The Model of Support for the Decision-Making Process, While Organizing Dredging Works in the Ports
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- Analysis of dredging work conditions;
- Assessment of factors influencing the work schedule;
- Development of algorithms and schemes for the rules of dredging process organization;
- Creation of models supporting the decision-making process associated with planning and conduction of dredging works;
- Verification and implementation of the introduced components of the model;
- Invention of tools, including a computer program, supporting the decision-making process related to planning and conducting dredging works;
- Operational analysis of the proposed solutions based on the simulation model.
- What main and subsidiary factors determine the selection of dredging equipment?
- Do obstacles to navigation during dredging works in seaports disturb the proper functioning of transhipment terminals?
- To what extent can the developed model be applied to projects implemented in many ports with different locations and parameters?
- Does the expert assessment method in the organization of dredging work affect the decision-making process?
- How is the recommended model implemented and authorised to verify the usefulness of the tool in a real system?
2. The Structure of the Model and the Methods Used in IT
- The mass service model with the priority queue regulations—the M/G/1 system—as a tool for verifying the ship traffic and the operation of the dredger in the port area;
- The statistical analysis of the traffic flow in the assumed period, as a study of the extent of dredger-ships interactions during the conduct of the dredging works in the port waters;
- The original algorithms and decision trees with particular criteria for selecting the appropriate dredging equipment, i.e., modules for soil-type verification, work technology, project location, form of transport and storage of dredging spoil;
- The method of multiple criteria decision support AHP, as an analysis of the final, specific choice of dredging equipment available on the market among the previously selected dredgers;
- The cost and time analysis verifying the effectiveness of works of the particular dredging scenarios.
2.1. Module for Ship Traffic and Dredger Operation in the Port Area Verification
2.2. Module for Soil Type Verification
2.3. Module for Technology and Work Location Verification along with Transport of the Dredging Spoil Verification
2.4. Module for the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) as a Method of Support for the Decision-Making Process within the Collection of Dredgers
- Phase 1: Describe ChoicesThe AHP procedure activates by describing the choices that need to be evaluated. These choices might be the various conditions that explanations should be evaluated against. At the end of phase 1, a wide-ranging catalogue of all the offered selections should be prepared. The decision matrix for dredger selection is presented in Table 2.
- Phase 2: Describe the Question and ConditionsThe second phase is to demonstrate the predicament. Corresponding to the AHP procedure, a challenge is linked to a group of associate troubles. The AHP technique therefore trusts on interrupting the trouble in an order of slighter troubles. In the procedure of interrupting the sub-problem, conditions to calculate the results appear. Nevertheless, in the same way as the origin initiate investigation, anyone may take to greater ranks inside the trouble. The moment to stop dividing the trouble into slighter sub-problems is individual decision.
- Phase 3: Create Importance between Conditions Operating Pairwise RelationshipThe AHP technique purposes a pairwise relationship to generate a base.
- Phase 4: Verify StabilityThis phase is inherent in the implemented software tool, that assistance resolves AHP troubles.
- Phase 5: Get the Qualified EmphasesThe implemented software instrument will compete the measured scheming founded on the facts and allocate comparative emphases to the conditions. When the calculation is complete with prejudiced standards, one can calculate the substitutes to get the superlative resolution that accords their requirements.
- The relationship procedure can be extensive if the conclusion is multifaceted;
- The relationship assessment can be unpredictable when the contributors are not completely involved within the procedure;
- The decision-making clearness can be counter-productive aimed at supervisors who will be concerned around deploying the outcomes;
- Collection decision-making can construct incomprehensible to hold reliability troubles [51].
