Next Article in Journal
Impacts of the Expected Credit Loss Model on Pro-Cyclicality, Earnings Management, and Equity Management in the Portuguese Banking Sector
Next Article in Special Issue
Credit Choices in Rural Egypt: A Comparative Study of Formal and Informal Borrowing
Previous Article in Journal
Bidirectional Risk Spillovers between Chinese and Asian Stock Markets: A Dynamic Copula-EVT-CoVaR Approach
 
 
Font Type:
Arial Georgia Verdana
Font Size:
Aa Aa Aa
Line Spacing:
Column Width:
Background:
Article

A Bibliometric Analysis of Borrowers’ Behavior

by
Douglas Mwirigi
1,*,
Mária Fekete-Farkas
2 and
Zoltán Lakner
2
1
Doctoral School of Economics and Regional Sciences, Hungarian University of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Páter Károly u. 1, 2100 Gödöllő, Hungary
2
Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics, Hungarian University of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Páter Károly u. 1, 2100 Gödöllő, Hungary
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17(3), 111; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030111
Submission received: 12 February 2024 / Revised: 2 March 2024 / Accepted: 5 March 2024 / Published: 9 March 2024
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Borrowers’ Behavior in Financial Decision-Making)

Abstract

:
Understanding borrowers’ behavior is essential in making lending decisions, strengthening financial inclusion, and alleviating poverty. This research adopts a bibliometric approach to provide an overview of the borrower’s behavior relative to the selected literature. Bibliometric analysis quantifies the impact and quality of scientific production. This study reviewed 989 articles obtained from SCOPUS and published from 1987 to 2023. Data were cleaned, formatted, and analyzed using VOS viewer (1.6.19) and the R-Bibliometrix package. The research established an increased interest in borrowers’ behavior among scholars. Nonetheless, it is overshadowed by studies in lending behavior, microfinance, banking, peer-to-peer lending, and fintech. The scholarly focus is mainly on the supply side of the credit industry with little regard to demand-side dynamics, such as borrowers’ decision-making processes, which can affect the performance of credit facilities. This study recommends that further studies on credit facility demand-side dynamics should be carried out to understand the drivers of borrowers’ decisions.

1. Introduction

Understanding borrowers’ behavior is essential in both developed and developing countries since access to credit enhances economic growth at both micro- and macro-economic levels. This study utilizes a bibliometric approach to examine borrowers’ behavior and proposes an exploration of demand-side borrowing dynamics to understand the borrowers’ behavior and decision-making process. This study investigates the publication trend to understand the evolution of the field over time. In addition, it identifies prolific scholars, journals, articles, and countries to recognize key contributors and geographical patterns, which adds depth to the understanding of borrowers’ behavior in the scholarly landscape. Lastly, the research explores future study directions, which steers the trajectory of scientific inquiry in borrowers’ behavior. The research findings can be generalized to individual borrowers, but other borrowers, such as companies and partnerships, may exhibit different behaviors.
Credit allows borrowers to access resources with a promise to pay the principal amount and interest over an agreed-upon period (Goel and Rastogi 2023). Credit is a prerequisite for economic development as it finances production, capital formation, and consumption (Timsina 2014). Basyal (2009) postulated that extending credit to the private sector generates employment opportunities, inculcates economic growth, supports informal activities, and strengthens economic competitiveness. Therefore, credit remains a central requirement for spurring economic development.
Borrower behavior is a component of financial behavior as it affects the planning, management, and control of financial resources from either an individual or a broader perspective. At an individual level, Rahman et al. (2021) assert that financial behavior is the management of personal savings, budget, and expenditure. On the other hand, Garman (n.d.) stated that, from a broader perspective, financial behavior entails wider concepts related to savings behavior, investment and expenditure behavior, and credit usage.
Sustainable development goals cannot be achieved without financial inclusion. Sustainable development and financial inclusion have positive implications for economic and social growth (Ozili 2022). Financial inclusion ensures firms and people are linked to mainstream financial institutions and the formal financial sector (Koomson et al. 2023; Hua et al. 2023; Cavoli and Gopalan 2023; Oanh et al. 2023; Xi and Wang 2023). In developing economies, the majority of people are unbanked and lack access to financial institutions. Consequently, achieving sustainable development is a far-fetched dream that compromises the needs of present and future generations. Credit access has a direct effect on the achievement of United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (Kara et al. 2021). Thus, access to credit is a central component of financial inclusion and sustainable development.
Borrowers’ behavior is a critical determinant of access to credit, which has a direct effect on sustainable development. Even though access to credit is not mentioned in the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), it can facilitate the achievement of multiple goals (Kara et al. 2021). It can help to achieve SDG 1, eliminating extreme poverty, by enabling people to access finance and fund income-generating investments, acquire housing, access education, and learn new skills (Ozili 2022). In addition, it can help achieve SDG 2, reducing hunger and promoting food security, by providing finances to farmers that enable them to acquire resources and invest in knowledge to increase crop production. Other SDGs include SDGs 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, and 9 by helping households and individuals to meet medical costs, invest in education opportunities, finance water projects and energy systems, increase innovation, and entrepreneurial activity, promote full and productive employment, and support innovation, respectively.
Banks and other lenders examine borrowers’ behavior extensively when making lending decisions to quantify and determine risk. Risk perception is an outcome of accumulated experience between a specific borrower and lender (Pavlou and Gefen 2004). Therefore, borrowers’ histories are a critical determinant of default risk. Nonetheless, there are multiple aspects of borrowers’ behavior that contribute to understanding their decision-making process. They include loan application behavior (Ladouceur et al. 2011), loan selection behavior (Lukas and Nöth 2019), loan repayment behavior (Morvinski and Shani 2022), financial literacy and awareness (Galariotis and Monne 2023), risk perception and risk-taking behavior (Nguyen-Trung et al. 2023), social and cultural factors (Osei-Tutu and Weill 2023), psychological factors (Dezso and Loewenstein 2012), digital behavior (Tang et al. 2023), repeat borrowing (Tian and Wu 2023), and default and delinquency behavior (Juma and Mathuva 2023).
Loan application is a highly controlled process that requires individuals to provide critical pieces of information that help lenders make lending decisions. Organizations have a pre-defined lending cut-off at the loan screening stage, which is informed by the information provided at the application stage (Rawate and Tijare 2017). To underscore the importance of the application stage, Sindhuraj and Patrick (2023) postulated that careful examination of applicant status lowers the default rate. On the other hand, borrowers loan repayment and defaulting behavior can be determined by examining both soft and hard data. While many studies have focused on the importance of hard data, existing literature exemplifies the benefits of soft or non-traditional features in predicting default. According to Sindhuraj and Patrick (2023), considering soft data in equal measure as hard information reduces information asymmetry and helps to assess borrower creditworthiness more accurately and post-disbursement behavior. Hard data are any information that is quantifiable, accurately collected, and easily disseminated. In contrast, soft data are any additional information that can be obtained through in-depth interviews and other checks to aid in credit appraisal (Rawate and Tijare 2017). The borrowers’ behavior at the loan application stage has not been extensively researched. Nonetheless, socioeconomic variables, such as service quality, bank distance, education, and service characteristics significantly affect credit adoption (Dey et al. 2023). Moreover, risk perception, perceived value, and working capital have a moderate mediating effect on credit adoption and borrower satisfaction. Therefore, borrowers’ behavior at the loan application stage is determined by their individual and socioeconomic factors. Enhancing either of these factors can have a greater effect on the borrowers’ behavior.
Loan selection entails choosing the credit option that suits an individual. According to Madeira (2023), it is determined by both observable and unobservable factors. The observable factors include the motives behind the loan, labor income risk, demographic characteristics, education, and income. On the other hand, unobservable characteristics entail random effects and the lender type of choice.
Examining borrowers’ behavior is essential to understanding their decision-making process and helping lenders identify potential default risk. This study seeks to map the intellectual structure of the borrower’s behavior by addressing the following research questions:
RQ1: 
What are the publication trends in borrowers’ behavior using bibliometric analysis laws?
RQ2: 
What are the most prolific scholars, articles, journals, and countries contributing to borrowers’ behavior?
RQ3: 
What are the research directions for future research?
This research is organized into five sections. The first section has provided background on borrowers’ behavior. In the second section, we will explain the study materials and methods. The third section will present the results of this study. The fourth section will discuss the findings, and the fifth section will draw conclusions from the key findings and provide recommendations for future studies.

