5.1. Model Estimation
Equation (6) provides the equation used to estimate the random utility function for respondent
j in the mixed logit model.
Here, , , , and are continuous variables, and and are the dummy variables. represents the price, with a high value of meaning that the product is expensive. is the filter grade, with a high value of meaning that the product can filter smaller sizes of fine dust. and represent coverage and power consumption, respectively, with higher values indicating that the coverage and power consumption are larger. (=0 or 1) represents eco-labeling, with a value of 0 indicating no eco-label and 1 indicating an eco-label. Similarly, (=0 or 1) represents the CA-label, with 0 indicating no CA-label and 1 indicating a CA-label. All of the variables are assumed to have a normal distribution.
In this study, we used the Bayesian method to estimate the mixed logit model. We drew 20,000 samples and burned in 10,000 samples to eliminate the starting point effects. Our estimations were performed using the remaining 10,000 samples. Price, coverage, and eco-label were significant at 1% in the results, and the rest of the attributes were significant at 5%. We analyzed MWTP and RI to quantify those results with monetary units.
Table 4 shows the estimation results.
As shown in
Table 4, the coefficients for price and power consumption are negative, and those for the rest of the variables are positive. A negative coefficient means that consumers prefer that attribute to have a smaller value. In other words, consumers prefer prices to be cheaper and the power consumption to be lower. Low power consumption means lower power costs, which is generally consistent with the preference for low prices. In contrast, the coefficients for coverage and eco-label are positive, indicating that consumers prefer air purifiers with larger coverage areas and eco-labels.
MWTP indicates the willingness to pay for a one-unit change. In the filter grade, consumers are willing to pay KRW 20,762 for an air purifier with a higher rating. In coverage, consumers are willing to pay KRW 8440 for an air purifier with a 1 m2 increase in area being covered. In power consumption, consumers are willing to accept a power consumption increase of 1 W if they can pay KRW 10,438 less. Consumers are willing to pay KRW 753,277 more for an air purifier with an eco-label.
As for RI calculations, the order was price, eco-label, power consumption, coverage, and filter grade. The RI of the CA-label attribute was relatively low when compared with the other attributes. As the value consumers place on pro-environmental products that are certified by the government has become higher, enterprises have started labeling their products with their own pro-environmental and performance certifications. The increased number of labels has caused confusion (called greenwashing) among consumers, who cannot always distinguish the official eco-label certification by the government from private labels. Some people are even willing to pay more money for private labels than for official labels [
36]. However, the coefficient for the CA-label is insignificant as shown in
Table 4. In other words, respondents indicated that the CA-label does not affect their willingness to pay for an air purifier, which means that greenwashing has not happened in air purifier labeling.
5.2. Scenario Analysis
In July 2016, the South Korean government tried to implement an incentive policy to support 10% of the price of appliances with a first-grade energy efficiency rating. However, the government failed to raise sufficient funds for that program and announced that it would pay for products that were only purchased at certain stores. That announcement caused much controversy, and so the program did not go into effect. Therefore, in this study, we conducted scenario analyses to simulate the incentive policy as originally planned and then analyze whether it could encourage consumers to buy an air purifier with a first-grade efficiency rating.
We first collected price, filter grade, energy efficiency rating, CA-labeling, and coverage data for air purifiers in the market to run the simulation. Subsequently, we set price as a dependent variable and filter grade, energy efficiency rating, CA-labeling, and coverage as independent variables. Next, while using the hedonic pricing method, we estimated the effects of each variable on price, and then we simulated the effects of a 10% incentive policy on market share.
To collect data regarding air purifiers in the market, we used the online commercial shopping mall Danawa (
www.danawa.com). We collected data on 137 air purifiers in February 2019. Equation (7) provides the regression equation that we used to conduct the hedonic pricing analysis.
is the coefficient of the filter grade,
is the coefficient of the energy efficiency rating,
is the coefficient of the CA-label, and
is the coefficient of coverage.
