1. Introduction
In recent years, with the rapid development of China’s economy, single industrial structure, large energy consumption, and severe pollution troubles have gradually emerged. As China is a country with abundant coal endowment, coal accounts for a large proportion of fossil resource reserves, which means that the coal-dominating energy consumption structure will not change in a short time [
1]. The coal-based consumption structure has supported the rapid development and urbanization, but it has also caused heavy environmental damage [
2]. The severe haze since 2012 in places such as Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and other relatively developed urban areas has created a harsh environment that has seriously influenced normal daily life [
3,
4,
5]. Facing these problems, in October 2013, the International Association for the Conservation of Natural Resources, an environmental protection agency, launched the project “China’s Total Coal Consumption Control Program and Policy Research”, in cooperation with more than 20 influential institutions, including government think tanks, scientific research institutes, and industry associations. For the power industry, “coal consumption control scheme and policy research” put forward these two requirements: Firstly, strictly control the total coal consumption in the power industry and urge coal consumption of the power industry to reach its peak as soon as possible. Secondly, optimize the development path under the constraints of environmental capacity and promote the sustainable development of low-carbon power industry. All of these efforts are aimed at saving resources and promoting the better allocation of resources and structural upgrading.
The Energy Statistics Yearbook 2018 [
6] shows that thermal power still consumes more than 50% of the total coal use in primary energy consumption, and the emission of polluted gases from thermal power accounts for one-third of the total emissions from energy use. Under the concept of green development, the amount of carbon dioxide generated by thermal-power generation should not be underestimated, either [
7]. Despite the vigorous development of clean-energy power generation in recent years, thermal power is still the main mode of production in the current power system, and the power structure dominated by thermal power will not change in the future for a long time [
8]. According to the analysis of 2018 BP Energy Statistical Yearbook [
9], coal power generation still keeps a steady upward trend. From 2016 to 2017, the growth rate of coal power generation is about 5%, accounting for about 67% of the total energy power generation. Under the “transition period” of China’s power structure transformation, improving energy efficiency and reducing pollutant emissions are the problems that the power industry needs to innovate constantly. For listed companies, the important objective is to get better industry position, P/E ratio, and core competitiveness of the company in the market. If improving energy efficiency and reducing environmental pollution can promote the company’s industry ranking and core competitiveness, this will indirectly encourage power companies to further improve production efficiency, change their resource structure, and finally form a virtuous circle. Therefore, studying the impact of power companies’ energy efficiency on the status of whole industry is conducive to the implementation of the green development of the energy industry and energy structure revolution, but the existing research lacks a discussion of the relationship between the two.
Based on the previous comments, the contribution of this paper is twofold: (1) Do a comprehensive analysis of energy efficiency of thermal power listed companies, show the efficiency ranking of companies, and calculate the improvement space and potential of each companies. (2) Combine the changes of market value and P/E ratio of listed companies, analyze the impact of energy efficiency on market information of listed companies, give the relationship between energy efficiency and industry status, and then put forward relevant suggestions based on these.
2. Theoretical Background
Due to the strategic position of the power industry in various countries, the efficiency evaluation of the power industry has always been a hot issue for many experts and scholars [
10,
11,
12,
13,
14]. The data envelopment analysis (DEA) method has been evaluated since the first time in 1978 by the well-known American researchers Charnes, Cooper, and Rhodes, and became the most common method used. Färe et al. [
15] first introduced pollution variables into the DEA model, and an increasing number of studies began to include environmental factors, especially in the fields of energy and environmental research, various types of DEA models have been widely used for a long time. Zhou et al. [
16] analyzed the power consumption and overall economic development trends from the macro perspective, such as the relationship between power consumption and GDP, and the level of household consumption. Lin [
17] analyzed the long-term equilibrium relationship between GDP, capital, human capital, and electricity consumption, based on the production function. Wei et al. [
18] used provincial panel data to compare energy differences between regions. In addition, Xu et al. [
19] studied the efficiency of overall and regional power production by introducing total factor productivity. Wang et al. [
20] used carbon dioxide and sulfur dioxide emissions as environmental-effect substitution variables formed by energy utilization into the total-factor energy-efficiency research system and calculated the energy-saving and emission-reduction potential of various regions in China. In comparison, a small number of studies focus on the micro level and enterprise data. Jiang et al. [
21] use the census data of industrial enterprises in Hefei and take 32 industries as research objects. By analyzing the efficiency of energy input from multiple angles, the result of technical efficiency, pure technical efficiency, scale benefit, and energy utilization efficiency shows that redundancy of power input and insufficient main revenue. Jiang et al. [
22] used DEA method to measure the technical efficiency of the 24 thermal power listed companies in China from 2000 to 2011, and then used a tobit model to empirically analyze the factors affecting the technical efficiency of thermal-power listed companies.
