1. Introduction
In the past few decades, rapid economic development has also brought about serious waste pollution. The increasing amount of waste not only disrupts daily life but also endangers the health of people. Reducing the accumulation of garbage and protecting the environment are necessary prerequisites and important guarantees for achieving sustainable development of society. It has been agreed upon both at home and abroad that we need to dispose of waste safely and efficiently to build a more comfortable ecological home and realize sustainable development. For example, in 2018, China issued the document Pilot Program for the Construction of “Waste-free Cities”, aiming to reduce, recycle, and dispose of industrial and agricultural solid waste as well as domestic and hazardous waste to promote ecological civilization and build a more beautiful country.
To implement waste management efficiently, waste is classified into groups such as radioactive, hazardous, solid, and healthcare waste (HCW). Hazardous wastes with direct or indirect effects such as infectivity and toxicity, which occur during medical treatment, prevention, and other relevant procedures in health care and medical institutions, are collectively referred to as HCW [
1]. As is known to all, HCW has a greater risk of infection than ordinary wastes. To dispose of HCW effectively, HCW is segmented into infectious, damaging, pathological, pharmaceutical, and chemical waste [
2].
With the outbreak of COVID-19, routine nucleic acid tests to ensure public health led to a significant increase in the use of disposable gloves, cotton swabs, protective clothing, and surgical gloves [
3]. As observed by China’s Ministry of Ecology and Environment, in 2021, 1.4 million tons of HCW in total were collected, representing an 11.1% increase year on year. The national centralized HCW disposal volume in 2022 reached 2.8 million tons, which was more than 80% higher than in 2019 before COVID-19. COVID-19 has increased the pressure on HCW treatment invisibly.
HCW without timely treatment is extremely harmful. Take the novel coronavirus as an example, the virus can stably survive on the surface of objects for about 14 days. If not treated in time, the virus can be transmitted secondarily by respiratory droplets, close contact, and aerosols of patient excrement. Pathogens contaminated with HCW will infect medical personnel and sanitation workers, and it is highly likely to cause large-scale pollution at the social level [
4]. Additionally, the HCW buildup can contaminate otherwise clean medical supplies, resulting in waste.
To prevent HCW from spreading and polluting the environment, appropriate and efficient technologies are needed for its disposal. The most common medical disposal technologies include incineration, microwave, steam sterilization, and landfill [
5]. Incineration is the primary technology considered for HCW treatment [
6], as the name suggests, waste is placed in an incinerator, where the virus is inactivated at very high temperatures, but incineration is prone to produce fumes containing dioxins, one of the most harmful chemicals with a high risk of carcinogenesis and mutagenesis, posing a threat to human health [
7]. The landfill is also a common HCWTT, but it makes the conversion rate of resources extremely low, and waste such as plastic is not easily degraded in the ground and is prone to produce dangerous gases [
8], which does not meet the original purpose of protecting the environment. Steam sterilization is suitable for the treatment of infectious and injurious waste, although the types of waste that can be disposed of by this technology are limited, its operation is simple, operating conditions are convenient, and it covers an area and faces fewer safety risks [
9]. Microwaves can treat not only the waste that can be disposed of by steam sterilization but also pathological waste, which can treat HCW with maximum efficiency in a short period without generating environmentally unsafe elements such as dioxins and effluent [
10]. In summary, each HCWTT has its advantages and disadvantages, and choosing an economical and environmentally friendly HCWTT can help with waste management.
Since multiple evaluation criteria and objects are involved, HCWTT selection can be thought of as a multi-criteria group decision-making (MCGDM) issue. Due to the vagueness of cognition and the complexity of the real world, people sometimes cannot use precise real numbers to give their evaluation opinions of HCWTT, in this regard, intuitionistic hesitation fuzzy sets [
11] and intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IFSs) [
12] were introduced. IFSs require the sum of membership and non-membership to be one; compared to Fermatean fuzzy sets (FFSs) [
13], there is still some information here that cannot be described comprehensively. The research related to FFSs is gradually enriched in a great many areas. To assemble Fermatean fuzzy (FF) numbers, the FF Archimedean copula-based symmetric Maclaurin mean, soft aggregation, and Archimedean copula operators were proposed one after another [
14,
15,
16]. Decision tools including TOPSIS, Measurement Alternatives and Ranking Based on Compromise Solution (MARCOS), and Elimination and Choice Transiting Reality (ELECTRE) in the FF environment were successfully extended to solve supplier selection [
17], HCW treatment site selection [
18], and biomedical material selection problems [
19].
