Acceptance of Main Power Generation Sources among Japan’s Undergraduate Students: The Roles of Knowledge, Experience, Trust, and Perceived Risk and Benefit
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Background and Research Hypotheses
2.1. Energy Policy Direction
2.2. Deregulation and Liberalization in the Electricity and Gas Market
2.3. Factors Affecting Energy Decisions
2.3.1. Knowledge, Trust, Experience, Perceived Risks and Benefits
2.3.2. Perceived Risks and Benefits and Acceptance of Energy Sources
3. Methods and Data
3.1. Data
3.2. Dependent and Independent Variables
3.3. Data Analysis
4. Discussion
4.1. Correlation Results
4.1.1. Knowledge, Experience, Trust, and Risk and Benefit Perceptions
4.1.2. Risk and Benefit Perceptions and Energy Acceptance
4.2. Regression Analysis Results for Hypothesis 1 (Dependent Variables: Risk and Benefit Perceptions)
4.3. Regression Analysis Results for Hypothesis 1 (Dependent Variables: Risk and Benefit Perceptions)
4.4. Energy Categorization Based on Results
5. Conclusions and Policy Implications
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Nomenclature
Risk perception | RP |
Benefit perception | BP |
Liquid natural gas | LNG |
Feed-in tariff | FIT |
Willingness to pay | WTP |
General electricity utilities | GEUs |
Power producers and suppliers | PPSs |
Contingent valuation | CV |
Energy security, environmental protection, and efficient supply | 3Es |
Economic efficiency, environment, energy security and safety | 3Es + S |
Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan | METI |
Greenhouse gas | GHG |
Ordinary least squares | OLS |
Nuclear Regulation Authority | NRA |
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Pre-Fukushima Nuclear Disaster | Post-Fukushima Nuclear Disaster | |
---|---|---|
Energy policy direction | 3Es: Energy security, environmental protection, and efficient supply [29] | 3Es + S: Energy security (self-sufficiency rate), economic efficiency (electricity cost), environment [greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions], and safety as a pillar of national energy policy [3] |
Target | Reduce domestic energy-related CO2 emissions by around 30% lower than 1990 levels by 2030 | Nuclear power generation should be reduced as much as possible, which calls for a swift restart of existing nuclear power plants following safety approval from the Nuclear Regulation Authority (NRA). Under the considerable premise of safety, the energy self-sufficiency rate is projected to increases to 25% in 2030, which is 5% higher than the level achieved before the Great East Japan Earthquake (the current self-sufficiency rate is 9.6%). Electricity cost is expected to decrease to 9.5 trillion yen by 2030. |
Approach | Build 14 new nuclear power plants by 2030 in addition to the existing 54 since 2010 This nuclear power expansion plan would have increased the installed generation capacity from 49 GWe in 2010 to 60 GWe in 2020 and 68 GWe in 2030, as well as the electricity generation capacity from 288 TWh in 2010 to approximately 540 TWh, or nearly half the total centralized power generation in 2030 [30]. |
Variable | Description | |
---|---|---|
Perceived risk and benefit | Economic perspective | Related to power generation cost |
Environmental perspective | Related to air pollution and global warming | |
Stable supply perspective | Related to stable power supply for residents | |
Safety perspective | Related to the safe management of power plant operation | |
Acceptance | Support level | Acceptance of power sources |
Knowledge | Characteristics of power generation | Advantages and disadvantages Power generation ratio Power generation process |