Environmental efficiency plays a significant role in affecting the energy performance of China’s thermal generation sectors, according to Bi et al. [
23]. For the emission problems of pollutants such as sulfur dioxide generated in the power industry during the production process, some studies have introduced them as undesired outputs into the model. Qu et al. [
24] adopted slacks-based measure (SBM)–DEA, which considers undesired outputs to analyze the operating efficiency differences of the thermal power industry in 30 provinces in China from 2005 to 2009, and found this approach can do further analysis on efficiency variances and evaluate the impacts of thermal power industry on regional sustainable development. Mou [
25] analyzed the efficiency of China’s coal-fired power plants by using the DEA–SBM method on groups, provinces, and plants. Yang et al. [
26] studied Chinese coal-fired power plant efficiency by incorporating undesirable outputs and uncontrollable variables into DEA, using data from 2005.
Under the current era of vigorously promoting new energy generation, energy conservation and emission reduction are highly encouraged. Traditional thermal power companies are undergoing internal structural reforms, and multiple power-supply structure is continuously expanded. Most thermal power companies are starting to increase clean-energy power-generation devices to enrich their power sources. Welch et al. [
27] used a material balance principle to estimate the distribution of coal, natural gas, and oil inputs by comparing the economic and environmental efficiencies of dozens of hybrid energy generation companies to minimize cost and carbon emissions.
There is relatively little research on whether the increase in the proportion of clean-energy power generation increases the efficiency of power generation and the environmental benefits of enterprises. Based on this, this article starts from the micro level, selects the listed companies in China’s thermal power sector, considers the traditional coal electricity generation and new energy power generation structure, and treats pollutants such as sulfur dioxide, soot, and nitrogen oxides as undesired production. The SBM–DEA model was introduced to comprehensively evaluate the energy efficiency of thermal power companies and compare them with their industry status.
4. Results and Discussion
In terms of data collection, there are currently 33 listed companies in China’s thermal power sector. (Huaneng Power International Inc(Beijing, China), GD Power Development Co., Ltd. (Dalian, China), Datang International Power Generation Co., Ltd. (Beijing, China), Huadian Power International Co., Ltd. (Jinan, China), Hubei Energy Group Co., Ltd. (Wuhan, China), Beijing Jingneng Power Co., Ltd. (Beijing, China), Shenzhen Energy Co., Ltd. (Shenzhen, China), Guangdong Electric Power Development Co., Ltd. (Guangzhou, China), Shanghai Electric Power Co., Ltd. (Shanghai, China), Guangzhou Development Incorporated(Guangzhou, China), Jointo Energy Investment Co., Ltd. (Shijiazhuang, China), Shanxi Zhangze Power Co., Ltd. (Taiyuan, China), AnHuiW energy Company Limited(Hefei, China), Jilin Electric Power Co., Ltd. (Changchun, China), Datang Huayin Electric Power Co., Ltd. (Changsha, China), Henan Yuneng Holdings Co., Ltd. (Zhengzhou, China), Guodian Changyuan Electric Co., Ltd. (Wuhan, China). Although the government has enhanced the requirements and supervision of industrial enterprises for pollution discharge and green production in recent years, only 17 of them have disclosed the corresponding indicator data in the annual report or corporate social responsibility report (sustainable report). Meanwhile, the Report on the State of the Environment in China 2018 [
46] shows that the degree of environmental pollution has risen and become more serious in the past two years (2017–2018). The governments of all regions strictly control the discharge situation, vigorously adjust the production structure of high-pollution enterprises, and improve production facilities. Therefore, this paper selects 17 thermal power listed companies with data supported in 2017–2018 and collects data for the seven variables (input and output variables in
Table 2). All data are from the enterprise annual report and corporate social responsibility report (sustainability report). In addition, MAXDEA was used in this research.
From another perspective, the covariance correlation was also evaluated through the Pearson correlation coefficient; the results are in
Table 3.
The results show that, firstly, input variables are weakly correlated in terms of labor and capital, and there is sufficient correlation between input variables and output variables, which meets the applicability requirements of DEA model for variables selection. Secondly, for the output variables, there is a certain correlation between the desirable output variables and the undesirable output variables, which means that, in the process of power production, the unexpected output is often accompanied by the expected output at the same time, so it proves that the unexpected output should also be included in the process of energy efficiency evaluation, which proves the value of this research.
At the same time, considering the market information and the ranking of the listed companies, we select the market value of the 17 companies at the end of 2017 and 2018 and the P/E ratio of the company at the end of two years and rank them according to the market value. In order to avoid the impact of extreme values, the P/E ratio chose the average daily P/E ratio in December (average 31-day daily P/E ratio), and the results are as followed (
Table 4).
Based on the above statistical work, the collected data are solved by using SBM–DEA model with unexpected output, and the efficiency results are as follows (
Table 5).