2. Materials and Methods

This research will draw data from SCOPUS. SCOPUS is the most widely used and reliable source for scientific publications in the economic and social sciences because it has a broader coverage and citation count (Falagas et al. 2008). The Bibliometrix R package was used to carry out network analysis.
The key words “borrowers AND behavior OR decision OR psychology OR habits OR preferences OR attitudes OR motivation” occurring at any place—title, keywords, or abstract—were used to extract publications from SCOPUS. They were limited to business, decision making, lending behavior, banking, microfinance, or finance, or consumption behavior. Only studies published in English were considered to enhance relevance. All studies, irrespective of the year of publication, were included to help in identifying the history of the subject. The exact research keyword combination was:
TS = ((borrowers) AND (behavior) OR TITLE-ABS-KEY (decisions) OR TITLE-ABS-KEY (psychology) OR TITLE-ABS-KEY (habits) OR TITLE-ABS-KEY (preferences) OR TITLE-ABS-KEY (attitude)) AND (LIMIT-TO (SUBJAREA, “econ”) OR LIMIT-TO (SUBJAREA, “busi”) OR LIMIT-TO (SUBJAREA, “deci”)) AND (LIMIT-TO (LANGUAGE, “english”)) AND (LIMIT-TO (EXACTKEYWORD, “lending behavior”) OR LIMIT-TO (EXACTKEYWORD, “banking”) OR LIMIT-TO (EXACTKEYWORD, “credit provision”) OR LIMIT-TO (EXACTKEYWORD, “microfinance”) OR LIMIT-TO (EXACTKEYWORD, “finance”) OR LIMIT-TO (EXACTKEYWORD, “consumption behavior”)). The search methodology is illustrated in Figure 1.
Data
The search result returned 1082 documents. However, after limiting the search to include only articles and reviews, the search result returned 989 documents.
Table 1 shows the search results.

3. Results

The results have been discussed under three subsections: publication and citation structure, list of the most influential publications, and network analysis of leading publishers and publications.

