When Does Earnings Management Matter? Evidence across the Corporate Life Cycle for Non-Financial Chinese Listed Companies
Abstract
:1. Introduction
Why China?
2. Literature Review and Hypothesis Development
3. Research Design
3.1. Sample Selection
3.2. Variables Measurement
3.2.1. Dependent Variable Measurement: Accrual-Base Earnings Management
- = Sum of accruals, it is measured by operating income of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’ minus operating cash flow of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
- = Beginning level of total assets of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
- = Change in sales revenues minus change in account receivables of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
- = It is the sum of fixed assets (plant, property, and equipment) of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
- = Denotes the residual term and captures the level of discretionary accruals. Therefore, this is the basic proxy for DAC.
- = The lag value on Return on Asset. ROA is calculated as the net income divided by the total assets of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’, and other variables are the same as explained in the previous model.
- = Ratio of total assets of the firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’ to total assets − book value of firm equity + firms market value. The rest of the variables are the same as explained in the first model.
3.2.2. Dependent Variable Measurement: Real Earnings Management
- = The cash-flow (firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’) from operations.
- Level of total assets firm ‘i’ at time t − 1.
- = Sales volume of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
- The sale volume of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’—sales volume of firm ‘i’ at time t − 1.
- The residual term, which captures abnormal cash flows level of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
- Sum of CGS (cost of goods sold) and change in level of inventory of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
- Residual term, which captures abnormal production cost of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
- The sum of sales, general and administration expenditures, and research and development expenditures of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
- Residual term, which captures abnormal discretionary expenses of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
3.2.3. Independent Variable: Corporate Life Cycle Stages
3.2.4. Measurement of Control Variables
3.3. Empirical Models
- = Absolute value of all three discretionary accrual measures, individually, it is used as a proxy of AEM.
- = Absolute value of real earnings management metrics namely: REM_CFO, REM_PROD, REM_DISEXP and REM_COM, respectively.
- = Vector of dummy variables which represents different corporate life-cycle stages, wherein represents the introduction, growth, maturity and decline stage of CLC respectively.
- = Self-financing ratio, calculated as the cash-flow from operations/net fixed assets.
- = Net profit margin, it is measured as net-income/total sales.
- = Represents the firm’s tangibility level, measured as net PPE ÷ book value of assets.
- = Represents the yearly stock return of firm ‘i’ at time ‘t’.
- = Denotes error term.
4. Empirical Results
4.1. Univariate Analysis
4.2. Multivariate Analysis
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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1 | |
2 | Sum of accruals is the combination of discretionary and non-discretionary accruals. DAC occur when the manager shows opportunistic behavior towards manipulation of earnings while, non-DAC arise due to the normal activities of firm managers. In other words, DAC are the activities which are undertaken by managers voluntarily in order to notice the earnings manipulation. In measurements, calculation of total accruals can be done either through direct method (net income − operating cash-flows) or indirect method (assess each component: like depreciation reversal and WCR). In this study we employ the direct approach to measure the DAC, because its superiority, results quality and ease of use, the direct approach is preferable over indirect approach (Hribar and Collins 2002). |
CLC Stages | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cash-Flow Activities | Introduction | Growth | Maturity | Decline | Shake-Out |
Operating | − | + | + | − | Any other combination other than prior combinations. |
Investing | − | − | − | + | |
Investing | − | − | − | + | |
Financing | + | + | − | − or + |
Variables | Mean | Std.Dev | Min. | Max. |
---|---|---|---|---|
|DAC| Hribar and Collins (2002) | 0.0778 | 0.2367 | 0.0000 | 12.8292 |
|DAC| Kothari et al. (2005) | 0.0776 | 0.2368 | 0.0000 | 12.8404 |
|DAC| Raman and Shahrur (2008) | 0.0755 | 0.2140 | 0.0000 | 12.8439 |
|REM_CFO| Roychowdhury (2006) | 0.0779 | 0.2330 | 0.0000 | 11.8620 |
|REM_PROD| Roychowdhury (2006) | 0.1322 | 0.6943 | 0.0000 | 51.0721 |
|REM_DISEXP| Roychowdhury (2006) | 0.1262 | 0.3287 | 0.0000 | 18.9045 |
|REM_COM| Roychowdhury (2006) | 0.3355 | 0.9755 | 0.0065 | 59.7092 |
Variables | Mean | Std.Dev | Min. | Max. |
---|---|---|---|---|
INTRO | 0.1434 | 0.3505 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
GROWTH | 0.3156 | 0.4648 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
MATURITY | 0.3103 | 0.4626 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
DECLINE | 0.0385 | 0.1924 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
SHAKEOUT | 0.1922 | 0.3940 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
SFR | 0.2942 | 18.5344 | −1047.6100 | 946.6590 |