The overall efficiency evaluation results, in the past two years, for the thermal power industry has improved. The average efficiency value has increased from 0.586 to 0.830, though it was still inefficient in both years, but the increase of the average score showed the industrial efficiency changes better, less efficient companies improved their productive efficiency. In 2017, six thermal power companies achieved the valid efficiency, and 11 companies achieved the optimal efficiency in 2018. This is consistent with the policy requirements, which strictly supervised enterprise operating, improved the efficiency of traditional power generation, and reduced emissions of gas pollutants in the past two years. Meanwhile, the macro-market information shows that coal prices rose sharply in 2017. As coal is an important energy source for thermal power generation, the rise in prices led to poor performance for the thermal power industry. The negative condition changed in 2018, when the macroeconomic development became stable, and the coal prices have now fallen, and the supply and demand environment in the electricity market has become more relaxed. The electricity consumption in the secondary industry has grown steadily, and the service industry has increased substantially so that the power industry has recovered, which is in line with the findings of this paper.
According to the results of the efficiency evaluation in 2017, six companies, Beijing Jingneng Power, Datang International Power, Huadian Power, GD Power Development, Guangdong Electric Power Development, and Jointo Energy Investment, scored 1 and were at the effective frontier of DEA, achieving optimal efficiency. The efficiency evaluation value of 2018 shows that 11 companies, including, AnHuiW Energy, have achieved the valid level of efficiency. Among them, Guangzhou Development, AnHuiW Energy, Henan Yuneng Holdings, Datang Huayin Electric Power, and Shenzhen Energy have achieved optimal efficiency by adjusting their structure. Guangzhou Development has increased the installed capacity and power generation of new energy power generation to a large extent. In the year of 2018, AnHuiW Energy’s power generation achieved a 12% increase in power generation and increased environmental protection investment. Although Henan Yuneng Holdings is still negative, the situation has improved significantly. In 2017, because of the high production cost and serious loss caused by overcapacity, the P/E ratio of the company was remarkably negative. In 2018, the company adjusted its structure and rationally rearranged its production plan and also rebulit the power-distribution strategy based on regional macroeconomic development and industry competition. It gradually adapted to the trend of clean-energy power generation, so that new energy power generation projects are under planning. The result shows that Henan Yuneng Holdings has achieved a significant increase in price–earnings ratio in 2018, and another negative Datang Huayin Electric Power has also improved, the basic earnings per share in 2018 Ascension has improved and business conditions have become better. Combined with the company’s ranking and price–earnings ratio analysis, the efficiency improvement affects the company’s operating conditions to a certain extent, thus improving its industry valuation and its industry position.
By comparing companies’ two-year market values and P/E ratios, the energy efficiency of the leading companies in the industry, such as GD Power Development, Datang International Power, and Beijing Jingneng Power, have the best score, efficiency = 1. They are at the forefront of the best efficiency in two years, and the P/E ratio tends to be relatively stable, reflecting the steady and improved development trend. However, as the top one enterprise in the power industry, which ranks first in the market value of the industry and has a high P/E ratio in the past two years, Huaneng Power International does not have an efficient score (lower than 1). Comparing the data among all companies, we can find that Huaneng Power International has a great advantage in company size, installed capacity, and so on, but also pretty high value in the discharge of three major pollutants. To some extent, compared with the data of 2018 and 2017, the efficiency of Huaneng Power International has also increased, and its leading position in the industry has remained stable. Its P/E ratio is much higher than other companies. For the companies whose energy efficiency is relatively low, although some rank relatively stable, their price–earnings ratio is also negative. Therefore, the improvement of energy efficiency of low-efficiency thermal power companies can also be reflected in the market information to a certain extent, which increases the competitiveness in the industry as a whole.
From the results of the slack variables derived from the model (
Table 6 and
Table 7), the amount of power generation has become a major factor affecting the efficiency of power companies. From the perspective of production efficiency, most companies have the situation of redundant resources, with too many employees and excessive production-equipment investment. Under the input of existing resources, the output of power generation should be more; resource utilization and conversion efficiency need to be improved, as they have become common problems in the industry. Therefore, reducing investment in installed capacity and increasing power output can help companies effectively achieve efficiency targets. From the analysis of the companies’ energy-structure efficiency, the amount of clean energy generated compared with the optimal efficiency of the power generation structure, the increase in the proportion of clean-energy power generation cannot improve the companies’ production efficiency. The reason may be that, for traditional thermal power companies, the increase in installed capacity of clean energy may increase the power generation cost to some extent, and compared with traditional thermal power generation, clean energy is only applied and actual used in recent years, which has no advantages in terms of technical effects and scale production.
However, from the perspective of undesired output, most companies have higher pollutant emissions, so that they have greater optimization potential, which means that they can improve efficiency by reducing pollutant emissions. Moreover, under the current requirements of sustainable development, the cleanliness of energy resources must be the direction of continuous improvement in the future. Therefore, clean-energy power generation needs further improvement and development in balancing production efficiency and environmental benefits.