Impact of Negative Tweets on Diverse Assets during Stressful Events: An Investigation through Time-Varying Connectedness
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Twitter and Sentiments
2.2. Crypto (Especially Dogecoin)
2.3. Connectedness and Impact on Other Assets
3. Research Methodology
3.1. TVP-VAR
3.2. Textual Analysis
3.3. Data Details
4. Results and Interpretation
5. Conclusive Remarks
6. Limitations and Scope for Future Studies
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
1 | |
2 | |
3 | https://www.utahbusiness.com/buying-dogecoin-houses-could-be-the-new-norm/ (accessed on 16 April 2022). |
4 | https://www.coingecko.com/ (accessed on 18 April 2022). |
5 | https://www.cambridgeassociates.com/insight/is-bitcoin-a-better-disaster-hedge-than-Gold/ (accessed on 7 Feburary 2022). |
6 | |
7 |
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S. No | Negative Words | Occurrences |
---|---|---|
1 | Boring | 158 |
2 | Problem | 130 |
3 | Down | 100 |
4 | Stop | 82 |
5 | Death | 43 |
6 | Challenge | 25 |
7 | Counter | 22 |
8 | Die | 21 |
9 | Sad | 20 |
10 | Hate | 19 |
11 | Abort | 18 |
12 | Bore | 17 |
13 | Fake | 16 |
14 | Lose | 16 |
15 | Mad | 15 |
16 | Trouble | 15 |
17 | Loss | 14 |
18 | Sick | 8 |
19 | Lie | 7 |
20 | Disable | 5 |
21 | Paranoid | 4 |
22 | Disadvantage | 3 |
23 | Losses | 3 |
24 | Suicide | 3 |
25 | Punish | 2 |
26 | Adverse | 1 |
Ngsnt | Doge | GC.CMX | Pimco | GSPC | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | 2.443 | 0.035 | 0.004 | 0.001 | 0.005 |
Variance | 107.482 | 0.008 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Skewness | 20.47 *** | 2.99 *** | 2.76 *** | 7.79 *** | 4.94 *** |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
Kurtosis | 671.57 *** | 9.6 *** | 11.82 *** | 120.8 *** | 43.94 *** |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
JB | 46,325,450 *** | 132,289 *** | 17,365 *** | 1,518,545 *** | 207,602 *** |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
ERS | −18.609 *** | −2.795 *** | −12.080 *** | −10.884 *** | −10.853 *** |
(0.000) | (0.005) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
Q (10) | 14.7 *** | 12,817.7 *** | 105.3 *** | 701.31 *** | 934.93 *** |
(0.007) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
Q2(10) | 0.077 | 10,720.5 *** | 89.8 *** | 620.8 *** | 1216.2 *** |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) |
Ngsnt | Doge | GC CMX | Pimco | GSPC | From | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ngsnt | 98.45 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 1.55 |
Doge | 0.7 | 97.44 | 0.43 | 0.68 | 0.75 | 2.56 |
GC.CMX | 1.13 | 0.32 | 76.27 | 11.23 | 11.05 | 23.73 |
pimco | 3.25 | 0.27 | 9.86 | 72.14 | 14.48 | 27.86 |
GSPC | 2.13 | 0.52 | 9.35 | 13.04 | 74.97 | 25.03 |
TO | 7.2 | 1.35 | 20.04 | 25.38 | 26.75 | 80.72 |
NET | 5.64 | −1.21 | −3.68 | −2.47 | 1.72 | 16.14 |
TCI | Date Range | Event | Interpretations |
---|---|---|---|
75% | June–July 2015 | Greek debt crisis | Stressful events pushed the TCI to an extreme limit |
17% | June–July 2016 | Brexit referendum | Stressful events pushed the TCI to a relatively smaller limit |
38% | March–April 2020 | COVID-19 breakout | Stressful events pushed the TCI to a relatively higher limit |
Node | Size | Asset/Sentiment | Interpretation |
---|---|---|---|
Blue | Large | Ngsnt | Significant net transmitter of shocks; high weighted average net total directional connectedness (see Figure 6) |
Small | GSPC | Low net transmitter of shocks; low weighted average net total directional connectedness (see Figure 6) | |
Yellow | Large | GC CMX | Significant net receiver of shocks; high weighted average net total directional connectedness (see Figure 6) |
Medium | pimco | Moderate net receiver of shocks; moderate weighted average net total directional connectedness (see Figure 6) | |
Small | Doge | Low net receiver of shocks; low weighted average net total directional connectedness (see Figure 6) |
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Balasudarsun, N.L.; Ghosh, B.; Mahendran, S. Impact of Negative Tweets on Diverse Assets during Stressful Events: An Investigation through Time-Varying Connectedness. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2022, 15, 260. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15060260
Balasudarsun NL, Ghosh B, Mahendran S. Impact of Negative Tweets on Diverse Assets during Stressful Events: An Investigation through Time-Varying Connectedness. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2022; 15(6):260. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15060260
Chicago/Turabian StyleBalasudarsun, N. L., Bikramaditya Ghosh, and Sathish Mahendran. 2022. "Impact of Negative Tweets on Diverse Assets during Stressful Events: An Investigation through Time-Varying Connectedness" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 15, no. 6: 260. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15060260
APA StyleBalasudarsun, N. L., Ghosh, B., & Mahendran, S. (2022). Impact of Negative Tweets on Diverse Assets during Stressful Events: An Investigation through Time-Varying Connectedness. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(6), 260. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15060260