The Determinants of Walking Behavior before and during COVID-19 in Middle-East and North Africa: Evidence from Tabriz, Iran
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Objective and Subjective Measures of Walkability
2.2. Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Walking Behavior
2.3. The Condition in Developing Countries
- (1)
- What factors determine the walking behavior of adults for the commute, non-commute, and social walking purposes during COVID-19 in the large cities of the MENA region?
- (2)
- Have the determinants of walking behavior for commute, non-commute, and social purposes changed after the outbreak of COVID-19 in the MENA region?
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Case Study
3.2. Data and Variables
3.3. Analysis Methods
4. Results
4.1. Descriptive Statistics
4.2. Model Fit
4.2.1. The Impact of the Built Environment and Individual Perception on Commute Walking Behavior before and during COVID-19
4.2.2. The Impact of Built Environment and Individual Perception on Non-Commute Walking Behavior before and during COVID-19
4.2.3. The Impact of Built Environment and Individual Perception on Companionship in Walking before and during COVID-19
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
- −
- Commute walking: perceived neighborhood type, perceived distance to job/university, perceived sidewalks overall quality, perceived existence of shortcuts and commute distance.
- −
- Non-commute walking: perceived neighborhood type, perceived distance to parking, perceived distance to mall, distance to public transport.
- −
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Key Features | Tabriz |
---|---|
City (km2) | 325 km2 (125 sq. mi) |
Urban Area (km2) | 512 km2 (198 sq. mi) |
Divisions | 10 Districts |
Urban Planning Governance | Tabriz Municipality |
Urban Transportation System Governance | Organization of transportation and Traffic |
Availability of city-wide Urban Development Plan | Yes (2013) |
Availability of city-wide Strategic Transportation Master Plan | Yes (2019) |
Variables | Description and Coding |
---|---|
Age | Continuous |
Gender | Female = 1, Male = 0 |
Education | Diploma and Undergraduate = 1, Bachelor = 2, Master = 3, PhD and higher = 4 |
Income | Continuous |
Possession of Driving License | Yes = 1, No = 0 |
BMI | Continuous |
Number of family members | Continuous |
Residential Duration | Continuous |
Neighborhood Type | Less than 2 floors = 1, 2 to 6 floors = 2, 6 to 10 floors = 3, 10 to 20 floors = 4, more than 20 floors = 5 |
Cul-de-sac | From 1 = very little to 5 = very much |
Distance to Different Services | Less than 5 min = 1, 5 to 10 min = 2, 10 to 20 min =3, 20 to 30 min = 4, More than 30 min = 5 |
Perceptive Neighborhood Environment (1. Existence of trees across the street, 2. Existence of architecturally attractive buildings and houses, 3. Existence of attractive scenery for walking, 4. Suitable slope of streets for walking, 5. Existence of Suitable urban furniture and benches at short distances) | From 1 = very little to 5 = very much |
Perceptive Walkable Places (1. Existence of sidewalks, 2. Separation of street from sidewalk by green spaces, 3. Existence of shortcut routs) | From very little = 1 to very much = 5 |
Overall Quality of Sidewalks (Width, attractiveness, quality of materials and ups and downs) | From very bad = 1 to very good = 5 |
Facilities Attractiveness | No existence = 1, Not attractive at all = 2, Not very attractive = 3, Medium = 4, Acceptable Attractiveness = 5, Very attractive = 6 |
Perceptive Security (1. The streets of the neighborhood are not well lit at night, 2. Due to the crime rate, our neighborhood is not secure enough, 3. There is a lot of traffic on the streets around our neighborhood making walking difficult and unpleasant, 4. There are no pedestrian crossing signs on the busy streets of our neighborhood, 5. The streets do not have speed bumps) | From Strongly disagree = 1 to Strongly agree = 4 |
Wellbeing and Health Status (1. Feeling of Depression, 2. Feeling of Anxiety, 3. Feeling of Being Energetic, 4. Feeling cheerful and cool, 5. Emotionally stable and confident, 6. Overall Health status) | From Very Low = 1 to Very High = 10 |
