1. Introduction
American soil scientist William Albreich first proposed the concept of ecological agriculture in 1971 as the use of organic fertilizers being conducive to establishing good soil conditions and good crop health. Chemical fertilizers, applied in small amounts, are nutritionally beneficial for crops. However, chemical pesticides cannot be used since, by the time they reach insecticidal concentrations, they already pollute the environment [
1]. In 1981, M.K. Orhthington a British geologist put forward a new understanding of ecological agriculture as a small agricultural system that is ecologically self sustaining has low input, has economic vitality, and does not produce large, long-term, and unacceptable changes in environmental, ethical, and aesthetic aspects [
2]. In 1983 the German chemist Justus von Liebig pointed out that modern agriculture is a kind of predatory agriculture [
3]. Therefore, the definition of ecological agriculture in this study is a new type of agricultural production in line with the concept of green development. This new approach requires the safe use or nonuse of synthetic fertilizers and pesticides under good ecological conditions through a resource recycling approach [
4]. The new agricultural production mode combines the essence of traditional agriculture with modern production management and science and technology. This new way ensures the safe production of high-quality agricultural products and a virtuous cycle between production and ecology [
5]. This study aims to empirically analyze the impact of the application of the concept of green development in agriculture on farmers’ income, propose the necessity and relevance of green development to improve farmers’ living standards, and provide substantial data support for the shift from green development to green governance.
2. Theoretical Lenses
From an ecological crisis to green development. In 1962, Rachel Carson, an American popular science writer, opened the prelude of the ecomovement through the book
Silent Spring. The author saw the environmental damage caused by agricultural fertilizer pollution and recognized the ecological sacrifice behind industrial civilization [
6]. The most alarming of all human attacks on the environment is the pollution of the air, land, rivers, and sea with dangerous, even deadly, substances that are largely irreversible. As mankind enters the 21st century, the ecological crisis has not abated and seems to be intensifying as industrial civilization continues to develop. In
The Consequences of Modernity, Anthony Giddens (2011) warns that the ecological dangers we face today appear to be similar to the natural disasters that befell premodern times [
7]. The ecological threat is the result of socially organized knowledge, constructed through the impact of industrialism on the material world. This is a new risk profile introduced by the advent of modernity. The ecological crisis and the ecological risks arising from the radical development of modern industrial civilization have made it impossible for ecologists at home and abroad to look on [
8].
From the formulation of the problem to the prevalence of theory and practice, ecologists in the West have been developing for more than half a century [
9]. Nowadays, ecologism is spreading and practiced in Chinese society, with its roots in China. The systemic nature of ecology and the scarcity of resources, coupled with the severity of environmental pollution, have forced the reform of the green development system, built the skeleton of the green development system, and erected the pillars and beams for the green development practice of the real society [
10]. Addressing the growing prominence of ecological and environmental degradation requires first revealing the problems that still exist in China’s development approach [
11]. One effective way to do this is to look for crude production enterprises with high energy consumption, high emissions, and high pollution in areas where natural resource constraints are tightening, and the industrial economy is growing rapidly [
12]. We will conduct a “diagnosis” of their local development plans. To find out the “limited rationality”, “rule-avoidance” and “burden-shifting” in the implementation of their development philosophy, development paths, and development strategies that hinder the transformation of the industrial structure and the development of technological upgrading. The constraints to the development of industrial restructuring and technological upgrading.
From the point of view of sustainable development, China can no longer afford to develop production at the expense of the environment [
13]. Green development is closely related to ecological agriculture. The impact of the way agriculture is developed on the income levels of farmers will be intuitively reflected in the necessity and relevance of green development for rural development [
14]. To relate environmental theory to the objective world, it needs to be linked to all political, social, and economic forces. In the real world, there is the problem of soil pollution caused using excessive fertilizers, pesticides, and mulch in agricultural development [
15]. Increases in food production and farmers’ income are pitted against environmental concerns. The question of how to weigh the priorities of agricultural development to ensure that farmers can improve their living standards while protecting the ecological environment from damage is an urgent issue to be addressed in the modernization of agriculture.
4. Findings
Based on the weight analysis of the above calculation formula, the following model construction analysis can be obtained.