3.1. Scientific Production Trend

The research sought to establish the annual scientific output from 1987 to 2023. The results are shown in Figure 2.
According to Figure 2, there was a static trend in publications from 1987 to 1997, with at least 1 document and zero publications from 1988 to 1992. The trend changed in the next few decades. From 1998 on, there was a rapid increase in publications related to borrowers’ behavior. The highest production recorded was in 2022. This trend implies that the area has continuously gained interest among researchers. The research finding aligns with other studies related to behavioral finance, such as Costa et al. (2017), who established an increase in annual scientific production.
Annual scientific production growth using Price Law
The price law was formulated by Derek Solla Price to describe productivity distribution in numerous fields. The law states that a significant contribution in a given discipline is made by a small number of contributors. This principle is central in bibliometric analysis as it shows the concentration of productivity, aids in resource allocation, enables research evaluation, and helps to identify key contributors to the academic discipline. We run an exponential growth curve to estimate growth over time, and the results are shown in Figure 3 below.
The results show a growth value (0.1516) over time. The model’s R2 = 0.9219 indicates a high goodness of fit, as it explains 92.19% of the data variability. These findings support the results in Figure 3, which showed growth over time. Therefore, articles on borrowers’ behavior have increasingly been published, and the area has attracted interest over time.
Further examination of journal listings from 1988, when the first article was published, to 2022 supports the findings on the rapid increase in publications, as shown in Figure 4.
The leap in publications from 1987 can be attributed to the establishment of numerous journals focusing on development economics, such as the Journal of Development Economics, the European Economic Review, and Applied Economics, among others. The World Development Organization has also intensified research on borrowers’ behavior in its quest to address economic disparity and poverty in emerging economies relative to sustainable development goals. In addition, it can be attributed to multiple economic events, such as the debt crisis, structural adjustment programs, economic liberalization, poverty alleviation, and global trade and development, that the world has been experiencing since the beginning of 1980s. Examining cognitive biases and their effect on decision making gained traction in 1980s and 2000s (Røpke 2005).
Journal Listing Using Bradford’s Law
Bradford’s law was developed in 1934 by Bradford and is widely used to examine the output of scientific journals. The law states that “if scientific journals are arranged in order of decreasing productivity of articles on a given subject, they may be divided into a nucleus of periodicals more particularly devoted to the subject and several groups or zones containing the same number of articles as the nucleus” (Bradford 1934). Table 2 below shows the top 20 core sources based on Bradford’s law.
The results show that among the top 20 journals, 15 are related to economics, 3 to finance, 1 to management, and 1 to development. One is a multidisciplinary journal. Upon further examination of the top sources, we established that the majority of the sources cover financial inclusion, poverty alleviation, credit distribution, and financial behavior, which is in tandem with the scope of borrowers’ behavior. In addition, the journals are mainly in economics, finance, management, and development, which cover borrowers’ behavior. Nonetheless, even though borrowers’ behavior is closely related to finance, only one finance-related journal has published articles related to borrowers’ behavior.
Articles Distribution According to Bradford’s Law
The research examined the distribution of articles in the three zones to determine whether it adheres to Bradford’s law. The results are shown in Table 3.
The above findings show that Zone 1 had a minimum of 14 journals, which increases fourfold in zone 2. Similarly, the journals in zone 3 are fourfold more than those in zone 2. The distribution of articles across the three zones implies that each zone had about 329 articles, or 33% of the articles. These findings are in tandem with Bradford’s law, which posits that zones should have a roughly equal distribution of articles, and a few core journals contain the majority of articles. Therefore, the distribution of articles across different sources aligns with Bradford’s law.
Prolific Scholars, Articles, Journals, and Countries
Examining prolific scholars, articles, journals, and countries helps to identify influential research, benchmark research productivity, track research trends, and highlight global perspectives on the distribution of research resources and knowledge.
Prolific Scholars
This study sought to examine the most prolific scholars based on the number of publications and H-index. The results are shown in Figure 5 below.
Li Y has eight publications, authored individually or coauthored with other scholars. Agarwal S., Lensik R., Liu C., Wydick B., Xia Y., and Zhang Y. have made six publications each, while Chen X., Chowdhruy PR., and Hermes N. have five publications. A review of their scholarly work shows that analysis of borrowers’ behavior requires a multidisciplinary approach. For instance, Li Yinguo and Xia Yufei, though experts in computer science, have collaborated with other scholars to develop models that predict borrowers’ behavior. The authors’ research output shows that addressing biases in borrowers’ decisions can help alleviate poverty. Agarwal Sumit, Bruce Wydick, and Chowdhury focus mainly on household finance, poverty alleviation, and economic growth. This further shows a close relationship between borrowers’ behavior, household finance, poverty alleviation, and economic growth.
Source Local Impact Using the H-index
The H-index is a single indicator introduced in 2005 to measure the quantity of scientific output of a given researcher. According to Hirsch (2005), “A scientist has index H if H of his or her Np papers have at least H citations each and the other (Np-h) papers have less or equal H citations each”. It is an effective measure since it combines measures of impact and quantity, characterizes researchers’ scientific output objectively, and outperforms other single measures.
The results show that seven authors had an H-index of 5, while three had 4 (see Table 4). These findings imply that the top seven authors have published five papers, and each paper has been cited at least five times by others. Similarly, the authors with an H-index of 4 have published four papers and been cited at least five times by others. Though scholars such as Li Y. have published more papers than Agarwal S., as shown in Figure 5, both have the same H-index, which implies that Agarwal has received more citations despite publishing fewer papers than Li Y.
Most Cited Articles
Further review of the most cited articles globally can help to identify influential research, measure research impact, understand research trends, benchmark research quality, identify pioneering researchers, and inform research strategies. Table 5 shows the topmost cited articles globally.
Publications by Berger AN are among the most cited. However, they were published earlier compared to other scholars, such as Gomper P., whose studies have gained great interest over time. The most-cited article by Berger AN examined relationship lending and the importance of “soft” information to the loan officer, who acts as a repository of the soft information. On the other hand, Diamond DW article explores lenders’ relationship-specific skills with borrowers and their impact on liquidity, while Berger’s AN second article examines relationship lending, growth in non-core funding, and off-balance-sheet guarantees as the main drivers of crises. These studies underscore the importance of understanding soft information and relationships in the borrower-lender decision-making process. Even though institutions have developed mechanisms to determine borrowers’ credit worthiness, “soft” information is mainly overlooked and plays a critical role in the decision-making process. Other most-cited studies focus on consumer credit scoring metrics, fintech, rational herding, credit risks, home biases, group lending, cultural differences, herding behavior, and crowdfunding campaigns. These themes are prevalent at both the household and firm levels and have a great impact on the decision-making process. Therefore, the top cited articles show a rising interest in the roles and effects of soft information in financial decisions.
Productivity of Authors Based on Lotka’s Law
The research used Lotka’s law to examine the productivity of authors. The law was proposed by Lotka in 1926 to test the frequency distribution of scientific output. The law states that “The number of authors making n contributions is 1/n2 of those making one, and the proportion of contributors making a single contribution is 60%. Table 6 shows authors productivity based on Lotka’s law.
The results show that 87.1% of the researchers studying borrowers’ behavior had written a single document. This finding contradicts Lotka’s law, which expects 60% of the authors to have one publication. Therefore, this study’s data deviated from the assumption made by Lotka’s law.
Most prolific Sources (Journals)
The research sought to establish the most prolific journals using the H-index. Similar to articles, the H-index is used to show the quality of a journal (Mingers et al. 2012). It is robust to extreme values and poor data, easy to understand and compute, and a good measure of the overall impact of a journal. The higher the h-index, the higher the quality of the journal. Table 7 shows the h-index of the top ten journals.
Table 7 shows that the top three journals in borrowers’ behavior were Management Science, Applied Economics, and World Development, with H-indexes of 278, 278, and 208, respectively. The journal with the lowest h-index is Economic Development and Cultural Change, with a H-index of 80. These metrics imply that the top 10 journals have a high impact, as evidenced by their high H-index. Moreover, all the top 10 journals are ranked Q1 in SCIMAGO.
Countries Production Over Time
Countries production over time helps to assess the research performance and productivity of different countries in a given field based on the affiliation of the authors. In addition, it shows the research trends and patterns in a country’s research output. The research sought to establish countries’ production over time, and the results are shown in Figure 6.
In terms of countries, the United States has the largest number of publications on borrowers’ behavior, as shown in Figure 6. Between 1987 and 1997, China, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, and the United States of America had almost equal but fewer publications. This trend continued until 2000, when the USA and the United Kingdom published more scientific papers compared to other countries. Since then, the USA has published more articles than other countries, as scholars’ interests were drawn towards understanding borrowers’ behavior to enhance access to credit. This finding is in line with Costa et al. (2017) and Paule-Vianez et al. (2020), who observed that the USA has been leading in scientific production in behavioral finance. The rise in scientific production in the USA can be attributed to industrial deregulation in the 1980s, after the introduction of the depository institutions deregulation and monetary control act of 1982. Policymakers and researchers’ interests were drawn to examine the impact of these changes on borrowers’ behavior. On the other hand, developing countries are missing since none appear among the countries with the largest publications.

