The Impact of the Digital Economy on Supply Chain Security: Evidence from China’s Wooden Furniture Industry
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
3. Constructing and Accounting a Supply Chain Security Evaluation Index System for the Wooden Furniture Industry
3.1. Constructing Supply Chain Security Evaluation Indicators for the Wooden Furniture Industry
3.2. Constructing an Evaluation Index System for the Digital Economy
4. Theoretical Basis and Research Hypotheses
4.1. Theoretical Basis
4.2. Research Hypotheses
5. Research Design
5.1. Research Design
- Multicollinearity test. Considering the large number of variables involved in the econometric analysis, the variance inflation factor (VIF) was used to avoid multicollinearity that could lead to bias in the regression results. The test results showed that the maximum VIF value was 4.12. The mean value was 2.05, which is less than the strict VIF reference value of 5, indicating that there was no multicollinearity among the variables in the regression analysis.
- Heteroskedasticity test. In order to avoid heteroskedasticity in the regression analysis that could reduce the explanatory validity of the impact of the digital economy’s development on the supply chain security of China’s wooden furniture industry, the regression model was subjected to the White test. The test results showed a p-value of 0.000, rejecting the original hypothesis of homoskedasticity at the 1% significance level. Consequently, robust standard errors were included in all subsequent empirical studies to address the problem of reduced explanatory validity due to heteroskedasticity.
- Hausman test. The Hausman test was used to determine whether to choose a fixed effects model or a random effects model in the empirical analysis. The result of the test shows a p-value of 0.000, which rejects the original hypothesis of choosing a random-effects model at the 1% level of significance. Therefore, a fixed effects model was selected for the subsequent research.
5.2. Variable Selection
5.3. Data Sources and Descriptive Statistics
6. Results and Discussion
6.1. Benchmark Regression Results
6.2. Robustness Test
- Replacing the independent variable. The rapid development of the digital economy has benefited from investment in scientific and technological R&D by governments at all levels, as well as by all sectors of society. and a relatively higher investment in R&D will result in a higher level of economic development. Therefore, R&D intensity is used as a proxy variable for the digital economy to explore its impact on supply chain security in the wood furniture industry.
- Replacing the dependent variable. Compared to the high-tech manufacturing industry, the wood furniture industry requires many laborers; thus, the number of existing laborers engaged in the wood furniture manufacturing industry also reflects the difference in the level of supply chain security of the industry to a certain extent. However, the employed population engaged in the industry does not affect the level of digital economy development in society, thus satisfying the fourth condition and avoiding the endogeneity problem to a certain extent. Therefore, this study replaces the supply chain security index with the existing number of employees engaged in the furniture manufacturing industry as the dependent variable to verify the impact of the digital economy on supply chain security.
- Lagging 1–2 periods of the digital economy’s level of development Considering that the wood furniture industry is a traditional manufacturing industry, the actual use of digital technology may lag behind the actual digital economy development, which leads to bias in the estimation results; thus, the digital economy development level of the lagged period is used as an instrumental variable in the regression analysis of the supply security of wood furniture. The results are summarized in Table 5.
6.3. Impact Mechanisms Test
6.4. Further Study
7. Conclusions and Recommendations
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Primary Indicator | Secondary Indicator | Data Source | Mean | Std. | Character |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital supply | Log of total assets of the furniture manufacturing industry | China Furniture Yearbook | 3.08 | 2.69 | + |
Log of gearing ratio | China Economic Census | 3.55 | 1.91 | + | |
Labor supply | Log of urban registered unemployed population | National Bureau of Statistics | 3.04 | 0.72 | + |
Production technology supply | Log of imports of wood furniture production and processing equipment | Statistical Yearbook of China’s Light Industry | −2.74 | 2.56 | - |
