1. Introduction
In the rapidly evolving electric power system, wherein new renewable and distributed energy resources are being connected and fossil fuel based generators are being retired at a growing rate, it is increasingly important to ensure a continued and reliable supply of electricity. For example, approximately 8000 MW may need to be imported to avoid blackouts in California by fillingin gaps caused by renewable energy generation variability and increased power demand. Another major threat to energy supply reliability are large natural disasters, such as, in recent years, wide-spread wild fires [
1]. In 2020, there were more than 8 thousand fires in California alone resulting in almost 1.5 million burnt out acres and significant power system damage [
2]. In a winter storm in 2021, approximately 2 million homes suffered power outages in Texas which substantially increased electricity demand due to record-breaking low temperatures [
3]. Worse still, about 34,000 MW of renewable wind generation capability within Texas was lost during this storm as freezing temperatures forced power plants offline in quick succession [
4]. It is very important to ensure power system reliability through whatever means possible under such conditions to protect residents from environmental health risks.
Residences equipped with rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) panels and battery energy storage systems (BESS) turn into prosumers with generation capability to supply their own on-site demand [
5]. The increasing trend of independent PV producers is representative of the possibility of decentralized power generation and distribution [
6]. Solar PV panels can achieve the best performance when its material is suitable for the external condition as measured by matrices including energy payback time (EPBT), energy production factor (EPF) and life cycle conversion efficiency (LCCE) [
7]. The thermal and chemical treatment based end-of-life (EOL) method reduces the cost for recycling PV system waste material making PV generation even greener [
8]. Solar PV systems may be considered a reliable distributed energy resource (DER) only when it is coordinated with BESS [
9]. In-home BESS can store variable renewable generated energy allowing it to be used whenever needed by the user but often have a limited energy capacity due to its hefty initial investment [
10]. When advanced thermal management is implemented, BESS can charge and discharge with large power while maintaining operational safety [
11].
The growing trend of electric vehicles (EV) provides the potential to boost the energy capacity of residential energy storage systems (ESS) [
12]. Hence, research towards the development of smart energy management in residential houses using home ESS and EV battery systems is in progress [
13,
14]. Residences with EV can help to improve the load factor in communities, reducing costs related to the maintenance of transformers, feeders, etc. [
15]. A previous study using data from the national household travel survey (NHTS) found that most cars commute around 20 miles daily, resulting in 90% of SOC remaining on average for EVs when they return home [
16].
Recent research shows that EV batteries can operate as a voltage source or offline uninterruptible power supply (UPS) for a home in an outage [
17,
18]. A well managed energy storage system with BESS and EV support could provide good performance during both transient and steady-state operation, considering the voltage waveform and current harmonics distortion [
19]. Different operation modes of EV in smart homes have been proposed and explored, and it was shown that depending on the usage preferences of the user, EV batteries can act as a power source to feed residential appliances during a power outage [
17]. When energy not supplied (ENS) or system average interruption duration index (SAIDI) is taken into consideration, the participation of a EV connected to the home improved resilience the most [
20].
The vehicle-to-home (V2H) capability of EV realizes the outage management and cost reduction for a smart home [
21,
22]. EV systems can potentially adopt the same method introduced in [
23] allowing the battery system to switch between input PV energy harvesting mode and output V2H mode for emergency situations. V2H functionality also improves power system resilience factors including load restoration, reactive power supply, and peak reduction, etc. [
24,
25,
26,
27,
28]. Bidirectional wireless power transfer will further facilitate V2H applications by enabling higher power transfer and easing the barrier to entry for the consumer [
29].
Depending on the user preferences and applications of the EV, the additional energy storage can expand the residential ESS, but may not be available at the residence when the outage occurs. For example, according to recent reports, the very large 90 kWh battery installed on the most recent EV model of the Ford F-150 truck can be controlled to supply up to 10 days of electricity for a connected home [
30]. Other factors including user behavior regarding residential load, the capacity of the residential ESS, renewable energy generation, etc., should all be taken into consideration for systematically quantifying building resilience.
Research gaps remain as the prediction of building resilience duration should consider different time occurrences for power outages. Residences with solar PV generation would be less dependent on electricity from the grid during the daytime and could self-sustain longer if outages occur at times when electricity usage is low. The building resilience for residences with varying electricity usage, PV generation capability, and BESS capacities need to be analyzed in order to provide a reference for all types of house owners. This paper focuses on minute-based simulations of power flow and energy use with building resilience studied by monitoring the energy balance on the demand and supply sides.