Objective Built Environment (Commute distance- Distance to public transport- Street length, Land use mix, Number of Intersections, Building & Population density) | Continuous |
Travel Mode Choice | Walking = 1, Other modes (e.g., Private car, Public transport, Metro and …) = 0 |
Commute Trips | Non-Commute Trips | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before COVID-19 Pandemic | During COVID-19 Pandemic | Before COVID-19 Pandemic | During COVID-19 Pandemic | |||||
Category | Frequency | Percent | Frequency | Percent | Frequency | Percent | Frequency | Percent |
Walking | 81 | 13.4% | 108 | 17.9% | 134 | 22.2% | 135 | 22.4% |
Private Car | 248 | 41.1% | 280 | 46.6% | 299 | 49.6% | 348 | 57.7 |
Bus | 85 | 14.1% | 35 | 5.8% | 60 | 10% | 23 | 3.8% |
Taxi | 68 | 11.3% | 81 | 13.4% | 53 | 8.8% | 38 | 6.3% |
Taxi Apps | 36 | 6% | 38 | 6.3% | 28 | 4.6% | 35 | 5.8% |
Metro | 11 | 1.8% | 7 | 1.2% | 9 | 1.5% | 5 | 0.8% |
Organizational Service | 42 | 7% | 42 | 7% | 5 | 0.8% | 8 | 1.3% |
Bicycle | 13 | 2.2% | 12 | 2% | 13 | 2.2% | 11 | 1.8% |
Motorbike | 1 | 0.2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Missing Data | 18 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.3% | 0 | 0 |
Total | 603 | 100% | 603 | 100% | 603 | 100% | 603 | 100% |
Pre-COVID-19 | During COVID-19 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable/Measure | Wald | B | Beta | p | Wald | B | Beta | p |
BMI Before/During COVID-19 | 5.390 | 0.132 | 1.141 | 0.020 | 0.995 | 0.042 | 1.043 | 0.319 |
Residential Duration | 2.654 | −0.026 | 0.974 | 0.103 | 2.977 | −0.024 | 0.976 | 0.084 |
P. (perceived) Neighborhood Type | 7.845 | −0.385 | 0.680 | 0.005 | 5.476 | −0.262 | 0.770 | 0.019 |
P. Distance to Public Transportation Stations | 5.062 | −0.366 | 0.694 | 0.024 | 1.991 | −0.194 | 0.824 | 0.158 |
Distance to Job/University | 9.493 | −0.548 | 0.330 | <0.001 | 10.311 | −0.495 | 0.641 | <0.001 |
Sidewalks overall quality | 3.601 | 0.371 | 1.449 | 0.058 | 0.690 | 0.139 | 1.149 | 0.406 |
Facilities Attractiveness | 5.294 | 0.403 | 1.496 | 0.021 | 0.045 | −0.029 | 0.971 | 0.832 |
Walkable Places 3 (existence of shortcut routs) | 9.341 | 0.529 | 1.697 | 0.002 | 11.664 | 0.516 | 1.675 | 0.001 |
Commute Distance | 5.253 | −0.493 | 0.611 | 0.022 | 4.034 | −0.363 | 0.696 | 0.045 |
Building Density | 0.874 | 0.158 | 1.171 | 0.350 | 0.935 | 0.138 | 1.148 | 0.333 |
Distance to P. Transport | 3.729 | 2.092 | 8.098 | 0.053 | 1.066 | 0.771 | 2.162 | 0.302 |
Constant | 2.930 | −3.716 | 0.024 | 0.087 | 0.090 | −0.510 | 0.600 | 0.764 |
Omnibus Test of Model Coefficients | Chi-Square | p | Chi-Square | p | ||||
55.352 | <0.0001 | 41.677 | 0.000 | |||||
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test | Chi-Square | p | Chi-Square | p | ||||
3.703 | 0.883 | 10.922 | 0.206 | |||||
Model Summary | −2 Log likelihood | Nagelkerke R2 | Percentage correct | −2 Log likelihood | Nagelkerke R2 | Percentage correct | ||
195.642 | 0.281 | 90.7 | 258.288 | 0.190 | 87.9 |
Pre-COVID-19 | During COVID-19 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable/Measure | Wald | B | Beta | p | Wald | B | Beta | p |
Age | 4.578 | −0.022 | 0.979 | 0.032 | 5.715 | −0.024 | 0.976 | 0.017 |
Possession of Driving License | 12.161 | −0.941 | 0.390 | <0.001 | 12.512 | −0.943 | 0.389 | <0.001 |
Number of family members | 5.581 | 0.204 | 1.226 | 0.018 | 5.320 | 0.199 | 1.220 | 0.021 |
Neighborhood Type | 4.805 | 0.337 | 1.401 | 0.028 | 7.681 | 0.432 | 1.540 | 0.006 |
Distance to Grocery | 3.073 | −0.289 | 0.736 | 0.080 | 1.839 | −0.220 | 0.746 | 0.175 |
Distance to Restaurant | 4.095 | −0.281 | 0.755 | 0.043 | 1.872 | −0.187 | 0.829 | 0.171 |
Distance to Parking | 6.931 | 0.245 | 1.277 | 0.008 | 3.309 | 0.168 | 1.182 | 0.069 |
Distance to Mall | 9.863 | −0.893 | 0.409 | 0.002 | 8.994 | −0.845 | 0.430 | 0.003 |
Walkable Places 1 (Existence of sidewalks) | 2.741 | 0.165 | 1.180 | 0.098 | 0.483 | 0.068 | 1.071 | 0.487 |
Land-use mix | 9.368 | 0.128 | 1.137 | 0.002 | 2.958 | 0.070 | 1.073 | 0.085 |
