Agricultural Sustainability and Its Trends in India: A Macro-Level Index-Based Empirical Evaluation
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Pressure-State-Response Model
2.2. Normalisation of Indicators
2.3. Temporal Changes in the Sustainability Indicators
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Variables under Environmental Dimension
3.1.1. Area under Forest
3.1.2. Agricultural Land Use Intensity
3.1.3. Agro-Chemical Use Intensity
3.1.4. Groundwater Depletion
3.1.5. Livestock Intensity per Net Cropped Area
3.1.6. Rainfall Variability
3.1.7. Fertilizer Imbalance
3.1.8. Cropping Intensity
3.2. Variables under Economic Dimension
3.2.1. Land Productivity
3.2.2. Per-Capita Foodgrain Production (PCFGP)
3.2.3. Fertilizer Productivity
3.2.4. Per Capita Income (PCI)
3.2.5. Energy Productivity
3.2.6. Man-Land Ratio
3.2.7. Irrigated Area
3.2.8. Road Density
3.3. Variables under Social Dimension
3.3.1. Literacy Rate
3.3.2. Rural Poverty
3.3.3. Income Inequality
3.3.4. Infant Mortality Rate (IMR)
3.3.5. Access to Institutional Credit
3.3.6. Sex Ratio
3.3.7. Non-Farm Income
3.3.8. Rural Work Participation Rate
3.4. Agricultural Sustainability at State Level
3.4.1. Environmental Sustainability
3.4.2. Economic Sustainability
3.4.3. Social Sustainability Index
3.4.4. Agricultural Sustainability Index
3.5. Distribution of States as per the Quartiles
3.6. Correlation among the Dimensions of Sustainability
4. Conclusions
- Agricultural sustainability: the study constructed indices of environmental, economic, and social dimensions of agricultural sustainability for 17 states and, finally, aggregated them. Eight variables for each dimension, with equal weightage, were used in the study. During 1991–2011, values of agricultural sustainability indices improved in all the states. Negative changes were recorded by nine states for environmental dimension, three States for economic dimension, and no states for social dimension. The movement sf the sustainability index shows that the states of Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, and Kerala are on top of the list. All three states performed well in environment, economic, and social dimensions, except a low performance of Jammu and Kashmir in economic dimensions and Kerala in environmental dimensions. The relative lag in the social front has led states like Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Gujarat to their low performance in the overall agricultural sustainability index. Bihar and Uttar Pradesh are highly populated too.
- Among the component indices, sharp deterioration of environmental quality was noted for Punjab, Haryana, and in other IGP states, which are ‘cereal baskets’ of India. In economic sustainability, Punjab and Haryana topped the list, which clearly points to the trade-off between the economic gains and environmental quality. However, the positive point is that, compared to 1991–2001, the environmental sustainability index improved during 2001–2011 in more states, which could be attributed to the deliberate effort to conserve the environmental quality while making progress in economic dimension.
- All the states posted positive changes in the index value in social dimension, unlike in environment and economic dimensions, and had the lowest CV. The social sustainability index did not show significant (p < 0.05) correlation with the economic sustainability index. Experience showed that the trickledown effect of economic growth must be supplemented with policies for social development through a targeted approach, in order to have the desirable outcome.
- For many states, the issues are location-specific, and strategies need to be developed depending on the social and economic fabric of that state, with due consideration for natural resources. Given the interdependency, economic benefits at the cost of environmental quality and social gains would hamper the sustainability of the entire system. It requires policy interventions with location-specific action plans in the agriculture sector to attain overall sustainable development goals.
- The analysis points to the need for giving weightage to social costs and benefits while formulating agricultural policies, which could be the first step in directing towards a sustainable agricultural system. At ground level, a practical step is assessing changes in ecosystem services, while undertaking developmental projects. This is to be coupled with efforts to improve the productivity of agriculture to gain economic sustainability and deliberate steps to channelize the economic gain to social development. As a future strategy, development and usage of agricultural sustainability index for lesser geographical areas would be useful for micro-level agricultural planning purposes.