2.5. Module for Cost and Time Analysis
2.6. Description of the Simulations Performed by the Program
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions and Future Works
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Analysis of the Conditions of Dredging Work | Assessment of Factors Influencing the Work Schedule | Verification of the Type of Dredger | Verification of Dredging Costs and Efficiency | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Inputs | Location/dimensions of the work area The volume of the excavated material Type of soil | Schedule verification | Dredge type/dredge technology | Dredging performance Auxiliary equipment Mobilization/demobilization |
Methods | Algorithm for the selection of the dredging equipment according to the type and location of dredging work | The M/G/1 mass handling system Statistical analysis of vessel traffic Algorithm of vessel traffic taking place in the area of dredging works | Algorithm of vessel traffic taking place in the area of dredging works AHP method | Cost analysis based on the schedule Cost analysis by used added support equipment Cost of mobilization Cost of demobilization |
Software application | Simulation/Scenarios | |||
Outputs/Results | The total duration of the planned project, working time of the dredging equipment in the work area, estimation of the number of ships’ notifications (random or according to a fixed schedule), the daily cost of the operation of the dredging fleet, daily dredging efficiency |
Manufacturer and Type of Dredger | Total Length (m) | Width (m) | Maximum Dredging Depth (m) | Hold Capacity (m3) | Maximum (knots) | Total Power Installed (kW) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Boskalis | ||||||
Seaway | 171.90 | 22.00 | 10.55 | 13,255 | 14.0 | 12,819 |
Gateway | 143.53 | 28.00 | 10.00 | 12,000 | 15.4 | 13,870 |
Barent Zanen | 133.58 | 23.13 | 8.81 | 8116 | 13.5 | 12,658 |
Eke Mobius | 121.32 | 21.00 | 6.80 | 7350 | 11.5 | 7121 |
Jan De Nul | ||||||
Gerardus Mercator | 152.90 | 29.00 | 11.85 | 18,000 | 15.2 | 21,990 |
Juan Sebastián de Elcano | 157.50 | 27.80 | 11.10 | 16,500 | 15.7 | 17,880 |
Pedro Álvares Cabral | 147.80 | 30.00 | 11.20 | 14,000 | 15.7 | 15,960 |
James Cook | 144.00 | 25.50 | 9.70 | 11,750 | 15.3 | 14,180 |
DEME | ||||||
Pearl River | 182.22 | 28.00 | 10.60 | 24,130 | 15.0 | 19,061 |
Nile River | 144.00 | 28.00 | 10.56 | 17,000 | 14.0 | 19,559 |
Lange Wapper | 129.80 | 26.82 | 9.81 | 13,700 | 14.2 | 13,860 |
Uilenspiegel | 142.80 | 26.80 | 9.80 | 13,700 | 15.7 | 13,960 |
Van Oord | ||||||
Volvox Terranova | 164.10 | 29.03 | 11.20 | 20,046 | 17.3 | 29,563 |
Utrecht | 154.60 | 28.00 | 10.37 | 18,292 | 14.8 | 23,807 |
Ham 310 | 138.50 | 23.04 | 10.07 | 13,392 | 15.1 | 13,522 |
Volvox Asia | 133.93 | 26.04 | 9.47 | 10,834 | 15.0 | 21,453 |
Set | Description |
---|---|
(0,0,0,0) | The set of four zeros represents the situation that there are not any notifications as well as any activities in the analysed port area |
(1,0,0,0) | The program noted a ship notification when there were no dredging works ongoing and no notification about intention to conduct dredging |
(0,0,0,1) | There is a notification from a dredger as a readiness to conduct dredging when the work area is unoccupied and there are not any ships’ notifications |
(0,1,0,0) | In this set, there is a lack of notifications, neither from the ships nor from the dredgers; however, it could be observed that the ship is currently crossing the work area because the dredger is not operating |
(1,1,0,1) | The port area is being crossed by the ship, and at the same time the notifications from the ship and from the dredger are given simultaneously |
(1,0,0,1) | The ship’s notification coincides with the dredger’s notification when the work area is unoccupied |
(0,0,1,0) | No notifications, the dredger is realizing the dredging works in the area of work |
(0,1,0,1) | The ship is crossing the work area and the dredger notifies the readiness to start realization |
(1,1,0,0) | At the present moment, the ship is crossing the port area, and another ship notifies its readiness to pass the verified area |
Set | Description |
---|---|
(0,0,1,1) (1,0,1,1) | The discriminatory element of the proposed scenario is the simultaneous occurrence of a dredging notification when the dredger is currently working. In the proposed model, the dredger gives a notification as a readiness to conduct dredging. That configuration will be applied if there is a possibility of using more than one dredger simultaneously. |
(0,1,1,0) (1,1,1,0) (0,1,1,1) (1,1,1,1) | The proposed scenarios are eliminated from the system because if they are real both the dredger and the ship will occupy the work area at the same time. This is unacceptable in the proposed simplified model. |
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Kaizer, A.; Neumann, T. The Model of Support for the Decision-Making Process, While Organizing Dredging Works in the Ports. Energies 2021, 14, 2706. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14092706
Kaizer A, Neumann T. The Model of Support for the Decision-Making Process, While Organizing Dredging Works in the Ports. Energies. 2021; 14(9):2706. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14092706
Chicago/Turabian StyleKaizer, Adam, and Tomasz Neumann. 2021. "The Model of Support for the Decision-Making Process, While Organizing Dredging Works in the Ports" Energies 14, no. 9: 2706. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14092706
APA StyleKaizer, A., & Neumann, T. (2021). The Model of Support for the Decision-Making Process, While Organizing Dredging Works in the Ports. Energies, 14(9), 2706. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14092706