2. Literature Review and Hypothesis Development
A significant portion of the literature has examined the effects of bank mergers. Among them,
Went (
2003) showed that bank mergers improve the profitability, market position, and customer service of the merged institution. Similarly,
Ly and Shimizu (
2018) investigated the management of funding liquidity risk by a multi-bank holding company (MBHC) through its internal liquidity market, providing evidence that the diversification effect occurs after the bank merger and that member banks benefit from diversifying risk when a new entrant joins.
Although a large amount of the literature has examined the effects of bank mergers, the specific effect on borrowers, particularly concerning their working capital management, has been relatively under-researched. One influential study examining the relationship between bank mergers and borrower performance was conducted by
Degryse et al. (
2011). They examined the bank–borrower relationship after a bank merger. Following a bank merger, soft information available at the target bank may be lost if key employees leave or move within the merging bank (
Degryse et al. 2011, p. 1114). Hence, borrowers are more harmed when the relationship is dropped after a merger than otherwise. For example, the asset growth of droppers after a merger is lower than that of stayers and switchers. Additionally,
Pasiouras et al. (
2007) determined that acquired banks are less profitable and less efficient in managing expenses.
Fraisse et al. (
2018) indicated that merging banks reduce their lending in local markets where their market shares overlapped before the merger relative to local markets in which at least one of the merging banks had a small market share.
Montgomery and Takahashi (
2018) found evidence that a merger announcement by a firm’s main bank results in a contraction in credit supply from the merging bank. Also, the strategic financial management of corporate borrowers may need to be adjusted in light of a bank merger. This includes adjusting investment plans, cash flow management, and risk management strategies to accommodate new banking practices or to mitigate the adverse impact of the merger on financing conditions (
Ogada et al. 2017).
Dzhagityan (
2018) showed that mergers and acquisitions serve as strategic interventions within the banking sector, potentially offering both opportunities and challenges to corporate borrowers. They can be pivotal in reshaping the competitive landscape and the availability of financial resources for borrowers. This suggests that bank mergers might weaken the liquidity-providing function of banks, compelling firms to adjust their financial management strategies, including investment plans and risk management approaches, to mitigate the adverse effects of reduced financing availability (
Ogada et al. 2017).
The impact of bank mergers on the cost of borrowing can be significant. Interest rates on loans may decrease if the merger leads to increased efficiency and competition within the local market. However, if the merger significantly decreases competition, the cost of borrowing may increase as the consolidated bank exploits its market power (
Gachigo et al. 2022). This observation is supported by
Bonaccorsi di Patti and Gobbi (
2007), who examined the impact of bank M&As on outstanding credit. They found evidence that corporate borrowers experience a reduction in outstanding credit and that the reduction depends on the share of credit borrowed from the merged banks. Additionally, relationship termination has a more significant adverse impact on credit volumes.
Moreover, the analysis extends into how mergers affect loan contracts and the broader competitive landscape of the banking sector, influencing interest rate margins and bank stock prices.
Sapienza (
2002) examined the effects of bank mergers on loan contracts. After the in-market merger, loan interest rates charged by the consolidated banks decrease substantially. After out-of-market mergers, i.e., mergers between banks previously operating in different provinces, the decrease in interest rates is not as significant; hence, in-market mergers generate higher efficiency than out-of-market mergers. Additionally,
Chortareas et al. (
2012) investigated the determinants of interest rate margins, and they found that increased competition in the banking sector tends to reduce interest rate margins.
Asimakopoulos and Athanasoglou (
2013) examined the impact of bank M&A announcements on bank stock prices. Bank merger announcements are positively associated with the stock price of the target bank, while they do not create value for the acquirer’s shareholders. Furthermore,
Karceski et al. (
2005) examined the impact of bank merger announcements on borrowers’ stock prices. Bank merger announcements are associated with stock price declines for the target borrowers, especially smaller target borrowers in large bank mergers, and, to a lesser extent, stock price increases for acquiring borrowers. These results suggest that merged banks tend to adopt practices that favor acquiring borrowers over target borrowers. Additionally, they found evidence suggesting that firms with low switching costs may switch banks, while similar firms with high switching costs remain locked into their current relationship.
