3.1. Empirical Models
The Hypothesis 1 tests whether how the frequent change of the largest shareholder influences the possibility of designation as an unfaithful disclosure firm. The logistic regression model shown as Equation (1) was used for the analysis. The dependent variable of Equation (1) indicates whether the firm has been designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm or not (
Dummy_UD). The variable has the value of 1 if the firm has been designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm in the current year and 0 otherwise. The variable of interest is the number of times the largest shareholder has changed (
CH_OWN), which is calculated by referring to the number of changes in the recent 3 years. It is predicted that the increase in the number of changes of the largest shareholder would raise the possibility of the firm being designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm. In other words, it is interpreted that the number of changes of the largest shareholder (
CH_OWN) would have a positive (+) value.
where
Dummy_UD = if designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm in the current year: 1, if not: 0;
CH_OWN = the number of changes of the largest shareholder in the recent 3 years;
SALES = Ln(sales);
LEV = debt ratio;
ROA = return on assets;
LOSS = if reported loss in the current year: 1, if not: 0;
FOR = foreign ownership;
BLOCK = largest shareholder’s ownership;
AGE = Ln(period of being a listed firm);
CONFIRM = number of subordinate companies;
BIG4 = if audited by the Big4 auditors: 1, if not: 0;
MARKET = if listed in the KSE market: 1, if not: 0.
For a firm that is designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm to have high penalty points mean that there is importance in the violated act and the motive for the violation was not a simple error but due to negligence or intentional. This is shown by how firms with high penalty points come to receive sanctions that are more intense. The accumulated points are related to opinions of extra examination upon the internal control system [
31]. The higher the accumulated penalty points, the more negative the capital market reacts [
40].
The fact that the firm’s disclosure information was created and disclosed through the internal control system implies the possibility that the firm that is designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm does not have an internal control system operating effectively. Also, firms where the largest shareholder frequently changed showed to have an internal control system that did not operate well [
15]. Connecting these thoughts, compared to firms where there is no change in the largest shareholder, firms where the largest shareholder frequently changes have a high possibility of committing severe violation due to an ineffective internal control system and increased possibility of the violation being from negligence or deliberation can be forecasted.
This analysis is intended to verify whether the change of the largest shareholder is related to the imposed penalty points when a firm is designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm. A regression model presented as Equation (2) was used for the analysis. The dependent variable of Equation (2) is the number of penalty points imposed from the designation as an unfaithful disclosure firm (
Dummy_UD) and is found by adding the imposed penalty points of a firm designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm that year and the substitute penalty points from a firm that substituted penalty points to the disclosure violation fines. P indicates the level of violation of the disclosure regulation by showing if the disclosure level has decreased due to a major violation or an intentional violation. The variable of interest from the equation is the number of changes of the largest shareholder within the recent three years (
CH_OWN). As the number of changes of the largest shareholder increases, the more it negatively influences the disclosure system. This raises the possibility of violation on crucial matters and the possibility that the motivation for violation may be negligence or intentional. In this case, high penalty points would be imposed which makes it predicable that the number of changes of the largest shareholder would have a positive (+) value.
where
P = imposed penalty points of the designation as an unfaithful disclosure firm;
CH_OWN = the number of changes of the largest shareholder in the recent 3 years;
SALES= Ln(sales);
LEV = debt ratio;
ROA = return on assets;
LOSS = if reported loss in the current year: 1, if not: 0;
FOR = foreign ownership;
BLOCK = largest shareholder’s ownership;
AGE = period of being a listed firm;
CONFIRM = number of subordinate companies;
BIG4 = if audited by the Big4 auditors: 1, if not: 0;
MARKET = if listed in the KSE market: 1, if not: 0.
