Household Portfolio Allocations: Evidence on Risk Preferences from the Household, Income, and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey Using Tobit Models
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Empirical Model and Testable Hypotheses
2.1. Empirical Model
2.2. Testable Hypotheses
3. Data and Variables
3.1. Data
3.2. Variables
Household Assets Allocations
3.3. Explanatory Variables
3.3.1. Risk Preferences (Attitudes)
3.3.2. Individual Characteristics of Spouses
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Preliminary Results
4.2. Main Results
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
1 | |
2 | Cardak and Wilkins (2009) utilised HILDA wave 2 (2002) for their empirical analysis. |
3 | They utilised data from 11 waves (1998–2008) of the US Health and Retirement Study. |
4 | This study is based on an electronic survey completed online. |
5 | West and Worthington (2014b), in a different study, found personal attributes relevant to financial risk tolerance from Australia using HILDA. |
6 | This is the scope for future research. |
7 | The discussion follows from Barsky et al. (1997), Jianakoplos and Bernasek (1998), Zinkhan and Karande (1991), Bateman and Munro (2005), De Palma et al. (2011), and Carlsson et al. (2012). |
8 | |
9 | Cardak and Wilkins (2009) is the exception with a focus on background risk channels in portfolio allocations. Further, the above study used only wave-2 (2002) of HILDA data. A step forward, we use wave-2 through wave-6 of HILDA surveys in this study. |
10 | We noticed that male partners usually appear to be the head of household. |
11 | This refers to percentile distribution given in Table 1. |
12 | The clustering of dependent variables around zero makes the OLS estimators biased as well as inconsistent. |
13 | |
14 | Our results are also robust across different methods of estimations (Tobit and OLS) adopted in this study. However, the magnitude of marginal effects differs across the methods of estimations due to the potential bias and inconsistency associated with OLS estimations, which have been adequately addressed in Tobit methods. |
15 | This is consistent with the finding of Cardak and Wilkins (2009). The above study found that income is an insignificant determinant of risky asset ratio for 2002 from HILDA Australia data. |
16 | Results of individual characteristics and other control variables are available on request. |
17 | However, portfolio allocation suggests that the total wealth is an important determinant of household portfolio allocation as it can influence risk aversion and financing the transaction costs of acquiring certain assets. |
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Mean | SD | Percentiles | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10th | 25th | 50th | 75th | 90th | |||
2002 | |||||||
Financial Assets | 195.900 | 332.200 | 8.200 | 29.500 | 81.600 | 226.400 | 481.500 |
of which | |||||||
Risky Assets | 39.600 | 135.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 20.000 | 100.000 |
Share of Risky Assets (%) | 12.400 | 21.400 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.800 | 15.200 | 46.600 |
Superannuation© | 112.600 | 183.400 | 0.000 | 10.000 | 41.500 | 133.700 | 318.200 |
Nonfinancial Assets | 376.800 | 500.400 | 17.000 | 145.000 | 275.000 | 447.500 | 764.600 |
Total Assets | 572.700 | 714.100 | 58.200 | 203.700 | 399.200 | 707.700 | 1158.100 |
Total Debt | 84.500 | 138.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 30.000 | 122.400 | 232.900 |
Net Wealth | 486.900 | 656.900 | 36.900 | 136.600 | 304.000 | 594.600 | 1044.100 |
2006 | |||||||
Financial Assets | 265.200 | 507.200 | 12.500 | 41.000 | 111.300 | 302.100 | 615.200 |
Risky Assets | 54.600 | 217.800 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 17.900 | 116.300 |
Share of Risky Assets (%) | 11.100 | 21.200 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 10.900 | 42.500 |
Superannuation | 151.300 | 262.500 | 0.000 | 15.700 | 65.300 | 178.000 | 371.200 |
Nonfinancial Assets | 583.000 | 870.900 | 29.500 | 251.300 | 393.500 | 652.900 | 1059.900 |
Total Assets | 850.800 | 1210.200 | 125.500 | 331.400 | 565.500 | 964.200 | 1646.900 |
Total Debt | 122.500 | 223.700 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 35.800 | 163.000 | 323.600 |
Net Wealth | 724.900 | 1160.600 | 72.600 | 236.700 | 462.300 | 815.400 | 1457.700 |
2002 | 2006 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
MP | FP | MP | FP | |
Panel-a: Individual and Demographic Characteristics | ||||
Income (AUD) | 43486 | 25256 | 47972 | 28078 |