Among the literature on working capital management,
Brennan et al. (
1988) argued that firms with market power should optimally engage in vendor financing if credit customers have lower reservation prices than cash customers or if adverse selection makes it infeasible to write credit contracts that separate customers according to their credit risk.
Fazzari and Petersen (
1993) suggested that working capital is considered a source of internal funds.
Hill et al. (
2010) argued that sales growth, the uncertainty of sales, costly external financing, and financial distress encourage firms to pursue more aggressive working capital strategies, while firms with greater internal financing capacity and superior capital market access employ more conservative working capital policies.
Petersen and Rajan (
1997) argued that financially constrained firms use trade credit when credit from financial institutions is unavailable. Additionally,
Kieschnick and Rotenberg (
2016) found that small firms tend to hold excess cash to hedge business risks compared to large firms, suggesting that small and large firms have very different working capital management strategies.
Although these studies focus on borrowers’ credit, investment, stock price, and loan rate, little existing research has investigated the relationship between bank mergers and borrowers’ working capital management. As an exception,
Fraisse et al. (
2018) investigated the effect of a merger between two large banks on trade credit used. Accompanied by a reduction in lending after the bank merger, an insignificant substituting result of trade credit for bank credit is found. They argue that firms have local suppliers or customers affected by the same credit supply shock as themselves. Furthermore,
Francis et al. (
2014) focused on the cash policy of nonfinancial corporations after the merger of banks and found that the intensity of in-market bank mergers is negatively related to corporate cash holdings.
Our study builds on these insights, focusing specifically on the under-researched area of bank mergers’ implications for borrower firms’ working capital management. By integrating the existing findings with our empirical investigation, we aim to shed new light on how bank consolidations impact borrowers’ financial strategies, providing a comprehensive understanding that bridges the gap in the current literature. Specifically, we extend the work of
Chen and Kieschnick (
2018), who investigated how changes in the availability of bank credit can influence borrower firms’ working capital management, and analyzed its relationship with bank mergers. We not only analyze the impact of bank mergers on changes in bank credit but also clarify the link between bank credit and working capital management and calculate the merger effect to clarify the impact of bank mergers on borrowing firms’ working capital management. We consider that bank mergers affect bank credit availability, and changes in bank credit availability are closely related to working capital management. We link these two streams of the literature, i.e., bank mergers’ literature and nonfinancial firms’ working capital management literature, and shed new light on corporate working capital management in the context of bank mergers.
Bank M&As negatively shock the credit supply because they impact bank–client relationships. As emphasized by
Singh et al. (
2023), it is crucial to understand the intricate linkages between the various elements of the banking system, of which the customer relationship is a key element. The information generated by the relationships is difficult to transfer to the post-merger banks because bank M&As lead to the loss of knowledge accumulated within each merging bank due to organizational changes, employee turnover, and branch downsizing after the bank merger (
Bonaccorsi di Patti and Gobbi 2007). We expect bank mergers to negatively affect changes in firms’ total bank borrowings. However, because of bank mergers, bank size changes affect the bank loan supply (
Stein 2002), and the loan market structure impacts changes in bank size on credit availability (
Berger et al. 2007;
Jayaratne and Wolken 1999). Furthermore, bank mergers reduce banks’ information-gathering costs and increase bank efficiency, which increases overall market efficiency (
Focarelli et al. 2002). Thus, we develop the first hypothesis about the effect of bank mergers on changes in bank credit availability:
Hypothesis 1. A bank merger decreases the rate of change in bank borrowings.
The second analysis investigates each component of working capital management. The working capital comprises cash holdings (CASH), receivables (RCVs), inventories (INVs), other current assets (OCAs), trade credit used (accounts payable) (TC), and other current liabilities (OCLs).
Harford et al. (
2014) found that refinancing risk is a key determinant of cash holdings, and firms mitigate refinancing risk by increasing their cash holdings.