The following exact issues exist in the assessment and selection of HCWTT with MCGDM techniques:
- (1)
Due to a number of issues, including inadequate information disclosure and the inclusion of non-quantifiable attributes in the evaluation criteria, decision-makers (DMs) find it difficult to provide precise evaluation values for each alternative during the actual process of HCWTT selection and evaluation.
- (2)
The evaluation criteria of HCWTT are uncertain. The criteria currently used to evaluate HCWTT are centered on four dimensions: economic, environmental, technological, and social [
20,
21], but they are not unified.
- (3)
The evaluation criteria weights are unclear. Attribute weights, as a particularly important factor influencing scheme ranking, need to balance objective data and subjective perceptions of DMs. Meanwhile, the current weight determination methods [
22,
23,
24] and integration methods [
25,
26] are too restricted and lack novelty.
- (4)
There are some restrictions on the single decision technique when ordering and selecting alternatives. For instance, the classic TOPSIS (Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) [
27] and VIKOR (ViseKriterijumska Optimimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje) [
28] methods are unable to express dynamic changes, simply the relative positions of the alternatives. Grey relational analysis (GRA) [
29] can only reflect the degree of similarity but not the position relationship. How to use decision procedures to comprehensively create the best decisions is something that requires attention.
To fill the gap of integrated weighting and decision methods in the evaluation of HCWTTs under an uncertain environment, this study works towards designing a hybrid MCGDM framework combining an integrated weighting procedure (IWP) and TOPSIS-GRA method under an FF environment. After constructing the index system, the Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) and FF entropy are combined with game theory to determine the integrated weights of attributes. Then the TOPSIS-GRA framework is applied to sort the options and choose the best HCWTT.
The paper is organized into the following sections.
Section 2 is the literature review part. In
Section 3, a new index system for HCWTT selection is proposed after taking into account the current evaluation dimensions.
Section 4 reviews the basics of FFSs.
Section 5 presents the IWP combing DEMATEL and entropy weight method (EWM) based on game theory.
Section 6 presents the specific MCGDM process of the FF IWP-TOPSIS-GRA method.
Section 7 applies the proposed model to a specific case of HCWTT selection and gives a comparative and sensitivity study. The valuable conclusions are given in
Section 8.
3. HCWTT Evaluation Index System
Due to the recent occurrence and ongoing intensification of COVID-19, the proportion of HCW in waste is greatly increased. The hazardous waste in HCW cannot enter landfills because of its corrosive nature, so it can only be disposed of by incineration, which inadvertently increases the disposal task of incinerators. However, the limited capacity of incinerators is not enough to dispose of all the HCW. Therefore, in addition to the most common incineration technology, other diverse disposal processes are emerging. It is necessary to provide decision support for selecting the best HCWTT. The efficiency and effectiveness of an HCWTT can be evaluated under various qualitative and quantitative criteria.
Based on the existing literature, this study constructs a set of attributes for HCWTT selection based on four dimensions: social, environmental, economic, and technological, which focus on the six aspects below.
- (1)
Economic: The economic cost of HCWTT consists of construction investment and operating costs. Under the economic dimension, we selected the attribute cost to evaluate the HCWTT.
Cost (
): The cost refers to the total cost required to dispose of HCW [
34]. The construction investment cost is the total cost required from the beginning of the HCW treatment site project construction to the completion, specifically including the cost of purchasing and installing HCW disposal equipment and land occupied by the site [
21]. Operating equipment requires a certain amount of human and material resources, the operating costs include electricity, labor, and maintenance costs [
35]. In addition, the cost of storing and transporting the HCW is also included.
- (2)
Environmental: The purpose of selecting the best HCWTT is to minimize the emission of hazardous objects, achieve stable and standardized discharge of pollutants, and reduce environmental pollution and harm to health from residuals. Under the environmental dimension, we selected waste residuals and release with health effects as important evaluation attributes.
