Prediction of Voltage Sag Relative Location with Data-Driven Algorithms in Distribution Grid
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Background
2.1. ANN
2.2. SVM
2.3. Gaussian Naive Bayes
2.4. K-Nearest Neighbors
2.5. Error Metrics
3. System Overview
Event Data
4. Simulation Results
5. Discussion
- When the DS and SLGF prediction results are examined, which include approximately 3.43% of the data set, it can be said that the SVM method predicts the fault type correctly with a rate of 75%. In addition, 25% of what was expected to be DS and SLGF was predicted as the US;
- When the DS and LLGF estimation results are examined, it is seen that this fault type, which has a rate of 1.31% in the data set, was predicted correctly by SVM at a rate of 7.1%. With this score, it can be said that the SVM algorithm is quite unsuccessful in predicting DS and LLGF. In the DS and LLGF estimation process, SVM incorrectly predicted the type of fault as DS and SLGF in 71% of the cases. In addition, it estimated the fault type as UP with a rate of 14% and DS and LLLGF with a rate of 7.1%. It can be said that the SVM algorithm fails to predict the DS and LLGF;
- When the DS and LLLGF failure is examined, it can be seen that it constitutes approximately 0.48% of the data set. When the prediction performance of SVM in this fault type is examined, it is seen that it predicts the fault type correctly at 50%. In addition, SVM estimated 25% as DS and SLGF, and the remaining 25% as DS and LLGF, which should have been estimated as DS and LLLGF.
- When the DS and SLGF prediction performance is examined, it can be seen that the ANN algorithm reaches 90% accuracy. In addition, ANN estimated about 7.2% of the output data as DS and LLGF, which it should have estimated as DS and SLGF. In the remaining 2.9% estimation of DS and SLGF, ANN predicted the voltage sag relative location and fault type as DS and LLGF;
- When the results obtained by the ANN algorithm in the DS and LLGF estimation process are examined, it can be said that the algorithm can predict this error type correctly at a rate of 41%. Moreover, 59% of what was expected to estimate as DS and LLGF were DS and SLGF. Therefore, the algorithm was ineffective in estimating DS and LLGF;
- If the DS and LLLGF prediction performance is examined, it is seen that the ANN algorithm reaches 40% accuracy. This value shows that the algorithm is ineffective in the DS and LLLGF estimation process. On the other hand, ANN, DS, and LLLGF estimated 50% of the outputs as DS and LLGF and 10% as the US.
- When the DS and SLGF estimation performance of the Gaussian NB algorithm is examined, it can be seen that it reaches 63% accuracy. It was determined that this method estimated 2.3% as DS and LLLGF and 2.3% as DS and LLGF, which should be estimated as DS and SLGF. The algorithm estimated the remaining 33% as the US, while it should have predicted DS and SLGF;
- When the DS and LLGF estimation results were examined, the Gaussian NB algorithm, which showed a success rate of 10%, was inefficient in estimating this fault type. The algorithm estimated 60% as DS and SLGF and 30% as US, which it should have estimated as DS and LLGF;
- If the algorithm’s DS and LLLGF estimation performance is analyzed, it can be observed that it reaches an accuracy of 38%. In addition, 12% of the output values that should be estimated as DS and LLLGF were estimated as DS and LLGF, and 50% as the US.
- In DS and SLGF estimation, it can be observed that the algorithm is more successful than other algorithms, with an accuracy of 92%. The algorithm estimated 4.1% as DS and LLGF and 4.1% as the US of the output values it should have predicted as DS and SLGF;
- When the DS and LLGF estimation performance of the KNN method was examined, it was observed that it reached 55% accuracy. Again, this value is higher than other algorithms’ DS and LLGF prediction scores. KNN estimated 36% as DS and SLGF and 9.1% as DS and LLLGF, which should have estimated DS and LLGF;
- It has been observed that the algorithm predicts this fault type exactly in the DS and LLLGF process, where the KNN algorithm differs significantly from other algorithms in the prediction process. When compared with other algorithms used in voltage sag relative estimation, it is seen that the KNN algorithm has a limited advantage over other algorithms in general accuracy. However, for DS and SLGF, DS and LLGF, and DS and LLLGF, which make up about 6% of the output values of the dataset and are more difficult to predict than the US event, it can be said significantly more effective than the other methods.
