Sustainable Emerging Country Agro-Food Supply Chains: Fresh Vegetable Price Formation Mechanisms in Rural China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
3. Research Method
3.1. The Price Conduction Model of the Fresh and Raw Vegetable Supply Chain
3.1.1. The Price Conduction Model of the Upstream Supply Chain
- (1)
- Wholesalers inform secondary merchants regarding the demand quantity. The secondary merchants inform the primary merchants to buy vegetables. However, the task of each primary merchant is different, depending on demand. For example, if the wholesalers have a high demand and time pressures, they will try to seek other buyers, in addition to their own designated buyers;
- (2)
- The first-level merchants will deliver the vegetables to the warehouses of secondary merchants on completion of procurement. The secondary merchants will do the sorting and packaging and sell the vegetables to wholesalers, who will in turn transport and sell the vegetables. The wholesalers also set the selling price and the price offered to secondary merchants. The price is usually the same across a single region;
- (3)
- Wholesalers pay the secondary merchants, who in turn pay the primary merchants; the latter in turn pay the producers; and
- (4)
- The transaction ends.
3.1.2. The Price Conduction Model of the Downstream Supply Chain
3.2. Elastic Model of Supply Chain Price Conduction of Fresh and Raw Vegetables
3.2.1. Elastic Model of Price Conduction
3.2.2. Generalized Correction of the Model
4. Empirical Analysis
4.1. Descriptive Analysis of Data
4.2. Stationarity Test
4.3. Co-Integration Test
4.4. Value at Risk (VAR) and the Determination of Lag Order
4.5. Granger Causality Analysis
5. Discussions on Findings
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variable | Name | Mean | Standard Deviation | Minimum | Maximum | Sample Size |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Procurement price | Pricely | 2.622 | 0.837 | 1.74 | 4.82 | 78 |
Wholesale price | Pricebj | 3.027 | 0.934 | 2 | 5.25 | 78 |
Variable | Mean | Standard Deviation | Standard Deviation Coefficient |
---|---|---|---|
Procurement price | 2.622 | 0.837 | 0.319 |
Wholesale price | 3.027 | 0.934 | 0.309 |
Variable | Horizontal Variable | First order Difference | Result | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ADF | t * | ADF | t *** | ||
Pricebj | −1.5209 | −4.0817 | −6.7064 | −4.0833 | I (1) |
Pricely | −2.5455 | −4.0817 | −9.6573 | −4.0834 | I (1) |
Variable | ADF | t *** | Result |
---|---|---|---|
pricebj | −5.5217 | −4.0850 | I (0) |
Lag | LogL | LR | FPE | AIC | SC | HQ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | −128.0675 | NA | 0.115278 | 3.515338 | 3.577610 | 3.540179 |
1 | 8.747078 | 262.5361 | 0.003183 | −0.074245 | 0.112571 * | 0.000278 * |
2 | 10.81702 | 3.860168 | 0.003355 | −0.022082 | 0.289278 | 0.102124 |
3 | 18.48179 | 13.87944 * | 0.003040 * | −0.121129 * | 0.314775 | 0.052758 |
4 | 20.02998 | 2.719789 | 0.003253 | −0.054864 | 0.505584 | 0.168705 |
Null Hypothesis | F-Statistic | Probability |
---|---|---|
PRICELY does not Granger Cause PRICEBJ | 2.14345 | 0.1028 |
PRICEBJ does not Granger Cause PRICELY | 5.17398 | 0.0028 |
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Cao, Y.; Mohiuddin, M. Sustainable Emerging Country Agro-Food Supply Chains: Fresh Vegetable Price Formation Mechanisms in Rural China. Sustainability 2019, 11, 2814. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11102814
Cao Y, Mohiuddin M. Sustainable Emerging Country Agro-Food Supply Chains: Fresh Vegetable Price Formation Mechanisms in Rural China. Sustainability. 2019; 11(10):2814. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11102814
Chicago/Turabian StyleCao, Yuliang, and Muhammad Mohiuddin. 2019. "Sustainable Emerging Country Agro-Food Supply Chains: Fresh Vegetable Price Formation Mechanisms in Rural China" Sustainability 11, no. 10: 2814. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11102814
APA StyleCao, Y., & Mohiuddin, M. (2019). Sustainable Emerging Country Agro-Food Supply Chains: Fresh Vegetable Price Formation Mechanisms in Rural China. Sustainability, 11(10), 2814. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11102814