Waste residuals (
): There are liquid and gas emissions, solid residuals, and noise in the process of disposing of HCW [
46]. Medical wastewater corrodes soil and pollutes rivers. Greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere, cause secondary pollution. We can describe the waste residuals by measuring the level of discomfort caused by noise to operators and surrounding residents, the number of solid residuals left behind, and liquid and gas emissions [
45].
Release with health effects (
): This attribute is concerned with the impact of HCW treatment residuals on the health of operators and residents surrounding the disposal site. Residents living at incineration sites are exposed to higher concentrations of dioxins, facing a very high risk of carcinogenesis and mutagenesis [
47]. Mercury from HCW incineration can damage the excretory, nervous, and reproductive systems [
48]. Sterilizing HCW produces low levels of organic compounds that are not only detrimental to air quality but also cause dizziness and other discomforts in humans.
- (3)
Technical: The maturity of each technology is the key to measuring the HCW treatment effectiveness. The treatment effectiveness and technical performance can be examined from quantitative and qualitative perspectives, respectively. We selected reliability and treatment effectiveness as key attributes for assessing HCWTTs.
Reliability (
): This attribute focuses on the ease of operation, reliability, and stability of a disposal technology for disposing of HCW [
46]. We can examine whether a treatment technology can operate properly and complete its task within the specified time [
45]. Only when the maturity and feasibility of the technology for treating HCW are guaranteed can the requirements for HCW treatment be met and the purpose of protecting the environment be achieved.
Treatment effectiveness (
): It refers to whether a technology is suitable for a certain situation of HCW treatment, whether the realistic results of the implementation meet the expected scenario [
45], whether it has considerable long-term applicability [
28], and whether it can be extended to other areas of waste treatment. It can be measured by HCW removal rates and residual emissions.
- (4)
Social: The public is the most important external environmental stakeholder of hospitals and governments, and there is a mutual influence relationship between the public and HCW treatment. HCWTT of high quality can provide a better living environment for the public. The awareness improvement of environmental protection drives social progress and HCWTT innovation. We selected public acceptance as the sub-criterion.
Public acceptance (
): This attribute examines public acceptance of technology for HCW treatment, including the effectiveness, safety, and cost of disposal [
28,
44]. The influence technology has on employment potential can also be examined [
37], and if the technology increases the potential for future employment, public acceptance will be increased. If the public is resistant to the technology, there is a high risk of complaints about it, leading to a suspension of the waste treatment process.
6. FF IWP-TOPSIS-GRA Framework for FF MCGDM Analysis
TOPSIS, a decision-making framework that selects the best solution by computing the alternatives’ distance from the negative and ideal scheme, has been widely used in various fuzzy environments because of its simplicity and low workload [
52,
53,
54]. However, it can only reflect relative positions and cannot show developmental changes, while GRA can exactly compensate for the shortcomings exhibited by TOPSIS. Therefore, scholars have combined TOPSIS and GRA to provide a more comprehensive evaluation technique. The TOPSIS-GRA framework has been extended to IFSs [
55,
56], interval-valued IFSs [
57,
58], QROFSs [
59], single-valued neutrosophic sets [
60], and spherical fuzzy sets [
61]. It also provides technical support for dealing with MCGDM problems [
62,
63]. This section introduces the proposed FF IWP-TOPSIS-GRA model and presents its concrete steps.
Consider an MCGDM problem in the FF environment. Let
and
denote the set of alternatives and evaluation attributes, respectively. The set of DMs is
and the expert weight vector is
. Let the evaluation information of DMs
about alternatives
under attribute
be denoted by
, where
and
. Thus, the FF evaluation matrix
of the DMs
can be expressed as follows:
The detailed phases of the proposed FF IWP-TOPSIS-GRA model are given below.
Step 1. The DMs
assess the alternatives using the evaluation linguistic terms under each attribute, and then convert them to FFSs according to the transformation guidelines in
Table 1. We can then obtain the evaluation matrix
of each expert, where
.