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variable/Indicator | Hypothesis | Expected Sign | Component | Remarks/Reasoning |
---|---|---|---|---|
Environmental Dimension | ||||
Area under forests (%) | Area under forests contributes to agricultural stability. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem | Apart from being a resource to the farmers in terms of providing food, fodder, timber, and minor forest products, forests provide many ecosystem services and contribute towards biodiversity conservation. The share of forests in total geographical area was used. |
Agricultural land use intensity (%) | Land intensification has negative influence on ecosystem stability. | −ve | Agro-ecosystem | Land use activities, mainly agriculture, have profound negative influence on ecosystem services and environment, due to disturbance of soil, loss of biodiversity, and jeopardising ecosystem services. The net sown area as a share of total geographical area was used. |
Agricultural chemical use intensity (kg/ha) | Intensive use of agrochemicals has negative impacts. | −ve | Agro-ecosystem stress | Intensive use of agricultural chemicals results in land degradation due to contamination of soil and water bodies, eutrophication, heavy metal toxicity, and chemical residues, thereby adversely affecting agricultural stability. Application of nitrogen, phosphorous, and potassium per hectare of cultivated area was used. |
Ground water depletion (%) | Depletion of groundwater level affects the hydrological cycle, and thereby the sustainability. | −ve | Agro-ecosystem stress | Increasing dependence of agricultural production on groundwater has resulted in its over-exploitation. This results in depletion of aquifers at a faster rate than the rate at which they can be recharged. Due to this, the ability of the system to cope with drought and other adverse climate conditions is hampered. Stage of groundwater development, expressed as percentage, was used as the indicator variable. |
Livestock intensity per net cropped area (Number/ha) | Number of livestock per hectare of net cropped area imparts sustainability to farming. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem vulnerability | Integrated crop-livestock systems lead to better nutrient cycling, biomass utilisation, and accumulation of soil carbon. Number of livestock expressed as Adult Cattle Unit per hectare of cultivated area was used. |
Rainfall variability (%) | Rainfall variability has significant negative impact on agricultural sustainability. | −ve | Agro-ecosystem vulnerability | While rainfed agriculture accounts for large share of the total crop area (53%), variability in the rainfall pattern causes disruption in crop production, leading to crop loss, farm income loss, affecting agricultural sustainability. Coefficient of variation of rainfall in the preceding decade was the indicator variable. |
Fertilizer imbalance (index) | Fertilizer imbalance negatively impacts agricultural sustainability. | −ve | Agro-ecosystem management | Fertilizer imbalances are likely to create a nutritional imbalance, which directly affects the crop resistance to insect pests and diseases. This ultimately limits the agricultural sustainability. Fertiliser imbalance index was constructed following [23]. |
Cropping intensity (%) | High cropping intensity significantly contributes to agricultural sustainability. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem management | High cropping intensity promotes diversified and integrated farming, nutrient recycling, better resource usage, and climate regulation and imparts resilience to the agricultural production systems. It negates the need to clear forests to expand cultivated area. The cropping intensity was calculated as the ratio of gross cropped area to net cropped area, expressed as percentage. |
Economic Dimension | ||||
Land productivity (Rs/ha) | Higher land productivity contributes to sustainability. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem stress | An indicator of efficiency of agricultural production that results in bridging the yield gap. It was captured by the value of output per hectare in real prices. |
Per capita food grain production (PCFGP) (kg/year) | Direct relationship with agricultural sustainability. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem | PCFGP is an indicator of general food availability and food self-sufficiency in most of the developing countries. It was captured as the foodgrain production per population. |