The quantification of building residence provides utilities with a basis for better planning of rolling blackouts and power restoration, and guide house owners when sizing their localized residential power system.
The major contributions of the paper include:
Quantification of building resilience considering all possible power outage occurrence times;
Analysis of building resilience for different factors including user behavior, the impact of renewable energy generation, and the energy capacity of the residential ESS;
Exploration of the possibility of EV battery incorporation into the residential ESS;
Evaluation of the impact of EV battery capacity on building resilience.
The typical electricity usage for the reference house is calculated and the main parameters of this model are presented in
Section 2.
Section 3 focuses on the definition and quantification of the reference house’s building resilience. In
Section 4, the impact of the varying home load percentages and the sizing of the BESS energy capacity on building resilience is studied. The possibility of incorporating the EV battery into the residential ESS is explored in
Section 5. Finally,
Section 6 and
Section 7 provide concluding remarks and a summary of this study’s results.
2. Energy Model for the Reference House
The main parameters for the reference house considered in the study are summarized in
Table 1. The use of batteries for power flow and energy studies are based on results from the EnergyPlus software and the INSPIRE+D co-simulation framework [
31]. The framework realizes the dynamic communication between the power system simulator and the building model, based on a prototype EnergyPlus model released originally by the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) [
32]. The weather data for the studied Burbank area in California climate zone 9 was publicly available on the EnergyPlus website as a typical meteorological year (TMY) [
33]. The outputs of the EnergyPlus model include energy usage and generation with a 5-minute resolution and detailed usage for appliances including HVAC, water heater, etc.
In the schematic representation and graphs from
Figure 1, the dark blue area in the middle of the annual electricity usage graph corresponds to power flow from the house to the grid caused by surplus PV generation. Variations in the blue area was caused by the pool pump, which operates during the period 9:00–15:00. The yellow strip at around 21:30 stands for evening demand peaks of power flow into the house.
The electric water heater (EWH) was modeled and its typical high and relatively short power draw corresponds to the red dots in
Figure 1. The electricity usage and power profile of the EWH are determined by the water draws, quantified according to the California Building Energy Code Compliance for Residence (CBECC-Res) [
34]. The rated electric power of EWH is 5 kW, and the calculated annual electricity usage of the EWH is 4233 kWh.
The stationary BESS introduced to the home is a Li-ion battery rated as 11 kWh/5 kW in the following studies, and is assumed to have 100% SOC when the power outage occurs. The EV battery is rated as 90 kWh for the reference house. The most recent level 2 charger allows the EV to be charged/discharged at a maximum power of 10 kW with a lower limit of 20% for the EV battery [
35]. The EV is scheduled to leave home at 6 a.m. and return at 6 p.m. every day with an SOC of 90%, given the fact that most daily driving mileages are less than 20 [
16].
The example topology published in patent [
36] includes inverters for connections to EV and other components (
Figure 2). Such a multifunctional system can ensure V2H operation, providing support during grid power outages and increased resilience. Residential power system components are represented as nodes or individual elements that interact with a central power management system connected to the cloud for long-distance control and capable of multi-function operation. The central system includes a smart power integrated connected to power grid, BESS, PV cell and EV. Communication can be realized via Ethernet, WiFi, cellular connection, or any available communication protocol. The smart power integrated node (SPIN) provides DC charge and discharge capability to EV via an EV cable in this embodiment. The SPIN may incorporate functionalities such as service setup, display and control, and is capable of receiving transit information from remote server or user interfaces. The operating procedure defined by the user is employed by its many DC/DC, DC/AC switching components.
3. Method for Calculating the Self-Sustainment Duration for a Reference House
Power outages or blackouts may occur at any time throughout the entire year, and in such conditions, the house loses electricity supply from the grid. In the following studies, residential loads are supplied by the BESS and PV generation when the blackout occurs, and the resulting performance is analyzed for the following 24 h. The total electricity provided by the BESS after the power outage occurs is defined as:
where
i is the simulated time step, with
indicating the time origin when the power outage occurs; and
, represents the power of BESS. During a power outage, the BESS supplies the total house demand to provide full building resilience. Therefore,
where
is the net power flow of the residence. When
is larger than the maximum power rating of the BESS, the residential load has to be curtailed.