Experiences | Personal experience and experience from people around | Experience of internship in power plants or visits to power plants Friends or relatives having worked in power plants |
Trust | Trust in the management of power plants, the government, and specialists | Information provided by power plants Information provided by the government Information provided by experts |
Sociodemographic | Age | Numeric |
Gender | Male; female | |
Hometown | Fukushima and neighboring prefectures; other prefectures | |
Year level | Freshman to senior | |
Affiliation | Schools affiliated with science and engineering disciplines and schools affiliated with the social sciences |
Energy Source | Independent Variable | Mean | SD 1 |
---|---|---|---|
LNG | RPLNG | 3.28 | 0.64 |
BPLNG | 3.19 | 0.66 | |
AcceptancyLNG | 3.04 | 0.82 | |
Coal | RPcoal | 3.84 | 0.70 |
BPcoal | 3.30 | 0.73 | |
Acceptancycoal | 2.68 | 0.89 | |
Hydropower | RPhydro | 3.79 | 0.66 |
BPhydro | 3.40 | 0.67 | |
Acceptancyhydro | 3.39 | 1.02 | |
Solar | RPsolar | 3.37 | 0.68 |
BPsolar | 3.68 | 0.84 | |
Acceptancysolar | 3.61 | 1.11 | |
Nuclear | RPnuclear | 3.94 | 0.80 |
BPnuclear | 3.43 | 0.82 | |
Acceptancynuclear | 2.49 | 1.22 | |
Petroleum | RPpetroleum | 3.68 | 0.63 |
BPpetoleum | 3.36 | 0.85 | |
Acceptancypetoleum | 2.69 | 0.93 |
Energy Source | Dependent Variable | Mean /N | SD 1 /(%) | Min 2 | Max 3 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sociodemographics | Age (years) | 19.55 | 1.152 | 18 | 26 |
1 = male | 150 | 69.5% | - | - | |
2 = female | 66 | 30.5% | - | - | |
Year level (freshman = 1, sophomore = 2, junior = 3, senior = 4) | 2.00 | 0.318 | 1 | 4 | |
Affiliation | |||||
1 = affiliated to science and engineering | 25 | 11.7% | - | - | |
2 = affiliated to social science | 191 | 88.3% | - | - | |
Hometown | |||||
1 = Fukushima and neighbor prefectures | 112 | 52.0% | - | - | |
2 = other prefectures | 104 | 48.0% | - | - | |
LNG | Knowledge LNG | 2.375 | 1.062 | 1 | 5 |
Experience LNG (1 = yes, 2 = no) | 1.972 | 0.158 | 1 | 2 | |
Trust LNG | 3.103 | 0.760 | 1 | 5 | |
Coal | Knowledge coal | 2.843 | 0.963 | 1 | 5 |
Experience coal (1 = yes, 2 = no) | 1.958 | 0.230 | 1 | 2 | |
Trust coal | 3.139 | 0.751 | 1 | 5 | |
Hydropower | Knowledge hydro | 3.054 | 1.014 | 1 | 5 |
Experience hydro (1 = yes, 2 = no) | 1.964 | 0.155 | 1 | 2 | |
Trust hydro | 3.210 | 0.841 | 1 | 5 | |
Solar | Knowledge solar | 2.935 | 0.943 | 1 | 5 |
Experience solar (1 = yes, 2 = no) | 1.962 | 0.163 | 1 | 2 | |
Trust solar | 3.217 | 0.855 | 1 | 5 | |
Nuclear | Knowledge nuclear | 3.244 | 0.998 | 1 | 5 |
Experience nuclear (1 = yes, 2 = no) | 1.941 | 0.228 | 1 | 2 | |
Trust nuclear | 2.889 | 0.909 | 1 | 5 | |
Petroleum | Knowledge petroleum | 2.701 | 0.984 | 1 | 5 |
Experience petroleum (1 = yes, 2 = no) | 1.977 | 0.129 | 1 | 2 | |
Trust petroleum | 3.119 | 0.788 | 1 | 5 |
. | LNG | Coal | Hydropower | Solar | Nuclear | Petroleum | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RP | BP | RP | BP | RP | BP | RP | BP | RP | BP | RP | BP | |
Age 4 (p-value) | 0.014 | −0.042 | 0.036 | 0.031 | 0.091 * (0.090) | 0.008 | 0.091 * (0.091) | −0.035 | 0.046 | 0.119 ** (0.027) | 0.001 | −0.033 |
Gender (1 = male, 2 = female) | 0.105 ** (0.048) | −0.025 | 0.175 *** (0.001) | −0.036 | 0.099 * (0.065) | −0.081 | 0.135 ** (0.012) | −0.018 | 0.144 *** (0.007) | −0.132 ** (0.014) | 0.081 | −0.138 *** (0.009) |
Hometown (1 = Fukushima and neighboring prefectures, 2 = other prefectures) | 0.005 | 0.067 | 0.001 | −0.008 | −0.001 | 0.055 | −0.068 | 0.019 | −0.013 | 0.022 | 0.004 | 0.039 |
Grade | 0.000 | −0.067 | −0.022 | 0.075 | 0.037 | 0.055 | 0.097 | 0.024 | 0.045 | 0.025 | −0.058 | −0.040 |