The Hypothesis 2 of this study is to test whether if a firm that is designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm later increases its voluntarily disclosure. A regression model shown as Equation (3) was used for the analysis. The dependent variable in Equation (3) indicates whether voluntary disclosure exists (
Dummy_D). The
Dummy_D is counted as 1 if the firm has made fair disclosure in that year related to (tentative) operating performance, prospect towards operating performance, future business, or management plan. If not, the value is counted as 0. The variable of interest of the equation indicates whether the firm has been designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm (
Dummy_UD). If the firm was designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm in the previous year, the value of
Dummy_UD is 1, and 0 otherwise. Firms that have been designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm and is known to the market to have low disclosure level would later place effort in improving its disclosure level through voluntary disclosure. Therefore, it is predicted that the variable indicating the existence of designation as an unfaithful disclosure firm would have a positive (+) value.
where
Dummy_D = if made voluntarily disclosure in the current year: 1, if not: 0;
Dummy_UD = if designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm in the current year: 1, if not: 0;
SALES = Ln(sales);
LEV = debt ratio;
ROA = return on assets;
FOR = foreign ownership;
AGE = ln(period of being a listed firm);
HORIZON = period between disclosure of forecasted earnings of the manager and the announcement date of the annual announcement
STD = standard variation of monthly excess earnings rate from 6 months prior to the disclosure of earnings;
MARKET = if listed in the KSE market: 1, if not: 0.
The dependent variables from Equation (1) to Equation (3) are variables regarding the firm’s disclosure transparency. The dependent variable of Equation (1), Dummy_UD shows the possibility of the firms having a low disclosure level. The dependent variable of Equation (2), P shows the level of violation of the disclosure regulation by showing if the disclosure level has decreased due to a major violation or an intentional violation. The dependent variable of Equation (3), Dummy_D shows the firm’s level of voluntary disclosure and indicates the possibility of improvement in disclosure level through voluntary disclosure. Therefore, control variables that may affect the firm’s disclosure level were added in the model. Control variables used in the equation are similar, however Equations (1) and (2)’s dependent variables are related to the deterioration of disclosure transparency, while Equation (3)’s dependent variable is related to the improvement of disclosure transparency. This leads to the prediction that the control variable’s positive or negative direction would be opposite.
The
SALES variable was added to control the effect of firm size on disclosure level. The smaller the size of the firm, the more of a chance that it would have low disclosure level since an effective disclosure system would not have yet been established. If the firm’s size is large, it would be able to create much open information which would bring the information asymmetry between the firm and its external stakeholders relatively low [
52]. Therefore,
SALES would have negative (−) relations with Equations (1) and (2) while having positive (+) relations with Equation (3). According to the debt contract hypothesis, debt contracts have a high possibility of influencing the firm’s disclosure policy. The higher the debt percentage of the firm, there exists a possibility of the firm not transparently disclosing due to worries in costs from debt contract violation [
53]. In considering this, the debt ratio (
LEV) was added. Referring to prior literature that firms with positive performances choose transparent disclosure methods, return of assets (
ROA) and indication of loss (
LOSS) was added in the model to control firms’ profitability [
26,
54]. Considering that the relationship with external stakeholders would affect disclosure policy, the largest shareholder’s ownership (
OWN) and foreign ownership (
FOR) were added as control variables. The Big4 auditors use various developed auditing methods, which enhances the control mechanism. Thus, whether or not auditing is received from the Big4 auditors can affect the disclosure level [
26,
55].
BIG4 is predicted to have negative (−) relations with Equations (1) and (2), while having positive (+) relations with Equation (3). Also, the number of subordinate firms (
CONFIRM), whether it is listed in the KSE market (
MARKET), and the period of being listed (
AGE) was controlled. Industry Dummy (
IND) and Year Dummy (
YEAR) was added to control the fixed effects of industry and year characteristics.
3.2. Sample Selection
This study targets non-financial firms with December closing accounts that were listed in the KSE and KOSDAQ market from the year 2009 to 2017. The data for the analysis were annual reports, auditory reports, unfaithful disclosure designation announcements, (tentative) operating performance disclosures, disclosures of prospect on operating performance, disclosures on future business, and disclosures of management plans. They were retrieved from Korea Listed Companies Association’s TS2000 database, Financial Supervisory Service’s Data Analysis, Retrieval and Transfer System (DART), and Korea Exchange’s Korea Investor’s Network for Disclosure System (KIND).
