Complex System Governance as a Framework for Asset Management
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- Aleatory uncertainty—uncertainty arising when an event occurs randomly. It can be expressed in terms of probability or frequency. For example, a random equipment failure is considered aleatory uncertainty. Interestingly, this type of failure can have a predictable rate and occur at an unpredictable (i.e., random) time.
- Epistemic uncertainty—typically referred to as a state-of-knowledge uncertainty, epistemic uncertainty has three sub-categories: parameter, model, and completeness uncertainty. Epistemic uncertainty arises when one makes statistical inferences from data and/or from incompleteness in the collective state of knowledge. Those uncertainties relate to the degree of belief that an analyst has in the representativeness or validity of a model and its predictions.
2. Literature Review: Asset Management
- Setting the framework—this phase ensures an adequate description of asset issues, context, alternatives, decisions, and potential methodologies. Setting the framework is comparable to ‘problem formulation’ and related to the overall system success. This phase is often referred to as “probably the single most important routine, since it determines in large part…the subsequent course of action” [19] (p. 274).
- Performing detailed analyses—this phase involves performing required detailed analyses and is often carried out by subject matter experts (SME) and analysts using appropriate methods, models, and tools suggested and defined in the first phase. This phase aims to produce results, inputs, and insights and formulate recommendations for the decision-maker. These analyses have to be rigorous and systematic as well as being technically and scientifically sound.
- Conducting global analysis, deliberation, decision-making, communication, and implementation—performed by the decision-maker and supported by SMEs, analysts, and stakeholders. This phase is qualitative and aims to grasp all relevant insights, high-level analysis, and deliberation results. Decision makers have to make extensive use of various quantitative analyses methods with the level of details appropriate for the decision to be made and integrated with other relevant influence factors, often intangible and intangible.
3. CSG: Complex System Governance
- operating at a logical level beyond the system(s)/subsystems/entities as elements that it must integrate.
- Being conceptually grounded in the foundations of general systems theory (axioms and propositions governing system integration and coordination) and management cybernetics (communication and control for effective system organization).
- a set of interrelated functions, which only specify ‘what’ must be achieved for continuing system viability (existence), not specifying ‘how’ those functions are to be achieved
- functions that must be minimally performed if a system is to remain viable—this does not preclude the possibility that a system may be poorly performing yet still continue to be viable (exist).
- a system that is purposefully designed, executed, and maintained, or left to its own (self-organizing) unstructured development
- Policy and Identity—Metasystem Five (M5)—focused on overall steering and trajectory for the system. Maintains identity and defines the balance between current and future focus. For AsM, M5 ensures the overall maneuvering and course of the organization, ensuring a balance between current and future asset management for the organization.
- System Context—Metasystem Five Star (M5*)—focused on the specific context within which the metasystem is embedded. Context is the set of circumstances, factors, conditions, patterns, or trends that enable or constrain the execution of the system. For AsM, M5* ensures that the organization is accounting for the set of circumstances, factors, conditions, patterns, or trends that enable or constrain the utility of assets.
- Strategic System Monitoring—Metasystem Five Prime (M5′)—focused on oversight of the system performance indicators at a strategic level, identifying system-level performance that exceeds or fails to meet established expectations. For AsM, M5′ ensures the oversight of the asset performance indicators at a strategic level, identifying asset system-level performance that exceeds or fails to meet established expectations.
- System Development—Metasystem Four (M4)—maintains the models of the current and future system, concentrating on the long-range development of the system to ensure future viability. For AsM, M4 ensures that the organization maintains the models of the current and future asset systems while concentrating on the organizations’ long-range developments to ensure future viability.
- Learning and Transformation—Metasystem Four Star (M4*)—focused on facilitation of learning based on correction of design errors in the metasystem functions and planning for the transformation of the metasystem. For AsM, M4* ensures that the organization has learning capabilities, especially based on correction, to enable the design and planning necessary for organizational transformation related to assets.
- Environmental Scanning—Metasystem Four Prime (M4′)—designs, deploys, and monitors the sensing of the environment for trends, patterns, or events with implications for both present and future system viability. For AsM, M4′ ensures that the asset management organization designs, deploys, and monitors the sensing of the environment for trends, patterns, or events with implications for both present and future system asset viability.
- System Operations—Metasystem Three (M3)—focused on the day-to-day execution of the metasystem to ensure that the overall system maintains established performance levels. For AsM, M3 ensures that the organization has the means to address the day-to-day asset management activities to meet the established performance levels.