Kling et al. (
2014) also found evidence that a short-term liquidity shock leads to more cash holdings. That is, if bank credit increases and the probability that a firm can pay its debts rises, the firm should reduce its cash holdings, consistent with Hypothesis 1 explained by
Chen and Kieschnick (
2018). If our Hypothesis 1 (i.e., bank merger results in a decrease in the rate of change in total bank borrowings) holds, the bank merger results in an increase in corporate cash holdings through a decrease in the rate of change in total bank borrowings. To the best of our knowledge, no existing literature has studied the impacts of bank mergers on corporate cash holdings except for
Francis et al. (
2014).
Francis et al. (
2014) suggested that the merged bank can pass on its synergies and efficiency gains to bank customers. After the bank merger, corporate borrowers benefit from lower interest rates and improved access to external capital; hence, there is less incentive to hoard cash. For the impact of bank mergers on corporate cash holdings, we develop the following hypothesis:
Hypothesis 2. A bank merger increases corporate cash holdings (CASH).
No research has investigated the relationship between bank mergers and corporate account receivables.
Yang (
2011) tested the relationship between account receivables and bank credit, finding a complementary effect, i.e., a positive effect, between bank credit and account receivables.
Lin and Chou (
2015) also found a positive relationship between account receivables and bank credit. According to Hypothesis 3 explained by
Chen and Kieschnick (
2018), all else being equal, an increase in bank credit would increase the credit that the firm extends to its customers. In addition, firms with better access to credit may offer more trade credit to their customers (
Petersen and Rajan 1997). Furthermore,
Love et al. (
2007) found that account receivables decrease after a crisis, and they argue that the reduction in account receivables is driven by the reduction in the supply of bank credit; hence, we predict that if bank credit is less (more) available after the bank merger, the borrowing firm provides less (more) credit to its customers. We expect that bank mergers are negatively associated with corporate account receivables.
Regarding account receivables, we develop the following hypothesis:
Hypothesis 3. A bank merger decreases account receivables (RCVs).
Inventories and other current assets can be regarded as a substitute for cash (
Bates et al. 2009) or a source of internal funds, i.e., a readily reversible store of liquidity (
Fazzari and Petersen 1993, pp. 329, 335). If bank credit becomes readily available, firms meet the lower refinancing risk and do not need to hold too much cash; therefore, firms would increase their investment in inventories to substitute cash holdings. Moreover, according to
Chen and Kieschnick (
2018), increased bank credit availability lowers the cost of bank financing, allowing firms to increase investments in inventories. As a result, we expect that bank mergers lead to reduced inventories due to decreased bank credit availability.
Next, we consider the following hypotheses:
Hypothesis 4. A bank merger decreases inventories (INVs).
Among other current asset accounts, reverse trade credit or supply chain financing is also included (
Chen and Kieschnick 2018). Prior reports in the literature suggest that this form of financing is a substitute for bank financing or trade credit, and then we can expect that firms can increase this form of financing as bank credit becomes less available due to bank mergers.
Hypothesis 5. A bank merger increases other current assets (OCAs).
No studies have examined the relationship between bank mergers and TC. Since firms often use either bank credit or TC to finance their investments, these sources of financing may be complements or substitutes (
Chen and Kieschnick 2018, p. 582).
Burkart and Ellingsen (
2004) suggested that TC and bank credit are complements for financially constrained firms, and
Uesugi and Yamashiro (
2008) argued that TC and bank loans are complementary for small firms in Japan. These analyses suggest that trade credit and bank credit cannot be substitutes, but they are complementary. That is, the increase in bank loans can increase the use of TC; however, there is evidence that firms use more TC when credit from banks is unavailable (
Petersen and Rajan 1997). Furthermore,
Yang (
2011) found a substitute effect between bank credit and accounts payable. According to Hypothesis 1, we predict that bank mergers result in a reduction in the growth of total bank borrowings; therefore, we expect that bank mergers result in a decrease in TC used.
