Exploring the Nexus of Dividend Policy, Third-Party Funds, Financial Performance, and Company Value: The Role of IT Innovation as a Moderator
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review and Hypotheses Development
2.1. Literature Review
2.1.1. Agency Theory
2.1.2. Signaling Theory
2.1.3. Growth Theory
2.2. Hypothesis Development
2.2.1. Dividend Policy, Financial Performance, and Company Value
2.2.2. Third-Party Funds, Financial Performance, and Company Value
2.2.3. Financial Performance and Company Value
2.2.4. IT Innovation as Mediator
3. Research Design and Methodology
3.1. Research Design
- (1)
- Commercial banks registered on the IDX during the 2016–2022 period.
- (2)
- Commercial banks that are included in the BUKU 4 category. Commercial banks that are included in the BUKU 4 category in Indonesia have quite a large core capital. The main reason for using banks with large capital as samples in this study is to provide a stronger representation of the banking industry. Banks with large capital tend to be more stable and have higher credibility in the banking industry (Thakor 2014). Large enough capital indicates that these banks have sufficient financial resources to overcome economic challenges and risks that may arise. This provides confidence in the analysis results taken from banks with large capital. Banks with large capital tend to have greater influence in financial markets and may operate in a wider range of economic sectors. Apart from that, the selection criteria for commercial banks that are included in the BUKU 4 category have been further narrowed down by selecting banks that are included in the BUKU IV category starting in 2020 since the COVID-19 pandemic began, where these banks still have large capital. Therefore, the analysis results from these banks can provide insight into the influence between financial performance, company value, and broader economic activity.
- (3)
- Commercial banks that innovate in the IT sector. As regulated in the Financial Services Authority Regulation (POJK) Number 12/POJK.3/2018 concerning the Implementation of Digital Banking Services by Commercial Banks, it regulates digital banking services, which states that competition in the financial services industry is increasing, encouraging banks to improve the quality of services provided to customers. This is one of the initiatives to improve bank capabilities, utilizing advances in information technology more appropriately to encourage innovation in bank services and create service continuity for consumers.
3.2. Methodology
4. Results
4.1. Descriptive Analysis: Profile of Research’s Respondents
4.2. Measurement Model Evaluation: Outer Model
4.3. Structural Model: Hypothesis Testing (Direct Effect), Indirect Effect, and Moderation Effect
4.4. Model Fit Indices
5. Discussion
5.1. The Effect of Dividend Policy on Financial Performance
5.2. The Effect of Third-Party Funds on Financial Performance
5.3. The Effect of Dividend Policy on Company Value
5.4. The Effect of Third-Party Funds on Company Value
5.5. The Effect of Financial Performance on Company Value
5.6. IT Innovation Moderates the Influence of Third-Party Funds on Company Value
5.7. IT Innovation Moderates the Effect of Financial Performance on Company Value
5.8. Limitations and Future Directions
- (1)
- One focus of this study is the role of IT Innovation, but the indicators used are still limited. Meanwhile, technology developments are rapidly evolving. For example, the use of AI (artificial intelligence) may be employed by banks, but it cannot yet be numerically measured as an indicator due to the broad definition of AI usage. Subsequent researchers may consider AI indicators as one of the IT Innovation indicators that can be explored more deeply.
- (2)
- Another limitation of this study is the inability to capture the COVID-19 pandemic conditions, thus not fully reflecting the significant changes resulting from the pandemic. Therefore, there is significant room for further researchers to explore and integrate the impact of the pandemic in similar studies. Future research can be designed to specifically capture pandemic conditions, considering variables relevant to this global health crisis, and how these conditions affect the phenomenon under study.
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variable | Indicator | Source |
---|---|---|
Dividend policy | Dividend Payout Ratio | Seth and Mahenthiran (2022) |
Dividend Yield | Kanakriyah (2020) | |
Third-party funds | Giro | Kustina et al. (2019) |
Deposit | Kustina et al. (2019) | |
Savings | Kustina et al. (2019) | |
Financial performance | Return On Assets | Riadi (2018) |
Non-performing Loan | Surat Edaran No. 6/23/DNP tanggal 31 Mei 2004 | |
Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR) | Surat Edaran Bank Indonesia Nomor 13/30/DNP | |
Net Interest Margin (NIM) | Surat Edaran Bank Indonesia Nomor 13/30/DNP | |
Company value | Stock Prices | Dyl and Elliott (2006) |
Tobin’s Q | Adiputra and Hermawan (2020) | |
IT Innovation | The Number of Internet Banking Users | Ashiru et al. (2023) |
The Number of Mobile Banking Users | Ashiru et al. (2023) | |
The Number of Automated Teller Machine Users | Ashiru et al. (2023) |
Banks | Description |
---|---|
OCBC NISP (NISP) | IDR 31.28 trillion equity, known for reliable and innovative banking services, focuses on customer needs and technology development. |
Bank Tabungan Pensiunan Nasional (BTPN) | IDR 32.86 trillion equity, specializes in services for pensioners and retail segments, committed to providing value-added financial solutions. |
Bank Permata (BNLI) | IDR 35.65 trillion equity, maintains identity under Bank Mandiri, emphasizes innovative banking services for corporate and retail sectors. |