3.2. Conceptual Structure and Network Analysis

In this section, word cloud, keyword frequency, network analysis of co-occurrence of keywords, and bibliographic coupling of sources and authors have been undertaken.
Word Cloud
Word cloud is a text visualization tool that shows common words within the researcher’s area of study. Frequently used words appear bigger, while less used words appear smaller (Cooshna-Naik 2022). Figure 7 shows frequent keywords in borrowers’ behavior.
Figure 7 shows that lending behavior and credit provision are the main keywords of interest among the analyzed publications examining borrowers’ behavior. In addition, banking, finance, microfinance, financial market, financial system, interest rate, risk assessment, and financial crisis are other notable words that attracted attention. This shows a strong interdependence between notable keywords and borrowers’ behavior. The two main keywords aforementioned, lending behavior and credit provision, appeared 365 and 279 times, respectively. Banking came close with a frequency of 239, as shown in Table 8. The banking sector examines borrowers’ behavior before availing credit, which defines their lending behavior and explains the relationship between the key terms and borrowers’ behavior. The behavior of the borrowers, such as saving, history of paying credit, and earnings, is critical when creditors are evaluating and determining the borrowers’ default risk.
Frequency of Key Words According to Zipf’s Law
Created by George K. Zipf, Zipf’s law states that “if words occurring in natural language text of sizeable length were listed in the order of decreasing frequency, then the rank of any given word in the list would be inversely proportional to the frequency occurrence of the word.” Table 8 below shows the frequency of the top 10 words.
Table 8 shows that lending behavior, credit provision, and banking have the highest frequency, while financial crises, interest rates, the financial market, and debt have the least frequency. The words with the least frequency indicate potential study directions (Mulay et al. 2020). Therefore, further studies can focus on the nexus between the financial crisis, interest rate, debt, financial crisis, financial market, and borrowers’ behavior. A graph was developed to determine whether there is an inverse relationship between word rank and frequency as stated in Zipf’s law, as shown in Figure 8.
A line of best fit was drawn to show the relationship between word frequency and rank. The results show an inverse relationship between word frequency and rank, as postulated in Zipf’s law. Therefore, the findings from the analysis of the data used in this study are in tandem with Zipf’s law.
Analysis of Co-occurrence of Keywords
Co-occurrence network visualization shows the connexon of key texts centered on their combined occurrence. Prior to analysis, similar keywords were combined. The publication keyword was set to the default value of 5.212 key terms met the criteria; nonetheless, it was not possible to do meaningful analysis since the resulting image was cluttered. Consequently, the minimum co-occurrence of keywords was constantly increased by 1 until the best outcome was achieved. The best outcome was attained at the value of 12, which resulted in 31 items, 5 clusters, 162 links, and 452 total link strengths, as shown in Figure 9.
Cluster 1, marked in red, has banking as the keyword with 121 occurrences, followed by adverse selection with 19 occurrences. Other keywords in this cluster are asymmetric information, moral hazard, credit rationing, competition, banks, and small and medium enterprises. The key idea that can be derived from this cluster is how the banking sector examines borrowers’ behavior when providing credit facilities. The second cluster (2), marked in green, has peer-to-peer lending as the main keyword with 24 occurrences.
Others include fintech, crowdfunding, credit scoring, financial inclusion, and credit risk. The third cluster (3) has micro-finance as the keyword, with 215 occurrences. Others include group lending, poverty, and social capital. The fourth cluster (4), marked in green, has sustainability as the main keyword with 15 occurrences. Others include risk, financial inclusion, and regulation. The fifth cluster (5), marked in purple, has finance as the keyword with 50 occurrences. Others include gender and entrepreneurship.
Bibliographic Coupling of Sources
The bibliographic coupling of sources increases when journals or sources have a greater number of common references. The results of the bibliographic coupling of sources are shown in Figure 10 below. In this study, only sources with at least seven publications were selected, but the count of citations for a publication was kept at default zero. Consequently, 33 sources were obtained. The Journal of Applied Economics had the highest number of publications, 54 documents, and 938 total link strength. The Journal of Development Economics had 53 documents, which is close to the Journal of Applied Economics but has a weaker total link strength of 773. The analysis yielded five clusters. The first cluster, red, has major documents related to applied economics. The second cluster, blue, has economic documents. The third cluster, purple, has predominantly social development documents that are linked to both economics and applied economics Journals. The fourth cluster, yellow, has sources related to economic surveys, political economy, and management science. The fifth cluster, green, has sources related to Applied Economics Letters, electronic commerce research, technological forecasting, and operational economics research.
Three-Field Plot Analysis on Borrowers Behavior
Three-field plot analysis is an analytical and visualization approach that shows the relationship between keywords, journals, countries, and authors. It helps to identify research trends, map interdisciplinary research, and evaluate research impact. The top 10 countries, keywords, and sources were selected to develop a Sankey three-plot diagram, which aids in visualizing the flow of scientific literature grounded in selected fields. As shown in Figure 11 below, the USA dominates scientific research on borrowers’ behavior, followed by India, France, Australia, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, Germany, Canada, and China. On the other hand, the top 10 dominant keywords are microfinance, banking, finance, gender, micro-credit, group lending, peer-to-peer lending, social capital, crowdfunding, and credit risk. The top ten sources of scientific information on borrowers’ behavior are the Journal of Development Economics, World Development, Applied Economics, Management Science, Electronic Commerce Research and Applications, European Economic Review, Applied Economic Review, International Journal of Finance and Economics, and Economic Notes.

