4.2.4. Regression Results
We used the Tobit model for regression estimation, and the results are shown in
Table 6.
- (1)
Analysis of the effect of core variables on EE
The positive effect of FDI at the national level was quite obvious, with a significantly positive coefficient but a low significance level of 10% and an elasticity coefficient of 0.0342%. This can be explained in two ways: First, the initial introduction of FDI is mostly concentrated in manufacturing and energy extraction industries, which consume a great deal of energy and cause serious pollution; however, as the economy improves, domestic industries continue to transform and upgrade in the direction of more favorable economic and social development. Coupled with a gradual improvement in living standards, this increases the public’s awareness of environmental protection and the government’s attention to environmental regulations. Second, the influx of multinational companies brings more advanced and cleaner production technologies to the local area and, through the technology spillover effect, improves the efficiency of resource utilization and effectively reduces pollutant emissions, which ultimately has a catalytic effect on EE. Thus, FDI is conducive to EE, and the “pollution paradise” effect does not exist in China. This is consistent with the results of most studies [
28,
29], they all found that FDI promotes reductions in industrial pollutant emissions in China.
Environmental regulation does not have a positive effect on regional EE at the national level, which is not consistent with the Porter hypothesis [
54]. On the one hand, local governments are under pressure, as they know that these industries can become engines for regional economic growth and big tax payers; if severe environmental regulations are imposed, these industries will certainly move to other regions with lower regulatory standards. Under this pressure, the increasingly fierce competition for environmental regulations makes local governments’ environmental policies dysfunctional. On the other hand, this may be due to the fact that the effect of environmental regulation on “pushing” technological innovation has not yet been realized. The same conclusion has been reached by most scholars [
55,
56,
57]; they all argued that environmental degradation due to policy lag causes environmental regulation to inhibit regional eco-efficiency.
In terms of the effects of regional explanatory variables on EE, first, the performance of the FDI term varied significantly across regions. FDI was found to improve EE in the eastern region, implying that FDI can help to achieve the coordinated development of local economic growth, resources, and the environment. However, this relationship was not significant in the central and western regions. There was less FDI compared to the east, and although the entry of foreign investment drives local economic development, this driving effect may be realized more through the spatial effect of FDI in the east, which involves the demand for economic development in the east with respect to human resources, natural resources, etc. On the other hand, FDI investment projects in the central and western regions may pay more attention to resource development and utilization, and the acquisition of natural resources may cause deep irreversible effects on the ecological environment. The combination of these two effects makes FDI not only have a relatively limited effect on the economic development of the two regions but may also be associated with more serious environmental pollution and resource consumption; thus, the estimated results show a negative effect. Second, the effect of environmental regulation on EE in the eastern and central regions passed the significance test with positive coefficients, while this relationship was not significant in the western region. The spatial heterogeneity of the effect of environmental regulation on EE shows that the eastern and central regions exhibit an “innovation compensation effect” on EE through environmental regulation, while the western region needs to improve technological innovation to enhance the positive impact on EE.
- (2)
Analysis of the effects of control variables on regional EE
The coefficient of financial investment in science and technology at the national level was significantly positive, which indicates that it significantly contributes to improving national EE. The coefficient of financial science and technology investment in the eastern region was also significantly positive, again suggesting that it contributes to the improvement of EE. A possible reason for this is that the eastern region possesses financial strength, a sufficient budget for science and technology expenditure, and a large number of high-tech innovators who invest more in eco-environmental science and technology innovation, which in turn contributes to the improvement of EE. The coefficient of financial investment in science and technology in the central region was also positive. A possible reason for this is that the central region has accelerated the transformation and upgrading of the energy industry and increased regional industrial and agricultural eco-environmental protection and pollution control, which in turn has improved EE. The coefficient of financial science and technology investment in the western region was not significant, potentially because the western region is economically backward, with imperfect local legislation on ecological environmental protection, a lack of law enforcement and supervision, and a poorer ability to control environmental pollution.
It was found that economic development can improve EE in China at a 1% significance level with a coefficient of 0.1034; i.e., for each percentage point increase in economic development, EE increases by 0.1034 percentage points. On the one hand, a high level of economic development provides a material guarantee of controlling environmental pollution and the necessary financial support for regional ecological civilization construction, while also bringing about certain industrial agglomeration. Through scale, economies improve EE. On the other hand, with the improvement of living standards, the awareness of environmental protection has also increased, which will certainly further industry upgrades, eliminate old resource-intensive industries, and develop new green industries. At the same time, existing enterprises will be forced to improve EE. In terms of different regions, all three regions passed the significance test at the 1% confidence level. In terms of coefficients, the impact of economic development on EE was higher in the east and central regions than in the west.
The level of urbanization was found to affect national EE at a 10% significance level, with a deeper influence; with each unit increase in urbanization level, EE can be expected to increase by 0.2054 units. In the current development context, urbanization is not simply an increase in the proportion of the urban population but, more importantly, follows the law of ecological development. By adjusting the corresponding urban industrial structure, the level of urbanization is improved, environmental pollution and damage is reduced, and ecological environmental protection is realized. The effect of urbanization on EE was significantly positive in the central and western regions, likely because the urbanization level in these regions is improving and the industrial structure of the towns has been optimized, resulting in an improvement in the quality of life. However, this relationship was not significant in the eastern region, perhaps because the urbanization level has reached a high level and the impact on economy and ecology has reached a stable state.
Industrial structure was found to inhibit EE at the national level, at a 1% significance level. In this paper, the proportion of the output value of secondary industry to GDP was used as a proxy variable for industrial structure; as industry is an important component of secondary industry, the higher the indicator, the higher the degree of industrialization. Industry mostly covers high-consumption, resource-intensive industries, such as the energy industry, iron and steel industry, and machinery industry. These industries not only consume large amounts of resources in the production process, but also produce a large amount of environmental pollutants, due to low-level technologies, among other reasons. Some enterprises, in the pursuit of profit maximization, directly discharge pollutants without treatment, which increases the pressure of environmental management, is not conducive to improving environmental quality, and further inhibits the improvement of EE. The industrial structures in the east, central, and west regions all had a negative impact on EE at a 1% confidence level, where the western industrial structure had the greatest impact on EE. It is worth considering that the influence of industrial structure on EE may have been enhanced in the western regions, where urban agglomerations require industrial restructuring and increase the proportion of tertiary industry; at the same time, this region could pay attention to the development of high-tech industries, such that the industrial structure can change from “high pollution, high consumption and high emission” to “low pollution, low consumption and low emission”.