The self-sustainment performance is measured as the duration when the BESS can supply the residential loads. At one instance, e.g., time step
s, when the power outage occurs, the BESS was discharged down to the minimum acceptable SOC. The self-sustainment operation duration
for this instance is defined as:
where
, the maximum available energy of the residential ESS:
where
is 80% in the study, as the maximum SOC for BESS is 100% and minimum is 20%;
, the rated energy capacity of BESS. When the SOC is 100%, the surplus PV generation is curtailed. After calculating the following 24 h for step
s, the same procedure is applied to step
, and up to the last time step
. Every time step has its own corresponding self-sustainment operation duration
. The procedure for calculating the self-sustainment operation duration is illustrated in
Figure 3.
The constraints are the maximum BESS power:
Residential power must be curtailed if it is too high during a outage. On the other hand, the PV generation input needs to be curtailed if the negative net power flow is too high.
Simulation results in
Figure 4 show that the time of the power outage has a great impact on the self-sustainment duration from the reference house. When the power outage occurred at the midnight as shown on the left, the reference house self-sustained approximately 17 h (
Figure 4a). The BESS SOC in this case dropped in the early morning, increased in the midday, and decreased in the evening until it was 20%. This happened because the BESS was charged by the surplus PV generation in the midday and discharged to power the loads for the rest of the time. On the same example day, however, when the power outage occurred at 3 pm, the house self-sustained for approximately 5 h, as shown in
Figure 4b. The house self-sustained for a significantly shorter amount of time because the BESS was not charged for that day when PV generation faded away in the evening.
With the simulation time step of 5-min, there are
= 105,120 instances throughout the entire year when the power outage could occur. Correspondingly, there are 105,120 calculated self-sustained operation durations which are represented as different colors in
Figure 5, with each cell indicating a 5-minute increment. The two instances in
Figure 4 result in the colors for the 17 and 5 h for their two cells. Self-sustained operation duration trended towards being longer if the power outage occurred in the early morning because the BESS was charged in the midday by surplus solar PV generation. The self-sustained operation duration around 6 p.m. was short because of both the evening residential load peak and lower solar PV generation.
The simulation results of self-sustained operation duration for the entire year were summarized with an interval of 1-h in
Figure 6. If the self-sustained operation duration of the house falls into the interval of (
,
], it can self-sustain any hours within [0,
]. The cumulative probability curve presented in
Figure 7 indicates that after a power outage occurrence, the reference house is almost 100% likely to self-sustain for up to 3 h, and 50% likely to self-sustain up to approximately 10 h. The cumulative curve, which stands for the building resilience, was fitted and represented explicitly with a 4th order polynomial equation, as follows:
where the coefficients for the reference example are
p = [−0.0017, 0.0934, −1.5743, 3.7379, 99.1833].
4. Study for Different Home Load and BESS Energy Capacities
Curtailing the load can reduce the electricity usage and prolong the self-sustained operation in a power outage. The load in
Figure 8 was reduced to 50% after the power outage occurred at the midnight. Reducing the load in this scenario enabled the house to self-sustain for approximately 21 h, 4 h more than the reference house at the same instance, as shown in
Figure 4a.
Curtailing the residential load increased the self-sustained hours for all 105,120 instances throughout the entire year (
Figure 9a). The house load, except for EWH power, was curtailed to 50% while other parameters had the same values from
Table 1. The distribution with 1-h interval bins in
Figure 9b shows that the probability to self-sustain more than 24 h was increased to approximately 31% when the residential load was curtailed to 50%. Meanwhile, the reference house without load curtailment has a near 0% chance to self-sustain for more than 24 h (
Figure 7).
A BESS with larger capacity could store more surplus energy from solar PV generation and sustain the house for a longer time when a power outage occurs. When the house was connected to a BESS with a capacity of 27 kWh, the self-sustained operation duration was prolonged to 22 h, as shown in
Figure 10, 5 h more than the reference house case in
Figure 4a.
Larger BESS capacity increased the self-sustained operation duration for all 105,120 instances throughout the entire year (
Figure 11a). When the reference house was equipped with a BESS rated at 27 kWh, it could self-sustain at least 24 h for approximately 72% of all instances (
Figure 11b). The self-sustained operation duration was extended in general with larger BESS capacity, as cases with longer time intervals increased compared to the reference house case shown in
Figure 6.
