Unveiling the Brew: Probing the Lingering Impact of the Luckin Coffee Scandal on the Liquidity of Chinese Cross-Listed Stocks
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Data and Variables
3. Empirical Results
3.1. Results on Stock Liquidity
3.1.1. Results on Luckin Stock
3.1.2. Effects on Stock Liquidity by Event Dates
3.2. Spillover Effect
4. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A. Internet Appendix
Variables | Definition |
---|---|
China Dummy | A dummy variable if the enlisted stock is headquartered in China |
Event Dummy | Dummy variables for eight events. |
Fear Index | The fear index is the equally weighted measure of the reported case index (RCI) and reported death index (RDI), used by Salisu and Akanni (2020), Salisu et al. (2020), and Mazumder and Saha (2021) |
Log (Volume) | Logarithm of the average daily dollar trading volume |
Price | The share price of a given asset |
Volatility | Standard deviation of intraday quote-midpoint returns |
Quoted Spread | |
Effective Spread | |
Realized Spread | |
Price Impact |
Dates | Description |
---|---|
8 January 2020 | Luckin announced its pricing of a follow-on offering of ADRs |
14 January 2020 | Luckin announced its completion of a follow-on offering of ADRs |
31 January 2020 | Muddy Waters Research released an 89-page report and declared it planned to short sell Luckin |
4 February 2020 | Ash Illumination Research released a 49-page report in Chinese, highlighting Luckin’s financial fraud and released a 66-page report in English |
2 April 2020 | Luckin admitted that it overstated its profits by RMB 2.2 billion (USD 310 million) |
20 May 2020 | Luckin resumed trading |
23 june 2020 | Luckin received the second delisting notice from Nasdaq |
26 June2020 | Luckin announced a trading half on June 29th and would delist soon |
1 | For many years, Satyam Computer Services inflated stock prices by reporting profits that never existed and by reporting cash at the bank that did not exist. They also fraudulently reported salary payments to reduce the taxable income. The significance of the event was very notable as analysts of India termed the Satyam scandal as India’s Enron scandal. |
2 | According to Salisu and Akanni (2020), the reported case index (RCI) measures how far people’s expectations on reported cases in the preceding 14-day period (incubation period) have veered from the present day’s reported cases. And the reported death index (RDI) measures how far peoples’ expectations from reported deaths in the preceding 14 days have veered from the present day’s reported deaths. |
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Percentile | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Mean | Standard Deviation | 25th | 50th | 75th |
Price ($) | 23.74 | 51.86 | 2.91 | 8.82 | 24.01 |
Volatility (000) | 0.0259 | 0.3568 | 0.0000 | 0.0003 | 0.0047 |
Volume ($000) | 44,379 | 202,021 | 261 | 3,320 | 26,340 |
Quoted spread | 0.0133 | 0.0263 | 0.0015 | 0.0043 | 0.0135 |
Effective spread | 0.0091 | 0.0199 | 0.0009 | 0.0026 | 0.0091 |
Realized spread | 0.0053 | 0.0195 | 0.0001 | 0.0007 | 0.0041 |
Price impact | 0.0038 | 0.0161 | 0.0005 | 0.0013 | 0.0036 |
Fear index | 41.59 | 30.47 | 0.00 | 46.94 | 52.15 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
Dependent Variables | (Quoted Spread) | (Quoted Spread) | (Quoted Spread) | (Effective Spread) | (Effective Spread) | (Effective Spread) |