Distance to Public Transport | 6.779 | −0.994 | 0.432 | 0.009 | 5.595 | −0.984 | 0.398 | 0.018 |
Constant | 4.585 | 1.931 | 6.894 | 0.032 | 7.054 | 2.381 | 10.817 | 0.008 |
Omnibus Test of Model Coefficients | Chi-Square | p | Chi-Square | p | ||||
50.845 | <0.0001 | 40.705 | <0.0001 | |||||
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test | Chi-Square | p | Chi-Square | p | ||||
8.615 | 0.376 | 8.324 | 0.402 | |||||
Model Summary | −2 Log likelihood | Nagelkerke R2 | Percentage correct | −2 Log likelihood | Nagelkerke R2 | Percentage correct | ||
536.293 | 0.134 | 78.9 | 546.432 | 0.108 | 78.4 |
Pre-COVID-19 | During COVID-19 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable/Measure | Wald | B | Beta | p | Wald | B | Beta | p |
Income | 3.057 | −0.145 | 0.865 | 0.08 | 2.886 | −0.129 | 0.879 | 0.089 |
Cul-de-sac | 3.032 | 0.278 | 1.321 | 0.082 | 0.557 | −0.106 | 0.899 | 0.455 |
Distance to Grocery | 5.336 | 0.493 | 1.611 | 0.021 | 3.812 | −0.368 | 0.692 | 0.051 |
Distance to Restaurant | 6.180 | 0.313 | 1.368 | 0.013 | 3.297 | 0.204 | 1.227 | 0.069 |
Distance to Park | 4.799 | 0.329 | 1.72 | 0.028 | 3.563 | −0.249 | 0.78 | 0.059 |
Distance to Mall | 10.894 | 1.351 | 3.86 | 0.001 | 7.056 | 0.978 | 2.658 | 0.008 |
Distance to Job/Uni | 3.407 | 0.197 | 1.821 | 0.065 | 2.641 | −0.163 | 0.85 | 0.104 |
Sidewalks overall quality | 4.920 | 0.254 | 0.776 | 0.027 | 0.096 | −0.032 | 0.968 | 0.756 |
Facilities Attractiveness | 9.355 | 0.388 | 1.475 | 0.002 | 4.441 | 0.239 | 1.27 | 0.035 |
Walkable Places 1 Existence of sidewalks | 4.790 | −0.247 | 0.781 | 0.029 | 1.309 | −0.123 | 0.885 | 0.253 |
Walkable Places 3 (existence of shortcut routs) | 3.569 | −0.381 | 0.683 | 0.059 | 0.846 | −0.167 | 0.846 | 0.358 |
Security 1 (streets are not well lit at night) | 7.234 | −0.406 | 0.667 | 0.007 | 1.899 | −0.18 | 0.835 | 0.168 |
Security 2 (neighborhood is not secure) | 5.608 | −0.404 | 0.667 | 0.018 | 0.038 | −0.028 | 0.972 | 0.846 |
Feeling of Depression | 10.020 | −0.16 | 0.852 | 0.002 | 0.061 | −0.011 | 0.989 | 0.804 |
Being energetic | 3.219 | 0.116 | 1.123 | 0.073 | 2.644 | 0.112 | 1.118 | 0.104 |
Feeling of Anxiety | 10.888 | −0.200 | 0.819 | 0.001 | 1.281 | −0.07 | 0.933 | 0.258 |
Overall Health Status | 5.128 | 0.307 | 1.359 | 0.024 | 8.094 | 0.396 | 1.486 | 0.004 |
Building Density | 4.881 | −0.267 | 0.765 | 0.027 | 0.975 | −0.096 | 0.908 | 0.323 |
Constant | 2.012 | 1.818 | 6.161 | 0.156 | 0.001 | 0.034 | 1.034 | 0.978 |
Omnibus Test of Model Coefficients | Chi-Square | p | Chi-Square | p | ||||
82.973 | <0.0001 | 36.056 | 0.007 | |||||
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test | Chi-Square | p | Chi-Square | p | ||||
4.576 | 0.802 | 8.453 | 0.391 | |||||
Model Summary | −2 Log likelihood | Nagelkerke R2 | Percentage correct | −2 Log likelihood | Nagelkerke R2 | Percentage correct | ||
354.670 | 0.304 | 71.8 | 400.541 | 0.143 | 66.3 |
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Kamelifar, M.J.; Ranjbarnia, B.; Masoumi, H. The Determinants of Walking Behavior before and during COVID-19 in Middle-East and North Africa: Evidence from Tabriz, Iran. Sustainability 2022, 14, 3923. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14073923
Kamelifar MJ, Ranjbarnia B, Masoumi H. The Determinants of Walking Behavior before and during COVID-19 in Middle-East and North Africa: Evidence from Tabriz, Iran. Sustainability. 2022; 14(7):3923. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14073923
Chicago/Turabian StyleKamelifar, Mohammad Javad, Behzad Ranjbarnia, and Houshmand Masoumi. 2022. "The Determinants of Walking Behavior before and during COVID-19 in Middle-East and North Africa: Evidence from Tabriz, Iran" Sustainability 14, no. 7: 3923. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14073923
APA StyleKamelifar, M. J., Ranjbarnia, B., & Masoumi, H. (2022). The Determinants of Walking Behavior before and during COVID-19 in Middle-East and North Africa: Evidence from Tabriz, Iran. Sustainability, 14(7), 3923. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14073923