Urban Adaptation to Climate Change State of the Art: Evaluating the Role of Adaptation Assessment Frameworks through a Systematic and Bibliometric Analysis
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- The first one is the concept of equilibrium, which is recurrent in post-disaster contributions and disaster management topics. According to this science, there are different types of equilibrium: single-state, multiple-state and dynamic non-equilibrium. According to the authors, urban resilience scholarship is tending to assume the multi or non-equilibrium concepts, evidencing that many states of equilibrium can exist in cities and communities simultaneously (as claimed also by [9]). Others even affirm that cities are constantly changing, thus there isn’t a real state of equilibrium to be considered [5,10].
- The second point is the idea that resilience is a positive concept. The authors refer to the existence of a debate about the positiveness of the resilience concept, especially in consideration of the return of the urban context to a previous condition that might not be desirable. Even if the debate is present, it is generally assumed that resilience is desirable and contributes to cities’ sustainability.
- The third critical aspect is the inclusion of the three more common pathways to a resilient state (persistence, transition and transformation) in the urban resilience concept, meaning that urban resilience can produce a return to a previous urban condition or a change in the urban structure. Some contributions on this topic are provided by [4,11,12,13,14,15].
- The concepts of adaptation and adaptability including considerations of short-term adaptation and long-term or general adaptability.
- The timescale of actions, referring to the rapidity of recovery.
- The specificities of the urban dimension, which are complex, interrelated and dynamic systems.
- This definition highlights the fundamental “ability” that urban systems must possess to respond to changes, encompassing the entire urban context and its socio-ecological and socio-technical networks. This ability is the starting point for all definitions of urban adaptation and resilience; however, it is not clear how cities can truly acquire it. Some reflections and strategies are present (e.g., in [16,17,18,19,20]) to support cities in finding this starting point, but there is no consensus on what exactly frames it.
- The second aspect highlighted is the ability cities should have to be resilient, which is commonly recognized in the fast return to a previous situation (recovery) or the implementation of a change in the systems to adapt to the new condition. This second part of the definition is more agreed upon in the international debate as it characterizes adaptation and resilience strategies.
2. Qualitative Literature Review and Research Questions
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- an updated understanding of the urban adaptation topic inside the scientific production and through the identification of sub-themes divided per typology;
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- the weight that assessment and monitoring frameworks are currently having in the general urban adaptation debate.
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- RQ1: How is the current urban adaptation debate framed and what are the main aspects covered?
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- RQ2: What is the role of assessment and monitoring frameworks inside the broader context of urban adaptation studies?
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Systematic Review with Zotero and NESTED Knowledge
3.2. Bibliometric Methodology
4. Results
4.1. Systematic Analysis of the Urban Adaptation General Query (140 Papers)
- a thematic distinction of the main focus of the contributions;
- a distinction based on specific interventions or actions proposed by the studies;
- different types of results provided;
- the presence of specific case studies and frameworks of the studies.
- The majority of papers (62.9%) focus on a specific theme. A deeper analysis of the cluster is necessary to understand the main themes emerging from this analysis. Papers excluded from this cluster were mainly comparative studies, included in the Implementation Level (e.g., papers comparing case studies on multiple themes).
- A smaller yet noteworthy portion of papers (30%) is dedicated to exploring highly specific strategies, such as particular technologies or architectural aspects, showcasing the focused nature of these studies.
- The majority of papers (69.3%) feature a case study or a selection of case studies, indicating that most papers in the selected database describe or analyze the implementation of specific actions and approaches in real-world contexts.
- Finally, as studies display various forms of results, papers have also been classified according to the type of yielded result (see Section 4.1.3).
4.1.1. Thematic Level
- Adaptation-related studies, comprising the largest cluster, centered around specific adaptation practices. Sub-themes within this cluster explore topics such as land cover, health and climate adaptation, adaptation policies and planning, and specific aspects of urban systems resilience (including studies on risks, uncertainties, heatwaves, heat islands, extreme events, water management, floods, droughts, and coastal areas).
- Urban and social equity-related studies, which also encompass investigations of people’s perceptions of climate adaptation.
- Studies examining the correlation between mitigation and adaptation, offering reflections on the interplay between these two aspects.
- Studies focusing on finance and funding mechanisms for adaptation strategies, shedding light on the financial considerations and mechanisms associated with implementing adaptation measures.