4.1. Descriptive Statistics
The entropy method of determining the weight of each indicator avoids the random speculation caused by the subjective weighting method and addresses the problem of redundancy of information between variables. The descriptive statistics in
Table 2 present a visual representation of the data analysis sample. The unit root tests, etc., which follow in succession, fall within the scope of the entropy method mentioned earlier.
The contents of the above table are reflected in the distribution of explanatory variable X, explained variable Y, and relevant control variables in terms of mean, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis.
4.2. Determination of Lag Order and Cointegration Test
Johansen cointegration test steps are required when the variables are stationary in the same order. In
Table 3 below, lag represents the lag order. LR, AIC, and SC are all statistics. For example, AIC is the Akaike information criterion statistic. According to the position of *, lag is integrated to select the lag order. The * sign of this test is distributed in the lag order two and three. Since too many lag orders have a terrible influence on modeling, we try to select less lag order in the actual statistical analysis, that is, lag order two.
After the unit root test, it is necessary to conduct the cointegration test for the time series in the current study. This study used Johansen’s maximum likelihood estimation method to conduct the cointegration test. Before the cointegration test, the optimal lag order was determined as order one by the comprehensive method.
As shown in the cointegration test results in
Table 4 below, the prob is calculated by the trace statistic. The relationship is significant when the trace statistic is greater than the critical value of 5% (* will be marked after the null hypothesis). What needs to be paid more attention to in the study is whether there is a * after none; that is, whether the selected variables have a long-term equilibrium relationship.
Table 5 is the coefficient table of the cointegration equation. As can be seen from this table, at the 5% confidence level, there are at least three cointegration equations among variables; that is, there is a long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship among variables.
Moreover, the cointegration equation is:
The cointegration test shows that there is a cointegration relationship between series, however, whether the long-term equilibrium relationship causes the change of the dependent variable or the dependent variable requires a Granger causality test.
4.3. Granger Test
Table 6 above shows that the null hypothesis is rejected at the 5% confidence level, that is, X is the Granger cause of Y. When the prob value is less than 0.05, the null hypothesis is rejected, meaning there is significant Granger causality. The F-statistic calculates the value of prob, and obs is the number of variable observations which can be ignored in the actual operation.
4.4. VAR Model
According to the comprehensive method in
Table 3 above, the optimal lag order of VAR is determined to be order two, and the VAR model is constructed as shown in the following table.
In
Table 7 below, the right-hand side of each variable is followed by three rows of values. The coefficient value is first, the standard error is second, and the third is the T-statistic. Taking total_richness (−1), for example, the coefficient is 0.827; The standard error is −1.19567 and the t-statistic is 0.692. The coefficient represents the richness of the influence. For example, the total_richness (−1) coefficient is 0.827, which means that when other factors remain unchanged, the richness of the explained variable Y will rise by 0.827 units every time total_richness (−1) increases one unit. The t-value test indicates whether a variable significantly impacts the explained variable.
The number in parentheses after the variable refers to the lag order. For example, the total_richness (−1) means to lag the total_richness variable for one year. The goodness of fit refers to the degree to which the regression line fits the observed values. The statistic that measures the goodness of fit is the coefficient of determination R squared, whose maximum value is one. The value of R
2 is getting closer and closer to one, which means that the regression line fits the observation better. On the contrary, the smaller the value of R
2 is, the worse the fitting degree of the regression line to the observed value is, which reflects the explanatory ability of the regression equation to the dependent variable. Therefore, attention should be paid to the value of ADJ. R2, which is generally higher than 0.5. In
Table 7 above, the value is 0.855604, higher than 0.5.
According to the above VAR model values, the influence of X on Y is positive, that is, the higher the value of X, the higher the value of Y.
4.5. Stability Test
4.5.1. AR Root
The stability test in
Figure 1 intuitively shows that its values are below value one. Combined with
Table 8 below, the modes of all lag roots of the VAR model are less than one, indicating that the VAR (2) model is relatively stable. Thus, it shows that the influence relationship between X and Y is objective.