Step 2. Integrate individual evaluation opinions using the FFWA operator to obtain a comprehensive evaluation matrix
, where
is calculated as follows:
Step 3. Normalize comprehensive evaluation matrix. To ensure the consistency of attribute types, the cost-type attributes are transformed into benefit-type attributes according to Equation (22).
where
and
stand for attribute sets of the benefit- and cost-types, accordingly.
Step 4. Determine indicators’ weights based on IWP. The subjective weights
and objective weights
of attributes are calculated according to DEMATEL and EWM proposed in
Section 5 of this paper, respectively. On this basis, the integrated weights
of attributes are calculated based on game theory.
Step 5. Find the negative ideal solution (NIS)
and positive ideal solution (PIS)
.
where
and
indicate the optimal and inferior solutions under attribute
.
Step 6. Compute the weighted Euclidean distance between
and
, which denote the Euclidean distance between alternatives and the PIS
and the NIS
, correspondingly.
Step 7. Calculate the grey relational degree
and
of alternative
with PIS and NIS using Equations (29) and (30).
where
and
represent the grey relational coefficient of alternatives
with PIS and NIS under attribute
.
is the recognition coefficient, which generally takes the value of 0.5.
Step 8. Normalize the weighted distance
and
as well as grey relational degree
and
using the formula below:
Step 9. Combine the normalized weighted distance and grey relational degree, and then compute the relative closeness.
Larger and indicate an alternative is closer to a desirable one, meanwhile, larger and indicate that the alternatives stray from the best one. Therefore, and denote the closeness of each alternative to the PIS and NIS, respectively. and indicate the degree of preference of the DMs for relative position and trend.
Step 10. The options are ordered depending on how near they are to PIS. The relative closeness indicates how close the alternative is to the PIS. The alternative is more in line with the PIS when is larger while greater distance between the alternative and PIS is indicated by a smaller .
The roadmap of decision-making techniques proposed in this section is shown in
Figure 1.
7. Case Study
The suggested IWP-TOPSIS-GRA model will be used in the real case of HCWTT selection. Parameter and comparison analysis is utilized to demonstrate its validity.
Assuming that a hospital intends to select the optimal HCWTT from stream sterilization (
), microwave (
), landfill (
), and incineration (
). Four DMs
in the industry (expert weight vector is
) are invited to evaluate the four HCWTT mentioned above and choose the best one by utilizing six attributes
, shown in
Figure 2, where
is cost,
is waste residuals,
is release with health effects,
is reliability,
is treatment effectiveness, and
is public acceptance.
,
, and
are undoubtedly attributes of the beneficial type, whereas
,
, and
are traits of the cost type.
The following is the specific process for selecting the superior HCWTT.
Step 1. Construct a matrix for the FF evaluation. Four reviewers
give evaluation linguistic terms for four HCWTT based on six attributes as displayed in
Table 2.
The evaluation linguistic terms given by the experts are translated into FFSs based on the rules presented in
Table 1.
Table 3 includes a list of each expert’s evaluation data.
Step 2. Integrate individual evaluation opinions using the FFWA operator to achieve a comprehensive assessment matrix
.
Table 4 summarizes the situation.
Step 3. Normalize the comprehensive evaluation matrix using Equation (22).
Table 5 represents the normalized comprehensive evaluation matrix.
Step 4. PIS and NIS are established. PIS and NIS for each attribute are determined by calculating and comparing the scores in accordance with Equation (2).
Step 5. Determine the integrated weights of attributes.
Step 5.1. The linguistic formulations listed in
Table 1 are used to determine the influence degree between the attributes, which are listed in
Table 6.
Step 5.2. Normalize the direct influence matrix using Equation (6).
Step 5.3. Calculate the total relation matrix using Equation (7).
Step 5.4. Compute the influence degree
, influenced degree
, importance degree
, and subjective weight
of attributes using Equations (8)–(11).
Table 7 provides a summary of the computation findings.
Step 5.5. Calculate the objective weights of attributes.
According to Equations (12) and (13), the objective weight vector of the attributes can be obtained.
Step 5.6. Compute and normalize the optimal linear combination coefficients of attributes.
According to Equations (16) and (17), the optimal linear combination coefficients can be obtained. By normalizing them using Equation (18), we can obtain .