- Studies providing insights into data and knowledge creation for climate adaptation, exploring the generation and utilization of knowledge in the context of climate adaptation.
4.1.2. Innovation Typologies Level
- Participative practices and multi-level governance: This subgroup consists of 24 contributions that highlight the significance of participation in improving the climate adaptation of communities and cities. These studies emphasize the involvement of both citizens and stakeholders [17,20,69,84,85,86,87]. Klein et al. provide an interesting approach by examining the role of the private sector [20].
- Physical interventions and technologies: This sub-group includes 19 contributions that focus on specific strategies for climate change adaptation. These strategies encompass various aspects such as cool roofs [71], green infrastructures [88,89,90,91], transport [92] and urban architecture and urban form [88,93,94,95].
4.1.3. Results Typologies Level
- Assessment and monitoring frameworks: Accounting for 12% of the papers, this subgroup proposes frameworks for assessment and monitoring. For instance, Savic et al. [102], conducted an assessment of outdoor thermal comfort, da Silva et al. [77] developed a methodology for sensitive analysis and incorporated Monte Carlo Simulation into a multicriteria decision model, and Shi et al. [103], introduced a composite index applied to China.
- Roadmaps: Comprising 8% of the papers, this subgroup focuses on the development of roadmaps that outline pathways and strategies for urban climate adaptation.
- Scenario creation and simulations: Representing 5% of the papers, this subgroup explores the creation and utilization of scenarios and simulations to understand potential future outcomes and inform decision-making processes.
- Modelling and decision support frameworks: Accounting for 9% of the papers, this subgroup centers on the development of models and frameworks that facilitate decision-making in the context of urban climate adaptation.
- Comparative studies: Making up 12% of the papers, this subgroup conducts comparative analyses of case studies, examining similarities and differences across multiple contexts to derive valuable insights and lessons for urban climate adaptation.
4.1.4. Implementation Level
4.1.5. Analysis of the Most Cited Papers and the Most Recent Ones
4.2. Co-Occurence Analysis of Urban Adaptation, Monitoring and Assessment
4.2.1. General Queries of Urban Climate Adaptation
4.2.2. Specific Queries of Urban Climate Adaptation Monitoring and Assessment
5. Discussion
- (1)
- The analysis revealed a broad range of topics receiving significant attention, without any predominant aspect dominating the discourse. However, several trends were identified. Firstly, there was an emergence of operative roadmaps, particularly applied to specific case studies. Local-based approaches seem to be favored over generalization when proposing pathways and roadmaps, aligning with the recent IPCC reports’ [21,131,132] emphasis on this aspect. This trend indicates a potential direction for future research.
- (2)
- The theoretical aspects underlying urban adaptation demonstrated continued relevance, with notable contributions, such as the work by Martìn et al. [67] who proposes advancements in the domains of risk, vulnerability, and uncertainty. The recent work of Kehler and Birchall [22] is also significant in highliting the failures of short-term-based political measures against long-term ones. Theories around urban adaptation don’t seem to be exhausted and much remains to be defined and organized. Contributions from various scientific fields reveal the cross-cutting nature of the topic.
- (3)
- Although many themes emerge, such as water-related strategies, flooding, artificial intelligence, sensors and data, it is crucial to categorize them according to a preliminary classification, to provide a more organized and precise structure to the domain. This study identified different key macro-groups with which the analysed literature seems to align (Appendix A). These are: (a) thematic focus, (b) innovations, (c) results, and (d) specific applications to case studies.
- (4)
- The debate is still divided into three main groups: water and flood management which seems to be the predominant risk present in the literature together with heat islands and thermal-related shocks, which constitute also the second group of attention. The last one seems to be human and health-related impacts. It is also interesting to note that monitoring aspects are growing, especially linked to the use of technologies.
6. Conclusions, Limitations and Further Works
- Firstly, the framing of the urban adaptation debate reveals a diverse range of topics without a singular dominant aspect. Notable trends include the emergence of operative roadmaps, local-based approaches, and advancements in the theoretical understanding of risk, vulnerability, and uncertainty. Moreover, there is a prevalence of reflections and strategies applied to non-EU cities and countries. Transnational networks play a significant role, and papers comparing multiple cities worldwide offer interesting approaches.
- Secondly, the importance of assessment and monitoring frameworks is emphasized, recognizing their role in supporting prioritization of actions by cities. However, a unified system has not yet emerged, indicating a wide range of approaches in the field.
