A Novel Framework for Sustainable Traffic Safety Programs Using the Public as Sensors of Hazardous Road Information
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Identification of Hazardous Locations
- Crash frequency: The simplest method is to use a list of hazardous locations ranked by the numbers of crashes occurring during a given period of time (such as 3 years). Sites are ranked in decreasing order of observed crash frequencies. Since the lengths of the compared segments are different, a modified frequency can be calculated from the total number of crashes over each segment length. This simple method does not take into account traffic volume or crash severity.
- Crash rate: This method normalizes the crash frequency with an exposure measure such as traffic volume. It is the most widely used method due to its simplicity, but it still does not take into account crash severity. The crash rate of a specific road segment can be simply calculated by dividing the crash frequency in a segment by the segment’s length and traffic volume (e.g., average annual daily traffic (AADT)).
- EPDO: To combine the frequency and severity score for each crash segment, this method weights crashes by their severity (fatalities, injuries, and property damage only). Each of the injury levels is given a weight that is compared against crashes with property damage only, which are given a weight of 1. This method does not account for exposure.
- Rate-quality control: This method was initially proposed to analyze the amount of variability in the crash rate that could be expected as a result of chance for any highway control section [13]. Stokes and Mutabazi [17] developed this method to compare the crash rate at a segment with the average crash rate calculated in a group of segments with similar characteristics. Similar segments are assumed to have similar hazard levels. Thus, if the calculated crash rate of a segment is too high compared to similar segments or the average crash rate, that segment is considered to be a hazardous location. This method does not take into account crash severity.
- EB: This method was developed to correct for the regression-to-the-mean bias [25]. It combines the crash history of a specific segment with the crash frequency predicted by a crash prediction model. The locations where a high crash count is expected from the EB model can be called HRLs, and a location with the most significant number of crash counts would be ranked the highest.
2.2. Citizen Participation in the Transportation Field
2.3. Literature Review Summary
3. Identification of HRLs Based on Citizen Participation
3.1. Citizens as Sensors of Latent Roadway Risk Information
3.2. Social Media for Citizen Participation
4. Case Study
4.1. Roadway Risk Information Collection
4.2. Feasibility Assessment of the Case Study
4.2.1. Assessment Framework and Dataset
- Arrangement of two datasets: Two datasets were used for the identification of HRLs: one composed of crash data from three years (2010 to 2012), and another composed of resident-reported latent roadway risk information from 23–29 June 2013.
- Identification of potential HRLs using the EB method: The two different sets of potential HRLs were ranked in decreasing order of crash frequency or latent risk frequency with respect to the AADT of each segment.
- Identification of real HRLs using the EB method: Since the potential HRLs from the two datasets were identified using datasets prior to 1 July 2013, the real HRLs were identified based on crashes that occurred during a half-year period from 1 July 2013 to 31 December 2013, using the EB method.
- Assessment of matching rates: The two lists of potential and identified real HRLs were compared based on how much the lists matched the real HRLs.
4.2.2. Arrangement of Road Network and Risk Dataset
4.2.3. Assessment of the Proposed Model
Application of the EB Method for Identifying HRLs
Comparison and Discussions for Identified HRL Results by the Traditional and Proposed Methods
5. Discussion and Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Samples | Percentage | ||
---|---|---|---|
Total | 444 | 100 | |
Gender | Male | 192 | 43.2 |
Female | 252 | 56.8 | |
Age | 10s | 26 | 5.9 |
20s | 270 | 60.8 | |
30s | 99 | 22.3 | |
40s | 30 | 6.8 | |
50s | 15 | 3.4 | |
60s or older | 4 | 0.9 | |
Time period | Morning (06:00–10:00) | 42 | 9.5 |
Daytime (10:00–17:00) | 137 | 30.9 | |
Evening (17:00–21:00) | 132 | 29.7 | |
Night (21:00–06:00) | 39 | 8.8 | |
Always | 60 | 13.5 | |
n/a | 34 | 7.7 | |
Weather conditions | Clear | 185 | 41.7 |
Cloudy | 67 | 15.1 | |
Rainy | 48 | 10.8 | |
Snowy | 5 | 1.1 | |
Foggy | 6 | 1.4 | |
Always | 78 | 17.6 | |
n/a | 55 | 12.4 |
Intersections (80 Sections) | Roadway Segments (286 Sections) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Average | Standard Deviation | Average | Standard Deviation | |
Number of crashes | 7.96 | 11.46 | 1.91 | 3.00 |
AADT | 11,719 | 99,667 | 12,952 | 13,486 |
Length of segment (m) | 43.96 | 11.32 | 121.01 | 35.40 |
Number of lanes | 4.39 | 1.91 | 4.25 | 1.85 |
Speed limit | 56.75 | 16.37 | 54.67 | 17.35 |
Intersection | Roadway Segment | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Estimate | Std. Error | p-Value | Estimate | Std. Error | p-Value | |
(intercept) | −0.3370 | 0.4020 | 0.4019 | −0.1531 | 0.2275 | 0.5010 |
AADT/10,000 | 0.6415 | 0.0882 | <0.0000 | 0.2015 | 0.0463 | <0.0000 |
Length of segment | 0.0160 | 0.0079 | 0.0417 | 0.0040 | 0.0018 | 0.0306 |
Number of lanes | 0.1648 | 0.0460 | 0.0003 | |||
Overdispersion parameter: 0.6619 | Overdispersion parameter: 0.3618 |
HRLs in the Reference Year | HRLs | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Past 3 Years of Data cf. Reference Year Data | Data by CP cf. Reference Year Data | ||||
% of High Ranked Sections | Number of Sections | Number of Identified Sections | Identified Rate * | Number of Identified Sections | Identified Rate |
1% ≤ | 4 | 3 | 75% | 4 | 100% |
3% ≤ | 11 (4 + 7) | 9 | 82% | 9 | 82% |
5% ≤ | 18 (11 + 7) | 15 | 83% | 17 | 94% |
10% ≤ | 37 (18 + 19) | 34 | 92% | 36 | 97% |
20% ≤ | 73 (37 + 36) | 68 | 93% | 70 | 96% |
50% ≤ | 183 (73 + 110) | 179 | 98% | 178 | 97% |
80% ≤ | 292 (183 + 109) | 287 | 98% | 288 | 99% |
100% ≤ | 365 (292 + 73) | 365 | 100% | 365 | 100% |
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Chung, Y.; Won, M. A Novel Framework for Sustainable Traffic Safety Programs Using the Public as Sensors of Hazardous Road Information. Sustainability 2018, 10, 3892. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10113892
Chung Y, Won M. A Novel Framework for Sustainable Traffic Safety Programs Using the Public as Sensors of Hazardous Road Information. Sustainability. 2018; 10(11):3892. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10113892
Chicago/Turabian StyleChung, Younshik, and Minsu Won. 2018. "A Novel Framework for Sustainable Traffic Safety Programs Using the Public as Sensors of Hazardous Road Information" Sustainability 10, no. 11: 3892. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10113892
APA StyleChung, Y., & Won, M. (2018). A Novel Framework for Sustainable Traffic Safety Programs Using the Public as Sensors of Hazardous Road Information. Sustainability, 10(11), 3892. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10113892