4.5.2. Impulse Response Function Analysis
Through the above demonstration and analysis, we can see the long-term cointegration relationship between the application level of the green development concept and farmers’ income, however, it cannot reflect the dynamic connection between the two. The analysis of the impulse response function shows the degree to which a variable reacts to an impact of one standard deviation in different periods in the future. The impulse response is usually the output of the system when the input is the unit impact function. The impulse response analysis made by the impulse response can reflect the dynamic relationship between the explanatory variables and the explained variables for a long time.
As shown in
Figure 2, this figure represents the response function graph of farmers’ income and grain output after being pulsed by the application level of the green development concept and themselves. The dashed line in the figure reflects the confidence region within one standard deviation, while the solid line represents the corresponding impulse function value. The abscissa represents the number of lag periods set. In this study, according to the figure, the actual impulse response number to be set is 10 periods. The ordinate represents the dynamic sensitivity of farmers’ income and grain yield (explained variables) to pulses of different variables. As shown in
Figure 2, when X gives Y a positive shock, Y will immediately produce gentle, positive feedback, which reaches the peak in the fourth period, then gradually decreases, and becomes negative in the seventh period. Subsequently, it slowly converges to zero. This pulse diagram indicates that X has a long-term promoting influence on Y, however, it has a negative influence after reaching the seventh period, which means that in the long run, the larger the value of X, the smaller Y will be. When substituted into the explanatory and explained variables, it means that, in the long run, the more fertilizer, pesticide, plastic film, and agricultural diesel are used, the less grain will be produced, and the less income farmers will have.
In addition, control variables are taken as influencing factors to analyze their influence on the explained variables over a long period.
The pulse meaning reflected in
Figure 3 means that the affected area will have a negative impact on farmers’ income and grain output in the early stage, reach a peak in the third period, and then turn to a positive impact. As an impulse response, it is generally in the back to make the graph converge to the middle, and the central axis is the impact. Therefore, the actual pulse graph is not good, and its effect does not converge. It should belong to a variable with no effect, that is, after many years, the affected area will not have an impact on the explained variable.
Figure 4 shows that the total sown area of crops to the farmers’ income and food production, first of all, will produce a positive effect. That is to say, the planting area is larger and the farmers’ income and grain yield are higher, then the influence gradually levels off in the third period, with the influence of the variable falling slowly since eventually tends to zero. In the long run, the total sown area of crops has no direct effect on farmers’ income and grain yield.
As shown in
Figure 5, the effect of sown area of grain crops on farmers’ income and grain output has always been small, and the influence is insignificant in the long and short term.
The argument for the interconnection between green development and green governance encompasses empirical evidence of the positive functions of green development applied to agricultural production and how to roll out green governance strategies in a comprehensive manner. Based on the theoretical framework of development communication, the modernization of governance approaches is closely linked to the integration of new media. The new media is crucial to the dissemination of governance information, and thus the collaborative approach to modernizing green governance can be attributed to the category of communication. “Communication for development” is the core idea of development communication theory, and this theoretical point is in line with the collaborative and mutual construction of “green governance for green development” in this study. From the implementation of the concept of green development to the formation of green governance strategies, governance as a platform demonstrates a mutually adaptive and mutually supportive relationship.
The series of arguments on the interconstructive relationship between green development and green governance is in fact a return to the scope of “green development” on rural governance—the “green governance of the countryside”. The logical endpoint of the interconnection is the content paradigm of green governance in the countryside. New media play a modernizing role in transparency and integrity in government. New media in rural green governance can be translated into a practical study of green production, green living, and ecoenvironmental construction and governance.
5. Discussion
This study measured the application level of the green development concept in Guangdong province in the past 20 years by the entropy method. Based on establishing the VAR time series model, this study uses the ADF unit root test, cointegration test, Granger causality test, impulse response function, and other research methods to make an empirical analysis of the impact of the application level of the green development concept on farmers’ income and grain production in Guangdong Province. According to the above research data, the analysis results are as follows.