- Lastly, the clustering and grouping of research provide insights into organizing the field, considering thematic focus, methodology, results, and application to local cases.
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
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Query Wording | Details | N° of Papers |
---|---|---|
“Urban” AND “Climate” AND “adaptation” | In Title, Abstract, Keywords | 3021 (after refining) |
“Urban” AND “Climate adaptation” | In Title, Abstract, Keywords | 659 (after refining) |
“Urban” AND “Adaptation” AND “monitoring” | In Title, Abstract, Keywords | 1711 (after refining) |
“Urban” AND “Adaptation” AND “assessment” | In Title, Abstract, Keywords | 2635 (after refining) |
Exclusion Criteria | N° of Papers |
---|---|
Out-of-topic contributions for scientific field reasons: medical or historical or agricultural or animal related studies | 9 |
Out-of-topic contributions for focus/paper aims reasons: papers not related to the urban dimension and/or not related to climate adaptation | 39 |
Not enough information (absence of the abstract) | 12 |
Entire proceedings or special issues | 2 |
Total | 62 |
Grouping (Macro-Level) | N° of Papers | % on the Total |
---|---|---|
Thematic level | 88 | 62.9% |
Innovation Typologies Level | 42 | 30% |
Results Typologies Level | 140 | 100% |
Implementation Level | 97 | 69.3% |
Thematic Group Subdivision | Sub-Groups | N° of Papers | % on the Total |
---|---|---|---|
Adaptation related studies (total of 63 papers, 45%) | Land cover | 3 | 2.1% |
Health | 3 | 2.1% | |
Adaptation policies and planning | 28 | 20% | |
Specific aspects of urban systems’ resilience (including both risks and specific studies on heatwaves, heat islands, heat stresses, extreme events, water management, floods and droughts, and issues related to coastal areas) | 38 | 27.1% | |
Urban and social equity-related studies (total of 28 papers, 30%) | Urban equity/social equity and justice | 23 | 16.4% |
People’s perception on climate adaptation | 5 | 3.6% | |
Correlation between mitigation and adaptation | No sub-groups | 3 | 2.1% |
Finance and funding | No sub-groups | 3 | 2.1% |
Data and knowledge creation | No sub-groups | 1 | 0.7% |
Paper Citation | Year | N° of Citations |
---|---|---|
Carter, J. G., G. Cavan, A. Connelly, S. Guy, J. Handley, and A. Kazmierczak. 2015. “Climate Change and the City: Building Capacity for Urban Adaptation”. Progress in Planning 95: 1–66. [111] | 2015 | 377 |
Anguelovski, I., L. Shi, E. Chu, D. Gallagher, K. Goh, Z. Lamb, K. Reeve, and H. Teicher. 2016. “Equity Impacts of Urban Land use Planning for Climate Adaptation: CriticalPerspectives from the Global North and South”. Journal of Planning Education and Research 36(3): 333–348. [112] | 2016 | 289 |
Birkmann, J., M. Garschagen, F. Kraas, and N. Quang. 2010. “Adaptive Urban Governance: New Challenges for the Second Generation of Urban Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change”. Sustainability Science 5 (2): 185–206. [113] | 2010 | 225 |
Wamsler, C., E. Brink, and C. Rivera. 2013. “Planning for Climate Change in Urban Areas: From Theory to Practice”. Journal of Cleaner Production 50: 68–81. [114] | 2013 | 194 |
Araos, M., L. Berrang-Ford, J. D. Ford, S. E. Austin, R. Biesbroek, and A. Lesnikowski. 2016. “Climate Change Adaptation Planning in Large Cities: A Systematic Global Assessment”. Environmental Science and Policy 66: 375–382. [18] | 2016 | 183 |
Hunter, A. M., N. S. G. Williams, J. P. Rayner, L. Aye, D. Hes, and S. J. Livesley. 2014. “Quantifying the Thermal Performance of Green Façades: A Critical Review”. Ecological Engineering 63: 102–113. [115] | 2014 | 160 |
Archer, D., F. Almansi, M. DiGregorio, D. Roberts, D. Sharma, and D. Syam. 2014. “Moving Towards Inclusive Urban Adaptation: Approaches to Integrating Community-Based Adaptation to Climate Change at City and National Scale”. Climate and Development 6 (4): 345–356. [116] | 2014 | 101 |
Cuce, E. 2017. “Thermal Regulation Impact of Green Walls: An Experimental and Numerical Investigation”. Applied Energy 194: 247–254. [117] | 2017 | 100 |