Mateut (
2014) found that firms’ use of advanced prepayment by customer firms (OCL) positively correlates with the prepayments received from customers (RCV). Therefore, we expect a positive correlation between bank credit and the company’s other current liabilities accounts. That is, bank mergers reduce OCLs.
We develop the following two hypotheses for the liability side of working capital:
Hypothesis 6. The bank merger results in the reduction in trade credit (TC) used.
Hypothesis 7. A bank merger reduces other current liabilities (OCLs).
Chen and Kieschnick (
2018) suggested that working capital management by bank-dependent and non-bank-dependent firms differ significantly. They found evidence that bank-dependent firms tend to hold more cash, extend and use more TC, and hold larger inventories than less bank-dependent firms. These findings suggest that bank dependence is closely related to working capital management. The working capital responses of bank-dependent firms to changes in the availability of bank credit differ from those of less bank-dependent firms in some areas.
The last hypothesis that we consider is as follows:
Hypothesis 8. The impacts of bank mergers on working capital through bank credit availability of bank-dependent firms are greater than those of non-bank-dependent firms.
Summarizing our development of hypotheses, we consider Hypotheses 2–7 to determine which component contributes to the reduction or increase in the working capital under Hypothesis 1. We also consider Hypothesis 8 to identify the effect of bank mergers on bank-dependent firms’ working capital management.
4. Empirical Evidence
4.1. Impacts of Bank Mergers on Growth in Bank Credit
The first analysis investigates the impacts of bank mergers on growth in bank credit.
Table 3 reports the estimated results of Equation (2). From columns (1) to (3), the merger dummy MGR has a significantly negative effect on the growth rate of total bank borrowings TBG. This result is consistent with Hypothesis 1—the bank merger decreases the rate of change in total bank borrowings.
This result implies that bank mergers deteriorate the bank’s function of liquidity production because the bank merger prevents the bank from using the soft information of loan officers previously hired by either the merged or the merging bank. That is, bank mergers weaken banks’ information technology, which deteriorates the liquidity provision function.
Rhoades (
1998) indicates that bank mergers often result in significant cost cuts, but unexpected difficulties in integrating data processing systems and operations can hinder efficiency gains. Alternatively, the bank merger reduces the efficiency of bank management (
Montgomery et al. 2014), and as a result, a less efficient bank cannot extend the loan amount after the merger.
From columns (4) to (6), we estimate the regression equation using the top lender merger dummy TMGR. Each coefficient of TMGR is significantly negative. Consolidations of top lenders are associated with a reduction in the growth of total borrowings.
Montgomery and Takahashi (
2018) indicate that a merger announcement by a firm’s main bank results in a decrease in credit supply from the merging bank. These results support Hypothesis 1.
As reported in
Table 2, our sample of data on firms in Japan exhibits a significantly negative merger effect even in the sample mean. Our regression results are also consistent with
Bonaccorsi di Patti and Gobbi (
2007), who found that the bank borrowing is negatively associated with bank mergers.
Table 3 estimations include industry-fixed effects because the dependence on working capital varies across industries. Among the control variables, cash flow volatility lnCFV has a significant negative effect, while profit margin PM and R&D intensity RD have significant positive effects on the dependent variables.
4.2. Impacts of Bank Mergers on Working Capital Management through Bank Credit
The second analysis investigates the relationship between bank mergers and working capital management, considering the effect of bank mergers on the growth rate of bank borrowings.
Table 4 reports the estimated results of Equation (3).
In column (1), the growth in total borrowings TBG has a significantly negative effect on CASH, which means that firms with lower growth in bank credit hold increased amounts of cash. This result implies that when bank credit becomes less available after a merger, the borrower firms have hard access to external funding and, therefore, must hold more cash. The merger effect is 0.030, indicating that bank mergers increase corporate cash holdings through decreased growth in bank borrowings. This result supports Hypothesis 2, which suggests that borrowing firms find it more difficult to manage working capital and need to mitigate refinancing risk more carefully by holding more cash.
