.37400.7624262.2180
CHE73.8490217.007685,334.51959.4789280.14000.00460.4526353.33500.3907212.1300
SYR54.821092.95941116.000033.6416292.65300.00100.2275625.95401.6093264.8740
TJK27.309067.1592890.544420.0940273.98800.00190.1264366.97200.6048166.8300
TZA34.500065.48371085.884921.9575296.39700.00340.5043654.80301.4502115.6950
THA50.6920136.28297814.384425.3366300.16500.00390.5937536.75300.5997191.6000
BHS83.132038.909733,872.33438.0357298.98000.00310.4323711.38703.048997.5827
GMB61.9310231.9858772.505639.1057300.80000.00170.4342489.61301.3197312.5200
TLS30.947086.96171583.713611.8034298.09100.00360.6329470.70300.7706133.0200
TGO42.2480148.6001893.352533.1021300.73600.00390.5133539.29300.9114194.8140
TTO53.1870271.923817,123.116314.6974299.73500.00300.7140695.13904.493884.0839
TUN69.254075.27503571.945023.0214293.43400.00070.1920627.13901.0385176.1760
TUR75.6300108.40229121.515228.3322285.67300.00200.3548543.26500.5421159.6310
TKM52.048012.64467612.035229.2526290.40900.00060.1424575.19301.438964.5967
UGA24.3610220.7739798.585726.8675296.75000.00480.5295549.30800.6165137.2290
UKR69.473076.60723661.456315.8626283.73900.00150.4390569.64100.5252198.9210
ARE86.7890137.574342,701.443160.7550301.69900.00010.1018575.19301.1469216.7460
GBR83.6520276.263143,070.49849.3161282.80300.00320.6187618.22501.5383231.0650
USA82.459035.893265,094.79945.5864281.27200.00250.3772543.04900.9203200.5650
URY95.426019.779117,688.01509.6553290.93500.00440.6432511.67100.944797.6735
UZB50.433076.22281784.009829.1380287.45200.00070.1688594.16201.128364.2448
VUT25.394024.60073122.98267.8357298.31500.00570.7847685.00104.1995119.4330
VEN88.240032.32904400.000018.3805298.99100.00550.6473523.05901.428787.0029
VNM36.6280311.09783425.089324.7097297.81500.00500.6229473.69800.5059157.3470
YEM37.273055.2341750.554652.8095299.50800.00040.1360772.26101.3657128.3160
ZMB44.072024.02651305.001022.5334295.72100.00280.5334718.88301.7153102.2290
ZWE32.210037.85831316.740716.2415295.66300.00170.4246784.64302.061694.4050

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Figure 1. Spatiotemporal trends of PM2.5 concentrations worldwide (2000–2019).
Figure 1. Spatiotemporal trends of PM2.5 concentrations worldwide (2000–2019).
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Figure 2. Time series of annual mean PM2.5 concentrations from 2000 to 2019.
Figure 2. Time series of annual mean PM2.5 concentrations from 2000 to 2019.
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Figure 3. Time series of the annual mean NDVI from 2000 to 2019.
Figure 3. Time series of the annual mean NDVI from 2000 to 2019.
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Figure 4. Spatiotemporal trends of NDVI worldwide (2000–2019).
Figure 4. Spatiotemporal trends of NDVI worldwide (2000–2019).
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Figure 5. Global spatiotemporal trends of precipitation (2000–2019).
Figure 5. Global spatiotemporal trends of precipitation (2000–2019).
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Figure 6. Time series of annual mean precipitation from 2000 to 2019.
Figure 6. Time series of annual mean precipitation from 2000 to 2019.
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Figure 7. Spatiotemporal trends of temperature at 2 m high worldwide (2000–2019).
Figure 7. Spatiotemporal trends of temperature at 2 m high worldwide (2000–2019).
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Figure 8. Time series of the annual mean temperature at 2 m high from 2000 to 2019.
Figure 8. Time series of the annual mean temperature at 2 m high from 2000 to 2019.
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Figure 9. Time series of GDP per capita from 2000 to 2019.
Figure 9. Time series of GDP per capita from 2000 to 2019.
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Figure 10. Spatiotemporal trends of NTL throughout the world (2000–2019).
Figure 10. Spatiotemporal trends of NTL throughout the world (2000–2019).
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Figure 11. Time series of global mean population per 100 km2 from 2000 to 2019.
Figure 11. Time series of global mean population per 100 km2 from 2000 to 2019.
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Figure 12. Time series of the global mean urban ratio from 2000 to 2019.
Figure 12. Time series of the global mean urban ratio from 2000 to 2019.
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Figure 13. Spatial distribution of coefficients for factors in 2000.
Figure 13. Spatial distribution of coefficients for factors in 2000.
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Figure 14. Spatial distribution of coefficients for factors in 2010.
Figure 14. Spatial distribution of coefficients for factors in 2010.
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Figure 15. Spatial distribution of coefficients for factors in 2019.
Figure 15. Spatial distribution of coefficients for factors in 2019.
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Table 1. Relationship between statistic Z and significance level.
Table 1. Relationship between statistic Z and significance level.
Z Valuep ValueSignificance Level
2.58 < |Z|p < 0.01extremely significant
1.96 < |Z| 2.58p < 0.05generally significant
1.65 < |Z| 1.96p < 0.1slightly significant
|Z| 1.65p > 0.1insignificant
Table 2. Comparison of multiple models.
Table 2. Comparison of multiple models.
ModelsR2Adjusted R2AICAICcRSS
OLS0.6480.628314.139317.87657.715
GWR0.7860.729283.407303.76035.054
MGWR0.8530.805238.586267.37124.707
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Xu, X.; Shi, K.; Huang, Z.; Shen, J. What Factors Dominate the Change of PM2.5 in the World from 2000 to 2019? A Study from Multi-Source Data. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2023, 20, 2282. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20032282

AMA Style

Xu X, Shi K, Huang Z, Shen J. What Factors Dominate the Change of PM2.5 in the World from 2000 to 2019? A Study from Multi-Source Data. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2023; 20(3):2282. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20032282

Chicago/Turabian Style

Xu, Xiankang, Kaifang Shi, Zhongyu Huang, and Jingwei Shen. 2023. "What Factors Dominate the Change of PM2.5 in the World from 2000 to 2019? A Study from Multi-Source Data" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 20, no. 3: 2282. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20032282

APA Style

Xu, X., Shi, K., Huang, Z., & Shen, J. (2023). What Factors Dominate the Change of PM2.5 in the World from 2000 to 2019? A Study from Multi-Source Data. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 20(3), 2282. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph20032282

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