A Method for Grading the Hidden Dangers of Urban Gas Polyethylene Pipelines Based on Improved PLC Methods
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
3. Hidden Danger Grading Method
3.1. Database Construction
3.2. Grading Model
3.3. Indicator Determination
3.3.1. Possibility of Accident (P)
3.3.2. Accident Loss Degree (L)
3.3.3. Compensation Factor (C)
4. Example Applications
4.1. Basic Information
4.2. Hidden Danger Grading
4.3. Disposal of Hidden Dangers
5. Conclusions and Recommendations
5.1. Conclusions
5.2. Recommendations
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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General Information | Information about the Consequences of Failure | Related Sources |
---|---|---|
Date of expiration Name of pipelines Cause of failure Failure part Type of failure leak Fire and explosion situation | Number of injured Number of deaths Number of households affected Economic loss | Press releases Gas industry website Accident investigation report PHMSA |
Cause of Pipeline Failure | Detailed Interpretation |
---|---|
Third-party damage | Damage to the urban gas pipeline caused by the actions of non-gas pipeline personnel. |
Material/equipment failure | Pipeline failure caused by unqualified material performance and abnormal operation of equipment. For example, pipe manufacturing defects and weld defects. |
Force majeure | Pipeline failure due to unforeseen, unavoidable, and insurmountable circumstances. For example: lightning strike, typhoon, and rainstorm. |
Improper operation | Pipeline failure due to improper operation of pipeline operators. |
Unknown reason | Cases of pipe failure whose cause has not been identified. |
Accident Probability Level | Average Number of Cases per Year |
---|---|
A (unlikely to happen) | [0, 0.5) |
B (less likely to happen) | [0.5, 2) |
C (likely to happen) | [2, 5) |
D (very likely to happen) | ≥5 |
Typical Hidden Dangers | Average Number of Cases per Year | Rating | |
---|---|---|---|
Force majeure | Earthquake | 0.333333 | A |
Heavy rain/flood | 0.25 | A | |
Lightning | 0.416667 | A | |
Temperature | 0.083333 | A | |
High wind | 0.25 | A | |
Other | 0.25 | A | |
Third-party damage | Third-party excavation damage | 19.5 | D |
Nearby fire/explosion damage | 1.583333 | B | |
Vehicle accidents | 1.333333 | B | |
Equipment arc damage | 0.75 | B | |
Vandalism | 0.166667 | A | |
Excavation damage repair failure | 0.166667 | A | |
Other external damage | 3.75 | C | |
Material/equipment failure | Pipe failure | 1.166667 | B |
Flange connection failure | 0.916667 | B | |
Fused joint failure | 1.583333 | B | |
Other connection failures | 0.58333 | A | |
Control/pressure relief equipment failure | 0.333333 | A | |
Failure of threaded connections | 0.166667 | A | |
Other equipment failures | 0.083333 | A | |
Improper operation | First-party excavation damage | 0.583333 | B |
Second-party excavation damage | 0.583333 | B | |
Improper operation by contractor | 0.5 | B | |
Pipeline or equipment overpressure | 0.166667 | A | |
Improper equipment installation operation | 0.333333 | A | |
Other improper operation | 1.25 | B | |
Other accident causes | Other causes | 0.583333 | B |
Unknown causes | 1.083333 | B |
Value | Legal Provisions and Other Requirements | Loss of Life and Personal Injury | Financial Loss | Lockout | Corporate Image |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Violation of laws, regulations, and standards | Death | More than 500,000 yuan | More than two sets of equipment shutdown | Significant domestic impact |
4 | Potential violations of regulations and standards | Loss of labor force | 250,000–500,000 yuan | Two units shutdown | Influence within the industry and province |
3 | Does not conform to the safety policy, system, and regulation of the superior company or industry | Amputations, broken bones, hearing loss, chronic diseases | 100,000–250,000 yuan | One set of equipment shutdown | Regional influence |
2 | Does not comply with the safety operation procedures and regulations of the enterprise | Minor injury, intermittent discomfort | Less than 100,000 yuan | The impact is minor, and there is almost no work stoppage | Company and surrounding area |
1 | In full compliance with | No casualties | No loss | No shutdown | No damage |
Level of Accident | Seriously Injured People | Death Toll | Direct Economic Loss |
---|---|---|---|
Extremely serious accident | >100 | >30 | >100 million yuan |
Major accident | 50–100 | 10–30 | 50–100 million yuan |
Larger accident | 10–50 | 3–10 | 10–50 million yuan |
General accident | ≤10 | ≤3 | ≤10 million yuan |
Level of Accident | Number of Injuries | Death Toll | Number of Households Affected | Direct Economic Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 0–1 | 0 | [0, 200] | [0, 100] |