Step 5.7. Determine the integrated weights of attributes.
The integrated weight vector is determined by utilizing Equation (19).
Table A1 displays the integrated, subjective, and objective weights of attributes. The relationship between them can be observed in
Figure 3.
Step 6. The weighted distance between each alternative and the positive and negative ideal one can be determined by Equations (25) and (26).
Step 7. Calculate the grey relational coefficient matrix
and
using Equations (27) and (28). Then compute the grey relational degree
and
using Equations (29) and (30).
Step 8. Normalized
,
,
, and
to obtain
,
,
, and
using Equations (31) and (32). The detailed computed results are listed in
Appendix A.
Step 9. Equations (33)–(35) are employed to rank the solutions and identify their relative closeness.
Table 8 shows the relative closeness and ranking in detail.
Table 8 shows that each alternative and the optimum solution are relatively close together, with values of 0.7463, 0.5442, 0.3092, and 0.2767, respectively. The alternatives have a grade of
, and the best option is undoubtedly
, which means that stream sterilization is recommended by the DMs as the optimal HCWTT that can be used in hospitals.
7.1. Comparative Analysis
The weights of evaluation indicators are the key for DMs to make a reasonable choice among the alternative HCWTT. In this paper, the subjective, objective, and integrated weighting methods based on DEMATEL, EWM, and game theory have been introduced, respectively. To balance the subjectivity of DMs and the objectivity of evaluation data, we apply the integrated weights to obtain the final results in the above research.
The model proposed in this study was substituted for comparison using the subjective and objective weights obtained using DEMATEL and FF entropy proposed in
Section 5, respectively.
Table 9 and
Table 10 present a summary of the calculation results for the various weight types,
Figure 4 allows us to compare the calculated findings further.
According to the calculation results, depending on the type of weights used, the relative nearness between each alternative and the optimum solution varies. Under objective weights, the alternatives’ relative closeness concerning the optimal solution is the greatest, while their relative closeness to the worst solution is the smallest. The alternatives have the biggest relative closeness to the worst solution and the least relative closeness to the optimal solution under subjective weights. This is thus because, whereas subjective weights partially reflect the DMs’ subjective opinions, which are highly ambiguous, computation outcomes under objective weights transmit the decision information of DMs. In this paper, we use game theory to calculate the optimal linear combination coefficients of the two weights. To establish integrated weights, which more successfully implement the benefits of subjective and objective weights, objective weights and subjective weights are merged. We can further find that no matter what type of weights are taken, the final ranking results of HCWTT obtained are always , and the most suitable technique for disposing of HCW is still steam sterilization. Therefore, there is some stability in the weight estimation approach suggested in this study. When solving complex MCDM problems, the existence of integrated weights cannot be ignored, which can help us to make rational and effective decisions and obtain the desired results.
Next, representative methods are selected for comparative analysis with the proposed model in the FF environment to verify its validity and accuracy. Firstly, the comparison with the TOPSIS method based on the FF hybrid weighted distance (FFHWD) measure [
64] is conducted, thus illustrating the impact of different distance measures and single decision methods on the evaluation results; secondly, the comparison with VIKOR [
65] and EDAS [
66] can illustrate the impact of different decision methods and distance standards on the evaluation results. The final ranking results obtained by the above four methods on the same data set and equally weighted information are shown specifically in
Table 11.
As can be seen in
Table 11, the four decision techniques mentioned above differ in their specific choices but there is still some similarity in the decision results. The worst alternative obtained by both the EDAS and our proposed model is
, and the worst alternative obtained based on FFWHD-TOPSIS and VIKOR is
. However, the top-ranked alternatives determined by these four methods remain the same. They all judge
as the optimal alternative, which further illustrates the effectiveness and accuracy of the method proposed in this paper. The main reasons for the partial identities as well as minor differences in the specific rankings are:
- (1)
Different from the Euclidean distance measure we used, the FFWHD measure proposed in [
64] reflected the importance of its own data as well as its location, which proves that different distance measures do have an impact on the decision results.