Table 1 shows the process of sample selection. The firm-year observations of non-financial firms listed in the KSE and KOSDAQ market during the sampling period from 2009 to 2017 counts to 15,018. Excluding 1785 firm-year observations which show difficulty finding financial data, shareholder related data, and stock price data, the total number of firm-year observations used in the study counted to 13,233. To handle outliers in the samples, continuous variable values within the top and bottom 1% were winsorized, as the value of the top and bottom 1%.
The change of the largest shareholder in a listed firm is a matter that must be disclosed according to the KSE and KOSDAQ market disclosure regulations. Article 7 (major management item) of the KSE market disclosure regulation states that firms must disclose if the largest shareholder has changed. Article 6 (disclosure announcement item) of the KOSDAQ market disclosure regulation specifies that the firm should disclose if the largest shareholder or the CEO has changed. Whether the largest shareholder changed was checked by the disclosure in the Financial Supervisory Service’s DART system following its disclosure regulation.
Data related to the designation of an unfaithful disclosure firm was gathered by the unfaithful disclosure firm announcement provided by the Financial Supervisory Service’s DART system. We checked the relevant disclosure and found whether it was designated as an unfaithful disclosure firm. The imposed penalty points and substituted penalty points which were substituted as disclosure violation fines were also checked. In the case of the KSE market, we verified the amount of disclosure violation fine recorded in the unfaithful disclosure firm announcement item and calculated the substitute penalty points according to the stock market’s detailed disclosure enforcement regulation Article 13,
Section 3 (imposing standard of disclosure violation fine, etc.). The sample distribution of unfaithful disclosure firms according to each market is presented in
Table 2.
Fair disclosure regulation exists to mitigate information asymmetry among the stakeholders. In November, 2002, the regulation of disclosing the same information to the general investors when previously just certain people received information before the disclosure date or when the disclosure is not mandatory. Contents of fair disclosure include (tentative) operating performance, prospect towards operating performance, fair disclosure of future industry and management plan. Other than that, it is classified as disclosure related to discretionary disclosure items. (Tentative) operating performance disclosure is disclosure on operating performance related to the relevant management report before the report is submitted. Disclosure on the prospect of operating performance includes disclosure of prospects on sales, operating income and loss, continuing income and loss before income taxes, net income and loss, etc. In addition, fair disclosure and discretionary disclosure regarding future business and management plans are classified as fair disclosure information which are items that have not yet past the reporting deadline (stock market disclosure regulation Article 15,
Section 1). This study confines the analysis of firms’ voluntary disclosure to (tentative) business performance, prospects of business performance, future business and management plans (Future business and management plans refer to items that heavily influence the firm’s business activities and firm performance. These plans indicating up till the next three years are to be disclosed. Examples presented from disclosure regulations include plans regarding a new industry, market, item, or technology. Plans also include the firm’s core business, corporate structure, change of the current industry, strategical cooperation, etc. Prospects of business performance refer to the disclosure of business performance and prospect within the next three years or disclosures regarding forecasts. They are to be disclosed with evidence of the hypothesis and judgement upon the prospects and forecasts. In cases where business performance is given to a few fair disclosure information providers before submitting the financial statement, (tentative) business performance would refer to information provided with numerical comparisons such as concerning the previous year’s motivations and performances before submitting the financial statement).
Table 3 shows the number of voluntary disclosures and disclosure firms according to each type and year. Panel A shows the number of voluntary disclosures. During the sampling period, voluntary disclosures counted to a total of 16,705 while (tentative) operating performance disclosures counted highest reaching 14,655. Disclosures on prospects toward operating business were 1611, on future business and management plans were 449. Panel B shows the number of firms that gave voluntary disclosure in the relevant year. During the sampling period, 6048 firms gave voluntary disclosure. 4455 firms gave disclosure on (tentative) operating performance, 1279 firms on prospects of operating performance, and 314 firms on future business and management plans.