The effect of combining partial load and BESS capacity modifications on self-sustained operation duration were studied and for each combination, only the probability of self-sustaining for at least 24 h was recorded. For example, the combination of 50% load percentage and 11 kWh BESS resulted in a 31% likelihood of self-sustaining for at least 24 h, as shown in
Figure 9. The simulation results for other combinations were summarized in
Figure 12. The load percentages from 50% to 300% covered are representative of the power profiles of residences with different user behaviors and house types. BESS capacities studied were between the range of 10 to 60 kWh. The colors represent the probabilities for residences with combinations of different load percentages and BESS capacities to self-sustain for more than 24 h.
In
Figure 12, the horizontal trend indicates the case for different residential loads with a fixed BESS. The case studies for curtailing the reference house from
Figure 9 can be referred as the BESS = 11 kWh horizontally. When the residential load of the reference house curtailed from 100% to 50%, the probability to self-sustain more than 24 h was increased from virtually 0% to 31%, as shown in
Figure 9. For a BESS capacity larger than 40 kWh, the probability for a house with 100% residential load to self-sustain more than 24 h is almost 95%. With a larger BESS of 60 kWh, the probability for the house to self-sustain at least 24 h is more than 90% even when the load is 150%.
In
Figure 12, the vertical trend indicates that for a fixed load percentage, the probability of the residence self-sustaining for more than 24 h increased, in line with the expectations, as the BESS capacity increased. The case study for increasing the BESS capacity to 27 kWh from
Figure 11 can be referred to as the Load = 100% case vertically. When the BESS capacity was increased from 11 kWh to 27 kWh, the probability for the house to self-sustain for more than 24 h increases from virtually 0% to 72%. For a house load percentage of less than 250%, increasing the BESS capacity significantly increases the residence self-sustainment duration.
5. EV Participation
The reference EV battery considered in the study is rated 90 kWh/10 kW with the returning SOC of 90%, as summarized in
Table 1. Within this study, the EV is scheduled to leave and return home at 6 a.m. and 6 p.m., respectively. The EV can interface with the HEMS and supply residential loads when the EV is at home. When supplying power to the home, the total capacity of the residential ESS is expanded and the total energy capacity defined in (
3) becomes:
where
is 80%. the maximum range of the EV battery SOC;
, the energy capacity of the EV battery;
, Boolean results for 1 represent EV at home, 0 otherwise.
Two types of EV discharging scenarios considering whether or not the BESS was charged by the EV battery were explored in this study. In the first scenario, the EV was discharged to supply the residential load when it arrived home and the BESS stopped discharging, as shown in
Figure 13a. As a result, the BESS SOC remained the same until the EV left home at 6 a.m. the next morning. In the second scenario, the EV supplied the residential load and charged the BESS (
Figure 13b). In this case, the BESS was left with 100% SOC when EV left home. The residence can self-sustain for more than 24 h under both EV discharging scenarios compared to self-sustaining approximately 5 h in the reference case without EV discharging, as shown in
Figure 4b.
Load percentage and BESS capacity effects on self-sustainment were studied and results are shown in
Figure 14. For both EV discharging scenarios, the probability to self-sustain more than 24 h was increased to more than 90% for the reference house, which can be located as (Load = 100%, BESS capacity = 11 kWh) in the heatmap shown in
Figure 14. Enabling EV to interface with HEMS increases house resilience significantly compared with the case shown in
Figure 12. Furthermore, self-sustainment duration increased when the BESS was able to be charged directly by the EV battery, especially when the load percentage is high. For example, when the BESS capacity is 11 kWh and load percentage is 150%, the results for the two EV discharge scenarios are between [50%, 60%] and [60%, 70%], respectively.
In some extreme power outages, such as those caused by extended wildfire, the power supply may only be restored after a few days. In such cases, the EV is expected to stay home and its battery can be incorporated to expand the residential ESS capacity, which is defined as:
The simulation results from
Figure 15 show that when the EV battery rated 20 kWh was incorporated in the ESS, self-sustained operation duration was increased to approximately 20 h. Introduction of the EV battery increased the total residential ESS capacity significantly, and since the duration of self-sustainment drastically increased, all instances with an interconnected EV were analyzed for 72 h following an outage.
The results for all 105,120 instances are shown in
Figure 16. When the EV with a battery of 20 kWh stayed at home, the house could self-sustain longer in general and at least 72 h for approximately 10% of the instances (
Figure 16b).
With a 20 kWh EV batterystaying at home during the outage, building resilience of the residence improves significantly. The probability of the residence self-sustaining for at least 12 h is almost 100%, as shown in the cumulative probability curve in
Figure 17. In this example, the probability that the house could self-sustain at least 24, 48, and 72 h are approximately 80%, 26%, and 10%, respectively. The cumulative distribution of building resilience for varying scenarios was fitted and represented explicitly with a 4th order polynomial equation, as follows:
where the coefficients are
p = [−0.0000097, 0.0022765, −0.1557, 1.8578, 95.7078]. It is essential to keep the resolution of the first two coefficients 7-decimal to maintain the accuracy.