- (2)
Taking the closeness between the evaluation scheme and the ideal method as the basis of the optimal solution is the decision logic of references [
64,
65], the optimal choice of [
66] corresponds to the distance from the average solution. All of these single decision methods focus only on the relative position relationship and ignore the intrinsic trend of the data series.
- (3)
When there are goal differences within the organization, using the average solutions in place of extremely positive and negative ideal solutions is more in line with the actual interests of the decision group. The rich practical implications of [
66] make the rankings it obtains consistent with the model proposed in this paper.
7.2. Sensitivity Analysis
Due to the presence of parameters in the FF IWP-TOPSIS-GRA model presented in this paper, the parameters and represent the DMs’ preference degree for TOPSIS and GRA. The previous case study solely looked at case , suggesting that DMs view TOPSIS and GRA as equally significant. The existence of parameters may somewhat influence the outcomes. For the stability of the suggested model to be completely validated, this one case is insufficient. As a result, we also covered the impact of the alteration of parameters on the order list of solutions and the best option.
Now we let
take different real values from
and
Table 12 displays the relative closeness and the rating of each choice.
Figure 5 helps us to observe more visually the trend of relative closeness variation with the change of parameters.
Table 12 and
Figure 5 provide evidence that the relative closeness of
and
gradually increases with the positive change of the parameters, and the increase rate of
is obviously faster than that of
, while the relative closeness of
and
gradually decreases with the positive change of the parameters, and the decrease rate of
is slower than that of
. As parameter
increases, the increasing rate of the relative closeness of
becomes faster and faster, which indicates that
becomes more and more desirable; on the contrary, the decreasing rate of the relative closeness of
becomes faster and faster, which indicates that
becomes less and less desirable.
In summary, the alteration of the parameter has a substantial impact on how close the alternative solution is to the optimal solution. That is because parameter
expresses the special fondness of DMs for TOPSIS, which measures how near the solution is to the ideal solution in terms of location. When parameter
is larger, TOPSIS has an increasing proportion in the whole decision model, and the solution is getting closer to the ideal one. Meanwhile, we can see from
Table 12 and
Figure 5 that the ranking as well as the optimal alternative have remained stable even though the relative closeness has been changing, indicating that our proposed solution has extremely strong stability.
8. Conclusions
Choosing the right technology for HCW treatment is an important part of waste management. In this study, an FF IWP-TOPSIS-GRA model was proposed, aiming to offer technical assistance for the HCWTT selection under a complex environment. A complete and streamlined index system for evaluating HCWTT was first established, which considered four aspects: economic, social, environmental, and technological. Then, an IWP based on DEMATEL and FF entropy was applied to determine the integrated weights, which not only ensured the objectivity of the evaluation data but also conveyed the subjective perception of the evaluation experts. Finally, the IWP-TOPSIS-GRA model was applied to the actual case of HCWTT selection in FF situations. At the same time, the analyses of comparison and sensitivity were carried out. The numerical findings showed that different types of weights and parameters always gave stable ranking results, although they produced different relative closeness, which reflected the suggested model’s stability and efficacy. This suggested strategy can not only compensate for the shortcomings of single weight determination and decision methods, but can also address a variety of disciplines, including green development, smart cities, and online teaching and learning.
With the outbreak of COVID-19 and the explosive growth of HCW, disposing of HCW timely and environmentally is a critical component. This study provides management recommendations for healthcare administrators and environmental policymakers who need to determine the best HCWTT. First, when examining HCWTTs, whether the technology will cause contamination residues that could endanger human health needs to be prioritized. When conflicts of interest arise, the relationship between the technology and the public should be properly coordinated to enhance social acceptance. The inclusion of operating costs and the reliability of the technology in the evaluation is also necessary. Second, a reference for determining the set of technologies that meet the needs of HCW disposal is provided. Steam sterilization is an optimal means of disposing of HCW with high disposal efficiency and capacity, which can effectively remove waste while minimizing contamination. Microwave can be an alternative to the best HCWTT by reducing costs and improving operational efficiency. The incineration of HCW emits toxic gases and inorganic substances that harm the environment and human health, and installation of purification devices will help. Landfills, on the other hand, are a poor overall performance HCWTT and should not be the primary means to be considered when disposing of HCW.