Affiliation (1 = science and engineering, 2 = social science) | −0.008 | 0.053 | −0.058 | 0.052 | 0.037 | 0.077 | 0.061 | 0.050 | −0.111 ** (0.038) | 0.072 | −0.041 | 0.099 * (0.064) |
2 KLNG | 0.021 | 0.170 *** (0.001) | ||||||||||
3 ELNG | 0.028 | 0.052 | ||||||||||
4 TLNG | 0.010 | 0.141 *** (0.008) | ||||||||||
KCoal | 0.136 ** (0.010) | 0.304 *** (0.000) | ||||||||||
ECoal | 0.075 | 0.144 *** (0.006) | ||||||||||
TCoal | 0.056 | 0.220 *** (0.000) | ||||||||||
KHydropower | 0.118 ** (0.118) | 0.309 *** (0.000) | ||||||||||
EHydropower | 0.121 ** (0.024) | −0.018 | ||||||||||
THydropower | 0.104 * (0.055) | 0.291 *** (0.000) | ||||||||||
KSolar | 0.109 ** (0.045) | 0.310 *** (0.000) | ||||||||||
ESolar | 0.107 ** (0.047) | 0.044 | ||||||||||
TSolar | 0.132 ** (0.014) | 0.197 *** (0.000) | ||||||||||
KNuclear | 0.155 *** (0.004) | 0.393 *** (0.000) | ||||||||||
ENulclear | 0.278 *** (0.000) | 0.081 | ||||||||||
TNuclear | −0.242 *** (0.000) | 0.150 *** (0.005) | ||||||||||
KPetroleum | 0.032 | 0.193 *** (0.000) | ||||||||||
EPetroleum | 0.214 *** (0.000) | 0.016 | ||||||||||
TPetroleum | 0.035 | 0.091 * (0.087) |
Acceptancy LNG | Acceptancy Coal | Acceptancy Hydropower | Acceptancy Solar | Acceptancy Nuclear | Acceptancy Petroleum | |
Age | 0.008 | 0.040 | 0.105 | 0.038 | 0.105 | −0.024 |
Gender (1 = male, 2 = female) 1 (p-value) | −0.014 | 0.038 | −0.056 | 0.004 | −0.173 *** (0.002) | −0.113 ** (0.036) |
Hometown (1 = Fukushima and neighbor prefectures, 2 = other prefectures) | 0.142 *** (0.009) | 0.032 | 0.056 | −0.058 | 0.065 | 0.129 ** (0.017) |
Grade | 0.048 | 0.050 | 0.154 *** (0.006) | 0.032 | 0.055 | −0.018 |
Affiliation (1 = science and engineering, 2 = social science) | −0.028 | −0.014 | −0.012 | −0.053 | 0.150 *** (0.008) | 0.069 |
RPLNG | −0.128 ** (0.018) | |||||
BPLNG | 0.301 *** (0.000) | |||||
RPCoal | −0.187 *** (0.001) | |||||
BPCoal | 0.103 | |||||
RPHydropower | −0.029 | |||||
BPHydropower | 0.266 *** (0.000) | |||||
RPSolar | 0.086 | |||||
BPSolar | 0.431 *** (0.000) | |||||
RPNuclear | −0.351 *** (0.000) | |||||
BPNuclear | 0.252 *** (0.000) | |||||
RPPetroleum | −0.166 *** (0.002) | |||||
BPPetroleum | 0.131 ** (0.015) |
Energy Classification | Energy Source | Characteristics |
---|---|---|
Blind | LNG, petroleum |
|
Well- known | Coal, nuclear |
|
Exploratory | Hydropower, solar |
|
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Watanabe, R.; Watanabe, T.; Wakui, K. Acceptance of Main Power Generation Sources among Japan’s Undergraduate Students: The Roles of Knowledge, Experience, Trust, and Perceived Risk and Benefit. Sustainability 2021, 13, 12416. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132212416
Watanabe R, Watanabe T, Wakui K. Acceptance of Main Power Generation Sources among Japan’s Undergraduate Students: The Roles of Knowledge, Experience, Trust, and Perceived Risk and Benefit. Sustainability. 2021; 13(22):12416. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132212416
Chicago/Turabian StyleWatanabe, Reeko, Tsunemi Watanabe, and Kyohei Wakui. 2021. "Acceptance of Main Power Generation Sources among Japan’s Undergraduate Students: The Roles of Knowledge, Experience, Trust, and Perceived Risk and Benefit" Sustainability 13, no. 22: 12416. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132212416
APA StyleWatanabe, R., Watanabe, T., & Wakui, K. (2021). Acceptance of Main Power Generation Sources among Japan’s Undergraduate Students: The Roles of Knowledge, Experience, Trust, and Perceived Risk and Benefit. Sustainability, 13(22), 12416. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132212416