- Operational Performance—Metasystem Three Star (M3*)—monitors system performance to identify and assess aberrant conditions, exceeded thresholds, or anomalies. For AsM, M3* ensures that the organization can monitor asset system performance to identify and evaluate anomalous conditions, exceeded thresholds, or anomalies.
- Information and Communications—Metasystem Two (M2)—designs, establishes, and maintains the flow of information and consistent interpretation of exchanges (through communication channels) necessary to execute metasystem functions. For AsM, M2 ensures that the organization is designed to maintain the flow of information and that consistent interpretation of exchanges (through communication channels) can be achieved.
4. CSG Implications for AsM and Conclusions
- Enhancing the capacity of individual practitioners of AsM can increase their ability to engage AsM problems. The presented message is grounded in systems thinking. Effectiveness in dealing with AsM is achieved through development and propagation of CSG language, methods, and tools to assist practitioners in their efforts to design, analyze, execute, and evolve complex systems and their associated problems. These problems are a byproduct of modern enterprises and their systems. A certain level of thinking in systems is necessary to deal with the entire range of complex system problems more effectively.
- Developing competencies at the organizational level for dealing with AsM as complex systems and their derivative problems. This involves the generation of knowledge, development of skills, and fostering abilities beyond the individual level to embrace problems holistically. For AsM, holism suggests competency development that expands beyond narrow technology-centric solutions. Instead, enhanced organizational competencies span the entire range of sociotechnical considerations endemic to AsM, as articulated in CSG development efforts.
- Assessment of asset infrastructure compatibility necessary to support systems-based endeavors. This compatibility is essential to formulate contextually consistent approaches to problems, create the conditions required for governance system stability, and produce coherent decisions, actions, and interpretations at the individual and organizational levels. The most exceptional system solutions, absent compatible supporting asset infrastructure, are destined to underachieve in the best-case scenario or outright fail in the worst-case scenario. It is systemically naïve to think that CSG-based initiatives can be developed and deployed independently of the governed asset infrastructure systems.
- Identification of governance readiness level. Governance readiness level identification can help establish the current state of CSG for AsM and the nature and type of feasible initiatives that can be undertaken with confidence in their successful achievement. This does not limit the severity (or number) degree of inadequacies in a system. However, it does force careful consideration concerning what might be reasonably ‘taken on’ as initiatives to advance the state of governance. This consideration is based on the current state of CSG performance, the limiting/enabling context, and the degree of CSG maturity that would be required of different proposed development initiatives. Minimally, exploration of the CSG readiness level can provide new insights into past successes/failures as well as cautions for impending future endeavors.
- Explicit models for understanding structural relationships, context, and systemic deficiencies. Explicit models for understanding, generated through CSG efforts, can provide insights into the structural relationships, context, and systemic deficiencies that exist for AsM. These insights can accrue regardless of whether or not specific actions to address issues are initiated. The models can be constructed without system modification. Therefore, alternative decisions, actions, and interpretations can be selectively engaged based on the consideration of insights and understanding generated through modeling efforts.
- Purposeful governance development for AsM system viability. Purposeful governance development through focused design, analysis, and evolution of the CSG functions necessary to maintain AsM viability is possible. While all viable (existing) systems perform the CSG functions, it is rare that they are purposefully articulated, examined, or developed in a comprehensive fashion. Purposeful CSG development can produce a ‘blueprint’ against which development can be achieved by purposeful design, rather than serendipity. This includes the establishment of a set of ‘dashboard indicators’ for CSG AsM performance. These performance indicators exist beyond more ‘traditional’ measures of system/organizational performance and can more appropriately track the evolution of CSG governance and AsM performance.
- Coherent strategic decision support can be achieved by the ‘big picture’ view of the governance landscape. This includes identification of highest leverage strategic impact areas and their interrelationship to the larger CSG performance gaps. Thus, decisions for resource allocation can be better targeted. This allows steering away from activities that are simply ‘intriguing’ without demonstrating the highest substantial benefit to the larger ‘systemic’ governance concerns. In light of CSG development priorities, low contribution efforts can be eliminated and resources shifted appropriately.