Factor productivity (Rs/kg) | Consistent growth in factor productivity indicates sustainability of agricultural systems. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem vulnerability | A sustained and non-negative trend in factor productivity growth implies that the system is sustainable. The indicator variable was calculated as the productivity in value terms per kg of total NPL nutrients. |
Per capita income (PCI) (Rs) | Per capita income has positive influence on sustainability of agricultural sector. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem | Higher PCI leads to structural transformation, where composition of inputs and methods of production shifts in favour of less destructive production systems. Further, higher PCI contributes to higher demand for environmental quality and sustainably produced foods. PCI was calculated in real terms. |
Energy productivity (Rs/kwh) | Higher energy productivity positively influences agricultural sustainability. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem vulnerability | Considering reliance of agri-food systems on the energy sources, viz., diesel and electricity, the higher the efficiency and productivity of those resources, the greater is the abatement of environmental externalities and the cost effectiveness. The indicator variable was value productivity in terms of unit of electricity used. |
Man-land ratio (Number) | Man-land ratio has negative influence on agricultural sustainability. | −ve | Agro-ecosystem stress | Higher population per unit arable land accelerates the exploitation of resources and demands intensive agricultural production, posing a greater threat to agricultural sustainability. The variable was constructed as the ratio of the population to net cropped area. |
Irrigated area (%) | Irrigation imparts resilience and influences agricultural sustainability positively. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem management | Irrigated area stands as key determinant in the sustainable agricultural strategies by reducing the risks in farm production and helping in higher production. In addition, it greatly helps in realization of land use potential. Irrigation scheduling and proper water balance regulates several plant growth mechanisms. The variable was constructed as the ratio of net irrigated area to net cropped area, expressed as percentage. |
Road transport (km) | Road transport has significant impact on agricultural production and has positive association with agricultural sustainability. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem management | Road density influences agricultural productivity by facilitating easy access to input and output markets, reducing spoilage, reducing fuel loss and transportation cost. In addition, better road transportation facilities generate more farm income. The variable was constructed as road length in km per 1000 square km of geographical area. |
Social Dimension | ||||
Literacy rate (%) | Literacy rate has positive association with sustainability. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem | Improvement in literacy enhances agricultural production by reducing information asymmetry, facilitating social capital, imparting awareness on technical opportunities, and improving technical efficiency. The indicator variable was adult literacy rate expressed as percentage. |
Rural poverty (%) | Increase in rural poverty has significant negative influence on growth and sustainability of agriculture. | −ve | Agro-ecosystem vulnerability | Population growth is a determinant of land degradation, deforestation, and pollution worldwide. In addition, rural poverty threatens the food and nutritional security. The indicator variable was rural poverty as headcount ratio, expressed as percentage. |
Income inequality (Gini coefficient) | Income inequality has negative influence sustainability. | −ve | Agro-ecosystem stress | Inequality in the distribution of land and non-farm employment is the major determinant of income inequality. Growth of agricultural sector is considered as a major factor in reducing the income inequality, thus negatively influencing agricultural sustainability. The indicator variable was Gini coefficient of income distribution. |
Infant mortality rate (IMR) (Number) | Rise in the IMR is negatively linked to the agricultural growth and sustainability. | −ve | Agro-ecosystem vulnerability | IMR and child health among rural and farm communities is directly linked to the food and nutritional security, which is both a cause and effect of agricultural growth and its sustainability. The variable was number of death per 1000 births of children under one year of age. |