The effect of different EV battery ratings were studied and results are shown in
Figure 18. All parameters apart from the EV energy capacity are kept the same as the reference house (
Table 1). The probability shown in
Figure 17 is represented by the case of fixing the
x-axis at 20 kWh. At this value, the colors show that there exists approximately 80%, 26%, and 10% probability for self-sustainment duration of 24, 48, and 72 h, respectively. EV battery capacities of 30 kWh, 60 kWh, and 90 kWh give the residence a 100% probability to self-sustain approximately 12, 30, and 45 h, respectively. The probabilities for residence with EV battery capacities of 30 kWh, 60 kWh, and 90 kWh to meet a given duration target, e.g., 48 h, are approximately 60%, 92%, and 98%, respectively.
6. Discussion
In this paper, the resilience of a building was quantified as the probability to self-sustain for a specified duration of time following a power outage, which can occur at any time throughout an entire year. Factors including the electricity usage of the house, renewable generation, the capacity of the residential energy storage system (ESS), and the availability of a electric vehicle (EV) with its associated battery have been studied. The results show that the reference house considered could self-sustain up to 3 h in almost all instances.
The probabilities for a house to self-sustain for at least 24 h were summarized for combinations of different home loads, which range from 50% to 300%, and BESS capacities, which range from 10 kWh to 60 kWh. For a residence with a fixed BESS capacity, of 40 kWh, the quantified results, which are the probabilities for the house to self-sustain for at least 24 h are 100%, 95%, and 60%, for home load percentages of 50%, 100%, and 150%, respectively. For the example residence with 100% full load, the quantified results, which are the probabilities for the house to self-sustain for at least 24 h are 0%, 25%, and 95%, for BESS capacity of 11 kWh, 20 kWh, and 40 kWh, respectively. The quantified results provides the utility and house owners with the basis for planning rolling blackout, power restoration, and for sizing the residential ESS.
This paper explored the possibility of utilizing an EV during a power outage by incorporating its charged battery into the residential ESS. Considering fixed times for the EV departure from and return to the residence, building resilience increased for all cases even when the EV is away and not available in the daytime. The probability of a reference house with a BESS of 11 kWh, home load percentage of 100%, and a EV battery of 90 kWh to self-sustain for at least 24 h is approximately 90% in such cases. When the house owner opts to keep the EV at home all the time during an extreme power outage, building resilience increased significantly even without load curtailment. The results show that incorporating the EV battery into residential ESS substantially increases self-sustainment duration. With EV battery capacities of 20 kWh, 50 kWh, and 90 kWh, the probability for the house to self-sustain 24 h is, 85%, 100%, and 100%, respectively. With the same capacities, the probability to self-sustain for 48 h is, 30%, 90%, and 98%, respectively.
The effect of different PV ratings was studied with PV rating being changed from 5 kW to 10 kW with increments of 0.1 kW. Results show that, with the ratings considered and all other parameters fixed, this has a negligible impact on building resilience as minor changes in self-sustained duration were noted. This indicates that the capacity of the BESS and that of an additional EV battery system provided have some of the largest impact on improving building resilience.
7. Conclusions
A procedure was developed to estimate the building resilience considering the load percentage, capacity of BESS and EV battery. A reference house from California, with an annual electricity usage of 13,628 kWh and a BESS with capacity of 11 kWh, was used as the baseline for developing the building resilience model. The probability for the reference house to self-sustain for more than 3, 10, and 24 h was found to be 100%, 50% and 0%, respectively. For the reference house, when the BESS capacity was increased, for example, to 40 kWh, the probability for the house to self-sustain for at least 24 h increased to 95%. When the load of the reference house was reduced, for example, to 50%, while other parameters were kept the same, the probability of self-sustaining for 24 h increased to 31%. When an EV with a battery capacity of 90 kWh was incorporated in the home energy management system, the probability for the reference house to self-sustain at least 24 h increased to 90%. If this same EV was parked at home all the time, the probability to self-sustain 24 h was 100%, and the likelihood of self-sustaining for 48 h increased to 98%. When the EV battery capacity was 20 kWh, the results for 24 and 48 h were 85% and 30%, respectively.