Mauree, D., E. Naboni, S. Coccolo, A. T. D. Perera, V. M. Nik, and J. -L Scartezzini. 2019. “A Review of Assessment Methods for the Urban Environment and its Energy Sustainability to Guarantee Climate Adaptation of Future Cities”. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 112: 733–746. [118] | 2019 | 98 |
Fratini, C. F., G. D. Geldof, J. Kluck, and P. S. Mikkelsen. 2012. “Three Points Approach (3PA) for Urban Flood Risk Management: A Tool to Support Climate Change Adaptation through Transdisciplinarity and Multifunctionality”. Urban Water Journal 9 (5): 317–331. [73] | 2012 | 97 |
Paper Citation | Year | N° of Cit. |
---|---|---|
Liu, J., Fan, B. 2023. What contributes to local-level institutional adaptation under climate change? A configurational approach based on evidence from China’s Sponge City Program, Journal of Environmental Management, 342: 118292. [119] | 2023 | 0 |
Allard Hans Roest, Gerd Weitkamp, Margo van den Brink, Floris Boogaard, 2023, Mapping spatial opportunities for urban climate adaptation measures in public and private spaces using a GIS-based Decision Support Model, Sustainable Cities and Society, 96: 104651. [120] | 2023 | 0 |
Waller J. 2023, Stormwater Capital Improvement Planning: A framework for project identification and prioritization for pluvial flood mitigation, Journal of Critical Infrastructure Policy, 3(2), 93–115. [122] | 2023 | 0 |
Sarah Kehler, S. Jeff Birchall, 2023, Climate change adaptation: How short-term political priorities trample public well-being, Environmental Science & Policy, 146: 144.150. [22] | 2023 | 1 |
Jinxuan Wang, Karen Foley, 2023, Promoting climate-resilient cities: Developing an attitudinal analytical framework for understanding the relationship between humans and blue-green infrastructure, Environmental Science & Policy, 146, 133–143. [123] | 2023 | 0 |
Jaekyoung Kim, Junsuk Kang, 2023, AI based temperature reduction effect model of fog cooling for human thermal comfort: Climate adaptation technology, Sustainable Cities and Society, 95: 104574. [121] | 2023 | 0 |
Ifedotun Victor Aina, Djiby Racine Thiam, Ariel Dinar, 2023, Economics of household preferences for water-saving technologies in urban South Africa, Journal of Environmental Management, 339: 117953 [124] | 2023 | 0 |
Erich Wolff, Hanna A. Rauf, Perrine Hamel, 2023, Nature-based solutions in informal settlements: A systematic review of projects in Southeast Asian and Pacific countries, Environmental Science & Policy, 145: 275–285. [125] | 2023 | 0 |
Mahir Yazar, Abigail York, 2023, Nature-based solutions through collective actions for spatial justice in urban green commons, Environmental Science & Policy, 145: 228–237. [126] | 2023 | 0 |
Robbert P.H. Snep, Judith Klostermann, Mathias Lehner, Ineke Weppelman, 2023, Social housing as focus area for Nature-based Solutions to strengthen urban resilience and justice: Lessons from practice in the Netherlands, Environmental Science & Policy, 145: 164–174. [127] | 2023 | 0 |
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Boulanger, S.O.M. Urban Adaptation to Climate Change State of the Art: Evaluating the Role of Adaptation Assessment Frameworks through a Systematic and Bibliometric Analysis. Sustainability 2023, 15, 10134. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151310134
Boulanger SOM. Urban Adaptation to Climate Change State of the Art: Evaluating the Role of Adaptation Assessment Frameworks through a Systematic and Bibliometric Analysis. Sustainability. 2023; 15(13):10134. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151310134
Chicago/Turabian StyleBoulanger, Saveria Olga Murielle. 2023. "Urban Adaptation to Climate Change State of the Art: Evaluating the Role of Adaptation Assessment Frameworks through a Systematic and Bibliometric Analysis" Sustainability 15, no. 13: 10134. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151310134
APA StyleBoulanger, S. O. M. (2023). Urban Adaptation to Climate Change State of the Art: Evaluating the Role of Adaptation Assessment Frameworks through a Systematic and Bibliometric Analysis. Sustainability, 15(13), 10134. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151310134