4. Discussion

Understanding borrowers’ behavior is an integral part of credit assessment. Access to credit is a prerequisite to poverty alleviation and financial inclusion in developing and underdeveloped countries (Singh and Singh 2023). This paper adopted a bibliometric analysis approach to examine the trend in scientific studies related to borrowers’ behavior. A total of 989 studies and reviews were obtained from SCOPUS and used in the analysis.
A review of publications and citation structure shows a static publication trend from 1987 to 1997. Nonetheless, there was a drastic increase in scientific publications on borrowers’ behavior as financial inclusion and poverty alleviation gained interest among scholars, and journals on development economics and applied economics were established. During this period, the World Bank and other global financial bodies laid a greater emphasis on poverty alleviation. The United States is the leading country in scientific studies on borrowers’ behavior, which can be attributed to financial innovations in the 1980s that led to the introduction of new products such as adjustable-rate mortgages, credit cards, and securitization. On the other hand, China has been at the forefront in the fight against poverty and achieving financial inclusion for its citizens (Lee et al. 2023). It is worth noting that only developed countries have intensified studies of borrowers’ behavior, and developing countries are notably missing among the top 10 countries.
The most relevant scholars for conducting scientific research on borrowers’ behavior are Li and Agarwal, who are in different areas of study (computer science and economics, respectively). Nonetheless, Berger is the most influential scholar with the highest citations. Their scholarly work underscores the importance of a multidisciplinary approach to understanding the role of borrowers’ behavior in the decision-making process. The top ten articles on borrowers’ behavior and decision-making process focus on credit availability, consumer credit scoring, lending behavior, fintech, microlending, rational herding, and peer-to-peer lending. Network analysis of the co-occurrence of keywords established that banking and adverse selection, peer-to-peer lending, micro-finance, sustainability, and finance were the key words. On the other hand, the bibliographic coupling of sources established that The Journal of Development Economics and The Journal of applied economics had the greatest contribution to the research of borrowers’ behavior. Others, such as economic surveys, applied economics letters, technological forecasting, and Operational Economics Research had minimal link strength. Notably, journals of behavioral finance and finance-related studies are missing since journals related to economics are predominant. This finding implies that borrower’s behavior is not widely and adequately researched in finance, despite being a key component in credit lending decisions.
The USA’s dominance in borrowers’ behavior studies is further evidenced by a three-plot analysis comprising the top 10 countries, keywords, and sources. Others include India, France, Australia, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, Germany, Canada, and China. Micro-finance is the most dominant keyword, while the Journal of Development Economics, World Development, and Applied Economics are at the top of the list of the most influential journals.
Research Limitation
There are multiple limitations associated with this research. Firstly, the data were obtained only from Scopus. Secondly, the data obtained was limited to the keywords keyed into the research query. Thirdly, the keywords were selected based on heuristic trials, which creates the possibility of accidentally neglecting essential keywords.