6. Conclusions
- The KNN algorithms classify the voltage sag relative location with high rates of 0.9875. The KNN shows more accurate results, as can be seen from the error metrics, which are accuracy, precision, F1 score, and recall. Moreover, according to the confusion matrix created to examine the estimation results of the algorithms in more detail, KNN is more successful than other algorithms in terms of classification of fault type despite limited data for some events;
- Gaussian NB algorithms determine the voltage sag relative location with high rates of 0.9734. As can be seen from the confusion matrix, the Gaussian NB shows lower accuracy like SVM and ANN when it determines the fault type, especially in D3 and D2 regions due to limited data regarding these events;
- Distribution grid operators can take much faster action to mitigate voltage sag problems in the grid, thanks to a highly accurate estimation of the voltage sag relative location and type of fault. In this way, potential damages to industrial users will be prevented;
- As different companies operate the distribution and transmission systems in Turkey, this study helps to understand whether the voltage sag event is caused by the transmission or the distribution grid. In addition to determining the relative position of the voltage sag, the proposed method can also help to identify the primary source of the voltage sag if the grid model and PQ analyzer measurement points are integrated into the PQMS. After the proposed algorithms determine the voltage sag relative location, this information should be visualized on the grid model. DSO operator can define the exact location of voltage sag by following the change of direction (US to DS or DS to US). Moreover, if the proposed algorithm is revised by adding grid topology and rules for finding the exact location, they can automatically determine the exact location of voltage sag.
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
References
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Methods | Advantages | Disadvantages |
---|---|---|
Depend on power and energy [16] | The application of this method is simple | It requires a threshold for disturbance energy |
Current change [20] | It shows suitable accuracy for symmetrical fault | It needs extra decision parameters for unsymmetrical faults |
Impedance change [21,22] | It shows suitable accuracy for symmetrical and unsymmetrical fault | It depends on the voltage and current data cycle |
Only voltage measurement [23,24] | It needs only the voltage measurement | The threshold is required for the voltage ratio before and during the voltage sag |
Only current measurement [25,26] | It needs only current measurement | It needs phasor |
Event ID | Event Direction | Fault Type | V-I Data |
---|---|---|---|
1 | DS | SLGF | Figure A1 |
2 | DS | SLGF | Figure A2 |
3 | DS | SLGF | Figure A3 |
4 | DS | SLGF | Figure A4 |
5 | DS | LLGF | Figure A5 |
6 | DS | LLLGF | Figure A6 |
7 | US | - | Figure A7 |
8 | US | - | Figure A8 |
Model | Parameter | Accuracy | Recall | F1 Score | Precision |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANN | Optimizer = Adam, iteration = 2000, input layer size = 2048, hidden layer size = 1024, output layer size = 4, activation function (input layer) = ReLU, activation function (hidden layer) = ReLU, activation function (output layer) = Softmax, batch_size = 2000, dropout ratio = 0.5. | 0.9819 | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.99 |
SVM | Kernel = Rbf, degree = 3, penalty = l2, iteration = 30, class weight = {0:25, 1:197., 2:65.5, 3:1}. | 0.9759 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.97 |
K-NN | n_neighbors = 4, metric = ‘minkowski’. | 0.9875 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
Gaussian NB | var_smoothing = 0.1 | 0.9734 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.97 |
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Yalman, Y.; Uyanık, T.; Atlı, İ.; Tan, A.; Bayındır, K.Ç.; Karal, Ö.; Golestan, S.; Guerrero, J.M. Prediction of Voltage Sag Relative Location with Data-Driven Algorithms in Distribution Grid. Energies 2022, 15, 6641. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15186641
Yalman Y, Uyanık T, Atlı İ, Tan A, Bayındır KÇ, Karal Ö, Golestan S, Guerrero JM. Prediction of Voltage Sag Relative Location with Data-Driven Algorithms in Distribution Grid. Energies. 2022; 15(18):6641. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15186641
Chicago/Turabian StyleYalman, Yunus, Tayfun Uyanık, İbrahim Atlı, Adnan Tan, Kamil Çağatay Bayındır, Ömer Karal, Saeed Golestan, and Josep M. Guerrero. 2022. "Prediction of Voltage Sag Relative Location with Data-Driven Algorithms in Distribution Grid" Energies 15, no. 18: 6641. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15186641
APA StyleYalman, Y., Uyanık, T., Atlı, İ., Tan, A., Bayındır, K. Ç., Karal, Ö., Golestan, S., & Guerrero, J. M. (2022). Prediction of Voltage Sag Relative Location with Data-Driven Algorithms in Distribution Grid. Energies, 15(18), 6641. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15186641