Access to institutional credit (%) | Access to institutional credit has positive association. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem management | Rise in the share of institutional credit to the agricultural households is a clear indicator of an enabling ecosystem of policy interventions to protect the farmers from financial exclusion. Timely credit support helps farmers to meet the overall credit requirements throughout the crop. The indicator variable was share of institutional credit in outstanding cash debts of the state in rural areas. |
Sex ratio (Number) | Rise in the sex ratio has positive association. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem | Investing in gender equality and providing equal access and opportunities to have equal control of resources, lands, and markets can unlock human potential on a transformational scale. In addition, the improved earning outcomes as a result of women participation has positive impact on the livelihood of farming households. The variable indicated number of females to 1000 males. |
Non-farm income (%) | Non-farm income has significant positive influence on sustainability. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem | Strategies to wean out farmers from the farm sector by providing gainful employment opportunities in non-farm sectors have provided rich dividends in the economic growth of many countries through transfer of disguised unemployed labourers from agricultural sector to industrial sector, without affecting agricultural productivity. The share of non-farm sector in rural employment was used as the indicator variable. |
Rural workforce participation rate (%) | Rural workforce participation rate has positive association with agricultural sustainability. | +ve | Agro-ecosystem management | Agricultural labourers constitute a major segment of the rural workforce. Increase in their participation rate indicates availability of sufficient on-farm employment opportunities, resulting in higher agricultural output and its sustainability. Work participation rate was the ratio of total workers to the total population multiplied by 100. |
Parameters | 1991 | 2001 | 2011 |
---|---|---|---|
Environmental sustainability index | |||
Mean | 0.510 | 0.514 | 0.508 |
Minimum | 0.293 | 0.315 | 0.292 |
Maximum | 0.795 | 0.786 | 0.801 |
Standard Deviation | 0.138 | 0.133 | 0.133 |
CV | 27.018 | 25.779 | 26.203 |
Economic sustainability index | |||
Mean | 0.266 | 0.278 | 0.336 |
Minimum | 0.168 | 0.174 | 0.164 |
Maximum | 0.479 | 0.527 | 0.538 |
Standard Deviation | 0.080 | 0.084 | 0.086 |
CV | 29.947 | 30.208 | 25.607 |
Social sustainability index | |||
Mean | 0.408 | 0.504 | 0.579 |
Minimum | 0.262 | 0.328 | 0.382 |
Maximum | 0.670 | 0.750 | 0.789 |
Standard Deviation | 0.093 | 0.102 | 0.102 |
CV | 22.855 | 20.336 | 17.605 |
Agricultural sustainability index | |||
Mean | 0.395 | 0.432 | 0.474 |
Minimum | 0.324 | 0.326 | 0.380 |
Maximum | 0.494 | 0.570 | 0.624 |
Standard Deviation | 0.056 | 0.065 | 0.061 |
CV | 14.277 | 15.037 | 12.845 |
Dimension | 1991 | 2011 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | |
Environmental | GJ, HR, PB, TN | AP, KL, MH,RJ | BR, KA, UP | AS, HP, JK, MP, OR, WB | GJ, HR, PB,RJ | AP,KL,TN,UP | BR,KA,MH,WB | AS,HP, JK,MP,OR |
Economic | BR,GJ,KA,MP | AP,MH,RJ,WB | HP,KL, TN,UP | AS,HR,JK,OR,PB | BR,JK, MP,RJ | KA,MH,OR,UP | AP,GJ, TN,WB | AS,HR, HP,KL,PB |
Social | BR,MP, RJ,UP | AP,HR, JK,OR | AS,KA, PB,WB | GJ,HP,KL,MH,TN | BR,GJ, MP,UP | AS,HR,OR,PB | JK,KA, RJ,WB | AP,HP,KL,MH,TN |
Agriculture | BR,HR,RJ,UP | AP,GJ, MH,TN | KA,MP,OR,PB | AS,HP,JK,KL,WB | BR,GJ, RJ,UP | HR,KA,MP,PB | AP, MH, OR,TN | AS, HP, JK,KL,WB |
Year | Env*Eco | Env*Soc | Eco*Soc |
---|---|---|---|
1991 | –0.12 | –0.12 | 0.02 |
2001 | –0.34 | 0.23 | 0.25 |
2011 | –0.38 | 0.03 | 0.33 |
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Suresh, A.; Krishnan, P.; Jha, G.K.; Reddy, A.A. Agricultural Sustainability and Its Trends in India: A Macro-Level Index-Based Empirical Evaluation. Sustainability 2022, 14, 2540. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14052540
Suresh A, Krishnan P, Jha GK, Reddy AA. Agricultural Sustainability and Its Trends in India: A Macro-Level Index-Based Empirical Evaluation. Sustainability. 2022; 14(5):2540. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14052540
Chicago/Turabian StyleSuresh, A., P. Krishnan, Girish K. Jha, and A. Amarender Reddy. 2022. "Agricultural Sustainability and Its Trends in India: A Macro-Level Index-Based Empirical Evaluation" Sustainability 14, no. 5: 2540. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14052540
APA StyleSuresh, A., Krishnan, P., Jha, G. K., & Reddy, A. A. (2022). Agricultural Sustainability and Its Trends in India: A Macro-Level Index-Based Empirical Evaluation. Sustainability, 14(5), 2540. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14052540