Education * | 3.790 | 4.000 | 3.680 | 3.830 |
employed * | 0.740 | 0.590 | 0.690 | 0.580 |
Age (in years) | 48.100 | 45.700 | 52.100 | 49.700 |
Health Risk * | 0.200 | 0.160 | 0.270 | 0.220 |
Observations | 1835 | 1835 | 1835 | 1835 |
Panel-b: Risk Attitude of Male and Female Partners | ||||
2002 | 2006 | |||
No conflict group | 820 | 804 | ||
Male is more risk-loving than his partner | 355 | 388 | ||
Male is more risk-averse than his partner | 166 | 162 | ||
Observations | 1341 | 1354 |
2002 | 2006 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Tobit | OLS | Tobit | OLS | |
Panel-A | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
Log of household net wealth | 0.022 *** | 0.0152 ** | 0.023 *** | 0.0127 ** |
Risk Attitude of Male partner | −0.034 *** | −0.0567 *** | −0.039 *** | −0.0598 *** |
Risk Attitude of Female partner | −0.031 *** | −0.0374 *** | −0.020 *** | −0.0316 *** |
Dummy for Financial Prospects | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.027 | 0.0321 ** |
Constant | 0.070 | −0.030 | ||
Observations | 1183 | 1183 | 1278 | 1278 |
R-squared | 0.163 | 0.162 | ||
Pseudo R2 | 0.248 | 0.245 | ||
Log likelihood | −418.630 | −490.820 | ||
Sigma | 0.288 | 0.303 | ||
−0.008 | −0.009 | |||
Panel-B: Hypothesis Testing | ||||
Ho: Male and Female partners have a Symmetric Risk Attitude | ||||
F-statistics | 81.420 | 61.400 | 72.780 | 53.540 |
df | 11,156 | 11,155 | 11,251 | 11,250 |
p-Value | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Control for partners’ | ||||
Education attainment level | yes | yes | yes | yes |
Income level | yes | yes | yes | yes |
Age | yes | yes | yes | yes |
Health risk | yes | yes | yes | yes |
de facto relationship | yes | yes | yes | yes |
2002 | 2006 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Tobit | OLS | Tobit | OLS | |
Panel-A | −1 | −2 | −3 | −4 |
log of Household Net Wealth | 0.023 *** | 0.016 ** | 0.023 *** | 0.013 ** |
Male is more Risk Loving than his partner (MLF) | 0.035 *** | 0.055 *** | 0.055 *** | 0.078 *** |
Male is more Risk Averse than his partner (FLM) | −0.043 *** | −0.078 *** | −0.019 * | −0.037 * |
Risk Attitude for Female partner | −0.063 *** | −0.091 *** | −0.054 *** | −0.085 *** |
Dummy for Financial Prospects | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.028 *** | 0.032 ** |
Constant | 0.049 | −0.057 | ||
Observations | 1183 | 1183 | 1278 | 1278 |
R-squared | 0.160 | 0.160 | ||
Pseudo R2 | 0.244 | 0.242 | ||
Log likelihood | −420.640 | −493.060 | ||
Sigma | 0.289 *** | 0.303 *** | ||
Panel-B: Hypothesis Testing | ||||
Hypothesis-II© | ||||
F-statistics | 0.670 | 0.740 | 4.270 | 2.420 |
df | 11,155 | 11, 154 | 11,250 | 11,249 |
p-Values | 0.415 | 0.390 | 0.040 | 0.120 |
Hypothesis-III© | ||||
F-statistics | 13.800 | 15.970 | 20.280 | 16.400 |
df | 21,155 | 21,154 | 21,250 | 21,249 |
p-Values | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Controls | ||||
Education level | yes | yes | yes | yes |
Income level | yes | yes | yes | yes |
Age | yes | yes | yes | yes |
Health risk | yes | yes | yes | yes |
De facto relationship | yes | yes | yes | yes |
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Khan, S.U.; Ramella, S.; Rahman, H.U.; Hyder, Z. Household Portfolio Allocations: Evidence on Risk Preferences from the Household, Income, and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey Using Tobit Models. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2022, 15, 161. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15040161
Khan SU, Ramella S, Rahman HU, Hyder Z. Household Portfolio Allocations: Evidence on Risk Preferences from the Household, Income, and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey Using Tobit Models. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2022; 15(4):161. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15040161
Chicago/Turabian StyleKhan, Safdar Ullah, Satyanarayana Ramella, Habib Ur Rahman, and Zulfiqar Hyder. 2022. "Household Portfolio Allocations: Evidence on Risk Preferences from the Household, Income, and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey Using Tobit Models" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 15, no. 4: 161. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15040161
APA StyleKhan, S. U., Ramella, S., Rahman, H. U., & Hyder, Z. (2022). Household Portfolio Allocations: Evidence on Risk Preferences from the Household, Income, and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey Using Tobit Models. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(4), 161. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15040161