Log of exports of wood furniture production and processing equipment | Statistical Yearbook of China’s Light Industry | 16.52 | 2.80 | + | |
Diversification of processing equipment imports | Database of the General Administration of Customs of China | 2.11 | 1.05 | + | |
Raw material supply | Log of standing tree stock | National Bureau of Statistics | 9.85 | 1.71 | + |
Log of total log sawn timber production | Database of the General Administration of Customs of China | 5.33 | 1.63 | + | |
Log of gross value of timber harvesting and transportation | National Bureau of Statistics | 1.87 | 1.87 | + | |
Log of wood-based panel production | Database of the General Administration of Customs of China | 5.09 | 2.16 | + | |
Log of imports of sawn timber | Database of the General Administration of Customs of China | 5.66 | 5.13 | - | |
Log of total imports of wood-based panels | Database of the General Administration of Customs of China | −3.09 | 3.32 | + |
Primary Indicator | Secondary Indicator | Data Source | Mean | Std. | Character |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Digital industry activity | Log of main business income of high-tech enterprises | China Economic Census | 6.76 | 1.90 | + |
Employed in the information transmission, software and information technology services industry | China Statistical Yearbook | 1.66 | 1.01 | + | |
Density of Internet broadband access ports | China Statistical Yearbook | 3.09 | 2.69 | + | |
Mobile telephone exchange capacity | China Statistical Yearbook | 8.21 | 1.02 | + | |
Digital innovation activity | R&D full-time equivalents (10,000 people per year) | China Statistical Yearbook | 10.31 | 13.15 | + |
Log of R&D internal expenditures | China Statistical Yearbook | 4.95 | 1.57 | + | |
Log of domestic patent applications granted | China Statistical Yearbook | 9.38 | 1.75 | + | |
Log of technology market turnover | China Statistical Yearbook | 4.09 | 1.95 | + | |
Digital user activity | Mobile telephones per 100 people | China Statistical Yearbook | 4.18 | 0.62 | + |
Log of the number of Internet users | China Statistical Yearbook | 7.11 | 1.25 | + | |
Log of total telecommunication business | China Statistical Yearbook | 4.02 | 1.09 | + | |
Log of the number of Internet access services places | China Statistical Yearbook | 7.99 | 0.90 | + |
Variable | Name N | Symbol | Meaning | Mean | Std. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dependent variable | Supply chain security index | sup | Index of supply chain security in the wood furniture industry | 25.034 | 5.623 |
Independent variable | Digital economy index | dig | Index of evaluation of digital economy development level | 3.678 | 1.458 |
Mediating variable | Inventory turnover ratio | sto | Industry’s operating costs/Average balance of net inventories | 18.799 | 7.278 |
Control variables | Original cost of fixed assets in the furniture manufacturing industry | fas | Log of the original cost of fixed assets in the furniture manufacturing industry by province | 2.381 | 2.184 |
Log of wood furniture production | lnpro | Log of annual wood furniture production by province | 4.703 | 2.617 | |
Development level of financial and credit operations | fina | Percentage of loan balances of financial institutions in GDP by province | 1.271 | 0.447 | |
Log of population density | lnpden | Log of total population density by province | 5.441 | 1.314 | |
Forest cover | cove | Percentage of forested area in each province in relation to its administrative area | 31.156 | 17.698 | |
Log of road freight turnover | frei | Log of freight transported per kilometer of road | 8.761 | 0.684 | |
Employment rate | empl | Overall employment rates by province | 96.523 | 0.704 |
Variables | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sup | Sup | Sup | Sup | |
dig | 2.725 *** | 2.842 *** | 1.881 *** | 2.159 *** |
[0.210] | [0.316] | [0.247] | [0.362] | |
ln Road freight turnover | 1.178 *** | 1.481 *** | 1.670 *** | 1.376 *** |
[0.331] | [0.471] | [0.430] | [0.494] | |
ln Wooden furniture production in 10,000 pieces | −0.1 | 0.002 | 0.083 | 0.063 |
[0.149] | [0.138] | [0.136] | [0.137] | |
Financial development level | −1.227 *** | 0.171 | −0.051 | 0.859 |
[0.448] | [0.709] | [0.528] | [0.758] | |
Log of population density | −0.267 | 0.445 | 11.867 *** | 13.110 *** |
[0.165] | [0.470] | [2.380] | [2.404] | |
Forest cover | 0.017 * | 0.013 | −0.037 | 0.017 |
[0.009] | [0.026] | [0.037] | [0.042] | |
Log of original cost of fixed assets | 0.703 *** | 0.158 | 0.066 | 0.231 |
[0.197] | [0.184] | [0.177] | [0.186] | |
Employment rate | −1.698 *** | −0.663 ** | −0.530 * | −0.404 * |
