Clustering or Scattering? The Spatial Distribution of Cropland in a Metropolitan Region, 1960–2010
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Land Use Analysis and Cropland Data
2.3. Territorial Variables
2.4. Exploratory Data Analysis
2.5. Regression Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Descriptive Statistics
3.2. Hierarchical Clustering
3.3. Multiple Regression
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Acronym | Variable | Measurement Unit | Source | Time Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|
Agr | Share of cropland in total municipal area | % | Census of land-use | 1960–2010 |
For | Share of forests in total municipal area | | | | | | |
Gro | Annual population growth rate | | | Census of population | 1961–2011 |
Area | Municipal surface area | km2 | Territorial statistics | 1960–2010 |
Urb | Per capita built-up area | m2 | Census of land-use | | |
Ele | Average municipal elevation | M | Census of population | Once per time |
Sea | Proximity to the sea coast | 0: internal; 1: coastal | Territorial statistics | | |
dAth | Distance from Athens | Km | Our elaboration | | |
dPir | Distance from Piraeus | | | | | | |
dMar | Distance from Maroussi | | | | | | |
dMak | Distance from Markopoulo M. | | | | | | |
Cqi | Climate quality index | 0–1 | Europ. Env. Agency | | |
Sqi | Soil quality index | | | | | | |
Statistic | 1960 | 2010 |
---|---|---|
Average | 36.9 | 38.6 |
Median | 35.2 | 40.3 |
Median to average | 0.96 | 1.04 |
Coefficient of variation | 0.86 | 0.80 |
Maximum value | 96.0 | 88.6 |
Municipalities with cropland (%) | 83.6 | 87.0 |
Asymmetry | 0.27 | 0.09 |
Kurtosis | −1.39 | −1.47 |
Variable | Beta | Std. Error | t-Statistic | p-Level |
---|---|---|---|---|
1960: Adj-R2 = 0.590, F(5,109) = 33.9, p < 0.001; D-W test = 1.87 | ||||
dAth | 1.302 | 0.135 | 9.6 | 0.000 |
For | −0.497 | 0.071 | −7.0 | 0.000 |
dMar | −0.603 | 0.128 | −4.7 | 0.000 |
Cqi | 0.155 | 0.065 | 2.4 | 0.018 |
Urb | −0.128 | 0.062 | −2.1 | 0.042 |
1970: Adj-R2 = 0.594, F(6,108) = 28.8, p < 0.001; D-W test = 1.74 | ||||
dAth | 0.418 | 0.163 | 2.6 | 0.012 |
For | −0.467 | 0.070 | −6.7 | 0.000 |
dPir | 0.507 | 0.151 | 3.4 | 0.001 |
Area | 0.157 | 0.072 | 2.2 | 0.031 |
dMak | −0.165 | 0.075 | −2.2 | 0.030 |
Urb | −0.134 | 0.066 | −2.0 | 0.044 |
1980: Adj-R2 = 0.546, F(5,109) = 28.4, p < 0.001; D-W test = 1.64 | ||||
dAth | 0.396 | 0.171 | 2.3 | 0.022 |
For | −0.374 | 0.074 | −5.1 | 0.000 |
dPir | 0.410 | 0.158 | 2.6 | 0.011 |
Area | 0.219 | 0.076 | 2.9 | 0.005 |
dMak | −0.144 | 0.078 | −1.9 | 0.050 |
1990: Adj-R2 = 0.656, F(3,111) = 73.5 p < 0.001, D-W test = 1.92 | ||||
dAth | 0.743 | 0.060 | 12.5 | 0.000 |
Gro | 0.204 | 0.059 | 3.5 | 0.001 |
Cqi | 0.136 | 0.056 | 2.4 | 0.017 |
2000: Adj-R2 = 0.693, F(5,109) = 52.6, p < 0.001; D-W test = 2.05 | ||||
dAth | 0.980 | 0.116 | 8.4 | 0.000 |
Gro | 0.155 | 0.060 | 2.6 | 0.011 |
Sqi | 0.167 | 0.055 | 3.1 | 0.003 |
Cqi | 0.113 | 0.054 | 2.1 | 0.041 |
dMar | −0.226 | 0.111 | −2.0 | 0.044 |
2010: Adj-R2 = 0.749, F(4,110) = 86.0, p < 0.001; D-W test = 2.00 | ||||
dAth | 0.565 | 0.080 | 7.1 | 0.000 |
Sqi | 0.305 | 0.048 | 6.3 | 0.000 |
Gro | 0.251 | 0.048 | 5.2 | 0.000 |
Urb | 0.272 | 0.080 | 3.4 | 0.001 |
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Colantoni, A.; Zambon, I.; Gras, M.; Mosconi, E.M.; Stefanoni, A.; Salvati, L. Clustering or Scattering? The Spatial Distribution of Cropland in a Metropolitan Region, 1960–2010. Sustainability 2018, 10, 2584. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10072584
Colantoni A, Zambon I, Gras M, Mosconi EM, Stefanoni A, Salvati L. Clustering or Scattering? The Spatial Distribution of Cropland in a Metropolitan Region, 1960–2010. Sustainability. 2018; 10(7):2584. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10072584
Chicago/Turabian StyleColantoni, Andrea, Ilaria Zambon, Maria Gras, Enrico Maria Mosconi, Alessandra Stefanoni, and Luca Salvati. 2018. "Clustering or Scattering? The Spatial Distribution of Cropland in a Metropolitan Region, 1960–2010" Sustainability 10, no. 7: 2584. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10072584
APA StyleColantoni, A., Zambon, I., Gras, M., Mosconi, E. M., Stefanoni, A., & Salvati, L. (2018). Clustering or Scattering? The Spatial Distribution of Cropland in a Metropolitan Region, 1960–2010. Sustainability, 10(7), 2584. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10072584