5. Conclusions

Relative to the research questions, the research indicates that the scholarly work on borrowers’ behavior has attracted interest among scholars over time. A discernible trend emerges indicating that the publications on borrowers’ behavior are mainly in economics and applied economics journals, showcasing a sustained interest in economics over the passage of time. Interestingly, finance journals have not given the subject much attention, which implies that it can be explored further.
Looking at the global picture, developed countries continue to lead in studies examining borrowers’ behavior. The most influential scholars are from the United States and China, which also rank highly in publications. This shows that economic powerhouses are making a significant contribution towards understanding the behavior of borrowers and their decision-making process. On the other hand, developing countries are lagging behind in studies related to borrowers’ behavior.
It is also evident that borrowers’ behavior has not attracted much attention, as it is overshadowed by studies in lending behavior, micro-finance, banking, peer-to-peer lending, and fin-tech. The focus is mainly on the supply side of the credit industry with little regard to demand-side dynamics, such as borrowers’ decision-making processes, which can affect the performance of credit facilities. Therefore, there is a need to examine how people decide to borrow instead of only how money is given out.
Poverty alleviation cannot be achieved without financial inclusion since it enables people to access credit and capital, save and build assets, mitigate risk, facilitate remittances, enhance productivity, and empower marginalized groups. Therefore, there is a need to closely examine demand-side dynamics in the financial system to enhance financial inclusion.
Research collaboration between scholars in developed and developing economies can help eliminate scholarly disparities between continents. This collaboration can help identify borrowers’ behavior across different economies.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, D.M. and M.F.-F.; methodology, Z.L. and D.M.; software, D.M. and Z.L.; validation, D.M., M.F.-F. and Z.L.; formal analysis, D.M. and Z.L.; investigation, D.M.; resources, D.M. and M.F.-F.; data curation, D.M. and Z.L.; writing—original draft preparation, D.M.; writing—review and editing, M.F.-F. and Z.L.; visualization, D.M. and M.F.-F.; supervision, M.F.-F. and Z.L.; project administration, M.F.-F.; funding acquisition, M.F.-F. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Data Availability Statement

For further enquiries contact Farkasné Fekete Mária Magdolna [email protected].

Acknowledgments

The author acknowledges the Hungarian University of Agriculture and Life Sciences and Hungaricum Stipendium for their support.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