NPM | 0.0771 | 1.6017 | −44.0997 | 109.7490 |
Tangibility | 0.1685 | 0.1699 | −0.6875 | 1.0000 |
YSTOCKRET | 0.1590 | 0.6285 | −0.7168 | 3.2581 |
No. | Variables | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | INTRO | 1.00 | ||||||||
2 | GROWTH | −0.28 | 1.00 | |||||||
3 | MATURITY | −0.27 | −0.46 | 1.00 | ||||||
4 | SHAKEOUT | −0.20 | −0.33 | −0.33 | 1.00 | |||||
5 | DECLINE | −0.08 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.10 | 1.00 | ||||
6 | SFR | −0.07 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.02 | −0.11 | 1.00 | |||
7 | NPM | −0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 | 0.01 | 1.00 | ||
8 | Tangibility | −0.12 | 0.04 | 0.15 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.02 | 1.00 | |
9 | YSTOCKRET | −0.03 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1.00 |
Variables | Hribar and Collins (2002) | Kothari et al. (2005) | Raman and Shahrur (2008) | Roychowdhury (2006) | Roychowdhury (2006) | Roychowdhury (2006) | Roychowdhury (2006) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|DAC| | |DAC| | |DAC| | |REM_CFO| | |REM_PROD| | |REM_DISEXP| | |REM_COM| | |
INTRO | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
GROW | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 |
MATU | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.49 | 1.50 | 1.49 | 1.50 |
DECLI | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 |
SFR | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 |
NPM | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Tangibility | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
YSTOCKRET | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.07 | 1.06 | 1.06 |
Variables | Hribar and Collins (2002) | Kothari et al. (2005) | Raman and Shahrur (2008) |
---|---|---|---|
|DAC| | |DAC| | |DAC| | |
INTRO | 0.0478 *** | 0.0479 *** | 0.0483 *** |
(8.78) | (8.80) | (8.67) | |
GROWTH | −0.0010 | −0.0011 | 0.0011 |
(−0.23) | (−0.25) | (0.23) | |
MATURITY | 0.0020 | 0.0020 | 0.0048 |
(0.44) | (0.43) | (1.02) | |
DECLINE | 0.0560 *** | 0.0563 *** | 0.0534 *** |
(6.02) | (6.05) | (5.61) | |
SFR | −0.0008 *** | −0.0008 *** | −0.0007 *** |
(−9.89) | (−9.92) | (−8.78) | |
NPM | 0.0042 *** | 0.0042 *** | 0.0050 *** |
(3.60) | (3.58) | (4.03) | |
Tangibility | −0.0981 *** | −0.0989 *** | −0.1060 *** |
(−5.55) | (−5.59) | (−5.80) | |
YSTOCKRET | 0.0225 *** | 0.0226 *** | 0.0222 *** |
(10.33) | (10.35) | (10.00) | |
Constant | 0.0794 *** | 0.0794 *** | 0.0794 *** |
(16.81) | (16.79) | (16.33) | |
R2 | 0.1048 | 0.105 | 0.0988 |
Prob > F | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
Hausman test P value | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
BP LM test P value | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 |
Observations | 24,118 | 24,118 | 23,415 |
Group id’s | 3139 | 3139 | 3137 |
Variables | Roychowdhury (2006) | Roychowdhury (2006) | Roychowdhury (2006) | Roychowdhury (2006) |
---|---|---|---|---|
|REM_CFO| | |REM_PROD| | |REM_DISEXP| | |REM_COM| | |
INTRO | 0.0615 *** | 0.0338 * | 0.000582 | 0.0925 *** |
(10.68) | (1.85) | (0.09) | (3.73) | |
GROWTH | −0.0093 * | 0.0242 | −0.0019 | 0.0111 |
(−1.84) | (1.52) | (−0.34) | (0.51) | |
MATURITY | −0.0063 | 0.0090 | −0.0030 | 0.0012 |
(−1.29) | (0.59) | (−0.54) | (0.06) | |
DECLINE | 0.0873 *** | 0.0743 ** | 0.0068 | 0.1700 *** |
(8.92) | (2.45) | (0.62) | (4.12) | |
SFR | −0.0006 *** | −0.0011 *** | −0.0000 | −0.0017 *** |
(−6.95) | (−4.48) | (−0.12) | (−4.97) | |
NPM | 0.0025 ** | 0.0020 | −0.0016 | 0.0027 |
(2.10) | (0.56) | (−1.23) | (0.55) | |
Tangibility | −0.0641 *** | −0.1730 *** | −0.0792 *** | −0.3140 *** |
(−3.43) | (−2.96) | (−3.77) | (−3.94) | |
YSTOCKRET | 0.0275 *** | 0.0572 *** | 0.0308 *** | 0.118 *** |
(11.90) | (7.92) | (11.83) | (12.03) | |
Constant | 0.0768 *** | 0.1330 *** | 0.1340 *** | 0.3410 *** |
(15.42) | (8.42) | (23.86) | (15.93) | |
R2 | 0.0841 | 0.0187 | 0.006 | 0.0269 |
Prob > F | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
Hausman p value | 0.0000 | 0.0001 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
BP-LM test p value | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 |
Observations | 24,325 | 22,722 | 24,325 | 22,722 |
Group id’s | 3140 | 3140 | 3140 | 3140 |
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Hussain, A.; Akbar, M.; Kaleem Khan, M.; Akbar, A.; Panait, M.; Catalin Voica, M. When Does Earnings Management Matter? Evidence across the Corporate Life Cycle for Non-Financial Chinese Listed Companies. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13, 313. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13120313
Hussain A, Akbar M, Kaleem Khan M, Akbar A, Panait M, Catalin Voica M. When Does Earnings Management Matter? Evidence across the Corporate Life Cycle for Non-Financial Chinese Listed Companies. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2020; 13(12):313. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13120313
Chicago/Turabian StyleHussain, Ammar, Minhas Akbar, Muhammad Kaleem Khan, Ahsan Akbar, Mirela Panait, and Marian Catalin Voica. 2020. "When Does Earnings Management Matter? Evidence across the Corporate Life Cycle for Non-Financial Chinese Listed Companies" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 13, no. 12: 313. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13120313
APA StyleHussain, A., Akbar, M., Kaleem Khan, M., Akbar, A., Panait, M., & Catalin Voica, M. (2020). When Does Earnings Management Matter? Evidence across the Corporate Life Cycle for Non-Financial Chinese Listed Companies. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(12), 313. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13120313