Event dummy | −0.0005 ** | −0.0005 ** | −0.0006 *** | −0.0006 *** | ||
(−2.10) | (−2.15) | (−4.10) | (−4.14) | |||
LK dummy | 0.0148 *** | 0.0143 *** | 0.0110 *** | 0.0107 *** | ||
(23.55) | (22.75) | (25.87) | (24.87) | |||
Event × K | 0.0063 *** | 0.0038 *** | ||||
(2.97) | (2.87) | |||||
Fear Index | 0.0001 *** | 0.0001 *** | 0.0001 *** | 0.0001 *** | 0.0001 *** | 0.0001 *** |
(41.53) | (41.76) | (41.56) | (31.24) | (31.61) | (31.27) | |
Price | −0.0029 *** | −0.0029 *** | −0.0029 *** | −0.0006 *** | −0.0006 *** | −0.0006 *** |
(−23.89) | (−23.92) | (−23.92) | (−7.16) | (−7.19) | (−7.21) | |
Volatility | 11.9623 *** | 11.9584 *** | 11.9570 *** | 10.6795 *** | 10.6775 *** | 10.6756 *** |
(4.84) | (4.84) | (4.84) | (4.60) | (4.60) | (4.60) | |
Log(volume) | −0.0051 *** | −0.0051 *** | −0.0051 *** | −0.0036 *** | −0.0036 *** | −0.0036 *** |
(−97.21) | (−97.21) | (−97.21) | (−78.96) | (−78.96) | (−78.96) | |
Constant | 0.0846 *** | 0.0846 *** | 0.0847 *** | 0.0598 *** | 0.0598 *** | 0.0598 *** |
(102.15) | (102.21) | (102.15) | (82.01) | (82.10) | (82.01) | |
Observations | 117,838 | 117,838 | 117,838 | 117,709 | 117,709 | 117,709 |
Adjusted2 | 0.4032 | 0.4034 | 0.4034 | 0.3802 | 0.3804 | 0.3804 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
Dependent Variables | (Realized Spread) | (Realized Spread) | (Realized Spread) | (Price Impact) | (Price Impact) | (Price Impact) |
Event dummy | −0.0002 | −0.0002 | −0.0006 *** | −0.0006 *** | ||
(−1.03) | (−1.04) | (−4.10) | (−4.14) | |||
LK dummy | 0.0081 *** | 0.0079 *** | 0.0110 *** | 0.0107 *** | ||
(26.59) | (25.71) | (25.87) | (24.87) | |||
Event × LK | 0.0013 | 0.0038 *** | ||||
(1.32) | (2.87) | |||||
Fear Index | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** | 0.0001 *** | 0.0001 *** | 0.0001 *** |
(16.89) | (16.92) | (16.90) | (31.24) | (31.61) | (31.27) | |
Price | −0.0010 *** | −0.0010 *** | −0.0010 *** | −0.0006 *** | −0.0006 *** | −0.0006 *** |
(−9.82) | (−9.85) | (−9.85) | (−7.16) | (−7.19) | (−7.21) | |
Volatility | 5.6573 *** | 5.6551 *** | 5.6545 *** | 10.6795 *** | 10.6775 *** | 10.6756 *** |
(4.15) | (4.15) | (4.15) | (4.60) | (4.60) | (4.60) | |
Log(volume) | −0.0026 *** | −0.0026 *** | −0.0026 *** | −0.0036 *** | −0.0036 *** | −0.0036 *** |
(−59.95) | (−59.94) | (−59.95) | (−78.96) | (−78.96) | (−78.96) | |
Constant | 0.0418 *** | 0.0418 *** | 0.0418 *** | 0.0598 *** | 0.0598 *** | 0.0598 *** |
(61.04) | (61.10) | (61.04) | (82.01) | (82.10) | (82.01) | |
Observations | 117,697 | 117,697 | 117,697 | 117,709 | 117,709 | 117,709 |
Adjusted2 | 0.1800 | 0.1802 | 0.1802 | 0.3802 | 0.3804 | 0.3804 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dependent Variables | (Quoted Spread) | (Effective Spread) | (Realized Spread) | (Price Impact) |
Event1 dummy | 0.0005 | 0.0002 | 0.0001 | 0.0004 |
(1.04) | (0.53) | (0.16) | (1.12) | |
LK_dummy | 0.0143 *** | 0.0107 *** | 0.0079 *** | 0.0027 *** |
(22.41) | (24.61) | (25.57) | (9.54) | |
Event1 × LK | 0.0065 *** | 0.0043 *** | 0.0027 *** | 0.0015 *** |
(8.20) | (7.64) | (5.85) | (4.16) | |
Event2 dummy | 0.0005 | −0.0001 | −0.0001 | 0.0003 |
(1.02) | (−0.17) | (−0.43) | (1.36) | |
Event2 × LK | 0.0066 *** | 0.0047 *** | 0.0032 *** | 0.0013 *** |
(8.35) | (8.90) | (7.87) | (4.58) | |
Event3 dummy | 0.0024 *** | 0.0010 ** | 0.0016 ** | −0.0004 |