2 | 1–2 | 0 | (200, 2000] | (100, 200] |
3 | 2–3 | 0–1 | (2000, 4000] | (200, 500] |
4 | ≥3 | ≥1 | >4000 | >5 million yuan |
Typical Hidden Dangers | Average Number of Injured | Average Number of Deaths | Average Number of Households Affected | Average Direct Economic Loss | Grade | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Force majeure | Earthquake | 12 | 2 | 73.5 | 999.7974 | 4 |
Heavy rain/flood | 0 | 0 | 25.6667 | 25.15817 | 1 | |
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 62.60206 | 1 | |
Temperature | 0 | 0 | 1722 | 81.64027 | 1 | |
High wind | 0 | 0 | 224.333 | 10.33467 | 1 | |
Other | 0.5 | 0 | 520.3333 | 344.2792 | 3 | |
Third-party damage | Third-party excavation damage | 0.83663 | 0.11442 | 407.2966 | 474.0416 | 3 |
Nearby fire/explosion damage | 0.36842 | 0.15789 | 39.7368 | 486.756 | 3 | |
Vehicle accidents | 0.4375 | 0.0625 | 8 | 91.9003 | 3 | |
Equipment arc damage | 0 | 0 | 68 | 607.9666 | 4 | |
Vandalism | 0 | 0 | 400 | — | 2 | |
Excavation damage repair failure | 0 | 0 | 259.5 | 385.9823 | 3 | |
Other external damage | 0.51111 | 0.02222 | 87,063.56 | 304.7586 | 4 | |
Material/equipment failure | Pipe failure | 0.92857 | 0.07142 | 599.4286 | 357.9 | 4 |
Flange connection failure | 0.5 | 0.1 | 5.9 | 499.0177 | 3 | |
Fused joint failure | 0.36842 | 0.05263 | 104 | 127.8127 | 3 | |
Other connection failures | 0.42857 | 0.142857 | 219.8571 | 62.50435 | 3 | |
Control/pressure relief equipment failure | 0 | 0 | 1.333 | 61.88006 | 2 | |
Failure of threaded connections | 0.5 | 0 | 515.5 | 145.5496 | 2 | |
Other equipment failures | 0 | 0 | 74 | 350.6485 | 3 | |
Improper operation | First-party excavation damage | 0.16666 | 0 | 659.333 | 100.7885 | 2 |
Second-party excavation damage | 0.28571 | 0 | 147 | 121.2928 | 2 | |
Improper operation by contractor | 16.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1065.102 | 4 | |
Pipeline or equipment overpressure | 0 | 0 | 1 | 118.7649 | 2 | |
Improper equipment installation operation | 0.5 | 0 | 62 | 48.30912 | 1 | |
Other improper operation | 0.73333 | 0.13333 | 86.8 | 89.68208 | 1 | |
Other accident causes | Other causes | 0.85714 | 0 | 125.4286 | 30.11153 | 1 |
Unknown causes | 0.6 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 177.9907 | 2 |
Typical Hidden Dangers | Grade | |
---|---|---|
Force majeure | Earthquake | Ⅰ |
Heavy rain/flood | Ⅰ | |
Lightning | Ⅰ | |
Temperature | Ⅰ | |
High wind | Ⅰ | |
Other | Ⅰ | |
Third-party damage | Third-party excavation damage | Ⅲ |
Nearby fire/explosion damage | Ⅱ | |
Vehicle accidents | Ⅱ | |
Equipment arc damage | Ⅱ | |
Vandalism | Ⅰ | |
Excavation damage repair failure | Ⅰ | |
Other external damage | Ⅲ | |
Material/equipment failure | Pipe failure | Ⅱ |
Flange connection failure | Ⅱ | |
Fused joint failure | Ⅱ | |
Other connection failures | Ⅰ | |
Control/pressure relief equipment failure | Ⅰ | |
Failure of threaded connections | Ⅰ | |
Other equipment failures | Ⅰ | |
Improper operation | First-party excavation damage | Ⅱ |
Second-party excavation damage | Ⅱ | |
Improper operation by contractor | Ⅱ | |
Pipeline or equipment overpressure | Ⅰ | |
Improper equipment installation operation | Ⅰ | |
Other improper operation | Ⅰ | |
Other accident causes | Other causes | Ⅰ |
Unknown causes | Ⅱ |
Level Indicators | Secondary Indicators | Data Range |
---|---|---|
Regional vulnerability | There are 2 or fewer densely populated areas within the 50 m range on both sides of the pipeline centerline | 0.7–1.0 |
There are 3 densely populated areas within the 50 m range on both sides of the pipeline centerline | 1.0–1.2 | |
There are 4 or more densely populated areas within the 50 m range on both sides of the pipeline centerline | 1.2–3.0 | |
Ease of rectification | Small business/branch can take care of itself | 0.3–0.5 |
Need group company/head office coordination to solve | 0.5–1.0 | |
Need district county gas office to coordinate solution | 1.0–1.6 | |
Need to be coordinated by the municipal gas office | 1.6–3.0 | |
Condition around pipeline | There are other pipes around, and they are not up to standard | 1.4–2.5 |
Other lines around but up to standard | 1.0–1.4 | |
There is no other pipeline around | 0.5–1.0 | |
Positioning technology | High positioning accuracy | 0.4–1.0 |
Average positioning accuracy | 1.0–1.4 | |
Poor positioning accuracy | 1.4–2.0 | |
Leak detection technology | High positioning accuracy | 0.4–1.0 |
Average positioning accuracy | 1.0–1.4 | |
Poor positioning accuracy | 1.4–2.0 | |
Emergency ability | Have a complete emergency plan and emergency supplies | 0.7–1.0 |
Inadequate emergency plans or lack of emergency supplies | 1.5–1.8 | |
Inadequate emergency plans and lack of emergency supplies | 1.8–3.0 |
Compensation Factor | Adjustment Method |
---|---|
C ≤ 0.5 | Hidden danger level reduced by 2 levels |