First, green development needs to be promoted vigorously. The application of the green development concept in agricultural production in Guangdong has a causal relationship with the two-way granger relationship between farmer income and food production. While promoting the spread and application of the concept of green development in practice in Guangdong Province, it is necessary to promote the increase of farmers’ income through high value-added organic food and other green products. While increasing farmers’ income, we will pay more attention to the green development of agriculture and increase the proportion of green development concepts applied in agricultural production.
Second, for a long time in the past, chemical fertilizers and pesticides have played a role in promoting the development of agricultural production. From the conclusion of VAR model construction, X has a positive impact on Y, which means in agricultural production the greater the use of pesticides, chemical fertilizers, plastic film, and agricultural diesel. The higher the farmers’ income, the higher grain production can be increased. This conclusion shows that the larger the value of X, the larger the value of Y in the last two decades.
In the development of agricultural production in China, the use of chemical fertilizers in agricultural use plays an important role in the production income of farmers. Pesticides, fertilizers, plastic membranes, and agricultural diesel fuel are effective measures to help farmers get rid of pests and diseases in food processing plants and to protect against frost and drought. Before the 12th Five-Year Plan, the Chinese government’s requirements for rural development focused on improving production capacity, promoting rapid rural development, and narrowing the gap between urban and rural areas. During the period of rural development, the use of chemical fertilizers increased farmers’ income [
43]. However, with the popularization and abuse of pesticides and fertilizers, the agricultural development mode of blindly increasing production while ignoring the ecological environment is not in line with the development law of “metabolism” [
44]. Pesticides and fertilizers have caused ecological crises caused by soil pollution [
45]. In fact, for a long time in the past, the use of chemical fertilizers, pesticides, mulch, and agricultural diesel oil is indeed a powerful means to promote farmers’ income and production.
Third, in the long run, the greater the use of chemical fertilizers and pesticides will reduce farmers’ incomes. The impulse response figure was positive to the influence of the early stage of X in Y, but after seven nodes, it explains the influence of variable X. Variable Y becomes negative, indicating that, in the long run, such fertilizer usage increase will reduce the farmers’ income and food production. On the contrary, less fertilizer used would lead to increasing farmers’ income and food production. This empirical result shows that in the subsequent development of agricultural production, the use of pesticides, fertilizers, plastic film, and agricultural diesel should be gradually reduced, and the concept of green development should be gradually spread, accepted, and applied to develop ecological agriculture and adhere to the road of sustainable development.
At present, Guangdong has gradually tried the green development mode in the development of ecological agriculture, such as contracted farms and mechanized operations. No fertilization or pesticide use leads to a decline in grain yield per mu, but green production mode produces high-quality organic grain and increases the added value of the grain. [
46]. From the empirical analysis of the content graph based on the impulse response, the application of a highly green development concept will effectively promote farmers’ income and food production in the long run. The high-added value of green products improves farmers’ living standards. The transmission and sharing of the concept of green development will effectively improve the practical ability of green development in rural areas and improve the efficiency of solving the problems of developing agriculture, rural areas, and farmers in China.
In addition, starting from the need to transform green development to green governance, this chapter uses indepth interviews to provide a comprehensive explanation of the development of ecological agriculture in Guangdong, to provide a relatively strong account of the “evolution from green development concepts to green governance strategies”. An indepth survey of local farmers reveals that digital farming will focus on guiding mechanized operations, reducing the use of fertilizers and pesticides, and resulting in lower yields per acre for farmers. However, the overall income of farmers has increased, with farmers now earning around 70,000 to 80,000 a year, all from selling organic food. The countryside is the backyard of the city and a support point for urbanization, providing clean water, reassuring food, and fresh air, as well as other quality ecological products [
47]. The position of the countryside in China’s economic and social development should not be underestimated. To promote the green transformation of China’s economy and society, the green transformation of rural governance is indispensable. After the introduction of pesticides into agricultural production, they have indeed contributed to an extremely rapid increase in agricultural production and safeguarded farmers’ living standards over the course of more than a century of development. At the same time, production pollution has become one of the objects of the ecologists’ crusade, and the development of green production in agriculture is worthy of an indepth discussion in both China and the West [
48]. In the long run, the reduction of pesticides and fertilizers will further enhance the productivity and economic efficiency of agricultural production, thus ensuring a low-carbon and green ecological environment.