(4.13) | (2.55) | (2.16) | (−0.60) | |
Event3 × LK | 0.0107 *** | 0.0079 *** | 0.0028 *** | 0.0051 *** |
(12.65) | (13.82) | (3.44) | (7.09) | |
Event4 dummy | 0.0016 *** | 0.0004 | −0.0007 | 0.0012 * |
(3.02) | (1.12) | (−1.00) | (1.77) | |
Event4 × LK | 0.0068 *** | 0.0051 *** | 0.0046 *** | 0.0005 |
(8.39) | (9.19) | (6.00) | (0.77) | |
Event5 dummy | −0.0008 | −0.0003 | 0.0001 | −0.0005 |
(−1.04) | (−0.45) | (0.25) | (−1.43) | |
Event5 × LK | 0.0117 *** | 0.0032 *** | −0.0026 *** | 0.0058 *** |
(11.97) | (4.74) | (−4.35) | (14.68) | |
Event6 dummy | −0.0014 ** | −0.0016 *** | −0.0005 | −0.0010 *** |
(−2.49) | (−4.69) | (−1.28) | (−3.12) | |
Event6 × LK | 0.0010 | 0.0012 ** | −0.0006 | 0.0018 *** |
(1.15) | (2.25) | (−1.21) | (4.78) | |
Event7 dummy | −0.0035 *** | −0.0027 *** | −0.0014 *** | −0.0013 *** |
(−6.30) | (−8.07) | (−4.63) | (−6.32) | |
Event7 × LK | −0.0022 *** | −0.0010 * | −0.0006 | −0.0004 |
(−2.64) | (−1.91) | (−1.49) | (−1.62) | |
Event8 dummy | −0.0025 *** | −0.0018 *** | −0.0005 | −0.0014 *** |
(−4.16) | (−3.90) | (−0.98) | (−8.96) | |
Event8 × LK | 0.0088 *** | 0.0049 *** | 0.0006 | 0.0042 *** |
(10.24) | (7.90) | (1.14) | (17.06) | |
Fear Index | 0.0001 *** | 0.0001 *** | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** |
(40.80) | (30.45) | (16.36) | (9.69) | |
Price | −0.0029 *** | −0.0006 *** | −0.0010 *** | 0.0004 ** |
(−23.97) | (−7.25) | (−9.87) | (2.51) | |
Volatility | 11.9506 *** | 10.6716 *** | 5.6528 *** | 4.9266 *** |
(4.84) | (4.60) | (4.15) | (3.32) | |
Log(volume) | −0.0051 *** | −0.0036 *** | −0.0026 *** | −0.0010 *** |
(−97.23) | (−78.97) | (−59.94) | (−16.33) | |
Constant | 0.0845 *** | 0.0597 *** | 0.0418 *** | 0.0176 *** |
(102.19) | (82.02) | (61.15) | (17.36) | |
Observations | 117,838 | 117,709 | 117,697 | 117,696 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.4037 | 0.3806 | 0.1802 | 0.0279 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
Dependent Variables | (Quoted Spread) | (Quoted Spread) | (Quoted Spread) | (Effective Spread) | (Effective Spread) | (Effective Spread) |
Event dummy | −0.0005 ** | −0.0003 | −0.0004 *** | −0.0003 *** | ||
(−2.14) | (−1.33) | (−4.65) | (−3.90) | |||
China dummy | 0.0045 *** | 0.0046 *** | 0.0027 *** | 0.0027 *** | ||
(19.80) | (19.30) | (39.80) | (38.78) | |||
Event × China | −0.0012 | −0.0004 | ||||
(−1.60) | (−1.45) | |||||
Fear Index | 0.0001 *** | 0.0001 *** | 0.0001 *** | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** |
(41.57) | (41.75) | (41.55) | (52.28) | (52.96) | (52.39) | |
Price | −0.0029 *** | −0.0029 *** | −0.0029 *** | 0.0007 *** | 0.0007 *** | 0.0007 *** |
(−23.93) | (−23.54) | (−23.55) | (15.80) | (16.66) | (16.64) | |
Volatility | 11.9564 *** | 11.8779 *** | 11.8757 *** | 2.0221 *** | 1.9750 *** | 1.9737 *** |
(4.84) | (4.84) | (4.84) | (4.29) | (4.29) | (4.29) | |
Log(volume) | −0.0051 *** | −0.0050 *** | −0.0050 *** | −0.0025 *** | −0.0024 *** | −0.0024 *** |
(−97.22) | (−96.85) | (−96.85) | (−212.01) | (−210.71) | (−210.73) | |
Constant | 0.0847 *** | 0.0828 *** | 0.0828 *** | 0.0422 *** | 0.0411 *** | 0.0411 *** |
(102.15) | (101.37) | (101.32) | (219.43) | (215.89) | (215.82) | |
Observations | 117,745 | 117,745 | 117,745 | 117,745 | 117,745 | 117,745 |
Adjusted2 | 0.4034 | 0.4068 | 0.4068 | 0.5976 | 0.6054 | 0.6055 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