References

  1. Basyal, Tula Raj. 2009. Role of Finance-Nepal’s Relative Position in the Private Sector Credit. Socio-Economic Development Panorama 1: 5. [Google Scholar]
  2. Bradford, C. Samuel. 1934. Sources of Information on Specific Subjects. Engineering 137: 85–86. Available online: https://cir.nii.ac.jp/crid/1570854175272181632.bib?lang=en (accessed on 21 October 2023).
  3. Cavoli, Tony, and Sasidaran Gopalan. 2023. Does Financial Inclusion Promote Consumption Smoothing? Evidence from Emerging and Developing Economies. International Review of Economics and Finance 88: 1529–46. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  4. Cooshna-Naik, Dorothy. 2022. Exploring the Use of Tweets and Word Clouds as Strategies in Educational Research. Journal of Learning for Development 9: 89–103. Available online: https://twitter.com/ (accessed on 21 October 2023).
  5. Costa, Daniel Fonseca, Francisval de Melo Carvalho, Bruno César de Melo Moreira, and José Willer do Prado. 2017. Bibliometric Analysis on the Association between Behavioral Finance and Decision Making with Cognitive Biases Such as Overconfidence, Anchoring Effect and Confirmation Bias. Scientometrics 111: 1775–99. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  6. Dey, Shiladitya, Piyush Kumar Singh, and Megha Deepak Mhaskar. 2023. Determinants of Institutional Agricultural Credit Access and Its Linkage with Farmer Satisfaction in India: A Moderated-Mediation Analysis. Agricultural Finance Review 83: 211–41. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  7. Dezso, Linda, and George Loewenstein. 2012. Lenders’ Blind Trust and Borrowers’ Blind Spots: A Descriptive Investigation of Personal Loans. Journal of Economic Psychology 33: 996–1011. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  8. Falagas, Matthew E., Eleni I. Pitsouni, George A. Malietzis, and Georgios Pappas. 2008. Comparison of PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar: Strengths and Weaknesses. The FASEB Journal 22: 338–42. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  9. Galariotis, Emilios, and Jerome Monne. 2023. Basic Debt Literacy and Debt Behavior. International Review of Financial Analysis 88: 102673. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  10. Garman, E. Thomas. n.d. Personal Finance. Edited by Raymond Forgue. Dungannon: South West College.
  11. Goel, Akanksha, and Shailesh Rastogi. 2023. Understanding the Impact of Borrowers’ Behavioural and Psychological Traits on Credit Default: Review and Conceptual Model. Review of Behavioral Finance 15: 205–23. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  12. Hirsch, Jorge E. 2005. An Index to Quantify an Individual’s Scientific Research Output. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 102: 16569–72. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  13. Hua, Xiuping, Jianda Bi, and Haoqian Shi. 2023. The Appropriate Level of Financial Inclusion: The Perspective of Financial Stability. China Economic Quarterly International 3: 167–78. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  14. Juma, Silas, and David Mathuva. 2023. The Relevance of Traditional and Non-Traditional Borrower Data in Predicting Default in Financial Co-Operatives. Journal of Co-Operative Organization and Management 11: 100202. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  15. Kara, Alper, Haoyong Zhou, and Yifan Zhou. 2021. Achieving the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals through Financial Inclusion: A Systematic Literature Review of Access to Finance across the Globe. International Review of Financial Analysis 77: 101833. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  16. Koomson, Isaac, Paul Koomson, and Abdallah Abdul-Mumuni. 2023. Trust in Banks, Financial Inclusion and the Mediating Role of Borrower Discouragement. International Review of Economics and Finance 88: 1418–31. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  17. Ladouceur, Magalie, Bertrand Dugardin, Stéphanie Gourdin, Daniel Sidi, Damien Bonnet, and Laurence Iserin. 2011. Loan Applications in Adult Patients with Congenital Heart Disease: A French Study. Archives of Cardiovascular Diseases 104: 375–80. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  18. Lee, Chien-Chiang, Runchi Lou, and Fuhao Wang. 2023. Digital Financial Inclusion and Poverty Alleviation: Evidence from the Sustainable Development of China. Economic Analysis and Policy 77: 418–34. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  19. Lukas, Moritz, and Markus Nöth. 2019. Interest Rate Changes and Borrower Search Behavior. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 163: 172–89. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  20. Madeira, Carlos. 2023. Adverse Selection, Loan Access and Default Behavior in the Chilean Consumer Debt Market. Financial Innovation 9. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  21. Mingers, John, Frederico Macri, and Dan Petrovici. 2012. Using the H-Index to Measure the Quality of Journals in the Field of Business and Management. Information Processing and Management 48: 234–41. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  22. Morvinski, Coby, and Yaniv Shani. 2022. Misaligned Mindsets between Borrowers and Lenders of Small Interpersonal Loans. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 169: 104117. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  23. Mulay, Preeti, Rahul Joshi, and Archana Chaudhari. 2020. Distributed Incremental Clustering Algorithms: A Bibliometric and Word-Cloud Review Analysis. Science & Technology Libraries 39: 289–306. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  24. Nguyen-Trung, Kien, Steve Matthewman, and Shinya Uekusa. 2023. Understanding Risk-Taking Behaviours through the Practice-Oriented Risk Habitus and Multiple-Capital Model (P-HAC): A Case Study of Disaster-Affected Farmers. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 91: 103699. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  25. Oanh, Tran Thi Kim, Le Thi Thuy Van, and Le Quoc Dinh. 2023. Relationship between Financial Inclusion, Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: An Analysis in High Financial Development and Low Financial Development Countries. Heliyon 9. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  26. Osei-Tutu, Francis, and Laurent Weill. 2023. Individualism Reduces Borrower Discouragement. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 211: 370–85. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  27. Ozili, Peterson K. 2022. Financial Inclusion and Sustainable Development: An Empirical Association. Journal of Money and Business 2: 186–98. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  28. Paule-Vianez, Jessica, Raúl Gómez-Martínez, and Camilo Prado-Román. 2020. A Bibliometric Analysis of Behavioural Finance with Mapping Analysis Tools. European Research on Management and Business Economics 26: 71–77. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  29. Pavlou, Paul A., and David Gefen. 2004. Building Effective Online Marketplaces with Institution-Based Trust. Information Systems Research 15: 1–108. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  30. Rahman, Mahfuzur, Che Ruhana Isa, Muhammad Mehedi Masud, Moniruzzaman Sarker, and Nazreen T. Chowdhury. 2021. The Role of Financial Behaviour, Financial Literacy, and Financial Stress in Explaining the Financial Well-Being of B40 Group in Malaysia. Future Business Journal 7: 52. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  31. Rawate, K. R., and P. A. Tijare. 2017. Review on Prediction System for Bank Loan Credibility. International Journal of Advance Engineering and Research Development 4: 860–67. Available online: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85070074196&partnerID=40&md5=ceea116bad7335e577eb3c6b6b49f4d9 (accessed on 21 October 2023).