In column (2), the coefficient of TBG is significantly positive, indicating that firms with a lower amount of bank credit hold a lower amount of account receivables. The firm is willing to offer less credit to its customers when it borrows smaller amounts of bank loans. The merger effect is calculated as −0.015, which means that the bank mergers negatively affect account receivables through decreased growth in bank borrowings. That is, the consolidation of trading banks would affect the firm’s decisions regarding the provision of credit to its customers. This result supports Hypothesis 3, which suggests that borrowing firms find it more difficult to manage working capital and cannot extend more TC to their customers because their access to credit worsens.
In column (3), growth in total borrowings TBG has a significantly positive effect on INV, which means that a decrease in bank credit reduces the amount of investment in inventories. The total merger effect is −0.028, which means that bank mergers reduce inventories by decreasing bank borrowings. This result supports Hypothesis 4, which suggests that borrowing firms find it more difficult to manage working capital and need to hold more cash for refinancing risk consideration; therefore, they hold fewer inventories to substitute cash holdings.
In column (4), the coefficient of TBG is significantly negative. The total merger effect is calculated as 0.008, which means that bank mergers lead to an increase in OCA; this result supports Hypothesis 5.
In column (5), growth in total borrowings TBG has a significantly positive effect on trade credit used TC, i.e., accounts payable, which means that the relationship between bank credit and accounts payable is complementary. The total merger effect is calculated as −0.013, which supports Hypothesis 6—bank mergers reduce TC by decreasing bank borrowings. Since there is no substitution relationship between bank credit and TC, bank mergers make bank credit less available, and borrowing firms reduce the use of TC. Working capital management becomes increasingly difficult after a bank merger.
Column (6) shows that the growth in total borrowings TBG has a significantly positive effect on OCL, which means that extended bank credit increases other current liabilities. The merger effect is calculated as −0.037, indicating that bank mergers reduce OCL by decreasing bank borrowings; this result supports Hypothesis 7.
In panel B, we use the top lender merger dummy TMGR when estimating the first stage equation, and we use its residuals. The results are similar to panel A, except for the result of OCA, suggesting that if a firm experiences a merger of top lenders, it may react the same way in cash holdings, account receivables, accounts payable, and OCL.
The results for the control variables in panel A and panel B are similar. First, the tangibility TNG mostly has a significantly negative effect on the dependent variables. As the tangible assets serving as collateral increase, a firm can borrow more due to the mitigated agency costs of debt, which reduces working capital, at least through a decrease in precautionary demand for cash. Second, the cash flow volatility lnCFV significantly negatively affects CASH and RCV—greater cash flow volatility results in reduced cash holdings and account receivables. Third, firm size lnTA significantly negatively affects RCV and TC. As firm size increases, a firm’s creditworthiness rises, which results in the reduction in RCV and TC. Moreover, the profit margin is significantly positively associated with TC and negatively associated with OCA and OCL. Sales growth significantly negatively affects RCV and TC and positively affects OCA and OCL. R&D intensity is significantly positively associated with TC and negatively associated with OCA and OCL. Finally, GDP growth is significantly positively associated with CASH, RCV, and TC and negatively associated with OCA and OCL. Furthermore, GDP growth is significantly negatively associated with INV in panel B.
4.3. Bank Dependency and Merger Effect on Working Capital Management
Although previous evidence shows the main impacts of bank mergers on firms’ working capital financing and TBG, it is unclear how bank-dependent and non-bank-dependent firms respond differently to bank mergers.
Chen and Kieschnick (
2018) argued that bank-dependent firms tend to hold more in current assets and rely more on current liabilities in managing their working capital than less bank-dependent firms do and found that the working capital responses of bank-dependent firms to changes in the availability of bank credit differ from the responses of less bank-dependent firms in some areas. Therefore, we expect bank-dependent and non-bank-dependent firms to react differently to bank mergers.
We employ the panel data quasi-maximum likelihood (nonlinear) model from
Papke and Wooldridge (
2008) to clarify the impacts of bank mergers. We consider that small firms depend more on bank financing than large firms do.
