1. Introduction
There are enormous rock slopes in China. The rock blocks on the slope have poor stability under the action of human or natural factors and bring about a huge social impact, causing instability and damage, directly threatening people’s lives and property and engineering construction. Most of the existing monitoring and early warning of landslide perilous rocks is employed by judging their damage by monitoring displacement and stress-strain. Many scholars at home and abroad have studied the early identification of landslide perilous rocks, stability evaluation and monitoring, and early warning, and have achieved substantial achievements. There are four methods for studying the stability of wedges at home and abroad: the limit equilibrium method, limit analysis, numerical simulation, and the mathematical model method. Feng Shuren et al. [
1] proposed a 3D limit equilibrium method to evaluate the stability of a slope. Xie Mowen et al. [
2] combined the limit equilibrium method and geographic information system to realize the stability calculation of rock mass in three dimensions. Based on the yield rule and residual deformation, Li Dazhong [
3] proposed the mesh self-adaptation and cone optimization algorithm based on the finite element method limit analysis of Mohr–Coulomb material. The finite element algorithm grid can adaptively find the sliding surface of rock mass and greatly improve the calculation accuracy. Zheng Huifeng et al. [
4] established a nonlinear programming model for solving the upper limit solution of the slope strength reserve safety coefficient by means of the discrete computation region of block element method and the Mohr–Coulomb yield condition, associated flow rule, velocity boundary condition, and virtual work principle of the block system on the structural surface. The correctness of the method is verified by comparing the upper limit analysis results of the block element method with the rigid body limit equilibrium method. Zhangl et al. [
5] adopted FLAC-3D to analyze the stability of slope rock mass to realize the stability evaluation and application of slope rock mass. Based on fracture mechanics and damage mechanics, Tang Hongmei [
6] and others established a calculation method for the collapse time of perilous rock mass and preliminarily verified the effectiveness of this method through calculation examples. D Liu [
7] employed the fuzzy mathematics method for the comprehensive evaluation of the multiple indicators of the rock slope. The results showed that the stability of the slope could be evaluated more comprehensively, and the field observation values had a good consistency. Xie Quanmin et al. [
8] took the grey clustering spatial prediction method based on neural networks for rock mass slope stability, and it can accurately predict the stability of rock mass slope. M. Freyssines and D. Hantz [
9] analyzed the destruction mechanism of the high and steep slope rock mass through the rock mass collapse disaster in the sedimentary area; Youssef [
10] and others analyzed the stability of the rock mass slope next to the cliff road and found the area where the rock mass collapse is likely to slide; Royán [
11] and others used ground laser radar to carry out long-term spatiotemporal deformation analysis and monitoring of the rock mass slope, increasing the understanding of the characteristics of rock mass damage precursors. These studies provided a good idea for the identification and accurate judgment of landslide perilous rocks but still had some limitations. Because the sudden failure of landslide perilous rock shows no obvious displacement, the accuracy and timeliness of existing methods for evaluating and monitoring the stability of landslide perilous rock are low.
Due to the sudden change of dynamics parameters in the process of damage to the structural plane of perilous rocks, dynamics parameters are easy to obtain. Therefore, based on the change of dynamics parameters, early identification, stability evaluation and monitoring, and early warning of landslide perilous rock can be realized efficiently and accurately. Y. Du et al. [
12] used laser Doppler vibration measurement to identify perilous rocks, which reveals that when the rock mass stability changes, its dynamic indicators can reflect the damage of perilous rocks. A. L. Strom and O. Korup [
13] believed that the destruction process of perilous rock is a dynamic process; Huo Leichen [
14] and others concluded that the time and frequency domains of the object will change significantly after the injury. Du Yan et al. [
15] concluded that the bonding degree between perilous rock and bedrock reduced and the natural frequency of sliding type perilous rock decreased correspondingly; Xu Qiang [
16] and others found that the rock mass was not only affected by bad geological structure but also by activities such as human mining and natural disturbance such as karst for a long time. Jia Yanchang [
17] and others obtained through experiments that the natural vibration frequency of perilous rock decreases with the reducing bonding area. The stability of perilous rock is closely related to its dynamic indexes (amplitude, natural vibration frequency, damping ratio, etc.). When the perilous rock structural plane of the landslide is damaged, its dynamic index will change accordingly, which has a reference value for monitoring the perilous rock collapse. Zhang Xiaoyong [
18] and others established a quantitative relationship between the natural frequency and the crack depth at the rear edge of the perilous rock. Valentin [
19] and others obtained different dynamic parameters (natural vibration frequency, amplitude, etc.) by analyzing the spectrum of monitoring signals, and realized the characterization of unstable rock mass by dynamic indicators. A large number of research results show that the dynamic indexes of perilous rock will change accordingly from stability to instability. According to the changes in these dynamic indicators, the stability of perilous rock can be predicted to a certain extent.