  32. Røpke, Inge. 2005. Trends in the Development of Ecological Economics from the Late 1980s to the Early 2000s. Ecological Economics 55: 262–90. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  33. Sindhuraj, Infant Cyril Gnanasamy Lazar, and Ananth John Patrick. 2023. Loan Eligibility Prediction Using Adaptive Hybrid Optimization Driven-Deep Neuro Fuzzy Network. Expert Systems with Applications 224: 119903. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  34. Singh, Jaskirat, and Manjit Singh. 2023. Does Financial Inclusion Impact Socio-Economic Stability? A Study of Social Safety Net in Indian Slums. International Journal of Social Economics 50: 1060–84. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  35. Tang, Xinyin, Jianping Zhu, Minna He, and Chong Feng. 2023. How Can We Learn from a Borrower’s Online Behaviors? The Signal Effect of a Borrower’s Platform Involvement on Its Credit Risk. Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 59: 101272. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  36. Tian, Geran, and Weixing Wu. 2023. Big Data Pricing in Marketplace Lending and Price Discrimination against Repeat Borrowers: Evidence from China. China Economic Review 78: 101944. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  37. Timsina, Neelam. 2014. Bank Credit and Economic Growth in Nepal: An Empirical Analysis #. Available online: www.nrb.org.np (accessed on 21 October 2023).
  38. Xi, Wenzhi, and Yingdong Wang. 2023. Digital Financial Inclusion and Quality of Economic Growth. Heliyon 9. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
Figure 1. The search methodology.
Figure 1. The search methodology.
Jrfm 17 00111 g001
Figure 2. Annual scientific production over time (Articles).
Figure 2. Annual scientific production over time (Articles).
Jrfm 17 00111 g002
Figure 3. Annual growth over time.
Figure 3. Annual growth over time.
Jrfm 17 00111 g003
Figure 4. Journal listings over time.
Figure 4. Journal listings over time.
Jrfm 17 00111 g004
Figure 5. The most relevant authors across the period.
Figure 5. The most relevant authors across the period.
Jrfm 17 00111 g005
Figure 6. Countries Yearly Production Over Time.
Figure 6. Countries Yearly Production Over Time.
Jrfm 17 00111 g006
Figure 7. Word Cloud showing keywords of interest.
Figure 7. Word Cloud showing keywords of interest.
Jrfm 17 00111 g007
Figure 8. Relationship between frequency and Rank.
Figure 8. Relationship between frequency and Rank.
Jrfm 17 00111 g008
Figure 9. Analysis of the co-occurrence of words.
Figure 9. Analysis of the co-occurrence of words.
Jrfm 17 00111 g009
Figure 10. Bibliographic coupling of sources.
Figure 10. Bibliographic coupling of sources.
Jrfm 17 00111 g010
Figure 11. Three-field plot analysis of borrowers’ behavior.
Figure 11. Three-field plot analysis of borrowers’ behavior.
Jrfm 17 00111 g011
Table 1. Number of Articles Considered for Analysis.
Table 1. Number of Articles Considered for Analysis.
Terms that have been searched are “borrowers AND behavior OR decision OR psychology OR habits OR preferences OR attitudes OR motivation” Limited to Business or decision making or lending behavior or banking, or micro-finance, or finance, or consumption behavior, and English.
Article967
Conference77
Paper Review29
Book Chapter8
Book1
Total1082
Jrfm 17 00111 i001
Limit to document type as “Article and “Review”
Article961
Review28
Total989
Table 2. Top 20 core sources based on Bradford’s law.
Table 2. Top 20 core sources based on Bradford’s law.
SourceRankFreqCum. FreqZone
Applied Economics15454Zone 1
Journal of Development Economics253107Zone 1
World Development346153Zone 1
Applied Economics Letters421174Zone 1
Economic Notes520194Zone 1
European Economic Review620214Zone 1
Management Science720234Zone 1
International Journal of Finance and Economics818252Zone 1
Electronic Commerce Research and Applications916268Zone 1
Economic Journal1015283Zone 1
International Journal of Social Economics1115298Zone 1
Applied Financial Economics1214312Zone 1
Economic Development and Cultural Change1312324Zone 1
Journal of Banking and Finance1412336Zone 1
Journal of Economic Surveys1512348Zone 2
Journal of International Economics1612360Zone 2
Journal of the Operational Research Society1711371Zone 2
Review of Economic Studies1811382Zone 2
Oxford Economic Papers1910392Zone 2
Empirical Economics209401Zone 2
Table 3. Summary of article distribution according to Bradford’s law.
Table 3. Summary of article distribution according to Bradford’s law.
Journals Articles
N% N%
Zone 1144.72973Zone 133633.97371
Zone 25618.91892Zone 232933.26593
Zone 322676.35135Zone 332432.76036
296 989
Table 4. The H-index of the top ten authors.
Table 4. The H-index of the top ten authors.
AuthorsH. Index
Agarwal S5
Lensink R5
Li Y5
Liu C5
Mcintosh C5
Thomas LC5
Wydick B5
Chen X4
Chomsisengphet S4
Chowdhury PR4
Table 5. Top 20 most-cited articles on borrowers’ behavior.
Table 5. Top 20 most-cited articles on borrowers’ behavior.
RankPaperTitleTotal Citations
1.Berger AN, 2002Small business credit availability and relationship lending: the importance of bank organizational structure.886
2.Diamond DW, 2001Liquidity risk, liquidity creation, and financial fragility: a theory of banking683
3.Berger AN, 2013How does capital affect bank performance during financial crises?678
4.Hand DJ, 1997Statistical Classification Methods in Consumer Credit Scoring: a Review.575
5.Gomber P, 2018On the Fintech Revolution: Interpreting the Forces of Innovation, Disruption, and Transformation in Financial Services532
6.Zhang J, 2012Rational Herding in Microloan Markets523
7.Thomas LC, 2000A survey of credit and behavioral scoring: forecasting financial risk of lending to consumers520
8.Mian A, 2013Household balance sheets, consumption, and the economic slump484
9.Chodorow-Reich G, 2014The Employment Effects of Credit Market Disruptions: Firm-level Evidence from the 2008–9 Financial Crisis. 427
10.Ghatak M, 1999The economics of lending with joint liability: theory and practice409
11.Hermes N, 2011Outreach and Efficiency of Microfinance Institutions392
12.Dimitras AI, 1996A survey of business failures with an emphasis on prediction methods and industrial applications386
13.Altman EI, 2007Modeling Credit Risk for SMEs: Evidence from the U.S. Market348
14.Lin M, 2016Home Bias in Online Investments: An Empirical Study of an Online Crowdfunding Market336
15.Emekter R, 2015Evaluating credit risk and loan performance in online peer-to-peer (P2P) lending329
16.Ghatak M, 1999Group lending, local information, and peer selection307
17.Burtch G, 2014Cultural differences and geography as determinants of online prosocial lending.278
18.Iyer R, 2016Screening Peers Softly: Inferring the Quality of Small Borrowers260
19.Lee E, 2012Herding behavior in online P2P lending: An empirical investigation255
20.Lukkarinen A, 2016Success drivers of online equity crowdfunding campaigns.254
Table 6. Productivity of authors based on Lotka’s law.
Table 6. Productivity of authors based on Lotka’s law.
Documents WrittenN. of AuthorsProportion of Authors
116970.871
21710.088
3420.022
4240.012
570.004
660.003
810.001
Table 7. H-index of the top ten journals.
Table 7. H-index of the top ten journals.
JournalH_INDEXSCIMAGO Ranking
Management Science278Q1
Applied Economics278Q1
World Development208Q1
Economic Journal179Q1
Journal of Development Economics160Q1
Review of Economic Studies158Q1
European Economic Review142Q1
Journal of Economic Surveys105Q1
Electronic Commerce Research and Applications91Q1
Economic Development and Cultural Change80Q1
Table 8. Frequency of the top 10 words based on Zipf’s law.
Table 8. Frequency of the top 10 words based on Zipf’s law.
TermsFrequency
Lending behavior365
Credit provision279
Banking239
Finance150
Microfinance131
Financial system80
Debt71
Financial market71
Interest rate69
Financial crisis48
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content.

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Mwirigi, D.; Fekete-Farkas, M.; Lakner, Z. A Bibliometric Analysis of Borrowers’ Behavior. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17, 111. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030111

AMA Style

Mwirigi D, Fekete-Farkas M, Lakner Z. A Bibliometric Analysis of Borrowers’ Behavior. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2024; 17(3):111. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030111

Chicago/Turabian Style

Mwirigi, Douglas, Mária Fekete-Farkas, and Zoltán Lakner. 2024. "A Bibliometric Analysis of Borrowers’ Behavior" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 17, no. 3: 111. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030111

APA Style

Mwirigi, D., Fekete-Farkas, M., & Lakner, Z. (2024). A Bibliometric Analysis of Borrowers’ Behavior. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 17(3), 111. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17030111

Article Metrics

Back to TopTop