- Rigorous guided ‘self-study’ into CSG can provide significant insights into how the system actually functions. Although enterprises and their systems function routinely and successfully on a daily basis, as a matter of course, practitioners are not particularly skilled, nor do they engage, in deep reflection as to why, how, and what they do from a systems point of view. The gains to be made by reflective self-examination, from a systemic point of view, can reveal insights far beyond traditional methods of examination (e.g., Strategic Planning, SWOT analysis, etc.). Thus, practitioners can examine a different level of analysis through ‘self-study’ and experience insights in a “safe-to-fail” setting. Additionally, self-study might suggest the level of education/training necessary for individuals and the organization to increase individual capacity and organizational competence for systems thinking essential to CSG development.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Conflicts of Interest
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Methodology | A Brief Description of Methodology |
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Systems analysis | This methodology is largely dependent on feedback loops and black boxes of cybernetic management. It aims to optimize sociotechnical systems based on fixed parameters such as cost and benefits. Systems analysis includes a number of phases discussed elsewhere [27,28]. |
Systems engineering | This approach places emphasis on defining technical and business customer needs with the goal of producing quality products that meet user needs. A generic life-cycle model for systems engineering along with its stages is discussed elsewhere [29,30]. |
Operations research | This approach is commonly associated with determining maximum (or minimum) variable (e.g., profit, performance, yield, loss, risk) inventory, allocating, waiting time, replacement, competitive, and combined processes. Operations research was developed to deal with complex organizations that are under the control of management [31,32]. A generic model associated with this approach is discussed elsewhere [31,32]. |
System dynamics | System dynamics is concerned with limits of growth and understanding of the system structure using feedback loops as the main determinants of system behavior. Mathematical in nature, system dynamics involves four major variables: the system boundary, network of feedback loops, variables of ‘rates’ or ‘flows’ and ‘levels’ or ‘stocks’, and leverage points [33,34]. |
Organizational cybernetics | Organizational cybernetics embodies the idea that organizations are black boxes characterized by complexity, self-regulation, and probabilistic behaviors. Central to this approach is the viable system model, which is based on the neurocybernetic model, consisting of five essential subsystems that are aligned with major viable organizational functions. The viable system model [35] is a model rather than a methodology as it does not have a clear set of prescribed phases for deployment. However, two general stages of system identification and system diagnosis are discussed elsewhere [23]. |
Strategic assumption surfacing and testing | This approach is grounded on the premise that the formulation of the correct solutions to the right problem requires uncovering critical assumptions underlying policy, plan, and strategy. The articulation of critical assumptions should enable management to compare and contrast and gain new insights on their assumptions when dealing with a ‘wicked’ situation [36]. |
Interactive planning | Developed by Russell L. Ackoff, this methodology focuses on creating a desired future by designing present desirable conditions. It is made up two parts: idealization and realization. These parts are divisible into six interrelated phases [37]. |
Soft systems methodology | Attributed to Peter Checkland and his colleges at Lancaster University, this methodology emerged as a response to a need for methods that can be used to intervene in ‘ill-structured’ problem situations where it is important to learn about systems while still focusing on ‘goal-seeking’ endeavors that answer ‘what’ should be done and ‘how’ it should be done [23]. Checkland [38] suggests that understanding context was largely ignored in systems engineering. His research was aimed at providing a more rigorous attempt to tackle problematic situations through addressing issues such as context. |
Systems of systems engineering methodology | This methodology is intended to provide a high-level analytical structure to explore complex system problems [39]. Proponents of this approach suggest that enhancing our understanding of complex systems requires a “rigorous engineering analysis [System of Systems Engineering Methodology] that invests heavily in the understanding and framing of the problem under study” [39] (p. 113). In the research of DeLaurentis et al. [40], a three-phase approach (i.e., defining the SoS problem, abstracting the system, modeling and analyzing the system for behavioral patterns) is suggested. However, Adams and Keating [39] and Adams and Meyers [41] suggest a seven (7)-stage process, which consists of twenty-three (23) constituent elements. |
Critical systems heuristics | Developed by Werner Ulrich, this methodology is concerned with ‘unfairness in society’ [23]. This approach promotes emancipatory systems thinking for planners and citizens alike. Synonymous with this methodology are three phases [42]. |
Organizational learning | Developed by Chris Argyris and Donald Schön, this methodology is concerned with single-loop and double-loop learning where management of the organization can contrast ‘expected outcomes’ with the ‘obtained outcomes’. Contrasting these outcomes involves learning based on errors discovered during single-loop learning and provides the basis for modifying organizational norms, policies, and objectives [43]. A key premise of this methodology is that learning and adapting new knowledge must be generated at the individual as well as at organizational levels [44,45]. |
Sociotechnical systems | Attributed to Eric Trist, Ken Bamforth, and Fred Emery and their work at the Tavistock Institute in London, this methodology is concerned with a joint optimization of both social/soft (including human) and technical aspects of organizations [46]. This methodology involves several steps as postulated by Pasmore [46] for redesigning sociotechnical systems [47]. |