In regression analysis (
Table 5), the filter grade is significant at the 10% level, energy efficiency rating and CA-labeling are significant at the 5% level, and coverage is significant at the 1% level. Except for the energy efficiency rating, all of the variables have a positive relationship with price; in other words, having a high filter grade, CA-label, and large coverage all make an air purifier more expensive. In contrast, energy efficiency has a negative relationship with price; an air purifier with an energy efficiency rating that is close to 1 (the best grade) is more expensive than one with a higher energy grade. The result for CA-label is intriguing among those variables. CA-label is not significant in the respondents’ preferences, which means that consumers are not willing to pay more money for an air purifier with a CA-label than for one without it, as shown in the results in
Table 4. However, when enterprises set the price of an air purifier, the CA-label had the largest effect among the variables tested. When consumers buy an air purifier that has the performance that they need and a CA-label they does not need, the price of the CA-label could already be reflected in the price. Therefore, consumers should pay attention to product labels to ensure that they buy an air purifier with the certification that they want.
Using data that were collected from the real market, we calculated the average for each variable to set the initial market share. The averages were: filter grade E12, energy efficiency rating 2.3, coverage of 51 m
2, and no CA-label. Thus, the initial market was set for an air purifier with 99.5% dust removal efficiency, an average energy efficiency rating in the second-grade, 15 pyung (Pyung is a unit of South Korean housing that is about 3.3 m
2) of coverage, and no eco-label or CA-label. The air purifier had no eco-label because only two air purifiers available in South Korea have an eco-label, and it had no CA-label because the CA-label was insignificant in the consumer preference analysis. The coverage was fixed at 15 pyung, and the power consumption was varied to affect the energy efficiency grade (because the energy efficiency rating can be inferred from the power consumption and coverage) [
49]. The price gap between energy efficiency ratings was KRW 40,000, so we set the price of each air purifiers.
Table 6 presents the market share results for air purifiers that were created by this process.
Table 7 shows the market share change toward first-grade energy efficiency rating air purifiers caused by various incentive proportions.
The simulation results show that the incentive policy effectively encourages people to buy energy efficient air purifiers [
9]. In the simulation, the market share of the first-grade energy efficiency air purifiers increased by 4.5% when 20% of the price of a first-grade energy efficiency air purifier was given as an incentive. The market share of first-grade energy efficiency air purifiers increased by 2.2% when 10% of the price of a first-grade energy efficiency air purifier was given as an incentive (as originally planned in the South Korean policy).
Subsequently, we analyzed whether the change in market share from a 10% incentive was cost effective by considering the annual appliance usage time [
59], average time of air purifier usage (h/day) [
56], CO
2 emissions (g/h) [
56], price of electricity (KRW/kWh) [
60], and price of CO
2 emissions (KRW/ton) [
61]. We found that the change in market share driven by a 10% incentive policy reduced the annual electricity usage by about 5.9 GWh and annual CO
2 emissions by about 2520 t. Therefore, the total reduction in electricity usage is about 39.66 GWh and the total reduction in CO
2 emissions is about 16,857 t, given that household appliances are generally used for 6.69 years [
59] before they are replaced. An annual gain of KRW 441,340,922 could be obtained through the incentive policy when those effects are converted into monetary units as a benefit by multiplying them by the price of electricity and CO
2 emissions, with the 10% price incentive being counted as the cost [
32].
Next, we considered what else could affect market share. We simulated the market change when only first-grade energy efficiency air purifiers had an eco-label, when only second-grade energy efficiency air purifiers had an eco-label, and when both first- and second-grade energy efficiency air purifiers had an eco-label to estimate the effects of eco-labeling as an alternative.
Table 8 provides the results of those simulations.
In this simulation, when the air purifiers had an eco-label, consumer purchasing increased in every case. When only first-grade energy efficiency air purifiers had an eco-label, their market share increased by about 26%. When only second-grade energy efficiency air purifiers had an eco-label, their market share increased by about 30%. When both first- and second-grade energy efficiency air purifiers had an eco-label, the market share of the two grades together reached 80%.