Dependent Variables | (Realized Spread) | (Realized Spread) | (Realized Spread) | (Price Impact) | (Price Impact) | (Price Impact) |
Event dummy | −0.0002 | −0.0001 | −0.0001 *** | −0.0001 *** | ||
(−1.04) | (−0.37) | (−3.31) | (−3.33) | |||
China dummy | 0.0026 *** | 0.0027 *** | 0.0009 *** | 0.0009 *** | ||
(12.81) | (12.44) | (26.98) | (26.07) | |||
Event × China | −0.0009 | 0.0000 | ||||
(−1.45) | (0.02) | |||||
Fear Index | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** | 0.0000 *** |
(16.92) | (16.85) | (16.84) | (45.84) | (46.20) | (45.76) | |
Price | −0.0010 *** | −0.0010 *** | −0.0010 *** | 0.0007 *** | 0.0007 *** | 0.0007 *** |
(−9.85) | (−9.56) | (−9.56) | (27.43) | (28.02) | (28.01) | |
Volatility | 5.6542 *** | 5.6044 *** | 5.6032 *** | 0.3944 *** | 0.3784 *** | 0.3780 *** |
(4.15) | (4.14) | (4.14) | (3.59) | (3.52) | (3.52) | |
Log(volume) | −0.0026 *** | −0.0025 *** | −0.0025 *** | −0.0006 *** | −0.0006 *** | −0.0006 *** |
(−59.95) | (−59.34) | (−59.35) | (−120.98) | (−118.19) | (−118.18) | |
Constant | 0.0418 *** | 0.0407 *** | 0.0407 *** | 0.0111 *** | 0.0107 *** | 0.0107 *** |
(61.04) | (60.06) | (60.04) | (130.87) | (126.59) | (126.54) | |
Observations | 117,604 | 117,604 | 117,604 | 117,745 | 117,745 | 117,745 |
Adjusted2 | 0.1801 | 0.1823 | 0.1823 | 0.3082 | 0.3146 | 0.3147 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dependent Variables | (Quoted Spread) | (Effective Spread) | (Realized Spread) | (Price Impact) |
Event dummy | −0.0003 | −0.0002 | −0.0002 | 0.0000 |
(−0.64) | (−0.55) | (−0.41) | (0.05) | |
Price | −0.0099 ** | −0.0022 | −0.0003 | −0.0019 |
(−2.52) | (−0.76) | (−0.07) | (−0.67) | |
Volatility | 279.5512 * | 245.3033 | −105.6387 | 351.0446 ** |
(1.68) | (1.62) | (−1.38) | (2.51) | |
Log(volume) | −0.0014 *** | −0.0009 *** | −0.0006 *** | −0.0003 * |
(−5.82) | (−4.63) | (−2.90) | (−1.93) | |
Constant | 0.0262 *** | 0.0169 *** | 0.0105 *** | 0.0064 ** |
(6.08) | (4.81) | (2.83) | (2.28) | |
Observations | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.7022 | 0.7146 | 0.1887 | 0.4715 |
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Kersting, L.; Kim, J.-C.; Mazumder, S.; Su, Q. Unveiling the Brew: Probing the Lingering Impact of the Luckin Coffee Scandal on the Liquidity of Chinese Cross-Listed Stocks. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17, 514. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17110514
Kersting L, Kim J-C, Mazumder S, Su Q. Unveiling the Brew: Probing the Lingering Impact of the Luckin Coffee Scandal on the Liquidity of Chinese Cross-Listed Stocks. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2024; 17(11):514. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17110514
Chicago/Turabian StyleKersting, Lee, Jang-Chul Kim, Sharif Mazumder, and Qing Su. 2024. "Unveiling the Brew: Probing the Lingering Impact of the Luckin Coffee Scandal on the Liquidity of Chinese Cross-Listed Stocks" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 17, no. 11: 514. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17110514
APA StyleKersting, L., Kim, J. -C., Mazumder, S., & Su, Q. (2024). Unveiling the Brew: Probing the Lingering Impact of the Luckin Coffee Scandal on the Liquidity of Chinese Cross-Listed Stocks. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 17(11), 514. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17110514