[0.283] | [0.312] | [0.302] | [0.218] | |
Constant term | 190.466 *** | 88.838 *** | −12.514 | −42.079 |
[27.329] | [30.002] | [34.676] | [36.971] | |
Province fixed | No | No | Yes | Yes |
Time fixed | No | Yes | No | Yes |
Observed value | 570 | 570 | 570 | 570 |
Fitted value | 0.566 | 0.387 | 0.389 | 0.620 |
Replacing Variables | Lagging 1–2 Period | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Replacing the Independent Variable | Replacing the Dependent Variable | Lagging 1 Period | Lagging 2 Periods | |
Variables | sup | lnlab | sup | sup |
dig | 0.287 *** | 2.521 *** | 2.764 *** | |
[0.097] | [0.336] | [0.328] | ||
rede | 4.000 *** | |||
[0.537] | ||||
Control variables | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Time fixed | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Province fixed | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Sample size | 570 | 567 | 540 | 510 |
Goodness of fit | 0.44 | 0.495 | 0.426 | 0.416 |
Variables | Basic Regression Analysis | Two-Way Fixed Effects | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
Sup | Sto | Sup | Sup | Sto | Sup | |
sto | 5.585 *** | 3.206 ** | ||||
[0.562] | [1.275] | |||||
dig | 2.725 *** | 0.189 *** | 2.431 *** | 2.159 *** | 0.312 *** | 1.280 ** |
[0.210] | [0.015] | [0.299] | [0.362] | [0.012] | [0.538] | |
Control variables | Control | Control | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Time fixed | No | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Individual fixed | No | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Sample size | 570 | 570 | 570 | 570 | 570 | 570 |
R2 | 0.566 | 0.525 | 0.631 | 0.420 | 0.722 | 0.427 |
Statistics | Sobel Test | Bootstrap Test | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sobel | Coefficient a | Coefficient b | Mediating Effect | Direct Effect | Total Effect | Indirect Effect | Direct Effect | |
Coefficient | 0.999 | 0.312 | 3.206 | 0.999 | 1.160 | 2.159 | 0.999 | 1.160 |
Std. | 0.399 | 0.012 | 1.275 | 0.399 | 0.536 | 0.362 | 0.354 | 0.565 |
Z-value | 2.503 | 25.018 | 2.515 | 2.503 | 2.165 | 5.969 | 2.82 | 2.050 |
p-value | 0.012 | 0.000 | 0.012 | 0.012 | 0.030 | 0.000 | 0.005 | 0.040 |
Variables | All-Sample | Coastal Province | Non-Coastal Province | With Ports | Without Ports |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sup | Sup | Sup | Sup | Sup | |
dig | 2.159 *** | 0.254 | 4.601 *** | 0.140 | 3.231 *** |
0.362 | 0.539 | 0.995 | 0.473 | 0.419 | |
Control variables | Control | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Time fixed | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Province fixed | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Sample size | 570 | 570 | 570 | 570 | 570 |
Goodness of fit | 0.420 | 0.381 | 0.712 | 0.316 | 0.682 |
p-value | / | 0.000 *** | 0.026 ** |
All-Sample | Whether Coastal or Not | Whether Port or Not | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | No | With | Without | ||
Variables | sup | sup | sup | sup | sup |
θ | 1.825 ** | 5.205 | 1.749 *** | 5.533 | 1.748 ** |
dig ≤ θ | 4.547 *** | 2.414 ** | 6.489 *** | 2.542 *** | 5.717 *** |
[1.026] | [0.702] | [1.136] | [0.559] | [1.247] | |
dig > θ | 1.866 *** | 1.789 ** | 2.396 *** | 1.952 *** | 1.960 ** |
[0.398] | [0.722] | [0.526] | [0.460] | [0.709] | |
95% confidence interval | [1.724, 1.897] | [5.0941, 5.3211] | [1.580, 1.760] | [5.415, 5.651] | [1.566, 1.760] |
Control variables | Control | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Province fixed | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Time fixed | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
R2 | 0.458 | 0.658 | 0.425 | 0.650 | 0.368 |
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Luo, Y.; Chen, Y.; Tao, C.; Yang, C.; Xiang, F.; Xu, C.; Lin, F. The Impact of the Digital Economy on Supply Chain Security: Evidence from China’s Wooden Furniture Industry. Forests 2024, 15, 879. https://doi.org/10.3390/f15050879
Luo Y, Chen Y, Tao C, Yang C, Xiang F, Xu C, Lin F. The Impact of the Digital Economy on Supply Chain Security: Evidence from China’s Wooden Furniture Industry. Forests. 2024; 15(5):879. https://doi.org/10.3390/f15050879
Chicago/Turabian StyleLuo, Yiyi, Yilin Chen, Chenlu Tao, Chao Yang, Futao Xiang, Chang Xu, and Fanli Lin. 2024. "The Impact of the Digital Economy on Supply Chain Security: Evidence from China’s Wooden Furniture Industry" Forests 15, no. 5: 879. https://doi.org/10.3390/f15050879
APA StyleLuo, Y., Chen, Y., Tao, C., Yang, C., Xiang, F., Xu, C., & Lin, F. (2024). The Impact of the Digital Economy on Supply Chain Security: Evidence from China’s Wooden Furniture Industry. Forests, 15(5), 879. https://doi.org/10.3390/f15050879