Bonaccorsi di Patti and Gobbi (
2001) indicate that small businesses are more vulnerable to changes in local credit markets as they are more dependent on credit from local banks. Moreover,
Mkhaiber and Werner (
2021) show that small firms are largely dependent on bank credit for external funding. To identify bank-dependent and non-bank-dependent firms, we follow the study by
Chen and Kieschnick (
2018), which defines a firm as bank-dependent if it is in the bottom three deciles of firm size; otherwise, we consider the firm a non-bank-dependent firm. We employ this bank-dependent dummy variable, denoted by
, in the regression analysis to compare the working capital management of bank-dependent and non-bank-dependent firms. Specifically, we relate the dummy variable BDep to the growth in bank borrowings TBG to show the different responses of bank-dependent firms to bank mergers. We consider the following specification:
where
is one of the working capital measures (CASH, RCV, INV, OCA, TC, and OCL) for firm
i at time
t.
is the growth in total bank borrowings.
is the dummy variable that takes one if a firm is in the bottom three deciles of firm size.
denotes a set of control variables and
is the mean of control variables.
is the residuals of all (
i,
t) pairs obtained by estimating Equation (2).
Table 5 reports the results of the regression analyses. The effects of bank credit on bank-dependent and non-bank-dependent firms are different. In column (1) of Panel A, the coefficient of
is significantly negative, and the sum of the coefficients of
and
is −1.327 = (−1.287 − 0.040), implying that bank-dependent firms significantly decrease their cash holdings as non-bank-dependent firms do, and the negative impact of bank credit availability on corporate cash holdings of bank-dependent firms is greater than that of non-bank-dependent firms. The merger effect is positive (0.058 = (−1.327) × (−0.044)) for bank-dependent firms. The positive impact of bank mergers on the corporate cash holdings of bank-dependent firms is also greater than that of non-bank-dependent firms. The result suggests that bank-dependent firms find it more difficult to manage working capital and need to mitigate refinancing risk more carefully by holding a larger amount of cash than non-dependent counterparts after a merger.
In column (3) of Panel A, the coefficient of is significantly positive. The sum of the coefficients of and is 0.754 (= 0.724 + 0.030), which means that bank-dependent firms significantly increase their inventories after bank credit becomes more available as non-bank-dependent firms do, and the positive impact of bank credit availability on inventories of bank-dependent firms is greater than that of non-bank-dependent firms. The merger effect is calculated as negative (−0.033 = 0.754 × (−0.044)) for bank-dependent firms. The negative impact of bank mergers on inventories of bank-dependent firms is also greater than that of non-bank-dependent firms. The result suggests that bank-dependent firms find it more difficult to manage working capital and need to hold more cash for refinancing risk consideration; therefore, they hold fewer inventories to substitute cash holdings than their non-dependent counterparts after mergers.
However, the coefficients of in columns (2) and (4)–(6) are insignificant in both panels A and B, suggesting that bank-dependent firms do not significantly change their account receivables, other current assets, trade credit used, and other current liabilities, whereas non-bank-dependent firms significantly change these working capital measures.
4.4. PSM-DID Estimator
Table 6 reports the estimation result of the PSM-DID estimator. We use TMGR as the dependent variable. The average treatment effects (ATTs) of a bank merger on RCV, INV, and TC are significantly different from zero; in particular, the ATTs of a bank merger on RCV and TC are significant at 1%.
Below the standard errors, we report the estimation result of the probit estimation. The bank variables explain the probability that a firm experiences a bank merger. We employ the bank capital ratio denoted by BCR, the non-performing bank loans ratio denoted by BNPL, the bank deposit rate denoted by BDR, and the bank operating cost denoted by BOC as the bank variables. We also employ the disposal of non-performing loans (Disposal) and charge-off amount of loans (Charge-off) as instrumental variables to alleviate an endogeneity issue. A higher capital ratio, higher NPL ratio, and a lower deposit rate and operating cost tend to result in bank mergers.