0.5 < C ≤ 1.0 | Hidden danger level reduced by 1 level |
1.0 < C ≤ 1.2 | Hidden danger level is not adjusted |
1.2 < C ≤ 2.5 | Hidden danger level is increased by 1 level |
C > 2.5 | Hidden dangers level is increased by 2 levels |
Hidden danger to level I or Ⅲ, no adjustment will be made. |
Typical Hidden Dangers | P | L | The Initial Level | Compensation Factor | The Final Grade | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C1 | C2 | C3 | C4 | C5 | C6 | C | |||||
Third-party excavation damage | D | 3 | Ⅲ | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | Ⅲ |
Vandalism | A | 2 | I | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.6 | Ⅲ |
Improper operation by contractor | B | 4 | Ⅱ | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | I |
Typical Hidden Dangers | Head | Time Limit | Objectives, Management Plan | Basic Management Measures |
---|---|---|---|---|
Third-party excavation damage | Senior management | Immediately corrective | Immediately stop the operation, listed in the enterprise supervision and rectification hidden trouble governance project, develop a target plan to control hidden trouble, and re-evaluate the hidden trouble after the hidden trouble governance measures are implemented. Listed in the list of major hidden dangers of enterprises, focus on monitoring. | (1) Pipeline protection publicity and public education (2) Setting and maintenance of pipeline warning marks (3) Establishment, implementation, and assessment of pipeline inspection and care management system (4) Regular inspection of pipelines (5) Formulate and drill safety plans |
Vandalism | Senior management | Immediately corrective | Immediately stop the operation, listed in the enterprise supervision and rectification hidden trouble governance project, develop a target plan to control hidden trouble, and re-evaluate the hidden trouble after the hidden trouble governance measures are implemented. Listed in the list of major hidden dangers of enterprises, focus on monitoring. | |
Improper operation by contractor | Middle management | Immediately corrective | To be listed as a department-level hidden trouble control project, develop a target plan to control hidden trouble, and re-evaluate hidden trouble after the implementation of hidden trouble control measures. |
Typical Hidden Dangers | Hazard Level | Treatment Measure |
---|---|---|
Third-party excavation damage | Major | A1 signing of pipeline protection agreements A2 development of special plans and regular drills for hidden pipeline sections A4 increasing the means of operational monitoring A5 increasing the density of warning signs A6 conducting high-consequence area management A7 reporting to the relevant local government departments B1 increasing the burial depth of pipelines B9 installing additional monitoring or security surveillance systems C7 construction call-off C9 establishing special funds |
Vandalism | Major | A1 signing pipeline protection agreements A2 developing special plans and regular drills for hidden pipeline sections A3 shortening the inspection interval A4 increasing the means of operational monitoring A5 increasing the density of warning signs A6 conducting high-consequence area management A7 reporting to the relevant local government departments B1 increasing the burial depth of pipelines B3 shortening the inspection cycle C4 dismantling or removing the occupants |
Improper operation by contractor | General | A1 Sign pipeline protection agreement A2 Formulate special plans for hidden dangers and conduct regular drills A3 Shorten the inspection interval A4 Add operation monitoring means A5 Increase the density of warning labels A6 High-consequence zone management A7 Report to relevant local government departments |
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Wang, Y.; Liu, Z.; Huang, X.; Lv, H.; Wu, Y.; Zhou, K. A Method for Grading the Hidden Dangers of Urban Gas Polyethylene Pipelines Based on Improved PLC Methods. Energies 2022, 15, 6073. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15166073
Wang Y, Liu Z, Huang X, Lv H, Wu Y, Zhou K. A Method for Grading the Hidden Dangers of Urban Gas Polyethylene Pipelines Based on Improved PLC Methods. Energies. 2022; 15(16):6073. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15166073
Chicago/Turabian StyleWang, Yunlong, Zhiting Liu, Xinru Huang, Haizhou Lv, Yun Wu, and Kai Zhou. 2022. "A Method for Grading the Hidden Dangers of Urban Gas Polyethylene Pipelines Based on Improved PLC Methods" Energies 15, no. 16: 6073. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15166073
APA StyleWang, Y., Liu, Z., Huang, X., Lv, H., Wu, Y., & Zhou, K. (2022). A Method for Grading the Hidden Dangers of Urban Gas Polyethylene Pipelines Based on Improved PLC Methods. Energies, 15(16), 6073. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15166073