Bank Panin Dubai Syariah (PNBN) | IDR 39.83 trillion equity, excels as an Islamic bank, committed to Sharia principles and innovative Islamic banking products. |
CIMB Niaga (BNGA) | IDR 45.27 trillion equity, offers affordable and innovative banking services for corporate and retail sectors with CIMB Group support. |
Danamon (BDMN) | IDR 47.48 trillion equity, shows positive growth, provides diverse financial products and services. |
Bank Negara Indonesia (BNI-BBNI) | IDR 131.38 trillion equity, a major player in supporting the national economy across various sectors. |
Bank Central Asia (BCA-BBCA) | IDR 221.37 trillion equity, known for efficient and innovative banking services, significantly contributes to national economic transactions. |
Mandiri (BMRI) | IDR 252.08 trillion equity, plays a central role in national economic development, offering diverse banking services. |
Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI-BBRI) | IDR 303.39 trillion equity, focuses on microbanking and small business credit services, crucial for Indonesia’s microeconomic stability. |
Variable | Indicator | Indicator Model | Weight | p Value |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dividend policy (X1) | Dividend Payout Ratio (X1.1) | Formative | 0.532 | <0.001 |
Dividend Yield (X1.2) | Formative | 0.532 | <0.001 | |
Third-party funds (X2) | Giro (X2.1) | Formative | 0.339 | 0.001 |
Deposit (X2.2) | Formative | 0.353 | <0.001 | |
Savings (X2.3) | Formative | 0.355 | <0.001 | |
Financial performance (Y1) | Return On Assets (Y1.1) | Formative | 0.525 | <0.001 |
Non-performing Loan (Y1.2) | Formative | 0.335 | 0.001 | |
Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR) (Y1.3) | Formative | 0.326 | 0.001 | |
Net Interest Margin (NIM) (Y1.4) | Formative | 0.523 | <0.001 | |
Company value (Y2) | Stock prices (Y2.1) | Formative | 0.882 | <0.001 |
Tobin’s Q (Y2.2) | Formative | 0.882 | 0.001 | |
IT Innovation (M1) | ATM (M1.1) | Formative | 0.316 | <0.001 |
Mobile Banking (M1.2) | Formative | 0.589 | <0.001 | |
Internet Banking (M1.3) | Formative | 0.578 | <0.001 |
Variable | Path Coefficient | p-Value | Test Results | Conclusion | ||
Predictor | Response | |||||
Direct Effect | ||||||
Dividend policy (X1) | Financial performance (Y1) | 0.071 ns | 0.274 | Not Significant | H1 Not Supported | |
Third-party funds (X2) | Financial performance (Y1) | 0.595 ** | <0.001 | Significant | H3 Supported | |
Dividend policy (X1) | Company value (Y2) | 0.105 ns | 0.184 | Not Significant | H2 Not Supported | |
Third-party funds (X2) | Company value (Y2) | 0.268 ** | 0.008 | Significant | H4 Supported | |
Financial performance (Y1) | Company value (Y2) | 0.323 ** | 0.002 | Significant | H5 Supported | |
Moderation Effect (Interaction Variable) | ||||||
Variable | Path Coefficient | p-Value | Test Results | Conclusion | ||
Predictor | Moderation | Response | ||||
Third-party funds (X2) | IT Innovation (M1) | Company value (Y2) | 0.383 ** | <0.001 | Significant | H6 Supported |
Financial performance (Y1) | IT Innovation (M1) | Company value (Y2) | 0.521 ** | <0.001 | Significant | H7 Supported |
Variable | Path Coef. | p Value | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Predictor | Mediation | Response | ||
Dividend policy (X1) | Financial performance (Y1) | Company value (Y2) | 0.023 | 0.037 (Significant) |
Third-party funds (X2) | Financial performance (Y1) | Company value (Y2) | 0.192 | 0.009 (Significant) |
No. | Indicator Model | Weight | p Value | Results |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Average path coefficient | APC = 0.297 p = 0.002 | p < 0.05 | Significant |
2 | Average R-squared | ARS = 0.414 p < 0.001 | p < 0.05 | Significant |
3 | Average adjusted R-squared | AARS = 0.345 p < 0.001 | p < 0.05 | Significant |
4 | Average block VIF | AVIF = 3.214 | acceptable jika AVIF ≤ 5 ideal jika AVIF ≤ 3.30 | Ideal |
5 | Average full collinearity VIF | AFVIF = 2.464 | acceptable jika AFVIF ≤ 5 ideal jika AFVIF ≤ 3.30 | Ideal |
6 | Sympson’s paradox ratio | SPR = 0.767 | acceptable jika SPR ≥ 0.70 ideal jika SPR = 1 | Acceptable |
7 | R-squared contribution ratio | RSCR = 0.983 | acceptable jika RSCR ≥ 0.90 ideal RSCR = 1 | Acceptable |
8 | Statistical suppression ratio | SSR = 1.000 | acceptable jika SSR ≥ 0.70 | Acceptable |
9 | Nonlinear bivariate causality direction ratio | NLBCDR = 0.917 | acceptable jika NLBCDR ≥ 0.70 | Acceptable |
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Amimakmur, S.A.; Saifi, M.; Damayanti, C.R.; Hutahayan, B. Exploring the Nexus of Dividend Policy, Third-Party Funds, Financial Performance, and Company Value: The Role of IT Innovation as a Moderator. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2024, 17, 210. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17050210
Amimakmur SA, Saifi M, Damayanti CR, Hutahayan B. Exploring the Nexus of Dividend Policy, Third-Party Funds, Financial Performance, and Company Value: The Role of IT Innovation as a Moderator. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2024; 17(5):210. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17050210
Chicago/Turabian StyleAmimakmur, Satria Amiputra, Muhammad Saifi, Cacik Rut Damayanti, and Benny Hutahayan. 2024. "Exploring the Nexus of Dividend Policy, Third-Party Funds, Financial Performance, and Company Value: The Role of IT Innovation as a Moderator" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 17, no. 5: 210. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17050210
APA StyleAmimakmur, S. A., Saifi, M., Damayanti, C. R., & Hutahayan, B. (2024). Exploring the Nexus of Dividend Policy, Third-Party Funds, Financial Performance, and Company Value: The Role of IT Innovation as a Moderator. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 17(5), 210. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17050210