Total systems intervention | Developed in the early 1990s by Robert Flood and Michael Jackson, this meta-methodology emerged out of the recognition of strengths of capabilities of individual systems approaches, the need for pluralism in systems thinking, and calls for emancipatory ideas in systems thinking, in reference to critical systems thinking [23]. This methodology is based on the premise that contemporary systems-based methodologies are not complementary. Laszlo and Krippner [48] thus suggested that a successful complex organizational intervention might require a ‘combination’ of any set of systems-based approaches. This methodology is underpinned by principles of complex situations and consists of three phases of creativity, choice, and implementation [49,50]. |
Metasystem Control Component | Component Description | Implications for AsM |
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Communication | The flow, transduction, and processing of information within and external to the system, which provides consistency in decisions, actions, interpretations, and knowledge creation made with respect to the system. | AsM provision for the flow, transduction, and processing of information among different assets and their environment to enable consistent decisions, actions, interpretations, and knowledge creation. |
Coordination | Providing for interactions (relationships) between constituent entities within the system and between the system and external entities, such that unnecessary instabilities are avoided. | AsM provision for interactions (relationships) between constituent asset systems/subsystems within the system and between the organization and external assets such that unnecessary instabilities are avoided |
Integration | Continuous maintenance of system integrity. This requires a dynamic balance between the autonomy of constituent entities and the interdependence of those entities to form a coherent whole. This interdependence produces the system identity (uniqueness) that exists beyond the identities of the individual constituents. | AsM provision for continuous maintenance of system integrity. This requires a dynamic balance between the autonomy of constituent assets and the interdependence of those assets to form a coherent whole. The coherent whole produces a unique organizational identity beyond the identities of the individual assets. |
Metasystem Communication Channels | A Brief Description of the Function of the Communication Channel in the Context of AsM |
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Command (Metasystem 5) |
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Resource bargain/ accountability (Metasystem 3) |
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Operations (Metasystem 3) |
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Coordination (Metasystem 2) |
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Audit (Metasystem 3*) |
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Algedonic (Metasystem 5) |
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Environmental Scanning (Metasystem 4′) |
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Dialog (Metasystem 5′) |
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Learning (Metasystem 4*) |
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Informing (Metasystem 2) |
|
RIDM Phase | RIDM Phase Description | Corresponding Phase in CSG Development [58] |
---|---|---|
Setting the framework | Ensuring an adequate description of asset issues, context, alternatives, decisions, and potential methodologies. | Initialization—initial understanding of the situation through two primary facets: (i) establishing the nature and structure of the system of interest and (ii) exploring the context within which the system of interest is embedded. |
Performing detailed analyses | Performing required detailed analyses and often carried out by subject matter experts (SMEs) and analysts using appropriate methods, models, and tools suggested and defined in the first phase. This phase aims to produce results, inputs, and insights and formulate recommendations for the decision-maker. These analyses have to be rigorous, systematic, and technically and scientifically sound. | Readiness Level Assessment—the aim is to answer the question, ‘What do the different artifacts from initialization suggest for the state of system governance and implications for development?’. A deep introspection by the system practitioners is needed to (i) appreciate the current state of governance and (ii) establishment of sets of feasible CSG development activities. |
Deliberation, decision-making, communication, and implementation | Performed by the decision-maker and supported by SMEs, analysts, and stakeholders. This phase is qualitative and aims to grasp all relevant insights, high-level analysis, and deliberation. The decision-maker has to use various quantitative analyses with the level of detail appropriate for the decision to be made and integrate other relevant influence factors, often tangible and intangible. | Governance Development—this third stage identifies the feasible activities that will be engaged in support of CSG development. However, feasibility is a function of the state of CSG and the corresponding ‘classes’ of development activities that are compatible with that classification of CSG |
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Katina, P.F.; Pyne, J.C.; Keating, C.B.; Komljenovic, D. Complex System Governance as a Framework for Asset Management. Sustainability 2021, 13, 8502. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13158502
Katina PF, Pyne JC, Keating CB, Komljenovic D. Complex System Governance as a Framework for Asset Management. Sustainability. 2021; 13(15):8502. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13158502
Chicago/Turabian StyleKatina, Polinpapilinho F., James C. Pyne, Charles B. Keating, and Dragan Komljenovic. 2021. "Complex System Governance as a Framework for Asset Management" Sustainability 13, no. 15: 8502. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13158502
APA StyleKatina, P. F., Pyne, J. C., Keating, C. B., & Komljenovic, D. (2021). Complex System Governance as a Framework for Asset Management. Sustainability, 13(15), 8502. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13158502