The essence of a perilous rock collapse is the damage to the structural plane, and the dynamic characteristics of the perilous rock will change to a certain extent from stability to instability. Displacement monitoring is the main method for monitoring the stability of perilous rock. However, the instability and destruction of landslide perilous rock blocks are usually characterized as sudden in time. In addition to the internal factors such as rock mass strength and structural plane damage, it is also related to many external factors such as rainfall and earthquakes. Before the failure occurs, there is no obvious displacement, so the effect of conventional and single displacement monitoring is not obvious. At the same time, monitoring is costly and difficult to widely employ. Since the perilous rock is a complicated structure, factors from external disasters and internal main controls lead to its damage [
20], in this way, the perilous rock needs more indicators to make a more comprehensive evaluation. Du Yan [
21] and other rock mass collapse disaster early warning ideas based on the identification of damage precursors in the separation stage have obtained an early monitoring and early warning index system based on a trinity of dynamic indicators, static indicators, and environmental quantity indicators. Jia Yanchang [
22] and others calculated the bonding area between the perilous rock block and the parent rock by real-time monitoring of the natural vibration frequency of the perilous rock block and realized its stability accurately and quickly. Zhao Chen [
23] and others introduced the concept of mutual approximation entropy and extended it to three dimensions, and realized the quantitative analysis of particle trajectories, which provided a new research idea for the early warning of perilous rock damage identification and collapse. As computer technology advances, support vector machines (SVM) and some hybrid algorithms have been applied to slope stability analysis in recent years and have achieved satisfactory results. Huo Leichen [
24] and others realized accurate quantitative analysis of perilous rock by particle group optimization algorithm optimization support vector (PSO–SVM) based on a variety of dynamic indicators. Hong Yong [
25] and others obtained the slope stability evaluation by PSO–SVM algorithm. Compared with the SVM model optimized by other methods, the PSO–SVM model has higher classification accuracy and stronger prediction ability. Zhou [
26] established the PSO–SVM coupling model to predict the displacement of the Bazimen landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir area, and the predicted value accorded with the actual value. These theories and technologies have promoted the development of early collapse monitoring and early warning of perilous rock to a certain extent and also provided a new idea for the monitoring of early collapse damage of perilous rock. The basis of a variety of dynamic indexes to evaluate the stability of perilous rocks provides important technical support for monitoring the unstable and destructed perilous rocks.
In comparison with the disadvantages including single dynamics parameters perilous rock stability evaluation and early identification method, the early identification method of perilous rock with multiple dynamic parameters has certain advantages. The identification method of perilous rock based on a multi-level dynamic index can collect more dynamics monitoring information, so it can identify the perilous rock more accurately compared with other identification methods with a single index. This paper takes landslide perilous rock as the research object, by extracting multiple dynamic parameters from it and using the PSO–SVM algorithm, to achieve rapid and accurate prediction. Using the PSO–SVM algorithm to analyze the sensitivity degree of multi-dynamic parameters can obtain the dynamic indexes with good sensitivity, and improve the accuracy and efficiency of the algorithm prediction. A final example shows the reliability of the algorithm. And, the technical method not only enriches the current identification indexes of perilous rock dynamics but also provides technical support for better identification of bad geological hazards, thereby effectively guiding the accurate and efficient implementation of collapse disaster prevention and mitigation.
4. Discussion
Many kinds of dynamic indexes can be used for the identification of perilous rock mass, but their sensitivity differs much. Therefore, analyzing the sensitivity degree of different dynamic characteristic parameters, selecting the identification index with the best sensitivity degree, and carrying out comprehensive analysis and application can improve the prediction accuracy of the perilous rock mass identification method based on multi-dynamics parameters. Therefore, this paper employs the PSO–SVM algorithm in the sensitivity analysis of multiple dynamics parameters. The sensitivity analysis flow of dynamic indicators based on the PSO–SVM algorithm is as follows:
Obtain the dynamic characteristic parameter data of seven kinds of perilous rock mass and carry out normalization;
Adopt the principle of a single variable, removing one index from each set of data, sequentially removing pulse index, margin index, center of gravity frequency, mean square frequency, relative energy of the first frequency band, impact energy, damping ratio, and re-establish a new PSO–SVM model respectively recorded as models 1 to 7;
Run the program to calculate the MSE and square correlation coefficient of seven models respectively;
Synthetically analyze and evaluate the MSE and indexes and obtain the sensitivity degree of various dynamics parameters to the identification of perilous rock mass. If an indicator is removed and the MSE is moderately large and moderately small, it indicates a good sensitivity and vice versa.
Table 7 is the sensitivity ranking of each indicator. It can be seen from
Table 7 that the prediction effect of the five-index model with the average square frequency removed is the worst, with the mean square error MSE = 0.038191 and the square correlation coefficient
= 0.89211, indicating that the sensitivity degree of the average square frequency is the best, and the effect of the five-index model with the pulse frequency removed is the greatest; the prediction effect of the five-index model with the pulse frequency removed is the best, indicating that the sensitivity degree of the pulse index is poor, and the influence degree of the pulse index on the prediction effect is the least. The sensitivity degree of each identification index can be ranked as from
Table 7: mean square frequency > margin index > relative energy of the first frequency band > center of gravity frequency > impact energy > pulse indicator > damping ratio. The result can provide the basic test data for the risk evaluation model of perilous rock mass based on multi-data analysis, and the dynamic index with the best sensitivity can be selected by this method, to improve the prediction efficiency and accuracy based on multi-dynamics parameters of perilous rock mass identification model.